11-07-20 |
Michigan -3 v. Indiana | Top | 21-38 |
Loss | -109 | 81 h 3 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN. We liked these guys over Minny when everyone loved the Gophers - we will like them today when people will want to back the small home dogs. Look. Harbaugh can't beat good teams. Ohio States Michigan States Penn States. Indiana is not a team like that. Just like Minny isn't. And oh. How about that Indiana win last week. We had the Hoosiers. But that was really me thinking that Rutgers wasn't going to someone muster 7 turnovers from another Big 10 team. And, we probably should have grabbed Sparty based on the horrible game vs Rutgers. Total overreaction. And that is what we see here. Oh, Michigan is bad. Indiana 2-0, beat Penn State. We had the Hoosiers that game also. Were totally outplayed there. Nearly blew a cover last week. I think Indiana is a little full of themselves right now thinking they will catch the Wolverines licking their wounds. I think the total opposite. Talent level not close. The vultures might be circling above the HC. I expect a big game from Michigan. 5* Best Bet MICHIGAN WOLVERINES |
11-06-20 |
BYU v. Boise State +3 | | 51-17 |
Loss | -105 | 67 h 9 m | Show |
Taking BOISE. Give me the home dogs here. Broncs always tough, especially on the Smurf Turf. I know everyone is high on BYU. Oh look, BYU ranked in the Top 10. What cupcake that they have beaten up on the last 7 days is as good as this team? It's not there. Boise has won 3 straight in the series before last years 28-25 loss. Revenge time. 4* Money Maker BOISE |
11-04-20 |
Ball State +1 v. Miami-OH | | 31-38 |
Loss | -110 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
4* Money Maker BALL STATE |
11-04-20 |
Eastern Michigan +5 v. Kent State | | 23-27 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
4* Money Maker EASTERN MICHIGAN |
10-31-20 |
San Diego State -7.5 v. Utah State | | 38-7 |
Win | 100 | 49 h 18 m | Show |
4* Money Maker SAN DIEGO STATE |
10-31-20 |
Ohio State -12.5 v. Penn State | | 38-25 |
Win | 100 | 139 h 10 m | Show |
4* Money Maker OHIO STATE |
10-31-20 |
Charlotte +9.5 v. Duke | | 19-53 |
Loss | -109 | 58 h 41 m | Show |
|
10-31-20 |
Indiana -10.5 v. Rutgers | | 37-21 |
Win | 100 | 43 h 14 m | Show |
|
10-31-20 |
Kansas State +3.5 v. West Virginia | | 10-37 |
Loss | -120 | 131 h 24 m | Show |
4* Money Maker KANSAS STATE |
10-31-20 |
Purdue -7 v. Illinois | | 31-24 |
Push | 0 | 51 h 42 m | Show |
|
10-31-20 |
Memphis v. Cincinnati -6.5 | | 10-49 |
Win | 100 | 40 h 52 m | Show |
4* Money Maker CINCINNATI BEARCATS |
10-30-20 |
Minnesota -20.5 v. Maryland | | 44-45 |
Loss | -108 | 115 h 39 m | Show |
Taking MINNESOTA. We had a freebie on Michigan while a whole lotta people loved Minny last week. Well - We will get our Gopher fill tonight. Off that beat-down, they get to face an absolutely terrible Maryland bunch. 49-3 to Northwestern. I don't see how tonight isn't more of the same. I would be comfortable laying nearly 30. 4* Money Maker MINNESOTA |
10-29-20 |
Colorado State v. Fresno State | | 17-38 |
Loss | -108 | 93 h 18 m | Show |
4* Money Maker COLORADO STATE |
10-24-20 |
Utah State v. Boise State -16.5 | | 13-42 |
Win | 100 | 46 h 12 m | Show |
Taking BOSIE STATE. 35pt win last year when Utah State had some Jordan Love at QB. Boise always a monster. Aggies look to have taken a step back under their HC. Want to get on the over 52 here. Just worried Utah State can't contribute and Boise scores a 40-7 win. 4* Money Maker BOSIE STATE |
10-24-20 |
Alabama -21 v. Tennessee | | 48-17 |
Win | 100 | 44 h 53 m | Show |
|
10-24-20 |
Penn State v. Indiana +6 | Top | 35-36 |
Win | 100 | 44 h 47 m | Show |
Taking INDIANA. Everyone going to say, oh, Penn State just has to win by a touchdown. Easy money. And yeah. PSU with some nice offensive talent. But the questions are on defense where they have just 4 returning starters. Hoosiers a bit better shape on that side of the ball. A lot of hype on Indiana as I see some 'top 25' mentions which I hate since that means the cat will be out of the bag soon enough if things go well. This is a pretty good team. They have held spring practices, PSU had none. Home dog gets it done. 5* Best Bet INDIANA HOOSIERS |
10-24-20 |
Iowa State +3.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 21-24 |
Win | 100 | 43 h 29 m | Show |
Taking IOWA STATE. Team ranked 6 giving the ole 3.5 - Now, you know that normally when I see that 3.5 or 7.5 I am riding the fave. But in this case, I am going against my usual thinking. Because 1, I don't believe one iota that the OkSt is a Top 10 team. The defense is alright. But really. They needed a huge 13-0 4th quarter not to lose outright at home to Tulsa. I remember, I was laying 24 with them! They were out yarded. 14pt win at West Virginia (I was on WVa). Another phantom win and cover as they got a fumble return TD and scored with a little over a minute left to open things up. Time for a little revenge as the Cyclones lost at home as 11pt faves to Cowboys. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE |
10-24-20 |
Florida Atlantic v. Marshall -16.5 | | 9-20 |
Loss | -110 | 46 h 13 m | Show |
