Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-18-17 | Arizona University +3 v. Oregon | Top | 28-48 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Arizona (365) Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 7:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Arizona using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 25-6 ATS hitting 81% winners and has made $1,840 wagering $100 per game since 2008. Play against a home team (OREGON). After being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games. And is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last five games.
The following database system query has gone 31-8 ATS hitting 80% winners and has made $2,220 wagering $100 per game since 2008. Play on road underdogs (ARIZONA). Excellent offensive team gaining 440 YPG or more. And is now facing a good offensive team gaining between 390 to 440 YPG. And after outgaining opponent by 225 or more total yards in their previous game. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Arizona is a solid 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. Arizona is 92-49 ATS (+38.1 Units) when they score 28 or more points. Oregon is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 28 or more points this season. Oregon is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards. Oregon is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 6 or more rushing yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-18-17 | Nebraska v. Penn State -25 | Top | 44-56 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Penn State (392) Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 4:00 PM SIM grading: 10 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 10 star amount using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points PSU has two losses by a combined 4 points and remains a very strong team overall and with excellent head coach leadership. Former NFL linebacker Jonathan Vilma, now an ESPN analyst, has said they are telegraphing their plays through their pre-snap alignment. Franklin said every team has telltale signs about what's coming, and doesn't believe it is a fatal flaw in Penn State's case. "I still think we're averaging ... (37.7) points a game," he said. "And if everybody knew what they were doing on most of our plays, I would think we'd be scoring a lot less than that." This is just one of countless statements Franklin has made to the media in support of his team and it has paid off big. This is PSU last home game for the Seniors and on in particular. Despite his recent struggles, Barkley has rushed for 899 yards (5.4 per carry) and is second in the nation in all-purpose yards per game (184.6). He also leads the Big Ten with 16 touchdowns, and last week became PSU's all-time leader in all-purpose yardage (5,055). Nebraska is a team in disarray and will more than likely be starting a freshman QB and could be looking for a new head coach in the off-season. That combination is just not good for team chemistry and having to go to the second largest stadium in the nation. We value yards-per-point metrics highly and they often times point out glaring matchup advantages in a game. Using points-per-play for this illustration we know that PSU defense ranks second in the nation posting a 0.187 PPP ratio and the offense ranks 11th posting a very strong 0.544 PPP ratio. Nebraska ranks 83rd with a 0.35 offensive PPP ratio and a dismal 102nd with a 0.469 defensive PPP ratio. Any QB, let a lone a freshman QB, will struggle at PSU against their defense that allows just 5.7 yards-per-pass ranking 7th nationally. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 28-7 ATS hitting 80% winners and has made $2,030 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play on home favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (PENN ST). Off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite. And with 4 or more total starters returning than opponent. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. PSU is 41-18 ATS (+21.2 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt. PSU is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards. PSU is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they rush for 5.5 to 6 yards per attempt. PSU is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. PSU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. PSU is 25-5 ATS (+19.5 Units) when they score 42 to 48 points since 1992. PSU is 34-4 ATS (+29.6 Units) when they gain 500 to 550 total yards. PSU is 49-6 ATS (+42.4 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards. PSU is 24-5 ATS (+18.5 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 150-200 yards. PSU is 60-14 ATS (+44.6 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play. PSU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they gain 7.5 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. PSU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons. PSU is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2.5 to 3 yards/play. Nebraska is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. | |||||||
11-18-17 | Michigan +7.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Michigan (415) Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Michigan using the line. We also like the potential for Michigan to win the game outright sending Wisconsin their first loss of the season. So, an alternative wager is to play a 5 star amount on the line and 2 star amount using the money line.
Round Table Discussion Points Michigan finally went to the youngster at quarterback two weeks ago and Peters has thrown for 4 touchdowns with no interceptions and has sparked the Michigan offense. This week Peters will be asked to manage the game and protect the ball, move the chains and let the defense rest a little. Both defenses have been really good this year as Wisconsin has only given up 13.4 points per game and Michigan gives up 16.4 points. Last year the final score was 14-7 Michigan in Ann Arbor and we look for another defensive struggle today. Wisconsin has basically worn down the opposing defenses and then finished off opponents in the fourth quarter. We feel Michigan can stand up for four quarters and will actually wear down the Wisconsin defense.. This is our favorite type of dog play as we feel the dog has a solid chance of winning this one outright. Statistically not much difference and Michigan has played a much tougher schedule and now Wisconsin adds the added pressure of being one of the top for teams in the National title playoff. Look for a dog fight at Camp Randle this afternoon and grab the points. Take Michigan plus the 7 ½ points. Advanced and Predictive Analytics from Database Systems The following database system query has gone 44-16 ATS hitting 73.3% winners and has made $2,640 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points. With a good scoring defense allowing 14 points or less per game. After allowing 17 points or less in 5 straight games.
Here is a second database system query that has cashed 67.8% and is plus $3,730 wagering $100 per play over the last 10 years. Play against home favorites. After allowing 17 points or less in two straight games. And is now facing a team winning by 21 or more points in their last game.
Here is a Money Line DB query that has produced a record of 30-40 for only 43% winners, BUT has made $5,660 wagering just $100 per play averaging a whopping +322 DOG play since 2008. Play on road underdogs using the money line. After 3 or more consecutive straight up wins. And is now facing an opponent after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Chryst is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a cover as a double digit favorite as the coach of Wisconsin. Methodologies and Cost Saving Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
Ryan’s BIG TEN ‘Upset Alert’ TItan
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11-18-17 | Rutgers v. Indiana -10.5 | Top | 0-41 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Indiana (322) Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on indiana using the line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 39-13 ATS hitting 75% winners and has made $2,470 wagering $100 per game since 2008. Play on home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in conference games (INDIANA). With a winning percentage of between 40 to 49% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Rutgers is just 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) when they gain 150 or less net passing yards. Indiana is 29-9 ATS (+19.1 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points. Indiana is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they allow 5 to 5.5 net passing yards/attempt. Rutgers is a money burning 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after gaining 75 or less passing yards in last game. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
11-18-17 | Texas +3.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Texas (341) Start Time: Week 12 Saturday, 11/18/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on Texas using the line. Round Table Discussion Points Texas needs a win today or over Texas Tech next week to become bowl eligible. WVU is not in a good spot at all despite a 7-3 record, they face Texas today and then Oklahoma next week to end the season. Passing will be the difference in this game and will be the dominant reason Texas wins this game outright. Texas ranks 34th nationally averaging 274 passing yards per game and will have their way going against a Mountaineer passing defense that ranks 101st and allows 257 yards per game. Texas defense is perhaps the best unit that WVU has faced so far this season. Texas ranks 8th nationally allowing just 3.2 rushing yards per attempt. They have a front 7 that can eliminate WVU ground attack and force them to pass into a solid zone coverage scheme. Texas wins the turnover battle and goes on to win the game. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 29-6 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made $2,240 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEXAS). off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. with 4 or more total starters returning than opponent. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Texas is a solid 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards. Texas is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons. WVU is a money losing 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games. Holgorsen is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. as the coach of WVU. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
11-17-17 | Northern Colorado v. Pepperdine +1 | Top | 84-82 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Pepperdine (798) Start Time: Friday, 11/17/2017 10:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: wager a 7 star amount using the line on Pepperdine.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics from Database Systems The following database system query has gone hitting winners and has made $ wagering $100 per game since . The system has also averaged an impressive . The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. N. Colorado is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. N. Colorado is 21-44 ATS (-27.4 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game. Pepperdine is a solid 82-46 ATS (+31.4 Units) when they make 38% to 45% of their three point attempts in a game. Wilson is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more as the coach of Pepperdine. N. Colorado is just 2-10 against the money line (-18.1 Units) when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons. N. Colorado is 3-12 against the money line (-13.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Cost Saving Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
11-17-17 | Heat +5.5 v. Wizards | Top | 91-88 | Win | 100 | 2 h 24 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Miami Heat (703) Start Time: Friday, 11/17/2017 7:05 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: place a 7 star amount on Miami using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics from Database Systems The following database system query has gone 28-4 ATS hitting 88% winners and has made $2,360 wagering $100 per game since 2014. Play against any team (WASHINGTON). After beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games. And is now facing an opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Miami is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Miami is a solid 211-105 ATS (+95.5 Units) when they score 100 to 105 points in a game. Washington is just 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.
Methodologies and Cost Saving Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
11-16-17 | Titans v. Steelers -7 | Top | 17-40 | Win | 105 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Pittsburgh Steelers (312) Start Time: Week 11 Thursday, 11/16/2017 8:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager 7 star amount on the Pittsburgh Steelers suing the line.
Round Table Discussion Points With Steelers starting cornerback Joe Haden out, Matthews will likely see a lot of Sensabaugh on the outside. In last week’s matchup against the Colts, Sensabaugh allowed two catches on three passes into his coverage for 22 yards. Mathews averages 1.75 yards per route run and when lined up to the outside right he has caught 14 balls for 174 yards. Sensabaugh lined up on the defense’s left side (right side offensively) in 25 of his 27 coverage snaps last week.
Quinton Spain is expected to play tonight and resume his guard duties for the Titans. This is good news for the Titans, but he will going against one of the best interior defensive linemen in the league. Cameron Howard ranks in the top-3 in numerous categories and ranks 2nd in pass rush productivity. We believe Howard will win this battle and dominate to an extent that may warrant double teaming.
Delanie Walker has really stepped up his game over the last 3 games. Mariotta has a 99 passer rating when targeting him over the last three games. Walker has increased his yards per snap from 1.65 to 2.14 yards per route run. Sean Davis does not have good coverage skills and a player has been targeted against him once every 9.3 snaps. Look for Pittsburgh to mix up the coverages and keep Marriotta guessing if Davis is in man-to-man coverage.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics from Database Systems The following database system query has gone 36-12 ATS hitting 75% winners and has made $2,280 wagering $100 per game since 2014. Play against underdogs or pick (TENNESSEE). After allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Titans are just 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Titans are 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread. Titans are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Pittsburgh is a solid 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games. Titans are 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons. Titans are an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Roethlisberger is 8-1 ATS against similar teams with WP identical to Pittsburgh (60 to 70%). Methodologies and Cost Saving Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-15-17 | 76ers -3 v. Lakers | Top | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Philadelphia 76ers (721) Start Time: Wednesday, 11/15/2017 10:35 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager on the 76ers using the line. Round Table Discussion Points Lakers are one of the worst shooting teams in the league and the 76ers are growing with winning confidence having won 6 of their last 8 games. Plus, they defeated the Clippers on their court in their last game. Riding the wave is the right decision. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone hitting winners and has made $ wagering $100 per game since . Play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS). After going under the total by more than 18 points in two consecutive games. And with a losing record. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. 76ers are a solid 56-33 ATS (+19.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. 76ers are 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. 76ers are 34-13 ATS (+19.7 Units) after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
11-15-17 | Cavs v. Hornets +2.5 | Top | 115-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Charlotte (710) Start Time: Wednesday, 11/15/2017 8:05 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Charlotte.
Round Table Discussion Points SIM projects that Charlotte will have a turnover edge of at least 3, a Field Goal Percentage (FGP) of at least 3 percentage points, and will have at least a 3 edge in offensive boards. In past games where these three performance metrics came together, Charlotte is 14-1 SU and 14-1 ATS for 93% winners.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 47-18 ATS hitting 72.3% winners and has made $2,720 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CLEVELAND). After a win by 6 points or less. And is now facing an opponent after a loss by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Cleveland is just 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when they allow 106 to 111 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Cleveland is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) in games where they force 12 or fewer turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when they commit 3 to 5 more turnovers than their opponents over the last 2 seasons. Cleveland is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games when they grab 48 to 52 rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-15-17 | Pacers +4 v. Grizzlies | Top | 116-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Indiana (715) Start Time: Wednesday, 11/15/2017 8:05 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a wager on Indiana using the line. Currently lined as 4.5 dogs. An alternative wager is to play a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star play using the money line. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Indiana is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly. We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and average a +150 and higher dog play. As a result, the end product produces significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone hitting winners and has made $ wagering $100 per game since . The system has also averaged an impressive . The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Indiana is 206-114 ATS (+80.6 Units) when they score 100 to 105 points in a game since 1996. Memphis is just 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) when their opponents make 39% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
11-14-17 | Spurs -6.5 v. Mavs | Top | 97-91 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 30 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: San Antonio (505) Start Time: Tuesday, 11/14/2017 8:35 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager using the line on the San Antonio Spurs
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 24-6 ATS hitting 80% winners and has made $2,740 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS). After allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games. And now facing an opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Dallas is just 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when their opponents make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Spurs are 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when they make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
11-14-17 | Lipscomb +14.5 v. Alabama | Top | 64-86 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Lipscomb (549) Start Time: Tuesday, 11/14/2017 8:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Lipscomb using the line. SIm projects that Lipscomb will lose this game by fewer than 9 points and has an outside shot to shot the NCAA basketball world with a SU win. Given this favorable projection consider a combination bet consisting of a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone hitting winners and has made $ wagering $100 per game since . The system has also averaged an impressive . The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Lipscomb is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games. Alexander is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after playing a home game as the coach of LIPSCOMB. Alexander is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing 2 consecutive home games in all games he has coached. Alexander is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog as the coach of LIPSCOMB. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-13-17 | Wolves v. Jazz +4 | Top | 109-98 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Utah (710) Start Time: Monday, 11/13/2017 9:05 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Utah using the line. If the money line is at a minimum of +135, then consider an optional wager consisting of a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount on the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 93-50 ATS hitting 65% winners and has made $3,800 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play against favorites (MINNESOTA). That is an excellent offensive team scoring more than 102 PPG. And is now facing a poor defensive team allowing between 98 and 102 PPG. And after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Utah is just 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Utah is a solid 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when they make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons. Utah is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games in games where they force 13 to 17 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Utah is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games when they score 106 to 111 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
11-13-17 | Dolphins v. Panthers -8.5 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Carolina (276) Start Time: Week 10 Monday, 11/13/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount using the line on Carolina.
