Updated NCAA Title Odds – Where Is The Value?
The Gonzaga Bulldogs are the undisputed #1 ranked team in the country, boasting a 24-0 record, but they aren’t the favorite to win the title. The updated odds from the Westgate Casino in Las Vegas show that it’s Kentucky as the favorite, paying out just 6-1. UCLA, Duke, Kansas and Villanova are all paying less than 10-1 odds to win the tournament. Gonzaga might seem like a better bet paying out at 10-1, but anyone who’s watched the tournament in recent seasons knows that there’s a good reason why they call it “March Madness”.
When I look for value in the NCAA futures market, I start with the teams paying out at least 20-1. Anything less than that is simply not worth the risk in my opinion. Roughly half the teams in the Top 25 are paying out 20-1 or better, leaving us with plenty to look at. I have one team in mind that I believe has a far better chance than the rest. To find out who I’m picking to win this year’s tournament, simply signup to my newsletter at www.JesseSchule.com
|TEAM||OPENING ODDS||UPDATED ODDS|
|Duke Blue Devils||9-2||8-1|
|North Carolina Tar Heels||15-1||12|
|Michigan State Spartans||12-1||50|
|West Virginia Mountaineers||30-1||25|
|Iowa State Cyclones||50-1||100|
|California Golden Bears||200-1||300|
|Texas A&M Aggies||80-1||300|
|Wichita State Shockers||100-1||100|
|Florida State Seminoles||200-1||30|
|St. Mary’s Gaels||200-1||80|
|Rhode Island Rams||300-1||300|
|NC State Wolfpack||300-1||2000|
|Seton Hall Pirates||50-1||300|
|Arizona State Sun Devils||100-1||2000|
|Mississippi State Bulldogs||100-1||1000|
|Notre Dame Fighting Irish||200-1||50|
|Ohio State Buckeyes||200-1||1000|
|San Diego State Aztecs||200-1||1000|
|South Carolina Gamecocks||200-1||100|
|Virginia Tech Hokies||300-1||500|
|Oregon State Beavers||300-1||9999|
|Texas Tech Red Raiders||300-1||1000|
|Illinois Fighting Illini||300-1||9999|
|Colorado State Rams||300-1||9999|
|Ole Miss Rebels||300-1||9999|
|Alabama Crimson Tide||300-1||500|
|Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets||300-1||5000|
|Wake Forest Demon Deacons||300-1||2000|
|Minnesota Golden Gophers||300-1||500|
|Fresno State Bulldogs||300-1||2000|
|Marquette Golden Eagles||300-1||300|
|Kansas State Wildcats||300-1||300|
|Oklahoma State Cowboys||300-1||200|
|Boise State Broncos||300-1||500|
|Tulsa Golden Hurricane||300-1||9999|
|Oakland Golden Grizzlies||500-1||2000|
|St. Bonaventure Bonnies||500-1||9999|
|DePaul Blue Demons||500-1||9999|
|St. John’s Red Storm||500-1||5000|
|Penn State Nittany Lions||500-1||2000|
|New Mexico Lobos||500-1||2000|
|UNLV Runnin’ Rebels||300-1||9999|
|George Washington Colonials||1000-1||5000|
|St. Joseph’s Hawks||1000-1||9999|
|U Mass Minutemen||1000-1||9999|
|Rutgers Scarlet Knights||1000-1||9999|
|Northern Iowa Panthers||1000-1||9999|
|Utah State Aggies||1000-1||9999|
|Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders||1000-1||500|
|Louisiana Tech Bulldogs||1000-1||9999|
|Old Dominion Monarchs||1000-1||2000|
|Marshall Thundering Herd||1000-1||2000|
|Evansville Purple Aces||1000-1||9999|
|Illinois State Redbirds||1000-1||1000|
|Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks||1000-1||9999|
|South Dakota State Jackrabbits||1000-1||9999|
|North Dakota State Bison||1000-1||5000|
|UT Arlington Mavericks||1000-1||1000|
|TCU Horned Frogs||1000-1||1000|
|Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans||2000-1||9999|
|Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns||2000-1||2000|
|Georgia State Panthers||2000-1||5000|
|New Mexico State Aggies||2000-1||1000|
|Weber State Wildcats||2000-1||5000|
|Boston College Eagles||2000-1||9999|
|Western Kentucky Hilltoppers||2000-1||9999|
|UC Irvine Anteaters||2000-1||9999|
|Long Beach State 49ers||2000-1||9999|
|UC Santa Barbara Gauchos||2000-1||9999|
|Kent State Golden Flashes||2000-1||9999|
|Central Michigan Chippewas||2000-1||9999|
|Nevada Wolf Pack||2000-1||500|
|Washington State Cougars||2000-1||9999|
|Florida Gulf Coast Eagles||2000-1||1000|
|Morehead State Eagles||2000-1||9999|
|Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners||2000-1||9999|
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available