Steelers vs. Colts Betting Preview 11/24/16 – Thanksgiving Day Odds
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5) vs. Indianapolis Colts (5-5) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Pittsburgh -3 (-7) (5dimes)
Total: 50.5
Time: 8:30 pm ET
Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN.
Television Broadcast: NBC
Steelers vs. Colts Betting Preview
The Steelers broke a four game losing streak when they beat the hapless Browns last week 24-9. It was Pittsburgh’s first win since Big Ben’s return three weeks ago. He sat out one game against the Patriots and had lost the first two games he played in when he returned. Pittsburgh had been held to 16 points or less in three straight losses and even though they scored 30 points in their game against the Cowboys, they couldn’t hold down Dallas who scored 35 in their game before finally beating Cleveland.
The Colts won two straight games for the first time this year and now have won three of their last four. The Colts have averaged 29.5 points in their last four wins led by quarterback Andrew Luck who has thrown for over 2800 yards and 19 touchdowns while being ranked fifth in the league.
The oddsmakers opened the game with Pittsburgh as a three point favorite and the total at 53. With quarterback Andrew Luck’s status uncertain because of concussion protocols, a number of sites have moved the line and made Pittsburgh a seven point favorite and dropped the total to 50.
According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis an overwhelming 71% of the public are banking on Luck being out this week and are backing the Steelers while 60% feel that even without Luck the total will go over.
Pittsburgh has won eight of the last 10 meetings between these teams with the total going over in the last four.
Previous Meetings
12/06/15: Colts 10 @ Steelers 45
10/26/14: Colts 34 @ Steelers 51
09/25/11: Steelers 23 @ Colts 20
Trends
- The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings
- The home team has covered the spread in five of the last seven meetings
- The over is 8-3 in the Colts last 11 games overall
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This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go under the total.
The Warriors haven't been as dominant this season as they have been in recent years, and they come into Denver trailing the Nuggets by a half game for top spot in the West. Denver has been successful thanks to their 4th best defense that allows just 105.5 points per game. History tells us that these teams have played strong defense in past meetings. Three of the last four head to head meetings have gone under the total. Given that the winner of this game will take over first place in the Western Conference Standings, we could see a game with a playoff atmosphere. The under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 home games versus teams with a winning road record. I think tonight's total looks a little high.
Take Under.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is an 8* play on Over 139.5.
The Boilermakers are coming off an 84-80 win over Wisconsin, and high scoring games have been the norm for Purdue this year. They have gone over in six of their last eight overall, and the over is 5-1 in their last 6 home games versus teams with a losing road record. They have scored 79.4 points per game in their last five overall, but they have also conceded more than 70 points per game during that span. They scored exactly 82 points in each of their last two home games against Rutgers. The over is 6-1 in the Scarlet Knights last seven versus the Big Ten. Purdue won the last meeting 82-75, and I expect a similar score tonight.
Take Over.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.
The Anaheim Ducks have lost 11 straight overall, and they come into the Motor City as a desperate hockey club. They are still in the hunt, just two points out of a playoff spot, so there's no reason to expect them to give up on the season just yet. Offense has been hard to come by for the Ducks, ranking 30th in the NHL in scoring. Goals have been hard to come by for Detroit as well, and that's especially true in previous meetings with the Ducks. Anaheim is 3-1 in the last four meetings, and Detroit has only scored six goals in those games. Three of the four games went under the total. The under is 8-3-2 in the Ducks last 13 overall, and 34-15-2 in their last 51 road games.
Take Under.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
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Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
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AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
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