Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-22-22 | West Ham United v. Brighton & Hove Albion | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on BRIGHTON AND HOVE ALBION (Draw = No bet) Both teams are coming in hungry and with something to play for. West Ham could potentially still move up to 6th place. However, the Hammers would need to win here and that wouldn't even matter if Manchester United wins its match. Brighton, meanwhile, can finish in the top half for the first time ever. The Seagulls have had a great season, for their standards. Currently, they're in 10th. They could fall as far as 14th; finishing in the top half is a big deal to them. They're playing their best and come into this match full of confidence. Playing at home will provide a boost. Take a look at Brighton's recent matches, dating back to April 9th. A 2-1 win over Arsenal. A 1-0 win over Tottenham. A 3-0 loss to Man City, the best team. A 2-2 draw with Southampton. A 3-0 win over Wolverhampton followed by a 4-0 win over Man. United. Last time out, the Seagulls had a draw vs. Leeds. So, despite facing some (four of the current top 6) really tough teams, the Seagulls are 4-1-2 the past six weeks. West Ham is in the wrong place, at the wrong time. | |||||||
05-07-22 | Aston Villa v. Burnley UNDER 2.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on Aston Villa / Burnley UNDER the total. Aston Villa scored two goals last game. However, that was against the worst team in the league and the Villans had previously been having trouble scoring. They also kept a clean sheet in that game, a 2-0 victory. Burnley had trouble scoring earlier but has found its touch a little of late. The Clarets scored two last game. However, that was against the second worst team in the league and the Clarets still only have 31 goals in 34 matches. Only last placed Norwich City has scored fewer goals. So, the Clarets' recent winning streak has been largely due to their stinginess. Prior to the 2-1 win last game, Burnley had recorded b2b clean sheets. Expect a low-scoring affair. | |||||||
04-30-22 | Burnley v. Watford | 2-1 | Loss | -113 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WATFORD. (Draw = Push) Watford has been struggling while Burnley comes in on a roll. However, I expect things to change here. Keep in mind that the Clarets have still only scored 29 goals in 33 matches. Watford has 31. The Hornets have been playing some tough teams of late; Burnley represents a significant step down in class. They're going to be desperate to take advantage. Indeed, this is truly a must win game for them if they want to keep their hopes of staying in the EPL alive. While they obviously came up short, I like the fact that the Hornets were able to score against Man City last game. That'll give them the confidence to know they can do so again in this critical match. Expect them to dig deep and play their best game. | |||||||
04-30-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on Brighton/Wolverhampton OVER the total. It's true that neither of these teams is known for its scoring. That's worked into the line though; we're working with a low O/U number here. I feel that it'll prove to be too low. Both teams are going to be hungry for the win and I expect both to find the back of the net. Wolverhampton doesn't play many ties. That said, at least one of the sides should score more than once. Brighton's last two games have had scores of 2-2 and 0-3. While WH's recent road games have been low-scoring, its last three home games have had scores of 2-1, 2-3 and 4-0. Don't be surprised when this one proves higher-scoring than many will be expecting. | |||||||
04-23-22 | Tottenham Hotspur -0.5 v. Brentford | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on TOTTENHAM. This game is more important to Tottenham. The Spurs are in a battle to finish in the Top 4. Off an upset loss against Brighton, they'll be absolutely all busines in this one. They can't afford to slip up again against another mediocre opponent. Brentford got off to a hot start to the season. The Bees then cooled off before finding their form again recently. They are in no danger of relegation and this will be viewed as a successful season no matter what happens the rest of the way. On the season, Brentford still has a -8 goal differential. Tottenham, which has a +18 goal diffential, has scored 12 times in its last four EPL road games. Expect the Spurs to bounce back and find the back of the net multiple times, with Brentford ultimately unable to keep up. | |||||||
04-20-22 | Crystal Palace v. Newcastle United UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
I'm playing on Crystal Palace/Newcastle UNDER the total. I expect goals to be hard to come by in this match. Newcastle has just 36 goals in 32 matches. With the exception of an April 3rd game against Tottenham, the Magpies have been stingy of late though. Last time out, they held Leicester to a single goal. That came on the heels of a 1-0 win over Wolverhampton. Prior to the Totteham debacle, the Magpies were off a 1-0 loss against Everton and a 1-0 loss against Chelsea. Palace has only conceeded 40 goals in its 31 matches. That's far fewer goals allowed than any of the teams beneath the Eagles in the standings. In fact, that's the eighth stingiest mark in the league. The problem has been at the other end as Palace has real trouble scoring. Off a 2-0 loss in the FA Cup to Chelsea, CP scored just one goal in its last league game. Prior to that, the Eagles had gone four straight matches without allowing a single goal. While the most recent match between these teams was postponed, the last time that they faced each other resulted in a 1-1 final. I see them finishing with two or fewer goals once again. | |||||||
03-10-22 | Watford v. Wolverhampton Wanderers -0.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on WOLVERHAMPTON. Off three straight losses, Wolverhampton desperately needs to right the ship. Watford figures to be the perfect opponent. Facing relegation, the Hornets are badly in need of points themselves. This is a Watford team, however, which has conceeded 50 goals in 27 league matches. In the same number of games, Wolverhampton has allowed only 23 goals. Watford may have played a little better of late. However, keep in mind that the Hornets are expected to be without Ismaila Sarr and that they're 0-9-2 in 11 league matches this season, when he doesn't play. Without Sarr, expect Watford to have trouble scoring and for Wolverhampton to pick up the max points. | |||||||
02-19-22 | Watford v. Aston Villa -0.75 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on ASTON VILLA. The Villans have revenge on their minds as they lost 3-2 at Watford, back in August. They've dominated the Hornets here though and they'll settle for nothing less than a victory against one of the weakest teams in the league. The Hornets haven't scored a single goal in their last four matches. While it's possible that the Hornets score in this one, they won't be able to keep Villa from doing so; Watford has conceded 43 goals in 23 matches. Villa badly needs a victory and a visit from Watford is just what the doctor ordered. Payback time. | |||||||
02-08-22 | Manchester United -160 v. Burnley | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -160 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing on MANCHESTER UNITED. This is a mismatch. Sitting last in the standings, Burnley has just one win this entire season. Home field won't help either. Indeed, the Clarets have just one win in their last 18 home league games. They've scored 16 goals in league play this season. United, on the other hand, has tallied 36. The Red Devils won't win the title this season but this game is one they need to get full points of, as they'll look to lock up a top four spot over the next stretch. These clubs met three times in 2021 and the Red Devils won all three. Scores were 3-1, 3-1 and 1-0. Some minor Covid issues won't slow them down. Expect the superior team to again pick up the full points. | |||||||
01-21-22 | Norwich City v. Watford UNDER 2.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Norwich/Watford UNDER the total. Goals are going to be few and far between in this one. Norwich has only scored 10 goals in 21 league matches, by far the fewest in the league. With 23 goals in 19 matches, Watford is hardly an offensive force either. Note that the Hornets are dealing with some injury issues. Two of the last three meetings have finished with final scores of 1-0. With both teams lacking firepower, expect another low-scoring affair. | |||||||
01-18-22 | Chelsea -0.5 v. Brighton & Hove Albion | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -135 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHELSEA. While the Blues won't be winning the league title, I expect them to be hungry for the victory today. Angry off the loss to Man. City, they haven't forgotten that Brighton stole precious points, by earning a late draw, against them to close out 2021. Including that result, Chelsea has 10 wins and three draws, in 13 all-time (league) matches against Brighton. That's the most that Chelsea has ever faced a team without losing. Note that Chelsea averages two goals per game and that Brighton averages one goal per game. With the Seagulls dealing with a number of key injuries, Chelsea will extend it's unbeaten streak in the series today. Only this time, the Blues won't settle for the draw. | |||||||
01-16-22 | Leeds United v. West Ham United -0.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 27 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on WEST HAM. These teams are on a different level. The Hammers are surging. They sit in fourth place in the EPL and the two teams behind them are facing each other this weekend. Picking up maximum points against lowly Leeds is imperative. West Ham has scored 39 goals in league play, Leeds has scored 21, while conceding 37. Even if Leeds was healthy, this was going to be a mismatch. However, the Whites are dealing with some serious injury issues and will be without numerous players. This game should go only one way, a convincing victory for the superior squad. | |||||||
01-14-22 | Crystal Palace v. Brighton & Hove Albion UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
I'm plahying on CP/Brighton UNDER the total. These teams have a history of playing low-scoring games against each other here. I'm expecting goals to again be at a premium. Brighton is one of the stingier teams in the league this season. The Seagulls rarely concede more than a single goal. Palace is going to be hard-pressed to score. With only 20 goals in 20 league matches, Brighton doesn't score many either. The last five meetings have had scores of 1-1, 1-0, 1-1, 2-1 and 1-1. I expect this one to also finish with two goals or less. | |||||||
