Washington vs. Alabama Betting Preview 12/31/16 – Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
Washington Huskies (12-1) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (13-0) Betting Preview
Line/Odds: Alabama -14.5 (5dimes)
Total: 53.5
Time: 8:30 pm ET
Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA.
Television Broadcast: ESPN
Betting Preview
Alabama is looking to win it’s second straight FBS Championship while Washington is looking for it’s first since sharing it with Miami in 1991.
The Huskies have one of the best offenses in the country led by quarterback Jake Browning who passed for over 3200 yards and threw 42 touchdown passes which was second best in the country. They have a strong ground game that scored 24 touchdowns and ran for over 2700 yards. Their offense ranks fourth in scoring points with 44.5 a game while their defense has been solid and is ranked eighth allowing just 17.2 points a game. They held their last three opponents to 18 points or less scoring. Their only loss this season was to USC and they were held to 13 points which was their lowest scoring game of the year by far.
Alabama has run the table with a 13-0 record and have now won 25 straight games overall. They do it on offense and defense. Quarterback Jalen Hurts leads the Tide with 22 touchdown passes and is their second leading rusher with over 800 yards and 12 rushing touchdowns. Their 13th ranked offense has put up double digit wins in 10 straight games including a 54-16 pounding of Florida in their last game of the season and the Gators are ranked sixth nationally in total defense.
You can’t say enough about Alabama’s defense. They lead the nation in points allowed (11.8 a game) as well as a running defense that gives up 64 yards a game which is over 30 yards a game better than number two Wisconsin. They have held nine of their 12 opponents to 14 points or less. This game might be the biggest challenge of the year to both teams.
The oddsmakers opened the game with Alabama as a 13.5 point favorite but it has gone as high as 16.5 but is settled now at 14.5. The total is set at 53.5 and according to Covers.com Consensus Analysis 51% of the public don’t mind laying the points and are backing Alabama while 64% believe the offenses will take control and are behind the over.
Washington has lost five of their last eight bowl games while Alabama has won six of their last eight.
Previous Meetings
12/25/86 Huskies 6 – Crimson Tide 28
Trends
- Alabama has covered the spread in six of their last eight games
- The over is 9-2 in Alabama’s last 11 bowl games
- Washington has covered the spread in six of their last seven non-conference games.
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PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is a 4* play on MIN.
Houston will be the favorite with a rookie pitcher on the mound in Game 1, but I like the Twins as the underdog.
J.P. France makes just his second start in Houston, and in his home debut he allowed six runs on nine hits and two walks in 3 2/3 innings versus the Cubs.
The Twins hand the ball to Sonny Gray, who hasn't lost yet this season. He's 4-0 with a 1.82 ERA and a WHIP of 1.20.
The Twins are 8-2 ATS in Gray's 10 starts this season.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 4* play on BAL.
The Orioles have picked up right where they left off last year, and they are in second in the AL East four games behind Tampa.
Tyler Wells will toe the slab for Baltimore, and he's 2-1 with a 2.64 ERA in five home starts. He's facing a Cleveland team that ranks dead last in MLB in runs scored.
The Guardians will hand the ball to Logan Allen, who boasts an ERA of 3.31. Don't let that fool you though, he's allowed at least eight base runners in each of his last four starts, and owns a WHIP of 1.44.
The Guardians are 1-7 in their last eight road games.
GL,
Jesse Schule
This is a 4* play on Texas.
The Rangers have won 12 of their last 17 overall, and they still sit in first place in the AL West. They appear to have a favorable matchup in Game 1 in Detroit.
Nate Eovaldi will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's been dealing in 2023. He went the distance in a win at Pittsburgh in his last start, and he's 4-1 with a 1.66 ERA in six road starts.
The Tigers hand the ball to Matthew Boyd, who has struggled at home. He's 0-3 with an 8.64 ERA in four home starts. He failed to make it out of the second inning, getting torched for six runs in a loss to Seattle in his last start in Detroit.
The Rangers are 6-0 in their last six games following a loss.
GL,
Jesse Schule
SERVICE BIO
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
Career Highlights:
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
Signature Plays:
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available
Top Cappers L7 Days
| Service | Profit |
|---|---|
| Jack Jones | $1,375 |
| Dr. Chuck | $869 |
| Matt Fargo | $819 |
| Chip Chirimbes | $508 |
| Ross Benjamin | $462 |
| ProSportsPicks | $458 |
| Ray Monohan | $436 |
| Dave Price | $308 |
| Big Al McMordie | $284 |
| Marc Lawrence | $251 |
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