Schule’s NCAAF Weekly Power Rankings Review – Week 4
Have you ever noticed that all the major polls look basically the same? Whether it’s USA Today, ESPN or the Associated Press, you won’t see any dramatic differences in where they have teams ranked. When it comes to Power Rankings, professional handicapper Jesse Schule has proven to be ahead of the curve. Since the 2011 football season he’s been going against the grain, and more often than not he’s 2-3 steps ahead of the other guys. His weekly NCAAF Power Rankings are published at Covers.com on Mondays, and every Tuesday he will review the teams that he believes are overrated, underrated, or flying under the radar.
Most Overrated Team – UCLA Bruins (3-0 SU, 1-1-1 ATS)
The Bruins narrowly escaped with a come from behind win at home over BYU on Saturday. For the second straight week freshman quarterback Josh Rosen struggled, throwing for just 106 yards with a TD and three picks on 11-of-23 passing. The Associated Press still has the Bruins ranked in the Top 10, ahead of teams like Oregon, Texas A&M and Alabama. With tough road games against Arizona and Stanford in the next three weeks, they appear to be vulnerable to an upset. The Wildcats gave them all sorts of trouble last season, limiting them to just three points in the first half of a 17-7 home victory. Arizona has knocked off Top 10 teams in each of Rich Rodriguez’s three seasons as head coach, and I like their chances of making it four in a row here this week.
Most Underrated Team – Oregon Ducks (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS)
The Ducks are ranked outside the Top 10 after losing at Michigan State in Week 2, but they still look like the team to beat in the PAC-12. They host the Utah Utes this Saturday, and they are favored by roughly two TDs. Oregon won 51-27 at Utah last season, and the Utes will be hard pressed to earn a better result on the road this week with their starting quarterback banged up. Looking at the Ducks remaining schedule, they should have an excellent chance to run the table, and could easily get back up into the playoff picture by the end of the season.
Flying Under The Radar – Georgia Bulldogs (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)
Greyson Lambert had himself a day in the win over South Carolina on Saturday, completing 24-of-25 passes for 330 yards and three TDs. His 96 percent completion percentage set a new NCAA single game record. The Bulldogs have an easy game this week against the Southern Jaguars, before a marquee clash at home with Alabama in two weeks time. Georgia is still outside of the playoff picture in all the polls, but a win at home over Alabama could propel them all the way to the top. If they can get past the Tide, the rest of their schedule looks very manageable.
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Jesse Schule
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is an 8* play on Toronto.
The Wizards open the season north of the border in Toronto, and this looks like a tough matchup for the visitors. The Raptors are a much younger team, with veterans Kyle Lowry, Serge Ibaka, Marc Gasol, and Norm Powell all moved on. Fred Van Fleet, Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby sre still in the starting lineup, along with veteran Goran Drajic who came over from Miami. The Wizards were winless in the pre-season, including a loss to Toronto. The interesting thing about the Raptors win over Washington was that the Raptors starters did not play against Bradley Beal, KCP, Kyle Kuzma and Spencer Dinwiddie. Toronto is 9-1 straight up in their last 10 versus the Wizards, and this is a big game in a home opener after they played last season's home games in Tampa.
GL,
Jesse Schule
5*
This is an 8* play on Over.
Game 5 will feature the same pitching matchup as Game 1, and here is what I said prior to that game:
"Chris Sale will toe the slab for Boston, and he hasn't been himself since his return from injury. He was lit up for five runs in just one inning in his only appearance in the ALDS versus Tampa Bay. The Astros hand the ball to Framber Valdez, who was 2-0 with a 1.26 ERA in two starts versus Boston this season."
The over is 18-6-2 in Red Sox last 26 playoff home games.
GL,
Jesse Schule
5*
This is a 5* play on MUTD.
Manchester United lost 4-2 at Leicester in their first Premier League game coming out of the international break, but they look good in a home game in the Champions League versus Atalanta. The Italian side has scored 11 goals while conceding seven in their last five matches in all competitions, and they have scored three goals in two Champions League matches. Manchester United hasn't posted a clean sheet in any of their last eight matches, but they do have the all time leading scorer in Champions League history. I like the Red Devils to win a high scoring contest.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
Top Cappers L7 Days
| Service | Profit |
|---|---|
| Matt Fargo | $1,022 |
| Art Aronson | $495 |
| Ricky Tran | $474 |
| Alex Smart | $354 |
| Stephen Nover | $345 |
| Ray Monohan | $310 |
| Marc David | $306 |
| Tim Michael | $304 |
| Jimmy Boyd | $297 |
| Scott Rickenbach | $271 |
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