09-27-17 |
Marlins v. Rockies -1.5 | Top | 9-15 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 21 m | Show |
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (-110)
The Key: The Colorado Rockies have huge mound and motivational advantages here over the Miami Marlins. They are trying to clinch the wild card spot and lead the Brewers by only 1.5 games. Ace Jon Gray gets the ball looking to build on his 9-4 record with a 3.62 ERA in 19 starts this year. Gray has gone 4-1 with a 2.92 ERA in 7 starts at Coors Field. He has come up clutch down the stretch too at 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last 3 starts. Adam Conley is 7-6 with a 5.71 ERA in 19 starts this year, including 1-0 with a 10.49 ERA in his last 3 starts. Conley sports a 5.90 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Colorado. Take Colorado on the Run Line. |
09-09-17 |
Rays v. Red Sox -1.5 | | 0-9 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-125)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox are now 80-61 on the season. They Tampa Bay Rays are getting closer to being eliminated from postseason contention at 70-72. The Red Sox should win their 4th straight game with ease tonight thanks to their advantage on the mound. Chris Sale is 15-7 with a 2.85 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 28 starts this year. Sale is 7-5 with a 3.31 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 12 lifetime starts vs. Tampa Bay. He has struck out 13, 12 and 12 batters in his last 3 starts against the Rays this season. Matt Andriese is 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA in 5 road starts this year, and 0-1 with a 9.39 ERA in his last 3 outings. Andriese sports a 4.67 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Boston. He has yielded 11 earned runs in 15 innings in his last 3 starts against the Red Sox. Sale is 17-3 vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. His teams are winning by 3.1 runs per game on average. Take Boston the Run Line. |
09-01-17 |
Blue Jays v. Orioles -1.5 | Top | 0-1 |
Loss | -100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+120)
The Key: The Baltimore Orioles are 7-1 in their last 8 games overall to make a serious push toward being a wild card team in the American League. Their offense has been on fire in scoring a combined 60 runs in those 8 games. Kevin Gausman has been great in the second half. He is 5-2 with a 2.26 ERA in his last 8 starts, allowing only 13 earned runs in 51 2/3 innings. Guasman is 4-3 with a 3.63 ERA in 11 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. Guasman is 2-0 with a 1.56 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Blue Jays as well. Joe Biagini is 2-8 with a 6.02 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 12 starts this year, including 0-3 with a 9.42 ERA and 2.30 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Biagini is 0-7 (-10.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. The Blue Jays are losing by 5.8 RPG in this spot. He'll get rocked today as the Orioles stay red hot at the plate and cover this run line. Take Baltimore on the Run Line. |
08-26-17 |
Mariners v. Yankees -1.5 | | 3-6 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -1.5 (+100)
The Key: The Yankees have a big advantage on the mound today and should have no problem winning by 2 runs or more over the Seattle Mariners. The Yankees will be extra hungry after losing 2 straight games coming in. Sonny Gray has been great this year at 7-8 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 20 starts, and 6-2 with a 3.07 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 11 home starts. Gray owns the Mariners, going 4-2 with a 2.86 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts against them. Yovani Gallardo is the weakest link in Seattle's rotation. He is 4-9 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 20 starts, and 0-2 with an 8.59 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Gallardo is also 2-3 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts vs. New York. The Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Take New York on the Run Line. |
08-25-17 |
Giants v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | Top | 3-4 |
Loss | -112 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-112)
The Key: Zack Greinke is virtually unbeatable at home. He is 11-1 with a 2.34 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 14 home starts this year. Ty Blach is 3-4 with a 5.33 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 8 road starts. Blach is 1-2 with a 6.87 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in his last 3 starts as well. Greinke is 9-2 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 15 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. Greinke is 73-18 (+40.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more since lifetime. Take Arizona on the Run Line.v |
08-23-17 |
Twins -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 3-4 |
Loss | -100 | 18 h 13 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+100)
The Key: The Minnesota Twins have gone 13-4 in their last 17 games overall to jump into the 2nd wild card spot in the American League. Their offense is on fire as they have scored 47 runs over their past 6 games, including 20 in the first 3 games of this series against the White Sox, who now have a taxed bullpen. Making matters worse is that they traded away their best bullpen arms to the Yankees. Ervin Santana is 13-7 with a 3.33 ERA in 25 starts this year, including 8-2 with a 2.59 ERA in 12 road starts. He'll be opposed by James Shields, who is 2-4 with a 5.72 ERA in 14 starts, including 2-3 with a 6.14 ERA in 7 home starts. Santana is 5-0 with a 2.61 ERA in his last 5 starts against the White Sox, yielding only 9 earned runs in 31 innings. Shields is 0-2 with a 6.46 ERA in his last 3 starts against Minnesota, yielding 11 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings. The Twins are 4-0 in Santana's last 4 starts. The White Sox are 17-40 in their last 57 games overall. Take Minnesota on the Run Line. |
08-16-17 |
Tigers v. Rangers -1.5 | Top | 6-12 |
Win | 110 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Texas Rangers -1.5 (+110)
The Key: The Texas Rangers are still very much alive in the AL wild card race. They have gone 5-1 in their last 6 games overall coming in. The Detroit Tigers have gone in the other direction. They are 2-9 in their last 11 games overall while losing all nine games by 2 runs or more. The Rangers should roll today thanks to their huge advantage on the mound. Cole Hamels is 7-1 with a 3.31 ERA in 14 starts this year, 5-0 with a 2.66 ERA in 7 home starts, and 2-0 with a 1.23 ERA in his last 3 starts. Anibal Sanchez is 3-3 with a 5.80 ERA in 10 starts this year, including 1-2 with an 8.62 ERA in his last 3 starts. Hamels is 3-2 with a 3.27 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Detroit, while Sanchez is 2-4 with an 8.48 ERA in 6 lifetime starts vs. Texas. The Tigers are 0-6 in their last 6 road games. The Rangers are 23-6 in Hamels' last 29 home starts, including 14-1 in his last 15 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Texas on the Run Line. |
08-12-17 |
Braves v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 5-6 |
Loss | -115 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-115)
The Key: We'll continue riding the red hot St. Louis Cardinals here Saturday on the run line against the Atlanta Braves. The Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 games overall. They have scored 8 runs or more in 6 straight games and are averaging 9.7 RPG during this stretch. The Braves have lost 4 straight while scoring a total of 10 runs, or an average of 2.5 RPG. Carlos Martinez is 5-3 with a 3.27 ERA at home this year. Lucas Sims is 0-2 with a 5.25 ERA in 2 starts this season for the Braves. The Braves are 0-6 in their last 6 road games. Atlanta is 0-4 in the last 4 meetings. Take St. Louis on the Run Line. |
08-08-17 |
Cubs -1.5 v. Giants | Top | 3-6 |
Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-110)
The Key: The Chicago Cubs have actually gotten back on track by performing well on the road. They are 13-3 in their last 16 road games, and 21-7 in their last 28 vs. left-handed starters. They have the 3rd-best OPS in baseball against left-handers this season. They will get after southpaw Ty Blach, who is 7-7 with a 4.21 ERA and 1.31 WHIP and just 58 K's in 115 1/3 innings this season. Jose Quintana has been at his best on the road this season with a 3.56 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 12 starts away from home. The Cubs are hitting .283 with a .368 OBP and 6.3 RPG against lefty starters this season. Quintana is 16-1 vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. HIs teams are winning by 3.4 RPG on average. Quintana is 9-0 when playing against a team with a losing record this season. His teams are winning by 4.0 RPG. Take Chicago on the Run Line. |
07-29-17 |
Indians -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 5-4 |
Loss | -165 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-165)
The Key: The Chicago White Sox are going to be the worst team in baseball from the All Star Break-on. They traded away almost all their best players throughout their starting pitching, lineup and bullpen. They have been gutted, and that's why they are struggling in a big way right now. The White Sox are 1-13 in their last 14 games overall, and they have lost four straight by 3 runs or more. Conversely, the Indians are one of the hottest teams in baseball, going 8-0 in their last 8 games overall while winning 6 of those by 4 runs or more. Expect more of the same today. Corey Kluber is 8-3 with a 2.74 ERA in 16 starts this year, and he'll be opposed by Miguel Gonzalez, who is 5-9 with a 4.99 ERA in 15 starts. Kluber is 8-4 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 16 lifetime starts vs. Chicago, while Gonzalez is 4-2 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland. The Indians are 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 starts against Chicago, which have all come over the last 2 seasons. Take Cleveland on the Run Line. |
07-27-17 |
Cubs -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 6-3 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-140)
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are 10-2 since the All-Star Break and rolling right now. They should have no problem beating the Chicago White Sox by 2 runs or more once again tonight. The White Sox are 1-11 in their last 12 games overall and have traded away many of their best players prior to the deadline. Jon Lester has been very sharp in his last 2 starts since the break, giving up just 3 earned runs in 15 innings while striking out 16 for a 1.80 ERA. All of their starting pitchers have stepped up after they traded for Jose Quintana, and the competition amongst themselves has helped that. Mike Pelfrey is not a very good starter as he has gone 3-7 with a 4.19 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 16 starts this year. Pelfrey is only averaging 4.8 innings per start. That is bad news because the White Sox traded away all of their best bullpen arms before the deadline. The Sox have allowed 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 7 games overall. Lester is 50-8 (+31.1 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -200 or more lifetime. His teams are winning by 3.2 RPG on average in this situation. Take the Cubs on the Run Line. |
07-26-17 |
Cubs -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 8-3 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-125)
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are 9-2 since the All-Star Break and rolling right now. They should have no problem beating the Chicago White Sox by 2 runs or more tonight. The White Sox are 1-10 in their last 11 games overall and have traded away many of their best players prior to the deadline. Now they throw their worst starter in James Shields, who has gone 2-2 with a 5.79 ERA in 9 starts this year, and 0-1 with a 9.60 ERA in his last 3 starts in which he has allowed 16 runs and 5 homers in 15 innings. Jake Arrieta has been great of late in giving up only 3 earned runs and 12 base runners in 13 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts since the All-Star Break. Arrieta is 28-4 (+20.7 Units) against the money line after giving up 2 earned runs or fewer in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. The Cubs are winning by 2.6 RPG in these spots. Take the Cubs on the Run Line. |