Round Table Discussion Points Both teams struggle at times to run an efficient scoring offense, but Miami has struggled to put up points all season. We analyze many of our advanced metrics using the foundation ratio of yards-per-point (YPP), which is a measure of offensive efficiency. The lower the ratio the more efficient the team offense. Currently, the Rams lead the NFL with a 11.8 YPP ratio meaning on average they score 1 point for every 11.8 yards the offense gains. The worst, is Cleveland that requires 19.7 yards of offense to score 1 point. Carolina ranks 20th with a 16.8 YPP ratio and Miami 29th with an 18.6 YPP ratio. Miami, though, is dead last in road games YPP with a horrid 27.4 YPP. Carolina has posted a solid 15.9 YPP in their home games. We fully expect Carolina to control the tempo of the game and the clock with long time consuming scoring drives.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 34-3 SU for 92% winners and 22-14 ATS hitting 61% winners and has made $3,000 wagering $100 per game since 1983. The DB system has averaged a -7.4 line and a -152 Money Line play with the average margin of victory nearly 10 points. Play on home favorites using the money line (CAROLINA). Off 2 straight wins against division rivals. And now facing an opponent after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points.
The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Miami is just 2-10 against the money line (-9.6 Units) when they rush for less than 75 yards over the last 2 seasons. Miami is a near-imperfect 1-7 against the money line (-8.3 Units) in road games when they rush for less than 3 yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. Carolina is an outstanding 52-14 against the money line (+40.0 Units) when they allow less than 250 total yard. Carolina is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Carolina is 35-12 ATS (+21.8 Units) vs. poor offensive teams - scoring 17 or less points/game Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-12-17 | Steelers -10 v. Colts | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 43 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Pittsburgh (255) Start Time: Week 10 Sunday, 11/12/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars on scale of 3 to 10 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount with Pittsburgh using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points Last week the colts got a big win but that was against Tom Savage and his check down style, the colts also may have lost Vontae Davis in that game and lost Malik Hooker for the season the previous game. Now they get to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers who halved owned this series lately. The Steelers bring experienced quarterback Ben Roethlisberger along with big play receiver Antonio Brown and running back Leveon Bell, who is starting to get it going. The Steelers also bring a physicality that the Colts don’t like. In their last game against a physical defense the Colts were beaten 27-0 at home. The Steelers are only giving up 16.4 points per game and the Colts give up close to 29 points. We see the Colts playing from behind in this one and if that is the case Jacoby Brissett will be in for a long afternoon. The Steelers offense is starting to click and this is a good match-up for them. Take the Steelers and lay the 10 points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone hitting winners and has made $ wagering $100 per game since . The system has also averaged an impressive . The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Pittsburgh is 11-1 ATS after gaining 6.5 or more yards per play in previous game the last 3 years. Pittsburgh is 2-0 ATS against Indianapolis over the last 3 years with an average score of 36-8 Pittsburgh is 39-20 ATS (plus 17 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards since 1992. Pittsburgh is a solid 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt. Pittsburgh is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 2 seasons. Colts are 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games when they're outgained by opponents by 0.5 to 1 yards/play. Colts are 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 100-150 yards. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
11-12-17 | Browns +11 v. Lions | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Cleveland Start Time: Week 10 Sunday, 11/12/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on the Cleveland Browns.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 49-19 ATS hitting 72% winners and has made $2,810 wagering $100 per game since 2008. Play on road teams (CLEVELAND). Poor offensive team scoring 17 or less points-per-game. After allowing 30 points or more last game. Here is a second DB system query that has produced a record of 35-10 ATS for 78% winners and has made $2,400 wagering $100 per play since 1983. Play on road teams (CLEVELAND) in Weeks 10 through 13. After 6 or more consecutive losses.
The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Caldwell is a money losing Caldwell is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game as the coach of Detroit. Detroit is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) facing poor offensive teams scoring 17 or less points/game in the second half of the season. Detroit is just 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) off a double digit road win. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
11-11-17 | Michigan -17 v. Maryland | Top | 35-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: 125 Michigan Start Time: 11-11-2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Michigan using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points Michigan comes into this conference game allowing 17 points per game on the season, while Maryland may be down to their 4th string quarterback for this one. Michigan finally went to the future at quarterback last week as Peters threw for 2 touchdowns with no interceptions last week against Minnesota. Michigan has started to get a ground game going led by Kiran Hingdon who is averaging 6.8 yards per attempt with 10 touchdowns on the season. The last 2 years Michigan has won this game easily 28-0 and 59-3 and we see more of the same against a weak Maryland Defense allowing over 37 points per game. Michigan Defense is close to 200 yards per game better than Maryland so we look for a long afternoon for the Terrapins today. Take Michigan and lay the 16 ½.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics There are a cast of trends producing over 69% to 77% winners and supporting Michigan in this matchup. This database system query has produced 69.3% winners going 61-27 ATS for plus 31.3 units since 1992. Play on road favorites of 14.5 or more points. Off 2 consecutive wins of 10 plus points or more. And are now facing a conference opponent in second half of season.
This database system query has produced 77%winners the last 10 years going 37-11 ATS for plus 25 units. Play on road favorites. After allowing 14 or less points in their last 2 games. And is now facing an opponent allowing 31 plus points in their last 2 games.
This database system query has produced 69.9% winners the last 10 years going 51-22 ATS for plus 26.8 units. Play against home dogs. After losing 5 or 6 of last 7 games. And is now facing an opponent winning 3 of last 4 games.
The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Maryland is a miserable 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they allow 4.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt. Maryland is just 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) when they allow 400 to 450 total yards. Maryland is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 150-200 yards Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-11-17 | Georgia v. Auburn +3 | Top | 17-40 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Auburn (188) Start Time: Week 11 Saturday, 11/11/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Auburn using the line. An alternative is to wager a 4 star amount on the line and a 3 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 23-6 using the Money Line hitting 79% winners and has made $3,210 wagering $100 per game since 1992. The system has also averaged an impressive 167 DOG wager. Play on a home team using the money line (AUBURN). The team is an excellent offensive team scoring more than 34 PPG. And is now facing an excellent defensive team allowing 16 or fewer PPG. After 7 regular season games have been played. And after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Auburn is a solid 37-17 ATS (+18.3 Units) when their defense allows 100 to 150 net passing yards. Auburn is a near-perfect 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game. Auburn is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-10-17 | Washington v. Stanford +6.5 | Top | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
The Play: Stanford (122) Start Time: Week 11 Friday, 11/10/2017 10:30 PM SIM grading: 7 star grading Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount on Stanford using the line. An alternative wager is to create a combination bet consisting of a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount on the money line.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Stanford is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.
We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and average a +150 and higher dog play. As a result, the end product produces significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 37-13 ATS hitting 74% winners and has made $2,270 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play against road favorites (WASHINGTON). With an excellent rushing defense allowing 2.75 or less rushing yards-per-carry. After gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards-per-attempt in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Stanford is a solid 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) facing good passing defenses allowing 5.75 or less passing yards-per-attempt. Stanford is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) facing excellent defensive teams allowing 4.25 or less yards-per-play. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-10-17 | North Florida v. Michigan State -31 | Top | 66-98 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Michigan State (640) Start Time: Friday, 11/10/2017 8:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount on MSU using the lie.
Round Table Discussion Points It is rare that we identify a favorite lating this much wood, currently at 30.5 points, but there is a near endless list of reasons why MSU will win this game by 40 or more points. More importantly, this is the first play of the season of what will be about an 150 play season. Our goal is to produce a strong ROI and hit north of 58% ATS winners over the season. If we do that for you, no doubt you will be quite pleased and this play tonight will be far removed from memory - win or lose.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 31-9 ATS hitting 78% winners and has made $2,110 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play on favorites of 20 or more points (MICHIGAN ST). With four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season. And is a team from a major division 1-A conference facing a team from a weak division 1-A conference. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. MSU is a solid 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when they make 47% to 53% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. MSU is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 3 seasons. MSU is an incredible 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) when they score 81 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
11-10-17 | Hornets +3.5 v. Celtics | Top | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Charlotte (503) Start Time: Friday, 11/10/2017 7:35 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on Charlotte using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 69-32 ATS hitting 68% winners and has made $3,380 wagering $100 per game since 1996.
Play on road teams in November. Where the line is +3 to -3 (CHARLOTTE). With a winning percentage of between 40 to 49% on the season. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
11-08-17 | Heat -6 v. Suns | Top | 126-115 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Miami Heat (507) Start Time: Wednesday, 11/8/2017 9:05 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star wager amount on the Miami Heat using the line. An alternative wager is play a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 27-16-1 ATS hitting 63% winners since 1996. Play on an away favorite. With a line between -1 and -5 1/2 . That shot less than 37% from the field in their past game. And their last opponent shot less than 37% from the field. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Miami is a solid 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) when they score 106 to 111 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Phoenix is just 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when they make 25% to 31% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. Miami is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-08-17 | Toledo v. Ohio +3 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Ohio University (110) Start Time: Week 11 Wednesday, 11/8/2017 7:00 PM SIM grading: 10 star MAC Conference Game of the Month Recommended Strategy: 10 star wager amount on Ohio University plus the points. An optional alternative wager is to play a 7.5 star amount using the line and a 2.5 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 51-20 ATS hitting 72% winners and has made $2,980 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO U). Quick starting offensive team scoring 16 or more PPG in the first half. After scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Toledo is just 30-75 ATS (-52.5 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Toledo is just 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt. Ohio U is a solid 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons. Ohio U is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. Ohio U is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points since 1992. Ohio U is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-07-17 | Bulls +11 v. Raptors | Top | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Chicago Bulls Start Time: 7:35 PM ET. SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on the Chicago Bulls using the line. Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 33-9 hitting 78% winners and has made $ 2,310 wagering $100 per game since . Play on road teams (CHICAGO). After 2 or more consecutive unders. And is a poor offensive team scoring between 88 and 92 PPG. And is now facing a horrible defensive team allowing 102 or more PPG).
The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Chicago is a solid 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 3 or more points-per-game over the last 3 seasons. Chicago is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. Chicago is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after scoring 90 points or less over the last 3 seasons. Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
11-06-17 | Lions -2 v. Packers | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Detroit Lions (473) Start Time: Week 9 Monday, 11/6/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play on Detroit minus the points using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 34-11 ATS hitting 76% winners and has made $2,190 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play on road favorites (DETROIT). After 2 or more consecutive losses. With a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. GB is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games facing poor defensive teams allowing 5.65 or more yards-per-play over the last 3 seasons. GB is just 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games facing poor passing defenses allowing 7 or more passing yards-per-attempt.
The SIM shows a very high probability that Detroit will score at least 24 points in this matchup. Packers are a horrid 16-51 ATS for 24% winners when playing at home and the opponent scores 24 or more points. Moreover, they are a similar 3-10 ATS for 23% winners since 2013.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
11-05-17 | Bucs +7 v. Saints | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Tampa Bay (455) Start Time: Week 9 Sunday, 11/5/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 maximum Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Tampa Bay plus the points. An alternative wager is to place a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Round Table Discussion Points Three Saints offensive linemen did not practice on Wednesday: guard Larry Warford (abdomen), guard Andrus Peat (hip) and tackle Terron Armstead. These relatively minor injuries will have an impact on the new found Saints ground attack. We normally do not use injuries as any reason for supporting a play, but in this case having three OL ‘dinged’ is just not a positive thing for the Saints. Despite being second in the NFL in team passing yards, the Bucs have had trouble putting points on the board. They have executed far better in road games posting a solid 15.6 Yards-per-point (YPP) ratio. We expect TB to perform above their season average and possibly post a season-high in YPP today.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics The following database system query has gone 96-53 hitting 64% winners and has made $3,770 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play on underdogs or pick (TAMPA BAY). That are an average offensive team scoring between 18 to 23 PPG. And is facing an excellent offensive team scoring 27 PPG or more. After scoring 14 points or less last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections for the expected outcome of this game. Saints are just 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. TB is a solid 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games. TB is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games when both teams score 20 or more points. TB is 62-30 ATS (+29.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points. TB is 20-9 ATS and 5-0 ATS since 2012 in games where they gain 5.0 YPR and had less than 90 rushing yards in the previous game.
