Seahawks vs. Falcons Betting Preview 01/14/17 – Divisional Round
Seattle Seahawks (10-5-1) vs. Atlanta Falcons (11-5) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Atlanta -5 (5dimes)
Total: 51.5
Time: 4:35 pm ET
Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA.
Television Broadcast: FOX
Betting Preview
This game features one of the league’s best defenses against one of the best offenses.
Seattle who is ranked fifth in the league in total defense and third in points allowed (18.3 points per game) shut down the Lions last week 26-6. It was the 10th game this season they held an opponent below 20 points in a game.
The Seahawks’ offense that was inconsistent at times was led by quarterback Russell Wilson who passed for over 4200 yards and threw 21 touchdowns. They averaged 22.1 points a game but were held to 20 points or less in six games which resulted in four losses. They also scored over 30 points in five games winning four of those. They will need their defense to play well as they will be up against the league’s best offense.
Atlanta is ranked second in total offense and first in scoring (33.8 points a game) as they are led by quarterback Matt Ryan who passed for over 4900 yards and threw 38 touchdowns. They have a very balanced offense that is ranked third in passing and fifth in rushing which helped them win five of their last six games while scoring at least 33 points in all five wins.
The Falcons’ defense is only ranked 25th in the league and they gave up over 25 points a game on average.
The oddsmakers have made the Falcons a five point favorite and set the total at 51.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 52% of the public feel Atlanta’s offense can handle the spread and are backing the Falcons while 57% think there will be plenty of scoring and are behind the over.
The total has gone over in seven of the last 10 meetings between these teams.
Previous Meetings
10/16/16: Falcons 24 @ Seahawks 26
11/10/13: Seahawks 33 @ Falcons 10
01/13/13: Seahawks 28 @ Falcons 30
Trends
- The over is 5-1 in their last six meetings
- The road team has covered the spread in four of their last five meeting
- The underdog has covered the spread in seven of their last 10 meetings
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Jesse Schule
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is a 5* play on Toronto +1.5.
The Rays finished first in the AL East, and they will be a big favorite in Game 1 against the Jays.
Matt Shoemaker will toe the slab for the Jays, and the Rays haven't had much success against him. Tampa is batting a combined .157 over 86 at bats in previous meetings.
The Rays hand the ball to Blake Snell, who is still one of the best in the business. He's just 2-2 with a 3,42 ERA in his last five starts.
Tampa has won six of the last 10 head to head meetings, but only two of those six wins came by more than one run.
Take TOR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 5* play on the Oakland A's. +1.5.
Both Chicago and Oakland have been impressive this season, but I think home field will be key in Game 1 of this series.
Jesus Luzardo will toe the slab for the A's, and he's been brilliant at home. The 22 year old was 3-1 with a 2.40 ERA in eight appearances at home this season.
The White Sox hand the ball to their ace, and Lucas Giolito has had a fine season. The A's are batting a combined .338 over 48 bats against Giolito in previous meetings.
The Athletics are 8-1 in their last nine games as a home underdog.
Take OAK.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 5* play on the Astros +1.5.
It's easy to cheer against Houston, branded cheaters after the sign stealing fiasco. The Astros are the underdog in Game 1 at Minnesota with Zack Greinke on the mound, and I just can't count them out. The Astros are 57-20 in their last 77 during game 1 of a series, and they are 40-11 in their last 51 games following an off day. The Twins are 3-23 in their last 26 playoff games, and they have lost 11 straight playoff games at home. "Greinke is as tough as they come," Minnesota manager Rocco Baldelli said. "Tremendously talented guy. Can do some really funny things with the baseball and play tricks on people in ways you normally don't see on a major league baseball field."
Take HOU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
Top Cappers L7 Days
| Service | Profit |
|---|---|
| Alex Smart | $786 |
| Trev Rogers | $783 |
| Steve Janus | $747 |
| Chip Chirimbes | $546 |
| Doc's Sports | $486 |
| Dave Price | $407 |
| Scott Rickenbach | $392 |
| Ben Burns | $290 |
| Mike Lundin | $243 |
| Marc David | $211 |
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