USC Trojans vs. Utah Utes Betting Preview September 23, 2016
USC (1-2) vs. Utah (3-0) Preview
Spread: Utah -3 (5dimes)
Total: 46.5
Kickoff: 9:00 pm ET
Location: Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, UTAH.
Television Broadcast: FSI
Preview
This will be a big game for both teams, as USC looks to salvage it’s season after losing twice in the first three weeks, while Utah will seek revenge for last year’s loss in California. The Utes were a three point underdog in last year’s game, despite a 6-0 record and a #3 overall ranking. The bookmakers proved to be correct, as the Trojans went on to win easily by a score of 42-24. Utah is a three-point favorite this time around, and according to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 67 percent of the public is backing the home team. The Trojans are making a change at quarterback after Max Browne threw for under 500 yards with two TDs and a pair of interceptions while starting the last three games. Sam Darnold will step in, but he faces a Utes defense that ranks top 10 nationally. Darnold was 5-of-7 for 45 yards against the Cardinal last week, but one of his misses was an interception. Given the history between these two conference rivals, another close, low scoring game should be expected.
Previous Meetings
Trends
- The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
- The under is 9-3 in the Trojans last 12 road games.
- The Trojans have failed to cover in six of their last seven versus the PAC12.
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This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go under the total.
The Warriors haven't been as dominant this season as they have been in recent years, and they come into Denver trailing the Nuggets by a half game for top spot in the West. Denver has been successful thanks to their 4th best defense that allows just 105.5 points per game. History tells us that these teams have played strong defense in past meetings. Three of the last four head to head meetings have gone under the total. Given that the winner of this game will take over first place in the Western Conference Standings, we could see a game with a playoff atmosphere. The under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 home games versus teams with a winning road record. I think tonight's total looks a little high.
Take Under.
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Jesse Schule
This is an 8* play on Over 139.5.
The Boilermakers are coming off an 84-80 win over Wisconsin, and high scoring games have been the norm for Purdue this year. They have gone over in six of their last eight overall, and the over is 5-1 in their last 6 home games versus teams with a losing road record. They have scored 79.4 points per game in their last five overall, but they have also conceded more than 70 points per game during that span. They scored exactly 82 points in each of their last two home games against Rutgers. The over is 6-1 in the Scarlet Knights last seven versus the Big Ten. Purdue won the last meeting 82-75, and I expect a similar score tonight.
Take Over.
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Jesse Schule
This is an 8* play on [email protected] to go Under the total.
The Anaheim Ducks have lost 11 straight overall, and they come into the Motor City as a desperate hockey club. They are still in the hunt, just two points out of a playoff spot, so there's no reason to expect them to give up on the season just yet. Offense has been hard to come by for the Ducks, ranking 30th in the NHL in scoring. Goals have been hard to come by for Detroit as well, and that's especially true in previous meetings with the Ducks. Anaheim is 3-1 in the last four meetings, and Detroit has only scored six goals in those games. Three of the four games went under the total. The under is 8-3-2 in the Ducks last 13 overall, and 34-15-2 in their last 51 road games.
Take Under.
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Jesse Schule
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
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Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
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