Methodologies and Subscriptions If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
11-04-17 | LSU +21 v. Alabama | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: LSU (413) Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 8:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 maximum Recommended Strategy: Play LSU using the line for a 4 star amount. If you wager $100 per star unit, then this is a $400 star play. If you wager $20 per star unit, then this is am $80 wager.
Round Table Discussion Points I hear gasps that seem to be coming from afar and it must be due to people reading the opening title line of this selection. Seriously, though, this is one of those plays that has an extremely inflated line for many reasons. Public is all over ‘Bama due to the fact that they will be angry at getting the 2 slot in the first playoff ballot. Second is that ‘Bama is coming off of their BYE where they have been 8-3 ATS. This is just two major factors, but is a reason that we have this line priced at 6 points too many. As we know there is far more to our pick selections that just some simple data query like the BYE situation mentioned above. Our yards per point and YPP differentials confirm that LSU’s win over Auburn is no fluke and LSU has nothing to lose in this game. LSU is arguably the worst type of opponent that Alabama can face right now. An opponent that was embarassed by Troy at home and has significantly underperformed over a five game stretch, but a team that has loads of very talented elite players on its’ roster.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has gone 30-5 ATS hitting 86% winners and has $2,450 wagering $100 per game wagered since 2013. Play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (LSU). After having won 4 out of their last 5 games. Team posting a win percentage of 60% to 80%. Playing a team with a winning record. The following game situations match the SIM projections and the team’s compiled research for the outcome of this game. LSU is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-04-17 | Texas +7 v. TCU | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Texas (381) Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 7:15 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Texas using the line. An alternative strategy is to create a combination wager using a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database system query has gone 33-7 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made $2,530 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play on a road team (TEXAS). After going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games. And is now facing an opponent after going under the total by 49 or more points total in their last seven games. This database system query has produced a 32-7 ASTS mark good for 82% winners since 1992. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TCU). Off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more points. In weeks 10 through 13. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Texas is a solid 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards. Texas is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards. Texas is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points over the last 3 seasons. TCU is a money burning 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) when they gain 300 to 350 total yards. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-04-17 | Wake Forest +15 v. Notre Dame | Top | 37-48 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Wake Forest (393) Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Wake Forest plus the points. An alternative strategy is to create a combination wager using a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database system query has gone 73-33 ATS hitting 69% winners and has made $3,670 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play on road underdogs (WAKE FOREST). After gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. With 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Wake Forest is a near-perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they commit 2 turnovers over the last 3 seasons. Notre Dame is just 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games. Notre Dame is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off 2 consecutive home wins by 14 points or more. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-04-17 | Georgia State -4 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 21-17 | Push | 0 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: 356 Georgia State Start Time: 4:00 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 star maximum Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount ($700 if you wager $100 per star unit) on Georgia State.
We have a couple of trends from our database producing 70 to 81% winners in this Sunbelt contest. Play against home dogs of 3.5 to 10 points. Struggling offensive team scoring between 16.5 and 21 PPG. And is now facing an average defensive team in conference games. This DB system query has produced a record of 28-7 the last 5 years good for 80% winners.
Play on road team in conference games. With 4 plus starters and an experienced Quarterback returning. And is now facing a team starting a new Quarterback from last season. This has produced a record of 91-40 hitting 69.5% winners and plus 47 units.
Play on road favorites. After beating spread by 35 or more points in their last 5 games. And with a winning record. Playing an opponent with a losing record. This has produced 72.2% winners and plus 38 units going 65-25 the last 5 years.
Georgia State is 4-3 on the season and sits one game behind conference leaders Troy and Arkansas State and Georgia Southern is still looking for its first win on the season. The Panthers have won the last 2 games in this series and looking for a third straight. The Panthers also are returning 15 starters from last year’s team and bring a defense who allows over 100 yards less per game against the rush than their opponent today. The Panthers are led by senior Quarterback Connor Manning who has thrown for over 1700 yards, 9 touchdowns and completing 65% of his passes. Georgia Southern has struggled both offensively and defensively on the season scoring 17 points and giving up over 40 points per game. Look for the Panthers to get another win in this matchup this afternoon. Take Georgia State and lay the 4 Points. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-04-17 | Florida +3 v. Missouri | Top | 16-45 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Florida Gators Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount ($300 if you wager $100 per star unit) on Florida plus the points.
Round Table Discussion Points We are expecting the Florida offense to put up a lot of points today. The Tigers are giving up 35.8 points per game on the season and Florida has numerous matchup advantages at the skill positions. We look for the firing of Jim McElwain this week to be a big boost for the Gator Football team the rest of this season. The Gators have announced that Malik Zaire will get the start. We have been stating all year this move would help the Florida offense as Zaire will bring the threat of the run to his very good passing game. This is a great match up for him in his first start against a soft Missouri defense. Florida has the much better defense and we believe the Gator offensive efficiency metrics will improve significantly. The Gators won 21-3 in their last visit to Columbia and easily won last year 40-14 in the swamp and from a personnel standpoint not much has changed. Missouri offense has been rolling the last couple of weeks, but it faces a much stricter test this week. Look for a hungry bunch of Gators this afternoon. Take Florida and grab the points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.
FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they rush for 4.5 to 5 yards per attempt since 1992. FLORIDA is 128-49 ATS (+74.1 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. MISSOURI is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-04-17 | Wisconsin v. Indiana +13 | Top | 45-17 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Indiana Indiana (368) Start Time: Week 10 Saturday, 11/4/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: play a 7 star amount on Indiana plus the points. An alternative strategy is to create a combination wager using a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database system query has gone 58-25 ATS hitting 70% ATS winners and has made $3,050 wagering $100 per game since 1992. Play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (WISCONSIN). That is an excellent defensive team allowing fewer than 16 PPG. And is now facing an average defensive team allowing 21 to 28 points. After 7 or more games. And after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-03-17 | UCLA +7 v. Utah | Top | 17-48 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: UCLA (321) Start Time: Week 10 Friday, 11/3/2017 9:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play sa 7 star amount using the line on UCLA. An alternative wager is to create a combination wager consisting of a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, UCLA is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” ( and also with combination wagers) and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.
We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and average a +150 and higher dog play. As a result, the end product produces significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 91-40 hitting 70% winners and has made $4,700 wagering just $100 per game since 2013. Play on a road team (UCLA). In conference games. With 4 or more total starters and an experienced QB returning against team with a new QB.
The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UCLA is a solid 102-50 ATS (+47.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. Whittingham is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of Utah. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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11-03-17 | Hornets +4.5 v. Spurs | Top | 101-108 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 43 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Charlotte (713) Start Time: Friday, 11/3/2017 8:35 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on the Charlotte Hornets.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 25-5 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made $1,950 wagering $100 per game. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO). After failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. Tired team playing 6 or more games in 10 days. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Spurs are just 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent over the last 2 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
11-02-17 | Bills v. Jets +3.5 | Top | 21-34 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: NY Jets (308) BUFFALO (5 - 2) at NY JETS (3 - 5) Start Time: 8:20 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on the Ny jets using the line. Optional alternative is to create a combination wager using a 5* amount on the line and a 2* amount using the money line. However, the money line must be at +135 or higher for this to be validated based on ROI analysis.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 22-7 for 76% winners and has made $1,630 wagering $100 per play since 1983. Play on all teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (NY JETS). After 5 or more consecutive wins against the spread. In November games.
This database query has produced games that have gone 7-1 ATS over the last five seasons. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Buffalo is just 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992. Jets are a solid 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games off a home loss. Jets are 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games after playing a game at home.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
10-29-17 | Cowboys v. Redskins +3 | Top | 33-19 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Washington (270) Start Time: 4:25 PM ET SIM grading: 10 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 10 star amount on Washington using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 29-8 ATS hitting 78% winners and has made $2,020 wagering $100 per game since 1983. Play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS). After beating the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game. With the game taking place in weeks 5 through 9.
Here is another database query that has gone 23-7 for 77% winners and has made $1,740 wagering $100 per play since 2007. PLay on all teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (WASHINGTON). After a loss by 10 or more points. Against an opponent after scoring 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Washington is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest (Coming off road loss at Philadelphia) over the last 2 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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10-29-17 | 49ers +13 v. Eagles | Top | 10-33 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: San Francisco (259) Start Time: 1:00 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on the 49ers using the line. So, if you wager $100 per star unit, this is a $700 wager in total.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has gone 26-4 hitting 87% winners and has made $2,160 wagering just $100 per game since 2007. Play on underdogs of 10.5 or more points (SAN FRANCISCO). After a loss by 14 or more points. And is now facing an opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game.
Here is a second database query that has produced a 29-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 2007. Play on road teams (SAN FRANCISCO). Slow starting offensive team scoring 7 or less PPG in the first half. After allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
10-28-17 | 76ers -1 v. Mavs | Top | 112-110 | Win | 102 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Philadelphia 76ers (709) Start Time: Saturday, 10/28/2017 8:35 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play on Philadelphia with a 7 star amount using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has gone 95-54 ATS hitting 64% winners and has made $3,560 wagering $100 per game since 1996. Play on road teams. Where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA). Outscored by their opponents by 3 or more points/game. After a loss by 6 points or less. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Philadelphia is a solid 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) when facing poor foul drawing teams attempting | |||||||
10-28-17 | TCU -6 v. Iowa State | Top | 7-14 | Loss | -118 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: TCU (193) Start Time: Week 9 Saturday, 10/28/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 10 stars out of 10 star maximum Recommended Strategy: Wager a 10 star amount on TCU using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points Kenny Hill has been having an outstanding season for TCU completing 70% of his passes with15 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on the season. The Horned Frog ground game has been producing scoring 13 Touchdowns and averaging over 5 yards per carry. They also bring a balanced passing game and the best defense in the conference. This defense was able to shut down Mason Rudolph and the high flying Oklahoma State offense earlier this year. Iowa State has played well all season and had the big comeback win against Oklahoma and the public has taken notice. TCU just takes care of business and is 7-0 on the season. We look for a big defensive effort in Ames this afternoon similar to what Texas did holding Iowa State offense in check and to 7 points. TCU should be well prepared for the Cyclone attack and has won the last 3 in this series handedly and we look for more of the same this afternoon. Take TCU and lay the 6 ½ Points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has gone 25-2 ATS hitting 93% winners and has made $2,280 wagering $100 per qualified play since 2007. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (TCU). Off 3 or more consecutive ‘unders’. And with a good first half defense allowing 8 or less points per game.
Both teams are similar in all of the major metrics we create and interpret with TCU ranked higher in all of them. Iowa State is close to TCU in the majority of the rankings, but in not one are they ranked higher than TCU.
The one exception is 3rd down conversions where TCU ranks best in the nation converting 55% of those third down opportunities into first downs. ISU ranks 78th in the nation converting 37% of their third down conversions. Keeping the chains moving in drives by converting third downs is a monumental metric, to say the least. In addition, TCU runs the ball on 57% of their plays, which keeps the clock rolling and gives them an even greater advantage in TOP. ISU may come out flying with tons of energy in the first quarter, but over the course of the game, TCU will wear them down.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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10-28-17 | Penn State +7 v. Ohio State | Top | 38-39 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Penn State Start Time: Week 9 Saturday, 10/28/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 star maximum Recommended Strategy: Play PSU for a 7 star amount on the line. Alternative wager is to play a 5 star amount on PSU using the line and a 2 star amount on the money line. This combination wager exploits the expectation that PSU will win this game.
Round Table Discussion Points Penn State has played a more difficult schedule to date than Ohio State. PSU is undefeated coming off a monumental destruction of Michigan that does have a strong team with a very good defense. OSU lost badly to Oklahoma at home earlier this year.
The Yards Per Point (YPP) metric is a valuable tool for sports handicappers and professional bettors. The offensive version of YPP (OYYP) reveals how efficient a team is scoring points. The lower the number the better as it takes fewer yards to score points. Conversely, the defensive measure of YPP (DYPP) reveals how stingy or soft any defensive unit is when facing any type of offense. The more points per point, the stronger the defense. Of course, then we can use the offensive and defensive differential to reveal team rankings and good solid drill-down to team valuation.