01-02-22 | Aston Villa v. Brentford UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -130 | 19 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on AV/Brentford UNDER the total. Since Steven Gerrard took over, Aston Villa has been very stingy. Villa has played seven league games under Gerrard. Three of those games were against Man City, Chelsea and Liverpool. Those are the top three teams in the league. So, Villa wasn't expected to win those games. Yet, they limited those three powerful squads to six combined goals, an average of only two per game. The other four league games were played against lesser teams, ones which are more level with Brentford. Villa won all four, defense and goaltending leading the way. In those four games, which came against Brighton, Leicester, Norwich and Crystal Palace, the Villans conceded only two combined goals. The Bees don't typically score much but they can also be stingy. They're off a 1-0 loss to Man. City. That's three straight games overall where Brentford has failed to score. These teams played to a 1-1 draw earlier this season and it was a 1-0 final, when the two teams last played here, which was February 2019. Expect another low-scoring affair. | |||||||
01-01-22 | Tottenham Hotspur -160 v. Watford | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TOTTENHAM. These teams are going in opposite directions. Tottenham hasn't lost a league game since Oct. 30th. The Spurs have scored 15, while only conceeding five, over their past seven league matches. On the other hand, Watford has dropped five straight, giving up 15 goals in the process. The Spurs are undefeated (5 wins, 2 draws) since Conte took over as manager. There was talk that Kane could get a rest. However, Conte said that would not be the case. He was quoted as saying this: "We've played four games in nine days. It’s not easy. If you look at the games against Liverpool, West Ham, two intense games, then Palace was a good game, and Southampton, two days after Palace, was another big effort With the next game in four days, we have time to recover and rest. Yesterday, I gave the players a day off, because sometimes it’s better to rest with your family rather than have a training session, sometimes it’s much better to recover with rest rather than train. Today, we had a good session and then tomorrow... we'll be ready for the game against Watford on Saturday." Knowing tougher games are on deck, look for Conte's team to indeed be ready. Kane and co will find the net, probably more than once, and ultimately Watford won't be able to keep up. | |||||||
12-30-21 | Burnley v. Manchester United -1.25 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MAN. UNITED. Even without a few regulars, United has a massive talent edge in this one. I also like the fact that the Reds had to battle for a draw on Monday while Burnley hasn't played in weeks. Their last game was on Dec. 12th. That will lead to some rust. That'll prove costly against a motivated and superior side. Being short-handed won't help the Clarets, either. United won 3-1 the last time these teams met. Happy to be back on the pitch and with Monday's "warm up game" (their first in 16 days) look for the Reds to keep the pedal to the metal and win this one, going away. | |||||||
12-26-21 | Brentford v. Brighton & Hove Albion +107 | 0-2 | Win | 107 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BRIGHTON (Draw = no bet) This isn't a traditional Boxing Day afternoon game. The start time has been pushed back for TV and it will be an 8:00pm local start. Either way, I expect the venue to favor the home team. Indeed, this is a great opportunity for Brighton to pick up a victory. The Seagulls already won the reverse fixture and the Bees aren't playing nearly as well as they did at the beginning of the season. Note that Brighton has lost only one of its last 12 (EPL) games against "promoted" teams, winning five while drawing six The Seagulls have conceded just four goals in those games, keeping a clean sheet in seven of the last eight. They're going to have the majority of the pressure and will surely have an edge in corners. I say they break through with a rare Boxing Day victory. | |||||||
12-16-21 | Newcastle United v. Liverpool UNDER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on Newcastle/Liverpool UNDER the total. This is the highest total on the Thursday soccer board. I feel that it's providing us excellent value. Liverpool will score in this game. Probably more than once. Newcastle, however, will likely not. The Magpies were blanked last time out and have managed only two goals in their last four matches. Three of those four games finished with two (combined) goals or less. They've only scored five goals on the road all season. The Magpies be all about defense in this one, trying to keep the Reds from scoring - or, at least, from running up the score. With a busy upcoming schedule, Liverpool may pull some starters early in this one. The Reds are off a 1-0 win last time out. That was preceded by a 2-1 (Champions League) win and a 1-0 victory before that. Expect another clean sheet, leading to the final combined score staying beneath the generous number. | |||||||
12-15-21 | West Ham United +0.5 v. Arsenal | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on WEST HAM. Big game for both teams. A win for West Ham (4th in the standings) gives them some separation between them and Arsenal. The Gunners sit in sixth. However, if it goes the other way, there will be only one point separating them. Needless to say, both teams are going to be hungry. A draw is certainly a possibility. I believe the Hammers are catching the Gunners at the right time though and I'm expecting the outright win. Arsenal is going through some problems right now; the Gunners just stripped Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang of his captaincy and he won't be playing today. They're centre-back (White) has been weak/vulnerable against balls in the air. While they're close in the standings, United has a +9 goal differential, compared to a -1 mark for Arsensal. That's a big difference through only 16 matches. Go with West Ham. | |||||||
12-10-21 | Watford +0.5 v. Brentford | 1-2 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WATFORD. Both teams are going to view this as a chance for a win. The Bees are more comfortable in their position in the standings, due to their great start. Injuries have taken a toll though and they aren't playing as well as they were earlier. They're 1-5-2 their last eight league games - one win (by a single goal) five losses and two draws. The Hornets know they're in danger of being relegated and they're going to be extremely hungry in this one. They've been playing some very difficult opponents lately and Brentford represents a big step down in class. Consider that the Hornets last five games were against Man City, Chelsea, Leicester, Man United and Arsenal. They played every one of those teams relatively close, never losing by more than two. That includes a 4-1 win over Man United and a narrow 2-1 loss against Chelsea. Again, Brentford is nowhere near what those teams are. While I like the Hornets' chances of scoring the upset, I'm expecting AT LEAST a draw. | |||||||
12-05-21 | Brentford v. Leeds United +103 | 2-2 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LEEDS (draw = no bet) I successfully played against Brentford in its last match. I began by saying this: "After a rather remarkable start to their season, the Bees have fallen back to earth. Injuries have taken a toll and reality has started to set in. They eked out a 1-0 win last game but that was their first victory in some time ..." The Bees were never in the game and would go on to lose 2-0. That was just on Dec. 2nd. Now, only a few days later, they're forced to take on another superior opponent. It''ll again prove to be too much for them. Injuries have taken a toll on the Brentford defense. They're giving up more chances than they were early one. These teams know each other well and its been a one-sided rivalry here. Leeds has lost just once (7 wins, 6 draws) in its last 14 matches against the Bees here. They'll continue that dominance this afternoon. | |||||||
12-02-21 | Brentford v. Tottenham Hotspur -153 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TOTTENHAM. After a rather remarkable start to their season, the Bees have fallen back to earth. Injuries have taken a toll and reality has started to set in. They eked out a 1-0 win last game but that was their first victory in some time. Tottenham represents a big step up in class. These teams have met 11 times since 1948. Tottenham has never lost during that span, winning eight and drawing three times. The Sprus can't afford a draw here though; they know that they need the maximum number of points from this very winnable game. Tottenham is determined to end a poor run in London Derby games. I say the Spurs dig deep and get it done. | |||||||
10-23-21 | Watford v. Everton -143 | 5-2 | Loss | -143 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EVERTON. There's a class difference between these clubs. Everton can't always compete with the elite teams but routinely takes care of business against the lesser ones like Watford. Their October matches have been against West Ham and Man. United. So, earning only one tie out of those two games (and a 1-0 loss) wasn't that surprising. Prior to that, the Toffees had won 2-0 against Norwich City, a team more in the class of Watford. The Hornets have been outscored 6-0 in losing their last two games. Everton has dominated (13 Wins, 2 draws) Watford, going undefeated in the past 15 meetings here. Watford has lost nine of 10 road (league) games, getting blanked in seven of those losses. Everton wins. | |||||||
10-17-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Tottenham/Newcastle OVER 2.5 goals. While we have to lay a little extra juice to play on the 'over 2.5,' I feel that it will prove worthwhile to do so. This one should see AT LEAST three goals, very likely more. Knowing this is a chance for the offense to "get healthy," Tottenham will be excited to face a Newcastle squad which has conceded 16 goals through seven league matches, an average of more than two per game. In fact, the 16 goals allowed by the Magpies is tied with Norwich City for the most allowed. Norwich has played an extra game though, so it's Newcastle which is allowing the most goals per game in the entire league. Tottenham has conceded 10 of its own, through just six games. Not entirely stingy, either. The last meeting had a score of 2-2. Expect another relatively high-scoring affair. | |||||||
10-16-21 | Chelsea -158 v. Brentford | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHELSEA. Brentford has enjoyed a rather remarkable start to life in the EPL. The Bees are outclassed in this one though. Chelsea has won six straight away "London Derby" games. In fact, a win here will make them the first team to ever win seven straight. While its been many years since these teams met in the EPL, the last two meetings in the FA Cup have both resulted in 4-0 wins for Chelsea. Brentford will be without midfielder Shandon Baptiste, which is a big blow. Wth Liverpool already blowing out Watford in early action, the Blues need to keep pace. They will. | |||||||
09-25-21 | Liverpool v. Brentford UNDER 2.75 | 3-3 | Loss | -116 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Liverpool/Brentford UNDER the total. Brentford has gotten off to a strong start thanks to its defense. In fact, in five league matches, the Bees have conceeded only two goals. Scores were 2-0, 0-0, 1-1, 0-1 and 2-0. Only Chelsea, Man City and Liverpool, the team they'll face today, have allowed less. Those three heavyweights have allowed only one goal each, entering today's action. Of course, they've all also scored more than Brentford. Still, this one figures to be low-scoring. Brentford is unlikely to score at all and nothing will come easily for Liverpool either. Expect another low-scoring affair. | |||||||
