Virginia Tech vs. Clemson Betting Preview 12/03/16 – ACC Championship Game
ACC Championship Game Betting Preview
Last season Clemson made it all the way to the FBS Championship game with a perfect record before losing to Alabama. This year they have just one loss and are again in position to reach the final game if they can beat Virginia Tech and win the ACC Championship. They are ranked third in the country and a win will guarantee them being one of the final four teams to be chosen. Their only blemish is a one point loss to Pittsburgh in week 11. They are led by sixth ranked quarterback Deshaun Watson who has passed for over 3600 yards and thrown 34 touchdowns on a team that averages over 500 yards and 40 points a game. They have a good defense as well which is ranked 9th allowing just 308 yards and 17 points a game which is good for eighth in the country.
The Hokies have won five of their last six games scoring at least 34 points in four of those games which is their season average. Their defense is their key as they have won every game they held an opponent below 30 points with their average points allowed at 21 a game.
The oddsmakers have made the Tigers a 10 point favorite and have the total at 58. According to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 55% of the public believe Clemson will have a big day and are backing the Tigers while 67% feel the total will go over even though it has gone under in six of their last seven meetings.
The winning team has won by double digits the last 10 games they have faced each other with Clemson winning the last three games.
Previous Meetings
10/20/12: Hokies 17 @ Tigers 38
12/03/11: Hokies 10 @ Tigers 38
10/01/11: Tigers 23 @ Hokies 3
Trends
- The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings
- The underdog has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings
- The Tigers have covered the spread in their last seven neutral site games
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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 10-0 start to NFL Season (2022)
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
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- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 1-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.5 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to five percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
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