So if two teams are from the same conference, then there is a presumed equality of SOS implied. Let’s now take a quick look at Penn State versus Ohio State, which is essentially the BIG Ten matchup of the year. Penn State ranks 5th posting an 11.6 OYYP ratio while OSU ranks 12th in DYYP allowing one point for every 19.8 yards allowed. On the other side of the ball, we see that PSU ranks best in DYYP allowing one point for every 29.6 yards allowed and OSU ranks 18th scoring one point for every 12.2 yards gained.
Ohio State has been coming on since their horrid loss at home to Oklahoma earlier this season. Over their last three games, they have posted a 15.3 differential reflecting much improved performances on both sides of the ball. Penn State has performed at superior levels for the entire season and are actually getting better on defense. These observations are not being mentioned in the media and by itself offers you a betting advantage for this matchup.
Then there is McSorely, the heart and soul of the offense, who is scrappy at times, and will do whatever it takes to will his team to a win. This is how the entire team plays on both sides of the ball and special teams. This team had been behind at the half in nearly all of the big games last season. They have corrected that problem this year and will not be intimidated by the crowd noise of the importance of the game.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has shown a 61-23 ATS record hitting 73% ATS winners since 2013. Wagering just $100 per qualified game, has produced a total profit of $3,570. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OHIO ST). After a win by 17 or more points. And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game. The following database query has shown a 44-16 ATS record hitting 73% ATS winners since 2007. Wagering just $100 per qualified game, has produced a total profit of $2,640. Play on road underdogs (PENN ST). In a game involving two good rushing teams with both outrushing opponents by 50+ YPG. And after 7 or more games have been played. and after gaining 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season. PSU is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when they score 29 to 35 points. PSU is 28-9 ATS (+18.1 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play. OSU is just 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.75 or less passing yards/att. PSU is a perfect 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 2 seasons. PSU is a perfect 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. PSU is a perfect 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 2 seasons. PSU is a perfect 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a win by 17 or more points over the last 2 seasons. PSU is a near-perfect 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play.
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10-28-17 | Air Force v. Colorado State -10 | Top | 45-28 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 50 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: 168 Colorado State Start Time: Week 9 Saturday, 10/28/2017 3:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Colorado State using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points Mike Bobo and the Colorado State Rams come into this one sitting on top of the MWC Mountain division one game ahead of Boise State. CSU Quarterback Nick Stevens is having a solid year for the Rams completing 63% of his passes, throwing 20 Touchdowns to only 6 interceptions on the season. Leading Receiver Michael Gallup already has a thousand yards on the season. The Rams also bring a solid running attack with both rushers averaging over 5 yards per carry. The Rams offense has been scoring 35 points per game and was able to move the ball against Alabama. The Rams will be looking to avenge a loss to their in state rivals last year and we look for more of what happened the last time these 2 teams met on this field where CSU one easily by 15 points as a underdog. CSU faced an option attack last week and should be well prepared for the Air Force schemes this afternoon. Air Force has been allowing opponents to score 33 plus points per game this season and have been coming back from big deficits this season. The toll of the season is taking an effect on the Falcon defense and we do not feel that Colorado State will let up in this one. Look for a big home effort by the Rams this afternoon as they get the easy win and stay on top of the Conference standings. Take Colorado State and lay the 10 ½ points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 51-19 ATS hitting 73% winners since 1992. Wagering $100 would have made a total profit of $3,000. Play on home team after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt. And is now facing an opponent allowing 5.5 or more yards per attempt. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. CSU is 9-2 ATS when they gain 9 or more passing yards per attempt the last 3 years. CSU is 98-38 ATS when scoring 28 or more points since 1992. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
10-27-17 | Nets +2 v. Knicks | Top | 86-107 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Brooklyn Nets (505) Start Time: 7:35 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Brooklyn using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 47-15 ATS hitting 76% winners and has made $3,050 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play against favorites. That was a bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.
Brooklyn is a solid 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when their opponents make 32% to 38% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several methods of machine learning, AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 21-6 ATS record in 2017. So, do yourself a big favor and consider getting on board with a cost saving sports subscription and never miss a play. | |||||||
10-26-17 | Dolphins v. Ravens -3 | Top | 0-40 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Baltimore (102) Start Time: Week 8 Thursday, 10/26/2017 8:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Baltimore using the line. Sim projects a high probability that Baltimore will win this game by 6 or more points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has produced 39-12 ATS winners hitting 77% winners and has made $2,580 wagering $100 per game since 2007. Play on any team. After being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games. And with the current game being played in the first half of the season. Here is a second database query that plays against Miami and has produced a 29-7 ATS mark for 80.6% winners and has made $100 players a total of $2,130 since 2007. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3. After going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games. With a winning record on the season.
The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Harbaugh is a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of Baltimore. Harbaugh is also a strong 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off 3 or more consecutive ‘overs’ as the coach of Baltimore. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Baltimore tonight.
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10-26-17 | Mavs v. Grizzlies -7.5 | Top | 91-96 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Memphis Start Time: 8:05 PM ET. SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10 Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Memphis using the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 26-6 ATS hitting 81% winners and has made $1,940 wagering $100 per game since 2013. Play on home favorites (MEMPHIS). Marginal winning team from last season who won between 51% and 60% of their games. Facing a division opponent. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Memphis is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games when their opponents make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons. Memphis is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they allow 94 to 99 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Memphis. | |||||||
10-26-17 | Toledo v. Ball State +26 | Top | 58-17 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 42 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Ball State (104) Start Time: Week 9 Thursday, 10/26/2017 7:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars out of 10. Recommended Strategy: Take Ball State and the points, with a line currently at +25.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 10-15 ATS hitting 73% winners and has made $2,350 wagered since 2013. Play on a home team (BALL ST). After 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread. And now facing an opponent after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toledo is just 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Ball State. | |||||||
10-24-17 | Knicks v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 89-110 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Boston Celtics (706) Start Time:Tuesday, 10/24/2017 7:35 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play on the Boston Celtics using the line, currently at -7 ½ points. SIM shows a high probability that Boston will win this game by more than 10 points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone hitting winners and has made units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive . The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Boston is a solid 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when their opponents make 25% to 31% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 2 seasons. Boston is a near-perfect 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they allow 94 to 99 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Boston is a solid 151-68 ATS (+76.2 Units) when they score 106 to 111 points in a game.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Boston Celtics tonight. | |||||||
10-23-17 | Redskins +5 v. Eagles | Top | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Washington (477) Start Time: Week 7 Monday, 10/23/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount on Washington using the line. The current line shows Washington at + 4 or + 4 1/2 .
A second opportunity tis to exploit the upset potential of this matchup. Lace a 5 star amount using the line and a 2 star amount using the money line. This wager is what we have coined as the ‘Combination Wager’.
Round Table Discussion Points
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Washington is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.
We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and average a +150 and higher dog play. As a result, the end product produces significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query returns a 29-7 ATS record good for 81% winners and has made $2, 130 per $100 wager since 2008 inclusive. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (WASHINGTON). That are excellent passing team averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/attempt. And after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games. Over the past 3 season, this query has produced a 11-3 ATS mark good for 79% winners. This reflects the consistent performance and validity of the query. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Redskins are a solid 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus excellent rushing defenses allowing 70 or fewer rushing yards/game. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Redskins tonight. | |||||||
10-22-17 | Falcons v. Patriots -3 | Top | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: New England Start Time: 8:30 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play Patriots for a 7 star amount on the line. An optional strategy is to play the ‘under’ and the Patriots using the line for no more than 3 star reverse action parlay that pays 4:1 odds. Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone hitting winners and has made units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive . The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Patriots are a solid 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons. Patriots are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Patriots are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game over the last 2 seasons. Patriots are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing excellent offensive teams averaging 6 or more yards/play over the last 3 seasons. Belichick is 53-25 ATS (+25.5 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of NE. Patriots are a perfect 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when they gain 400 or more total yards over the last 2 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Patriots.
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10-22-17 | Jets v. Dolphins -3 | Top | 28-31 | Push | 0 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
The Matchup:Miami -3 versus NY Jets Start Time:10-22-2017 1:00PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: wager a 7 star play using the line on Miami. An alternative wager is to play a 4* amount on the money line and a 3 star amount on the line.
Miami is coming off a strong second half at Atlanta last week, while the Jets were getting robbed in New England. This was a tough loss for the Jets who have to travel to Miami who will be looking to avenge an earlier loss to the Jets this season. We are for expecting an inspired effort by the Dolphins this afternoon and avenge the loss earlier this season. Take Miami
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 23-4 hitting 85% winners and has made 19.0 units/unit wagered since 2013. Play on home teams using the money line. After going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games. In conference games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. NY Jets are 0-6 ATS off a division game the last 3 years Miami is 18-7 ATS revenging a road loss of 14 or more points since 199 Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Miami Dolphins. | |||||||
10-21-17 | Wyoming +14 v. Boise State | Top | 14-24 | Win | 100 | 31 h 9 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: 363 Wyoming Start Time: 10-21-2017 10:15 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7star amount using the line on Wyoming. Current line is in the +14 ½ range. We also highly recommend a 2.5* amount using the money line on Wyoming. This money line is at +440, which means if you wager $100 per star unit and Wyoming does pull off the upset, you will make $1,100 just from the 2.5 star money line wager.
Round Table Discussion Points Here is a data query from our massive database of college and pro sports that has delivered a very strong 28-5 ATS mark good for 85% winners since 2013. Take underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points. After winning 4 of last 5 games. And is now facing a good team with a winning record.
The Cowboys are currently tied with Boise just a game behind CSU in the conference. Josh Allen has been able to get the job done when the Cowboys have stepped down in class this season. Both Offenses have struggled to put points on the board, but both defenses have been good this year. Boise State had a big win last week at San Diego State, but this was mostly done by the defense and special teams and then they were able to force the Aztecs out of their game. We look for another slugfest and we like getting the points in a game we feel will be less than a TD. Take Wyoming and the points.
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10-21-17 | SMU -7.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 10 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: 321 SMU Start Time: 10-21-2017 4:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on SMU minus the points, which is currently at -7 ½ at the majority of books.
Round Table Discussion Points Couple of systems delivering 76% plus winners on SMU for this Saturday afternoon matchup. Cincinnati is 4-14 when allowing 28 points since 1992 Cincinnati is 0-6 ATS when rushing for 100 to 150 yards last 3 years. Cincinnati is 4-24 ATS when allowing 35 to 41 points the last 3 years
SMU comes into this one scoring 43 plus points per game on the season and has a balanced per plays offensive attack with 191 yards on the ground and over 316 yards through the air. The Bearcats offense comes into this one averaging 20 points per game and offense has struggled most of the season. SMU has also been opportunistic on defense and are a plus 8 turnovers on the season. Ben Hicks has been solid this season completing 59% of his passes for 15 Touchdowns and 5 interceptions on the season. The top 3 rushers are averaging over 5 yards per carry and the receivers led by Trey Quinn and Cortland Sutton have been productive against all defenses this year. We don’t see the Bearcats offense keeping up with the charging Ponies today. Take SMU and lay the 7 1\2 today
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10-21-17 | Tulsa v. Connecticut +6 | Top | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 46 h 52 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Connecticut (318) Start Time: Week 8 Saturday, 10/21/2017 12:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on Connecticut. The line opened with Tulsa installed as a seven point favorite. The line has slipped to 6 at the majority of books with a few now at 5 ½. This line movement is quite favorable given that 76% of the public wagers are on Tulsa, but the line is going down. This reflects that the large ‘mart money’ pros are betting on Connecticut. So, an alternative strategy is to play a 5 star amount using the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following data query returns games that have gone 2-18 ATS hitting 10% winners and has made $1,580 per $100 wagered since 1980. Play against a road favorite in a conference tilt. Team is off a straight-up conference home win installed as a dog. Team covered that home win by more than 10 points. And is now facing a conference opponent. And that foe is off a straight-up win installed as a DOG.
The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Tulsa is just 49-116 ATS (-78.6 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Tulsa is 23-57 ATS (-39.7 Units) when they allow 9 or more net passing yards/attempt. Tulsa is 24-60 ATS (-42.0 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play. Connecticut is 48-12 ATS (+34.8 Units) when they score 28 or more points. Connecticut is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Connecticut. | |||||||
10-20-17 | Blazers -5 v. Pacers | Top | 114-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Portland (709) Start Time: Friday, 10/20/2017 7:05 PM SIM grading: 7 star grading Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount on the line with Portland.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following data query has gone 35-11 ATS hitting 76% winners and has made 23 units/unit wagered since2014. So, if you had wagered $100 on these games, you would have a total profit of $2,300 since the beginning of the 2014 season. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND). After a blowout win by 15 points or more. an And is now facing opponent after scoring 110 points or more. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Indiana is just 53-139 ATS (-99.9 Units) when they allow 106 to 111 points in a game. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Portland.