09-18-21 | Brentford v. Wolverhampton Wanderers -0.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -112 | 19 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on WOLVERHAMPTON. The Wolves faced some very difficult opposition out of the gate. Their first three opponents were Leicester City, Tottenham and Man. United. Those three clubs all finished in the top seven last season and all are again in the top 10. So, a tough start wasn't that surprising. Wolverhampton finally stepped down in class last game and prompty delivered a 2-0 victory against Watford. A home game against Brentford offers another excellent chance at three points and the Wolves know they need to take advantage. The Bees came back to earth last time out, giving up a late one against Brighton. That heartbreaker ended the Bees unbeaten start and will be tough to bounce back from. As Brentford manager Thomas Frank acknowledged: "It's always a tough one to take when someone scores in the 90th minute." The Wolves are unbeaten the last four times that they faced the Bees, earning victories in three of those. I see them coming away with the "W" again on Saturday morning. | |||||||
09-11-21 | Aston Villa v. Chelsea UNDER 2.75 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -50 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on Chelsea/AV UNDER the total. Chelsea is a very stingy team and is going to be difficult to score against. The Blues have conceded only a single goal, through three league matches. The only goal Chelsea surrendered was when it was a man down and facing Liverpool. Prior to that, the Blues had recorded b2b clean sheets. Aston Villa's last two league matches had scores of 1-1 and 2-0. The last four meetings between these clubs have all finished with three or fewer combined goals. With AV likely to struggle to score, I expect this one to finish below that mark. | |||||||
08-28-21 | Chelsea v. Liverpool | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 72 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on LIVERPOOL. (Draw = No Bet) This is a true heavyweight bout. Both teams are undefeaed. Both expect to contend for the title. Liverpool comes in mostly healthy; only James Milner is expected to miss. Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel knows this wont be easy. He had this to say: "I think any time when you play at Anfield with spectators against Liverpool, it's one of the toughest challenges you can face in European football." That "spectators" part is key. Liverpool will look to avenge last year's 1-0, spectator-free, loss here. At the time, the Reds had dropped five straight games at Amfield and were playing uninspired soccer/football. They're in much better form now though and I expect a much different result. | |||||||
08-22-21 | Manchester United v. Southampton UNDER 2.75 | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Man. United / Southampton UNDER the total. I expect goals to be few and far between in this one. United was one of the stingiest teams in the leauge last season and Southampton was one of the worst offensive teams. United scored five in its first match but I believe the Saints won't provide them with as many opportunities. While Leeds attempted to "trade punches," Southampton knows it's best hope is to try and keep the score down. United, for its part, should be happy to secure its first clean sheet of the young campaign. I look for the Saints to prove a little tougher to score on than expected. While the Red Devils will eventually break through, it'll take some time. A final score of 2-0 won't surprise. | |||||||
08-21-21 | Brentford v. Crystal Palace +165 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on CRYSTAL PALACE (draw = no bet) Needless to say, it was a great start for Brentford. Playing their first game at the top level for many decades, the Bees delighted their fans with an Opening Day victory. Inspired by their fans, they outplayed Arsenal. They're on the road now though and they won't be catching Crystal Palace by surprise. Palace played Chelsea in its opening match, so a loss wasn't surprising. This time, it'll be the Eagles which are boosted by their fans. While Brentford has already shown it needs to be taken seriously, I see the Eagles earning the full three points here. | |||||||
08-15-21 | West Ham United +125 v. Newcastle United | 4-2 | Win | 125 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WEST HAM to win. (draw = no bet) Both teams are obviously going to be hungry to secure points in their first match of the season. West Ham, which finished sixth in the standings, was the stronger of the two clubs last season. I expect that to be the case again Sunday. David Moyes had this to say about his team's expectations: "I hope this season is much of the same as last season. "I don't see any reason why we can't do it again. The players were terrific last season. We will work very hard to achieve it but last season is gone, it's in the past now. I'm going to go in with the same mindset – attacking it really positively, try and play well and score goals, and there's a big excitement about Europa League football at West Ham." I'm aware that the Hammers haven't fared too well on Opening Day in recent years. In fact, they've dropped five straight Opening Day matches. No team has dropped six in a row, without being relegated in between, for more than 50 years though. I say West Ham rises to the occasion and avoids that dubious distinction on Sunday. | |||||||
08-14-21 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Leicester -140 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LEICESTER CITY. Leicester comes in full of confidence after beating Man. City for the Community Shield. Both teams are missing some key players. The Foxes will be without Wesley Fofana. The young Leicester star had surgery on Monday. He's going to be out until at least 2022 though so the Foxes are going to have to get used to it. Wolverhampton, in my opinion, is less equipped to deal with its injury issues. Neto and Podence, a pair of attacking players, are both recovering from surgeries of their own. Also, Willy Boly, who plays center-back, is expected to be out. That's a big blow, as his replacement isn't as effective back there. Expect nothing less than a victory for the Foxes in this one. | |||||||
08-14-21 | Leeds United v. Manchester United -172 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MAN. U on Saturday. Expectations are sky high for Manchester United this season. Playing in front of a packed stadium here for the first time since March of 2020, anything less than a victory on opening day will be extremely disappointing. Leeds won only one of its six preseason matches and that was against Guiseley. United checks in off a 4-0 win over Everton in its last preseason match. The Red Devils have dominated the Whites here at Old Trafford. That includes a 6-2 thrashing in last season's meeting here. They'll pick up their first win of the new campaign here. | |||||||
08-13-21 | Arsenal v. Brentford UNDER 2.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Arsenal/Brentford UNDER the total. Welcome Brentford to the EPL. The "Bees" will be playing their first game in the top league in 74 years. Naturally, they'll be anxious for a fast start. Scoring isn't going to be easy though. Arsenal will be determined not to be embarrassed by the new team. Recall that Arsenal blanked Fulham, also newly promoted at the time, on Opening Day last year. This will be an excellent opportunity to build some confidence for the defense and I believe that another clean sheet is entirely possible. If Brentford does score, I don't see Arsenal conceding more than one. The same figures to be true for the Gunners. Look for this one to be lower-scoring than many will be expecting. | |||||||
07-11-21 | England v. Italy +0.25 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 50 | 26 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on ITALY at 0.25 goals. Needless to say, this is an epic matchup. Italy has long been a soccer superpower. England has always had the talent but has historically, at least in my lifetime, come up short. While history won't have anything to with Sunday's match, I do think that England may be feeling some added pressure. One could argue that both teams had a "relatively" easy path to get here. That said, Italy defeated both Belgium and Spain. Both those teams are ranked far higher than Germany and Denmark, the two best teams which England defeated. Many North American bettors are unfamiliar with a line of +0.25 (+1/4) goals. Basically, when playing at 1/4, one is splitting the bet into two separate smaller wagers. One is at pk and the other is at +1/2 goals. While I do expect Italy to find a way to win, its possible that the deciding blow won't come until after 90 minutes. Both defenses have been stout. While Kane has found his form for England, I feel that Italy has more players capable of finding the back of the net. Don't be surprised when the Italians break the hearts of the English fans. Enjoy the game and good luck. | |||||||
07-07-21 | Denmark +0.75 v. England | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 45 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DENMARK. The Danes aren't traditionally a soccer heavyweight. As a result, many seem to view them as a big "Cinderella" team. Certainly, they've been one of the bigger stories of the tournament, after Eriksen went down. Its not a surprise that they're here though. This team was a lot higher ranked coming into the tournament than a lot of people realize. They've also been playing extremely well. They're poised, smart, have great goal-keeping and have shown an ability to put the ball in the back of the net. Of course, England has also been playing very well and is loaded with talent. That said, they've had a very favorable path to get here. Denmark is the best team that they will have faced, in my opinion. (Denmark is, in fact, ranked higher than Germany.) The English have a lot of pressure on them to win, particularly with the game being played at Wembley Stadium. That could easily impact them negatively. A look at the past five meetings shows that Denmark won two with one draw. Both England wins were by a single goal. The last meeting came in 2020 and Denmark won 1-0. The previous game, also in 2020, resulted in a 0-0 draw. Expect the Danes to give the English all they can handle once again. | |||||||
07-03-21 | Denmark +111 v. Czech Republic | 2-1 | Win | 111 | 66 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DENMARK to advance. I've been riding Denmark the last couple of games. Here's what I said before the win against Wales: "The Danes have been a great story. They saw their leader collapse in the opening half of their first game. They'd go on to lose that one. The resilient team bounced back though and found its way here. I've been impressed with Denmark the entire way. They were dominating play against Finland before Eriksen went down. They also nearly defeated Belgium, outshooting the #1 ranked team in the world by a wide margin, while carrying play for the opening 45 minutes. When they really needed it, the Danes scored four goals against Russia. With names like Bale, Wales has some dangerous players. Stil, the Welsh are somewhat fortunate to be here. They arguably got outplayed by Switzerland and benefited by having a weak Turkish side in their group. I say Denmark's story continues." Now, the Danes get another favorable matchup, as they take on the Czech Republic. The Czechs showed that they're capable in beating the Dutch. The Danes, however, have scored eight goals in their last two matches. Confidence sky high, expect the Danes to keep on going. | |||||||
