Sean Murphy - Betting Expert

My selection is on Baltimore +1.5 runs over San Diego at 3:05 pm et on Wednesday.

You would be hard-pressed to find many bettors looking to back the Orioles on Wednesday but I'll gladly go 'contrarian' and support them with an insurance run in my back pocket. Padres starter Matt Strahm checks in 2-6 with an ERA approaching five this season. You would have to go back eight starts, all the way to May 2nd to find the last time he was on the hill for a Padres win by multiple runs. Dylan Bundy has been a punching bag for the Orioles but here he faces a San Diego club that owns a losing record away from home, where it allows nearly six runs per contest. I look for the O's bats to keep them in this one. Take Baltimore +1.5 runs (10*).

My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and Minnesota at 8:10 pm et on Wednesday.

I'll back the 'under' at Target Field on Wednesday night. Charlie Morton will look to stop the bleeding for the Rays. He has worked at least six innings in six straight starts, giving up two earned runs or less in five of those outings. Morton gave up just four hits and two earned runs in seven innings in his last start against the Twins late last month. Jake Odorizzi will take the ball for the Twins. He owns a stellar 1.91 ERA and 0.90 WHIP at home this season. He tossed six shutout innings against the Rays earlier this month. Odorizzi checks in having worked at least into the sixth inning in four of his last five starts. Take the under (10*).

MLB American League Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas City and Cleveland at 1:10 pm et on Wednesday.

We saw a high-scoring affair between these two clubs last night but I look for a different story to unfold on Wednesday afternoon. Jakob Junis will take the ball for the Royals. He has worked at least six innings in five of his last seven starts and has given up just six earned runs over his last three outings, spanning 16 2/3 innings. He has at least worked into the sixth inning in all six career starts against the Indians. Trevor Bauer will counter for Cleveland. He's coming off a miserable outing against the Tigers but I like the bounce-back spot here, noting he had worked at least six innings in six consecutive starts prior to that, including allowing two earned runs or less in four of his last five outings. The last time he faced the Royals he gave up just one earned run over 7 2/3 innings. Take the under (10*).