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10-19-17 | Chiefs v. Raiders +3 | Top | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Oakland Raiders (302) Start Time: Week 7 Thursday, 10/19/2017 8:25 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play on the Raiders plus the points for a 7 star amount.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 58-27 hitting 68% winners and has made 28.3 units/unit wagered since 1983.
Play against any team (KANSAS CITY). That is a good rushing team averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry. And after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.
Oakland is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they rush for 5 to 5.5 yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons. Oakland is a near-perfect 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when they rush for 5 or more yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Raiders on Thursday Night Football. | |||||||
10-19-17 | UL-Lafayette +13 v. Arkansas State | Top | 3-47 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: LA-Lafayette (305) Start Time: Week 8 Thursday, 10/19/2017 7:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount using the line on LA - Lafayette.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following database query has gone 18-11 hitting 62% winners and has made 29 units/unit wagered since2014. The system has also averaged an impressive +223 DOG play. Play on a road team. Using the money line (LA LAFAYETTE). After going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games. And with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LAL is a solid 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards. LAL is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better. LAL is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. Hudspeth is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after playing 3 straight conference games as the coach of LAL.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board LA - Lafayette.
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10-17-17 | Rockets +9.5 v. Warriors | Top | 122-121 | Win | 100 | 32 h 34 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Houston Rockets Start Time: Tuesday, 10/17/2017 10:35 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7 star amount using the line on Houston plus the points. So, if you wager $100 per star unit, this would be a $700 wager. If you play $500 on a 7 star play then your star unit is $72. Alternate strategy. Wager a 5 star amount on the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game, the Houston Rockets is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.
We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following data query has gone 9-2 SU and 4-7 ATS hitting 64% ATS winners since 2006. Play against the previous season’s NBA Champion in game 1 of the current season.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Houston Rockets. | |||||||
10-16-17 | Colts v. Titans -6.5 | Top | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Tennessee (276) Start Time: Week 6 Monday, 10/16/2017 8:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 10* amount using the line on Tennessee. Play a 5 star amount on the ‘OVER’. Play a 3* reverse parlay using the Titans and the ‘OVER’.
Round Table Discussion Points A reverse parlay is essentially a double action ‘IF’ bet. Here's how the reverse parlay works: In the first part of the bet, we'll say Tennessee is -7 ½, you are risking $110 to win $100. The ‘IF’ bet comes into play next with your second part of the bet which we'll say is the ‘OVER’ lined at 49 1/2 for $110 risk to win $100. Part 2 of the reverse bet would be the ‘OVER’ risking $110 for $100 and then if that wins the Titans -7 comes into play at $110 risk to win $100. If both ‘IF’ bets win you get $400 for the $100 reverse parlay bet. If one play wins and one play loses you lose $120. If both lose you lose $220 or $240 depending on the books vig charge. A push, where you win one, and push on the second, or push on both would get you $200.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following data query has produced a 35-10 ATS record hitting 78% winners and has made $2,400 per $100 game wagered since 2008. Play on any team (TENNESSEE). After being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games. And is now facing an opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games.
This shows the games played since the 2014 season, which has produced a 9-3 ATS record. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Tennessee.
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10-15-17 | Packers v. Vikings +3.5 | Top | 10-23 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Minnesota Vikings (260) Start Time: Week 6 Sunday, 10/15/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount on the line playing the Vikings. Given that the projections clearly show an upset, consider making a combination wager that consists of a 5 star amount using the line and a 2 star amount using the money line.
Round Table Discussion Points Interesting that when the announcement of Bradford not starting and that Kennum would be starting at QB, the lie did not move. If anything, the line has seen a slight push toward the 3 point level and the books increasing the vig to -115 to play on the Vikings. This push will increase the money line we can get on the Vikings. That money line is currently listed at +140/+145 at the majority of the large sports books. So, as long as you can get a minimum of +135 on the money line, the combination wager is the preferred strategy.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following money line system has gone 78-59 hitting 57% winners and has made $3,090 per $100 game wagered since 2008. Play against road teams using the money line. After having won 3 out of their last 4 games. And is a top level team winning 75% or more of their games on the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Vikings are 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games after a win by 6 or less points since 1992. Vikings are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons. Vikings are 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards Vikings are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they allow 75 to 100 rushing yards over the last 3 seasons. Vikings are a perfect 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 total yards over the last 3 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Minnesota Vikings.
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10-15-17 | Patriots -9 v. Jets | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: New England Start Time: Week 6 Sunday, 10/15/2017 1:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star amount using the line on the Patriots.
Round Table Discussion Points The Patriots will be without two of their top cover men against the Jets. A late addition to the Pats’ injury report, Stephon Gilmore is out for Sunday’s game with a concussion. Gilmore was not listed on New England’s injury report prior to Saturday, but Josina Anderson of ESPN.com reports (on Twitter) the cornerback had experienced headaches since the Buccaneers game nine days ago. Eric Rowe is out with a groin injury, leaving the Patriots shorthanded on the outside. Gilmore’s concussion setback comes after he was a game-time decision to face the Bucs due to an ankle injury. Rowe hasn’t practiced since aggravating a groin problem in Week 4. New England did not sign anyone before Saturday afternoon’s deadline, so the team will not make a practice squad promotion for depth purposes as a result of these injuries.
This key info does not have any significant impact to our week long analysis of this matchup. The Patriots have played a bend and do not break style of defense in previous seasons including ones that saw them win the SB. We do not see McCown being successful enough at exploiting these gaps in the Patriots defense.
The Jets will not have an answer for Gronkowski and would not be surprised at all to see him grab more than 10 receptions. These plays are essentially run plays in the Patriots offensive game plan. Gronk can line up anywhere on the field and you will see him near the sidelines to spread the field and open up the A and B running gaps.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 23-4 ATS hitting 85% winners and has made $1,860 per $100 wagered on each game since 1983. Play on road favorites (NEW ENGLAND). Excellent passing team averaging 255 or more passing yards/game. And after allowing 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games. Here is a second data query that has produced a 30-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners and has made $2,230 per $100 wagered on each game. Play on road teams (NEW ENGLAND). With a struggling defense allowing 385 or more total yards/game. After allowing 400 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games.
The Patriots defense has allowed 400 or more yards in three straight games. NFL teams with struggling defenses allowing 400 yards in three straight games are 86-53 ATS for 60% ATS winners. Adding in the parameter that the season-to-date allowed yards exceeds 350 yards per game produces a very nice 30-7 ATS for 81% ATS winners. The Patriots are 9-4 ATS after allowing 400 or more yards in three straight games. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Patriots.
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10-14-17 | Navy +3.5 v. Memphis | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Navy (193) Start Time: Week 7 Saturday, 10/14/2017 3:45 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7* amount on the line with Nay. Line currently at +3 ½ .
Alternate wager is play a 5* amount on the line and then add a 2* play using the money line; as long as the money line is returning +135 or higher value.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 32-8 hitting 80% ATS winners and has made $2,320 per $100 wagered game since 2014. Play against any team (MEMPHIS). Is a good team outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game. After allowing 31 points or more in 3 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Navy is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they gain 150 or less net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. Navy is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards. Navy is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) when they rush for 300 or more yards over the last 3 seasons. Navy is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Memphis is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt over the last 3 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Navy Midshipmen.
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10-14-17 | Auburn -7 v. LSU | Top | 23-27 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Auburn (207) Start Time: Week 7 Saturday, 10/14/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play Auburn on the line for a 7 star amount. DSo, if you wager $100 per star unit, then this is a $700 play.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 78-24 hitting 77% winners and has made $5,280 units wagering $100 per release since 2008. The system has also averaged an impressive . Play on a road team using the money line (AUBURN). That are excellent offensive teams gaining a minimum of 440 YPG. Against a good offensive team allowing between 390 to 440 YPG. And after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LSU is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games when they allow 22 to 28 points since 1992. The average score was LSU 38.6, OPPONENT 25.0 LSU is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards since 1992. The average score was LSU 26.6, OPPONENT 23.7 LSU is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992. The average score was LSU 25.0, OPPONENT 10.0 LSU is 10-27 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games when they commit 2 turnovers since 1992. The average score was LSU 24.0, OPPONENT 17.5 Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Auburn Tigers.
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10-14-17 | Toledo -7 v. Central Michigan | Top | 30-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Toledo (123) Start Time: Week 7 Saturday, 10/14/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount using the line on Toledo.
Round Table Discussion Points Toledo Senior WR, Cody Thompson suffered a broken leg and it is expected to cost him the remainder of the season in last week’s win over Eastern Michigan. He led the team in receptions in 2016 and was leading the team again in 2017 with 28 receptions for 537 yards and 4 TD.
Toledo is a high -power offense type team and we fully expect the ‘Next Man Up’ to fill the gaps left by the season ending injury to Thompson. Toledo ranks 29th in the nation scoring 35.2 PPG, 15th gaining 492.5 YPG, 8th gaining 9.2 yards per pass. CMU defense ranks 71st allowing 30 PPG, 91st allowing 42% third-down conversions, and 101st allowing 207.6 RYPG.
On the other side of the ball the advantages that Toledo will enjoy in this matchup are clear. CMU ranks 100th scoring 22 PPG, 105th converting just 32% of their third down conversions, and 128th in red zone scoring.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone hitting winners and has made units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive . The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Toledo is a solid 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points. Toledo is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt. Toledo is 96-40 ATS (+52.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points. CMU is just 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. CMU is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points. CMU is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 1 to 1.5 yards/play Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Toledo.
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10-13-17 | Clemson -23 v. Syracuse | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Clemson (109) Start Time: Week 7 Friday, 10/13/2017 7:00 PM SIM grading: 7 stars (1 to 10 ranking scale) Recommended Strategy: Place a 7 star amount using the line on Clemson. So, if you wager $100 per star unit, then this would be a $700 play. In similar fashion, if you wager $10 per star unit, this is a $70 play. If you wager $500 per 7* graded play, then you wager $71.42 per star.
Round Table Discussion Points The biggest question this week surrounding No. 2 Clemson as it prepared for tonight’s game at Syracuse is whether their starting quarterback Kelly Bryant will be healthy enough to return to the lineup after sustaining an ankle injury last week in the Tigers' 28-14 win against Wake Forest. The answer is that it is highly probable that he will return to action tonight. And it really doesn’t matter. If Bryant is unable to go, the starting nod is likely to fall to freshman Hunter Johnson, who was rated the nation's top prep quarterback in 2016 by ESPN. Johnson guided the Tigers for their final three offensive series last week and completed all five of his passes for 42 yards and a touchdown.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Syracuse is just 38-92 ATS (-63.2 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Syracuse is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 points. Syracuse is 21-49 ATS (-32.9 Units) when they rush for 100 to 150 yards. Syracuse is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points. Syracuse is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) when they gain 4.5 to 5 total yards per play. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Clemson Tigers. | |||||||
10-12-17 | Eagles v. Panthers -3 | Top | 28-23 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Carolina (104) Start Time: 8:25 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7 star wager amount on Carolina using the line.
Round Table Discussion Points
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following data query has gone 35-11 ATS hitting 76% winners winners and has made $2,290 per $100 wagered since 2014 Play against underdogs or pick (PHILADELPHIA). After allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games.
The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Carolina is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. Carolina is a solid 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games when facing excellent offensive teams averaging 375 or more yards/game. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Carolina Panthers. | |||||||
10-09-17 | Vikings v. Bears +4 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Chicago Bears Start Time: 8:30 PM ET SIM grading: 7stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount using the line on the Bears.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 82-83 for just 50% winners using the money line, BUT has made $6,080 wagering just $100 per game since 1983. The system has also averaged an impressive +175 dog play. Play against road favorites using the money line. After allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. And now facing an opponent after a loss by 14 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Bears are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons. Bears are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 2 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Chicago Bears. | |||||||
10-08-17 | Packers +2.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Green Bay Start Time: Sunday, October 8, 4:25 PM ET SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount on the Green Bay Packers. So, if you wager $100 per star unit, this would be a $700 wager.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 31-7 ATS hitting 82% winners and has made $2,330 per $100 wager since 1983. Play on any team, road or home. After leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. And is now facing an opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Green Bay is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons. Garrett is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Green Bay Packers.
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10-08-17 | Bills +3 v. Bengals | Top | 16-20 | Loss | -101 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Buffalo Start Time: Sunday, October 8, 1:00 SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount on the line with the Bills.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 36-13 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made $2,170 per $100 wager since 1983. Play against home favorites. After allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt in their last game. And is now facing an opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Lewis is just Lewis is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a 2 game road trip. Lewis is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. Taylor is a solid 7-2 ATS facing vs. passing defenses allowing 4.3-6.3 passing yards/att.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Buffalo Bills. | |||||||
10-07-17 | Alabama v. Texas A&M +27 | Top | 27-19 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Texas A&M (410) Start Time: Week 6 Saturday, 10/7/2017 7:15 PM SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7* amount on Texas A&M using the line. Optional strategy to is to add a 2* amount on Texas A&M using the money line.