07-21-17 |
Red Sox -1.5 v. Angels | Top | 6-2 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-110)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox should have no problem winning by multiple runs over the Los Angeles Angels today. The Red Sox have a massive advantage on the mound in this one. Chris Sale is 11-4 with a 2.59 ERA and 0.89 WHIP with a whopping 191 K's in 135 1/3 innings. He is well on his way to winning the Cy Young. Not to mention, Sale has never lost to the Angels, going 5-0 with a 1.45 ERA and 0.69 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them. Ricky Nolasco sports a 5.68 ERA in 7 lifetime starts vs. Boston. Nolasco is 4-10 with a 4.49 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 19 starts this year. Sale is 23-4 vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. His teams are winning by 3.3 RPG on average in this spot. The Angels are 2-12 in Nolsaco's last 14 starts overall. Take Boston on the Run Line. |
07-15-17 |
Indians -1.5 v. A's | Top | 3-5 |
Loss | -115 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-115)
The Key: The Cleveland Indians will be hungry for a win Saturday after getting shut out 5-0 by the A's in their first game back from the break last night. Ace Corey Kluber should get them back in the win column promptly. Kluber is 7-3 with a 2.80 ERA and 0.99 WHIP with 123 K's in 93 1/3 innings this season. Kluber has gone 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last 2 starts against the A's, pitching 13 shutout innings. He sports a 2.55 ERA in 6 lifetime starts against the A's overall. Oakland is 3-17 after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season, losing by 2.7 RPG on average. The Indians are 11-2 in Kluber's last 13 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Cleveland on the Run Line. |
07-09-17 |
Tigers v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 5-3 |
Loss | -105 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
7* Tigers/Indians ESPN *BAILOUT* on Cleveland -1.5 (-105)
The Key: The Detroit Tigers have the look of a team that has packed it in and is just ready for vacation and the All-Star Break. They have been outscored 15-2 by the Indians through the first two games of this series. The Indians have gone 5-2 in their last 7 games and are looking to finish strong before the break. They have scored 11 runs or more in 3 of their last 6 games overall. They should continue to swing a hot bat against Michael Fulmer, who is 1-2 with a 6.98 ERA and 1.966 WHIP in four career starts against Cleveland. Corey Kluber is having another Cy Young-caliber season, going 7-3 with a 2.85 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 13 starts, 5-1 with a 2.60 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 8 home starts, and 1-1 with a 0.78 ERA and 0.65 WHIP in his last 3 starts with 35 K's in 23 innings. Cleveland is 18-2 after 2 straight wins by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons, winning by 2.6 runs per game. Take Cleveland on the Run Line. |
07-01-17 |
Red Sox -1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 7-1 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
7* AL East Game of the Month on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+100)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox should have no problem winning by multiple runs today thanks to their advantage on the mound over the Toronto Blue Jays. Chris Sale has been a Cy Young candidate at 10-3 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.91 WHIP with 155 K's in 113 2/3 innings. He is 2-1 with a 1.99 ERA and 0.71 WHIP in his last 3 starts as well. Sale is 4-1 with a 1.72 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. His teams have won each of his last 5 starts against the Blue Jays, including the last 4 by 2 runs or more. Francisco Liriano is 3-3 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts vs. Boston. Liriano is 4-3 with a 5.46 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 12 starts this season. Sale is 22-4 vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. His teams are winning by 3.3 runs per game. Take Boston on the Run Line. |
06-27-17 |
Phillies v. Mariners -1.5 | Top | 8-2 |
Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
7* Interleague Game of the Week on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (+115)
The Key: The Seattle Mariners have a big scheduling advantage here. They had yesterday off while the Phillies played a Game 4 in Arizona. We're getting the better, fresher team with easily the better starter on the mound here, and I like this plus price with the Mariners on the Run Line as a result. James Paxton is 5-2 with a 3.39 ERA in 11 starts this year, including 4-1 with a 2.48 ERA in 7 home starts. He'll be opposed by Aaron Nola, who is 4-5 with a 4.32 ERA in 10 starts this year for the Phillies. The Mariners are 25-15 and scoring 5.3 RPG at home this year, while the Phillies are 10-31 and scoring 3.5 RPG on the road. Philly is 1-12 after scoring 1 run or less this season, losing by 2.8 RPG. Take Seattle on the Run Line. |
06-20-17 |
Angels v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 8-3 |
Loss | -135 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
7* AL Run Line Game of the Month on New York Yankees -1.5 (-135)
The Key: The New York Yankees are riding a season-high 6-game losing streak as their lost their final 6 games of a 7-game road trip last week. They had Monday off to regroup, and now I believe they'll get back in the win column with a blowout victory at home over the Los Angeles Angels. The Yankees are 22-9 at home this season. Michael Pineda is 6-1 with a 1.96 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 7 home starts this year. The Yankees are 18-4 at home against right-handed starters this season, and they're winning by 3.5 runs per game on average. The Yankees are 7-0 in their last 7 home meetings. Take New York on the Run Line. |
06-12-17 |
Phillies v. Red Sox -1.5 | | 5-6 |
Loss | -113 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
6* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-113)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox should have no problem beating one of the worst teams in baseball in the Philadelphia Phillies (21-40) by two or more runs today. The Phillies have lost 5 straight coming in while scoring just 9 runs total in those 5 losses. Jerad Eickhoff is still looking for his first win in 12 starts for the Phillies. He is 0-7 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in those 12 starts, including 0-2 with a 6.92 ERA and 1.92 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Boston is 26-7 in home games after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. It is winning by 2.5 runs per game in this situation. Take Boston on the Run Line. |
05-29-17 |
A's v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 3-5 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-120)
The Key: The Cleveland Indians throw their best starter in Carlos Carrasco Monday. All he's done is go 4-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 9 starts this season. And Carrasco certainly enjoys facing the A's, going 2-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 0.58 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Daniel Mengden is making his first start of the season for the A's. Mengden went 2-9 with a 6.50 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 14 starts for the A's last season in his only previous big league action. Cleveland is 30-8 after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. It is winning by 2.8 runs per game in this spot. Take Cleveland on the Run Line. |
05-26-17 |
Royals v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 6-4 |
Loss | -100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+120)
The Key: I'm backing the Cleveland Indians to win by multiple runs tonight over the Kansas City Royals due to their advantage on the mound and at the plate. Mike Clevinger has gone 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in three starts this season for the Indians. One of those was against the Royals on May 7th as he pitched 5 2/3 shutout innings. Clevinger is now 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in 2 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City. Ian Kennedy is 0-2 with an 8.49 ERA in his last 3 starts, and 2-4 with a 5.18 ERA in 8 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland. Kansas City is 2-15 in road games after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by 3.1 runs per game in this spot. Take Cleveland on the Run Line. |
05-13-17 |
Phillies v. Nationals -1.5 | Top | 4-6 |
Win | 125 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Month on Washington Nationals -1.5 (+125)
The Key: I'll back the Washington Nationals on the Run Line tonight against the struggling Philadelphia Phillies, who are 2-10 in their last 12 games overall. The Nationals are 22-12 on the season behind a lineup that is hitting .283 and scoring 6.1 runs per game. Tanner Roark has been a money-making machine over the past few seasons as he's consistently undervalued. Roark is 3-1 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 7 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Nick Pivetta, who is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in 2 starts for the Phillies this year. Roark is 4-4 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 12 lifetime starts vs. Philadelphia. Pivetta gave up 4 runs, 3 homers and 9 hits in 5 innings of a 2-4 loss to the Nationals on May 5th in his only lifetime start against them. Take Washington on the Run Line. |
05-02-17 |
Blue Jays v. Yankees -1.5 | | 5-11 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
6* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on New York Yankees -1.5 (-105)
The Key: Masahiro Tanaka is 3-0 with a 1.61 ERA in his last 3 starts. He is coming off a complete game shutout at Boston, so he's clearly finding his groove. Mat Latos has been awful over the past few seasons and isn't about to resurrect his career in Toronto in the tough AL East. Tanaka is 6-3 with a 2.34 ERA in 10 lifetime starts vs. Toronto. The Yankees are 12-1 in Tanaka's last 13 starts as a home favorite of -110 or higher, winning by an average of 2.2 runs per game in this spot. Take New York on the Run Line. |
04-20-17 |
Phillies v. Mets -1.5 | | 6-4 |
Loss | -100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Mets -1.5 (+125)
The Key: The New York Mets have a massive advantage on the mound tonight. Instead of backing them at -170 on the money line, I'm going to take the value here and the +125 on the run line in a game I'm certain they win by 2 runs or more. Noah Syndergaard is 1-0 with a 0.95 ERA in 3 starts this year, yielding only 2 earned runs in 19 innings. Syndergaard is a perfect 4-0 in 4 lifetime starts vs. Philadelphia while sporting a 1.37 ERA. He has never lost to them. Aaron Nola is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA in one lifetime start vs. the Mets. Take New York on the Run Line. |
10-28-16 |
Indians v. Cubs -1.5 | | 1-0 |
Loss | -100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
6* Indians/Cubs World Series *CA$H COW* on Chicago -1.5 (+109)
The Key: The Chicago Cubs should win by multiple runs tonight. Their offense is hitting on all cylinders in scoring at least 5 runs in four of their last five games overall. They should feast on Josh Tomlin, who sports a 4.31 ERA in 31 starts this season. Kyle Hendricks should continue to dominate. He's 10-3 with a 1.31 ERA in 17 home starts this year and 1-1 with a 1.65 ERA in 3 postseason starts. The Cubs have owned right-handed starters, going 43-13 in their last 56 games against them. Take Chicago on the Run Line. |
10-17-16 |
Indians v. Blue Jays -1.5 | | 4-2 |
Loss | -100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
6* Indians/Blue Jays ALCS *CA$H COW* on Toronto -1.5 (+115)