06-29-21 | Germany v. England UNDER 2.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on England/Germany UNDER the total for the first half. After yesterday's high-scoring thrillers and with a pair of big name teams on the pitch, many might be expecting another goal-fest this afternoon. Don't count me among them. England is the only team in this tournament which has yet to concede a goal. Playing in the Group Of Death, the Germans gave up some. However, they're still a stingy team. While the high-scoring game against Portugal will stay in the memory, lets not forget Germany's 1-0 game with France. Despite all the offensive firepower on the field, chances were few and far between. The last meeting between these rivals was in 2017. That ended in a 0-0 draw. While we know that's not possible in the KO stage, I expect another relatively cautious start and won't be at all surprised by another 0-0 stalemate at the break. | |||||||
06-28-21 | Switzerland v. France UNDER 2.5 | Top | 3-3 | Loss | -145 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on France/Switzerland UNDER the total. One of the best teams in the world, France is very strong on both sides of the ball. The French did concede three goals in three games in the group stage. However, they had Germany and Portugal in their group. Note that those teams conceded five and six goals, respectively, in the group stage. So, the French were by far the stingiest team in the "Group Of Death." With only four goals in three matches, the French also scored far less than Germany or Portugal. Keep in mind that France blanked the Germans by a score of 1-0. Like France, Switzerland managed only four goals in three matches. Three of those came against what proved to be a weak Turkey side, too. So, one goal in two matches against teams which made it to this stage. I won't be surprised if the Swiss test the French but they're likely going to have to do with defense. The last time that these teams met was in Euro 2016. The Swiss managed a 0-0 draw, which was enough to send them through to the next round. I'm expecting another low-scoring affair. | |||||||
06-27-21 | Portugal v. Belgium | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on BELGIUM. With Ronaldo on the pitch, the defending champs are always dangerous. The star striker leads the tournament in goals both this year and is also the top scorer in International soccer of all-time. Ronaldo and co. were arguably only the third best team in their group though and now they're up against the #1 ranked team in the world. Everything fell into place for Portugal in the last tournament. The Belgium players and fans believe that its their turn now though and they know the window will soon close. Now, is their time. Ronaldo remains extremely dangerous. Belgium is loaded though. Lukaku is deadly dangerous himself though and the rest of the Belgian team is loaded. Both teams scored seven goals in the opening round. However, while Portugal conceded six, Belgium only allowed one. That was partly due to Portugal playing in a more difficult group but not entirely. Belgium is the superior defensive team. De Bruyne, Hazard and Witsell are all back and ready to go. While Portugal had to leave it all on the field to get here, Belgium is fresh. Expect Belgium's "golden generation" to get it done. | |||||||
06-26-21 | Denmark -107 v. Wales | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DENMARK to advance. The Danes have been a great story. They saw their leader collapse in the opening half of their first game. They'd go on to lose that one. The resilient team bounced back though and found its way here. I've been impressed with Denmark the entire way. They were dominating play against Finland before Eriksen went down. They also nearly defeated Belgium, outshooting the #1 ranked team in the world by a wide margin, while carrying play for the opening 45 minutes. When they really needed it, the Danes scored four goals against Russia. With names like Bale, Wales has some dangerous players. Stil, the Welsh are somewhat fortunate to be here. They arguably got outplayed by Switzerland and benefited by having a weak Turkish side in their group. I say Denmark's story continues. | |||||||
06-23-21 | Hungary v. Germany UNDER 3.5 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -117 | 21 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on Germany/Hungary UNDER the total. I won with Germany in its exciting 4-2 win over Portugal. So, I'm well aware that the Germans can score. That result has helped work in our favor, keeping this O/U line generously high. I believe it'll prove to be too high. Like yesterday's Scotland/Crotia game, this one features a pair of teams yet to qualify for the next round. No surprise for Hungary; it was always an extreme longshot for them. Still, the draw vs. France means they're still alive. They'd need to win this game and have Portugal lose. If both those things happened, they'd finish in second. I don't see that happening though. In the draw against France, Hungary had the support of the crowd. Now, however, they're playing in Munich. Scoring will be very tough. The Germans know that a win will get them through - or a draw and a France win or draw. Yet, there's no reason to pile up the goals. Once the Germans take the lead, they should be content to control the ball and limit Hungary's chances. Remember, Hungary has managed only one goal thus far. I see Germany likely recording the clean sheet, the final combined score proving lower than many will be expecting. | |||||||
06-22-21 | Scotland v. Croatia | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on CROATIA (Draw = No Bet.) This line has come down considerably, providing us with excellent value. It should be an exciting team, as both teams need to win. England and the Czech Republic, the other teams in the Group, have already punched their tickets to the next round. These teams both know they need a victory, in order to have a chance to join them. Note that while neither will be happy with the draw, it is still a possibility. So, I'm electing to play on the "Draw=No Bet" line. That said, I expect victory for Croatia. Yes, Scotland has the venue in its favor. The Scots are also the only team in the tournament which has yet to score though. Additionally, they're now dealing with the loss of Billy Gilmour, arguably their best player in the 0-0 draw with England. While its a been a disappointing tournament, this is an experienced and talented Croatia team, one which went to the finals of the last World Cup. Look for that experience to prove the difference this afternoon. | |||||||
06-20-21 | Turkey v. Switzerland -150 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Switzerland. The Swiss have only picked up a point so far. So, they absolutely need three here. Turkey also needs three points. However, the Turks know that might not even be enough. Either way, the young Turkish side is going to be outclassed. Switzerland (arguably) outplayed Wales but had to settle for the draw. Turkey got hammered 2-0. The Turks lack firepower and have are vulnerable on defense. They rank #29 in the world compared to Switzerland's #13. I say a desperate Swiss side rises to the occasion with an important win. | |||||||
06-19-21 | Germany -0.25 v. Portugal | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing on GERMANY. (2-way line. Draw = Push) Portugal may be the defending champs but I see a desperate German team taking this one. While Portugal won five years ago, no other team has won as many titles as Germany. The Germans have won this championship three times. They've also won the World Cup four times, most recently in 2014. Indeed, this team knows how to win when it needs to. Off a loss against France, the Germans certainly do need this one. While I draw is a possibility, I see a victory being more likely. Did you know that Ronaldo has never scored against Neuer when playing for Portugal? In need of a huge game, look for Neuer, Muller and co. to rise to the occasion, once again. | |||||||
06-17-21 | Austria v. Netherlands -145 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NETHERLANDS. This line has come down and I feel that it's providing us with value on the favorite. Both teams were involved in exciting matches in their first game. The fact that both won takes some pressure off of each. Each know they can likely advance if they can just get a point in either of the next two matches. Don't expect the Dutch to play for the draw though. That's not in their DNA. This is a team which will play to win and which is coming in extremely confident. They know that winning the group, as opposed to finishing second, will provide an easier path forward. Playing in Amsterdam provides an edge. Back on the big stage, the Dutch keep on rolling. | |||||||
06-16-21 | Switzerland v. Italy UNDER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -145 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on Italy/Switzerland UNDER the total. The Italians looked strong in their opening game. However, they'll find scoring more difficult in this one. Over the past few years, the Swiss have conceded one goal or less in the vast majority of their games. Italy, meanwhile, has yet to concede a goal this year. The veteran Azzurri defense is very difficult to penetrate. The Swiss know their best chance is to keep this game low-scoring and they'd be happy with a draw. I see the most likely outcomes being Italy winning 1-0, Italy winning 2-0, 1-1 draw, or even a 0-0 draw. One way or another, a low-scoring affair. | |||||||
06-16-21 | Russia -155 v. Finland | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on RUSSIA. These teams both faced a tough opponent in their opening game. The Russians had to go up against Belgium, the #1 ranked team in the world. That was too much for them to handle. Finland was up against Denmark. While the Danes aren't in the same class as Belgium, it was still going to be a tough game for Finland to win. Indeed, Denmark was dominating play before their captain collapsed. That led to a temporary suspension of the game. In the end, Finland benefitted and came away with the fortunate 1-0 win. That's going to make Russia the more desperate team today. I believe that playing in St. Petersburg will give them an edge. It won't be easy but I see them coming away with the much-needed win. | |||||||