Taking MARSHALL. Man. Gotta feel bad for some of these schools this Covid season. Poor Willie Taggart. Guy turns a 10-2 season at South Florida (24-25.. Hello, 16-20 at WKU prior) into the Oregon Ducks - goes 7-5, losing to Washington, Stanford and UCLA, plus Boise in a bowl. Goes to Florida State, 9-12. I'm 46. So I am Bobby Bowden raised in late 80/90s. 12 losses! That's like a decade of Noles losses in my mind. In fact his first year was their first losing year since Bowden's first year in 1976!. Now he's at Florida Atlantic. Following the Lane Train. Kiffen as bad as Jimbo with his antics. Why so much about Taggart. #1 - The guy is a bad coach. The records don't lie. It is there. and 2, he is picking programs in a down turn. #3. We saw at Oregon him getting outcoached and beat by better teams. Make no mistake, Marshall is the MUCH better team. Giving up less than 10ppg. LaTech, WKU, App State, EKU - I get it. It isn't some SEC/Big 10 non-conference schedule. But Florida Atlantic is, maybe, in the area of the teams they have dominated. 4* Money Maker MARSHALL |
10-24-20 |
Kansas v. Kansas State -20 | | 14-55 |
Win | 100 | 41 h 42 m | Show |
Taking KANSAS STATE. Wildcats 11-0 SU 8-3 ATS last 11 winning by nearly 26ppg. Off a bye week. Kansas in back to back roadies after losing last week at West Virginia 38x2 47x2 - Points Kansas is allowing in their 4 games. They've scored 17 more than once. Rivalry, ok. Will we be shocked when the score is 38-10 like last year? 4* Money Maker KANSAS STATE |
10-24-20 |
Oklahoma v. TCU +7 | Top | 33-14 |
Loss | -120 | 41 h 35 m | Show |
Taking TCU. Not high on Oklahoma at all this season. Yet oddsmakers still laying the wood with these guys thinking Baker, Murray and Hurts are behind center. Sooners 2-2 coming off that Texas win (we had the Longhorns). They need 4 OTs to pull that off or they would be sitting at 1-3 season. Give me some home dog love here. Plus +195 ML will get some action. Last year was 28-24 Sooners as 18pt faves. Patterson 14-4 ATS at home with rest. Sign me up. 5* Best Bet TCU |
10-23-20 |
Illinois +20 v. Wisconsin | | 7-45 |
Loss | -110 | 28 h 51 m | Show |
Taking the ILLINI. Will grab Illinois as the big dogs. Yes - You will hear all about REVENGE GAME for Wisconsin. Ok. So they win. Are they winning by 20? I don't know about that. Their RB from last year is in the NFL. Their best WR is gone. Their starting QB is out injured. They will have a hot prospect behind center. Meanwhile, Illini bring back their QB and 4 of his 5 top WRs. Back door wide open here as the Big 10 kicks off their season finally. 4* Money Maker ILLINOIS |
10-23-20 |
Tulsa -10.5 v. South Florida | | 42-13 |
Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
|
10-17-20 |
Georgia v. Alabama -3.5 | Top | 24-41 |
Win | 100 | 72 h 55 m | Show |
Taking ALABAMA. Covid for Nick. Ok. I still have Sark on the sidelines. Who has more to prove than this guy? Hot shot OC. HC in Washington. Back to USC. Drinks way out of job. Gets gig in Bama. Leaves for NFL. Comes back to college. Look. It's a Wednesday night. Who knows where Nick will be on Saturday night. What I do know is that the defense will be up ready to eat glass after giving up 48 last week. Georgia defense a tough one to crack. But my money is on the Tide and their NFL ready skill position players. I would have been on this game at 6/6.5/7. I will be on it at 3.5/4. I just can't see this Georgia team putting up enough points to pull this thing out. And the line is short enough for me to think the defense will close any back door. Who has given the Tide hard times over the years? Cam. Tebow. Burrow. DeShaun and Trevor. Johnny Manziel. I'm not trying to knock Steson, but I can't put him in that kind of category. Bama defense with a bruised ego. Home game. Sark looking to show he can coach and maybe find another HC gig. Plus Saban doing whatever. Tide by 10. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA |
10-17-20 |
UMass v. Georgia Southern -31 | | 0-41 |
Win | 100 | 67 h 38 m | Show |
4* Money Maker GEORGIA SOUTHERN |
10-17-20 |
Texas A&M -4.5 v. Mississippi State | | 28-14 |
Win | 100 | 43 h 8 m | Show |
Taking TEXA A&M. Yes. Normally you know I am fading away on A&M here off that last second win over Florida. But what we saw out of them in Alabama and in Florida - I have the faith they don't fall here. Jimbo needs to win some games. 9-4, 8-5 his 2 years College Station. I get wanting to grab the home dog here. 2 points last week! New HC Mike Leach talking about getting rid of 'malcontents' and kicking them off team. But hey, this team won what, 4 games last year. It will take a bit to get this roster to where he wants to be. Jimbo at least has a steady QB who can put the ball in the end-zone ( 7/1). 9 INTs for Leach's guy won't get it done. 6 TD seem to make it look good until you see 5 in one game vs LSU. We see where that LSU defense is right? The other QB has checked in with 2 INTs in his brief time under center. Aggies should peel away by double digits this afternoon. 4* Money Maker TEXAS A&M |
10-17-20 |
Duke v. NC State -4 | | 20-31 |
Win | 100 | 66 h 43 m | Show |
|
10-17-20 |
Army v. UTSA +7.5 | | 28-16 |
Loss | -109 | 64 h 37 m | Show |
|
10-17-20 |
Auburn v. South Carolina +3.5 | | 22-30 |
Win | 100 | 64 h 44 m | Show |
4* Money Maker SOUTH CAROLINA |
10-17-20 |
Kentucky v. Tennessee -6 | Top | 34-7 |
Loss | -107 | 39 h 37 m | Show |
Taking TENNESSEE. Grabbing the Vols here. And what am I missing? Is this the low hanging fruit game and I am not seeing the obvious? They won a tough one on the road against South Carolina. They handled MizzU 35-12, which looks better now as LSU was a 14pt road fave and lost 45-41. And led Georgia 21-17 at the half on the road. Kentucky defense is not near the Georgia defense. So - Wildcats in off a 24-2 win where they put 157 yards, allowed zero points defensively and got 6 INTs. Can you get past Kentucky was 4-14 on 3rd down and averaged about 3 yards a play? Vols 33-2 SU 26-9 ATS in this series and 7-1 ATS last 8. Tennessee off that loss - well. Let's go Pruitt. Bama on deck. If you have any hope of being over .500 you need to win this by double digits. 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS |
