Steelers vs. Colts Betting Preview 11/24/16 – Thanksgiving Day Odds
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5) vs. Indianapolis Colts (5-5) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Pittsburgh -3 (-7) (5dimes)
Total: 50.5
Time: 8:30 pm ET
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN.
Television Broadcast: NBC
Steelers vs. Colts Betting Preview
The Steelers broke a four game losing streak when they beat the hapless Browns last week 24-9. It was Pittsburgh’s first win since Big Ben’s return three weeks ago. He sat out one game against the Patriots and had lost the first two games he played in when he returned. Pittsburgh had been held to 16 points or less in three straight losses and even though they scored 30 points in their game against the Cowboys, they couldn’t hold down Dallas who scored 35 in their game before finally beating Cleveland.
The Colts won two straight games for the first time this year and now have won three of their last four. The Colts have averaged 29.5 points in their last four wins led by quarterback Andrew Luck who has thrown for over 2800 yards and 19 touchdowns while being ranked fifth in the league.
The oddsmakers opened the game with Pittsburgh as a three point favorite and the total at 53. With quarterback Andrew Luck’s status uncertain because of concussion protocols, a number of sites have moved the line and made Pittsburgh a seven point favorite and dropped the total to 50.
According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis an overwhelming 71% of the public are banking on Luck being out this week and are backing the Steelers while 60% feel that even without Luck the total will go over.
Pittsburgh has won eight of the last 10 meetings between these teams with the total going over in the last four.
Previous Meetings
12/06/15: Colts 10 @ Steelers 45
10/26/14: Colts 34 @ Steelers 51
09/25/11: Steelers 23 @ Colts 20
Trends
- The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings
- The home team has covered the spread in five of the last seven meetings
- The over is 8-3 in the Colts last 11 games overall
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Free picks
This is a free play on over.
The Mariners won two of three in a home series versus Houston, and they have been better than expected so far this season. They come into Game 1 of a home series versus the Dodgers sitting in first place in the AL West.
The Dodgers hand the ball to Dustin May, who is coming off a no decision versus Colorado. He's been solid in both his appearances this season, but wasn't able to pitch the full five innings to qualify for a win in his last start.
The Mariners hand the ball to Justus Sheffield, who hasn't been that impressive so far. He's allowed eight runs on 11 hits in 11 innings of work in two appearances.
The over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings, and they have gone over in six of the last seven at Seattle.
GL,
Jesse Schule
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is an 8* play in under.
The White Sox have won two of three in this series at Fenway, and two of those three games went under. I expect another pitcher's duel in the series finale on Monday.
Lucas Giolito will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's coming off a flawless performance. He tossed seven scoreless innings, striking out eight in a no decision versus Cleveland his last time out.
The Red Sox hand the ball to Nathan Eovaldi, who is also having an outstanding season so far. Eovaldi (2-1, 2.08 ERA) allowed two runs on five hits in five innings in a 3-2 win at Minnesota his last time out.
The under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Boston.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
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- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
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- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
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