Texas A&M vs. Alabama Against the Spread Preview 10/22/16

Against the Spread Preview

This matchup will tell us just how good these two undefeated teams really are. Alabama has been destroying their opponents winning six of their seven games by at least 19 points. The Aggies have won four of their six games by at least 11 points and both teams have beaten Arkansas and Tennessee who are both ranked in the top 20.

Alabama will be at home where they have won four games by an average of 37.5 points. The oddsmakers have made the Tide an 18.5 point favorite which is the largest spread against any SEC team they have played. They set the total at 58.5, despite the fact that the last three meetings saw more than 59 combined points.

It looks like bettors are tempted by an undefeated underdog getting all those points. According to Covers.com Consensus and Analysis 62% of the public are backing the Aggies. More than three quarters (76%) of the public feel that a shootout is inevitable and are backing the over. considering the Aggies average over 40 points a game and the Tide average over 45 points a game, it’s easy to see why.

It’s worth noting though that the Aggies have trended under on the road, failing to reach the total in seven straight away from College Station.

Previous Meetings

10/17/15: Alabama 41 @ Texas A&M 23
10/18/14: Texas A&M 0 @ Alabama 59
09/14/13: Alabama 49 @ Texas A&M 42

Trends

The under is 7-0 in Aggies last 7 games
Alabama is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall
Alabama is 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games


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