Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-27-18 | Florida v. Alabama -2.5 | Top | 73-52 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. Alabama is still projected to make the NCAA Tournament despite riding a three-game losing streak, but the stock is going down. All three of those losses came against teams that will be in the Big Dance and the Tide face another one of those tonight, so a win here locks up a bid. This is just the second losing streak of the season for Alabama which brings in a 12-3 home record in its final home game of the season. We won with Florida on Saturday as it won at home against Auburn to improve to 9-7 in the conference and that win against the No. 7 team in the RPI assured the Gators a spot in the NCAA Tournament. They are No. 50 in the RPI which is six spots lower than Alabama, yet the postseason is clearer which does make sense. Alabama has played the eighth toughest schedule in the country and it is tied for fourth in the SEC in Quadrant 1 wins (5) while it is one of only four teams in Q1 and Q2 wins with 10. Also, only 15 other teams in the nation have more Q1 victories than the Tide. The Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games while going 34-11 ATS in their last 45 games off a home conference loss. Meanwhile, the Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (526) Alabama Crimson Tide | |||||||
02-26-18 | James Madison v. Elon -3 | Top | 80-76 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the ELON PHOENIX for our CBB Monday Supreme Annihilator. Elon has been one of the biggest disappointments in the Colonial Athletic Association as it returned all five starters and was expected to contend for the championship. The Phoenix were 6-6 at one point but has since lost five straight games, failing to cover any of those. This is the final home game of the season, but it goes further than that as the 2017-18 season marks the 68th and final year of competition inside historic Alumni Gym as the program is set to relocate to the Schar Center for the 2018-19 campaign. The Phoenix are allowing teams to shoot 43.3 percent from the floor which is third overall in the CAA. Elon's 44.4 percent field goal percentage defense in CAA games ranks tied for 1st in the league with Charleston. James Madison has lost two straight games including a loss at then last place Delaware on Saturday and now it is the Dukes that hold down that place in the standings. They are the lowest ranked team in the CAA RPI and are over 100 spots below Elon which does correlate correctly with this short line. The Phoenix are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (740) Elon Phoenix | |||||||
02-25-18 | Penn State v. Nebraska -1 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS for our CBB Sunday Supreme Annihilator. We won with Nebraska on Tuesday as it defeated Indiana to improve to 12-5 in the Big Ten, yet the Huskers are still on the outside looking in at the NCAA Tournament. They are one of the last four teams out due to a lack of quality wins, but the schedule did not give them many opportunities. They do have solid home wins over Michigan and Maryland where they are 15-1 on the season, the lone setback coming against Kansas by a single point. The Big Ten is in a down year with the bottom half of the conference lacking strength but Nebraska is fifth in the conference RPI and can still plays its way into the tournament as long as it does not lose any more winnable games, including this one. Penn St. is also on the bubble as it is coming off a pair of losses and hits the road for the final game of the season where it is 4-6 on the season. The Nittany Lions do have a good road win at Ohio St. but that is it and they are short-handed today. They will be without third leading scorer and leading rebounder Mike Watkins who was injured last game after playing just five minutes. Nebraska has covered 10 of its last 11 games at home and if the Huskers can win, they would break a school record for most conference wins in a season. 10* (834) Nebraska Cornhuskers | |||||||
02-25-18 | Memphis v. Connecticut -3.5 | Top | 83-79 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT HUSKIES for our CBB Sunday Revenge Massacre. The Connecticut basketball program has taken a big fall as it is in danger of a second straight losing season after winning the National Championship in 2014. The Huskies are coming off a 25-point loss at Cincinnati and while a loss was expected there, they were without leading scorer Jalen Adams who missed the game with the flu, but he will be back today. They have struggled on the road but are a solid 10-4 at home with three of those losses coming against Villanova, Cincinnati and Wichita St., which are No. 2, No. 11 and No. 12 in the RPI respectively, and the fourth coming against 10-5 Tulsa by a bucket. Connecticut is 6-1 at Gampel Pavilion this season with that loss coming against the Bearcats. Memphis has been up and down this season but is coming off its most impressive stretch as it is riding a three-game streak with all of those victories coming as an underdog. This is keeping this line in check along with the fact Connecticut has lost five straight against the number. The Tigers are 12-25 ATS in their last 37 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. While the Huskies have some bad road losses, the worst came at Memphis back on January 16th where they lost by 24 points as they were held to a season low 49 points and that will have them jacked up for this rematch. 10* (818) Connecticut Huskies | |||||||
