Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-08-23 | Mariners v. Rays OVER 8 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
Mariners @ Rays 6:40 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Over 8.0 Seattle won the opener of this 4-game series last night 1-0. That game produced just a combined 9 hits. Despite that anemic offensive result, today’s total opened at 7.5 and quickly moved to 8.0 and for good reason. Seattle starter George Kirby has exhibited poor form over his last 4 starts while posting a 6.38 ERA/1.58 WHIP and allowed 4 home runs in 18 1/3 innings pitched. The Mariners bullpen has a lofty 5.09 ERA/1.57 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Seattle is averaging a sizable 1.38 homers per game when facing right-handed starting pitchers. The Rays starter Taj Bradley has shown bad form over his last 7 starts while compiling a 7.72 ERA/1.75 WHIP. Bradley struggled in his lone start versus Seattle this season when he allowed 5 earned runs on 9 hits in just 3 1/3 innings pitched. Tampa Bay has averaged a robust 1.42 homers hit per game when facing right-handed starting pitchers this season. Additionally, Tampa has played 40-23 (63.5%) to the over this season immediately following each of their previous 2 games going under the total. Give me this game to go over the total. | |||||||
09-07-23 | Lions v. Chiefs OVER 54.5 | 21-20 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 53 m | Show | |
Lions @ Chiefs 8:20 PM ET Game# 451-452 Play On: Over 54.5 Kansas City has gone over the total in 8 straight season openers under current head coach Andy Reid and there was a combined average of 61.1 points scored per game. Since 2017, the Chiefs are 5-0 to the over during the first 2 games of the season and when there was a total of 53.5 or greater. The average total in those 5 contests was 54.5 and there was a combined 63.6 points scored per game. The Detroit Lions have gone over the total in all of their last 12 season openers. That run of high scoring season openers includes the first 2 of current head coach Dan Campbell’s tenure in Detroit. and there was a combined 73.5 points scored per game. Campbell has also seen his Lions play 4-2 to the over since he took over as head coach whenever the total was 50.0 or higher. Since 2009, NFL home favorites of 4.0 or greater that were playing in their serason opener and there was a total of 50.0 or higher, resulted in those games playing 8-1 to the over. The average total in those 9 contests was 53.4 and there was a combined 59.4 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. | |||||||
09-05-23 | Phillies v. Padres OVER 9 | 0-8 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
Phillies (Lorenzen) @ Padres (Avila) 9:40 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Over 9.0 The Phillies Michael Lorenzen has struggled over his last 3 starts with a 7.80 ERA/2.00 WHIP and he allowed 5 home runs in 15.0 innings pitched. The Phillies have been dynamic offensively over their last 7 games while averaging 7.0 runs scored per outing and smashing 20 home runs. Philadelphia played 6-1 to the over in those previous 7 games with a combined average of 13.3 runs scored per outing. The Phillies bullpen has been shaky during that previously mentioned 7-game stretch while gathering a 4.68 ERA/1.52 WHIP as a staff. The Padres are averaging 5.0 runs scored per game and hit 10 homers during their previous 7 games. During that identical time frame, the Padres also have an impressive .292 team batting average and .358 on-base-percentage. The Padres Pedro Avila has seen all 3 of his starts this season go over the total and his 5.56 ERA/2.03 WHIP was a major contributing factor to those high scoring affairs. San Diego has seen all 5 of their games in 2023 versus Philadelphia go over the total and there was a combined average of 12.6 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. | |||||||
09-05-23 | Giants v. Cubs UNDER 10.5 | 8-11 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
