Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-11-14 | OKLAHOMA CITY GM4 v. LA CLIPPERS GM4 -5 | Top | 99-101 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
20* Thunder/Clippers Game 4 ANNIHILATOR on Los Angeles -5 | |||||||
05-10-14 | MIAMI GM3 v. BROOKLYN GM3 UNDER 189.5 | Top | 90-104 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
20* Nets/Heat Game 3 No-Brainer on UNDER 189.5 | |||||||
05-09-14 | Indiana Pacers +4.5 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 85-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
20* Pacers/Wizards Game 3 No-Brainer on Indiana +4.5 | |||||||
05-08-14 | Brooklyn Nets +8 v. Miami Heat | Top | 82-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
20* Nets/Heat Side & Total Parlay on Brooklyn +8/UNDER 192 | |||||||
05-08-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Miami Heat UNDER 192 | Top | 82-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
20* Nets/Heat Side & Total Parlay on Brooklyn +8/UNDER 192 | |||||||
05-07-14 | Washington Wizards v. Indiana Pacers -4.5 | Top | 82-86 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
25* NBA Second Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Indiana Pacers -4.5 | |||||||
05-06-14 | Brooklyn Nets +7.5 v. Miami Heat | 86-107 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
15* Nets/Heat Game 1 ANNIHILATOR on Brooklyn +7.5 | |||||||
05-05-14 | Los Angeles Clippers +5.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | Top | 122-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
20* Clippers/Thunder Game 1 No-Brainer on Los Angeles +5.5 | |||||||
05-04-14 | Brooklyn Nets +3 v. Toronto Raptors | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
25* NBA First Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Brooklyn Nets +3 | |||||||
05-03-14 | GOLDEN STATE GM7 +7 v. LA CLIPPERS GM7 | Top | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
20* Warriors/Clippers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State +7 | |||||||
05-02-14 | Houston Rockets v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 213 | Top | 98-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
25* Western Conference Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Rockets/Blazers UNDER 213 | |||||||
05-02-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 192 | 83-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
15* Raptors/Nets Game 6 No-Brainer on UNDER 192 | |||||||
05-01-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies | 104-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
15* Thunder/Grizzlies Game 6 No-Brainer on Oklahoma City -2.5 | |||||||
05-01-14 | Indiana Pacers -1 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 95-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
20* Pacers/Hawks Game 6 ANNIHILATOR on Indiana -1 | |||||||
04-30-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 191 | Top | 113-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
20* NBA Wednesday Total ANNIHILATOR on Nets/Raptors UNDER 191 | |||||||
04-30-14 | Dallas Mavericks +6.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | 103-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
15* Mavericks/Spurs Game 5 No-Brainer on Dallas +6.5 | |||||||
04-29-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 187.5 | 100-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Grizzlies/Thunder UNDER 187.5 | |||||||
04-28-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 203.5 | Top | 93-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
20* Mavs/Spurs TNT Monday Night BAILOUT on UNDER 203.5 | |||||||
04-27-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 192 | Top | 87-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
20* Nets/Raptors Game 4 No-Brainer on UNDER 192 No analysis today because I'm on vacation. I'll be back with full analysis by Tuesday. Thanks, and good luck, Jack! | |||||||
04-27-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 210 | 97-118 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
15* Clippers/Warriors Game 4 Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 210 No analysis today because I'm on vacation. I'll be back with full analysis by Tuesday. Thanks, and good luck, Jack! | |||||||
04-27-14 | Chicago Bulls +1.5 v. Washington Wizards | 89-98 | Loss | -103 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
15* Bulls/Wizards Sunday Early ANNIHILATOR on Chicago +1.5 No analysis today because I'm on vacation. I'll be back with full analysis by Tuesday. Thanks, and good luck, Jack! | |||||||
04-26-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 189 | Top | 92-89 | Win | 100 | 32 h 33 m | Show |
20* Thunder/Grizzlies Saturday Night BAILOUT on UNDER 189 | |||||||
04-26-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 202.5 | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
20* Spurs/Mavericks Game 3 No-Brainer on UNDER 202.5 | |||||||
04-26-14 | Indiana Pacers -2 v. Atlanta Hawks | 91-88 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
15* Pacers/Hawks Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on Indiana -2 | |||||||
04-25-14 | Houston Rockets v. Portland Trailblazers UNDER 216 | Top | 121-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
20* Rockets/Blazers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 216 | |||||||
04-25-14 | Chicago Bulls +3 v. Washington Wizards | 100-97 | Win | 100 | 49 h 15 m | Show | |
15* Bulls/Wizards Game 3 ANNIHILATOR on Chicago +3 | |||||||
04-25-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 192 | Top | 98-102 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 6 m | Show |
20* Raptors/Nets Game 3 No-Brainer on UNDER 192 | |||||||
04-24-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 215.5 | Top | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
20* Clippers/Warriors TNT Thursday Night BAILOUT on UNDER 215.5 | |||||||
04-24-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 191 | Top | 95-98 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
20* Thunder/Grizzlies TNT Thursday No-Brainer on UNDER 191 | |||||||
04-24-14 | Indiana Pacers -2 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 85-98 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 1 m | Show |
20* Pacers/Hawks NBA TV Early ANNIHILATOR on Indiana -2 | |||||||
04-23-14 | Portland Trailblazers v. Houston Rockets UNDER 215 | Top | 112-105 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 16 m | Show |
20* Blazers/Rockets TNT Wednesday Night BAILOUT on UNDER 215 | |||||||
04-22-14 | Washington Wizards v. Chicago Bulls -5 | Top | 101-99 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 16 m | Show |
20* Wizards/Bulls TNT Tuesday Night BAILOUT on Chicago -5 | |||||||
04-22-14 | Atlanta Hawks v. Indiana Pacers -7 | 85-101 | Win | 100 | 22 h 46 m | Show | |
15* Hawks/Pacers TNT Tuesday No-Brainer on Indiana -7 | |||||||
04-21-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 212.5 | Top | 98-138 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
25* NBA Opening Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Warriors/Clippers UNDER 212.5 | |||||||
04-20-14 | Washington Wizards +4.5 v. Chicago Bulls | 102-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
15* Wizards/Bulls Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Washington +4.5 | |||||||
04-20-14 | Charlotte Bobcats +10 v. Miami Heat | Top | 88-99 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
20* Bobcats/Heat Game 1 No-Brainer on Charlotte +10 | |||||||
04-19-14 | Atlanta Hawks v. Indiana Pacers -7.5 | Top | 101-93 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
20* Hawks/Pacers Game 1 No-Brainer on Indiana -7.5 | |||||||
04-19-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers -7 | 109-105 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
| |||||||
04-16-14 | Golden State Warriors +8 v. Denver Nuggets | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
15* Warriors/Nuggets NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State +8 | |||||||
04-16-14 | Brooklyn Nets +7 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 85-114 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Brooklyn Nets +7 | |||||||
04-15-14 | Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 220 | 105-117 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
15* Nuggets/Clippers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 219.5 The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between the Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Clippers. That is evident when you look at tonight's posted total compared to the previous three totals set in the first three meetings of the season between these teams. Denver and Los Angeles have combined for 203, 231 and 210 points in their three meetings this season. The total sets of those games were 205, 215 and 216.5, respectively. Now, this number has been set at 220, which alone shows that there is clearly value here. Also, 16 of the last 17 meetings between these teams have seen 215 or fewer combined points, which makes for a 16-1 system backing the UNDER pertaining to tonight's total set. "We're still playing for something," said point guard Chris Paul, scoring 23.1 points a game and shooting 47.1 percent from 3-point range over his last eight. "We can keep building confidence on defense. We're at our best when we're running and getting stops." I like the Clippers' chances of slowing down Denver tonight. The Nuggets are hampered by a ton of injuries right now, which makes points harder to come by. They are expected to be without their best player and floor general in Ty Lawson, who is listed as doubtful with an ankle injury. They are also without J.J. Hickson, Nate Robinson, Danilo Gallinari and JaVale McGee, and could be without Darrell Arthur (knee, doubtful). The Clippers have combined with 16 of their last 17 opponents to score 220 or fewer points, so their defense has certainly been improving of late. The Nuggets are coming off back-to-back games where they didn't combine for 200. They won 100-99 at Golden State and 101-94 versus Utah. The UNDER is 4-0 in Nuggets last four games following a win. The UNDER is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 games following an ATS loss. The UNDER is 4-1 in Nuggets last five road games. The UNDER is 8-1 in Clippers last nine home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The UNDER is 9-2-1 in Clippers last 12 home games overall. The UNDER is 13-3 in in the last 16 meetings in Los Angeles. Roll with the UNDER in this game Tuesday. | |||||||
04-14-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Houston Rockets -5.5 | Top | 98-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
20* Spurs/Rockets NBA TV No-Brainer on Houston -5.5 The San Antonio Spurs have already clinched the top seed in the Western Conference and home-court advantage throughout the playoffs. Their concern will be resting their starters to get fresh heading into the playoffs rather than beating the Houston Rockets tonight. Houston (53-27), meanwhile, still has something to play for. While it is certain that it will play Portland (53-28) in the first-round of the playoffs, home-court advantage is still up in the air. A win tonight over the Spurs would give the Rockets the No. 4 seed due to their 3-1 series lead over the Blazers this season. The Rockets had Dwight Howard and Patrick Beverly both return from injury last time out in their win over Phoenix, which is a huge boost to the lineup. They will be going for the season sweep of the Spurs after beating them 112-106 and 111-98 on the road, as well as 97-90 at home. This will be a possible second-round match-up, and the Spurs have to be worried. Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last five Monday games. The Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than 60%. Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last five meetings with San Antonio. These three trends combined for a perfect 15-0 system backing the home team tonight. Bet the Rockets Monday. | |||||||
04-14-14 | Charlotte Bobcats -3.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | 95-93 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Charlotte Bobcats -3.5 After winning six of their last seven games, the Charlotte Bobcats (41-39) have a chance to secure their second winning season in franchise history tonight with a victory over the Atlanta Hawks (37-43). However, that's now their only motivation heading into this one. Charlotte still has a chance for the No. 6 seed in the Eastern Conference as it trails the Washington Wizards (42-38) by one game for that spot. Moving up to No. 6 would be huge as it would mean avoiding either Miami or Indiana in the first round of the playoffs. The Bobcats also want to put an and to an 11-game losing streak to the Hawks in this series. That shouldn't be a problem considering Atlanta won't even show up for this game tonight. The Hawks are locked into the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference after their 98-85 victory over the Miami Heat last time out clinched the final playoff spot for them. That makes this a huge letdown spot for Atlanta, which will be more concerned with getting its starters rest for the playoffs. The Bobcats are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. Charlotte is 20-8-2 ATS in its last 30 games when playing on 1 days' rest. The Bobcats are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 vs. a team with a losing record. Charlotte is 6-2 ATS in its last eight road games. Atlanta is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 home games. The Hawks are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Take the Bobcats Monday. | |||||||
