Schule’s NFL Total of the Year – Panthers vs. Saints December 6, 2015
This is a 11* play on CAR@NO to go OVER the total.
The Panthers are 12-0, and the hype machine is really going in full swing now. They come into New Orleans this week as a big favorite, and I think the Saints could give them a run for their money. Carolina crushed Dallas on Thanksgiving Day, but that game started with Tony Romo throwing a pick-six on the opening drive, and he ended up throwing three interceptions before leaving the game with a season ending injury.
It wouldn’t be a surprise to see Carolina suffer a let down this week, after having last week’s game gift-wrapped courtesy of the Cowboys injured quarterback. Winning on the road isn’t easy, even for a team that is 5-0 away from home. Keep in mind that their road wins include a handful of games against the league’s bottom feeders. The Cowboys, Jags, Bucs and Titans all have losing records, and the only decent team they faced on the road was Seattle, and they had to rally to win that game late by a score of 27-23.
The Saints aren’t exactly a powerhouse either though, with a record of 4-7. Three of those four wins have come at home though, and the two games they lost at home were both close. Drew Brees is still one of the league’s top quarterbacks, with 3200 yards and 20 TDs on the season. Throughout his career he has a history of playing his best football at home in the dome, and that’s been the case again this year. He’s thrown 14 of his 20 TD passes at home, and he’s only been picked off four times in those five games.
He’s going to have to have a big game here against the Panthers, because Carolina will surely score it’s share of points. Only the Giants rank worse against the pass than the Saints, who are allowing opponents to average 284 passing yards per game. The Panthers defense looks great statistically, but they’ve only faced two truly elite quarterbacks this season, and there were torched for a combined 55 points in those games. Andrew Luck rallied the Colts to come back and force overtime in a 29-26 loss at Carolina, and Aaron Rodgers threw for 369 yards and four TDs in the Packers 37-29 loss.
The Saints are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games versus a team with a winning road record, and the majority of those games have seen plenty of points. The Panthers have seen the total go over in 10 of their last 13 road games. History suggests we will see a high scoring game.
Take OVER.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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This is and 8* play on [email protected] to go Over the total.
The money is pouring in on Houston as it appears the Yankees are doomed here in the ALCS. This is going to be a tough game for the Yankees to compete in, especially if they get down in the early innings.
James Paxton will toe the slab for the Bronx Bombers, and he hasn't looked like he's 100 percent in the post-season. Paxton has allowed four runs on nine hits (two home runs) and three walks in just seven innings pitched in the playoffs. He was 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA against Houston during the regular season.
The Astros hand the ball to Justin Verlander, who was sharp in Game 2 but had previously been rocked on the road in Tampa. He's got great numbers against the Yankees in his career though.
The Astros are 4-0 in Verlander's last four starts versus the Yankees, and the over is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings in New York.
Take Over.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.
The Wildcats are 1-4, but they might be a lot better off if they could score any points. Their defense has kept them in a lot of games, but their offense simply hasn't been able to get any points on the board. They are a huge underdog at home versus Ohio State on Friday, but they are coming off their bye week and they have covered the spread in back to back games. They held Wisconsin and Nebraska to a combined 37 points, and both games fell well short of the total. The under is 42-14-1 in Wildcats last 57 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine conference games.
Take Under.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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