The Key: Marcus Stroman sports a 1.29 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 2 starts against Cleveland this season. He has allowed only 2 earned runs in 14 innings in those 2 starts. Trevor Bauer has never beaten the Blue Jays, going 0-1 with an 8.57 ERA and 1.757 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts. Stroman has never been beaten in 4 postseason starts, going 1-0 with a 3.91 ERA over the past 2 seasons. The Blue Jays really need this win, and I think they'll get it by multiple runs tonight behind another dominant performance from Stroman. Take Toronto on the Run Line. |
10-15-16 |
Dodgers v. Cubs -1.5 | | 4-8 |
Win | 116 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
6* Dodgers/Cubs NLCS *CA$H COW* on Chicago -1.5 (+116)
The Key: Instead of laying -190 on the money line, I'm going to go with the Cubs on the Run Line in Game 1 of this series. They have had plenty of time off after taking down the Giants on Tuesday, while the Dodgers just finished a tough series against the Nationals on Thursday. I like the pitching matchup today in favor of the Cubs. Jon Lester is 20-5 with a 2.35 ERA in 33 starts this year, and 11-2 with a 1.162 WHIP in 16 home starts. Kenta Maeda has really struggled of late for the Dodgers, going 0-3 with an 11.17 ERA in his last 3 starts. Lester is 2-2 with a 3.06 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Los Angeles. In 2 starts against L.A. in 2016, he has given up just 1 earned run and 9 base runners over 15 innings. Lester is 21-3 (+16.3 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The Cubs are winning by 2.6 runs per game on average int his spot. Take Chicago. |
09-27-16 |
Reds v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 5-12 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-104)
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are one game back of the Giants for the 2nd wild card spot in the National League. They have to win this game today against the lowly Cincinnati Reds. I trust in veteran Adam Wainwright to get the job done and for the Cards to win by 2 runs or more. Wainwright is 6-4 with a 2.92 ERA in 14 home starts this year. He has given up 2 earned runs in each of his last 2 starts against the Reds this season. He'll be opposed by Robert Stephenson, who is 2-2 with a 5.59 ERA in 6 starts this year, and 0-1 with a 10.79 ERA in 2 road starts. He is 0-1 with a 9.25 ERA in his last 3 starts as well. Wainwright is 50-15 (+27.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) lifetime. His teams are winning these games by 2.6 runs per game. The Reds are 33-70 in their last 103 vs. a team with a winning record. The Cardinals are 46-22 in Wainwright's last 68 starts. Take St. Louis. |
09-26-16 |
Brewers v. Rangers -1.5 | | 8-3 |
Loss | -100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Texas Rangers -1.5 (+107)
The Key: The Texas Rangers are tied with the Boston Red Sox for the best record in the American League. With home-field advantage in the postseason on the line, they still have a lot to play for. I'm going to back them to win by 2 runs or more today. Martin Perez has been awesome at home this season, going 8-2 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.257 WHIP in 16 starts. He is 1-0 with a 2.79 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in his last 3 starts as well. He'll be opposed by Matt Garza, who is 1-6 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.709 WHIP in 10 road starts this year. Perez is 8-0 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. The Rangers are winning by 1.9 runs per game in these spots. Take Texas on the Run Line. |
09-07-16 |
Red Sox -1.5 v. Padres | Top | 7-2 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-132)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox are tied for 1st place in the AL East with the Toronto Blue Jays. It's almost like they're playing at home in San Diego because they have had more fans there than the Padres the past two games. I look for them to take this series with a Game 3 victory by multiple runs. David Price has really stepped up his game, going 5-0 with a 2.06 ERA in his last 5 starts while allowing only 8 earned runs in 35 innings. Jarred Cosart gets the ball for the Padres. He is 0-2 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.673 WHIP in 10 starts this year. He just gave up 7 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings to the Braves of all teams his last time out. Price is 32-11 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game lifetime. His teams are winning by 2.1 runs per game in this spot. San Diego is 39-84 (-39.1 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 or better since 1997. It is losing by 1.8 runs per game in this spot. Take Boston on the Run Line. |
08-29-16 |
Nationals -1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 4-0 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-118)
The Key: The Washington Nationals have lost 6 of their last 8 games overall, including 2 straight over the weekend. They will come back hungry today to get back in the win column. I like their chances of winning this game by 2 runs or more due to their advantage on the mound. Tanner Roark is 13-7 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.205 WHIP in 26 starts this year. Roark is 2-0 with a 0.86 ERA in 3 starts against the Phillies this year, giving up just 2 earned runs over 21 innings in the process. Recent call-up Jake Thompson has struggled mightily for the Phillies. he is 1-3 with a 9.78 ERA and 1.811 WHIP in 4 starts this year. Philadelphia is 2-13 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by 2.1 runs per game in this spot. The Nationals are 10-1 in Roark's last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Nationals are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia and 6-0 in the last 6 meetings overall. Take Washington on the Run Line. |
08-27-16 |
Phillies v. Mets -1.5 | Top | 1-12 |
Win | 115 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on New York Mets -1.5 (+115)
The Key: The New York Mets are making one final push here at the end of the season. They have won 5 of their last 6 games overall and should continue to roll against the Philadelphia Phillies. That's especially the case with ace Noah Syndergaard on the mound. He is 11-7 with a 2.63 ERA and 1.170 WHIP in 24 starts with 175 K's in 147 innings. Syndergaard has never lost to the Phillies, going 3-0 with a 1.40 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Jeremy Hellickson hasn't fared nearly as well against the Mets, going 2-2 with a 7.01 ERA and 1.597 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them. Take New York on the Run Line. |
08-08-16 |
Reds v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 4-5 |
Loss | -100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+109)
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are coming off back-to-back poor home losses to the Atlanta Braves. That will have them hungry for a victory as they enter this series with the Cincinnati Reds Monday night. I expect them to win by multiple runs in Game 1 tonight. Michael Wacha is 7-7 with a 4.35 ERA in 22 starts this year, including 2-0 with a 3.71 ERA in his last 3 starts. Wacha loves facing the Reds, going 6-1 with a 2.09 ERA in 11 lifetime starts against them. Cody Reed is still searching for his 1st win this year. He is 0-6 with a 7.30 ERA in 8 starts. That includes an 0-1 record with a 9.00 ERA in his lone start against St. Louis on August 3 in his last outing. Take St. Louis on the Run Line. |
08-05-16 |
Braves v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 0-1 |
Loss | -106 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-106)
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals need to get going if they want to make the playoffs. They have lost 4 of their last 5 coming in. A home series against the NL-worst Atlanta Braves should be just what the doctor ordered to get the Cardinals back on track. Jaime Garcia has been at his best at home this season, going 4-5 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.212 WHIP in 11 starts. He'll be opposed by Joel De La Cruz, who is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.347 WHIP in 3 starts, and 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 1 road start. The Cardinals are 11-1 (+13.5 Units) against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span this season. They are coming back to win by 3.5 runs per game in these spots. Take St. Louis on the Run Line. |
08-02-16 |
Twins v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 10-6 |
Loss | -100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+100)
The Key: The Cleveland Indians are hungry following their 5-12 loss to the Minnesota Twins yesterday. But now they have a huge advantage on the mound today behind Carlos Carrasco, who is 7-4 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.025 WHIP in 15 starts this year. He'll be opposed by Kyle Gibson, who is 3-6 with a 4.54 ERA and 1.396 WHIP in 13 starts, including 2-2 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.429 WHIP in 5 road starts. Gibson is 2-3 with a 5.80 ERA and 1.587 WHIP in 8 lifetime starts vs. Cleveland as well. The Indians are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Twins are 10-26 in Gibson's last 36 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take Cleveland on the Run Line. |
08-01-16 |
Nationals -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 14-1 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-116)
The Key: The Washington Nationals should have no problem winning this game against the Arizona Diamondbacks by multiple runs. They are hungry following back-to-back losses to the Giants over the weekend. Now they'll give the ball to one of their aces in Stephen Strasburg, who is 14-1 with a 2.68 ERA and 0.987 WHIP in 19 starts, including 7-0 with a 1.72 ERA and 0.994 WHIP in 8 road starts. Archie Bradley goes for the Diamondbacks. he's 4-6 with a 4.17 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in 14 starts, including 1-3 with a 5.15 ERA in 6 home starts. Arizona is 0-6 (-7.6 Units) against the money line in home games after 2 or more consecutive road games this season. It is losing by 4.4 runs/game in this spot. Strasburg is 17-2 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. The Nationals are winning by 3.3 runs/game in his 19 starts. Take Washington on the Run Line. |
07-29-16 |
Red Sox -1.5 v. Angels | Top | 6-2 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-105)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox are hungry for a victory after losing four straight and blowing a save in the 9th inning last night. They should have plenty of room to spare in the 9th tonight as they win this one by multiple runs. Rick Porcello is 13-2 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.151 WHIP in 20 starts, including 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Tim Lincecum is 2-4 with an 8.70 ERA and 2.267 WHIP in 7 starts this year. Lincecum is 0-2 with a 10.13 ERA and 2.625 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Boston. Porcello sports a 1.50 ERA in his last 2 starts at Los Angeles, yielding just 2 earned runs in 12 innings. Porcello is 9-0 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. He's winning these starts by 4.3 runs per game. Take Boston on the Run Line. |
07-26-16 |
Tigers v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 9-8 |
Loss | -114 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-114)
The Key: You won't find many bigger mound mismatches than the one the Red Sox have over the Tigers here Tuesday night, which is why I expect them to win by 2 runs or more with ease. Knuckleballer Steven Wright is 12-5 with a 2.67 ERA and 1.148 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 7-1 with a 3.20 ERA in 10 home starts. He'll be opposed by Mike Pelfrey, who is 3-9 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.812 WHIP in 19 starts this season for Detroit. The Tigers are 0-14 (-14.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 over the last 2 seasons. They are losing by 3.9 runs per game on average in this spot. Take Boston on the Run Line. |
07-25-16 |
Padres v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 2-4 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-125)
