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SMU Mustangs vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane Betting Preview October 7, 2016

October 6th, 2016

SMU Mustangs (2-3) vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-1) Preview


Spread:  Tulsa -17 (5dimes)
Total: 64.5
Kickoff: 8:00 pm ET
Location: Chapman Stadium, Tulsa OK.
Television Broadcast: ESPN

Preview

The Golden Hurricane are asked to cover a big number at home versus SMU, coming off a taxing double-overtime win at Fresno State. They allowed the Bulldogs to score 31 unanswered points in the first half, but stormed all the way back to take a 35-34 lead early in the fourth quarter. Senior quarterback Dane Evans ran for 18 yards on the game winning touchdown in the second overtime. He had a big game, throwing for 273 yards and four touchdowns. While the offense is flying high for the Hurricane, the defense looks suspect. Tulsa ranks 83rd nationally allowing over 30 points per game. The Mustangs are coming off back to back losses, scoring a total of just 23 points in those games. SMU has one of the worst ranked offenses in the country, ranking 115th nationally scoring just over 20 points per game. Tulsa has won three of the last four meetings in this series, but the last three games were all decided by 10 points or less. The underdog has cashed a winning ticket nine times in the last 11 meetings, but that hasn’t discouraged bettors from backing Tulsa as a big home favorite. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis, 6o percent of bettors are backing Tulsa.

Previous Meetings

10/31/15: Golden Hurricane 40 @ Mustangs 31
11/08/14: Mustangs 28 @ Golden Hurricane 38
11/24/12: Golden Hurricane 27 @ Mustangs 35
 

Trends

  • The Mustangs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven versus the AAC.
  • The Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last five at Tulsa.
  • The under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

SERVICE BIO

WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

Career Highlights:

- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)

- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)

- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.

Signature Plays:

AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.

HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available