04-13-14 | Chicago Bulls -3.5 v. New York Knicks | Top | 89-100 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
20* NBA Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls -3.5 The Chicago Bulls are currently one game ahead of the Toronto Raptors for the No. 3 seed in the Eastern Conference. They want to hold on to this spot so that they would either face Washington or Charlotte instead of Brooklyn in the first round of the playoffs. They have certainly been motivated of late to get the No. 3 seed. That has been evident considering Chicago is a perfect 7-0 in its last seven games overall while going 6-1 ATS in the process. It has a whopping five double-digit wins during this stretch as it has clearly been playing its best basketball of the season. I look for the Bulls to roll the Knicks tonight, too. New York has nothing to play for. It was officially eliminated from the playoffs last night when the Atlanta Hawks beat the Miami Heat 98-85. I faded Cleveland last night against Boston in an outright loss because it was officially eliminated from the playoffs. Just like Cleveland didn't show up, I expect the Knicks to fold in this one and to not even show up mentally, either. "We can't get mad at Atlanta, we can't get mad at anybody but ourselves," New York's J.R. Smith said. "We dug this grave, we have to lie in it." Chicago is 20-8-1 ATS in its last 29 games vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings with New York. The Knicks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games playing on one days' rest. New York is 1-4 ATS in its last five Sunday games. Bet the Bulls Sunday. | |||||||
04-12-14 | Boston Celtics +8 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 111-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
20* NBA Saturday Night Line Mistake on Boston Celtics +8 The Cleveland Cavaliers have no business being this heavily favored over the Boston Celtics tonight. They aren't even going to show up for this game, so asking them to win by 9-plus points to beat is simply asking too much. The reason they won't show up is because they were officially eliminated from the playoffs last night with their 116-119 road loss to the Milwaukee Bucks, coupled with Atlanta's win at Brooklyn. I look for them to suffer an emotional hangover from that defeat and to not even show up at all mentally tonight. It's clear to me that Boston has not quit. It beat Charlotte 106-103 at home last night in a very meaningful game for the Bobcats. Each of its last four games have been decided by single-digits. In fact, 11 of its last 14 games have been decided by single-digits. This one will be as well, and I actually believe the Celtics have an excellent chance to win this game outright given the circumstances. Boston goes for the season sweep over Cleveland tonight. This has been a one-sided series of late to say the least as the Celtics have taken six of the last eight meetings. Both of their losses during this stretch have come by 6 points or fewer. You would honestly be foolish to put your money on the Cavs tonight given the situation. Cleveland is 10-27 ATS in its last 37 home games when playing its 3rd game in 4 days. The Cavaliers are 9-20 ATS revenging a road loss vs. opponent this season. The Celtics are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games when playing on no rest. Take Boston Saturday. | |||||||
04-11-14 | Phoenix Suns +3 v. San Antonio Spurs | 104-112 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Phoenix Suns +3 The San Antonio Spurs will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days tonight. Off a big win over Dallas yesterday to essentially clinch home-court advantage in the West, they do not care one bit to win this game Friday. That is evident by the fact that head coach Greg Popovich is expected to rest both Tony Parker and Tim Duncan tonight. Without these two on the floor, this team just isn't very good. They certainly have no business even being favored tonight over a team that needs the win like Phoenix. Indeed, the Suns are currently the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference. They are only percentage points ahead of No. 8 seed Dallas, and one game ahead of No. 9 Memphis. A win tonight would go a long way in helping them inch closer to clinching a playoff spot. Phoenix has been thriving under the pressure of all these must-win games down the stretch. In fact, it has won 10 of its last 12 games overall, which includes victories over Portland and OKC. This will only be its 2nd game in 5 days, so unlike San Antonio, it will be well-rested and ready to go tonight. The Suns are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS loss. Phoenix is 27-11 ATS in its last 38 road games. The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Phoenix is 36-14-1 ATS in its last 51 games when playing on one day of rest. The road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series. Bet the Suns Friday. | |||||||
04-11-14 | Indiana Pacers +6 v. Miami Heat | 86-98 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
15* Pacers/Heat NBA TV No-Brainer on Indiana +6 Indiana rested its starters at just the right time against the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday. Somehow, resting all five starters, the Pacers were able to beat Milwaukee 104-102. Now, they find themselves in first place in the Eastern Conference with a half-game lead over Miami. The Pacers had really been struggling up to this point, losing 12 of their last 20 overall. I believe this breather that the starters got, plus the new life with the No. 1 seed at stake tonight, will have this team playing very inspired basketball tonight. It will be enough to stay within 6 points or Miami, likely pulling off the upset. The Heat haven't been playing that well themselves. They have actually lost 11 of their last 21 games overall, including two in a row to Brooklyn and Memphis. Dwyane Wade, Udonis Haslem, Chris Andersen and Greg Oden are all questionable to return tonight. Even if they go, I still like Indiana's chances of covering. This will be the 3rd game in 4 nights for the Heat, while the Pacers' starting five have essentially had the last four days off having last played on April 6. The two meetings between these teams this season were decided by a combined 4 points, so there's a very good chance this 6-point spread comes into play tonight. Roll with the Pacers Friday. | |||||||
04-11-14 | Atlanta Hawks +5.5 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 93-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Atlanta Hawks +5.5 The Brooklyn Nets have nothing to play for. They are three games behind Chicago and Toronto for the No. 3 and No. 4 seeds in the East, and three in front of Charlotte and Washington for the No. 6 and No. 7 seeds. They are all but locked into fifth place in the East. While the Nets likely won't show up tonight because of it, the Hawks have everything to play for. They lead the New York Knicks by two games for the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference. Given these motivational angles, the Hawks should not be an underdog in this match-up tonight. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in this series. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Nets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs. a team with a losing record. Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. NBA Southeast division opponents. Bet the Hawks Friday. | |||||||
04-11-14 | New York Knicks +5.5 v. Toronto Raptors | 108-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Night Line Mistake on New York Knicks +5.5 The New York Knicks are fighting for their playoff lives right now. They trail the Atlanta Hawks by two games for the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference with four games to go. That makes this a must-win game for them tonight. New York has fought real hard over the past month just to give itself a chance to make the playoffs. It is not about to quit now. It has gone 12-5 in its last 17 games overall. Now, it has had four days off since last losing to Miami on the road on April 6, so it is well-rested and ready to go. Toronto did beat New York by a combined 27 points in back-to-back games on December 27 and 28. However, Carmelo Anthony did not play in either of those contests. Anthony is expected to go tonight and should be healed from a shoulder injury suffered against Miami. New York is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams that commit 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season. The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games when playing on three or more days of rest. The Raptors are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games following a win. Take the Knicks Friday. | |||||||
04-10-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks -2 | Top | 109-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
20* Spurs/Mavericks TNT Thursday No-Brainer on Dallas -2 The Dallas Mavericks are very close to clinching a playoff spot. They lead the 9th-place Memphis Grizzlies by 1.5 games with only three to play. They don't want to mess around as they'd like to clinch it as soon as possible to perhaps get their starters some rest in the finale. Dallas has been handling the pressure of these huge games down the stretch very well. It has gone a perfect 4-0 in its last four games overall despite playing all four on the road. That included a 113-107 road victory over the Los Angeles Clippers last Thursday. San Antonio is kind of limping into the playoffs as it essentially has little to play for right now. It leads Oklahoma City by three games for the No. 1 seed in the West with four to play, so it really has that locked up. It has certainly been playing like it the past couple games. The Spurs are 1-2 in their last three games overall with blowout road losses to Oklahoma City (94-106) and Minnesota (91-110). Tony Parker is now resting a back injury and is doubtful to play tonight. Manu Ginobli is resting his calf injury and listed as doubtful as well. It's clear that the Spurs are more worried about getting healthy than winning right now. Dallas will be motivated to put an end to an 8-game losing streak in this series. The Mavericks are 31-15 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last two seasons. The Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss. Dallas is 6-2 ATS in its last eight vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Bet the Mavericks Thursday. | |||||||
04-09-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Clippers -3 | Top | 107-101 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
25* NBA on ESPN GAME OF THE YEAR on Los Angeles Clippers -3 The Los Angeles Clippers have a chance to pull within a half-game of the Oklahoma City Thunder for the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference with a victory tonight. That would be huge because they are likely to match up in the second round of the playoffs, and home-court advantage would be big. The Clippers would also own the tiebreaker having taken 3 of 4 from the Thunder this season. The Pacific Division champion Clippers have been playing as well as anyone since a 125-117 road victory over the Thunder on February 23. They have gone 18-3 since that point while averaging 110.8 points per game. They lead the league in scoring at 107.8 points per game on the season and are clicking at the right time. Los Angeles will be well-rested and ready to go having had two days off since a 120-97 home victory over the Lakers on Sunday. Oklahoma City, meanwhile, is running on fumes. It will be playing the second of a back-to-back and its 5th game in 7 days after last night's win at Sacramento. This is one of the toughest situations for any team, especially this late in the year when everyone is already worn down. The Clippers are 32-6 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 11.0 points per game. Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in its last six road games. Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last six games overall. The Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. a team with a winning record, and 4-0 ATS in their last four vs. a team with a winning percentage above 60%. Bet the Clippers Wednesday. | |||||||
04-09-14 | Chicago Bulls -2.5 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | 102-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls -2.5 The Minnesota Timberwolves are coming off a big win over the San Antonio Spurs last night. That sets them up for a letdown spot here tonight against the Chicago Bulls. The T'Wolves will be fatigued, and the win wasn't really that impressive as the Spurs rested Tony Parker and are looking ahead to the playoffs. Chicago, meanwhile, will be going full speed ahead tonight in hopes of earning the No. 3 seed in the East. It is currently tied with the Toronto Raptors with an identical 45-32 record for that No. 3 spot, but loses out via tiebreaker. Getting that No. 3 seed and likely avoiding Miami in the second round would actually be pretty big. The Bulls have been acting like they're gunning for it over the last couple weeks as they've saved their best basketball of the season for last. They have gone a perfect 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall, winning four times by double-digits. That includes road wins over fellow Eastern Conference playoff contenders in Atlanta (105-92) and Washington (96-78). Chicago will be well-rested and ready to go tonight. It has not played since Saturday's 18-point win over the Wizards, giving it three days off to rest and prepare for Minnesota. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 7th game in 11 days. This is a short-handed team as it is with Chase Budinger out, and Kevin Martin and Nikola Pekovic listed as doubtful tonight. The Bulls are 24-9 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams that commit 14 or fewer turnovers per game over the last two seasons. Minnesota is 35-55 ATS in April home games since 1996. The T'Wolves are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games after having won three of their last four games. The Timberwolves are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 0 days rest. The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings in Minnesota. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. Take the Bulls Wednesday. | |||||||
