NFL Total of the Month – Jaguars vs. Patriots September 27, 2015

This is a 10* play on JAX@NE to go OVER the total.

The Patriots offense is firing on all cylinders heading into Sunday’s home game versus Jacksonville. The same can’t be said for their defense, that has allowed opponents to average over 400 yards through their first two games. The Jags are coming into this game off a home win versus Miami, and Blake Bortles threw for 273 yards and a pair of TDs in that game.

Tom Brady leads the NFL with 754 yards and seven TDs through the first two games of the season, and he’s likely to put up big numbers here at home against this Jags defense. The total for this game looks a little too low when you consider New England’s history of running up the score at home. They’ve gone over the total in 35 of their last 51 home games.

The Jags will have their work cut out for them trying to slow Rob Gronkowski, who has 207 yards and four TDs so far. I don’t like their chances of doing what Seattle failed to do in the Super Bowl, and what Buffalo failed to do at home last week.

With a lack of depth at the running back position, New England only attempted 15 running plays last week. We should expect more of the same this week, and leaning on the passing game should result in another high scoring game.

Take OVER.

GL,

Jesse Schule

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