Giants (Walker) @ Cubs (Hendricks) 7:40 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Under 10.5 The Giants will approach today’s game from a standing standpoint as a bullpen by committee. The Giants bullpen has a superb 1.64 ERA over their previous 7 games. The Giants are 0-4 and in their last 3 they scored just a combined 1 run and collected only 11 hits. As a matter of fact, they were held scoreless in each of their last 2 games. Additionally, the Giants have played 8-0 to the under this season immediately following 4 or more losses in a row and there was a combined average of only 4.8 runs scored per game. The Giants have played 43-24 (64%) to the under this season versus teams like the Cubs who have a winning record. Since 2018, Kyle Hendricks has made 6 dominating starts versus San Francisco with a 1.05 ERA/0.75 WHIP. Hendricks has exhibited excellent form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 1.50 ERA/1.06 WHIP. The Cubs have played 7-1 to the under throughout their previous 8 games. Kyle Hendricks has pitched 44-22 (67%) to the under during his career home starts versus teams like the Giants who own a winning record. Give me this game to go under the total. | |||||||
09-05-23 | White Sox v. Royals -120 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
White Sox (Cease) @ Royals (Singer) 7:40 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Royals -120 Dylan Cease has been in awful form over his last 3 starts while posting a 10.80 ERA/2.20 WHIP. Cease made 1 start versus the Royals this season and allowed 7 earned runs in 5.0 innings pitched. The White Sox bullpen has a terrible 6.90 ERA/1.77 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The White Sox have averaged a paltry 2.6 runs scored per game over their last 7, went 1-6 with a huge -4.8 run per game differential, and are 37-63 this year when facing right-handed starting pitchers. The Royals have been red-hot offensively over their last 4 while averaging 8.3 runs scored and 13.0 hits per game. Brady Singer is 5-0 during his last 5 home team starts while compiling an excellent 2.29 ERA/0.74 WHIP and averaging 7.1 innings pitched per start. Give me the Royals on the money line. | |||||||
09-04-23 | Clemson v. Duke +13 | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Clemson @ Duke 8:00 PM ET Game# 235-236 Play On: Duke +13.0 Let’s get the obvious out of the way. Yes, Clemson is superior athletically and has more overall team speed than Duke. They annually have one of the top recruiting classes in the country and has produced a plethora of NFL players during head coach’s Dabo Swinney’s tenure which hasn’t been the case at Duke. Okay, now let’s move on to just this game and who will cover the spread. Duke enjoyed a 9-4 season under 1st year head coach Mike Elko in 2022. The year was capped off with a convincing 30-13 win over UCF in a bowl game. The Blue Devils 4 losses all came by 8 points or fewer. Furthermore, 3 of those 4 defeats came by 3 points or less. Duke is only 13-15 in their last 28 at home but was 5-1 last season. Duke returns 18 starters from last year’s successful team including star quarterback Riley Leonard. The junior was outstanding last season while throwing 2967 yards and 20 touchdowns versus 6 picks. Leonard also rushed for 699 yards and 13 touchdowns as well. Look for Leonard to be a key cog in us getting the cover. Any College Football Game 1 home underdog of 4.0 to 16.5-points like Duke that won 8 or more regular season games the year before, and has won 9 or more of their last 28 at home, resulted in those home underdogs going 10-0 ATS since 2010. The underdogs also won 7 of those 10 games straight up. Giver me Duke plus the points. | |||||||
09-03-23 | Yankees v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
Yankees (King) @ Astros (Javier) 7:10 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Over 8.5 Houston has played 12-4 to the over in their last 16 games. The Astros are also averaging 8.3 runs scored per game, have a .333 team batting average, amassed a .399 team on-base-percentage, and hit 13 homers over their last 7 games. The Astros are coming off yesterday’s 5-4 loss to the Yankees. Houston has played 14-3 to the over this season immediately following a 1-run loss and there were a combined 12.2 runs scored per game. Christian Javier gets the start today and he’s been in shaky form over his last 3 starts with a 7.24 ERA/2.12 WHIP. The Yankees have hit 17 homers over their last 7 games and that includes 5 during the first 2 games of this series. Christian Javier has allowed at least 1 home in each of his last 6 starts. Javier also allowed 2 homers in just 4 2/3 innings pitched in his only start versus the Yankees this season. Give me this game to go over the total. | |||||||
