Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview October 1, 2016

Wisconsin Badgers (4-0) vs. Michigan Wolverines (4-0) Preview

Spread:  Michigan -10.5 (5dimes)
Total: 44.5
Kickoff: 3:30 pm ET
Location: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor. MI
Television Broadcast: ABC


Two of the three 4-0 teams in the Big 10 face each other in a much anticipated matchup. The Wolverines destroyed their first two opponents who were both over-matched inferior teams then had to shake a competitive Colorado team that hung with them all game. After blowing the 21-7 lead they had at the end of the first quarter, Colorado took their last lead early in the second half and watched as Michigan scored the last 21 points in the game. A 42 yard run gave Michigan the lead back for good and then a 54 yard punt return for a TD completed the scoring. Last week they beat a young Penn St team that were missing three LB’s on defense. The Badgers have had two huge wins so far with the first being against LSU where their defense took over and held the Tigers to 257 yards and making LSU’s offense look ineffective. Their defense turned it up a notch last week against the Spartans forcing four TO’s with three interceptions and a fumble recovery returned for a TD in a 30-6 rout of Michigan St. The oddsmakers have this game set with the Wolverines as a 10.5 favorite and the total at 44.5. According to Covers.com consensus and analysis, 65% of the public is backing the underdog, and 70% of bettors are leaning toward the over. The home team has won six of the last seven meetings.

Previous Meetings

11/20/10: Wisconsin 48 @ Michigan 28
11/14/09: Michigan 24 Wisconsin 45
09/27/08:Wisconsin 25 @ Michigan 27


  • The Badgers are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine meetings
  • The Over is 4-0 in last four meetings
  • The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall

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WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.

Career Highlights:

- Perfect 10-0 start to NFL Season (2022)

- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)

- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)

- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)

- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)

- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)

- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)

- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)

- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)

Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.

Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 1-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.5 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to five percent of a player's bankroll.

Signature Plays:

AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.

The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.

GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.

HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available