04-09-14 | Philadelphia 76ers +13.5 v. Toronto Raptors | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Philadelphia 76ers +13.5 The Philadelphia 76ers have been a huge money maker for me down the stretch of the season. There is this perception out there that they have packed it in, which has forced oddsmakers to set their lines way higher than they should be. These players clearly have not quit. That's evident by the fact that Philadelphia is a sensational 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games overall. It has beaten both Detroit and Boston in two lof its last five games, and it has stayed withing single-digits of Atlanta on the road and Brooklyn at home during this same stretch. In fact, the 76ers have only lost by more than 10 points three times in their last 11 games, which were their three non-covers. Asking Toronto to win by 14-plus points to beat us tonight is simply asking too much. That's especially the case when you consider that it could be without two starters in Kyle Lowry (17.4 ppg, 7.6 apg) and Amir Johnson (10.7 ppg, 6.7 rpg). Lowry has missed the past four games with a knee injury, while Johnson has sat out the last three games with an ankle injury. Both are currently listed as questionable, and it may be foolish to bring them back against a team like the 76ers. This is an Atlantic Division rivalry folks, so the 76ers clearly aren't going to lay down for the Raptors. Despite going 0-3 against the Raptors in the first three meetings of this series, they have all been very competitive. The 76ers have lost all three meetings by 10 points or fewer, and I look for that trend to continue tonight with the possibility that they actually pull off the upset. Philadelphia is a dominant 10-1 (91%) ATS in its last 11 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last four vs. NBA Atlantic Division foes. The Raptors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a win. Bet the 76ers Wednesday. | |||||||
04-09-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Orlando Magic +5.5 | Top | 111-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
20* NBA Wednesday Night Line Mistake on Orlando Magic +5.5 The Brooklyn Nets are in a massive letdown spot tonight. They just beat the Miami Heat 88-87 last night, completing the four-game season sweep of the defending NBA champions. It's only human nature for these players to suffer a letdown off such a big accomplishment. I look for the Orlando Magic to knock the Nets off their pedestal tonight. The Magic have not played since Saturday, having three days off to prepare for the Nets in this one. Meanwhile, Brooklyn will be playing the second of a back-to-back and its 6th game in 9 days, which is a very tough situation this late in the season for any team. The Magic clearly have not quit. They have gone 3-3 in their last six games overall, which includes wins over playoff contenders in Portland (95-85) and Charlotte (110-105). They also beat Minnesota (100-92) at home last time out, and what's important about that is the fact that the Timberwolves were coming off a 1-point victory over the Heat the night before, so they were in this same letdown spot that the Nets are in. The Nets are just 16-23 on the road this season, while the Magic are a very respectable 18-20 at home. Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games. Orlando is 9-2 (82%) ATS in its last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Magic are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games overall. Take Orlando Wednesday. | |||||||
04-08-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 208.5 | Top | 91-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Spurs/Timberwolves UNDER 208.5 The San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves will take part in a defensive battle tonight. The books have set the bar way too high for this game, especially when you look at their recent head-to-head history and the injury concerns coming in. The Spurs and Timberwolves have combined for 203 or fewer points in five of their last six meetings overall. Each of the last five meetings in Minnesota have seen 203 or fewer combined points as the games have tended to be lower scoring at the Target Center. San Antonio will be without Tony Parker (16.8 ppg, 5.9 apg) tonight, while Minnesota is expected to be without Nikola Pekovic (17.4 ppg), Kevin Martin (19.2 ppg) and Chase Budinger (6.7 ppg). So, the Spurs are without their leading scorer, while the Timberwolves are without two of their top three scorers. Minnesota is 8-0 to the UNDER in home games versus very good shooting teams that make at least 48% of their shots over the last three seasons. The UNDER is 8-0 in Spurs last eight games following an ATS win. The UNDER is 7-0 in Spurs last seven games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Throw in that they have combined for 203 or fewer points in their last five meetings in Minnesota, and we have a perfect combined 28-0 system backing the UNDER. Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday. | |||||||
04-06-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Phoenix Suns +3 | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
15* Thunder/Suns NBA TV Late-Night BAILOUT on Phoenix +3 The Phoenix Suns (45-31) have been the most underrated team in the league this season, hands down. They continue to get no respect from oddsmakers as they are a home underdog to the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight. I'll take advantage. Phoenix is tied with Memphis for the No. 8 spot in the playoffs in the West, and one-half game behind Dallas for the No. 7 seed. It clearly won't be lacking any motivation tonight. Oklahoma City, meanwhile, appears to be stuck in the No. 2 spot without being able to move up or down barring a huge run or a big collapse. This game is much less important to the Thunder. The Suns have handled the pressure very well down the stretch, winning seven of their last nine games overall, including a 109-93 victory at Portland as a 4.5-point underdog on Friday night. They have even won six of their last eight road games, and a big reason for their success has been the healthy return of Eric Bledsoe, who combines with Goran Dragac to form one of the best backcourts in the league. Phoenix is 28-9 ATS versus good 3-point shooting teams that make 36% or more of their attempts this season. The Suns are 13-2 ATS versus teams who are called for 2-plus more fouls than their opponents this season. Phoenix is 49-26 ATS in all games this season. The Suns are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 Sunday games. The Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. Phoenix is 36-15-1 ATS in its last 52 games when playing on one days rest. Roll with the Suns Sunday. | |||||||
04-06-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 191 | 92-112 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Grizzlies/Spurs UNDER 191 I look for a low-scoring, defensive battle tonight between the Memphis Grizzlies and San Antonio Spurs. I believe the books have set the bar too high in this one, and that it shouldn't be set above 190 points. These teams are very familiar with one another due to their playoff battles over the past couple of seasons. They have gone to overtime in four of their last 10 meetings, and even if you count the overtimes, they have combined for less than 200 points in nine of those 10 contests. That's how low-scoring this series has been. Both teams have plenty to be motivated about tonight. San Antonio is trying to inch closer to the No. 1 seed in the West, while Memphis is trying to hang on to one of the final playoff spots in the West. As a result, I look for both teams to be laying it all on the line defensively to try and get a win tonight. The UNDER is 20-8 in Grizzlies last 28 road games. The UNDER is 10-3 in Grizzlies last 13 games overall. The UNDER is 4-0 in Spurs last four games overall. The UNDER is 8-1 in Spurs last nine when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Take the UNDER in this game Sunday. | |||||||
04-05-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Philadelphia 76ers +10.5 | 105-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia 76ers +10.5 The Philadelphia 76ers are showing tremendous value as a double-digit home underdog to the Brooklyn Nets Saturday. I'll take advantage and back this team, which has been a big money maker for me over the last month of the season. Indeed, the 76ers are a very profitable 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall, raking in solid profits for guys like myself who can stomach betting them. They have stayed within 10 points of Indiana (twice), Chicago (twice) and New York over the past three weeks. They just went into Boston and won 111-102 last night. The Brooklyn Nets have been playing well, but they are kind of stuck in a bad spot right now. They would be the No. 5 seed in the East if the season were to end today, trailing the No. 4 seed by 2.5 games with only seven games to play. Their chances of getting home-court advantage in the first round are slim and they know it. The first meeting between these teams this season was a blowout in Brooklyn's favor as Joe Johnson made 10 3-pointers, and Michael Carter-Williams sat out that game due to injury. However, the last two have gone right down to the wire. Philadelphia beat Brooklyn 121-120 as a 6-point home dog on December 20, and lost 102-108 as a 9-point road dog on February 3. I look for this 4th and final meeting to be decided by single-digits, too. The Nets are just 14-23 SU & 17-20 ATS in all road games this season. They are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. The 76ers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in this series. Philadelphia is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 meetings with Brooklyn. Bet the 76ers Saturday. | |||||||
04-04-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Houston Rockets UNDER 212.5 | 107-111 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
15* Thunder/Rockets ESPN Friday No-Brainer on UNDER 212.5 The books have set the bar too high in this contest between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets tonight. Both teams are still worried about playoff seeding, so the defensive intensity should be high in this one, especially since it's being nationally televised on ESPN. Believe it or not, these teams tend to play in defensive battles when they get together. The UNDER is 5-0 in the last five meetings in this series. Dating back further, the Thunder and Rockets have combined for 211 or fewer points in each of their last nine meetings, which makes for a perfect 9-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to tonight's total set of 212.5 points. There are two key injuries in this one that will also help keep the final combined score UNDER the posted total. The most important is Russell Westbrook (21.3 ppg, 6.9 apg), who is sitting out to rest his knee following the second of a back-to-back. The other is Dwight Howard (18.5 ppg, 12.3 apg), who is doubtful with an ankle injury. Sure, Howard's defense will be missed, but Omer Asik (5.0 ppg, 7.0 rpg) is his replacement. Asik is nearly the same player defensively as Howard, but not even close to the same player offensively. Plays on the UNDER on any team (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving two good excellent shooting teams (>=47%), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO's) after 42+ games are 34-8 (81%) since 1996. Plays on the UNDER on home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (HOUSTON) - a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, on Friday nights are 33-10 (76.7%) over the last five seasons. Oklahoma City is 14-5 to the UNDER when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season. The UNDER is 31-14 in Thunder's last 45 games off a home win by 10 points or more. The UNDER is 5-0 in Thunder last five vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The UNDER is 5-0 in Rockets last five vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The UNDER is 5-0 in the last five meetings. These three trends combine for a perfect 15-0 system backing the UNDER. Roll with the UNDER in this game Friday. | |||||||
