Steelers vs. Patriots Betting Preview 01/22/17 – AFC Title Game
Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5) vs. New England Patriots (14-2) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Patriots -6 (5dimes)
Total: 50
Time: 6:40 pm ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro MA.
Television Broadcast: CBS
Betting Preview
Both Pittsburgh and New England have a chance to set the NFL record for the most trips to a Super Bowl when the winner of this game makes their ninth appearance for that game.
The Steelers have won nine straight games despite the fact that Big Ben hasn’t passed for 300 yards in eight straight games or has thrown just 11 touchdowns and nine interceptions over that period. Running back Le’Veon Bell has stepped up and has run for at least 118 yards in seven of his last eight games while scoring six touchdowns. In Pittsburgh’s last two games which were playoff games, he ran for 167 yards against Miami in the Wild Card game and then last week in the Division Playoff ran for 170 yards against the Chiefs. Their defense has also stepped up during their winning streak, averaging just 16.6 points allowed while sacking the opposing quarterback 31 times.
The Patriots are led by quarterback Tom Brady who threw 28 touchdown passes with just two interceptions this season, They will now be appearing in their record setting sixth straight Conference Championship game and they have won eight straight games themselves. Their defense led the league in points allowed (15.6 points a game). Brady has had a lot of success against Pittsburgh as he owns a 9-2 record against them while throwing 19 touchdowns and no interceptions in his last six meetings with the Steelers. Couple that along with the Patriots 16-3 home record in the playoffs, and Pittsburgh will have to be at their best in order to win the game.
The oddsmakers have made New England a six point favorite and set the total at 50. according to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 55% of the public like the Steelers as an underdog while 52% think scoring won’t be a problem and are behind the over.
In their first meeting around Thanksgiving, the Patriots won that game 27-16.
Previous Meetings
10/23/16: Patriots 27 @ Steelers 16
09/10/15: Steelers 21 @ Patriots 28
11/03/13: Steelers 31 @ Patriots 55
Trends
- The underdog has covered the spread in 10 of their last 14 meetings
- The over is 5-0 in the Patriots last five playoff home games
- The Steelers have covered the spread in seven of their last nine games overall
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The Eagles offense ranked 28th in the NFL in passing last season, averaging just 207.9 yards per game. They come into 2021 hoping that Jalen Hurts can bring their offense back to life, but that sure seems like a long-shot. I can remember Hurts as the same quarterback that lost his job as the starter for Alabama. Last season he completed just 52% of his passes for 1,061 yards with six TDs and four INTs while appearing in 15 games. He isn't exactly surrounded by an all star receiving corps and the Eagles don't exactly have the most dynamic stable of running backs either. The Falcons will be the favorite when they host Philly in Week 1, but this team might not be as explosive as it once was. Matt Ryan is now 36 years old, and Atlanta was just 4-12 in 2020. These two teams have gone under in five straight head to head meetings, and they failed to score 40 combined points in three of the last four meetings. This number appears to be a little inflated.
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
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