09-02-23 | Orioles -126 v. Diamondbacks | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Orioles (Bradish) @ Diamondbacks (Cecconi) 8:10 PM ET Game# 977-978 Play On: Orioles -126 The D-Backs Slade Cecconi has pitched well in 4 starts. However, he’s averaged only 4.8 innings pitched per outing and that’s significant because Arizona’s bullpen has a large 6.57 ERA/1.54 WHIP over their last 7 games. Arizona is 1-11 this season after scoring 4 runs or fewer in each of their previous 4 games. Baltimore has gone an extremely profitable 12-1 this season as a road favorite of -125 or greater. Kyle Bradish has been in superb form over his last 3 starts with a 2.00 ERA/0.89 WHIP and just shy of an 8:1 strikeout to walk ration during 18.0 innings pitched. The Orioles bullpen has a stellar 3.00 ERA/1.10 WHIP and allowed 0 home runs in 21.0 innings pitched during their previous 7 games. Finally, Baltimore is an outstanding 41-24 on the road in 2023. Give me the Orioles on the money line. | |||||||
09-02-23 | South Alabama +6.5 v. Tulane | 17-37 | Loss | -105 | 75 h 12 m | Show | |
South Alabama @ Tulane 8:00 PM ET Game# 219-220 Play On: South Alabama +6.5 Soth Alabama finished the 2022 regular season with an impressive 10-2 record. Their lone defeats came by just a combined 5 points. The Jaguars were 5-1 SU on the road with their lone loss coming a at UCLA 32-31 in a contest they closed as a 15.5-point underdog. They return 18 starters from that team. Tulane had a storybook 12-2 season and AAC Championship. Additionally, that magical season concluded with a 45-28 win over UCF in their conference championship game, and a stunning New Year’s Day Bowl thrilling win over traditional college football powerhouse USC. Yet here we are 8 months later, and they’re just a touchdown favorite in their season opener at home versus a Sun Belt Conference team. They’re begging you to lay the points at home with the Green Wave. Tulane lost some very key personnel on both sides of the ball that heavily contributed to an extremely successful season. I going with a contrarian approach in this one, and it wouldn’t shock me in the least if the underdog pulls off an outright upset. However, I won’t get greedy and take South Alabama plus points. | |||||||
09-02-23 | North Carolina -135 v. South Carolina | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 75 h 57 m | Show | |
North Carolina vs. South Carolina 7:30 PM ET Game# 181-182 Play On: North Carolina -135 (Money Line) North Carolina is coming off a 9-4 season and 18 returning starters in 2023. The Tar Heels are #3 nationally in the returning production rank category. That veteran cast is highlighted by star quarterback Drake Maye who’s well beyond read deal status at this point and barring a major injury will be playing on Sundays in the not-too-distant future. This game will be played in Charlotte at the home of the Carolina Panthers. It’s considered a neutral field game despite being in the Tar Heels home state. Any college football neutral field favorite playing in a season opener that won 9 or more games the year before, resulted in those favorites going 25-3 SU (89.3%) since 2012. Give me North Carolina on the money line. | |||||||
09-02-23 | Mariners -134 v. Mets | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Mariners (Castillo) @ Mets (Peterson) 7:10 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Mariners -134 The Mets are an abysmal 13-38 this season as a money line underdog of +100 to +150 just like they currently are. David Peters has an uninspiring 1.58 WHIP over his last 4 starts. Couple that with a Mets bullpen 1.56 WHIP over their last 7 and their relivers 19 walks in 24 1/3 innings pitched and it’s a recipe for losing. Furthermore, the Mets are averaging a paltry 2.7 runs scored per game over their last 7 outings. Despite coming off last night’s loss, Seattle is on impressive winning runs of 13-3 the last 16 overall, 26-8 the last 34 overall, and 16-4 in their previous 20 away games. The veteran right-hander Luis Castillo has been in very good form over his last 4 starts while posting a 2.00 ERA/0.78 WHIP. The Mariners bullpen has a terrific 2.91 ERA/1.11 WHIP over their last 7 games. Give me the Mariners on the money line. | |||||||
