Steelers vs. Chiefs Betting Preview 01/15/17 – NFL Odds & TV
Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (12-4) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Pittsburgh -1.5 (5dimes)
Total: 44
Time: 8:20 pm ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City MO.
Television Broadcast: NBC
Betting Preview
The Steelers have won eight straight games and have scored at least 24 points in each game. It is a huge turnaround from a team that had just lost their fourth straight game and was sitting with a 4-5 record after Week 10. That is when everything started to work for them.
The defense held six of their last eight opponents to 20 points or less scoring while on offense running back Le’Veon Bell ran for at least 118 yards in 6 of the seven games he played and quarterback Ben Roethlisberger threw 11 of his 29 touchdown passes in those same seven games. They both sat out the last game of the season against Cleveland. In their first meeting this year with the Chiefs, Big Ben threw five touchdowns without an interception and Bell rushed for 144 yards in a 43-14 victory.
The Chiefs have also played good football winning 10 of their last 12 games since being destroyed by Pittsburgh. They scored 70 points total in their last two wins which were the most points they scored in back to back games all year. They weren’t overpowering on either side of the ball but won a bunch of close games. They had a total of six wins by six points or less and were extremely tough at home where they were 6-2 and held seven of eight teams they played to 21 points or less in Kansas City.
The oddsmakers opened this game with the Chiefs as a two point favorite but now the Steelers are a 1.5 point favorite as money has come in on Pittsburgh. The total opened at 46.5 but has since been bet down to 44. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 53% of the public are still behind Pittsburgh while 53% like the offenses and are backing the over.
The home team has won eight of the last 10 meetings between these teams.
Previous Meetings
10/02/16: Chiefs 14 @ Steelers 43
10/25/15: Steelers 13 @ Chiefs 23
12/21/14: Chiefs 12 @ Steelers 20
Trends
- The under is 4-1 in their last five meetings
- The Chiefs have covered the spread in five of their last six games overall
- The home team has covered the spread in seven of their last eight meetings
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is a 5* play on Toronto +1.5.
The Rays finished first in the AL East, and they will be a big favorite in Game 1 against the Jays.
Matt Shoemaker will toe the slab for the Jays, and the Rays haven't had much success against him. Tampa is batting a combined .157 over 86 at bats in previous meetings.
The Rays hand the ball to Blake Snell, who is still one of the best in the business. He's just 2-2 with a 3,42 ERA in his last five starts.
Tampa has won six of the last 10 head to head meetings, but only two of those six wins came by more than one run.
Take TOR.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 5* play on the Oakland A's. +1.5.
Both Chicago and Oakland have been impressive this season, but I think home field will be key in Game 1 of this series.
Jesus Luzardo will toe the slab for the A's, and he's been brilliant at home. The 22 year old was 3-1 with a 2.40 ERA in eight appearances at home this season.
The White Sox hand the ball to their ace, and Lucas Giolito has had a fine season. The A's are batting a combined .338 over 48 bats against Giolito in previous meetings.
The Athletics are 8-1 in their last nine games as a home underdog.
Take OAK.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 5* play on the Astros +1.5.
It's easy to cheer against Houston, branded cheaters after the sign stealing fiasco. The Astros are the underdog in Game 1 at Minnesota with Zack Greinke on the mound, and I just can't count them out. The Astros are 57-20 in their last 77 during game 1 of a series, and they are 40-11 in their last 51 games following an off day. The Twins are 3-23 in their last 26 playoff games, and they have lost 11 straight playoff games at home. "Greinke is as tough as they come," Minnesota manager Rocco Baldelli said. "Tremendously talented guy. Can do some really funny things with the baseball and play tricks on people in ways you normally don't see on a major league baseball field."
Take HOU.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
Top Cappers L7 Days
| Service | Profit |
|---|---|
| Alex Smart | $786 |
| Trev Rogers | $783 |
| Steve Janus | $747 |
| Chip Chirimbes | $546 |
| Doc's Sports | $486 |
| Dave Price | $407 |
| Scott Rickenbach | $392 |
| Ben Burns | $290 |
| Mike Lundin | $243 |
| Marc David | $211 |
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