04-04-14 | New Orleans Pelicans v. Utah Jazz -2.5 | 96-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Utah Jazz -2.5 Sure, the Utah Jazz have lost 16 of their last 18 games overall which would make most believe that they have quit. A closer look shows that they have simply played a gauntlet of a schedule and that they clearly have not quit. Only three of those 16 losses have come against teams that aren't currently in the playoff hunt. The two wins came against Philadelphia and Orlando, which are teams not in the playoff hunt. One of the losses came to New Orleans on March 28 by a final of 95-102 on the road, which places the Jazz in revenge mode a week later. New Orleans is depleted right now, which is why it stands no chance of covering in this game tonight. Its top four scorers in Anthony Davis (21.1 ppg, 10.2 rpg, 2.8 bpg), Ryan Anderson (19.8 ppg), Eric Gordon (15.4 ppg) and Jrue Holiday (14.3 ppg, 7.9 apg) are all expected to miss tonight's game. Anderson and Holiday are for sure out, while Davis and Gordon are doubtful. Home-court advantage has been absolutely huge in this series between Utah and New Orleans. The home team is 9-1 straight up in the last 10 meetings. The Jazz are 4-0 straight up in their last four home meetings with the Pelicans. New Orleans is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 meetings in Utah. The Pelicans are 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 road games. Bet the Jazz Friday. | |||||||
04-04-14 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 185.5 | 90-102 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Bucks/Bulls UNDER 185.5 The Milwaukee Bucks and Chicago Bulls will take part in a defensive battle tonight. While this is a low total, the books have not set it nearly low enough. There is still a ton of value in backing the UNDER, especially when you look at recent meetings between these teams. The UNDER is 3-0 in three meetings between the Bucks and Bulls this season. They have combined for 152, 181 and 153 points for an average combined score of 162 points, which is roughly 24 points less than tonight's posted total of 185.5. As you can see, there is a ton of value with this UNDER based off head-to-head history. Milwaukee has been atrocious offensively in two of its last three games, scoring 67 and 77 points in losses to Miami. That's easy to understand when you consider how depleted the Bucks are right now. Both O.J. Mayo (11.7 ppg) and Ersan Ilyasova (11.2 ppg) recently went out with injuries. This team is led by Brandon Knight, Ramon Sessions and Khris Middleton offensively now, which is not good. Chicago is a perfect 8-0 to the UNDER in home games versus terrible teams that are outscored by their opponents by 6-plus points per game over the last two seasons. The Bulls are 29-13 to the UNDER when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season. Chicago is 21-7 to the UNDER as a home favorite this year. The UNDER is 5-0 in Bulls last five after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Take the UNDER in this game Friday. | |||||||
04-04-14 | Detroit Pistons +10 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 104-116 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Detroit Pistons +10 The Detroit Pistons clearly have not packed it in even though they are out of the playoff hunt. Their last two games have resulted in a win over Milwaukee and a 94-101 road loss at Indiana as a 10.5-point underdog. Those two effort show that they have not quit. Brooklyn is in a tough spot here emotionally. It is currently the No. 5 seed in the East while trailing the Toronto Raptors and Chicago Bulls by 2.5 games for the No. 3 and No. 4 seed with only eight games remaining. Its chances of earning home-court advantage in the first round are slim, and it knows it. The Nets could be more worried about finding rest for their players here down the stretch. Simply put, Detroit has Brooklyn's number as this is a terrible match-up for the Nets. Indeed, the Pistons are 3-0 against the Nets this season, winning by 12, 4 and 16 points. Their huge height advantage has been the biggest reason as the Pistons have outrebounded the Nets by a combined 38 boards in the three wins. Getting double-digit points here is an absolute gift from oddsmakers. Plays on road teams (DETROIT) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games are 89-33 (73%) ATS over the last five seasons. Detroit is 9-0 ATS in April games over the past two seasons. Take the Pistons Friday. | |||||||
04-04-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 203 | Top | 98-117 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
25* NBA TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Cavaliers/Hawks UNDER 203 The stakes are high in this game between Cleveland and Atlanta, which is why I fully expect a defensive battle. Atlanta is percentage points behind New York for the 8th and final playoff spot in the East, while Cleveland is two games behind New York for the same spot. You can bet that both teams will be laying it all on the line defensively to try and get a win in this contest, which is the most important of the season for both squads. I also expect that pressure to affect the offenses as neither team will shoot it very well in this one. Not counting overtime, the Hawks and Cavaliers have combined for 197 or fewer points at the end of regulation in each of their last five meetings in this series. That fact alone shows that there is a ton of value in backing the UNDER in this one, especially given the pressure-packed circumstance for both teams. Cleveland is 7-0 to the UNDER off a road win scoring 110 or more points this season. The UNDER is 6-0 in Hawks last six games following a loss. The UNDER is 5-0 in Hawks last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 10-1-1 in Hawks last 12 games following an ATS loss. These four trends combine for a 28-1 system backing the UNDER tonight. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday. | |||||||
04-04-14 | Indiana Pacers +1 v. Toronto Raptors | 94-102 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Indiana Pacers +1 The Indiana Pacers trail the Miami Heat by only percentage points for the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference. Clearly, this team is lacking no motivation with only six games to play. I look for them to take care of business against the short-handed Toronto Raptors tonight. Sure, Indiana has been playing its worst basketball of the season, losing five of its last seven games. However, it is coming off a confidence-building 101-94 win over Detroit. I believe these recent struggles have provided us with a ton of line value here tonight as I believe the Pacers should be in the neighborhood of a 5-point favorite. Toronto is expected to be without its best player tonight in Kyle Lowry (17.4 ppg, 7.6 apg, 4.8 rpg), who is listed as doubtful with a knee injury. Also, starting forward Amir Johnson (10.7 ppg, 6.7 rpg) is questionable after leaving early Wednesday against Houston with an ankle injury. Chances are, since he didn't return, he won't be ready two days later. Plays on road underdogs (INDIANA) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days are 53-24 (68.8%) ATS since 1996. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in this series. The Raptors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games following a win. Roll with the Pacers Friday. | |||||||
04-03-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 209.5 | Top | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
20* Spurs/Thunder TNT Thursday No-Brainer on UNDER 209.5 The Oklahoma City Thunder (54-19) and San Antonio Spurs (59-16) square off tonight in a battle between the top two teams in the Western Conference. I look for this to be a low-scoring, defensive battle pertaining to tonight's total set of 209.5 This will be the 4th and final meeting of the season between these teams. This is the highest total set of any of the four games as the previous three were 205, 207.5 and 202.5, respectively. That fact alone lets you know that there is some value on the UNDER here. A big reason for the inflation is that these teams have combined for 216 and 213 points in their last two meetings. However, in that 216-point outing, the Thunder shot 54.2% as a team while the Spurs shot 53.3%. Neither team will come close to matching those blistering percentages in this one. Five of the past seven meetings in this series have seen 200 or fewer combined points, so the past two meetings were clearly the aberration. Both teams still have plenty to play for, which is why the level of intensity defensively should be a very high level. The Thunder are trying to fend off the Clippers for the No. 2 seed in the West while inching closer to the Spurs, who want to clinch the No. 1 seed ASAP to give their starters some rest down the stretch. The Spurs are 4-0 to the UNDER in their last four vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600, 6-0 to the UNDER in their last six games following a SU win of more than 10 points, 7-0 to the UNDER in their last seven following an ATS win, and 7-1 to the UNDER in their last eight games playing on 0 days of rest. The UNDER is 4-0 in Thunder's last four home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600. These five trends combine for a 28-1 system backing the UNDER. Roll with the UNDER in this game Thursday. | |||||||
04-02-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Phoenix Suns UNDER 214 | Top | 112-108 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Clippers/Suns UNDER 214 The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between the Los Angeles Clippers and Phoenix Suns. This will be the 4th and final meeting between these Pacific Division rivals, and familiarity breeds low-scoring games. The UNDER is 3-0 in the first three meetings between these teams. They did combine for 217 points last meeting, but the other two resulted in 200 and 195 combined points. That's an average of 204 combined points per game, which is 10 points less than tonight's posted total. My biggest reason for backing the UNDER is that Los Angeles is expected to be without two of its top three scorers in Blake Griffin (24.0 ppg, 9.6 rpg) and Jamal Crawford (18.6 ppg). Griffin is doubtful with a back injury, while Crawford is doubtful with an injured Achilles. The Clippers are 16-4 to the UNDER versus poor passing teams that average 20 or fewer assists per game over the last two seasons. Phoenix is a perfect 9-0 to the UNDER in home games off two straight games outrebounding opponent by 10 or more since 1996. The Suns are 16-5 to the UNDER off a double-digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more since 1996. The UNDER is 11-4-1 in Clippers last 16 games overall. The UNDER is 4-0 in Suns last four overall. The UNDER is 10-2-1 in the last 13 meetings in this series, including a perfect 6-0 in the last six meetings in Phoenix. Both teams have a lot to play for tonight, so look for the defensive intensity to be at a high level. | |||||||
04-02-14 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Philadelphia 76ers +8.5 | 123-93 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Night Line Mistake on Philadelphia 76ers +8.5 The Philadelphia 76ers continue to show tremendous value due to having one of the worst records in the league. This team has made me a lot of money of late, and I'm going to continue to back them because they are undervalued once again as an 8.5-point home underdog to Charlotte. Sure, the Bobcats are improved this season and will make the playoffs, but they should not be this heavily favored against anyone at home let alone on the road. They are pretty much guaranteed either a No. 6 or a No. 7 seed in the East, so they really don't have a whole lot to play for the rest of the way. Philadelphia clearly has not quit. It has gone a very profitable 6-2 ATS in its last 10 games overall. That includes a 90-99 at Indiana as a 9.5-point dog, a 94-102 home loss to Chicago as a 13.5-point dog, a 92-93 home loss to New York as a 12-point dog, an 81-91 loss at Chicago as a 16-point dog, and a 123-98 home win versus Detroit as a 6-point dog. The only big blowouts and non-covers suffered by the 76ers during this stretch came at San Antonio and at Houston, which can be expected as those are two of the best teams in the Western Conference. Many thought they would fold after ending their 26-game losing streak, but that wasn't the case last time out. They fought tough at Atlanta for four quarters before eventually losing 95-103 as a 12-point dog. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series of late. The home team is a perfect 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Philadelphia is 7-2 SU in its last nine meetings with Charlotte. It won its last home meeting with the Bobcats 95-92 on January 15 as a 2-point favorite. Now, it is an 8.5-point underdog, which just goes to show you how much value there is in this line. Charlotte is 2-12 ATS revenging a close loss vs. opponent of 3 points or less over the last three seasons. The Bobcats are 35-59 ATS revenging a same season loss vs. opponent over the last three seasons. The Bobcats are 3-12 ATS after scoring 100 points or more in two straight games over the last two years. Philadelphia is a perfect 8-0 ATS in its last eight games vs. Eastern Conference opponents. Take the 76ers Wednesday. | |||||||
04-01-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 205 | 122-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Warriors/Mavericks UNDER 205 The books have set the bar too high in this contest between the Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks tonight. One look at the scores in the first three meetings between these teams this season and it's easy to see that this number has been inflated. Indeed, the Warriors and Mavs have met three times with final combined scores of 193, 188 and 202 points. That's an average of 194.3 points per game, which is roughly 11 points less than tonight's posted total. If you don't count overtime, then the Mavs and Warriors have combined for 202 or fewer points in six of their last seven meetings as well. Golden State just isn't the same offensive team without second-leading scorer David Lee (18.5 ppg, 9.4 rpg), who has missed the past two games with a hamstring injury. It has made a big impact on the Warriors, who have scored an average of 91.3 points per game in their last three games overall. They literally have no inside scoring presence without Lee, who is listed as doubtful tonight. The UNDER is a perfect 8-0 in Warriors last eight Tuesday games. The UNDER is 5-0 in Mavericks last five vs. a team with a winning record. The UNDER is 5-0 in the last five meetings in this series. These three trends combine for a perfect 18-0 system backing the UNDER tonight. Roll with the UNDER in this game Tuesday. | |||||||