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays have a massive advantage on the mound tonight over the San Diego Padres. As a result, I expect them to win by 2 or more runs today with ease. Aaron Sanchez is 10-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.181 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.850 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He'll be opposed by Colin Rea, who is 5-4 with a 4.87 ERA and 1.440 WHIP in 17 starts, including 2-2 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.730 WHIP in 7 road starts. San Diego is 1-11 (-10.8 Units) against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by 2.3 runs per game in this spot. Take Toronto on the Run Line. |
07-23-16 |
Twins v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 11-9 |
Loss | -125 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-125)
The Key: The Boston Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound today and at the plate, and they should win by multiple runs as a result. David Price is 9-7 with a 4.36 ERA and 1.231 WHIP in 20 starts, 6-3 with a 4.06 ERA and 1.088 WHIP in 11 home starts, and 1-2 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Price is 9-3 with a 2.14 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in 14 lifetime starts vs. Minnesota as well. Ricky Nolasco is 4-8 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.352 WHIP in 19 starts this year. Nolasco sports a 4.50 ERA in 6 lifetime starts vs. Boston. Minnesota is 3-16 (-12.3 Units) against the money line after 4 or more consecutive road games this season. It is losing by 2.2 runs per game in this spot. Take Boston on the Run Line. |
06-28-16 |
Cubs -1.5 v. Reds | Top | 7-2 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-140)
The Key: We'll back the Chicago Cubs to win by 2 runs or more for a 2nd consecutive day here as they take on the lowly Cincinnati Reds with a big advantage on the mound once again. Jon Lester is 9-3 with a 2.10 ERA in 15 starts, and 5-1 with a 1.83 ERA in 7 road starts. Lester has never lost to the Reds, going 2-0 (6-0 money line) with a 3.38 ERA and 0.925 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them. John Lamb is 1-4 with a 4.79 ERA in 10 starts for the Reds this year. Lamb is 0-1 with a 9.64 ERA in his lone lifetime start vs. Chicago. Cincinnati is 1-13 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by 3.5 runs per game in this spot. Take Chicago on the Run Line. |
06-27-16 |
Cubs -1.5 v. Reds | Top | 11-8 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-145)
The Key: The Chicago Cubs are in the midst of their worst stretch of the season. They have gone 1-6 in their last 7 games overall. But now they'll turn to ace Jake Arrieta tonight, and I'll back them on the run line to win this game by 2 runs or more as a result. Arrieta is 11-2 with a 1.74 ERA and 0.980 WHIP in 15 starts this year. The right-hander is also 4-2 with a 2.81 ERA and 0.816 WHIP in six career starts against Cincinnati. Dan Straily is 4-4 with a 3.89 ERA in 13 starts for the Reds, including 1-2 with a 5.71 ERA in his last 3 starts. Cincinnati is 1-11 (-9.9 Units) against the money line revenging a home loss vs opponent of 6 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by an average of 3.1 runs per game in this spot. Take Chicago on the Run Line. |
06-20-16 |
Giants -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 0-1 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-110)
The Key: The San Francisco Giants are the hottest team in baseball right now. They have gone 8-0 in their last eight games with five of their last six victories coming by 2 runs or more. They should continue to roll tonight due to the edge they have on the mound. Ace Madison Bumgarner has gone 8-2 with a 2.01 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 14 starts this year for the Giants. Bumgarner is 3-3 with a 2.68 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts vs. Pittsburgh. Jeff Locke is now 5-5 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.487 WHIP in 13 starts for Pittsburgh. He has gone 1-2 with a 12.06 ERA in his last 3 starts, yielding 21 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings. Locke is 0-1 with a 9.42 ERA and 2.024 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco. Bumgarner is 9-0 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games against NL Central opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Giants are winning by 5.0 runs per game in this spot on average. Take San Francisco on the Run Line. |
05-04-16 |
Rangers v. Blue Jays -1.5 | | 3-4 |
Loss | -100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+115)
The Key: The best bet on the bases today is the Toronto Blue Jays on the Run Line to blow out the Texas Rangers. Given their edge on the mound, they should have no problem winning by 2-plus runs tonight. Aaron Sanchez is off to a blistering start, going 2-1 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.149 WHIP in 5 starts. He may be Toronto's most talented starter. Colby Lewis absolutely hates facing this potent Blue Jays' offense. Lewis is 3-6 with a 7.13 ERA and 1.708 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts vs. Texas. The Rangers are 2-8 in Lewis' last 10 starts during game 3 of a series. Take Toronto on the Run Line. |
05-03-16 |
Rangers v. Blue Jays -1.5 | | 1-3 |
Win | 118 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+118)
The Key: Toronto comes in hungry for a victory after losing 5 of its last 7 games overall, including a 2-1 loss in Game 1 of this series to Texas. With the massive advantage the Blue Jays have on the mound today, I'm going to back them on the Run Line. Marco Estrada is 1-2 with a 2.92 ERA in 4 starts this year, including 1-1 with a 1.98 ERA in 2 home starts. Estrada is also 2-1 with a 1.47 ERA in 3 lifetime starts vs. Texas. Martin Perez is 1-2 with a 4.20 ERA in 5 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA in 2 road starts. Perez is also 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA in one lifetime start vs. Toronto. Take Toronto on the Run Line. |
04-11-16 |
Braves v. Nationals -1.5 | | 4-6 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-109)
The Key: The Washington Nationals send ace Max Scherzer to the mound tonight to dispose of the lowly Atlanta Braves. That shouldn't be a problem considering the Braves are 0-5 this season while losing four games by 2 runs or more. They were just outscored 31-13 by the Cardinals in their last series. Scherzer was dominant in his opening day start, giving up 2 runs and 5 base runners in 7 innings against the Braves. He has now given up 4 earned runs over 21 innings in his last 3 starts against Atlanta. Bud Norris is 2-2 with a 4.70 ERA in 5 lifetime starts vs. Washington. Atlanta is 11-38 as a dog of +150 or more over the last 2 years, losing by 2.6 runs per game. The Braves are 11-41 in their last 52 road games. Take Washington on the Run Line. |
09-27-15 |
Texas Rangers v. Houston Astros -1.5 | | 2-4 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
6* MLB Sunday *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -1.5 (-104)
The Key: The Houston Astros are now in must-win mode after losing three straight. They are only 1/2 game up on the Angles in the wild card standings. They cannot afford to lose any more. They have a massive advantage on the mound today behind Dallas Keuchel, who is 14-0 with a 1.47 ERA and 0.907 WHIP in 17 home starts. He'll be opposed by Martin Perez, who is 3-5 with a 5.21 ERA in 12 starts, and 0-4 with a 5.59 ERA in 7 road starts. Take Houston on the Run Line. |
09-11-15 |
G1 Chicago Cubs -1.5 v. G1 Philadelphia Phillies | | 5-1 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
6* National League *Mound Mismatch* on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-145)
The Key: The Chicago Cubs have a decisive edge on the mound tonight, which is why I'm willing to lay juice even on the -1.5 run line. Jake Arrieta is making a strong case for the NL Cy Young award down the stretch and is motivated by it. He has gone 29 straight innings without allowing an earned run. He is now 18-6 with a 2.03 ERA on the season. He'll be up against a Phillies team that has lost six of seven coming in with all six losses by 2 runs or more. Arrieta will be opposed by Adam Morgan, who is 5-5 with a 4.42 ERA in 13 starts, and 1-1 with a 6.19 ERA in his last three. Arrieta is 2-1 with a 1.83 ERA in his last three starts against Philadelphia while allowing 4 earned runs in 19 2/3 innings. Arrieta is 10-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Cubs are winning by an average of 4.2 runs per game in this spot. Take Chicago on the Run Line. |
09-06-15 |
Atlanta Braves v. Washington Nationals -1.5 | Top | 4-8 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
7* NL Sunday Afternoon *Mound Mismatch* on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-113)
The Key: The Washington Nationals are in must-win mode from here on out. They are 5 games behind the New York Mets for first place in the NL East with 27 games to play. They have won four in a row coming in while outscoring the opposition 32-8 in the process. Three of those victories came against the lowly Braves, who have clearly packed it in. Atlanta is 0-11 in its last 11 games overall while losing by at least two runs in all 11 games, making for a perfect 11-0 run line angle backing the Nationals. Manny Banuelos is 0-3 with a 5.83 ERA and 2.026 WHIP in his last three starts and has made just five starts on the season. Joe Ross has been unstoppable at home, going 4-2 with a 1.91 ERA and 0.823 WHIP in six home starts this year. Take Washington on the Run Line. |
09-01-15 |
Cleveland Indians v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 3-5 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
7* AL *BLOWOUT* GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+100)
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays are 24-6 in their last 30 games overall. The amazing part about that is the fact that 21 of their 24 wins have come by two runs or more. They have been blowing out the opposition on the regular, and after losing yesterday, I look for them to get back to crushing the opposition Tuesday. Marco Estrada is 11-8 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.094 WHIP in 21 starts and six relief outings in 2015. He has proven to be a huge addition to the rotation this year. Cody Anderson is 2-3 with a 4.30 ERA in nine starts for the Indians. Anderson has really been battered recently, going 0-1 with a 7.24 ERA in his last three starts. He has allowed 11 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings during this span, and now he faced the most potent lineup in baseball in the Blue Jays. The Indians are 51-111 in their last 162 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200. The Blue Jays are 10-2 in their last 12 games following a loss. The Blue Jays are 41-19 in their last 60 home games. Take Toronto on the Run Line. |
08-30-15 |
Miami Marlins v. Washington Nationals -1.5 | Top | 4-7 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
7* NL East GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-101)
The Key: The Washington Nationals have won 5 of their last 7 games overall with each of their two losses coming by a single run. They are making their move to try and catch the Mets in the NL East. Now they have a massive advantage on the mound over the lowly Marlins in the finale of this series Sunday. Stephen Strasburg is 4-3 with a 3.07 ERA and 1.146 WHIP in eight home starts this year. Strasburg is 2-1 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.737 WHIP in his last three starts overall. Brad Hand is 1-2 with a 6.27 ERA in four road starts this year. Hand has never beaten the Nationals, going 0-5 with an 8.19 ERA and 1.921 WHIP in seven lifetime starts against them. Strasburg is 19-2 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday for his career. The Nationals are winning by an average of 3.0 runs per game in his Sunday starts. Take Washington on the Run Line. |
08-14-15 |
New York Yankees v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 4-3 |
Loss | -104 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
7* AL Run Line GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-104)