06-15-21 | Portugal v. Hungary UNDER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -114 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on Hungary/Portugal UNDER 2.5 goals. Hungary knows that advancing past the group stage is going to be extremely difficult. Indeed, the three other teams in the group are Germany, France and Portugal. While beating any of those teams is going to be tough, the Hungarians figure to be hard to score on. They're playing at Budapest and their last two matches had scores of 1-0 and 0-0. In fact, Hungary has conceeded just one goal its last four matches combined. Hungary's Ádám Szalai noted: "I'm counting on a tough match, against a Portugal side which is much stronger than in 2016. We have to show great discipline ... " Showing discipline = playing conservatively. Likewise, Portugal hasn't allowed a goal in either of its last two matches. The last meeting (Sept 2017) finished with a score of 1-0, in favor of Portugal. I won't be surprised to see a similar scoreline Tuesday. | |||||||
06-14-21 | Slovakia v. Poland OVER 2 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Poland/Slovakia OVER the total. Poland has the firepower to go over this total by itself. Indeed, Lewandowski remains among the most dangerous players in the game. Lewandowski and co. know they need this game, with an away match against Spain coming up. Likewise, Slovakia will be fighting hard and knows it will need to score, in order to have a chance to win. While scoring chances will likely be limited for the Slovaks, they are a team which is very capable on set pieces, also strong in transition. Poland coach Paulo Sousa stressed the importance of his team "needing to believe that it can win the tournament." What better way then to find the back of the net multiple times. While there's a shot a draw, I feel this one has a considerably greater chance of finishing with more than two goals than it does of finishing with less than two. Expect a relatively high-scoring affair. | |||||||
06-13-21 | Ukraine v. Netherlands -180 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NETHERLANDS. Having missed the last two major tournaments, the Dutch are back. Always an exciting squad, this year's team is also a powerful one. Ukraine is a solid team. However, Holland will dominate time of possession. The Dutch should also benefit from the game being played in Amsterdam. The Dutch faces may not be familiar ones but they will be soon. Look for the "new generation" to make a statement in front of the home fans today. | |||||||
06-12-21 | Russia v. Belgium UNDER 2.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Belgium and Russia UNDER the total. Could this be the year that Belgium breaks through and wins it all? Possibly. The players aren't getting any younger and they know this will be the final kick at the can for the "Golden Generation." This first game won't be easy though. Not with the game being played in Russia. True, the Belgians dominated the Russians in a pair of h2h games in qualifying. That said, a closer look reveals that it was Hazard accounting for more than half (4) of their goals. That's significant as Hazard is far from 100% at the moment. He returned Sunday, a welcome sign for Belgium and its fans, but only for the final eight minutes. Belgium won that game (Croatia) by a score of 1-0. With neither Hazard, nor De Bruyne likely to start, I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair. | |||||||
06-11-21 | Italy -158 v. Turkey | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 27 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ITALY. Forget about the recent drought, the Italians are the real deal. Since Mancini took over this team in 2018, they've dominated. The Italians have a great history. Yet, no other manager has a win rate as high as Mancini. The Italians come in on a roll and full of confidence. Most recently, they dominated Czech Republic by a 4-0 margin. This should be the same starting lineup as from that game. Even better for the Italians, they're playing in Rome. Turkey is a capable opponent. In fact, the Turks have a shot at second in the group There will be no denying the host on this day though. Italy starts the tournament with a statement victory. | |||||||
05-23-21 | Burnley v. Sheffield United OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -117 | 24 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on Burnley/Sheffield OVER the total. Last kick at the can for relegated Sheffield. There's no pressure on them and the Blades should be able to play freely and loosely as a result. They scored three goals in last season's meeting against Burnley here. Also, the Clarets have allowed seven goals (4 and 3) their last two league matches. Of course, keeping the ball out of the net is a different matter. United has conceded 63 goals in 37 league matches. Only three teams have allowed more. I see both teams finding the back of the net at least once and neither wanting to settle for a draw. That'll lead to at least three combined goals, the final score finishing above the total. | |||||||
05-19-21 | Aston Villa v. Tottenham Hotspur -185 | 2-1 | Loss | -185 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TOTTENHAM. I successfully backed the Spurs in their last game and I really liked what I saw from them in that 2-0 victory. They're the stronger squad once again and I expect them to keep on rolling. Coronavirus restrictions are starting to ease and Tottenham will get a lift from the expected 10,000 fans in attendance. Kane is in a battle for the golden boot, as he and Salah are currenty tied with 22 goals. While there are are reports he may want out at the end of the season, he'll be licking his chops to face an Aston Villa team which just surrendered three goals to Crystal Palace last time out. The trio of Kane, Bale and Son are going to be tough to contain. On the other side, Aston Villa managed a mere one shot on target when these clubs met in March; Tottenham won 2-0. More of the same Wednesday afternoon. | |||||||
05-18-21 | Leicester v. Chelsea -128 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHELSEA. Leicester just beat Chelsea, at Wembley, on Saturday, winning its first ever FA Cup in the process. The Foxes also handled the Blues at King Power earlier this season, while Frank Lampard was still in charge. The Blues have been much better on Tuchel though, Today at Stamford Bridge, I expect Chelsea to get some payback. The Blues need a win here - not a tie - if they want to make sure their fate remains in their own hands, in terms of finishing in the top 4. Thomas Tuchel will absolutely have his team ready to go. While Chelsea was stewing about Saturday's loss, the Foxes were celebrating. That's a short-turnaround and I expect it to catch up with them, both physically and emotionally. Expect Chelsea to be the hungrier team in this one (and perhaps fresher) avenging Saturday's loss with a very important victory. | |||||||
05-16-21 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Tottenham Hotspur -173 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TOTTENHAM. The Wolves have come through for me a few times this season but they're in over their heads this afternoon. While the Spurs lost to Leeds last time out, they did win their first two league matches under Ryan Mason. For his part, Mason had this to say: "Our target is to get as many points as possible." Currently, Tottenham is 7th (of 20) in the standings while Wolverhampton is 12th. That's significant given that Tottenham is undefeated at home, dating all they way back to August 2019, when facing a team which began the day in the bottom half of the EPL standings. During that span, the Spurs have 15 wins and four draws, when playing at home and facing teams below the middle of the pack. Keep in mind that Tottenham has outscored teams by a 61-41 margin this season while Wolverhampton has been outscored by a 47-35 margin. In the end, look for the trio of Kane, Son Heung-min and Bale to be too much for the visitors to keep up with. | |||||||
05-13-21 | Liverpool v. Manchester United UNDER 3 | 4-2 | Loss | -117 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Liverpool / Man United UNDER the total. Clearly, these teams both have some dangerous offensive players. However, they're both also capable of being very stingy. Leicester has had United's number and scored a couple (2-1 win) in the recent meeting. However, besides Leicester, the Red Devils have conceded a mere four goals in their last seven league games. Liverpool recorded a clean sheet last time out and has given up just five goals its last nine league games. While this season's earlier meeting proved high-scoring (3-2) the previous four matches between these clubs had scores of 0-0, 2-0, 1-1 and 0-0. Look for this one to prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. | |||||||
05-10-21 | Burnley v. Fulham UNDER 2.5 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Burnley/Fulham UNDER the total. These are two of three lowest-scoring teams in the entire league. Fulham has managed a mere 25 goals in 34 matches. Burnely has 31 in its 34 games. Only last placed Sheffield United has scored less. Unlike Sheffield and 19th placed West Brom, which have allowed 62 and 68 goals, both these teams are actually fairly stingy. Their problem is an inability to score, not in stopping the other team. Fulham has conceded 45 goals and Burnley has given up 47. Those numbers aren't too bad, considering that 5th placed West Ham has also given up 45 while 10th place Leeds has conceded 53. So, we've got a pair of fairly stingy teams, both of which have a difficult time finding the back of the net. This season's earlier meeting finished at 1-1. Fulham's last three matches have had scores of 2-0, 1-1 and 1-0. Expect another relatively low-scoring affair. | |||||||
05-09-21 | West Bromwich Albion v. Arsenal -195 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARSENAL. This is a mismatch. Arsenal is off a 2-0 victory in its last league match. Its got a tough game against Chelsea next followed by Crystal Palace and Brighton. While those two teams currently sit 13th and 15th in the standings, West Brom is even worse. Arsenal knows it needs to take advantage. With 65 goals allowed in their 34 matches, the Baggies have conceded more goals than any other team in the league. Arsenal will be looking to erase the painful memory of the aggregate loss to Villarreal. I believe that the Baggies will provide them the perfect opportunity. Arsenal has scored in all 25 of its league matches against West Brom - the best scoring mark that any team has against another in the division. They've dominated the Baggies here and I say they continue that today. | |||||||
05-07-21 | Newcastle United v. Leicester -240 | 4-2 | Loss | -240 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LEICESTER. After settling for a disappointing draw against Southampton last time out, Leicester will be all business today, determined to pick up the maximum points. There is no doubt about the class difference between these two sides. Leicester sits third in the table. Newcastle is 17th. The Foxes have scored 61 goals and allowed 39. The Magpies have scored 36 and allowed 56. Arguably, the Magpies are a little better than their numbers suggest. Still, they're not good enough to compete against what will be a determined Leicester team. Knowing that things will get a lot tougher after this game, the Foxes take care of business. | |||||||