03-31-14 | Philadelphia 76ers +12.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | 95-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Philadelphia 76ers +12.5 The Philadelphia 76ers have been undervalued for quite some time now as we approach the end of the season. Many feel that this team has given up, but from following them closely, that is clearly not the case. They have gone 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall while being much more competitive against some quality competition in the Pacers, Bulls (twice), Knicks, Spurs, Rockets and Pistons. Sure, the 76ers lack talent due to a couple of trades, but they just recently got back a key player in Tony Wroten (13.3 ppg) from injury. To no surprise, the 76ers put an end to their 26-game losing streak in his first game back, beating Detroit 123-98 on Saturday night. This team will play out the season and relish the role of spoiler as all of these players are fighting for jobs next year. With the way Atlanta has been playing for a couple months, it has no business being this heavily favored against anyone. Atlanta (31-41) has gone 6-20 since February 4, and it is in the midst of its second losing streak of six games or more during this stretch. Kyle Korver leads the league in 3-point shooting at 48.6 percent, but has missed the past six games with a back injury, and he's questionable to return tonight. The 76ers have a huge edge in rest here as this will be just their 3rd game in 7 days, while the Hawks will be playing their 6th game in 9 days. Philadelphia is a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last seven vs. Eastern Conference opponents. Atlanta is 5-20-1 ATS in its last 26 games overall. The Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games. Roll with the 76ers Monday. | |||||||
03-31-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Indiana Pacers +4.5 | Top | 103-77 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
20* Spurs/Pacers Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Indiana +4.5 The Indiana Pacers should not be a home underdog to anyone. I'll take advantage Monday and back them at arguably their best price of the season as a 4.5-point home dog to the San Antonio Spurs. The Pacers are undervalued right now due to having lost four of their last five games overall. Their one win during this stretch came against Miami, so they have proven they can step it up when they need to. They only lead the Heat by one game for the No. 1 seed in the East, so this is a very important game for them. All four of Indiana's losses during this five-game stretch have come on the road. It returns home tonight where it is a sensational 33-4 on the season, outscoring opponents by a whopping 12.5 points per game. That's why this team knows how important it will be to secure home-court advantage in the East. San Antonio comes in overvalued due to its franchise-best 17-game winning streak. The competition has been weak to say the least, which is the biggest reason for this streak. Their last four games have come against the 76ers, Nuggets (twice) and Pelicans. I'm predicting their run comes to an end tonight, but I'll gladly take the points for some added insurance. Plays against any team (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 42-11 (79.2%) ATS over the last five seasons. Indiana is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 home games following a double-digit loss. Take the Pacers Monday. | |||||||
03-30-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Orlando Magic +4.5 | 98-93 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +4.5 The Orlando Magic obviously have had a rough season. However, they have been sneaky good at home, going 17-18 straight up in all home games this season. I believe they should be the favorite in this game against Toronto tonight. Orlando has not quit on its season. It is coming off back-to-back home wins over playoff contenders in Portland (95-85) and Charlotte (110-105). It is certainly doing a good job of playing the role of spoiler, and I look for that to continue tonight. Toronto has been underrated for much of the season as it is 41-31 on the year and sitting in third place in the Eastern Conference. However, I believe the odds have finally caught up to the Raptors, and now it's time to fade this overvalued bunch. One reason the Magic will be motivated for this game is the fact that they are 0-2 against the Raptors this season and want to avoid the sweep. In fact, they have lost six straight in this series overall. They'll be looking to put an end to this skid tonight. Orlando is a sensational 9-1 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points this season. Toronto is 16-32 ATS in its last 48 games off a close home win by 3 points or less. The Magic are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games overall. Roll with the Magic Sunday. | |||||||
03-30-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 184 | 76-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
15* NBA Sunday Total ANNIHILATOR on Pacers/Cavaliers UNDER 184 The Indiana Pacers and Cleveland Cavaliers will take part in a defensive battle today. If recent meetings between these teams is any indication, there's no question that the books have set the bar too high in this one. The Pacers and Cavaliers have met three times already this season, so they are very familiar with one another. They have combined for 160, 167 and 163 points in their last three meetings, respectively. That's an average of 163.3 combined points per game, which is roughly 21 points less than tonight's posted total of 184. Indiana ranks 20th in pace at 95.4 possessions per game, while Cleveland is 19th at 95.5 possessions per game. The Pacers lead the league in defensive efficiency, giving up just 95.5 points per 100 possessions. Their job will be much easier tonight considering Cleveland is without leading scorer Kyrie Irving (21.2 ppg). Indiana is 30-13 to the UNDER versus poor foul drawing teams that attempt 24 or fewer free throws per game this season. The Pacers are 22-5 to the UNDER when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season. Indiana is 15-3 to the UNDER after a combined score of 175 points or less in four straight games since 1996. The UNDER is 7-0 in Pacers last seven games overall. The UNDER is 6-0 in Cavaliers last six vs. NBA Central Division foes. The UNDER is 56-21-2 in Cavaliers last 79 Sunday game. Take the UNDER in this game Sunday. | |||||||
03-29-14 | New Orleans Pelicans v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 202.5 | 80-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Total ANNIHILATOR on Pelicans/Spurs UNDER 202.5 The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between the San Antonio Spurs and New Orleans Pelicans. I look for a low-scoring, defensive battle between these Southwest Divisions rivals who are very familiar with one another. The last two meetings between these teams have seen 197 and 196 combined points, respectively. Five of the last seven meetings have seen 197 or fewer combined points as well. It's clear that when these division foes get together, defense wins out. I look for that to be the case even more tonight, especially for the Spurs considering the Pelicans are likely without all five starters. Ryan Anderson (19.8 ppg) and Jrue Holiday (14.3 ppg) are out, while Anthony Davis (21.3 ppg), Eric Gordon (15.4 ppg) and Brian Robers (9.5 ppg) are all listed as doubtful. Points will certainly be hard to come by for the Pelicans as they'll be lost offensively. The Spurs could easily elect to rest their starters in this spot considering they are playing the second of a back-to-back and Greg Popovich has been known to give his guys a night off in these spots. San Antonio is 20-7 to the UNDER in its last 27 home games after scoring 120 points or more in its previous game. The UNDER is 6-1 in Spurs' last seven games when playing the second of a back-to-back. Take the UNDER in this game Saturday. | |||||||
03-29-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Houston Rockets UNDER 217 | 118-107 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
15* Clippers/Rockets Western Conference No-Brainer on UNDER 217 There is a lot at stake in this game between the Clippers and Rockets tonight. Los Angeles leads Houston by just one game for the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference. As a result, I expect both teams to put their best foot forward defensively tonight. Looking at the last two meetings between these teams this season, it's easy to see that this number has been inflated. The Clippers won 107-94 on the road on November 9 for 201 combined points. They also won 101-93 at home on February 22 for 194 combined points. Most wouldn't realize it, but both Los Angeles and Houston rank inside the top 10 in the league in defensive efficiency. The Clippers rank 6th at 101.6 points allowed per 100 possessions, while the Rockets are 10th at 102.2 points per 100 possessions. Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), on Saturday games are 26-6 (81.2%) since 1996. Houston is 8-1 to the UNDER In home games versus good shooting teams that make 46% or more of their shots this season. The Rockets are 13-2 to the UNDER versus good teams that outscore their opponents by 6-plus points per game in the second half of the season over the last two seasons. The UNDER is 10-1-1 in Clippers last 12 games following a win. The UNDER is 8-1-1 in Clippers last 10 games overall. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings in this series. The UNDER is 6-0-1 in Clippers last seven games playing on 1 days' rest. Roll with the UNDER in this game Saturday. | |||||||
03-28-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 215.5 | 133-102 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Total ANNIHILATOR on Spurs/Nuggets UNDER 215.5 The books have set the bar too high tonight in this game between the Denver Nuggets and San Antonio Spurs. Familiarity breeds low-scoring games, and these teams just played two nights ago in a 108-103 San Antonio home victory for 211 combined points. Recent meetings between these teams have been very low scoring when compared to tonight's posted total of 215.5. Indeed, the Spurs and Nuggets have combined for 211, 196, 182 and 199 points in their last four meetings, respectively. That's an average of 197 combined points per game, which is roughly 19 points less than tonight's posted total. The UNDER is 35-15-1 in the last 51 meetings as well. Denver has all kinds of injury issues right now that make points hard to come by. It is without Nate Robinson, J.J. Hickson, Wilson Chandler, Danilo Gallinari and JaVale McGee. San Antonio is without Danny Green and Matt Bonner. These injuries are a big reason why I believe this recent UNDER trend between these teams continues tonight. The Nuggets are 8-1 to the UNDER vs. excellent 3-point shooting teams that make 39% or more of their attempts this season. The UNDER is 6-0 in Spurs last six Friday games. San Antonio is 5-0 to the UNDER in its last five when its opponent scores 100 points or more in its previous game. The UNDER is 4-0 in Spurs last four games overall. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last four meetings in this series. These last four trends combine for a 19-0 system backing the UNDER. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday. | |||||||
03-28-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 97-108 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
20* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 The Cleveland Cavaliers are making one final run at trying to make the playoffs despite playing without Kyrie Irving. The loss of Irving has really made them come together as a team, and don't forget, backup point guard Jarrett Jack could start on a lot of teams. Cleveland has won three straight over New York, Toronto and Detroit to pull within three games of the Atlanta Hawks for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. It hasn't lost any of its last six games by more than 7 points, which includes narrow losses to Miami (96-100), OKC (95-102) and Houston (111-118) to prove that it can play with anyone. The Nets are overvalued right now due to some solid play over the past month-plus. They have no business being this heavily favored tonight. They are also coming off back-to-back losses to New Orleans and Charlotte. The Nets are going to make the playoffs, but they have little chance of earning home-court advantage in the first round. They are kind of stuck in la-la land because of it. Cleveland is 12-1 ATS after playing four consecutive games as an underdog this season. Brooklyn is 0-7 ATS after a road game where both teams scored 100 or more points this season. The Nets are 4-17 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less over the last two seasons. The Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall. Bet the Cavaliers Friday. | |||||||
03-28-14 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Orlando Magic +4.5 | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
