Seahawks vs. Falcons Betting Preview 01/14/17 – Divisional Round

Seattle Seahawks (10-5-1) vs. Atlanta Falcons (11-5) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Atlanta -5 (5dimes)
Total: 51.5
Time: 4:35 pm ET
Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA.
Television Broadcast: FOX
Betting Preview
This game features one of the league’s best defenses against one of the best offenses.
Seattle who is ranked fifth in the league in total defense and third in points allowed (18.3 points per game) shut down the Lions last week 26-6. It was the 10th game this season they held an opponent below 20 points in a game.
The Seahawks’ offense that was inconsistent at times was led by quarterback Russell Wilson who passed for over 4200 yards and threw 21 touchdowns. They averaged 22.1 points a game but were held to 20 points or less in six games which resulted in four losses. They also scored over 30 points in five games winning four of those. They will need their defense to play well as they will be up against the league’s best offense.
Atlanta is ranked second in total offense and first in scoring (33.8 points a game) as they are led by quarterback Matt Ryan who passed for over 4900 yards and threw 38 touchdowns. They have a very balanced offense that is ranked third in passing and fifth in rushing which helped them win five of their last six games while scoring at least 33 points in all five wins.
The Falcons’ defense is only ranked 25th in the league and they gave up over 25 points a game on average.
The oddsmakers have made the Falcons a five point favorite and set the total at 51.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 52% of the public feel Atlanta’s offense can handle the spread and are backing the Falcons while 57% think there will be plenty of scoring and are behind the over.
The total has gone over in seven of the last 10 meetings between these teams.
Previous Meetings
10/16/16: Falcons 24 @ Seahawks 26
11/10/13: Seahawks 33 @ Falcons 10
01/13/13: Seahawks 28 @ Falcons 30
Trends
- The over is 5-1 in their last six meetings
- The road team has covered the spread in four of their last five meeting
- The underdog has covered the spread in seven of their last 10 meetings
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Free picks
This is a free play on Seattle +1.5.
The Mariners come into this series versus Houston as winners of five of their last six overall, and they look good as an underdog in Game 2.
Chris Flexen will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's off to a good start this season. The right-hander tossed five scoreless innings in a home win over the Giants in his season debut.
The Astros hand the ball to Zack Greinke, who is coming off an ugly loss. Greinke (1-1, 4.08 ERA) allowed six runs on 10 hits over 4 2/3 innings in a home loss to Detroit.
Kyle Seager is batting .462 lifetime versus Greinke.
GL,
Jesse Schule
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Magic vs Raptors | Raptors -130 | Premium | 102-113 | Win | 100 | Show |
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
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Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available