05-01-21 | Fulham v. Chelsea -189 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHELSEA. Yes, this game is sandwiched in between matches against Real Madrid. However, after watching Leicester settle for a draw against Southampton yesterday, Chelsea smells blood in the water. The Blues wont let up against this inferior opponent. That said, this is a clear mismatch in terms of talent and current form. Last league game, Chelsea took care of West Ham, an important win. They cant afford to squander the advantage they gained there by failing to get full points here. Chelsea has scored 51 and conceded 31. Fulham, on the other hand, has scored just 25, while allowing 43. Fulham managed an unlikely draw against Arsenal last time out. However, that was preceded by four straight losses and the Blues are a class up from Arsenal. Chelsea gets the win and likely the clean sheet to go along with it. | |||||||
04-24-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Sheffield United OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 17 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on Brighton/Sheffield OVER the total. Sheffield has had trouble scoring all season. That's resulted in them getting "relegated." Their fate has been sealed for quite awhile now but it became mathematically official after their last game. United's scoring trouble has also helped to provide us with a very low O/U line here. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. Keep in mind that Sheffield allows an average of nearly two goals per game. Through 32 matches, the Blades have conceded 56 goals. Brighton, for its part, has allowed 38 goals in 32 matches. The Seagulls, naturally, will be happy to step down in class to take on the lowly Blades. Their last three games have been against Man. U, Chelsea and Everton, all top 10 teams. However, the last time that they faced a team outside the top 10, the Seagulls scored three goals. They should find the back of the net more than once this afternoon. With Sheffield's fate officially sealed, I see this one being a little loose, both teams "going for it" and for the final combined score to prove higher than many will be expecting. | |||||||
04-22-21 | West Bromwich Albion v. Leicester -160 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LEICESTER. There's a clear and obvious class difference between these teams and that will be evident on the pitch this afternoon. Leicester sits in third place in the standings. West Bromwich is down in 19th. To their credit, the Baggies are off a couple of upset wins. Their run ends here though. Keep in mind that West. Brom has still conceded more goals (59) than any other team in the league. That's more than twices as many goals allowed as goals scored, a 59-28 margin. Off b2b losses in league play, Leicester will be all business. This is a team which it can and will dominate. With momentum back on their side after Sunday's FA Cup Win, Vardy and co. will be not be denied. | |||||||
04-20-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Chelsea -149 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -149 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHELSEA. In some instances, off games against Porto in Champions League and Man City in the FA Cup, Chelsea could potentially letdown for a league game against the 16th place team. This isn't one of those instances. Its been a long climb back but the the Blues have put themselves in the position that they wanted to get to. A victory here puts them into the top 4. They're currently in fifth, a point behind West Ham. Having fought so hard to pull its way up, the Blues will not be denied against lowly Brighton. There will be no letdown. The Blues have beaten the Seagulls 12 of the past 14 meetings. While the schedule is tough, the price reflects that. Chelsea could easily be a heavier favorite. Keep in mind that they've both played 31 games. Not only has Chelsea conceded fewer goals but its also outscored the Seagulls by a 50-33 margin. Expect the Blues to dig deep and come away with the important win. | |||||||
04-19-21 | Liverpool -148 v. Leeds United | 1-1 | Loss | -148 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LIVERPOOL. LP won 4-3 when these teams met back in the fall. This one likely won't be quite as exciting, from a goals perspective, but I expect the end result, a Liverpool victory, to remain the same. The Reds are playing some of their best soccer right now, as they've won three straight league games. They've beaten Leeds three straight times and are undefeated (7 wins, 1 draw) the last eight meetings. To its credit, Leeds has also been playing well of late. United has cleaned up its goals allowed and checks in off a shocking upset of Man City. That result will ensure that the Reds don't take the Whites for granted though. LP is an extremely dangerous team. Look for Leeds to miss its captain, Liam Cooper, for his red card against City and for his absence to prove costly. Back in league play, LP bounces back from the draw against Real Madrid with a "W" this afternoon. | |||||||
04-18-21 | Fulham v. Arsenal UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on Fulham/Arsenal UNDER the table. Fulham has real trouble scoring. Last time out, the Cottagers were blanked 1-0 by Wolverhampton. The game was scoreless until the final moments. On the season, they've managed just 24 goals in 32 league matches. Thats the second worst mark in the league. Yet, on the other side of the ball, the 42 goals which they've conceded is "respectable." (Five teams have allowed more than 50.) Scoring won't be easy against Arsenal which has allowed 35 goals, fifth fewest in the EPL. Nine of Fulham's last 12 games have finished with two or fewer combined goals. Those 12 games saw a total of just 20 goals scored, only 1.67 combined gpg. Expect another low-scoring affair. | |||||||
04-17-21 | Sheffield United v. Wolverhampton Wanderers -143 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 100 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on WOLVERHAMPTON. The line on Wolverhampton came down from its opener, providing us with some extra line value on the superior squad. Given the gap between these teams, I feel that it easily could have gone the other way. The Wolves have indeed been disappointed with their campaign. They sit 12th in the standings and had absolutely hoped for better. They're off an exciting 1-0 win last time out though and while that win cost them Neto due to injury, I expect them to carry the momentum into this game. I like the fact that they scored late, kept fighting and found a way to win. Sheffield sits last in the standings with relegation a certainty. United has scored just 17 goals (Wolverhamption has 31) while allowing 55. Sheffiled continues to deal with several important injuries including captain Billy Sharp. Highlights have been few and far between for Sheffield but Sharp has provided them with a few. He'll be missed here. Off the late win against Fulham, Wolverhampton boss Nuno Espirito Santo noted: "The win was very important. This is what we want for the rest of the season, there are a lot of games to be played ... " Having been outscored 10-1 its last three league matches, Sheffield has essentially packed it in. Wolverhampton won the last meeting 2-0 and won't be denied another victory here. | |||||||
04-11-21 | Arsenal -161 v. Sheffield United | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 24 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARSENAL. While the Gunners have been relatively mediocre, the Blades are downright terrible. They sit 20th (out of 20) in the league, seven points behind the second worst team. Through 30 games, Sheffield has only managed 17 goals. (No other team has less than 24.) Through the same number of games, Arsenal has 40. The Gunners have conceded 35. Having given up 52, the Blades are also far worse on that side of the ball. While Arsenal has admittedly been inconsistent, this is an opportunity it simply can't afford to squander. Expect the Gunners to show some pride, their superior talent leading to victory. | |||||||
04-10-21 | Aston Villa v. Liverpool -183 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on LIVERPOOL. While Liverpool stumbled against Real Madrid, it thrashed Arsenal last weekend. Back in league play, the Reds should absolutely take care of business against an inferior Aston Villa squad. Remember, this isn't any game. This is a game that Liverpool has had circled, one its been waiting for. Why? Because Aston Villa embarrassed them 7-2 in the earlier league meeting. Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp had this to say: "Of course we have to put things right, that's clear. You cannot put a game like this to one side immediately, that's not possible.We had to work with it. A lot of things showed us in that game which were a problem that day, some of the problems we had before, some of the problems we never had before. Things like this should not happen but it happened to us. It was a really strange game...." AV had been hoping to have captain Jack Grealish back, which would have been a big help, though still probably not enough. However, he's not ready to return. Look for Klopp to have his team ready to avenge; Salah and co. settling the score. | |||||||
03-20-21 | Newcastle United v. Brighton & Hove Albion -152 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BRIGHTON AND HOVE ALBION. These teams are close in the standings. However, Brighton is favored in this "battle of the birds" for good reason. The Seagulls bring momentum into the game, off an impressive win over Southampton. They've scored more goals AND allowed less than the Magpies. The Seagulls have dominated the Magpies in EPL action. United will be without some players at key positions as (striker) Callum Wilson, forward Allan Saint-Maximin and (centre-back) Fabian Schar are all out. Expect the Seagulls to build off the win over Southampton and for them to continue their success in this rivalry. | |||||||
03-15-21 | Liverpool -146 v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LIVERPOOL. Both teams have underachieved this season but Liverpool still has a considerable talent advantage. Liverpool dominated the first meeting by a score of 4-0 and has long dominated the series between the teams. As disappointing as this season is (for its standards) Liverpool still has much to play for. Note that The Reds still have a +9 goal differential complared to a -11 mark for the Wolves. Wolverhampton has managed just 28 goals this season, only three its past four matches, compared to Liverpool's 47 goals. Off b2b losses in EPL action, the Reds won 2-0 in Champions League play Wednesday. Look for them to carry that momentum into this afternoon, as they pick up an important win and continue their longstanding domination of this rivalry. | |||||||
03-14-21 | Sheffield United v. Leicester -190 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LEICESTER. This is a mismatch and the price could easily be much higher. Leicester ranks third in the standings and has a +16 goal differential. Sheffield, on the other hand, ranks dead last. In 28 games, Sheffield has managed only 16 goals, while conceding 45. With much much tougher games against Man United, (FA Cup) Man City and West Ham following this one, Leicester can't afford to slip up here. It won't. Expect nothing less than a victory for the vastly superior team. | |||||||