15* Bobcats/Magic Southeast Division DAGGER on Orlando +4.5 The Orlando Magic get the call as a home underdog to the Charlotte Bobcats tonight. The Bobcats have no business being a favorite here, and the only reason they are is due to being in the playoff race. However, the Bobcats will likely be a No. 7 or No. 8 seed no matter what, so they really do not have all that much to play for at this point. They are overvalued right now due to being the playoffs and also due to a recent stretch of solid play prior to coming back down to reality and dropping three of their last five. Orlando has not quit, and it will not give in to a Southeast Division rival like Charlotte tonight. The Magic are coming off a 95-85 home victory over Portland on Tuesday to show that they have not quit. Now, they have had two days' rest prior to this game, so they will be ready to go tonight. Charlotte is 2-14 ATS after two straight games being called for 5-plus less fouls than its opponent over the last three seasons. Orlando is 8-1 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points this season. The Magic are a respectable 16-18 SU at home, while the Bobcats are 14-21 SU on the road. The Magic are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Orlando is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 home games overall. Take the Magic Friday. | |||||||
03-28-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Washington Wizards +2 | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Night Line Mistake on Washington Wizards +2 The Washington Wizards get the nod as a home underdog to the Indiana Pacers tonight. Washington will be hungry for a win after losing two straight and four of its last five games coming in. It is currently a No. 6 seed and wants to not fall to No. 7 to avoid either Miami or Indiana in the playoffs. The Pacers are in a massive letdown spot tonight. They are coming off a huge 84-83 home win over Miami on Wednesday to pull three games ahead of the Heat for the No. 1 seed in the East. Off such a big win, it's only human nature for them to have a letdown tonight since they still have plenty of room to spare to earn that No. 1 seed even if they lose this one. Washington has been thoroughly embarrassed by Indiana in two meetings this season, which will add to its motivation. It has lost both road meetings by finals of 73-93 and 66-93. The Pacers will have a hard time showing up because of it as well, thinking they'll just have to go through the motions to beat this team. Look for the Wizards to fight back tonight. Despite having one of the best records in the league, the Pacers are just a mediocre 19-16 on the road this season. Indiana is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 road games. The Pacers are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall. Indiana is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Wizards are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Roll with the Wizards Friday. | |||||||
03-28-14 | Boston Celtics v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 194.5 | Top | 103-105 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
25* NBA Atlantic Division TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Celtics/Raptors UNDER 194.5 I backed the UNDER between the Celtics and Raptors when they met up just two nights ago in a 99-90 Toronto road victory for 189 combined points. I'm going to back the UNDER again as familiarity breeds low-scoring games. A big reason I was on the UNDER two nights ago is because of familiarity considering both the Celtics and Raptors are Atlantic Division Rivals. This will be the 4th and final meeting of the season between these teams, and the first three have been very low-scoring. Indeed, the Raptors and Celtics have combined for 180, 171 and 189 points in their first three meetings. That's an average of 180 combined points per game, which is 14.5 points less than tonight's posted total of 194.5. As you can see, there is a ton of value with the UNDER Here. Boston is 10-1 to the UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (win percentage between 51% and 60%) this season. The Celtics are 16-5 to the UNDER off a home loss this season. The UNDER is 8-2 in Raptors last 10 Friday games. The UNDER is 20-8 in Celtics last 28 games following an ATS loss. Roll with the UNDER in this game Friday. | |||||||
03-27-14 | Philadelphia 76ers +20 v. Houston Rockets | 98-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia 76ers +20 The Philadelphia 76ers are highly motivated to put an end to their franchise-high 25-game winning streak. This team is embarrassed, and they are tired of getting on Sportscenter for all the wrong reasons. The 76ers have responded well recently, playing much more competitive basketball while earning backers a nice return on their investment in the process. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall, which four losses by 10 points or less to Indiana, New York and Chicago (twice). Houston isn't the type of mentally tough team that will lay it all on the line tonight to cover this massive 20-point spread. Plus, it could be looking ahead to a huge showdown on Saturday with the Los Angeles Clippers, who lead the Rockets by a narrow margin for the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference. Philadelphia is a perfect 7-0 ATS in road games off two consecutive road games this season. It is actually winning 106.1 to 102.4 in this spot, or by an average of 3.7 points per game. This team has just been more comfortable the longer it is on the road. Houston is 11-25 ATS in its last 36 games as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more. Philly is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 meetings with Houston. Bet the 76ers Thursday. | |||||||
03-26-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. New Orleans Pelicans +7 | 96-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on New Orleans Pelicans +7 The New Orleans Pelicans have proven that they are going to play out their season despite the fact that they have been eliminated from the playoffs. These are the teams that you can back late in the year and catch some really good lines because they are inflated as the betting public assumes they are going to quit. All the Pelicans have done over the last three weeks is go 7-3 straight up in their last 10 games overall. That includes three straight wins over playoff contenders in Atlanta (111-105) on the road, and Miami (105-95) and Brooklyn (109-104) at home. Their only three losses during this stretch all came by 8 points or fewer against playoff contenders in Portland, Memphis and Toronto. Los Angeles comes in overvalued due to having won 13 of its last 14 games overall. It s last five games have all come against non-playoff contenders in Utah, Cleveland, Denver, Detroit and Milwaukee. It has won by single-digits in three of those four games, and it has also lost at Denver (100-110) for its lone defeat. The Clippers could easily get complacent, and it looks like they have already started to. Another reason why they not be fully engaged in this game is the fact that they are 3-0 in their first three meetings of the season with the Pelicans. That places New Orleans in revenge mode as it desperately wants to avoid the season sweep. Los Angeles is just 19-16 on the road this season, while New Orleans is 18-17 at home. Plays on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - good shooting team - shooting >=46% on the season, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making >=47% of their shots are 22-5 (81.5%) ATS since 1996. New Orleans is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home meetings with Los Angeles. Roll with the Pelicans Wednesday. | |||||||
03-26-14 | Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers -2 | Top | 83-84 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
20* Heat/Pacers ESPN Wednesday No-Brainer on Indiana -2 This is a statement game for the Indiana Pacers (51-20), who lead the Miami Heat (48-21) by just 1.5 games for the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference. They realize their best chance of beating the Heat in the playoffs is with home-court advantage, and a win tonight would certainly inch them closer to getting it. Home-court advantage has been absolutely huge when these teams have gotten together in recent years. The home team has won six straight and 10 of the last 12 in this series. The home team has won both meetings this season, and I look for this trend to continue tonight. Miami has not been playing well over the past month. It has gone just 5-7 straight up in its last 12 games overall and all five of its wins came by single-digits, so it really hasn't been blowing anybody out. The Heat are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as well. The Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games. Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last five games following a S.U. win. Combine these two trends with the fact that the home team is 6-0 in the last six meetings, and we have a perfect 17-0 system backing Indiana tonight. Bet the Pacers Wednesday. | |||||||
03-26-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Boston Celtics UNDER 195 | 99-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Total ANNIHILATOR on Raptors/Celtics UNDER 195 The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between the Toronto Raptors and Boston Celtics. These Atlantic Division rivals are very familiar with one another, and familiarity leads to low-scoring games. Indeed, both meetings between the Raptors and Celtics have been extremely low-scoring this season. Toronto won 93-87 at home on October 30 for 180 combined points, while Boston won 88-83 at home on January 15 for 171 combined points. As you can see, both of those games finished well below tonight's posted total of 195, creating a ton of line value. Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in pace. Toronto ranks 22nd in pace at 94.6 possessions per game, while Boston is 17th in pace at 95.8 possessions per contest. Surprising to many is the fact that Toronto ranks 8th in the league in defensive efficiency this season, yielding 101.6 points per 100 possessions. The Celtics are right in the middle of the pack at 16th (104.2). Boston is 9-1 to the UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) this season. The Celtics are 20-9 to the UNDER off one or more consecutive overs this season. The UNDER is 35-17 in Celtics last 52 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Toronto is 29-11 to the UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last three seasons. Take the UNDER in this game Wednesday. | |||||||
03-25-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 211.5 | Top | 119-128 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
20* Thunder/Mavs TNT TOTAL OF THE MONTH on UNDER 211.5 The Oklahoma City Thunder take on the Dallas Mavericks for the second time in 10 days tonight. Familiarity leads to low-scoring games more times than not, and I look for the final combined score of this contest to stay well below the posted total of 211.5. This has been a very low-scoring series in recent years. In two meetings this season, they have combined for 195 and 200 points. If you don't count overtime, Dallas and Oklahoma City have combined for 210 or fewer points in each of their last 15 meetings. That makes for a perfect 15-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to tonight's total set. Both teams have participated in overtime games and high-scoring affairs recently, which has inflated this number. Dallas has gone to overtime in two of its last three games, while Oklahoma City went to double-overtime against Toronto a few nights back. Provided this one avoids overtime, I have no doubt it will stay below the total. Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday. | |||||||
03-25-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 195.5 | 100-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Raptors/Cavaliers UNDER 195.5 The books have set the bar too high in this Eastern Conference showdown between the Toronto Raptors and Cleveland Cavaliers. I'll take advantage and back the UNDER in what I anticipate to be a very low-scoring contest. Scoring has been slow in recent meetings between these teams. They have combined for 197 or fewer points in each of their last five meetings, including 189 and 192 in their two meetings in 2013-14. The UNDER is a perfect 5-0 in the last five meetings and 8-1 in the last nine meetings. Cleveland is without leading scorer and assist man Kyrie Irving (21.2 ppg, 6.2 apg) until early April. This team has done a decent job of scoring without him so far, but that's how it works. Usually, a team can make up for a superstar for a few games, but over time they really start to miss that star. I believe that will be the case starting tonight against defensive-minded Toronto. Both of these teams like to play at slow paces in the half court. Toronto ranks 22nd in the league in pace at 94.6 possessions per game, while Cleveland is 19th at 95.6 possessions per game. The Raptors rank an impressive 6th in the league in defensive efficiency, yielding just 101.4 points per 100 possessions. Cleveland is 8-0 to the UNDER off a game with five or less offensive rebounds over the last three seasons. The Cavaliers are 10-1 to the UNDER off a road win this year. The UNDER is 21-5-1 in Raptors last 27 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The UNDER is 8-1 in Cavaliers last nine after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Take the UNDER in this game Tuesday. | |||||||