10-10-20 |
Kansas State +9 v. TCU | | 21-14 |
Win | 100 | 69 h 47 m | Show |
4* Money Maker KANSAS STATE |
10-10-20 |
Texas Tech +12.5 v. Iowa State | | 15-31 |
Loss | -109 | 88 h 14 m | Show |
Taking TEXAS TECH. So we faded these guy last week after that wild game against Texas. Well, Kansas State came through like champs and we scored a nice Sure Shot Winner. We also see a pair of missed FGs, a blocked punt, and INT and the starting QB go down for the Red Raiders. Buying the big dog today. Hello Iowa State in off a huge win over Oklahoma. We like Iowa State as a dog (19-9-1 ATS run). But as a home fave, 2-5 ATS last 7, not so much. Points and won't be shocked if we have a shot to steal this late. 4* Money Maker TEXAS TECH |
10-10-20 |
Florida v. Texas A&M +7 | | 38-41 |
Win | 100 | 85 h 49 m | Show |
|
10-10-20 |
Virginia Tech +5.5 v. North Carolina | | 45-56 |
Loss | -110 | 65 h 40 m | Show |
Taking VIRGINIA TECH. Hokies on a 13-3 SU run in the series. Will gladly take any points. NC sloppy last week vs BC, but somehow stayed under as we cashed that total. Here though - Hokies getting healthy. I think a pretty even matched game. Will side with the points. 4* Money Maker VIRGINIA TECH |
10-10-20 |
Oklahoma v. Texas +2.5 | | 53-45 |
Loss | -102 | 65 h 31 m | Show |
Taking TEXAS. Well. Both teams come in to this games off losses. Both teams looking a game ahead and paid the price. I think the B12 has written themselves out of any major bowl action the way they have been playing. Real easy to think Sooners win this one. No way they lose 3 games in a season right? I know it isn't much - but Herman as a dog (16-5 ATS L21) has been a great play. Texas on a 7-1 ATS run in the series. +115 ML. Why not. 4* Money Maker TEXAS LONGHORNS |
10-03-20 |
Southern Miss v. North Texas -1 | | 41-31 |
Loss | -105 | 144 h 29 m | Show |
4* Money Maker NORTH TEXAS |
10-03-20 |
Tulsa v. Central Florida -20.5 | | 34-26 |
Loss | -110 | 144 h 18 m | Show |
|
10-03-20 |
Texas A&M v. Alabama -17 | | 24-52 |
Win | 100 | 141 h 30 m | Show |
|
10-03-20 |
Texas Tech v. Kansas State -2.5 | Top | 21-31 |
Win | 100 | 67 h 31 m | Show |
Taking KANSAS STATE. Oh, you think we are in let-down mode? Not a chance. The real let down will be coming from the Red Raiders. What is left in their tank? You have a 15pt lead with 3+ minutes to go. You give that up, and lose in OT - vs a hated rival. Puh-Leaze. Nowhere to go but down as they hit the road. KST is 7-2 ATS last 9 in the series and have won the last 4 outright. 8* Sure Shot KANSAS STATE |
10-03-20 |
Baylor v. West Virginia +3 | | 21-27 |
Win | 100 | 63 h 52 m | Show |
Taking WEST VIRGINIA. We had both of these guys with mixed results. Bears in a blow-out. 'Neers in a loser. But as home dogs, we are biting. Last year, West Va lost by 3 to these guys - a team that had 11 wins and went to the Sugar Bowl. Now they have a new HC taking his troops on the road after basically a walk-through game vs Kansas. Not trusting on the road as a fave right now. I think we get an outright win this afternoon. 4* Money Maker WEST VIRGINIA |
09-26-20 |
Kansas v. Baylor -17 | | 14-47 |
Win | 100 | 51 h 57 m | Show |
Taking BAYLOR. Taking a team that has yet to play laying nearly 20. Count me in! Especially against Kansas. Man this program is down. Les Miles really has his work cut out for him. Bears with a new HC. But he's a defensive guy so I expect them to control Kansas here. I mean really - we had Coastal Carolina as a dog outright over these guys a couple weeks ago. Bears put up a 61 spot last year. That would be nice. But I am thinking something like 45-10. 4* Money Maker BAYLOR BEARS |
09-26-20 |
Army +13.5 v. Cincinnati | | 10-24 |
Loss | -105 | 74 h 15 m | Show |
Taking ARMY. Had these guys way back to start the season. Will grab them getting the nice points here. Any time I can get a team like Army, triple-option control the clock, vs a team like Cincy that thinks it can move the ball at will, I'll grab them. And look at this total, 45. So they think low scoring game. Army is going to score this game. Cincy hasn't seen the triple option in 2 years. This has one possession game written all over it. 4* Money Maker ARMY |
09-26-20 |
West Virginia +7 v. Oklahoma State | | 13-27 |
Loss | -110 | 43 h 22 m | Show |
4* Money Maker WEST VIRGINIA |
09-26-20 |
Iowa State -2.5 v. TCU | | 37-34 |
Win | 100 | 41 h 23 m | Show |
4* Money Maker IOWA STATE |
09-26-20 |
Louisville +3 v. Pittsburgh | | 20-23 |
Push | 0 | 71 h 55 m | Show |
Taking LOUISVILLE. Grabbing ML +130 also. Obviously I like the Cards. Had them as they lost to Miami. But Pitt isn't bringing speed or talent to the field. This is a team that can't run the ball vs Syracuse or Austin Peay. And, giving the Canes 3 TOs doesn't help the cause either. Big game for UL here. Think the offense carries them this aftenroon. 4* Money Maker LOUISVILLE CARDINALS |
09-19-20 |
Miami-FL v. Louisville -2.5 | | 47-34 |
Loss | -104 | 77 h 23 m | Show |
Taking LOUISVILLE. Time for a little revenge. 52-27 Canes last year. But - things change. New QB under center for Miami. King comes over from Houston. He had a solid 12-82 on the ground and 15/23 in the air for 141. That was against UAB. UL brings back 8 starters on offense and defense. Home team delivers. 4* Money Maker LOUISVILLE CARDINALS |
09-19-20 |
Appalachian State -4.5 v. Marshall | | 7-17 |
Loss | -110 | 47 h 25 m | Show |
