South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview – September 1, 2016
South Carolina (0-0) vs. Vanderbilt (0-0) Game Preview
Spread: Vanderbilt -3.5 (5dimes)
Total: 42.5
Kickoff: 8:00 pm ET
Location: Vanderbilt Stadium, Nashville, TN
Television Broadcast: ESPN
PREVIEW: The Commodores opened as a 2-point home favorite, but public money has since moved the line to -3.5. The total has moved even more, opening at 46.5, and since bet down four points. Bettors are expecting a low scoring game, with both these teams considered to be a little stronger defensively than they are on offense. The Gamecocks will have as many as seven first time starters, six of those on offense. Vanderbilt’s biggest weakness is on the offensive line, and that might prevent the Commodores from taking advantage of a suspect South Carolina secondary.
VANDERBILT PLAY TO WATCH: Ralph Webb ran for 58 yards on 16 carries when the Commodores lost 19-10 at Columbia last season. He really came on at the end of the year, running for 459 yards in the last four weeks. He could put up decent numbers here at home in Week 1.
SOUTH CAROLINA PLAYER TO WATCH: With a freshman quarterback and a lack of depth at wide receiver, the Gamecocks will have to lean heavily on their running game. Expect junior tailback David Williams to get plenty of touches, and coach Will Muschamp thinks he’ll be equal to the task. Muschamp has said that he believes Williams has potential to be one of the top backs in the SEC.
Previous Meetings:
10/17/15: Vanderbilt 10 @ South Carolina 19
09/20/14: South Carolina 48 @ Vanderbilt 34
09/14/13 Vanderbilt 25 @ South Carolina 35
Trends:
– The under is 6-0-1 in Vanderbilt’s last seven home games.
– South Carolina is 3-8 ATS in it’s last 11 games in September.
– Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in it’s last six games in September.
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 10-0 start to NFL Season (2022)
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- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 1-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.5 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to five percent of a player's bankroll.
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AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
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