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays are the hottest team in baseball. They have won 11 in a row with 10 of those victories coming by 2 runs or more. That's why I have no problem backing them on the run line today against the struggling Yankees, who have lost 5 of 6 to fall behind the Blue Jays in the AL East. Ace David Price gets the ball for Toronto, and he's 11-4 with a 2.46 ERA and 1.081 WHIP in 23 starts this year. He has won each of his first two starts with the Blue Jays, allowing 1 run in 15 innings. One of those was against the Yankees on August 8 in his last start as he pitched 7 shutout innings of a 6-0 victory. Ivan Nova does not enjoy facing this potent Toronto lineup. Nova sports a 4.83 ERA and 1.408 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts versus New York. The Blue Jays are 10-1 against the run line in their last 11 games overall. Take Toronto. |
07-29-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 2-8 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
7* Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-126)
The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays know it's time to make a run at the playoffs. They sit at 50-51 right now and just traded for Troy Tulowitzki. They will be all in the rest of the way to try and end of the longest current playoff drought in baseball. The Phillies have won five in a row and nine of ten, but their run ends today. Toronto goes with R.A. Dickey, who is 1-1 with a 2.11 ERA and 0.797 WHIP in his last three starts. He'll be opposed by Jerome Williams, who is 3-7 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.658 WHIP in 15 starts. Williams is 0-5 with an 8.05 ERA and 1.868 WHIP in eight road starts, and 0-2 with a 9.23 ERA and 1.815 WHIP in his last three starts. Dickey is 4-4 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts versus Philadelphia. Williams gave up 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 5 innings in his last start against Toronto. The Blue Jays are 18-7 against the run line (+12.4 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Toronto is 18-5 against the run line (+15.6 Units) after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits over the last 3 seasons. Take Toronto on the Run Line. |
07-12-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. San Francisco Giants -1.5 | Top | 2-4 |
Win | 102 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
7* NL "Blowout" Game of the Month on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (+102)
The Key: The San Francisco Giants' bats have come alive in this series with Philadelphia now that they are finally healthy. They have scored a combined 23 runs over the past two days with 15-2 and 8-5 victories. The Phillies' bullpen is completely taxed now. Look for the Giants' bats to stay red hot against Chad Billingsley, who is 1-2 with a 6.67 ERA and 1.704 WHIP in five starts this season. Chris Heston has been brilliant this year, going 8-5 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.210 WHIP in 17 starts, including 1-0 with a 2.21 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in his last three. Philadelphia is 7-31 (-17.5 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more this season, losing by 2.5 runs/game. Philadelphia is 2-15 (-11.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 this season, losing by 3.8 runs/game. San Francisco is 12-1 (+12.0 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start over the last 2 seasons, winning by 2.9 runs/game. Take San Francisco on the Run Line. |
07-09-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 0-6 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
7* NL Run Line GAME OF THE MONTH on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120)
The Key: Zach Greinke would be an excellent choice for NL Cy Young up to this point of the 2015 season. He has gone 7-2 with a 1.48 ERA and 0.893 WHIP in 17 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.677 WHIP in his last three outings. He has pitched 20 2/3 scoreless innings in his last three starts. Now, he faces the worst team in baseball in the Philadelphia Phillies tonight. Greinke has gone 3-1 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.020 WHIP in five lifetime starts versus Philadelphia. He'll be opposed by Severino Gonzalez, who is 3-2 in spite of an 8.28 ERA and 1.760 WHIP in six starts. Gonzalez has allowed a ridiculous 23 earned runs and 44 base runners in 25 innings pitched this year. Greinke is 21-2 (+16.6 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -200 or more since 1997. His teams are winning by an average of 3.6 runs per game in this spot. Philadelphia is 4-21 (-14.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 this season. It is losing by 2.5 runs per game in this spot. Take Los Angeles on the Run Line. |
06-26-15 |
Washington Nationals -1.5 v. Philadelphia Phillies | Top | 5-2 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
7* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-113)
The Key: The Washington Nationals are absolutely rolling right now. They have won six straight games while winning five of those contests by two or more runs. I look for them to win this game against the Philadelphia Phillies, who have the worst record in baseball at 26-48, by multiple runs once again tonight. Ace Max Scherzer gets the ball and looks to build off of two straight complete game shutouts. He threw a no-hitter last time out and has allowed just two base runners over the past 18 innings while striking out 26. It's safe to say he's in a groove right now. He's the clear NL Cy Young favorite at 8-5 with a 1.76 REA and 0.801 WHIP in 14 starts this year. Aaron Harang has been beaten up in his last three starts, going 0-3 with a 7.50 ERA while allowing 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 18 innings. Scherzer is 3-1 with a 1.41 ERA and 0.844 WHIP in five lifetime starts versus Philadelphia. The Phillies are 7-25 (-16.3 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive road games this season, losing by an average of 2.5 runs/game. Take Washington the Run Line. |
06-13-15 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 | Top | 3-4 |
Loss | -110 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
7* MLB "Blowout" Game of the Month on Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (-110)
The Key: I expect the Pittsburgh Pirates to win this game going away today against the lowly Philadelphia Phillies. They send Cy Young contender Gerrit Cole to the mound today. Cole has gone 9-2 with a 1.73 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA and 1.095 WHIP in his last three. Cole is also 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in three lifetime starts versus Philadelphia. He'll be opposed by Sean O'Sullivan, who is 1-4 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.390 WHIP in eight starts this season. O'Sullivan is 0-3 with a 7.02 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three road starts as well. Cole is 12-1 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. The Pirates are winning by 2.0 runs per game in this spot. The Phillies are 3-19 (-14.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. They are losing by 3.1 runs per game in this spot. Take Pittsburgh on the Run Line. |
05-11-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 v. Philadelphia Phillies | | 4-3 |
Loss | -100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (+100)
The Key: The Pittsburgh Pirates are feeling good about themselves after taking two out of three from the St. Louis Cardinals over the weekend. I look for that series to springboard them going forward as they now take on arguably the worst team in baseball in the Philadelphia Phillies (11-21). The Phillies are only hitting .228 and scoring 2.8 runs per game this season, and it won't get any easier against Pittsburgh ace Gerrit Cole. The right-hander has gone 4-1 with a 2.52 ERA and 1.149 WHIP in six starts, including 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in three road starts. Cole is 1-1 with a 2.61 ERA in two career starts against Philadelphia. He'll be opposed by Jerome Williams, who is 2-2 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.606 WHIP in six starts. Williams is 1-4 with a 4.37 ERA and 1.486 WHIP in six career starts against Pittsburgh. Take Pittsburgh on the Run Line. |
05-10-15 |
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 v. Colorado Rockies | | 9-5 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
6* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-108)
The Key: The Los Angeles Dodgers have a massive advantage on the mound today. They'll give the ball to 2014 NL Cy Young and MVP winner, Clayton Kershaw. The left-hander is 1-2 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in 2015 over six starts. Kershaw is 14-5 with a 3.11 ERA and 1.149 WHIP in 27 lifetime starts versus Colorado. The Dodgers have won each of Kershaw's last 6 starts against the Rockies all by 2 runs or more with finals of 7-3, 9-0, 8-0, 6-1, 11-0, and 10-8. He has allowed just 2 earned runs over 34 innings in his last 5 starts against the Rockies for a minuscule 0.53 ERA. Jorge De La Rosa is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.000 WHIP through three starts this season, and 5-10 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.511 WHIP in 17 lifetime starts versus Los Angeles. Kershaw is 20-3 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) since 1997, winning by an average of 3.2 runs per game. Take Los Angeles. |
09-27-14 |
Kansas City Royals v. Chicago White Sox +1.5 | | 4-5 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Chicago White Sox +1.5 (-113) The Key: The White Sox watched Kansas City celebrate a playoff berth on their field last night and that should get their competitive juices. Plus, the White Sox are honoring Paul Konerko, and they would love nothing more than to win on the day they retire his No. 14 jersey. Chicago is also in good hands with Danks, who is 6-0 with a 2.42 ERA in 15 career starts against Kansas City. Escobar (0 for 15), Cain (0 for 8), Moustakas (1 for 13), Gordon (5 for 32), Perez (2 for 11), Butler (7 for 35) and Infante (4 for 19) have all struggled against him. Duffy has pitched great for the Royals, but they haven't supported him well and the chances of them doing so here aren't good considering the success Danks has had against them. According to this run line, the Royals are just 1-5 against the run line in Duffy's last six starts. They are 4-12 against the run line in his last 16 according to this run line. According to this run line, the Sox are 15-0 against the run line all-time in Danks' starts versus the Royals. |
09-25-14 |
Minnesota Twins v. Detroit Tigers -1.5 | | 2-4 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Tigers -1.5 (-130) The Key: I'll lay runs with Detroit given the edge it has on the mound with Scherzer, who has a 2.66 home ERA this season. Minnesota's May has posted an 8.66 mark on the road. The Tigers are 14-0 the last three seasons in his Thursday starts. They are 12-0 the last two seasons in his starts in the second half of the season versus teams averaging 0.9 home runs or less per game. The Tigers are 41-10 in Scherzer's last 51 home starts and 14-2 in his last 16 starts as a favorite of -201 or greater. They are 11-1 in his last 12 starts versus the Twins, including 6-0 in his last six. These six wins have come by an average of 4.0 runs. Take the Tigers on the run line. |
09-23-14 |
Chicago White Sox v. Detroit Tigers -1.5 | Top | 3-4 |
Loss | -130 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Tigers -1.5 (-130) The Key: Off back-to-back losses and clinging to a slim one-game lead in the Central, expect the Tigers to take care of business tonight. Chicago's Scott Carroll has a 5.90 ERA in all starts this season and a 6.85 ERA in night starts. The White Sox are 0-4 in his last four road starts, losing these by an average of 3.8 runs. Detroit's David Price has an ERA of 3.41 on the season. He's been inconsistent of late and was roughed up last time out, but the southpaw rarely makes two bad starts outings in a row. Six of the last seven times he's allowed five earned runs or more, he's bounced back to hold the opposition to three earned runs or less in his next start. Price's clubs are 4-1 in his last five starts versus the White Sox with each of these four victories coming by at least two runs. The Tigers hammered Carroll in his lone start against them, tallying seven runs off him in five innings. Detroit is 21-6 on the run line the last two seasons off an upset loss to a division opponent as a favorite of -150 or higher. The Tigers have won these games by an average score of 5.8 to 3.0. Take Detroit on the run line. |