Taking APP STATE. Slow starting out of the gate vs the 49ers last week. But, we take a 97 yard KO return and this score looks different. Heck. They booted a 49 yard FG also. The defense looks pretty good. Yeah, the Herd blasted EKU 57-0. That was a glorified scrimmage. No practices and a tune up vs a bad team. Appy controlled a bowl team and made it look easy going away. No slow start vs Marshall who has to replace 7 defensive starters from last year. 4* Money Maker APPALACHIAN STATE |
09-19-20 |
South Florida v. Notre Dame -25 | | 0-52 |
Win | 100 | 46 h 54 m | Show |
4* Money Maker NOTRE DAME |
09-19-20 |
Tulsa v. Oklahoma State -23 | | 7-16 |
Loss | -110 | 44 h 45 m | Show |
Taking OKLAHOMA STATE. Time to release the Chuba. Hubbard ran wild on Tulsa last season going for 256. That 90th rank defense brings back 4 starters. So, safe to say they aren't loading up on 4 star recruits to fill the void. Cowboys always explosive on offense. 18 starters back for OSU including aforementioned RB and their QB Sanders along with his top 3 WRs. 10 starters back on defense should be able to corral Tulsa. 4* Money Maker OKLAHOMA STATE |
09-12-20 |
Coastal Carolina +7 v. Kansas | | 38-23 |
Win | 100 | 79 h 56 m | Show |
4* Money Maker COASTAL CAROLINA |
09-12-20 |
UTEP +43.5 v. Texas | | 3-59 |
Loss | -110 | 95 h 17 m | Show |
|
09-12-20 |
UTSA v. Texas State -7.5 | | 51-48 |
Loss | -110 | 91 h 10 m | Show |
4* Money Maker TEXAS STATE |
09-12-20 |
UL-Monroe v. Army -21.5 | | 7-37 |
Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
|
09-12-20 |
Arkansas State +11 v. Kansas State | | 35-31 |
Win | 100 | 87 h 23 m | Show |
4* Money Maker ARKANSAS STATE |
09-10-20 |
UAB +14 v. Miami-FL | | 14-31 |
Loss | -102 | 48 h 45 m | Show |
Taking UAB. I am a Canes fan - but I think this is a bit high for them. Yes, I love King. Loved him doing his thing at Houston. But, Blazers with a game under their belt. Big when you teams haven't been in a routine like a normal season. So 45-35 over Central Arkansas. Don't read much into those 35 points and think if Central Ark can put up 35, the Hurricanes will put up 60. This game was 45-21 with under 6 minutes to play. And 1 of the TD was a fumble recovery. So, 45-14. Blazers were a solid team last year and will be pumped playing a big name school. The U is bringing in a new QB and OC. Game speed different than practices. UAB will want to run the ball and that will keep Miami's best weapon off the field. I might sprinkle some ML +430 on this doggy. 4* Money Maker UAB |
09-05-20 |
Arkansas State +19 v. Memphis | | 24-37 |
Win | 100 | 54 h 22 m | Show |
4* Money Maker ARKANSAS STATE |
09-03-20 |
South Alabama +15 v. Southern Miss | | 32-21 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
4* Money Maker SOUTH ALABAMA |
08-29-20 |
Austin Peay State v. Central Arkansas -5 | | 17-24 |
Win | 100 | 22 h 1 m | Show |
4* Money Maker CENTRAL ARKANSAS |
01-13-20 |
Clemson +6.5 v. LSU | Top | 25-42 |
Loss | -115 | 369 h 49 m | Show |
Taking CLEMSON. Also, grab some of this ML. We cashed both these guys in the Playoffs. LSU looked really good putting up a zillion points. Which is why we get this inflated line. Clemson a tough team. Probably the best defense LSU will face. For me though, edge to defending champs. Nobody talking repeat. Just the Joe Burrow Heisman show. Dabo will have this team ready to go. 5* Best Bet CLEMSON |
01-06-20 |
Miami-OH +14 v. UL-Lafayette | | 17-27 |
Win | 100 | 501 h 56 m | Show |
Taking MIAMI OHIO. I get the MAC was bad. But this total disrespect. MAC Champs getting 2 TDs. The underdog has covered 4 straight in the bowl including 3 outright wins. Sun Belt teams have won the last 4 games over MAC teams for what that is worth. I know ULL can score. But in the last game before National Championship, I am expecting some defense from the MAC Champ to get us a cover. 4* Money Maker MIAMI OHIO |
01-02-20 |
Boston College v. Cincinnati -7 | Top | 6-38 |
Win | 100 | 137 h 9 m | Show |
Taking CINCY. What an absolute disgrace Bearcats here facing a 6-6 BC team. I know some teams will lack motivation for Bowl Games. I don't see that with Cincy though. Even in a lesser bowl like this. These guys can still get 11 wins on the year. That is a big number in College Football. And this BC team. Shouldn't even be bowling. - Fired their HC. Their best offensive player (RB) sitting out. On a back up QB. Their OC left. Their new HC is the DC at Ohio State and he was slightly busy the weekend before this bowl game. Cincy all day and will also be on the UNDER. 10* Money Bomb CINCINNATI BEARCATS |
01-01-20 |
Baylor +7.5 v. Georgia | Top | 14-26 |
Loss | -110 | 561 h 8 m | Show |
Taking BAYLOR. Look. I am getting down here on the Bears because I saw last year Georgia didn't show up for the Sugar Bowl as they lost to Texas 28-21. 13.5 pt faves in that spot and it was 28-7 Texas with 11 minutes left in the 4th. So color me sketchy they are all in here. Under Kirby Smart, 2-2 in Bowls. Won Liberty Bowl 31-23 over TCU and Rose Bowl over Penn State 54-48 in 2017 before losing to Alabama 26-23 in National Championship Game. That was a brutal loss. Now they face Baylor. Bears only losses to Oklahoma on the year. Now. is Georgia pumped up for this Sugar Bowl? A win, they are in the Playoffs. But they get routed and back to back Sugars. We know Baylor will be pumped to be here. I am sure they will bring fans. This is huge season for this Waco bunch. 5* Best Bet BAYLOR BEARS |
01-01-20 |
Michigan v. Alabama -7 | Top | 16-35 |
Win | 100 | 111 h 16 m | Show |
