Steelers vs. Colts Betting Preview 11/24/16 – Thanksgiving Day Odds
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5) vs. Indianapolis Colts (5-5) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Pittsburgh -3 (-7) (5dimes)
Total: 50.5
Time: 8:30 pm ET
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN.
Television Broadcast: NBC
Steelers vs. Colts Betting Preview
The Steelers broke a four game losing streak when they beat the hapless Browns last week 24-9. It was Pittsburgh’s first win since Big Ben’s return three weeks ago. He sat out one game against the Patriots and had lost the first two games he played in when he returned. Pittsburgh had been held to 16 points or less in three straight losses and even though they scored 30 points in their game against the Cowboys, they couldn’t hold down Dallas who scored 35 in their game before finally beating Cleveland.
The Colts won two straight games for the first time this year and now have won three of their last four. The Colts have averaged 29.5 points in their last four wins led by quarterback Andrew Luck who has thrown for over 2800 yards and 19 touchdowns while being ranked fifth in the league.
The oddsmakers opened the game with Pittsburgh as a three point favorite and the total at 53. With quarterback Andrew Luck’s status uncertain because of concussion protocols, a number of sites have moved the line and made Pittsburgh a seven point favorite and dropped the total to 50.
According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis an overwhelming 71% of the public are banking on Luck being out this week and are backing the Steelers while 60% feel that even without Luck the total will go over.
Pittsburgh has won eight of the last 10 meetings between these teams with the total going over in the last four.
Previous Meetings
12/06/15: Colts 10 @ Steelers 45
10/26/14: Colts 34 @ Steelers 51
09/25/11: Steelers 23 @ Colts 20
Trends
- The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings
- The home team has covered the spread in five of the last seven meetings
- The over is 8-3 in the Colts last 11 games overall
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is an 8* play on Toronto.
The Wizards open the season north of the border in Toronto, and this looks like a tough matchup for the visitors. The Raptors are a much younger team, with veterans Kyle Lowry, Serge Ibaka, Marc Gasol, and Norm Powell all moved on. Fred Van Fleet, Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby sre still in the starting lineup, along with veteran Goran Drajic who came over from Miami. The Wizards were winless in the pre-season, including a loss to Toronto. The interesting thing about the Raptors win over Washington was that the Raptors starters did not play against Bradley Beal, KCP, Kyle Kuzma and Spencer Dinwiddie. Toronto is 9-1 straight up in their last 10 versus the Wizards, and this is a big game in a home opener after they played last season's home games in Tampa.
GL,
Jesse Schule
5*
This is an 8* play on Over.
Game 5 will feature the same pitching matchup as Game 1, and here is what I said prior to that game:
"Chris Sale will toe the slab for Boston, and he hasn't been himself since his return from injury. He was lit up for five runs in just one inning in his only appearance in the ALDS versus Tampa Bay. The Astros hand the ball to Framber Valdez, who was 2-0 with a 1.26 ERA in two starts versus Boston this season."
The over is 18-6-2 in Red Sox last 26 playoff home games.
GL,
Jesse Schule
5*
This is a 5* play on MUTD.
Manchester United lost 4-2 at Leicester in their first Premier League game coming out of the international break, but they look good in a home game in the Champions League versus Atalanta. The Italian side has scored 11 goals while conceding seven in their last five matches in all competitions, and they have scored three goals in two Champions League matches. Manchester United hasn't posted a clean sheet in any of their last eight matches, but they do have the all time leading scorer in Champions League history. I like the Red Devils to win a high scoring contest.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
Top Cappers L7 Days
| Service | Profit |
|---|---|
| Matt Fargo | $1,022 |
| Art Aronson | $495 |
| Ricky Tran | $474 |
| Alex Smart | $354 |
| Stephen Nover | $345 |
| Ray Monohan | $310 |
| Marc David | $306 |
| Tim Michael | $304 |
| Jimmy Boyd | $297 |
| Scott Rickenbach | $271 |
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