Texans vs. Patriots Betting Preview 01/14/17 – Divisional Round

Betting Preview

The last time Houston played at New England they were shut out 27-0 without Tom Brady and now they have to do it again but this time with Brady at quarterback.

The Texans got here with the top ranked defense in the NFL which helped them win four of their last five games as they held the four teams they beat to 20 points or less. They defeated the Raiders last week in the Wildcard Playoff 27-14 while holding them to 203 total yards in the game.

Houston’s offense has struggled all year especially at quarterback and Brock Osweiler who was benched in week 15 because of poor play will be starting. He finished the season with 15 touchdown passes and 16 interceptions while the team is ranked 29th in total offense and 28th in scoring (17.4 points a game). They were 2-6 on the road and were held to 20 points or less in the six losses.

The Patriots won their last seven games in a row, with six of the wins by double digits as well as holding six opponents to 17 points or less scoring. Their offense is led by Tom Brady who despite missing the first four games of the year, still threw 28 touchdown passes and passed for over 3500 yards.New England was ranked third in points scored (27.6 points a game) and fourth in passing yards (296 yards a game). Their defense was ranked third against the rush and they led the league allowing just 15.6 points a game.

The oddsmakers have made the Patriots a huge 15.5 point favorite while setting the total at 44.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 58% of the public believe this game will be a blowout and are behind New England while 58% think the offenses will overshadow the defenses and are backing the over.

The Patriots have won all four meetings with Houston at home and also covered the spread in all four wins.

Previous Meetings

02/07/16: Texans 0 @ Patriots 27
11/11/12: Patriots 27 @ Texans 6
12/14/08: Patriots 34 @ Texans 31


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Jesse Schule

Jesse Schule

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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

Career Highlights:

- Perfect 10-0 start to NFL Season (2022)

- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)

- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)

- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)

- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)

- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 1-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.5 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to five percent of a player's bankroll.

Signature Plays:

AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.

HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available