Taking ALABAMA. No playoffs. No problems. Motivation? How about facing Michigan and that HC? You think Saint Nick wants to lose here? They lost some shootouts. This QB has A LOT to prove. You don't think he is motivated? All his NFL bound WRs will be playing for what I have seen right now. Tua will be going in mid NFL rounds, or sitting out a year rehabbing. Bama needs to see this QB more and get him into the system. They aren't taking New Years Day off. And Michigan - When was the last time they beat a ranked team. Heck a good team. Tide arguably would be favored over some of these Final Four Playoff teams. What will the lines be if it was Michigan? Also on the OVER here as Tide will get near 40 themselves. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA |
12-31-19 |
Georgia State v. Wyoming -7 | | 17-38 |
Win | 100 | 91 h 50 m | Show |
4* Money Maker WYOMING COWBOYS |
12-30-19 |
Virginia v. Florida -14 | | 28-36 |
Loss | -110 | 190 h 1 m | Show |
Taking FLORIDA. Last we saw Virginia they were getting blitzed by Clemson 62-17 in the ACC Championship Game. A 9-4 season, but this is a one man team. QB Bryce Perkins is the cog that makes them go. I expect the Gators defense to contain him. 14ppg less than 300 yards allow, Florida defense will come to play. 11 wins is a nice season. They rolled Michigan in their bowl game last year 41-15 - I can see something similar here. Mullen in back to back bowls and I expect another big win. 4* Money Maker FLORIDA GATORS |
12-28-19 |
Oklahoma v. LSU -12 | Top | 28-63 |
Win | 100 | 480 h 8 m | Show |
Taking LSU. Been riding these guys the last few weeks and they have been lining our pockets. Got a quick -10 on one of my Jersey APPs then it was on the move in seconds. Sooners playing with fire coming down the stretch. I just don't have faith in their defense to make a stop. Obviously Hurts can put a legit hurt on us with a backdoor. That being said, I don't think it will maker when we are up 3+ scores most of the game. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS |
12-28-19 |
Iowa State v. Notre Dame -3 | | 9-33 |
Win | 100 | 277 h 9 m | Show |
Taking NOTRE DAME. Maybe this is one of those too good to be true games. The line makes me think it. Irish beat 6 bowl teams this year losing to Georgia and Michigan. Iowa State didn't cover in its only win over bowl bound Texas. Why is this line so low? Kelly does a decent job in bowls. Forget the playoff loss to Clemson last year. They beat LSU the year before. Lost the Fiesta to Ohio State. He is 4-4 in ND Bowls. I give him a pass for the 2 playoff losses. So 4-2. ND can't compete with those teams. Just too much talent and speed. It is like his days at Cincy getting them in the Orange and Sugar Bowls. His teams were just not as talented. Make no mistake. ND has the talent over Iowa State. I am sure they want to wipe last years bowl loss out of their memory. It is easy to say they aren't interested since it's not the playoffs. ND has rattled 5 straight after getting knocked out of the playoff picture so I think motivation isn't a problem. 4* Money Maker NOTRE DAME. |
12-27-19 |
Washington State v. Air Force -3 | Top | 21-31 |
Win | 100 | 179 h 35 m | Show |
Taking AIR FORCE. Gotta love a service academy favored over a Power Conference. That is what immediately had me circle this game. Maybe. Maybe Washington State is pumped to finish 7-6 instead of 6-7. I know AF is excited as they are 10-2 and can get to 11 wins by knocking off a PAC 12 school. No 1 rush attack vs No 3 pass attack. We will also be on the Over in this game. Leach 4-10 ATS in Bowl Games. How about PAC 12 3-18-1 ATS last 25 bowl games! 5* Best Bet AIR FORCE |
12-27-19 |
North Carolina -4.5 v. Temple | | 55-13 |
Win | 100 | 110 h 56 m | Show |
Taking NORTH CAROLINA. This is pretty much of fade of Temple HC Rod Carey. He has been blitzed in his 5 bowl games at Northern Illinois. 0-5 outscored 195-81, 143-44 the last 3. Just once has his team put up more than 14 points, that was a 52-23 loss. Mack Brown paying off rewards in his first year. Look for NC to get off their 6-6 mark and finish over .500. Always interesting when 6-6 team lay points to 8-4 teams. 4* Money Maker NORTH CAROLINA |
12-26-19 |
Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +7.5 | Top | 0-14 |
Win | 100 | 425 h 57 m | Show |
Taking LA TECH. Man. Got lucky with LT on my Jersey Apps at +10 before this came crashing down. But I still like the dog. And will sprinkle in some ML also. Who the heck is Miami to come on the road and lay this number vs a good La Tech bunch. 5 straight bowl wins for them. Skip Holtz is a terrific dog coach, and as stated above, 5 straight bowl wins. Manny Diaz was DC here before landing the Miami gig and his DC was also on Holtz staff. Familiar. Maybe. But that works for both sides. Last year, LT was in Hawaii. Now, bowling in Shreveport. Holy cow will there be a huge fan base cheering them on. Especially when you have a name like Miami U coming to town. We'll grab the 9-3 dogs to the 6-6 name brand team. 5* Best Bet LOUISIANA TECH |
12-23-19 |
Marshall +17.5 v. Central Florida | | 25-48 |
Loss | -109 | 160 h 10 m | Show |
Taking MARSHALL. Huge line. But is it warranted? I love me some Doc Holliday as an underdog. And let's be honest here - UCF the last 2 bowl games. Undefeated heading in playing SEC Powers. Beating Auburn and losing to LSU. Now they get the Thundering Herd out of the CUSA. A team they know from being a past member. Both teams have played here before. Marshall with a win here last year over South Florida. Herd 12-2 in bowl games (not counting the 1947 Tangerine!) and undefeated (6-0) in bowls under Holliday. Way too many points for a a team like this. 4* Money Maker MARSHALL |
12-21-19 |