03-24-14 | Detroit Pistons v. Utah Jazz +1 | Top | 114-94 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
20* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Utah Jazz -1 The Utah Jazz showing tremendous value as basically a pick 'em against the Detroit Pistons tonight. Salt Lake City remains a tough place to play despite the season the Jazz are having, and I look for them to take care of business at home tonight. It's clear to me that Detroit has given up on its season, which is the biggest reason I am going to fade it tonight. It has lost five straight games to essentially fall out of the Eastern Conference playoff race. The Pistons have lost 15 of their last 18 games overall. I cannot see them picking themselves up off the mat tonight. While the Jazz have been struggling as well, the main culprit has been a brutal schedule that featured six straight losses to teams that would be in the playoff if the season ended today. In their first game against a non-playoff contender, the Jazz got back on track with a victory over the Orlando Magic on Saturday to prove they have not quit. This will only be their 2nd game in 5 days, so they are well-rested and ready to go. Utah is 15-1 SU in its last 16 meetings with Detroit as this has clearly been a one-sided series. The Jazz are also 14-2 SU in their last 16 home meetings with the Pistons. Enough said. Bet the Jazz Monday. | |||||||
03-24-14 | Philadelphia 76ers +21 v. San Antonio Spurs | 91-113 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Night Line Mistake on Philadelphia 76ers +21 The Philadelphia 76ers have been a huge money maker for me of lately. I'm going to continue to ride them as I feel once again they are undervalued as a massive underdog tonight to the San Antonio Spurs. The reason the 76ers have been catching so many points of late is because they are in the midst of a 24-game losing streak. However, there's no question this team is tired of the embarrassment of being on Sportscenter for all the wrong reasons, and they have been playing inspired basketball to try and put an end to the streak as a result. Indeed, Philadelphia has been much more competitive of late. Seven of its last nine losses have come by 13 points or less, including home losses to Indiana (94-101), New York (92-93) and Chicago (94-102), and road losses to Indiana (90-99) and Chicago (81-91). As you can see, this team has been competitive with some of the best teams in the league, and I look for that to be the case again tonight. Like the 76ers are undervalued due to their losing streak, the Spurs are way overvalued due to their winning streak. They have won 13 straight games heading into this one. This is a massive letdown spot for the Spurs, who will not be motivated at all to face the 76ers. In fact, it wouldn't surprise me one bit of Greg Popovich takes this opportunity to get his starters some rest, which would only help our cause. Plays on road teams (PHILADELPHIA) - cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 60-28 (68.2%) ATS over the last five seasons. The 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall. Roll with the 76ers Monday. | |||||||
03-24-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. New Orleans Pelicans +2 | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New Orleans Pelicans +2 The New Orleans Pelicans get the nod as a small home underdog to the Brooklyn Nets tonight. They should not be a dog in this contest given the rest situation and how well this team has been playing of late. Indeed, the Pelicans come in on one days' rest having last played on Saturday, while the Nets will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. The Nets also went to overtime Sunday against Dallas, which makes this task that much more difficult. Also, they are already short-handed playing without Kevin Garnett, while Andrei Kirilenko is questionable with an ankle injury suffered yesterday. The Pelicans have been a thorn in the side of a lot of teams of late despite the fact that they will not be going to the playoffs. They have gone 6-3 in their last nine games overall with their only three losses coming to playoff contenders in Memphis, Portland and Toronto all by 8 points or less. They have won back-to-back games at Atlanta (111-105) and versus defending champion Miami (105-95). The Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last six when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in its last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The home team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings in this series. Take the Pelicans Monday. | |||||||
03-24-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 180 | 77-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Pacers/Bulls UNDER 180 The books have set the bar too high in this contest between the Indiana Pacers and Chicago Bulls tonight. These teams just played on Friday with Indiana winning 91-79 at home for 170 combined points. I look for a similar result in this one. Familiarity breeds low-scoring games, and having played just a couple nights ago, the edge goes to the defenses of both teams. The books set the total at 179.5 for that contest, which is basically the same for this one. Their failure to adjust provides us with some value on the UNDER tonight. These are the two best teams in the league defensively. Indeed, the Pacers rank 1st in defensive efficiency at 95.4 points per 100 possessions, while the Bulls are 2nd at 97.9 points per 100 possessions. Also, Indiana ranks 20th in the league in pace at 95.5 possessions per game, while Chicago ranks 28th at 92.9 possessions per game. As you can see, both teams like to play in the half court, which benefits the under with the way they play D. The UNDER is 25-10-1 in Pacers last 36 games when playing on one days' rest. The Bulls are 20-8 to the UNDER in their last 28 home games. The UNDER is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in this series, including 4-1 in the last five meetings in Chicago. Indiana is 17-5 to the UNDER when playing its 3rd game in 4 days this season. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday. | |||||||
03-23-14 | Milwaukee Bucks +8 v. Sacramento Kings | Top | 107-124 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Milwaukee Bucks +8 The Milwaukee Bucks represent my strongest release in an East vs. West battle for the entire month of March Sunday. The Sacramento Kings have no business being this heavily favored over anyone; not even the Bucks. Sure, Milwaukee (13-56) owns the worst record in basketball, but it is undervalued as a result. Oddsmakers are forced to inflate its lines because of that fact. Now, the Bucks have been an absolute covering machine because time and time again they are catching too many points. Indeed, the Bucks are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall. They have lost their last two games on the road to Western Conference playoff contenders in Portland (115-120) as a 12.5-point dog, and Golden State (110-115) as a 13-point dog. Milwaukee clearly has not quit on its season by the way it keeps covering spreads at an alarming rate. Sure, it isn't winning a lot of games, but it has been competitive in almost every game for a while now. In fact, it has only lost seven of its last 23 games by double-digits. It comes in well-rested an ready to go having last played on Thursday, March 20. This is a revenge game for the Bucks, who just lost at home to Sacramento by a final of 102-116 on March 5. This contest takes place less than three weeks later, so you can bet that the Bucks will be the more motivated team. The Kings won't have any interest at all, and they could easily suffer a hangover from their loss to the Western Conference-leading Spurs on Friday. Plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 road covers where the team lost straight up as an underdog are 29-8 (78.4%) ATS since 1996. Milwaukee is 7-0 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams that score 99-plus points per game in the second half of the season this season. The Bucks are 9-1 ATS after scoring 100-plus points in two straight games this season. Milwaukee is 72-42 ATS in its last 114 games off four or more consecutive losses. The Bucks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Kings are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Bet the Bucks Sunday. | |||||||
03-22-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 208.5 | Top | 99-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
20* Spurs/Warriors NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 208.5 The books have set the bar too high in this contest between the San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors. These teams are very familiar with one another after meeting in the playoffs last year, and familiarity breeds low-scoring games as it favors defense. Looking back at the past several meeting between these teams, it's easy to see that this number has been inflated. The Spurs and Warriors have combined by 206 or fewer points in each of their last seven meetings. Not counting overtime, they have combined to average 183.6 points per game in their last seven meetings, which is roughly 25 points less than tonight's posted total. Believe it or not, these are two of the best defensive teams in the league. Golden State ranks 3rd in defensive efficiency, allowing just 99.5 points per 100 possessions. San Antonio ranks 4th, yielding 100.2 points per 100 possessions. They trail only Indiana (95.4) and Chicago (97.9) in this department. Golden State is 13-1 to the UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs. opponent as a favorite this season. The Warriors are 12-3to the UNDER after allowing 110 points or more this season. Golden State is 20-6 to the UNDER after a combined score of 205 points or more this year. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. | |||||||
03-22-14 | Philadelphia 76ers +16.5 v. Chicago Bulls | 81-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Philadelphia 76ers +16.5 The Philadelphia 76ers are clearly a prideful team. They have been trying desperately to put an end to their 23-game losing streak, and they have been covering spreads at an alarming rate as a result. This team wants to put an end to this skid because they know how embarrassing it is to be on Sportscenter every night for the wrong reason. As a result, the 76ers clearly have not packed it in even though they have had every reason to. They have gone an impressive 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall with losses at New York (110-123) as a 15.5-point dog, at Indiana (90-99) as a 19.5-point dog, versus Indiana (94-101) as a 16-point dog, versus Chicago (94-102) as a 13.5-point dog, and versus New York (92-93) as a 12-point dog. That game against Chicago occurred just a few days ago on Wednesday, March 19. So, that will add to the motivation for the 76ers as they'll want revenge just three days later. Meanwhile, Chicago could suffer a hangover from its 79-91 loss at Eastern Conference-leading Indiana last night. This isn't a team built to blow teams out, either, which work in our favor here. Chicago is 1-8 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams that allow a shooting percentage of 46% or worse this season. It is actually losing 90.4 to 97.7 in this spot, or by 7.3 points per game. The Bulls are 22-38 ATS as a home favorite over the last two seasons. Philadelphia is 66-42 ATS in its last 108 games as a double-digit underdog. The 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last five vs. Eastern Conference foes. The Bulls are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Take the 76ers Saturday. | |||||||
03-21-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Sacramento Kings +8 | 99-79 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
15* Spurs/Kings NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Sacramento +8 The Sacramento Kings are showing tremendous value as an 8-point home underdog to the San Antonio Spurs tonight. I look for this game to go right down to the wire with the home team having a chance to win outright in the closing seconds. Despite their overall struggles, the Kings still tend to play very well at home. In fact, they are outscoring opponents on the season in all home games, so it clearly has been an advantage playing inside of Sleep Train Arena. They'll give the Spurs all they want and more tonight. In fact, Sacramento has played San Antonio very tough in recent meetings. The Spurs have won by 8 points or fewer in three straight meetings with the Kings, but all three of those contests took place in San Antonio. The Kings lost 93-95 and 104-112 in the first two meetings this season with both being on the road. I have no doubt that San Antonio comes into this game way overvalued due to its current 11-game winning streak. It has also covered five straight. This has become a very public team as a result, which has forced oddsmakers to inflate the line tonight to a number where the only play is on the home dog. Sacramento is 31-15 ATS in its last 46 games as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. The Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall. Sacramento is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Kings have covered in four of their last five meetings with the Spurs. Roll with the Kings Friday. | |||||||