09-20-14 |
Boston Red Sox v. Baltimore Orioles -1.5 | | 2-7 |
Win | 121 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Orioles -1.5 (+121) The Key: Look for Baltimore to bounce back strong from yesterday's loss behind Tillman. The Orioles are 10-0 in his last 10 starts and have won these by an average of 3.3 runs. Baltimore is also a perfect 8-0 this season when giving the ball to Tillman following a defeat, and it has won by an average score of 5.1 to 2.6 in this spot. The Red Sox are 0-3 in De La Rosa's last three starts, during which he's posted a 7.43 ERA. These losses came by an average of 3.0 runs. Tillman has an ERA of 2.70 in 15 career starts versus Boston. David Ortiz is 2 for 24 lifetime against Tillman, Will Middlebrooks is 0 for 18 and Xander Bogaerts is 2 for 11. Bet Baltimore on the run line. |
09-14-14 |
Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 | | 3-7 |
Win | 110 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
6* MLB Run Line Rout on Pirates -1.5 (+110) The Key: The Cubs are 0-5 in their last five games versus right-handed starters, losing these games by an average of 6.0 runs, and they appear to be up against it with the righty they'll see today. Pittsburgh's Volquez is in top form with a 2.29 ERA over his last nine starts. The Pirates are 4-0 in Volquez's last four home starts versus losing teams, and his clubs are 9-0 in his home starts in the second half of the season the last three seasons versus NL teams with a batting average of .250 or lower. His clubs have won these nine by 2.0 runs on average. Volquez has never lost to the Cubs, and his clubs are 9-0 lifetime in his starts against them, during which he's posted a 3.24 ERA. These nine wins have come by an average of 4.2 runs. Chicago's Turner has a massive 5.84 ERA in all appearance this season. Take Pittsburgh on the run line. |
09-12-14 |
Colorado Rockies v. St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 | | 1-5 |
Win | 107 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
6* MLB Run Line Rout on Cardinals -1.5 +107 The Key: Off three straight losses in Cincinnati, the Cardinals will be all business when they take the field against a Colorado club that has dropped 41 of 51 on the road. While De La Rosa has been strong at home, he has a 5.29 road ERA, and the Rockies are 0-6 in his last six road starts. These defeats have come by an average of 4.0 runs. The Cardinals are 3-0 in Wainwright's last three home starts, winning these by an average of 2.0 runs. And, he's completely dominated the Rockies. Wainwright has a 1.63 ERA in seven career starts against them and is 4-0 in his last four starts. These wins came by an average of 2.5 runs. De La Rosa has a 4.56 ERA in nine career starts versus the Cardinals. Take St. Louis on the run line. |
08-26-14 |
Minnesota Twins v. Kansas City Royals -1.5 | | 1-2 |
Loss | -100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
6* Run Line Rout on Royals -1.5 (+125) The Key: After losing consecutive games for the first time since July 27 and 29, I expect the Royals to bounce back strong. Duffy has been extremely reliable, giving up two earned runs or fewer in 11 of his last 13 starts. He has a 2.53 ERA on the season and a 1.078 WHIP. The Twins are 32-82 in their last 114 games versus starters with a WHIP of less than 1.150. They are 1-18 this season versus AL starters with a WHIP of 1.100 or lower. The Royals are 4-0 in Duffy's last four starts as a home favorite, 5-0 in his last five series-opening starts and 5-0 in his last five starts versus the Twins. Nolasco has a 9.20 ERA over his last three starts and a 7.32 road ERA on the season. The Twins are 1-5 in the last six meetings and 4-12 in the last 16 meetings in Kansas City. Take the Royals on the RL. |
08-18-14 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Washington Nationals -1.5 | | 4-5 |
Loss | -105 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
6* Run Line Rout on Nationals -1.5 (-105) The Key: The Nationals are 6-0 in their last six games, winning them by an average of 2.2 runs. They are also 5-0 in their last five home games, winning these by an average of 2.2 runs as well. Nuno's clubs are 0-8 in his last eight starts and have lost these by 2.6 runs on average. His clubs are 0-4 in his last four road starts and have lost these by 3.0 runs on average. The Nats are 3-0 in Zimmerman's last three starts, winning them by 4.7 runs on average. They are 4-0 in his last four home starts with these wins coming by an average of 4.5 runs. The Diamondbacks are 3-30 in their last 33 games as a road underdog of +201 or greater while the Nationals are 22-5 in their last 27 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater. Take Washington on the run line. |
08-13-14 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Los Angeles Angels -1.5 | Top | 3-4 |
Loss | -100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Rout on Angels -1.5 (+106) The Key: The Angels are showing value on the run line given the edge they have on the mound with Weaver, who is 10-1 with a 2.18 ERA in his last 18 starts against NL clubs. The Phillies are 0-5 in Burnett's last five starts, losing these by an average of 4.4 runs while he's compiled a 6.66 ERA. They are also 0-5 in his last five road starts, losing these by 4.8 runs on average. Burnett's clubs are 0-4 in his last four starts versus the Angels. The Phillies are 0-7 in their last seven interleague games versus a team with a winning record and 0-4 in their last four interleague road games versus a team with a winning record. They are also 0-8 in the last 8 meetings with the Angels. Take LA on the run line. |
08-11-14 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Seattle Mariners -1.5 | Top | 1-11 |
Win | 105 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
7* Run Line Rout of the Year on Mariners -1.5 (+105) The Key: This is a terrible spot for Toronto, which played a 6-hour 37-minute, 19-inning marathon game yesterday and then had to make the long cross-country trip to Seattle. To make matters worse, the Blue Jays will be facing Felix Hernandez, who has gone at least seven innings while allowing two runs or fewer in an MLB-record 15 consecutive starts. He has a 1.42 ERA during this stretch while holding foes to a .168 average. Seattle is 12-1 against the run line when playing on Monday this season, winning these games by an average score of 6.7 to 2.4. You also want to fade road clubs with a +1.5 run line after a game where they had 17 hits or more if their bullpen has logged 13+ innings over the last three games. Doing so has produced a 30-10 mark against the run line since 1997. Take Seattle on the run line. |
08-01-14 |
Colorado Rockies v. Detroit Tigers -1.5 | Top | 2-4 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Rout on Tigers -1.5 (-115) The Key: Justin Verlander has been unstoppable against the NL, going 24-2 with a 2.75 ERA in 31 interleague starts, including 13-0 in his last 13 decisions. The Tigers are 2-0 in his two career starts versus the Rockies, and he's posted a 1.84 ERA in these contests. Verlander is also 14-0 with a 2.14 ERA in 15 interleague home starts. He should be able to have his way with a Colorado club that is 0-6 in its last six and 4-18 in its last 22 interleague road games. The Rockies are 2-15 in their last 17 road games and 10-29 in their last 39 games overall. Colorado's Franklin Morales has struggled in interleague play with a 5.76 ERA in 21 appearances. The Rockies are 0-4 in his starts versus the AL this season, during which he's posted a 7.94 ERA. Take the Tigers on the run line. |
07-29-14 |
Washington Nationals v. Miami Marlins +1.5 | Top | 0-3 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Rout of the Week on Marlins +1.5 (-135) The Key: The Marlins, who are 5-0 in their last five games, are showing major value catching runs at home at this price. Strasburg is not in good form (5.00 ERA L3 starts), and he's struggled on the road all season (5.09 ERA). Strasburg has also struggled in Miami, giving up 7, 7, 4 and 6 runs in his last 4 starts there. The Nationals went 1-3 in these starts, are 2-6 in Strasburg's last 8 starts overall and 2-5 in his last 7 road starts. Alvarez has been unbelievable at home where he has a 1.64 ERA. The Marlins are 13-3 in his last 16 starts and 8-1 in his last 9 home starts. He has a solid 3.19 ERA in 6 starts versus Washington. Take the Marlins on the run line. |
07-23-14 |
Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies +1.5 | Top | 4-6 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Rockies +1.5 -115 The Key: The Rockies are showing a ton of value catching runs at home at a very reasonable price with De La Rosa on the mound. The Rockies have lost seven in a row, but they are 21-3 the last two seasons in De La Rosa's starts following a loss. This trend tightens up to a near-perfect 9-1 if they are off three consecutive defeats or more. They are a jaw-dropping 43-8 in his last 51 home starts and 12-1 the last two seasons in his day starts. It is also worth noting that the Rockies are 5-1 in De La Rosa's last six starts versus Nationals. Strasburg hasn't had the same stuff on the road where he has a 4.92 ERA. Take Colorado on the run line. |
07-09-14 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | | 4-1 |
Loss | -100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
6* MLB Run Line Rout on Brewers -1.5 (+107) The Key: Philly doesn't have enough pop at the plate to get to Lohse, who has a 2.10 ERA in seven home starts this season. The Phillies are batting just .238 on the season, and that doesn't bode well for them here. Milwaukee is a 100 percent perfect 8-0 against the run line this season in Lohse's starts versus NL clubs batting .245 or worse, and it has won these games by an average of 3.5 runs. Philly has managed to win the first two games of this series, but the Brewers are a 100 percent perfect 9-0 against the run line the last three seasons in home games when seeking revenge for two straight upset losses at home to an opponent. They have won by an average of 5.2 runs in this spot. I like Milwaukee's chances of getting to Hernandez, who has a 6.75 ERA in seven road starts this season. Take Milwaukee on the run line. |
07-07-14 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Los Angeles Angels -1.5 | | 2-5 |
Win | 123 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
6* AL Run Line Rout on Angels -1.5 (+123) The Key: Toronto is struggling at the plate. It hit .180 and went 0 for 20 with runners in scoring position while being outscored 14-4 in a four-game series sweep in Oakland. The Blue Jays are 0-6 in their last six road games and have lost these by an average of 3.5 runs. Their struggles figure to continue as they get set to face Weaver without Encarnacion, who is second in the majors with 26 homers and 70 RBIs. The Angels are 10-0 in their last 10 home games and have won these by 3.1 runs on average. Weaver has a 2.75 ERA at home and is 9-2 with a 3.48 ERA in 11 starts versus Toronto. He's 4-0 in his last four home starts versus the Jays with a 1.99 ERA. LA won those four by 4.3 runs on average. Bautista is just 1 of 12 against Weaver. The Halos are 22-5 as a favorite of -150 or higher this season, winning these contests by an average score of 6.0 to 3.4. Take LA. |
07-07-14 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Washington Nationals -1.5 | Top | 8-2 |
Loss | -100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
7* Run Line Rout of the Month on Nationals -1.5 (+126) The Key: Strasburg is 6-0 with a 2.08 ERA in his last nine home starts while Tillman has an ERA of 5.53 in 10 road starts and an 11.90 ERA in three interleague starts. Tillman is averaging only 5.5 innings per start on the road and 3.8 innings in interleague play. In other words, an early departure figures to put a lot of pressure on a bullpen that has been taxed the last two days. Showalter said that certain relievers won't take the mound after his pen worked 12 1-3 innings over the last two days. You want to fade underdogs with a money line of +150 or more that are starting a pitcher who has an ERA of less than 2.50 over his last five starts if the bullpen has worked nine innings or more in the last two games. Doing so has produced a 66-13 mark since 1997, a 22-4 mark the last five seasons, a 14-1 mark the last three seasons and a 2-0 mark this season. Teams fitting into this system have lost by 2.3 runs on average. Take Washington on the run line. |