Washington -3 v. Boise State | Top | 38-7 |
Win | 100 | 32 h 54 m | Show |
Taking WASHINGTON. So -last game for Chris Peterson in what has to be thought of a failed stint. His old squad, Boise on the other side of the field today. Now, PAC 12 has had their problems in bowls - heck - not just bowls - the eat themselves with this Friday night games and cost them a chance at the playoffs. Here though, we are going with the faves. Ranked vs unranked and in this case the small school is the hunted. I just think that the QB spot is the key. Boise on 3rd of year. Washington with an NFL prospect. Team happy to send their coach off with a big bowl win. Also - they want to impress their new HC, who is their current DC. We know the defense will be pumped for their guy. 8* Sure Shot WASHINGTON HUSKIES |
12-21-19 |
SMU -3 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 28-52 |
Loss | -115 | 233 h 45 m | Show |
Taking SMU. Lane train moving to the SEC. Where does that leave FAU? I have no clue. But Willie Taggart comes over from Florida State to get his career back on track. Might be a good fit. Today though. No. Give me the Pony Express. Even on their home field, FAU a home dog. Tells you all you need to know about where the CUSA Champs are. QB Shane Buechele had a nice little year for the Mustangs - 3,626 yards passing 33 TDs. SMU looking for a big 11th win on the year. Where is the motivation for the Owls? New coach coming in. Playing at home, again. They played in this bowl in 2017. They have their DC running the show here in the Boca Raton Bowl. 10* Money Bomb SMU |
12-14-19 |
Army v. Navy -10 | | 7-31 |
Win | 100 | 88 h 26 m | Show |
Taking NAVY. Triple revenge in order for the Midshipmen. This Army team totally down from last years monster. Why doesn't Army have a website? They can't string 3 W's in a row! Look. I know these guys have historically played real close, tough games. We've seen it the last 4 years with 3 Army wins. 17-10, 14-13, 21-17, 21-17. This Navy team is different. Black Knights off a game where 3 QBs go 5-11 with 127 yards 0 TDs 2 INTs. Nearly 40ppg for Navy. 1500 yards rushing 19 TDs and 1000+ Yards from QB Perry. Both teams run heavy, but Navy a big edge at QB and on defense. Just 110 rushing yards a game allowed. They know the option. They are angry. Time to take out 3 years worth of pain. 4* Money Maker NAVY |
12-07-19 |
Wisconsin v. Ohio State -17 | Top | 21-34 |
Loss | -120 | 150 h 25 m | Show |
Taking OHIO STATE. Another program that just looks unbeatable. An NJ app had this at 12.5 Saturday night around midnight. Was gone by 8am. I'm shocked. I would lay up 20 here. I don't see Wiscy slowing down the Buckeyes. I get it. Badgers a Top 10 defense. I see a 207-0 score over Kent State, Michigan State, Central Michigan and South Florida. Impressive. 35-14 home win over Michigan. Seems good. Win over undefeated Minnesota on the road 38-17. - How about 38-7 loss to these Ohio State Buckeyes. I will forgive taking that 24-23 last second loss to the Illini. That was between crushing Michigan State 38-0 and playing at Ohio State. But talent proves out. And OSU has been the most talented and dominate team all the land this season. #1 scoring offense. #5 offense overall yardage. #1 defense overall yardage. This game in the dome in ideal conditions. OSU is putting up 45+ in my mind. 48-21 that unreasonable - no. 10* Money Bomb OHIO STATE |
12-07-19 |
Virginia v. Clemson -28 | | 17-62 |
Win | 100 | 150 h 50 m | Show |
Taking VIRGINIA. So Saturday night Pointsbet here in NJ came up with some early lines. Ohio State -12.5 was one of them and Clemson -21.5 another. The sunrises and the real odds-makers show themselves. I will still be laying with Clemson. Not a chance that Virginia keeps up here. Tigers can write their own score. But I see a 50 spot on the horizon. What an under the radar season for the defending Champs. 4* Money Maker CLEMSON TIGERS |
12-07-19 |
Georgia v. LSU -6 | Top | 10-37 |
Win | 100 | 147 h 34 m | Show |
Taking LSU. I had Georgia Tech last week. Obviously, a poor play. But like I said in that write up. Where has this Georgia offense been all year. LSU not as great as the Bulldogs on D. But the defense is good enough to hold Georgia down. Like Ohio State - until we see LSU put on ice, how can you not like them laying anything short of double digits? Last year was 36-16 LSU. I think we will see something along those lines today. Georgia is way too many close games for me to consider them elite. The loss to South Carolina just terrible. I know it looks a little too easy saying LSU just needs to win by a TD. But I will grab the low hanging fruit. They did play a close game vs Auburn 23-20. Those Tigers not to shabby themselves losing to Georgia 21-14 and beating Alabama in a wild one 48-45. But I think this LSU team is on another level right now. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS |
12-07-19 |
Cincinnati v. Memphis -8.5 | Top | 24-29 |
Loss | -110 | 27 h 39 m | Show |
Taking MEMPHIS. A repeat from last week. Think Tigers cover by double digits in this one. I'm thinking of a nice 20pt win actually. Cincy struggled with Temple and South Florida before last weeks game with Memphis. It was 17-3 in the first Tigers, and the beat down should have been on. I don't think Memphis lets this one get away. 8* Sure Shot MEMPHIS TIGERS |
12-07-19 |
Miami-OH v. Central Michigan -6.5 | Top | 26-21 |
Loss | -110 | 70 h 44 m | Show |
