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Schule’s NCAAF Weekly Power Rankings Review – Week 6

October 6th, 2015

Have you ever noticed that all the major polls look basically the same? Whether it’s USA Today, ESPN or the Associated Press, you won’t see any dramatic differences in where they have teams ranked. When it comes to Power Rankings, professional handicapper Jesse Schule has proven to be ahead of the curve. Since the 2011 football season he’s been going against the grain, and more often than not he’s 2-3 steps ahead of the other guys. His weekly NCAAF Power Rankings are published at Covers.com on Mondays, and every Tuesday he will review the teams that he believes are overrated, underrated, or flying under the radar.

Most Overrated Team – TCU Horned Frogs (5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS)

The Horned Frogs are coming off a 50-7 win over Texas, but despite all the hype, that game might say a lot more about Texas than it does about TCU. The fact remains that they’ve played two road games, both against mediocre teams, and they didn’t look good in either of those games. They head out on the road again this week to face a Kansas State team with a strong defense, and once again they are a heavy favorite. They’ve failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games, and they lost their last visit to Manhattan back in 2013 by a score of 33-31. If you’re betting on TCU as a double-digit favorite on the road, you’re going to go broke in a hurry.

Most Underrated Team – Stanford Cardinal (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS)

A Week 1 loss at Northwestern looked like a disaster for Stanford, but the Cardinal have since won four straight, including an upset over the Trojans in California. Northwestern is now undefeated and climbing the rankings, making that loss look a lot more respectable. The Cardinal now appear to be in the driver’s seat in the PAC12, as only Utah and California remain undefeated. Kevin Hogan has thrown for 1000 yards with nine TDs and just one INT during the Cardinal’s four game winning streak. They have a bye week before hosting UCLA on October 16, and the Bruins are coming off a home loss to Arizona State.

Flying Under The Radar – Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS)

The Cowboys are sitting at the top of the BIG12 Conference with a 5-0 record, coming off back to back wins over Kansas State and Texas. They still don’t get a lot of respect, coming into this week’s game at West Virginia as a seven point dog. Quarterback Mason Rudolph threw for a season high 437 yards with three TDs in the win over Kansas State, and he should get some help with a couple of key players returning to the lineup this week. Junior running backs Chris Carson and Rennie Childs didn’t play last week against the Wildcats, and they were missed, as the Cowboys ran for only 49 yards. They are both ready to return for this week’s game at Morgantown.


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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

SERVICE BIO

WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

Career Highlights:

- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)

- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)

- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.

Signature Plays:

AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.

HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available