Sean went 1-3 on Saturday but has still WON 7 of the L9 days. Murph is on a 72-47 run on 10* plays! He's riding an INCREDIBLE 43-19 CBB totals run including 28-11 on 10*s and is 11-5 in the NCAA Tourney!
Football Sides (+6202) 373-279 L652 57%
NFL Sides (+4081) 189-131 L320 59%
NCAA-F Picks (+3669) 361-296 L657 55%
Basketball Totals (+3050) 191-146 L337 57%
NHL Money Lines (+2681) 209-141 L350 60%
Top NBA Picks (+2307) 158-123 L281 56%
Top All Sports Sides (+2024) 333-267 L600 56%
NCAA-B Totals (+2005) 41-19 L60 68%
CFL Picks (+1731) 65-43 L108 60%
WNBA Totals (+849) 36-25 L61 59%
MLB Run Lines (+809) 33-20 L53 62%
Soccer Picks (+402) 50-42 L92 54%
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Sunday CBB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Creighton and San Diego State at 2:20 pm et on Sunday.
I expect San Diego State to at least attempt to make this game as physical as possible in an effort to throw the red hot Blue Jays offense off course. While I do think the Aztecs can be successful in doing that, I question whether their own offense can produce enough to prevail on Sunday. The 'under' has now cashed in each of San Diego State's last 12 games and I don't think that's a streak we should get in the way off right now. To say that the Aztecs defensive performance against one-seed Alabama on Friday was impressive would be an understatement. They held the Crimson Tide to a woeful 23-of-71 shooting in that contest. In fact, you would have to go all the way back to February 25th against New Mexico to find the last time San Diego State allowed an opponent to knock down more than 23 field goals in a game. Creighton, on the other hand, has allowed a ton of made field goals in recent weeks but also plays at a much faster pace. Note that each of the Blue Jays last seven opponents have hoisted up at least 62 field goal attempts. I think they'll be hard-pressed to speed up a methodical San Diego State offense here though. The Aztecs check in ranked 255th (out of 364 Division I teams) in terms of adjusted tempo this season, according to KenPom. Note that the 'under' is 15-5 with Creighton having won six or seven of its last eight games over the last two seasons, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of 130.6 points. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 12-3 in all tournament games involving San Diego State over the last two seasons, leading to an average total of 127.3 points along the way. Take the under.
Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sharks vs Flames | Sharks +1½ +110 | Premium | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | Show |
Connecticut vs Gonzaga | OVER 153½ -110 | Premium | 82-54 | Loss | -110 | Show |
Pelicans vs Clippers | Pelicans +5 -110 | Free | 131-110 | Win | 100 | Show |
Nets vs Heat | UNDER 222½ -110 | Premium | 129-100 | Loss | -110 | Show |
Bucks vs Nuggets | Nuggets -2½ -110 | Premium | 106-129 | Win | 100 | Show |
Sean Murphy made his professional debut as lead handicapper for Pat Miller Sports in 2003, continuing on with The Miller Group from 2006 through 2009. Sean broke away to found his own sports service in September 2009 and has now delivered 12 of 17 winning NFL seasons. Sean’s also cashed big in NCAA Football, as he’s won each of the last 3 seasons, recording wins with 57% of his overall bets. A key factor in Sean’s success is his knack for Over/Unders, which is no surprise given Sean’s reputation as a ‘numbers guru.’ Indeed, Sean’s knack for handling numbers is deep-rooted. He owns a business degree, with a major in finance, and is a member of the prestigious Beta Gamma Sigma honor society for business students and scholars. Although Sean took a circuitous route to become a professional handicapper, sports betting has been a part of his life for as long as he can remember. In fact, he still fondly recalls his first successful venture into sports betting – a winning three-game NFL ‘Pro-Line’ parlay (offered by the Canadian lottery) when he was just 12 years old. Sean — along with the rest of his 7th grade class — was hooked. His passion for sports is unmatched. The phrase “find something you love to do and you’ll never ‘work’ a day in your life” is Murph's mantra. Sean's love for numbers, combined with his passion for sports, makes a career in sports handicapping the perfect fit. After building The Miller Group from the ground up, and turning it into one of America’s most respected handicapping services, Sean has continued to prosper as an independent, thanks to an honest approach and strong belief in delivering value to the customer. Sean’s selections are based on his extensive knowledge of the game, and his approach is both situational and statistical. He prides himself on going against the majority and thinking outside the box, and his unique analysis keeps his clients coming back. When you purchase one of Sean’s selections, you can always count on insightful and expert information to back it up. Sean rates all of his plays from 8* to 10* with free plays qualifying as 8* releases, and the majority of his selections warranting a 10* designation. As you would expect, the higher the rating, the stronger the play.