Round Table Discussion Points How do you get in front of the Tide as they have been rolling in 2017? Alabama brings a stout defense and an opportunistic offense into this one and is the number one team in the land. The tide has also won 4 in a row in this series both straight up and against the spread. However, this will be the largest number in those 4 years and at this number would not have had one ATS win. Last year’s game was a dogfight until the Aggies wore down and the Alabama defense took over. This Aggies get this one in College Station which should help Freshman QB Kellen Mond, along with a bruising running game to help move the chains and provide some rest for the defense. Texas A&M defense is not Alabama, but has some big playmakers and is plus 8 in Turnovers on the year. We feel the line is too large and asking too much of Jalen Hurt and the Tide offense to cover on the road. Look for a competitive game again this year and for Texas A&M to easily cover this inflated number.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 27-6 ATS hitting 82% winners and has made $2,040 per $100 wagered since 1992. Play on home underdogs of 14.5 or more points. After 2 or more consecutive straight up wins. And is winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season. Saban is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) facing mistake free teams that have 42 or less penalty yards per game as the coach of Alabama. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Texas A&M.
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10-07-17 | LSU +2 v. Florida | Top | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: LSU Start Time: Week 6 Saturday, 10/7/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 7* SIm Titan Recommended Strategy: Play a 7* amount on LSU. If you wager $100 per ‘star’ unit, then this is a $700 wager. An alternate strategy is to wager a 5* amount on the line and a 2* amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 48-19 ATS hitting 72% winners and has made $2,710 per $100 wager since 1992. Play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3. After going over the total by more than 21 points in their previous game. In the first half of the season. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LSU is a solid 103-54 ATS (+43.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points. LSU is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they gain 6 to 6.5 total yards per play. LSU is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) when they allow 200 to 250 rushing yards. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the LSU Tigers.
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10-07-17 | West Virginia v. TCU -13 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: TCU (388) Start Time: Week 6 Saturday, 10/7/2017 3:30 PM SIM grading: 10* Titan Recommended Strategy: Wager a 10* amount on TCU minus the points. So, if you wager $100 per ‘star’ unit playm this would be a $700 wager.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points TCU is a solid 37-16 ATS (+19.4 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt. TCU is 110-44 ATS (+61.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points. WVU is an imperfect 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games facing excellent kickoff coverage teams, allowing 19 or fewer yards per return. WVU is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) vs. good offensive teams scoring 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. TCU is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games after a bye week. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board TCU.
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10-07-17 | Ole Miss v. Auburn -22.5 | Top | 23-44 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 10 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: 406 Auburn Start Time: 10-7-2017 12;00 PM SIM grading: 7* wager Recommended Strategy:
Round Table Discussion Points Ole Miss travels back to the state of Alabama after getting taken out to the woodshed by Alabama and we look for a similar result here. The Rebel offense will face another top tier defense this week and the Auburn offense led by Jarred Stidham is starting to roll. Stidham is completing 72%of his passes and has a strong running game to keep the offense balanced. Auburn has put away its last 2 opponents early and we look for more of the same today. Take Auburn and lay the points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 40-14 ATS hitting 74% winners and has made 24.6units/unit wagered since 1992. Play on favorites of 21.5 to 31 points. After 2 straight wins by 21 or more points. Against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game.
Defense Data Query Play any team allowing 14 or less points the last 2 games. Facing a team allowing 37 or more points the last game 65% winners last 10 years
Here is another data query that has gone 15-7 ATS and 21-1 SU in the SEC since 1984. Play against team allowing 37 points last game. Facing a team winning 2 straight games by 28 or more points. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Auburn is 8-1 when scoring 28 or more points the last 2 years Malzahn is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games as the coach of Auburn. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Auburn Tigers. | |||||||
10-07-17 | Penn State -14 v. Northwestern | Top | 31-7 | Win | 100 | 1 h 6 m | Show |
The Play and How to Play it: The Play: Penn State (331) SIM grading: 7 stars Recommended Strategy: Wager a 7* amount on Penn State on the line. For example, a $100 per ‘star’ player would make a $700 play on Penn State.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following data query has gone 60-24 ATS hitting 71.4% winners and has made $3,360 per $100 wager since 2008. Play on road favorites in a conference matchup. That are Excellent rushing team gaining at least 4.8 YPR. And is now facing a poor rushing team gaining 3 to 3.5 YPR. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is 40-17 ATS (+21.3 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt. PSU is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. PSU is 35-9 ATS (+25.1 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points. PSU is 59-13 ATS (+44.7 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play. PSU is a perfect 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons. NWU is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 2 to 2.5 yards/play. NWU is just 9-41 ATS (-36.1 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 2 or more yards/play. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Penn State.
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10-05-17 | Patriots -4.5 v. Bucs | Top | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on New England (303) as they take on Tampa Bay in NFL action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Patriots will win this game by at least 8 points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 24-5 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made 18,5 units/unit wagered since 2007. Play on road favorites. Excellent passing team averaging 255 or more passing yards/game. After allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games.
The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Patriots are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons. Patriots are 40-17 ATS (+21.3 Units) vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game. Patriots are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.65 yards/play over the last 2 seasons. Belichick is 37-16 ATS (+19.4 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=6 yards/play.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Patriots. | |||||||
10-02-17 | Redskins v. Chiefs -7 | Top | 20-29 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on the Kansas City Chiefs (280) as they take on Washington in NFL action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that KC will win this game by more than 9 points. For those that love playing money lines, the line is looking a bit cheap currently at -280. So, that too is an attractive, yet far more riskier wager based on ROI analysis.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following data query has gone 19-7 ATS for 73% winners and 24-3 SU since 1989. Play against road dogs. That are off a home dog SU win covering by 20 or more points. That are winning record teams. That are now taking to ther road installed as dogs. And Facing an opponent that has a winning record on the season.
The spreadsheet shown above displays all of the query results since 1989. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Kansas City Chiefs.
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10-01-17 | Bills +8 v. Falcons | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on Buffalo (267) as they take on Atlanta in NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Buffalo will lose this game by fewer than 7 points and has a great shot to win this game. Play a 7* wager using the line OR Play a 5* wager using the line and a 2* wager using the money line.
Round Table Discussion Points
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 60-27 ATS hitting 69% winners and has made 30.3 units/unit wagered since 2007. Play on road teams (BUFFALO). Team is off 1 or more straight ‘overs’. Team is averaging just 17 or less points/game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Atlanta is just 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread. Matt Ryan is 7-15 ATS as a home favorite of -4 ½ to -11 points. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bills and look for the shocking upset win. | |||||||
09-30-17 | South Carolina v. Texas A&M -7.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
The Play and how to Play it: 168 Texas A&M -89-30-2017 7:30 PM 7 Units Texas A&M -8 versus South Carolina Round Table Discussion Points We feel South Carolina is not as good as their 3-1 record. The Gamecocks came from behind last week to beat Louisiana Tech 17-16 and have a struggling offense. Texas A7M did the same last week coming back to beat Arkansas by 7 in overtime. The Aggies did put up 50 points in that game. Kevin Sumlin needs to keep winning to keep the Alums happy and the offense led by Kellen Mond has been clicking and the Aggies have some big play capabilities on defense. South Carolina has had numerous injuries and lost their best offensive weapon Deebo Samuel last week for the season. This is an offense that struggles and we don’t see them keeping pace with the Aggies today. Texas A&M won the last 3 against South Carolina and we look for a fourth today. Take Texas A&M and lay the 8 points
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone hitting winners and has made units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive . 3 Strong Data Trends on the Aggies in this one. Texas A&M is 107-58 when scoring 28 or more points since 1992. South Carolina is 24-73 when allowing 28 points. South Carolina is 5-17 when outgained by 100 to 150 yards since 1992. South Carolina is just 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Texas A&M.
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09-30-17 | Mississippi State v. Auburn -8 | Top | 10-49 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
The Play and how to Play it: 190 Auburn -99-30-2017 6:00 PM 4 Units Auburn -9 Versus Mississippi State Round Table Discussion Points Mississippi State comes into this game taking a conference loss at Georgia last week 31-3 and now must face another strong defense again this week. Auburn QB Jarrett Stidham is starting to get comfortable with Gus Malzahn’s playbook, Stidham is completing a little over 70% on his attempts and today gets to play a big game in front of the Tiger faithful. The Tigers defense is stout against both the run and pass. Last year Auburn went to Starkville and won 38-14 jumping out to a 35-0 lead before putting it in cruise control. The personnel is similar and now the Tigers get the Bulldogs at home. The Bulldogs offense struggled at Georgia last week and we look for more of the same this week. Big expectations for Auburn this year and the Tigers look to go 2-0 in conference play today. Take Auburn and lay the 9 points
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points Play on any team allowing 17 points or less in last 2 games versus opponent scoring 6 or less in last game. 16 -4 ATS last 5 years good for 80% winners.
The average cover has been by 13.7 PPG. The four losses show that only one lost the game SU.
Matching SIM data queries Mississippi State is 28-47 ATS after scoring 14 or less in previous game since 1992 Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Tigers. | |||||||
09-30-17 | South Florida -21 v. East Carolina | Top | 61-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 42 m | Show |
117 South Florida -23 9-30-2017 12:00 PM 7 Units South Florida -23 at East Carolina Some strong data trends on South Florida in this one. ECU is 2-11 when allowing 28 or more points the last 2 years ECU is 0-6 against opponents scoring over 31 points per game the last 2 years.
Play on road teams off a home win with 4 or more starters and experience QB against team with new QB is 47-18 ATS last 5 years.
Round Table Discussion Points Along with the strong trends we get a South Florida team who has their sights on an undefeated season and a big Bowl Game this year. Charlie Strong inherited a team with a top notch defense and an explosive QB in Quinton Flowers. The Bulls return 16 starters from last year’s 9-2 Bowl Team. Last year South Florida won 38-22 and the Bulls are much better while the Pirates are allowing 48 points per game. The Bulls only let up 17 points per game and the offense is balanced with both the run and pass and a very athletic QB. This is a team who can line up against any of the power-5 schools and we get them against a bad team today. Take South Florida -23 as the Bulls will be running today.
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09-24-17 | Giants +6 v. Eagles | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 2 h 48 m | Show |
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on the NY Giants as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles in NFC East action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The recommended play is to make a 7* wager on the line. An optional wager is to make a 5* play using the line and then a 2* wager using the money line. Round Table Discussion Points Eli Manning has consistently targeted his TE, Engram’s way through the first two weeks, targeting him a total of 12 times, tied for ninth most in the league among tight ends. The rookie could potentially have a tough matchup this week, coming up against linebacker Jordan Hicks. However, Hicks has had a surprisingly slow start to his third season, currently grading as the second worst linebacker in the league among 78 qualifying linebackers. The key matchup, though, will be Odell Beckham, Jr. against Rasul Douglas or Jalen Mills, who are both rookie corners. Douglas is the better of the two through two weeks, so look for the Giants to force the matchup onto Jalen Mills. Whether ODB is 80% or not, any rookie corner is going to be overwhelmed by his athleticism and size. The fact that ODB is even on the field presents significant matchup problems for the Eagles. This will open up better opportunities for Eli to target his TE, which will open up the gaps in the running game too. Giants have not been able to rush the ball or even establish the run since they have fallen behind in each of their first two games. However, teams that have rushed for 99 or less yards in two straight games are a solid 35-24 ATS for 59% winners since the start of the 2016 season. In NFC East games only, these teams are a perfect 3-0 ATS.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points Giants are 0-2 and in full desperation mode. Making matters worse is that they now find themselves on the road against a division foe in a very, very hostile environment. As a rule that we are taught as young children, never approach a wounded animal and this is certainly the case in this matchup. In the NFC, since 2006 season, these matchups have seen the 0-2 loser go 8-2 SU and 8-2 ATS for 80% winners. When these wounded animals take to the road , they are 5-1 ATS and SU since 2006. Since, 1989, these traveling winless teams have gone 13-9 SU and 14-8 ATS. As you can see from the data above, the times that these dogs don’t come through, they are absolutely destroyed. In 2013, the Giants were destroyed 38-0 and were installed as 1 ½ point favorites.
There is more data that supports a strong effort from the Giants. They are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Giants.
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09-23-17 | Penn State -11 v. Iowa | Top | 21-19 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
The Play and how to Play it: 10* graded play on Penn State as they take on Iowa in BIG Ten Conference action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that PSU will win this game by more than 14 points.