03-21-14 | New York Knicks v. Philadelphia 76ers +12 | 93-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Philadelphia 76ers +12 The Philadelphia 76ers are showing tremendous value as a double-digit home underdog to the New York Knicks tonight. I'll take advantage and back them in a game that will likely be decided by single-digits either way between these Atlantic Division rivals. Believe it or not, the 76ers have not quit on their season despite losing 22 straight games coming into this one. This streak has only inflated their lines to the point where you have to back them because there's so much value in doing so. As a result, they have come through for bettors of late while being highly competitive. Indeed, the 76ers are 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall. That includes a 110-123 loss at New York as a 15.5-point underdog, a 94-101 home loss to Indiana as a 16-point dog, a 90-99 road loss to Indiana as a 19-point dog, and a 94-102 home loss to Chicago as an 8-point dog. Those efforts right there against some of the top teams in the league show that they have not quit. While the 76ers are undervalued due to their losing streak, the Knicks are way overvalued due to their winning streak. They have won seven straight games coming into this contest, including a 92-86 home victory over Indiana last time out. However, that was their only win against a team that would be in the playoffs if the season ended today, and thus they have been beating up on weak competition this entire time. Asking the Knicks to win by 13-plus points to beat us is simply asking too much. This is a division rivalry, so the 76ers are not going to just lay down. Also, these teams just played on March 10 with New York winning by 13 in a game that was much closer than the final score would indicate. So, the 76ers will want revenge less than two weeks later. Not to mention, four of the past five meetings have been decided by 10 points or less with that 13-point home victory for the Knicks being the lone exception. Plays on home underdogs of 10 or more points (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 31-7 (81.6%) ATS since 1996. New York is 4-18 ATS in its last 22 road games after having won six or seven of its last eight games. Bet the 76ers Friday. | |||||||
03-20-14 | Milwaukee Bucks +14 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
20* Bucks/Warriors NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Milwaukee +14 Because the Milwaukee Bucks have the worst record in the league, they have been extremely undervalued over the past couple months. The betting public wants nothing to do with this team, so oddsmakers have been forced to inflate their spreads, and thus they have been getting the cash at an alarming rate. Indeed, the Bucks are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall. Amazingly, Milwaukee has only been beaten by more than 14 points two times in its last 24 games overall. That makes for a dynamite 22-2 system backing the Bucks pertaining to tonight's 14-point spread. The Warriors are clearly overvalued in this contest. They could be without two starters in Andre Iguodala and Andrew Bogut. Iguodala is for sure out, while Bogut missed last game and is doubtful with an ankle injury. It is also safe to assume that Golden State will be looking ahead to a huge showdown against the Western Conference-leading Spurs on Saturday night. Milwaukee has won three of its last four trips to Golden State OUTRIGHT. It has gone a perfect 4-0 ATS in the process with its only loss coming by 6 points. The Bucks are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with the Warriors overall. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. The Bucks are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 road games when playing 9 or more games in 14 days. Milwaukee is 71-42 ATS in its last 113 games following four or more consecutive losses. The Warriors are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Golden State is 9-19-1 ATS in its last 29 games following an ATS win. The Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a winning road record. Bet the Bucks Thursday. | |||||||
03-19-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 223 | Top | 125-109 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
20* Spurs/Lakers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 223 The books have set the bar too high in this contest between the San Antonio Spurs and Los Angeles Lakers. These teams played just five days ago on March 14, and familiarity breeds low-scoring games. Plus, both meetings between the Spurs and Lakers this season have been very low-scoring when compared to tonight's total set of 223. They combined for 176 points in a 91-85 San Antonio road victory on November 1, and 204 points in a 119-85 home victory for the Spurs on March 14. San Antonio is going to play defense night in and night out. It is only allowing 97.8 points per game this season, and it has held the Lakers to an average of 85 points per game in two meetings this year. I look for them to limit LA to fewer than 100 points once again in this one, which will pave the way for the UNDER to come through. Plays on the UNDER on road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SAN ANTONIO) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are 32-9 (78%) over the last five seasons. The UNDER is 21-7 in the last 28 meetings in this series. The UNDER is 9-2 in Lakers last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. The UNDER is 7-2 in Spurs last nine vs. a team with a losing record. The Lakers are 30-16 to the UNDER vs. explosive offensive teams that score 103-plus points per game over the last three seasons. Take the UNDER in this game Wednesday. | |||||||
03-19-14 | Miami Heat v. Boston Celtics UNDER 199 | 96-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Heat/Celtics UNDER 199 I have no doubt that the books have set the number too high in this contest between rivals Miami and Boston tonight. Sure, these teams aren't the rivals they were when Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett were still around, but Rajon Rondo remains a Celtic and is the leader of this team, so he will have his teammates up for this one. I look for the defensive intensity to remain at a high level, which has been a constant when these teams have gotten together in the past. In their most recent meeting on January 21, the Heat beat the Celtics 93-86 at home for 179 combined points. I look for a similar output tonight. Boston has really struggled to put the ball into the basket over the past couple months. It has scored fewer than 100 points in 19 of its last 24 games overall. I think that it's a safe bet that it will be held to under the century mark in this one as well. One of the biggest reasons this number has been inflated it because Miami has gone 3-0 to the OVER in its last three games overall. However, two of those were against Denver and Houston, which are two of the best offensive teams in the league, and the Nuggets don't play any defense. They combined for 196 points with the Cavaliers last night, and will come back tired playing the second of a back-to-back and their 7th game in 11 days. Miami is a perfect 9-0 to the UNDER in road games after scoring 55 points or more in the first half of two straight games over the last two seasons. It is combining with its opponents for an average of 188.4 points per game in this spot. The UNDER is 6-1 in Miami's last seven vs. a team with a losing record. The UNDER is 13-6 in Celtics last 19 home games. Boston is 20-9 to the UNDER vs. a team with a winning record this season. Roll with the UNDER in this game Wednesday. | |||||||
03-18-14 | Miami Heat v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 196 | Top | 100-96 | Push | 0 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Heat/Cavaliers UNDER 196 The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between the Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers. I recommend a play on the UNDER in what will be a low-scoring, defensive battle. Both of these teams have a lot to play for tonight. Miami is trying to catch Indiana for the top spot in the Eastern Conference, while Cleveland is fighting to stay alive for the playoffs. That's why both teams should bring max intensity to the defensive end of the floor tonight. However, my biggest reason for liking the UNDER is Cleveland's lack of offense without Kyrie Irving (21.2 ppg, 6.2 apg), who is expected to miss the next two weeks with a bicep injury. This team is going to be lost offensively without Irving, and they will look to play at more of a slow-it-down pace without him, too. Recent meetings between these teams in Cleveland have been very low-scoring. Indeed, the UNDER is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings in Cleveland. Each of the last three meetings in Cleveland have seen 193 or fewer combined points. Miami is 7-0 to the UNDER In road games after a combined score of 205 points or more in two straight games this season. The UNDER is 6-0 in Cavaliers last six games playing on one days' rest. The UNDER is 14-3 in Cleveland's last 17 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The UNDER is 8-2 in Heat last 10 games vs. Eastern Conference foes. The UNDER is 13-4 in Cavaliers' last 17 home games. Take the UNDER in this game Tuesday. | |||||||
03-17-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 97-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
20* Thunder/Bulls ESPN Monday No-Brainer on Oklahoma City -2.5 The Oklahoma City Thunder get the call Monday as a small road favorite over the Chicago Bulls. This is a very generous price for the Thunder, who are rarely this short of a favorite. They trail the Spurs by two games for the No. 1 seed in the West, so they have everything to play for. I look for the Thunder to play with a chip on their shoulder after an embarrassing 86-109 home loss to the Dallas Mavericks Sunday. They were playing without Russell Westbrook (21.6 ppg, 7.1 apg, 5.7 rpg) yesterday as he rested his knee, but he is expected to return tonight, which will make all of the difference in the world for this team. I am one of the biggest believers in the Bulls that there is. I love Tom Thibodeau and think he deserves Coach of the Year every year with what he has done with this team through injuries and trades. However, the odds are finally starting to catch up with them, and they are now overvalued as only a 2.5-point dog to a much superior team in the Thunder. Oklahoma City is 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four meetings with Chicago with three of those victories coming by double-digits. It has won by 12, 30, 6 and 14 points in the last four meetings, respectively. The Bulls have had no answer for Durant and Westbrook, and now with defensive stopper Luol Deng gone, they certainly won't tonight, either. The Thunder are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Oklahoma City is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 games following a double-digit home loss. The Thunder are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Bulls are 0-5 ATS in their last five Monday games, and 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a S.U. win. OKC is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 meetings in Chicago. Bet the Thunder Monday. | |||||||
03-16-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers +11 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 80-102 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
15* Cavs/Clippers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Cleveland +11 The Cleveland Cavaliers (26-40) are fighting for their playoff lives. They trail the Atlanta Hawks by four games for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Basically, every game for them from here on out is a must-win as they cannot afford to fall any further behind. The Cavaliers are handling the pressure of these must-win games incredibly of late. They have won back-to-back road games against Western Conference playoff contenders in Phoenix (110-101) as an 8-point underdog, and Golden State (103-94) as an 9.5-point dog. Now, they get another playoff contenders in the Clippers. I believe Los Angeles is way overvalued tonight due to its 10-game winning streak coming in. It has really shown signs of being overvalued of late, too, going 1-2-1 ATS in its last four games overall. Three of those wins came by single-digits, including a 109-108 home victory over Atlanta as a 15-point underdog. One key factor for the Clippers' struggles is that they have been playing without second-leading scorer Jamal Crawford (18.7 ppg), who is doubtful to play again tonight due to a calf injury. Also, both Chris Paul (ankle) and Blake Griffin (back) are banged up and listed on the injury report, though both are expected to play tonight. Cleveland has been a thorn in Los Angeles' side over the past two seasons. Indeed, the Cavaliers have gone 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS against the Clippers in their last four meetings. What makes that so impressive is that they have been an underdog of 6-plus points in every game. Dating back further, Cleveland is 12-2 SU in its last 14 meetings with the Clippers. The Cavaliers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a win. Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in its last eight after scoring 100 points or more in its previous game. The Cavaliers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games. Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last seven meetings with Los Angeles. Roll with the Cavaliers Sunday. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $846 |
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
Dan Kaiser | $545 |
Joey Tron | $511 |
Sean Murphy | $430 |
Sean Higgs | $352 |
Ricky Tran | $301 |
Ray Monohan | $263 |
Matt Fargo | $220 |
Kyle Hunter | $71 |