Taking CMU. What a turnaround under McElwain for the Chips. 1-11 last year, MAC Championship Game this year. These guys on a 8-1-1 ATS run. 41 points in 5 of their last 7 games. We get an uninspired Miami Ohio gang for this game at Ford Field. How about a 20-17 win over Akron when you are laying 29? Then you follow that up with a 41-27 loss at Ball State who at the time had 4 wins, and, you were a dog! A dog to a 4 win team. 2-5 on the road for the MiaO and I think that road woes continue. Maybe this looks like the old low hanging fruit type of gang. But I am not getting in front of Central Michigan the way they are playing right now. 5* Best Bet CENTRAL MICHIGAN |
12-06-19 |
Oregon v. Utah -4.5 | Top | 37-15 |
Loss | -110 | 127 h 42 m | Show |
Taking UTAH. I think Utes best team in the PAC 12. Always lean to the better defensive team in this spot. Plus, we have a clear coaching edge. I opened the season with Utah over BYU and I will close out their regular season with them over Oregon. Top 5 D that will slow down the Ducks. Oregon is not a bad team. Top 25 on both sides of the ball. Arguably they have a Top QB draft pick in Hebert. I can forgive the crazy loss to start the year vs Auburn. But laying an egg in probably the biggest game of the year vs Arizona State. Not forgivable. Utes win this one going away. 5* Best Bet UTAH UTES |
11-30-19 |
Georgia v. Georgia Tech +28.5 | | 52-7 |
Loss | -115 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
Taking GEORGIA TECH. I just don't get this line. I get GT is bad. But 28 points? Have you watched the Georgia offense this year. Ok. Forget the first 2 games of the year beating Murray St 63-7 and Arkansas State 55-0. They put won 43-17 over Tennessee. That's not enough to cover. If you add Vandy 30-6 for Georgia then you have all 4 games they score more than 27 points! Have to take these points just on principle. 19-21-27-24-21-17 last 6 games for the Bulldogs. But here in a rivalry game, they have been saving up the offense the last 6 weeks for Georgia Tech. Not the SEC Championship Game. No, they are going to run everything now. Not buying it. Low scoring- dog covers. 4* Money Maker GEORGIA TECH |
11-30-19 |
Northwestern v. Illinois -7.5 | | 29-10 |
Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show |
Taking ILLINOIS. Let's just look the points put up on the road for Northwestern. 7-15-10-3. How about some at home. 10-3-0. Ok, they did score 22-22-30 at home. But- can we be honest here. These guys maybe score 20 today. Last game of the year, on the road. Where is the motivation? Illini happy to be bowling for sure. But ending the year with win at home guarantees a winning season. 4* Money Maker ILLINOIS |
11-30-19 |
Clemson -26 v. South Carolina | Top | 38-3 |
Win | 100 | 109 h 44 m | Show |
Taking CLEMSON. Look. These guys. Defending Champs. Getting slighted since they play in the ACC. What a joke. I don't care if we are laying 30 here. Dabo will have this team firing on all cylinders coming out of their bye week. Statement time to let the powers that be know. We are the defending Champs. We are undefeated for the 2nd straight regular season. We have WON the National Championship Game 2 of the last 3 years. And have been in the National Championship Game 3 of the last 4 years. 8* Sure Shot CLEMSON TIGERS |
11-30-19 |
Florida International v. Marshall -7.5 | Top | 27-30 |
Loss | -109 | 19 h 51 m | Show |
Taking MARSHALL. I like Butch Davis. Wish he never left Miami U. But this is a real tough spot. Off huge upset of old school, nowhere to go but down. Look at the numbers. Plus 3 in TO's. They also stopped Miami twice in the red-zone (1,11 yard lines). Huge yardage discrepancy. Marshall also has a chance to make the CUSA Championship Game if they win and Florida Atlantic goes down. First thing to worry about . Taking care of FIU. 5* Best Bet MARSHALL |
11-29-19 |
Cincinnati v. Memphis -11.5 | | 24-34 |
Loss | -109 | 31 h 30 m | Show |
Taking MEMPHIS here. What is up with this line people? Keeps creeping up and up. Memphis needs this win (or a Navy loss) to get into the AAC Championship Game to face, yes Cincinnati again next week. I guess they can hope for a Navy loss. But let's be honest. Take care of your own house. Win this game. Cincy has won every game this year, except that Ohio State game. No shame losing there. How about winning ugly? Is there shame in that? Well Cincy has been out yarded in 6 of their last 7 games and managed to win them all. But - Temple, South Florida, East Carolina, Tulsa. If you are eking out wins vs these guys, how are you keeping pace with the Tigers. I think Cincy is a bit overrated. Let me see this defense stop a good offense. The double digit line says it all. 4* Money Maker MEMPHIS TIGERS |
11-23-19 |
Tennessee +4 v. Missouri | Top | 24-20 |
Win | 100 | 79 h 18 m | Show |
Taking TENNESSEE. Vols rolling right now with 3 straight wins. Off a bye week, they get a free-falling Missouri bunch who has dropped 4 in a row. No offense to be found scoring 6-0-7-14 in those games. They had 33 or more in 20 of 26 games! MizzU has dropped 50 the last 2 times these guys have played. Vols rested, smell the blood in the water. Bowl eligible with a win. Sprinkle that +160 ML 10* Money Bomb TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS |
11-23-19 |
Arkansas v. LSU -43 | Top | 20-56 |
Loss | -110 | 79 h 7 m | Show |
Taking LSU. No time to slow down the scoring. It is run it up time as it does matter in the rankings. How is Arkansas putting up points here? On the bad side of 100 for both offense and defensive ratings. What is this gonna be, 52-3? How about a 60 spot. Will the get to 70. Last week was the let down spot. This is back to work time to keep pace with Ohio State and Clemson putting up 50 a game. 8* Sure Shot LSU TIGERS |
11-23-19 |
