Schule’s NCAAF Weekly Power Rankings Review – Week 9

October 28th, 2015

Have you ever noticed that all the major polls look basically the same? Whether it’s USA Today, ESPN or the Associated Press, you won’t see any dramatic differences in where they have teams ranked. When it comes to Power Rankings, professional handicapper Jesse Schule has proven to be ahead of the curve. Since the 2011 football season he’s been going against the grain, and more often than not he’s 2-3 steps ahead of the other guys. His weekly NCAAF Power Rankings are published at Covers.com on Mondays, and every Tuesday he will review the teams that he believes are overrated, underrated, or flying under the radar.

Most Overrated Team – Houston Cougars (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS)

The Cougars are having their way with the minnows of their conference, but let’s face it, their schedule is a bit of a joke. Last week they cruised to 59-10 win over Central Florida, a team that is now 0-7 on the season. It wasn’t their first win against a team with a losing record, in fact all seven of Houston’s wins have come against teams that are currently below .500. They are 4-0 against AAC teams, but those four opponents have a combined conference record of 1-13. They gave up a combined 52 points in their wins over SMU and Tulsa, who are both 0-3 in conference play. Their schedule will get a whole lot tougher real quick, facing Vanderbilt, Cincinnati and Memphis over the next three weeks. I wouldn’t be at all surprised if they drop at least two of those three games.

Most Underrated Team – Memphis Tigers (7-0 SU, 4-2-1 ATS)

The Tigers are one of three undefeated teams in the AAC, but unlike Houston, Memphis has actually played a handful of quality opponents. Their most impressive victory came at home against the Ole Miss Rebels by a score of 37-24. The Tigers junior quarterback Paxton Lynch has been shredding opposing defenses, throwing for 2366 yards with 17 TDs and just a single interception so far. Memphis boasts the nation’s #3 ranked scoring offense, averaging 48 points per game. While I don’t consider Temple and Houston legitimate playoff contenders, I think this Memphis team has a shot to run the table, forcing the committee to make a tough decision on an undefeated AAC team with a respectable schedule.

Flying Under The Radar – Pittsburgh Panthers (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS)

The Panthers sit in first place in the ACC Coastal with a 6-1 overall record and a conference mark of 4-0. Their only defeat came by just a three point margin on the road at Iowa, against a Hawkeyes team that remains undefeated at 7-0. The bookmakers don’t appear to be impressed with Pittsburgh’s 6-1 record, as they are listed a three-point dog at home to North Carolina on Thursday night. Both teams are 6-1 overall, and they have played several common opponents with similar results. The one thing that stands out to me though is that Pittsburgh has played five of it’s seven games on the road, while North Carolina has played six of it’s seven games at home.

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Jesse Schule

This GRIDIRON GURU is a BIG GAME SPECIALIST, as evidenced by going a PERFECT 5-0 in SB LII. When we asked Jesse what he has planned for the NFL in 2021, he told us that: "HISTORY REPEATS"

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Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Bills vs Titans	Bills -5½ -110	Premium	31-34	Loss	-110	Show
This is a 5* play on Buffalo. The Bills have won five straight, and they come into Tennessee as a sizeable favorite. While some might think this is a let down spot after their win in Kansas City, I see this as a classic revenge game. Buffalo lost 42-16 at Tennessee last season, and they are in an ideal spot to avenge that loss on Monday night. The Titans defense has really struggled, especially against the pass. Josh Allen shredded the Chiefs defense for 315 yards and three TDs, and I expect him to do the same here against the Bills. The Titans will try to turn the game into a shootout, but that's not going to be easy versus the Bills #1 ranked scoring defense. GL, Jesse Schule
Astros vs Red Sox	OVER 9 +102	Premium	3-12	Win	102	Show
This is an 8* play on Over. The first two games of this series went over the total, and with the series shifting to Fenway we could see another slugfest. Eduardo Rodriguez will toe the slab for Boston, and his recent starts don't inspire a lot of confidence. He allowed four runs on five hits and two walks in 6 2/3 innings in two games in the series versus Tampa. He's 0-1 with an 11.57 ERA in two starts versus Houston this season. The Astros hand the ball to Jose Urquidy, who hasn't pitched in over two weeks. Talk about getting thrown in to the fire. The over is 10-1-1 in the Red Sox last 12 League Championship home games. GL, Jesse Schule
Ducks vs Flames	Flames -183	Premium	3-2	Loss	-183	Show
This is a 5* play on Calgary. The Ducks are 1-1 after playing their first two games of rthe season at home, now they head out on the road where they will play Calgary on Monday. Anaheim finished dead last in the West last year, and this is basically the same group of players. The Ducks are 1-4 in the last five meetings in Calgary, and the home team is 59-21 in the last 80 meetings. The price isn't cheap, but this is a good spot to back the home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule

Service	Profit
Art Aronson	$627
Matt Fargo	$592
Scott Rickenbach	$586
Alex Smart	$396
Tim Michael	$330
Ray Monohan	$300
Ricky Tran	$266
Ben Burns	$259
Marc David	$196
Kyle Hunter	$180

Schule’s NCAAF Weekly Power Rankings Review – Week 9

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