Round Table Discussion Points Sometimes the matchup is Penn State quarterback Trace McSorley trying to beat a loaded up box through the air, but this one is all about if the Hawkeyes can slow down or stop No. 26 in white. Even when holes haven’t there for Barkley he has simply burned team through the air, hauling in 11 catches for 241 yards and two touchdowns so far. Iowa will just not be able to contain all of the PSU offensive weapons for the entire game. The PSU offensive line has been fantastic as well in all types of formations. If Iowa does load the box, look for Barkey to come out of the backfield and line up in the slot before the snap (late in the time clock). Iowa will have no choice, but to have a LB on him. Causing added confusion for Iowa, is if they want to use a safety to help to double Barkley, the middle of the field will be vast plain of open area for crossing routes with the TE and WR. As the metrics show, there is only a minimal chance that this Iowa defense could hold PSU to fewer than 28 points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. PSU is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they gain 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt. PSU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. PSU is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 35 to 41 points over the last 3 seasons. PSU is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play. PSU 59-13 ATS (+44.7 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play. PSU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they outgain their opponents by 2 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons. Iowa is just 19-64 ATS (-51.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Iowa is 3-24 ATS (-23.4 Units) when they allow 35 to 41. Iowa is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when they gain 150 to 200 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons. Iowa is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when they allow 4.5 to 5 rushing yards per attempt. Iowa is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when they allow 5 to 5.5 rushing yards per attempt. Iowa is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games when they score 15 to 21 points. Iowa is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 total yards per play. Iowa is 8-27 ATS (-21.7 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play. Iowa is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games when they are outgained by their opponents by 50-100 yards. Iowa is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 2 to 2.5 yards/play. Iowa is 4-28 ATS (-26.8 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 2 or more yards/play.
PSU has scored 50+ points in 2 of their first three games and now find themselves installed as double digit favorites on the road against an undefeated host. Teams in this role are a perfect 13-0 and 10-3 ATS, and 9-4 ‘UNDER’ over the past 2 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Penn State.
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09-23-17 | Mississippi State v. Georgia -3 | Top | 3-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on Georgia (324) as they take on Mississippi State in SEC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Georgia will win this game by at least 10 points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 78-18 hitting 81% winners using the money line and has made 38 units/unit wagered since 1992. Play against road underdogs using the money line. Off a home win by 17 points or more. In the first month of the season. After closing out last season strong with 2 or more straight wins. M-State is coming off a huge epoch win destroying then ranked LSU as 8.5 point dogs. In SEC play, these types of emotional wins do not follow through into the next game, especially when it’s on the road. Teams in this role and installed as 3 point or more road warriors are just 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS in SEC action. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bulldogs of Georgia.
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09-23-17 | Alabama v. Vanderbilt +19.5 | Top | 59-0 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on Vanderbilt (380) as they take on Alabama in SEC action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Vanderbilt will lose this game by fewer than 17 points.
7* amount using the line, which is currently at 18.5 points. 2* using the money line, which is averaging about +825 at majority of books offering this opportunity.
This is 9* amount of risk, but it is well defined and disciplined. The combination of the two parts reflects an optimized ROI.
Round Table Discussion Points Every season, there is that one game where my technology will identify a DOG of greater than 17 points and by some terrestrial act, they end up up pulling off the epoch upset. The problem is that I don’t believe there ever will be a technology that will be able to accurately identify these games. If there was, then why would we watch this game or any sporting event as it is the thrill of the unknown that brings such great passion to live sporting events. I am very confident, though, that Vanderbilt will give Alabama a true test. Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Vanderbilt is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.
We have a large set of data queries that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons. So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 39-10 hitting 80% winners and has made 28 units/unit wagered since 1992. Play on home underdogs of 14.5 or more points. After 2 or more consecutive straight up wins. And has a winning record on the season.
Since the start of the 2013 season, this data query has produced a 7-2 ATS mark good for 78% winners with an average cover of 8.4 points. In 2016, it went 3-1 ATS with TWO straight up winners. The upset alert dogs that pulled off the upset win last year was first Penn State, who had the miracle win over Ohio State installed as 18 point home dogs and won the game 24-21. The second game was when Houston hosted Louisville as 16 point dogs and destroyed them 36-10.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Vanderbilt.
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09-22-17 | Utah v. Arizona +3.5 | Top | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on Arizona as they take on in action set to start at PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that will win this game.
The recommended play is to wager a 5* amount using the line and a 2* amount using the money line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 55-21 ATS hitting 72.4% winners and has made 32 units/unit wagered since 2013. Play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points. After a win by 17 or more points. And is now facing an opponent after scoring 42 points or more last game.
In 2014, the query went 12-9 SU and a solid 16-5 ATS for 76.2% ATS winners and an average coverage of 8.2 points. In 2015, the query produced a 11-15 SU mark and went 19-7 ATS good for 65.4% ATS winners with the average ATS coverage of 5.4 points. In 2016, this query produced a SU mark of 7-13 and a very strong 15-5 ATS good for 75% ATS winners with an average coverage of of 3.7 points.
In all of PAC-12 action since 2012, the query has produced a 6-14 SU mark, but has been a money maker with a 15-5 ATS mark. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Arizona. | |||||||
09-21-17 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | Top | 41-39 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on the San Francisco 49ers (302) as they take on the Los Angeles Rams in NFL Thursday Night football action set to start at 8:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that San Fran will win this game. Make a 7* wager getting the points on SF. Combination wager consisting of a 5* play on the line and a 2* play using the money line. Optional: Make a 3* reverse parlay wager using the line and the ‘OVER’.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 34-11 ATS hitting 76% winners and has made 22.0 units/unit wagered since the beginning of the 2008 season. Of the 45 games played, 60% of them covered the spread by 7 or more points and under scores the upset potential for the 49ers. Play on any team. After scoring 9 points or less in 2 straight games.
The spreadsheet above is displaying the last 5 seasons of results for the data query. Over the past 5 seasons, it has produced a 10-4 SU mark, 11-3 ATS mark, and a 10-4 ‘OVER’ mark. The average SU margin has been 4.86 points and the average spread cover has been by 7.8 points and the total points has covered the ‘over’ by an average of 9.3 points.
Rams find themselves installed as a modest favorite for the third straight game. The Rams are an imperfect 0-5 ATS in this role coming off a home loss. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the 49ers and the other recommended wagers. | |||||||
09-17-17 | Redskins v. Rams -2.5 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on the RAMS (282) as they take on the Redskins in NFL action set to start at 4:25 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rams will win this game by more than 6 points.
Round Table Discussion Points
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 38-5 hitting 88% winners and has made 32.5 units/unit wagered since 2008. Play against road teams using the money line. Off a home loss by 10 or more points. And now facing an opponent off a home win. These road money burners have gone just 17-25-1 ATS for 40% winners.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Rams. | |||||||
09-16-17 | Oregon v. Wyoming +14 | Top | 49-13 | Loss | -107 | 30 h 52 m | Show |
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on Wyoming (186) as they take on Oregon in NCAAF action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Oregon will lose this game by fewer than 10 points and can possibly pull off the home upset.
The recommended strategy is to place a 7* amount on the line and then add a 2.5* amount using the money line. We also like playing ‘over’ the first half total for a 3* amount. If you want to add more defined risk, then consider playing a reverse parlay with Wyoming on the money line and the ‘over’ and Wyoming plus the points and the ‘over’ for 1* each.
Round Table Discussion Points The Wyoming Cowboys comes off an easy win against Gardner & Webb while the Oregon Ducks beat the Nebraska Cornhuskers in Eugene last week. The Ducks took a big lead into the locker room at halftime and did not show up in the second half, but still held on to beat the Cornhuskers. Wyoming played a tough road game to begin the season at Iowa and struggled against the physical Hawkeye defense. The Cowboys stop troops have played well this year and can limit the big play capabilities of the Oregon offense. Future pro QB Josh Allen should find the sledding a little easier against the Oregon defense. Big game in Laramie for the Cowboys and we look for Allen to make enough plays to keep this one close throughout. Take Wyoming and the generous amount of points.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics The games shown above are when Oregon has allowed their opponent to score 28 or more points since the 2015 season inclusive. In these games, they have gone just 4-8 SU and a miserable money burning 2-9-1 ATS. The ‘over’ has been a successful wager going 7-4-1. So, the Bayesian probability analyses overwhelmingly project that Wyoming will score 28 points and with potential to achieve that level before the end of the first half.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 23-11 using the Money Line hitting 68% winners and has made 22.4 units/unit wagered since 2013. The system has also averaged an impressive +145 dog play. Play on a home team using the money line. After allowing 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game. And is now facing an opponent after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Wyoming Cowboys.
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09-16-17 | LSU -7 v. Mississippi State | Top | 7-37 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on LSU (187) as they take on Mississippi State in SEC action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that LSU will win this game by at least 11 points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 55-21 hitting 72.4% winners and has made 31.9 units/unit wagered since 2007. Play on road favorites. After allowing 14 points or less in 2 straight games. And facing an opponent where 60 total points or more were scored in their last game. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. LSU is a solid 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when they rush for 250 to 300 yards. LSU is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt. LSU is 103-53 ATS (+44.7 Units) when they score 28 or more points. LSU is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards. M-State is just 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 points. M-State is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) when they allow 5.5 or more rushing yards per attempt. M-State is 7-32 ATS (-28.2 Units) when they allow 500 or more total yards. M-State is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 total yards per play. M-State is 10-44 ATS (-38.4 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the LSU Tigers.
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09-15-17 | UMass v. Temple -15 | Top | 21-29 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
The Play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on Temple (106) as they take on UMASS in NCAAF action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. Make a straight 7* wager amount on Temple minus the points.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 35-10 hitting 80% winners and has made 28 units/unit wagered since 2007. Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points. The team outscored opponents by 10 or more points/game Current game is a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. UMASS is just 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. UMASS is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when they rush for 50 to 100 yards. UMASS is a near imperfect 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they rush for 2 to 2.5 yards per attempt. UMASS is just 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when they gain less than 250 total yards. UMASS is an imperfect 0-15 ATS (-16.5 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 200 or more yards. Temple is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they gain 10 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. Temple is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they gain 9 or more net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons. Temple is 25-8 ATS (+16.2 Units) when they rush for 200 to 250 yards. Temple is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Temple is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) when they score 42 to 48 points. Temple is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they allow less than 250 total yards over the last 3 seasons. Temple is 15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Temple Owls. | |||||||
09-10-17 | Seahawks v. Packers -3 | Top | 9-17 | Win | 105 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Team Analysis Seatlle- Seattle has a weakness in its O-line, but their skill players are what shows promise this season. QB Russell Wilson has developed solid in-the-pocket skills in a spread passing attack, while maintaining his ability to improvise on the move. WR Doug Baldwin can beat defenders in a number of ways, while TE Jimmy Graham still causes matchup problems. RB Thomas Rawls is a violent runner, while change-of-pace RB C.J. Prosise looked great in limited action as a rookie. The Seahawks gave up the third fewest points and the lowest yards per carry average in the league last season. Green Bay- Not much more I can say about Aaron Rodgers that you don’t already know. WR Jordy Nelson is nearly impossible to cover one-on-one, and Rodgers makes up for the lack of talent in the rest of his receiving group. RB Ty Montgomery impressed after moving from WR, but his durability is questionable and the Packers lack depth at RB. Two second-round picks, CB Kevin King and S Josh Jones, need to get up to speed quickly. Ha Ha Clinton-Dix and Morgan Burnett are a solid safety combo, but if the Packers can't cover, they'll be forced into many shootouts. Recent Trends Seattle Seahawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. Green Bay Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Head to Head Seahawks are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Green Bay. Personal Analysis Although the Seahawks play a better team on paper, something about Rodgers and his competitiveness seems to be concerning. Along with Rodgers comes the notorious Lambeau field lure. As you can see from the trends, it’s not looking too optimistic for the Seahawks. This should be a tight game early, but the Packers will come out on top and cover the spread. | |||||||
09-10-17 | Colts v. Rams -4.5 | Top | 9-46 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
The play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on the LA Rams (472) as they take on the Indianapolis Colts in Week 1 NFL action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Rams will win this game. If you like the money line play only, we have no issue with that strategy. Make certain you are risking a 7* amount, which at current money lines of -200 would be a wager risking 7* amount to make a 3.5* amount.
