The Iceman’s Longshot Pick for the 2018 Heisman Trophy
The Iceman’s Longshot Pick for the 2018 Heisman Trophy
So I haven’t been as excited about a Heisman pick since I had Marcus Mariota back in 2014. That bet paid out at 7-1, not bad… but nothing compared to what I stand to win if I correctly predict this year’s winner.
So before I tell you who I like .. let’s look the favorites.
We have Bryce Love at 8-1, Jonathan Taylor at 7-1, Tua Tagovailoa at 8-1, and Jake Fromm at 12-1.
I can’t say anything negative about Bryce Love, as long as he stays healthy and Stanford is competitive, he should at least be in the conversation. The one thing I will say, is that if Christian McCaffrey couldn’t win a Heisman putting up those incredible numbers at Stanford, what makes anyone think Bryce Love can do it. The risk of injury is also a serious concern for a power running back that is expected to have a heavy workload. We saw Love play banged up last year, and that’s a concern for both Love and Taylor.
Tua Tagovailoa is perplexing to me… the guy comes in and throws a walkoff Hail Mary in the national championship game, and all of a sudden that makes him a Heisman favorite. He’s barely the favorite to start for Alabama, and Nick Saban isn’t exactly on my list of quarterback friendly coaches. He’s not looking for a Johnny Manziel type, he wants the reincarnation of AJ MacCarron.
Then there’s Jake Fromm, a solid SEC quarterback that is going to be starting against elite SEC defenses. If you’re going to pick a quarterback, you might want to consider a guy from the PAC12. You might have heard of Andrew Luck, Aaron Rodgers, Nick Foles, Marcus Mariota, Carson Palmer, Josh Rosen, Sam Darnold .. the list goes on.
It’s an offensive league and it’s very top heavy. This allows the starters on the top teams to put up the kind of numbers that you need to win a Heisman. There’s one name that just jumps off the page this year, and it’s Jake Browning of Washington at 33-1.
Two years ago he led all Power 5 quarterbacks with 43 TD passes. He’s coming into his senior year surrounded by the most talented group in the Chris Peterson era. The Huskies are ranked 6th overall, the favorites to win the PAC12. I think Browning is in a better spot than any of the previously mentioned “favorites”.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
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