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Updated NCAA Title Odds – Where Is The Value?

February 13th, 2017

The Gonzaga Bulldogs are the undisputed #1 ranked team in the country, boasting a 24-0 record, but they aren’t the favorite to win the title. The updated odds from the Westgate Casino in Las Vegas show that it’s Kentucky as the favorite, paying out just 6-1. UCLA, Duke, Kansas and Villanova are all paying less than 10-1 odds to win the tournament. Gonzaga might seem like a better bet paying out at 10-1, but anyone who’s watched the tournament in recent seasons knows that there’s a good reason why they call it “March Madness”.

When I look for value in the NCAA futures market, I start with the teams paying out at least 20-1. Anything less than that is simply not worth the risk in my opinion. Roughly half the teams in the Top 25 are paying out 20-1 or better, leaving us with plenty to look at. I have one team in mind that I believe has a far better chance than the rest. To find out who I’m picking to win this year’s tournament, simply signup to my newsletter at

Odds To Win The 2017 NCAA Tournament
Duke Blue Devils9-28-1
Kentucky Wildcats6-16
Kansas Jayhawks10-18
Villanova Wildcats8-18
Oregon Ducks20-112
North Carolina Tar Heels15-112
Michigan State Spartans12-150
Louisville Cardinals10-115
Virginia Cavaliers20-125
Arizona Wildcats20-112
Indiana Hoosiers20-160
Xavier Musketeers20-1200
Wisconsin Badgers30-115
Syracuse Orange80-1100
UCLA Bruins80-17
Purdue Boilermakers40-140
West Virginia Mountaineers30-125
Maryland Terrapins40-1100
Connecticut Huskies40-12000
Texas Longhorns60-11000
Gonzaga Bulldogs80-110
Iowa State Cyclones50-1100
Miami Hurricanes50-1300
California Golden Bears200-1300
Texas A&M Aggies80-1300
Baylor Bears80-125
Utah Utes80-1300
Butler Bulldogs80-150
Michigan Wolverines100-1200
Wichita State Shockers100-1100
Florida Gators100-130
Cincinnati Bearcats100-1100
Creighton Bluejays200-160
USC Trojans200-1200
Florida State Seminoles200-130
St. Mary’s Gaels200-180
Rhode Island Rams300-1300
NC State Wolfpack300-12000
Iowa Hawkeyes100-12000
Seton Hall Pirates50-1300
Oklahoma Sooners80-15000
Arizona State Sun Devils100-12000
Mississippi State Bulldogs100-11000
VCU Rams200-1300
Notre Dame Fighting Irish200-150
Georgetown Hoyas200-11000
Ohio State Buckeyes200-11000
Colorado Buffaloes200-11000
Dayton Flyers200-1200
San Diego State Aztecs200-11000
South Carolina Gamecocks200-1100
Vanderbilt Commodores200-1500
Tennessee Volunteers200-11000
Virginia Tech Hokies300-1500
Harvard Crimson200-11000
SMU Mustangs100-1100
Auburn Tigers300-12000
Oregon State Beavers300-19999
BYU Cougars300-11000
Clemson Tigers300-1300
Pittsburgh Panthers300-1300
Providence Friars300-12000
Texas Tech Red Raiders300-11000
Illinois Fighting Illini300-19999
Northwestern Wildcats300-1100
Nebraska Cornhuskers300-12000
Colorado State Rams300-19999
LSU Tigers300-19999
Ole Miss Rebels300-19999
Georgia Bulldogs300-1500
Arkansas Razorbacks300-1500
Alabama Crimson Tide300-1500
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets300-15000
Wake Forest Demon Deacons300-12000
Minnesota Golden Gophers300-1500
Fresno State Bulldogs300-12000
Memphis Tigers300-11000
Marquette Golden Eagles300-1300
Kansas State Wildcats300-1300
Oklahoma State Cowboys300-1200
Princeton Tigers300-1500
Boise State Broncos300-1500
Houston Cougars300-15000
Tulsa Golden Hurricane300-19999
Davidson Wildcats300-11000
Oakland Golden Grizzlies500-12000
Washington Huskies500-12000
Temple Owls500-19999
St. Bonaventure Bonnies500-19999
DePaul Blue Demons500-19999
St. John’s Red Storm500-15000
Penn State Nittany Lions500-12000
New Mexico Lobos500-12000
Missouri Tigers500-19999
Stanford Cardinal500-19999
UNLV Runnin’ Rebels300-19999
Valparaiso Crusaders1000-1500
George Washington Colonials1000-15000
Richmond Spiders1000-19999
St. Joseph’s Hawks1000-19999
U Mass Minutemen1000-19999
Rutgers Scarlet Knights1000-19999
Yale Bulldogs1000-12000
Monmouth Hawks1000-11000
Iona Gaels1000-12000
Northern Iowa Panthers1000-19999
Utah State Aggies1000-19999
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders1000-1500
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs1000-19999
Old Dominion Monarchs1000-12000
Marshall Thundering Herd1000-12000
Evansville Purple Aces1000-19999
Illinois State Redbirds1000-11000
Akron Zips1000-11000
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks1000-19999
Chattanooga Mocs1000-11000
South Dakota State Jackrabbits1000-19999
North Dakota State Bison1000-15000
UT Arlington Mavericks1000-11000
TCU Horned Frogs1000-11000
Ohio Bobcats1000-11000
Buffalo Bulls1000-19999
Toledo Rockets1000-19999
Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans2000-19999
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks2000-19999
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns2000-12000
Georgia State Panthers2000-15000
Pepperdine Waves2000-19999
New Mexico State Aggies2000-11000
UAB Blazers2000-12000
Weber State Wildcats2000-15000
Montana Grizzlies2000-19999
Boston College Eagles2000-19999
UTEP Miners2000-19999
Charlotte 49ers2000-19999
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers2000-19999
UC Irvine Anteaters2000-19999
Long Beach State 49ers2000-19999
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos2000-19999
Kent State Golden Flashes2000-19999
Central Michigan Chippewas2000-19999
Nevada Wolf Pack2000-1500
Wyoming Cowboys2000-19999
Belmont Bruins2000-11000
Washington State Cougars2000-19999
IPFW Mastodons2000-12000
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles2000-11000
Morehead State Eagles2000-19999
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners2000-19999

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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

Career Highlights:

- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)

- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)

- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.

Signature Plays:

AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.

HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available