Round Table Discussion Points Not good numbers for either team in this one based on last year’s performance metrics. We like the fact that a much improved Rams defense will be going up against Scott Tolzien, who has not won a game in his career as a starter. Today we get to lay a field goal with a team, who has the better defense and offense against a team who will be without their QB field general today. This is the second year for Ram QB Jared Goff and we look for some major improvement this year. Also, Goff has additional playmakers to work with this season. Look for Todd Gurley to get off to a good start against the weak Colts defense front five. This in turn will force the Colts linebackers to creep closer to the LOS to cover the A and B gaps. Then, Goff, will have play action knowing his WR are in man coverage.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 48-20 using the money line hitting 71% winners and has made 25.3 units/unit wagered since 2007. Play against any team using the money line. Poor passing defense from last season that allowed 7 or more passing yards/attempt. In non-conference games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Pagano is just 2-8 against the money line (-8.4 Units) in the first two weeks of the season as the coach of the Colts. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Rams. | |||||||
09-10-17 | Falcons v. Bears +7 | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
7* graded play on the Chicago Bears (456) as they take on the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1 NFL action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that the Bears will cover this number and may win this game. The recommended strategy is to make this release a combination wager using a 5* play on the line and a 2* play using the money line.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics We are expecting the Bears ground attack led by Howard to present quite a problem for the Atlanta defensive front. The SIm projects that the Bears will have at least 125 rushing yards. In past games where Atlanta allowed 125 or more rushing yards, they are 23-42 ATS since 1992 and 58-125-2 ATS since 1980. This situation is not exclusive to the Falcons, but it is one that applies to the majority of matchups in the NFL. Since the 2013 season, the Falcons are 5-10 ATS and 3-12 SU when allowing more than 150 rushing yards.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 22-4 ATS hitting 85% winners and has made 17.6 units/unit wagered since 2007. Play on any team team. That had turnover margin of -1 /game or worse last season. In conference matchups.. Super Bowl Losers have an extended hangover and the Falcons certainly should have that in place after their historic collapse. SB losers are just 5-12 SU and 2-15 ATS since 2000 season. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Bears.
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09-09-17 | Auburn +5.5 v. Clemson | Top | 6-14 | Loss | -112 | 32 h 20 m | Show |
The play and how to Play it: 10* graded play on Auburn (377) as they take on Clemson in NCAAF action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Auburn will win this game. We see current lines at Clemson installed as a five point favorite. 67% of the best wagered are on Clemson, but the large bettors are on the Tigers as evident by the line moving lower from the -6 opening level. The analytics clearly show a high probability that this line will move to 4.5. The recommended strategy is to play a 5* amount on the line and a 2* play using the money line. The money line is currently at +170
Round Table Discussion Points Auburn comes into this game off an easy 41-7 game against Georgia Southern while Clemson was beating up Kent State 36-3. The Clemson Tigers return 12 starters from last years National Championship team with 7 on the defensive side of the Ball. Auburn returns 15 starters from last years 8-5 Bowl team. Clemson QB Kelly Bryant went 16/22 for 236 yards with a TD and an interception in his first start taking over for the dynamic Deshaun Watson. Auburn QB Jarrett Stidham struggled some in his first start for the Tigers after transferring from Baylor. Stidham went 14/24 for 185 yards with 2 TD’s and a pick. Both teams rushed the ball well last week and the defenses were stellar. Clemson beat Auburn by 6 last year at Auburn and we look for a very tight game again this year, but this time around there is no Deshaun Watson. This is a big early game for both teams and look for the offense minded Gus Malzahn to come up with a little more wrinkles to the offense and possibly even steal a game in Death Valley.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 40-11 hitting 78.4% winners and has made 28 units/unit wagered since 1992. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points. In the first month of the season. After closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses. Team that had a winning record last season. This money line query has produced incredible results and underscores the probability that Auburn will win this game. It has produced a 19-7 mark and has made 25.8 units/unit wagered since 2013. It has averaged a quite impressive +173 Dog play. Play on a road team using the money line. After allowing 2 or less rushing yards/attempt last game. Facing an opponent that out rushed their last opponent by 200 or more yards. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Auburn is a solid 13-4 against the money line (+12.3 Units) when they rush for 5.5 to 6 yards per attempt Auburn is 39-8 against the money line (+36.4 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt. Auburn is 95-9 against the money line (+103.2 Units) when they score 28 or more point.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board Auburn with the 6 points in this tightly contested affair.
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09-09-17 | Western Michigan v. Michigan State -7.5 | Top | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
The play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on Michigan State (310) as they take on Western Michigan in NCAA action set to start at 3:30 PM ET.
Round Table Discussion Points The Spartans come into this one easily beating Bowling Green 35-10 last week, while Western Michigan lost a hard fought game last week in the Coliseum to Southern Cal. Western Michigan put up 31 points on USC rushing for 263 yards while giving 232 yards on the ground. Western Michigan QB Jon Wassink struggled in the passing game completing 50% of his passes for a mere 67 yards. Spartan QB Brian Lewerke went 22/33 for 250 yards and 3 Touchdowns. The Spartan defense held Bowling Green to 67 yards on the ground. This all brings us to the value in this pick as Western had a tough game last week and now go into East Lansing taking only a Touchdown. This line is based on records from last year as the wheels came off the bus for the Spartans after the Wisconsin Game while Western Michigan was having a special year going 13-1 and a major bowl game. This is now 2017 and the red faced Spartans will be hungry for this one and won't overlook the Broncos. Perfect set up here for Sparty.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 34-10 hitting 77% winners and has made 23 units/unit wagered since 1992. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points. In the first month of the season. After closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses. Facing an opponent in the first month of the season. And the opponent closed out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. WMU is just 34-72 ATS (-45.2 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. WMU is just 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when they allow 250 to 300 rushing yards. MSU is a solid 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt. MSU is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt. MSU is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games when they gain 450 to 500 total yards.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Spartans. | |||||||
09-09-17 | Louisville -9.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 47-35 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
The play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on Louisville (323) as they take on North Carolina in NCAAF action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game by more than 10 points. Play a 7* amount using the line.
UNC is off an embarrassing home loss to California in Week1 losing 35-30 as 13 point favorites. Team that have had this type of demoralizing week 1 loss are just 3-22 SU and 8-17 ATS in week 2 games installed as 6.5 point or more dogs. A bonus play based on this query is to take Idaho as they host UNLV.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 31-6 ATS hitting 84% winners and has made 24.4 units/unit wagered since 1992. Play against a home team. In the first month of the season or first four weeks. After closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses. And is now facing an opponent that was a bowl team from prior season who lost their last 3 games. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Louisville 106-55 ATS (+45.5 Units) when they score 28 or more points. Louisville is 41-19 ATS (+20.1 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards. UNC is a money burning 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games when they allow 29 to 35 points. UNC is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when they allow 8.5 to 9 net passing yards/attempt. UNC is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in home games when they allow 150 to 200 rushing yards. UNC is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 total yards per play. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Louisville Cardinal.
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09-04-17 | Tennessee -3 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 42-41 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
The play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on Tennessee (213) as they take on Georgia Tech in NCAAF action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. Play a 7* amount on the line currently at - 3 1/2 .
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 30-6 ATS hitting 83% winners and has made 23.4 units/unit wagered since 1992. 60% of the games played have covered the spread by 7 or more points and underscores the high probability that Tennessee will win this game vt more than 10 points. Play against any team in the first week of the season. After closing out last season with 3 or more straight spread covers. Team that had a good record last season (60% to 80%). Playing a team that had a winning record. The following game situations match the expected projections and outcomes compiled by the comprehensive research. 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when they gain 8 to 8.5 net passing yards/attempt. 36-13 ATS (+21.7 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt. 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when they rush for 6 or more yards per attempt. 109-48 ATS (+56.2 Units) when they score 28 or more points. 23-4 ATS (+18.6 Units) when they score 42 to 48 points. 42-12 ATS (+28.8 Units) when they gain 500 or more total yards. 21-4 ATS (+16.6 Units) when they gain 7.5 or more total yards per play. G-Tech is just 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons. 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) when they allow 550 or more total yards. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of machine learning ranging from combinatorial algorithms to decision trees and weighted simulations. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Volunteers.
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09-03-17 | Texas A&M +5 v. UCLA | Top | 44-45 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
The play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on Texas A&M (211) as they take on UCLA in NCAAF action set to start at 7:30 PM ET. Play a 7* amount on the line.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone 39-11 ATS hitting 78% winners and has made 26.9 units/unit wagered since 1992. 41% of the games played have covered the spread by 7 or more points and underscores the high probability that A&M will win this game SU. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points. In the first month of the season. After closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses. Team that had a winning record last season. The following game situations match the expected projections and outcomes compiled by the comprehensive research. UCLA is an imperfect 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when they rush for 50 to 100 yards over the last 3 seasons. A&M is a strong 42-20 ATS (+20.0 Units) when they allow 50 to 100 rushing yards. Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of machine learning ranging from combinatorial algorithms to decision trees and weighted simulations. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Aggies.
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09-02-17 | Florida State +7 v. Alabama | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -105 | 35 h 15 m | Show |
Favoring The UnderDawg.
Everyone loves a games where two goliaths of college football face-off. Alabama is statistically one of the best dynasties ever in NCAA History, if not the best. While Florida State is always assembles a solid squad year after year. In this match up, there is many variables. Alabama is returning only 11 starters and Florida State is relying on their strong defense to carry the team in this game and throughout the regular season.
Alabama and other major schools are accustomed to simply reloading and the return of starters is not that critical unless they are facing a team like FSU. Alabama does get positive marks returning most of the skill positions, in Jalen Hurts, Bo Scarbrough, and Calvin Ridley. Bama’s defense is predicted to be top 10, per usual. What might hurt them is team chemistry during the first month of the season.
Florida State features one of the best defenses in their school history and one that the offense can feed off of. The offensive success will rely mostly on the new O-line protecting Deondre Francois. This O-line can run block with the best and you will see them push the ‘Bama D-Line back on their heels on the majority of plays. This is the crucial situation that will allow FSU to open up the run game and then use play action pass to elite and very fast WR that will be in man coverages.
This is the first time that a No. 1 ranked team will play a No. 3 ranked team this early in the season. So, there is little history to learn from that have similar characteristics. Bama will have to learn how to work together rapidly, as they play a whole new half of a team. While going up against a team that will most likely win the ACC Conference. Clemson is realistically the only team in the Conference that will give FSU any sort of test. | |||||||
09-02-17 | Temple v. Notre Dame -18.5 | Top | 16-49 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
For one of our top plays this weekend we go to South Bend Indiana and our taking the Fighting Irish laying 18 points to the Temple Owls. We loved the game at the opening line under 2 TD’s, but the betting public has pushed this up to 18 points. Although Notre Dame comes off a 4-8 season losing their top Quarterback and many experts predicting a close outcome along with Temple coming off a 10-4 season going 12-2 ATS, you may ask how could the Irish be our top play? Several factors come into play on this one but the first is the leadership and news coming out of South Bend. Basically no news last year's team started with suspensions and issues with the players and was void any real leadership, basically all things are quiet and the expectations down for the Irish. The next matter is the Irish are loaded with talent and some of that is up front in the trenches. Next we see a lot of similarities to the 2013 game where Matt Rhule the ex Temple coach started his career at Temple and the Irish jumped out early and easily covered a similar type of spread putting up over 500 yards of Offense. New Temple head coach Geoff Collins is facing a similar situation losing a lot of Seniors especially on the defense and losing QB PJ Walker. Now the talent that Matt Rhule left is better than what he inherited. We still feel this is not the ideal situation for a young QB. Although the Owls only gave up 283 yards and 18 points per game many of those players are gone. Brandon Wimbush takes over an Irish offense that put up 31 points per game and 418 yards of offense. Wimbush has plenty of offense weapons from Running Back Josh Adams and leading receiver Equanimous St. Brown along with a full stable of running backs and receivers. The Irish although not deep up front have a lot more playmakers on defense this year. The Irish have strong Special teams this year which will also aid in this one. For halftime betters look for a favorable first half line as Notre Dame usually starts with the football. Take the Irish and lay the points today as we like Notre Dame to take the fight to the Cherry and the White. | |||||||
08-26-17 | Oregon State +3.5 v. Colorado State | Top | 27-58 | Loss | -101 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
The play and how to Play it: 7* graded play on Oregon State (291) as they take on Colorado State in NCAAF action set to start at 2:30 PM ET. The recommended strategy is to wager a 5* play using the line and a 2* play using the money line to exploit the significant probability of an SU Oregon State win.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points The following system has gone hitting winners and has made units/unit wagered since . The system has also averaged an impressive . The following game situations match the expected projections and outcomes compiled by the comprehensive research. Oregon State is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when they rush for 5.5 or more yards per attempt. Oregon State is 91-31 ATS (+56.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points. Oregon State 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) when they gain 400 to 450 total yard. Oregon State is 33-11 ATS (+20.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play. Colorado State 37-90 ATS (-62.0 Units) when they allow 28 or more points. Colorado State 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when they allow 6 or more rushing yards per attempt. Oregon State is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of machine learning ranging from combinatorial algorithms to decision trees and weighted simulations. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Oregon State Beavers.
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Service | Profit |
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William Burns | $846 |
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
Dan Kaiser | $545 |
Joey Tron | $511 |
Sean Murphy | $430 |
Sean Higgs | $352 |
Ricky Tran | $301 |
Ray Monohan | $263 |
Matt Fargo | $220 |
Kyle Hunter | $71 |