Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State Betting Preview 11/12/16
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State Betting Preview
Texas Tech has lost four of their last five games and in all of the losses gave up over 40 points. In all five of their losses, that has been the story as the defense has given up an average of 54.2 points. It’s hard to believe the huge difference in performance between the offense and defense as their offense has the country’s top quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and is the fourth ranked scoring offense averaging over 46 points a game. Their porous defense is ranked 124th in points allowed giving up 42 a game and have actually given up over 65 points in two games.
The Cowboys are led by a pretty good quarterback of their own named Mason Rudolph who is ranked 7th in the nation. He leads a balanced offense that can run and pass while scoring over 40 points a game on average. In their current five game winning streak their defense did bend but didn’t break as four of their opponents scored 31 points or less.
The oddsmakers have the Cowboys as a 12.5 point favorite and a total sitting high at 89.5. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 60% like the Cowboys at home and are backing them while 59% believe that sky high total will be too hard to reach and are behind the under.
The Cowboys have won the last six meetings between these schools by double digits.
Previous Meetings
10/31/15: Oklahoma St 70 @ Texas Tech 53
09/25/14: Texas Tech 35 @ Oklahoma St 45
11/02/13: Oklahoma St 52 @ Texas Tech 34
Trends
- The over is 4-0 in their last four meetings.
- The road team has covered the spread in five of the last six meetings
- Texas Tech has failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven meetings
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PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is a 4* play on BUF.
The Dolphins scored 70 in a home win over Denver last Sunday, but that might set them up for a let down here on the road at Buffalo. Remember it was a game against Buffalo last season that when Tua took a hit that sent the team in a downward spiral for the rest of the season. That will give him something to think about. The Fish have lost six straight at Buffalo, and nine of their last 10 versus the Bills. Josh Allen threw for 304 yards and 4 TDs on 25-of-40 passing in a home win over Miami last year.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 4* play on CLE.
The Browns are 2-1, and they probably should have beaten Pittsburgh on Monday Night Football in Week 2. The loss of Nick Chubb is going to hurt, but Kareem Hunt looked good in last week's win over Tennessee. He should play a bigger role moving forward. The defense has held opponents to just six points in two home games. Baltimore comes in with several key injuries on offense, and the Ravens lost 13-3 at Cleveland last December. We expect a similar outcome here in this game.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 10-0 start to NFL Season (2022)
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 1-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.5 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to five percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
Top Cappers L7 Days
| Service | Profit |
|---|---|
| Dana Lane | $1,479 |
| Scott Rickenbach | $1,196 |
| Jeff Alexander | $840 |
| Jimmy Boyd | $728 |
| John Ryan | $654 |
| Dan Kaiser | $651 |
| Ricky Tran | $650 |
| Will Rogers | $496 |
| Rocky Atkinson | $321 |
| Nick Parsons | $314 |
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