Memphis -14 v. South Florida | Top | 49-10 |
Win | 100 | 76 h 12 m | Show |
Taking MEMPHIS. South Florida done for the year. No bowl. The offense a total Jekyl and Hyde unit that has put up 17-7-45-3-27 their last 5 games. Can't be inconsistent against this Tigers team. 45-54--43-47-28Loss- 52-35-42-55. Too much to slow down for Bulls. 10* Money Bomb MEMPHIS TIGERS |
11-23-19 |
San Jose State -6 v. UNLV | | 35-38 |
Loss | -110 | 96 h 10 m | Show |
Taking SAN JOSE STATE. Send in the clowns for UNLV. Look. The Tony Sanchez looked good to me. 85-5 in HS ball. Obviously related to players. That didn't take at the college level. San Jose has dropped 2 straight. They want to end the season on a high note. Not sure they drop 50 on the Rebels like last year, but we just need a TD cover. 4* Money Maker SAN JOSE STATE |
11-23-19 |
Texas A&M +13.5 v. Georgia | Top | 13-19 |
Win | 100 | 76 h 50 m | Show |
Taking TEXAS A&M. Rolling this baby out as a BEST BET. One day, Jimbo is going to have beat a good team. Not just a good team, but a Top 10 team. Somewhere. Here, the road. Outer space. You can't be in the SEC and face Alabama, Auburn, LSU and Georgia and not win a game. You will 8-4 every year and out the door in 4. Lost to Clemson, Bama and Auburn this year. Lose by 14 at Clemson, 20 at Bama, 8 to Auburn. Bulldogs have trouble on the offense sometimes. Too many points if you like Georgia in my opinion. Another loss most likely, but A&M in cover mode. 5* Best Bet TEXAS A&M |
11-23-19 |
Air Force -22.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 44-22 |
Loss | -103 | 22 h 40 m | Show |
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11-23-19 |
BYU v. UMass +40.5 | | 56-24 |
Win | 100 | 72 h 19 m | Show |
Taking UMASS. I know these guys and Akron are the worse teams in the land. But I am not laying 40 on the road with BYU. They have scored 40 twice this year. They get out yarded when they win games. Massachusetts good for a score and that is all we will need here. 4* Money Maker UMASS |
11-22-19 |
Colorado State v. Wyoming -6.5 | | 7-17 |
Win | 100 | 58 h 1 m | Show |
Taking WYOMING. Home off b2b road losses, think they run over Colorado State. Cowboys have out-rushed every opponent this season. Rams with nothing to play for. Wyoming will just run, run and run some more. Eat the clock and pull away. 4* Money Maker WYOMING COWBOYS |
11-20-19 |
Akron v. Miami-OH -30.5 | | 17-20 |
Loss | -115 | 47 h 33 m | Show |
4* Money Maker MIAMI OHIO |
11-16-19 |
Ohio State -52 v. Rutgers | | 56-21 |
Loss | -112 | 77 h 13 m | Show |
Taking OHIO STATE. I would lay 60 here. Rutgers won't score more than 10. You betting that Ohio State, playing for Playoff Style Points, won't put up 60-70 here? Maybe they say to themselves. Hey, you fired an old OC of ours. How do these 73 points taste? 4* Money Maker OHIO STATE |
11-16-19 |
Wake Forest v. Clemson -34.5 | | 3-52 |
Win | 100 | 77 h 59 m | Show |
Taking CLEMSON. How the heck is Wake ranked? Maybe the put them in there so the Tigers can have a decent win on their resume. Not their fault they are head and shoulders about the ACC. This has 55-13 written all over it. Tigers need to run it up for the Playoff Picture. 4* Money Maker CLEMSON TIGERS |
11-16-19 |
Texas v. Iowa State -6.5 | Top | 21-23 |
Loss | -117 | 52 h 31 m | Show |
Taking IOWA STATE. Please explain this line. I know. Tom Herman what, 14-4 as a dog. Here getting a TD. Longhorns ranked in the Top 20. Iowa State 5-4, and laying a pretty decent size chunk here. World will be on Texas and Herman. We are going opposite. 8* Sure Shot IOWA STATE |
11-16-19 |
Navy +8 v. Notre Dame | | 20-52 |
Loss | -110 | 76 h 10 m | Show |
Taking NAVY here. Will grab the Middies and the points. This series is always a tight one. Navy in off bye week and bring a monster rush attack to town. ND off making short work of Duke who isn't that impressive this season. Everyone gets up for the Irish. 4* Money Maker NAVY |
11-16-19 |
Michigan State v. Michigan -13.5 | | 10-44 |
Win | 100 | 48 h 10 m | Show |
Taking MICHIGAN. Have to grab the Wolverines off their bye week. Sparty just reeling right now. Blowing that huge lead vs Illini. At least they have basketball to keep them happy at State since their football team has run off the rails. This is a game Michigan can dominate. Spartans can't score. We know the Michigan coach needs all kinds of signature wins - and beating in-state rival will be a nice prize to have on the shelf with the way they have been beaten by them in recent years. 4* Money Maker MICHIGAN |
11-16-19 |
Alabama -19.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 38-7 |
Win | 100 | 74 h 45 m | Show |
Taking ALABAMA. We had LSU ML last week and it payed off. We will be all in on the Tide. Off a loss. Holy. Normally, their loss is the playoffs and they blast some team to open the season. Now the angry is fresh and will carry over. There will be no let-down for a double loss here. Tide still #5 in the Playoff Poll. That is an entire other argument as somehow Georgia who lost to South Carolina is 4 ahead of Alabama and undefeated Big 10 teams among others. Back to Miss State being a sacrificial lamb this afternoon. 5* Best Bet ALABAMA |
11-15-19 |
Louisiana Tech v. Marshall -4.5 | Top | 10-31 |
Win | 100 | 36 h 38 m | Show |
Taking MARSHALL. Interesting 2 point line move and the money was already in on LT as they are always live as dogs under Holtz. LT also averaging over 50ppg last 4 and again, besides the line move, the total dropped. Thought about moving this to a Top 10, but even hitting 60% this month, we aren't forcing our hand. 5* Best Bet MARSHALL |