Seahawks vs. Cardinals NFL Betting Previews 10/23/16
Seattle Seahawks (4-1) vs. Arizona Cardinals (3-3) - NFL Betting Previews for October 23, 2016.
Line/Odds: Arizona -1 (5dimes)
Total: 43.5
Time: 8:30 pm ET
Location: U of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ.
Television Broadcast: NBC
Betting Preview
Seattle has won three straight games and scored at least 26 points in each since scoring just 15 points total in their first two games. Their defense gave up 24 points in their win last week which was the most they have given up all year. Considering it was against Atlanta the number one scoring team in the league who average over 33 points a game it wasn’t a bad performance. They hadn’t given up more than 18 points until last week. They are ranked first in the NFL in total defense and third in points allowed (15.6).
Arizona finally got their offense going in winning their last two games. They outscored their two opponents 61-24 since being held to 31 points total in the two previous weeks when they lost both of those games. Their defense has played well and they allowed more than 21 points in a game just once but quarterback Carson Palmer threw four interceptions and had a fumble returned for a TD. Their defense is ranked sixth in points allowed (17.6). The oddsmakers have made Arizona a slight one point favorite and set the total at 43.5.
According to Covers.com consensus Analysis the public is split with 52% backing Arizona and 50% on either side of the total. In their last 10 meetings the totals have been split as well with five games going over and five games going under.
Previous Meetings
01/03/16: Seahawks 36 @ Cardinals 6
11/15/15: Cardinals 39 @ Seahawks 32
12/21/14: Seahawks 35 @ Cardinals 26
Trends
- The over is 10-2 in their last 12 meetings in Arizona
- The Seahawks have covered the spread in five of their last seven meetings
- The Cardinals haven’t covered the spread in eight of their last 11 home games
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This is a free play on Over 2.5.
After Bremen and Heidenheimer played a scoreless draw in the first leg of this relegation/promotion playoff, perhaps we see a bit of recency bias at play in the second leg. The total is taking back plus money betting the over 2.5, which seems like a bargain in a match that could be decided on away goals. While neither team scored in the fist leg, the previous two head to head meetings saw a combined eight goals. Bremen scored six goals the last time they were faced with a must win game, and I very much doubt they will be held off the score sheet in this match.
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