07-03-14 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Colorado Rockies +1.5 | | 3-2 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
6* MLB Run Line Rout on Rockies +1.5 The Key: I'll take the Rockies on the run line at a reasonable price for insurance in a game they have an excellent opportunity to win outright. The Rockies, who are 20-8 in their last 28 home games following a road trip of seven or more days, will be happy to be home and happy to see Zack Greinke. LA's right-handed ace hasn't had the same stuff on the road. The Dodgers are 0-4 in his last four road starts while he's posted an ERA of 4.18. He's especially struggled in Colorado where he has a 6.23 ERA in his last three starts. The Dodgers are 5-12 in Greinke's last 17 starts as a road favorite of -125 to -150. Franklin Morales has been tough on the division. The Rockies are 4-0 in his four division starts this season while he's posted a 3.37 ERA. The Rockies are batting .325 at home and averaging 6.4 runs per game. The Dodgers are batting just .230 versus southpaw starters. Take Colorado. |
06-23-14 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Kansas City Royals +1.5 | | 3-5 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
6* Interleague Run Line Rout on Royals +1.5 (-140) The Key: I missed a big play with the Royals yesterday as they suffered yet another one-run loss, but I'm not hesitating to come back with them catching runs as they've won or lost by a single run in 13 of their last 14 games. The Dodgers are a poor 25-54 in their last 79 interleague road games, and they are 16-40 in their last 56 interleague road games versus teams with a winning record. Greinke is one of the best in the game, but the Dodgers are 0-3 in his last three road starts, and he's 0-2 on the money line in two career starts versus the Royals (both in KC). The Royals are 7-1 in their last eight interleague games, 25-11 in Guthrie's last 36 starts versus a team with a winning record, 15-4 in his last 19 home starts versus a team with a winning record, 10-4 in his last 14 starts as a home underdog and 6-1 in his last seven starts as a home underdog of +110 to +150. Take the Royals on the run line. |
06-23-14 |
Chicago White Sox v. Baltimore Orioles +1.5 | | 4-6 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
6* AL Run Line Rout on Orioles +1.5 (-155) The Key: I expect the Orioles to take care of business at home against a Chicago club that is 29-66 in its last 95 on the road, but I'm taking them on the run line for insurance. Chicago's Chris Sale has strong numbers, but they are a bit skewed because he's made only two starts on the road. The White Sox are 3-8 in Sale's last 11 road starts and 1-8 in his last nine starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Chen has been rock solid on the season, and the Orioles are 3-0 all-time in his starts versus the White Sox, during which he's posted a 2.60 ERA. The Orioles are 7-1 in his last eight starts as a home underdog. Take Baltimore on the run line. |
06-21-14 |
Seattle Mariners v. Kansas City Royals -1.5 | Top | 2-1 |
Loss | -100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Rout on Royals -1.5 (+133) The Key: The Royals are 9-1 against the run line in their last 10 games, and they are in excellent position to cover another one here. The Royals have dropped back-to-back games since winning 10 in a row and will be extremely focused to get back in the win column. They have been crushing the ball, averaging 6.3 runs over their last 12 games, and the offensive onslaught should continue against Chris Young, who has a 5.18 ERA on the road. His clubs are 2-6 in his last eight road starts, including 0-3 in his last three. Jason Vargas has been in great form over his last five starts, and he's had no problem with Seattle lately. He's 3-0 in his last three starts against the Mariners while giving up only three runs in 20 1-3 innings. Each of these wins came by at least four runs. The Royals are 6-0 in their last six Game 2's of a series, 7-0 in their last seven when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game and 7-0 in their last seven after scoring five runs or more in their previous game. You want to fade AL road underdogs of +150 or higher with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or lower on the season when they are matched up against an opponent with a starting pitcher who averages more than 6.5 innings per starts. Doing so has produced a 61-9 mark the last five seasons that carries a 2.7 average margin of victory. Take the Royals on the run line. |
06-15-14 |
Colorado Rockies v. San Francisco Giants -1.5 | Top | 8-7 |
Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Rout of the Week on Giants -1.5 (+108) The Key: After falling in the first two games of the series, the Giants will rise to the occasion this afternoon. They are an impressive 60-23 in their last 83 games as a favorite of -201 or greater, 15-1 in their last 16 Sunday games and 6-1 in their last 7 games after losing the first two games of a series. They also have a significant edge on the mound with Bumgarner, who has a 2.67 ERA on the season and a 1.23 ERA over his last three starts. Colorado's Nicasio has a 5.70 ERA on the season and a 14.48 ERA over his last three starts. The Giants are 4-0 in Bumgarner's last 4 starts in the third game of a series and 4-0 in his last 4 home starts versus the Rockies (these four victories have come by an average 2.8 runs). The Rockies are 0-4 in Nicasio's 4 career road starts versus the Giants. Take San Francisco on the run line. |
06-06-14 |
Cleveland Indians v. Texas Rangers -1.5 | Top | 4-6 |
Win | 127 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Rout of the Week on Rangers -1.5 (+127) The Key: The Indians were a perfect 6-0 during their recent homestand, but the road doesn't figure to treat them as well. They are a major league-worst 9-19 on the road, including 0-4 in their last four away from Cleveland. Their road struggles should continue with Texas giving the ball to Darvish, who has a 1.66 ERA over his last five starts. The Rangers are 11-2 in Darvish's last 13 starts and 7-0 in his last seven starts on regular rest (4 days). These 11 victories have come by an average of 4.1 runs. The seven wins of the 7-0 run have come by 3.1 runs on average. Cleveland's Bauer has had a rough go on the road. The Indians are 1-3 in his last four road starts, and he's allowed four runs or more three times during this stretch. Each of these three defeats came by two runs or more. Cleveland was lucky to get the one victory during this span since Bauer gave up five runs in 2-3 innings in that start. Take Texas on the run line. |
06-01-14 |
San Diego Padres v. Chicago White Sox -1.5 | Top | 1-4 |
Win | 122 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
7* Interleague Run Line Rout of the Year on White Sox -1.5 The Key: The White Sox are 6-0 in their last six games after losing the first two games of a series and have won these by an average of 4.2 runs. They are also 9-2 this season when playing with double revenge, winning by an average of 2.5 run in these contests. Chris Sale is 4-0 with a 1.73 ERA on the season and has a 0.56 ERA over his last three starts. He gives the Sox a significant advantage considering San Diego's Eric Stults is 0-4 with a 5.04 ERA on the road. You want to fade road underdogs priced at +150 or more following a win by two runs or less when they are matched up against an opponent that has scored three runs or fewer in four straight games. Doing so has produced a 44-6 mark since 1997. Teams fitting this scenario have lost by an average of 2.9 runs. The White Sox are batting .274 and averaging 5.2 runs per game against lefty starters. They should get to Stults and Sale should take care of the rest. |
04-21-14 |
Texas Rangers v. Oakland A's +1.5 | | 4-3 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on A's +1.5 (-150) The Key: The A's are showing some nice value catching 1.5 runs at this price. Texas has lost four of six road games this season, and it is 4-12 in its last 16 series openers dating back to last season. The Rangers haven't been on the road since April 9, and they are 0-4 in their last four games versus Oakland. Darvish has been brilliant thus far. The Rangers have won each of his three starts, but the last two wins came by a single run. Darvish has had a rough go of it versus Oakland. The Rangers are 0-6 in his last six starts versus the A's, including 0-2 in two career starts in Oakland. He was rocked in both of those starts, giving up 11 runs in 10 1-3 innings. Straily has been good against Texas, going 2-0 in his last two starts against the Rangers. In six career starts against them, the A's have won or lost by a single run in five of them. Take the A's on the run line. |
10-18-13 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 | Top | 0-9 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
7* NLCS *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals +1.5 -150 The Key: The Cardinals are showing value catching runs at this price. They are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a home underdog and 12-0 this season in home games following a day off. The Dodgers are 0-7 in their last 7 League Championship road games. They are also 0-4 in Kershaw's last 4 starts versus the Cardinals. He was hit hard in two of these starts and got no run support in the other two. Wacha is 3-0 with an 0.42 ERA in his last three starts and outdueled Kershaw in Game 2. The Cardinals squandered a 3-1 series lead last fall against the Giants, and they do not want to see this thing reach a Game 7. I expect them to be very focused and hungry tonight. |
10-14-13 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 | | 0-3 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
6* NLCS Game 3 *CA$H COW* on Dodgers +1.5 -155 The Key: Each of the Dodgers' last six defeats have come by a single run, and three of St. Louis' last four wins have come by a single run. With this in mind, I believe the Dodgers +1.5 is the strongest play for Game 3. Wainwright has been sensational down the stretch. The Cardinals have won his last seven starts, but keep in mind that only one of those came on the road. Wainwright hasn't been quite as good on the road (3.36 ERA) this season, and the Cardinals have lost four of his last seven road starts. The Cards are also 1-4 in Wainwright's last five starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, 6-15 in their last 21 road games versus a team with a winning record, 1-4 in their last five playoff road games, 6-13 in their last 19 League Championship road games and 3-7 in their last 10 road games versus a left-handed starter. LA Southpaw Ryu has been at his best at home where he has a 2.61 ERA. The Dodgers are 11-4 in his last 15 home starts, 6-1 in his last seven starts as an underdog, 5-0 in his last five starts versus the National League Central and 4-0 in his last four home starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower. The Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff home games. Take LA on the run line. |
09-20-13 |
Miami Marlins v. Washington Nationals -1.5 | | 0-8 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Nationals -1.5 -115 The Key: The Nationals are 7-0 at home this season against the Marlins, winning these by 3.1 runs on average. They are 3-0 in Zimmermann's last 3 starts, winning these by 4.3 runs on average. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts against the Marlins, winning these by 4.8 runs on average. The Marlins are 0-5 in Turner's last 5 starts with 3 of these losses coming by 2 runs. Take Washington on the run line. |
09-19-13 |
Minnesota Twins v. Oakland A's -1.5 | | 6-8 |
Win | 104 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