02-25-18 | Illinois v. Rutgers | Top | 75-62 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. It has been a disappointing season for Rutgers and while that is usually said every year in Piscataway, this year was supposed to be different. While Rutgers won just 15 games last season, it was more than twice as many victories from the previous season. It lost seven Big Ten games by single-digits after losing 15 conference games by double-digits the previous season and it brought back four starters. A 10-3 start had things looking bright but an overtime loss again Stony Brook sent them reeling and the Scarlet Knights never recovered. They have shown signs of what they are capable of with a two-point loss to Purdue and an overtime loss at Michigan St. and with this being the final home game of the season, we will see a full out effort today. Illinois is coming off a great effort against Purdue but fell short at the end for the upset in its final home game of the season. The Illini are 0-10 on the road, getting outscored by over 10 ppg and Rutgers has added motivation from a 31-point loss in Champaign last month. The Illini are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Scarlet Knights are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (824) Rutgers Scarlet Knights | |||||||
02-24-18 | Southern Miss v. UTEP -2 | Top | 44-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTEP MINERS as part of our CBB Ultimate Trifecta. It has been a turbulent season for UTEP as it had to endure the unexpected retirement of head coach Tim Floyd while dealing with several injuries along the way. The Miners are fully healthy now and are coming off a win over Louisiana Tech on Thursday. This is the final home game of the season for UTEP and it will be a special one on Senior Night as Jake Flaggert, Keith Frazier, Omega Harris and Matt Willms have combined to play in 433 games and score 3,257 points. UTEP is 8-8 at home and needs a victory to avoid posting only its second losing mark over a full season in the Haskins Center. Southern Mississippi has dropped three straight games including another loss on the road Thursday against UTSA. The Golden Eagles are just 2-10 in true road games and have covered just one of their last five games on the highway. UTEP will be out to avenge a loss at Southern Mississippi last month and it is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games revenging a loss where the opponent scored 75 or more points while going 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games after a win by six points or less. 10* (672) UTEP Miners | |||||||
02-24-18 | Auburn v. Florida -2.5 | Top | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS as part of our CBB Ultimate Trifecta. It has been an up and down season for the Gators which are now 8-7 in the SEC following three straight losses. All three of those were by five points or less including the last two on the road while the lone home loss came against Georgia in overtime. Florida is 10-5 at home this season and one defeat from equaling the most home losses by a Florida team in 21 years. The Gators are 34-14 ATS in their last 48 games after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. Auburn is coming off a 90-71 blowout of rival Alabama, but just four nights earlier was beaten handily 84-75 on the road at South Carolina, which at the time had lost six straight games. It has been a remarkable season for the Tigers as they are on the verge of clinching their first SEC regular season championship since 1999. The Tigers could again be without second leading scorer Mustapha Heron who is battling the flu and is not close to 100 percent. Auburn is not very big to begin with, so the Gators will have the advantages down low. 10* (668) Florida Gators | |||||||
02-24-18 | Gonzaga v. BYU +5 | Top | 79-65 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the BYU COUGARS as part of our CBB Ultimate Trifecta. This is the final regular season home game for BYU as it is coming off a three-game roadtrip where it went 2-1. With the BYU win against Portland and Pacific losing to San Francisco on Thursday, the Cougars clinched the No. 3 seed in the West Coast Conference Tournament. They are 13-2 at home including a 7-1 record in the conference, the only loss coming against St. Marys in overtime. The Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games following three or more consecutive road games. Gonzaga continues to rack up the victories as it has won 10 straight games but has been far from dominating. The Bulldogs are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games and while most of those were laying big numbers, the competition was not good. They did pick up a win and cover against the Gaels, but they were underdog there and are now laying a larger than expected number against a quality team in a very tough environment. BYU has held its own in this series over the years including a respectable eight-point loss in Spokane earlier this month. The Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (660) BYU Cougars | |||||||