03-14-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Southampton OVER 2 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Brighton/Southampton OVER the total. We're working with a low total here with some shops offering a two, others offering plus money at 2.5. I like both options (but recommend at 2, if available) as I expect this one to prove higher-scoring than most will be expecting. I'm keeping this writeup a little brief, due to the early start time and clock change. However, keep in mind that Southampton games have seen 84 goals scored (35 for, 49 against) in 28 matches. That's three per game. Facing lowly Brighton, which gives up more than a goal per game, the Saints should find the back multiple times. They likely won't be able to keep the ball out of their own net either though. Go with the Over. | |||||||
03-13-21 | Manchester City v. Fulham UNDER 2.75 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -57 | 20 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing on Man City / Fulham UNDER the total. I won with the 'over' the last time that Man City took the field. That was against Southampton though. Fulham represents a much different type of opponent. Southampton was a defensively-challenged team, one which had previously given up nine goals in a single match. Fulham, however, is an 'offensively challenged' team. The Cottagers have managed only 22 goals in 28 matches. By comparison, Southampton has scored 35 in its 28 matches. Yet, while Southampton has conceded 49 goals, Fulham has allowed only 33. So, Fulham is a much worse offensive team but a much better defensive one. Indeed, Fulham has seen eight straight matches finish with two or fewer combined goals. Its last four games had scores of 1-0, 1-0, 0-0 and 1-0. The last meeting finished with a score of 2-0 in favor or Man. City. With City being the stingiest team in the league, Fulham is likely to get blanked again. I'm expecting another low-scoring (1-0 or 2-0) affair. | |||||||
03-10-21 | Southampton v. Manchester City OVER 3 | 2-5 | Win | 101 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Southampton/Man City OVER the total. Manchester City is likely to find the back of the net at least a few times in this one. City has scored 56 goals in 28 matches. Many of those games were against teams which are stingier than Southampton. The Saints have conceded 44 goals in 27 matches. After getting blanked last time out, City will be all business, determined to score early and often. Keep in mind that Man United scored nine goals against this team. The Saints scored two goals of their own last time out though and will have an excellent shot at scoring again. Look for this one to prove higher-scoring than many will be expecting. | |||||||
03-08-21 | Everton v. Chelsea UNDER 2.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Chelsea/Everton UNDER 2.5 goals. I'm expecting goals to be at a premium in this one. A look at Chelsea's recent matches shows scores of: 1-0, 2-0, 1-1, 1-0, 0-0 and 1-0. Its been a similar story for Everton. Recent matches have had scores of: 2-0, 1-0 and 1-0. Both teams want points here and both are going to really emphasize keeping the ball out of the net. The last meeting had a score of 1-0 and four of the past six meetings have finished with two or fewer goals. More of the same this afternoon. | |||||||
03-07-21 | Crystal Palace v. Tottenham Hotspur -192 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TOTTENHAM. Tottenham has dominated Crystal Palace as they're undefeated in the last 11 meetings. Nine wins and two draws. I expect nothing less than another victory this afternoon. Off b2b league wins, the Spurs are finally starting to play up to their potential. They can't take their foot off the gas though as this is a match they need full points from. While Tottenham has a +15 goal differential, Palace has a -14 one. Palace has failed to score a goal in either of its past two league games and yet its allowed 43 goals in 26 matches. Tottenham rolls. | |||||||
03-03-21 | Manchester United v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -116 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on Man. U / Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 goals. In yesterday's 'over' selection on Man. City/Wolverhampton, the game finished with a final score of 5-1. Today, we've got a Man. United club which scores just as many as City - prior to yesterday, City had 52 goals in 26 matches while United has 53 goals in its 26 matches - but which also concedes considerably more. Prior to yesterday, City had conceded 16 goals in its 26 matches while United has allowed 32 goals in 26 games. In other words, United is an elite attacking club but only a mediocre defensive one. Meanwhile, we've got a Crystal Palace team which averages more than a goal per game (29 in 26) but which has given up a whopping 43 goals. The last meeting had a 3-1 final, in favor of Palace. Three of the past four meetings and five of the past seven have finished with three or more goals. This one will too. | |||||||
03-02-21 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Manchester City OVER 2.75 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Wolverhampton/Man City OVER the total. Man City has been in a class of its own this season. City recorded a 3-1 win at Molineux earlier this season and should find the back of the net multiple times again Tuesday afternoon. In 26 league games, City has 52 goals. With 27 goals in its 26 matches, Wolverhampton also averages a little more than a goal per game. Undefeated in their last five league games, the Wolves are coming in hungry and with some confidence. I don't expect them to get shutout. While the Wolves won't go down easily, I see the most likely final scores being either 2-1 or another 3-1 score. | |||||||
03-01-21 | Southampton v. Everton -0.25 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 29 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on EVERTON. These teams are going in opposite directions and there's a big class difference, in my opinion. Southampton is a mess right now and is off a 3-0 loss to Leeds. The Saints haven't won in their last eight EPL matches, losing seven of those. Everton, on the other hand, is off a big 2-0 win over Liverpool, the type of victory that can build confidence. Southampton's best chance would be complacency from the home side. However, given the fact that the Saints beat the Toffees 2-0 in this season's earlier meeting, that won't happen. Payback time. | |||||||
02-28-21 | Burnley v. Tottenham Hotspur -190 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TOTTENHAM. Tottenham is back to full strength and should make a surge to close the season. The Spurs should have no problem taking care of business against an overmatched Burnely squad. The Spurs are +10 in goal differential and that would be even better if not for the injuries. Burnley, on the other hand, is -12 in goal differential. Tottenham has scored 37 goals in 24 games. Burnley has scored 18 in 25 games. Tottenham shows no mercy here. | |||||||
02-20-21 | Sheffield United v. Fulham -0.25 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on FULHAM. I like Fulham to win this battle of the bottom-feeders. Both teams are desperate for points but the the damage is already done for Sheffield. While the difference in the standings (Fulham is 18th, Sheffield 20th) may not seem like much, I believe that there is quite a difference between the two clubs. Fulham has scored more and allowed less. A -12 goal differential compared to a -25 mark. Fulham is undefeated in its last three league matches while Sheffield has dropped each of its last two. Fulham have quietly lost only once it is last six EPL matches, after an impressive 2-0 win over Everton. Fulham won 3-0 the last time the teams played here. Expect another victory. | |||||||
02-20-21 | West Bromwich Albion v. Burnley -0.5 | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BURNLEY. The damage is done for West Brom. The Baggies say they're desperate for points but even after an unlikely draw last time out, its going to be too late for them. The problem for West Brom has been easy to identify but march harder to fix. The club simply can't keep the ball out of the net. Through 24 matches, West Brom has conceded 55 goals. The next worst is 42. Naturally, its tough to win when you give up 2.3 goals per match. Look for the Clarets to defend their home turf, finding the net more than once and coming away with the max points. | |||||||
02-20-21 | Chelsea -0.5 v. Southampton | 1-1 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHELSEA. This is absolutely a case of two clubs going in opposite directions. Chelsea is rolling while Southampton is reeling. Southampton's best chance is for Chelsea to look past them, ahead to Tuesday's match. However, I don't see that happening. Not after all the disappointment. The coaching change at the end of Jan, proved to be just what the doctor ordered. Finally playing up to their potential, the Blues want to keep the pedal to the metal. Expect another victory. | |||||||
02-13-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Manchester City UNDER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 6 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on Tottenham/Man. City UNDER the total. These teams obviously have some offensive firepower. However, they're also two of the best defensive teams in the league. Man. City is the stingiest in the entire EPL. Through 22 matches, City has conceded a mere 14 goals. Tottenham is also tough to score against. In fact, its 22 goals allowed its the second best mark in the league. Tottenham, which blanked City (2-0) in the earlier meeting, has seen its last three league matches finish with scores of 2-0, 0-1 and 0-1. While Tottenham is clearly far more dangerous with Kane back in the lineup, its still going to be tough to score against revenge-minded City today. Expect another low-scoring affair. | |||||||
02-07-21 | West Bromwich Albion v. Tottenham Hotspur -192 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 22 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TOTTENHAM. West Brom is in the wrong place, at the wrong time. While Tottenham is likely to still play without Harry Kane, its got more than enough to take care of business against the lowly Baggies. Three straight losses and the absence of Kane have worked in out favor, by keeping this line lower than it otherwise would have been. Indeed, this is a mismatch. West Brom sits in 19th place in the EPL, having lost to the 20th place team (Sheffield) last time out. The problem for West Brom is it just can't keep the ball out of the net. Through 22 matches, the Baggies have conceded 52 goals. No other club has even allowed 40! Even without Kane, the Spurs will surely score more than one. The three losses will serve as absolute motivation, too. Nothing but a victory is acceptable. Tottenham rolls. | |||||||
01-20-21 | Manchester United v. Fulham UNDER 3 | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Man United/Fulham UNDER the total. Fulham has real trouble scoring and is unlikely to find the back of the net in this one. In 17 league matches, Fulham has just 14 goals. That's the third lowest number of the 20 teams. They're not as "terrible" defensively though, as there are seven teams which have conceded more goals. Man U played some high-scoring games earlier in the campaign. However, its been all about the defense and goalkeeping of late. United's last four games have had scores of 0-0, 1-0, 1-0 and 2-0. Before that? A 2-1 win and a 1-0 win. I see United recording another clean sheet while winning another low-scoring affair, probably 1-0, maybe 2-0. | |||||||
