Wisconsin vs Michigan State Free Pick March 2, 2018 – Jesse Schule
Wisconsin vs Michigan State Free Pick March 2, 2018
I bet on the Badgers as an 8-point underdog at home versus the Spartans in their last game, and they came very close to winning that game outright. Here is what I had to say prior to the game: “The Spartans are ranked #2 overall, and they are an enormous favorite coming into Sunday’s game at Wisconsin. They might be catching the Badgers at a bad time, as Wisconsin has won four of their last five overall. They have scored an average of 70 points per game during that span, and that’s significantly higher than their season average of 67.5 points per game. Michigan State might be the best team in the BIG10, but that doesn’t mean the Spartans aren’t overrated. They have only covered the spread in two of their last nine overall, and two of their last nine on the road. Recent wins at Northwestern, Indiana and Iowa all came by five points or less. The home team has won six straight meetings between the two teams, and the Badgers have won four of their last five home games against Michigan State. The Badgers have covered the spread in five of their last six overall, and I like their chances of keeping this game close.” The two teams play again at a neutral site in New York in the conference tournament, and I think the Badgers have a lot more to prove than the BIG10 Champions. Wisconsin is getting a double-digit cushion here, and that’s a lot of points to cover for a Spartans team that is just 2-6-2 ATS in it’s last 10 overall. I’ll take the points.
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PICKS IN PROGRESS
This is a 5* play on Bayern Munich.
Bayern is still in a class of their own in the Bundesliga, and they will seek a fifth consecutive win over Borrussia Dortmund. They have scored a whopping 67 goals in 23 matches, and no other team in the Bundesliga have scored 50. After a disappointing start, Dortmund is unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. They sit in fifth place in the table, 13 points behind first place Bayern. Jadon Sancho and Giovanni Reyna will not be fit to play versus Bayern, making it an uphill battle for Dortmund.
This is an 8* play on Louisville.
Virginia has lost three of their last four overall, and back to back games on the road. The Cavs have struggled to score, averaging just 61.6 points per game over their last five overall. This is reminiscent of the Cavs team that was bounced from the NCAA Tournament by UMBC in one of the biggest upsets in history. Louisville has won nine of 10 home games, and they beat the Cavs at home last season by a score of 80-73. The Cardinals are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games, while the Cavs have failed to cover in four of their last five on the road. The home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. I'll take the home dog.
This is an 8* play on Montreal.
The Habs have lost six of their last seven overall, a slump that cost their head coach his job. They earned a point in a 4-3 overtime loss to the Jets on Thursday, and they will be desperate to earn two points in tonight's game. Montreal battled back from an early 2-0 deficit, and they out-shot Winnipeg 36-27 on Thursday night. Winnipeg might be due for a let down after beating the Habs three times in a row. While the Habs don't have an impressive record at home this season, Montreal is still a tough place to play for visiting teams. That's especially true on a Saturday night in a nationally televised game .
This is an 8* play on Vancouver.
The Leafs are comforatably in first place in the North Division, with seven points separating them from second place Winnipeg. A 3-1 loss at Vancouver Thursday isn't going to cause much panic, so it's not like I expect them to come out like gangbusters seeking revenge tonight. For the Canucks, it was just their second win over their last eight games, so it's not as though they can put their feet up and kick back. The Leafs have 18 wins, and seven of those wins came by just one goal. The Canucks are 3-6 in their last nine overall, but they are 6-3 on the puckline in those games.
This is a 5* play on the Predators.
The Panthers won Game 1 of this two game series in Nashville, but I like the Predators as the underdog in a revenge spot in Game 2. The fact that Game 1 was close comes as no surprise, four of the last five head to head meetings have been decided by one goal. It was also the Panthers fourth consecutive one goal game. The Predators have a winning record at home, and in recent seasons they have one of the league's better home records. Don't be surprised if we see another one goal game here in Nashville.
WHO IS THE ICEMAN? He’s no soothsayer and he doesn’t have a crystal ball, but Jesse Schule can indeed predict the future. As a professional handicapper, it’s actually part of his job description. His clients have accused him of secretly possessing Marty McFly’s Sports Almanac, but he tells us the secret to his success is thanks in part to his fascination with history. The idea that you can predict the future by studying the past is nothing new. Historians have been doing it for years.
- Perfect 5-0 Super Bowl Card (2018)
- Perfect 6-0 NBA Finals Futures (2017)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2019)
- Perfect 3-0 NBA Finals Futures (2020)
- Perfect 8-0 card X-Mas Day (2016)
- Perfect 8-0 NCAA Tourney picks Sweet 16 - Final (2015)
- Picked Germany +$700 to win World Cup (2014)
- Picked Marcus Mariota +$700 to win Heisman (2014)
Handicapping Methodology: Jesse is not a believer in systems, programs or number crunching formulas to handicap games. He is firm in his belief that you aren't playing against the sportsbook, you are playing against the average Joe (other bettors). Jesse is notorious for attacking inflated point spreads, soft lines and totals that are a little out of whack. He also relies on a nearly photographic memory with an uncanny ability to tell you a player's history and stats dating back for decades. Anyone can look up how many touchdowns a guy has scored, Jesse can also tell you about the ones that he almost scored.
Money Management: His plays are rated based on a 5-10 star system, and he recommends wagering 0.2 percent of your bankroll per star rating. So a top rated 10* play would represent a bet equal to two percent of a player's bankroll.
AFTERNOON EXECUTIONER: This title is reserved for games with a start time between 12:00 – 4:30 ET. These are popular with action junkies who are dying for the games to get underway.
The TERMINATOR: Jesse's signature totals play, the Terminator has established a reputation as one of the most consistent winners in Schule's repertoire.
TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE: These plays represent a game where the stats show a significant trend which isn't reflected in the price.
GRIM REAPER BLOWOUT: His signature play reserved for medium to large favorites. High percentage plays for those who don't mind laying chalk.
HOT DIGGITY DOG: This is the Iceman's signature underdog play. About as rare as strawberries in December, you'll want to grab these whenever they are available