02-24-18 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma -4.5 | Top | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CBB Game of the Month. While Oklahoma is still projected to make the NCAA Tournament, its stock is going down quickly as it has lost six straight games including a 30-point loss at Kansas on Monday. Four of these recent losses have come on the road and the Sooners return home where they are 11-2 on the season. After a 5-1 start in the Big XII, they have lost nine of their last 11 games in the conference and the first defeat in this streak came at Kansas St. by 18 points which was their biggest loss of the season prior to the Kansas game. The Wildcats have been a bit of a surprise as they have put together a solid run as their win over Texas on Wednesday was their 20th of the season and ninth in the conference. Kansas St. has won and covered three straight games, but it has gone 0-6 ATS this season following three or more consecutive wins. This has been a home dominated series with the host taking the last six meetings which helps with the contrarian angle today. As mentioned, this is a revenge game for the Sooners and going back, they are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games playing with revenge. 10* (612) Oklahoma Sooners | |||||||
02-24-18 | Utah State v. Air Force +3 | Top | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. We played on Air Force in its last game and the Falcons failed to cover by a bucket against San Diego St. They remain home today as the competition takes a step down and they look to snap a three-game slide. Two of those losses came on the road previous to the Aztecs loss and Air Force is still a game over .500 at home. The Falcons have covered five of their last six games at Clune Arena and will be out to avenge a 71-49 loss in Logan last month. Utah St. has dropped two straight games to fall a game under .500 in the Mountain West Conference and while it has been solid at home, the road struggles continue. The home team is 20-6 in Aggies games this season with Utah St. going just 2-10 on the highway. The Aggies lost their only game this season when favored on the road and going back, they are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games after scoring 85 points or more. Meanwhile, Air Force is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games after three or more consecutive losses. 10* (580) Air Force Falcons | |||||||
02-24-18 | Villanova v. Creighton +8 | Top | 83-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the CREIGHTON BLUEJAYS for our CBB Saturday Star Attraction. After a stunning loss against the Red Storm, Villanova bounced back with a blowout win over Butler only to lose its next game at Providence. The Wildcats have responded with two dominating wins over Xavier and DePaul as they are keeping pace with Xavier for first place in the Big East. Creighton has been in a funk as it has not covered a game since January 23rd, going 0-6 ATS over that stretch. The Bluejays have lost three straight conference games including two at home, their only home losses of the season. Creighton is part of a logjam of five teams that are separated by a game and a half between third and seventh place in the conference. Included in this money-burning run was a 20-point loss at Villanova and the Bluejays have gone 28-15 ATS in home revenge games under head coach Greg McDermott. Additionally, Creighton is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 home games following two straight conference losses including 6-0 ATS in its last six while going 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games after allowing 80 or more points. 10* (562) Creighton Bluejays | |||||||
02-24-18 | LSU v. Georgia -4.5 | Top | 82-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS for our CBB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. LSU has won two straight games, but both of those games were at home where the Tigers have won five in a row. The road has been a different story however as after winning their first two SEC games, they have gone 0-5 in their last five road games. They could be without their top big man as Duop Reath is listed as questionable after injuring his ankle last game and even if he does go, he will not be 100 percent. Georgia is coming off a loss at South Carolina to fall back to three games under .500 in the conference. Despite this, the Bulldogs are still in the hunt for an NCAA Tournament berth as they are going to have to win out and make at least a small run in the SEC Tournament. A loss here against a non-quality opponent will end their chances making this a must win game at home where they are 10-3 on the season and own quality wins over Alabama, Florida and Tennessee. LSU is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games following a conference home win while the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (542) Georgia Bulldogs |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $966 |
Ray Monohan | $762 |
Joey Tron | $604 |
Big Al McMordie | $501 |
Ross Benjamin | $475 |
Jesse Schule | $471 |
Ricky Tran | $360 |
Matt Fargo | $338 |
Tom Macrina | $260 |
Jimmy Boyd | $88 |