01-19-21 | West Bromwich Albion v. West Ham United -165 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 52 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WEST HAM UNITED. Both these teams won Saturday. However, I would argue that West Ham's victory was more impressive. West. Brom benefitted from some very fortunate calls including a highly questionable foul early in the second half, which led to the winning penalty kick. Either way, while West Brom deserves credit for the important win, manager Sam Allardyce acknowledged: "This game is a boost but we are still in a massively difficult position. Our heads are still under water ..." Off b2b wins, West Ham has moved into the top 10. The Hammers have 25 goals in their 18 matches, conceding 21. West Brom, on the other hand, has allowed 41 goals in its 18 matches, scoring just 14. Thats by far the most goals allowed in the entire league and has them sitting 19th in the standings. While West Brom is giving up goals in bunches, West Ham has recorded four consec. clean sheets. Manager David Moyes had this to say: "We're not the old West Ham any more, we're the new West Ham and we’re going to try to become even better." Expect another victory. | |||||||
01-16-21 | Southampton v. Leicester -120 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on LEICESTER CITY. While Southampton is a quality team, I believe that they're at the wrong place, at the wrong time. Leicester cruised to a 4-0 victory in their FA Cup match (Stoke City) and now they'll bring back Vardy and Maddison, who were both rested, for this one. The Saints haven't played in quite some time. Their only 2021 game came back on 1/4. Normally, some extra rest might be welcome. However, given that they were off a 1-0 win over Liverpool, they probably would have preferred to keep playing. Either way, this was going to be a tough match for the Saints and it became much tougher when Danny Ings tested positive for Covid. Thats a serious blow, as he'd been in excellent form this season and had the winner in the Liverpool game. As Saints' boss Ralph Hasenhüttl noted: "Danny Ings is out now. He is in self-isolation. This is not good." City shows no sympathy and takes advantage of his absence. | |||||||
01-16-21 | Chelsea -169 v. Fulham | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHELSEA. The Blues are fully fit, with the exception of suspended Konte, for Saturday afternoon's match. Thats bad news for Fulham. Keep in mind that Cottagers sit in 18th in the Prem. League and they've been outscored 24-14 through 16 games. Chelsea, on the other hand, has 32 goals. Lampard had this to say of the match against Fulham: "It's an exciting fixture. I always felt it had an extra edge to it .. " Winless in three matches, Chelsea is going to be hungrier than ever. Lampard had this to say of his team's morale and where they're currently at: "My concern has been training and the atmosphere around that because when you haven’t won for a few games it’s clear the players need to stay positive. That starts from the staff. I have seen good reactions from the players. They have worked hard. We have had two pretty long weeks of training for pretty much the first time this season. We have had a chance to work in training on bigger elements of our game. We have worked at a really physical level which is important if you want to improve as a team. No matter what squad you have, and particularly if you have young or new players, you need time to work ... " Having had that "time to work" and facing an inferior opponent, I fully expect a motivated, recharged and refocused Chelsea team to "take care of business." | |||||||
01-16-21 | West Bromwich Albion v. Wolverhampton Wanderers -152 | 3-2 | Loss | -152 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WOLVERHAMPTON. While Wolverhampton is a mediocre squad, its much better than West Bromwich. The Wolves score a lot more goals and they allow a lot less. Of course, EVERY Prem. League team allows fewer goals than West Brom. Sitting in 19th place, out of the 20-team league, the Baggies have conceded 39 goals in 17 matches. Leeds, which has allowed 33, is the only other team to allow 30 or more. Indeed, the Baggies are by far the worst defensive team in the league. With only 11 goals in 17 matches, they don't make up for it on the other side of the ball, either. While these teams haven't met in awhile, they are longtime bitter rivals. This will be the first "Black Country Derby" in nearly nine years. While they're a bit banged-up, I believe that the Wolves still have more than enough to take care of the struggling Baggies. Expect them to do just that. | |||||||
01-03-21 | Leicester -147 v. Newcastle United | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LEICESTER. These teams are essentially at opposite ends of the table. Leicester sits in fourth place, having scored 29 goals in 16 matches. Newcastle, in 16th place, has managed only 17 goals in its 15 matches. Leicester is also better defensively. In 16 league games, the Foxes have conceeded 20 goals. The Magpies, on the other hand, have allowed 24 goals in their 15 matches. As if matters weren't difficult enough already, Newcastle is expected to remain without a number of players incl. Jamaal Lascelles and Allan Saint-Maximin. Lascelles, their center back, is the team captain. Saint-Maximin is the striker. This is the first game of 2021 for Leicester and it hasn't lost its first game of a calendar year in any of the past 12 years. The Foxes have recorded clean sheets in each of the past five of those. Leicester won last season's two matches with Newcastle by a combined score of 8-0. The Foxes will be going hard for the victory and I expect them to get it. | |||||||
01-02-21 | Arsenal -163 v. West Bromwich Albion | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 21 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARSENAL. This line could easily be much higher. West Bromwich can't keep the ball out of the net. In 16 games, West Bromwich has conceeded 35 goals. Thats by far the most in the entire Premier League. Not surprisingly, the Baggies also have the worst goal differential in the league. Admittedly, Arsenal has disappointed. However, the Gunners closed 2020 with b2b wins and this is a golden opportunity to make it three in a row and to start the new year off on a winning note. They won't waste it. Off a 5-0 loss and having been outscored 9-1 in its last three league matches, West Brom. is a mess. Arsenal rolls. | |||||||
12-30-20 | Liverpool v. Newcastle United UNDER 3.25 | Top | 0-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on Liverpool/Newcastle UNDER the total. While Liverpool is obviously going to find the back of the net, Newcastle is going to have real trouble scoring against a fairly stingy Liverpool squad. Newcastle is without a couple of key players and others are still dealing with muscle fatigue and exhaustion from having been hit by a wave of Covid, which caused them to cancel a game earlier. They know they can't outscore Liverpool and that their only hope is to try and contain. Assuming the league leaders deliver the clean sheet, as I expect them to be motivated to do, I don't see Liverpool scoring more than three on its own. Yes, Liverpool is dangerous on offense and yes, the Reds will be in an angry mood. They're dealing with a number of injuries of their own though and a 2-0 (or 3-0) victory should be more than enough to satisfy their anger. Expect a relatively low-scoring affair. | |||||||
12-29-20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Manchester United -165 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MANCHESTER UNITED. While United is a fairly heavy favorite, the line could easily be even higher. The Red Devils are rolling. While they had to settle for a draw last time out, they're unbeaten in their past eight league matches. I think its important to mention that United plays with an extra day's rest. Both teams battled hard on the weekend. However, Man. U played Saturday while Wolverhampton's game against Totteham was Sunday. The Wolves will still have tired legs from that hard-fought 1-1 draw. Wolverhampton typically gives United a good fight. However, on this day, schedule in their favor, the Red Devils will prove to be too much. Expect United to go all out, settling for nothing less than victory. | |||||||
12-29-20 | Leeds United v. West Bromwich Albion UNDER 3 | 5-0 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on Leeds/West Bromwich UNDER the total. West Bromwich has only scored 11 goals in 15 league matches. Both sides come into this match seriously depleted by injury. With some key offensive players out, thats going to lead to a tight low-scoring affair. Thats been the case in recent meetings. The last time that these teams met they battled to a 1-1 draw. The previous meeting saw Leeds win by a score of 1-0. I'm expecting a similar scoreline here. Go with the UNDER. | |||||||
12-28-20 | Aston Villa v. Chelsea -144 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -144 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHELSEA. Aston Villa is at the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a disappointing result on Boxing Day, a 3-1 loss against Arsenal, Chelsea is going to be all business in this one. The fact that Chelsea lost combined with Aston Villa having won its Boxing Day match - against a relatively weak Crystal Palace squad - works in our favor here. I say that, as the line is far more reasonable than it would have been, otherwise. Badly in need of a victory, Chelsea will be happy to see Aston Villa. As good as AV may have looked Saturday, this is a team which Chelsea has long dominated. In fact, Chelsea has won six straight matches in this series, winning those games by a combined score of 15-3. Expect Lampard's team to dig deep, bouncing back and making it seven in a row, in the series. | |||||||
12-12-20 | Chelsea v. Everton OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on Chelsea/Everton OVER the total. I won with the "under" in Chelsea's last match, stating the following: "... With qualification secure and with a big game (Everton) on deck in league play, Lampard is likely to rotate in some younger players ..." A big league game against Everton, of course, is an entirely different matter. While the Toffees have struggled recently, they're still dangerous and they've played much higher-scoring games at home. Overall, Everton has 20 goals in 11 league games, while conceding 18. Chelsea, meanwhile, has 25 goals in its 11 league games. Only Liverpool (26) has more. Expect both teams to find the back of the net and at least one of them to do so more than once. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ray Monohan | $759 |
Joey Tron | $580 |
William Burns | $483 |
Ross Benjamin | $475 |
Tom Macrina | $468 |
Jesse Schule | $466 |
Matt Fargo | $398 |
Big Al McMordie | $324 |
Ricky Tran | $258 |
AAA Sports | $229 |