6* MLB *CA$H COW* on A's -1.5 +104 The Key: The A's are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss, winning these games by an average of 4.1 runs. Look for the A's to respond with a big win following last night's defeat. Straily has been dealing. The A's are 4-0 in his last 4 starts, winning these by an average of 3.5 runs. The Twins are 3-12 in Correia's last 15 starts. Each of their last 6 losses with him on the mound have come by at least 3 runs. Oakland recorded wins of 18-3 and 8-2 in its last two meetings with Minnesota, which took place last week. Take Oakland on the run line. |
09-17-13 |
Seattle Mariners v. Detroit Tigers -1.5 | Top | 2-6 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -1.5 -120 The Key: I'll take the Tigers on the run line against the struggling Mariners. Seattle is 1-7 in its last 8 games with 6 of these losses coming by 2 runs or more. In addition, the M's are 0-6 in Brandon Maurer's last 6 starts, losing these by an average of 4.2 runs. They are 0-4 all-time in his road starts, losing these by 5.0 runs on average. The Tigers are 3-0 in Anibal Sanchez's last 3 starts, winning these by an average of 6.7 runs. They are 9-1 in his last 10 starts with 8 of the wins coming by at least 2 runs. Take Detroit on the run line. |
09-01-13 |
San Diego Padres v. Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 1-2 |
Loss | -104 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -1.5 -104 The Key: Greinke's clubs are 12-0 in his home starts versus losing clubs since the beginning of last season, winning these starts by an average score of 6.6 to 3.3. His teams are also 13-0 in his home starts in the second half of the season versus losing teams since 2011, winning these by an average score of 4.9 to 2.6. His clubs are 15-0 in his starts as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since the start of the 2011 season, winning these by an average score of 5.9 to 2.5. The Dodgers are 8-0 this season in his starts versus poor power teams that average 0.9 or less home runs per game, winning these by an average score of 3.8 to 1.6. LA is also 8-0 in his starts in the second half of this season versus clubs that draw 3 walks or less per game, winning these by an average score of 4.3 to 2.0. Take the Dodgers on the run line. |
08-29-13 |
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | | 4-0 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Brewers +1.5 -148 The Key: Gallardo is in terrific form. The Brewers are 3-0 in his last 3 starts, a stretch where he posted a 2.65 ERA. Pittsburgh's Cole hasn't been nearly as sharp of late, as evidenced by the 4.24 ERA he's posted over his last 3 starts. Gallardo has owned the Pirates. The Brewers are 14-3 all-time in his starts against Pittsburgh, and he has posted a 2.58 ERA in these games. One of those losses came by a single run so the Brewers have covered today's run line in 15 of Gallardo's 17 starts against the Bucs. Take Milwaukee on the run line. |
08-27-13 |
Oakland A's v. Detroit Tigers -1.5 | Top | 5-3 |
Loss | -100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -1.5 +120 The Key: Verlander isn't having the type of season we've come to expect from him, but I really like him in this spot against a club he's owned. He's 6-0 in his last six starts versus Oakland and has given up one earned run or none in each. These wins have come by an average of 3.5 runs with each coming by at least two runs. It is also worth noting that Detroit is a perfect 11-0 in Verlander's home starts in the second half of the season versus good teams with a winning percentage of 54-62% since 2011. The Tigers have won these games by 2.4 runs on average. Take the Tigers on the run line. |
08-26-13 |
Chicago Cubs v. Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 2-6 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -1.5 -105 The Key: Motivated by back-to-back back defeats, I fully expect the Dodgers to take care of business at home against a Chicago club they have owned. Keep in mind the Dodgers haven't lost three consecutive games since June 8-10. LA is 7-0 in its last 7 versus the Cubs, winning these by 2.6 runs on average. LA is in fantastic hands with Greinke getting the ball. It is 5-0 in his last 5 starts, winning these by 2.8 runs on average. It is also 7-0 in his last 7 starts versus teams that draw 3 walks or less per game, winning these by 2.0 runs on average. In addition, Greinke's clubs are 11-0 since the beginning of last season in his home starts versus teams that have a losing record, winning these by 3.2 runs on average. His clubs are 15-0 since the start of the 2011 season in his home starts as a favorite of -175 to -250, winning these by 3.4 runs on average. Lastly, Greinke is 3-0 all-time in 3 home starts versus the Cubs with his teams winning these by 3.7 runs on average. Take LA on the run line. |
08-24-13 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. Cincinnati Reds -1.5 | | 3-6 |
Win | 108 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
6* MLB *Run Line Rout* on Reds -1.5 +108 The Key: The Reds are showing value on the run line give the edges they hold on the mound and at the plate. The Reds lost yesterday, and that's in our best interest. Consider that they are 14-1 since the beginning of last season in home games following an upset loss at home to a division rival. They are also 14-1 since the start of last season in home games when out for revenge for an upset loss at home in a game where they were listed at -150 or higher. In addition, Cincy is 19-2 this season in home games following a defeat. It is also 9-1 this season when Arroyo gets the ball following a loss. The Reds have won each of Arroyo's last 3 starts by 2 runs or more while the Brewers have dropped Peralta's last 2 by 2 runs or more. The Reds have won both of Arroyo's starts against the Brewers this season while the Brewers have lost each of Peralta's 3 career starts in Cincinnati. Take Cincy on the run line. |
08-18-13 |
Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers -1.5 | Top | 4-3 |
Loss | -129 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
7* MLB Blowout Game of the Week on Rangers -1.5 -129 The Key: I expect Texas to win convincingly this afternoon as it faces Seattle scheduled starter Ramirez, who has a hefty 7.06 ERA. The Rangers are in much better hands with Yu Darvish, who has a 2.64 ERA. He leads the majors with 207 strikeouts and opponents are batting just .186 against him. Darvish is 3-0 in his last three starts with a 1.64 ERA. He's also 3-0 all-time in three home starts versus the Mariners. The Rangers won these three by six, six and seven runs, respectively. Take Texas on the run line. |
08-15-13 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 | Top | 2-1 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers +1.5 -133 The Key: I'll gladly take the Brewers catching 1.5 runs at a pretty nice price with Lohse on the hill. The Brewers are 5-0 in his last five starts, and he's posted a 1.74 ERA during this stretch. They are also 7-0 in his last seven home starts, and he's recorded a 2.56 ERA during this span. Lohse has a 1.95 ERA over his last eight starts against the Reds, and his clubs are 4-0 in his last four home starts against them. It is also worth mentioning that the Brewers are 4-0 in Lohse's last four starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 5-0 in his last five series-opening starts. The Brewers check in off a loss but are 4-0 in their last four games following defeat. The Reds are just 1-5 in their last six meetings in Milwaukee. Take the Brew Crew on the run line. |
08-11-13 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Cleveland Indians -1.5 | Top | 5-6 |
Loss | -100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
7* AL Game of the Week on Indians -1.5 +111 The Key: The Angels are at a disadvantage with Jerome Williams on the hill. They are 0-5 in his last 5 starts with an average losing margin of 3.4 runs. Williams has a 5.46 ERA on the season. Cleveland's Justin Masterson, meanwhile, has a 3.46 ERA. His home ERA is 2.82, and his day game ERA is 1.98. Williams has a 6.33 ERA in day starts. The Indians are 9-3 in Masterson's last 12 home starts. Masterson's clubs are 5-1 in his last 6 starts versus the Angels, and he has a 1.35 ERA in 7 career starts against LA. The Angels are 0-7 in their last 7 games as an underdog of +151 to +200 while the Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. Take Cleveland on the run line. |
08-09-13 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Colorado Rockies +1.5 | Top | 1-10 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
7* Run Line Rout of the Week on Rockies +1.5 The Key: The Rockies are showing tremendous value catching 1.5 runs at this price with De La Rosa on the hill. They are an incredible 40-15 in his last 55 home starts, including 14-2 in his last 16 home starts versus teams with a winning record. Colorado is happy to be back home following a tough 10-game road trip. It has lost its last five games, but it is 8-0 this season in De La Rosa's starts when it checks in off a loss. It has won by an average score of 5.9 to 3.8 in this spot. It is also worth noting that Colorado has won or lost by a single run in five of De La Rosa's last seven starts against the Pirates. The Pirates are just -5 in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Take Colorado. |
08-03-13 |
Chicago White Sox v. Detroit Tigers -1.5 | Top | 0-3 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Month on Tigers -1.5 -125 The Key: The Tigers are rolling. They are 7-0 in their last seven home games with a 5.6-run average winning margin. The White Sox, meanwhile, are ice cold. They are 0-8 in their last eight games overall with a 2.3-run average losing margin. Detroit has been lighting up left-handed pitching. It is batting .277 and scoring 5.4 runs per game off southpaw starters this season and is 8-0 in its last eight games versus a lefty starter. The Tigers won these eight by an average of 4.9 runs. Their success against lefties should continue as Chicago is 0-3 in Danks' starts versus AL Central foes this season. It's lost these starts by 3.0 runs on average while he's posted a 6.50 ERA. The White Sox are 0-4 in his last four starts in Detroit, losing these by 4.0 runs on average. Chicago is 0-4 in its last four road games versus right-handed starters and will have its work cut our for itself as it goes up against Scherzer. The Tigers are 8-0 in his starts versus AL Central opponents this season. They've won these by an average of 8.0 runs while he's posted a 3.20 ERA. The Tigers are 4-0 in his last four starts against the Sox, winning these by an average of 3.0 runs. Take Detroit on the run line. |
08-02-13 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Boston Red Sox -1.5 | | 7-6 |
Loss | -100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
6* MLB *Run Line Rout* on Red Sox -1.5 +115 The Key: Boston is showing value on the run line at home with Jon Lester on the mound. That's because it is 8-0 this season in his home starts, and he's posted a 2.95 ERA during this run. The Red Sox have won these eight starts by an average of 2.6 runs. Randall Delgado was torched in Boston last season, giving up 4 earned runs on six hits in just 1 1-3 innings. Lester, on the other hand, gave up only two earned on four hits in seven innings of a 6-2 win in his lone starts versus Arizona. Take Boston on the run line. |
07-26-13 |
Minnesota Twins v. Seattle Mariners -1.5 | | 3-2 |
Loss | -102 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
6* MLB *Run Line Rout* of the Week on Mariners -1.5 -102 The Key: The Mariners have won nine of 10. This stretch bodes well for us considering they are 11-0 in home games since the beginning of last when checking into a contest with six or seven wins in eight games. They have won by an average score of 5.0 to 2.2 in this situation. In addition, the Mariners are 6-0 in their last six home games versus the Twins, winning these by an average of 3.8 runs. Minnesota finds itself at a major disadvantage on the mound with Scott Diamond getting the ball. It is 0-5 in his last five starts, losing them by an average of 4.4 runs. It is also 0-7 in his last seven starts as an underdog, losing these by 4.7 runs on average. The M's, on the other hand, are 4-0 in Felix Hernandez's last four starts, winning them by 5.5 runs on average. Hernandez went 2-0 against Minnesota last season, allowing no runs in 17 innings. Take Seattle on the run line. |