09-02-23 | UTSA -120 v. Houston | 14-17 | Loss | -120 | 74 h 13 m | Show | |
UTSA @ Houston 7:00 PM ET Game# 211-212 Play On: UTSA -120 (Money Line Pick) It’s time to take the UTSA Roadrunners more seriously. They’ve had a combined 23-5 record over the last 2 years and won a pair of Conference championships. However, 1 of those 5 losses came in last year’s season opener when they fell to 33-31 at home versus Houston. As if they need any more motivation playing a Power 5 Conference team. Apparently the oddsmakers are taking them more seriously than most. A Group of 5 team like UTSA taking on a Big 12 opponent in their home opener, and it’s visitors that are favorite. By, the way, keep an eye on UTSA quarterback Frank Harris. This guy is the real deal and will be a major reason why we’re on the winning side in this game. Give me UTSA on the money line. | |||||||
09-02-23 | Cubs v. Reds UNDER 9.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
Cubs (Assad) @ Reds (Abbott) 6:40 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Under 9.5 Javier Assad has a brilliant 1.86 ERA/0.88 WHIP in 3 road starts this season. The Cubs have gone under in 5 straight and there only a combined average of 5.4 runs scored per game. The Reds have gone under in 6 straight with a combined average of 6.2 runs scored per game. Andrew Abbott has seen all 7 of his home starts go under the total while compiling a 2.84 ERA/0.95 WHIP. Both bullpens have been solid of late. The slated home plate umpire is Laz Diaz and games have played 12-5 to the under this season when he’s behind the plate. Give me this game to go under the total. | |||||||
08-31-23 | Braves v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | 8-7 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Braves (Strider) @ Dodgers (Lynn) 10:10 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Under 8.5 Spencer Strider has been in excellent form over his last 3 starts while recording an 0.43 ERA/0.62 WHIP and averaging 7.0 innings pitched per outing. Strider made 1 start this year and 1 last versus the Dodgers with a 1.50 ERA/1.08 WHIP while striking out 18 in 12.0 innings pitched. The Atlanta bullpen has been very good over their previous 7 games while posting a staff 2.79 ERA/1.04 WHIP. The Braves have allowed a mere 2.7 runs scored per game over the last 7 outings. Lance Lynn has gone 5-0 in his last 5 team starts with an impressive 2.03 ERA/1.06 WHIP and averaged a healthy 6.2 innings pitched per appearance. The Dodgers bullpen has been stellar during their previous 7 games while compiling a staff 2.25 ERA/1.06 WHIP and had just shy of a 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Give me this game to go under the total. | |||||||
08-31-23 | Florida v. Utah -6 | 11-24 | Win | 100 | 71 h 29 m | Show | |
Florida @ Utah 8:00 PM ET Game# 147-148 Play On: Utah -6.0 Utah was upset in their season opener a year ago by Florida in a game that went into the very late stages of the 4th quarter before a winner was finally decided. However, all you need to do is look at the Florida Gators regular season over/under win total of 5.5. When doing so, it tells you what the sharpest minds in sports betting, which are oddsmakers, think of Florida’s chances of even reaching a in a bowl game this year, let alone beating a Top 10 caliber team in their season opener. Utah has gone 22-1 SU and 16-7 ATS in their last 23 home games. Furthermore, since 10/17/2015, the Utes are a perfect 11-0 SU&ATS as a home favorite while playing with revenge. The average line during those 11 situations was 11.5 and the Utes outscored their opponents by an average of 18.6 points per game. If the worst-case scenario is Rising being ruled out at gametime, I still like the Utes even at this current number. Otherwise, if Rising is available, this line will move much closer or match the opening number of 9.5. Either way, give me Utah minus points. | |||||||
08-30-23 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 7 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Brewers (Woodruff) @ Cubs (Hendricks) 2:20 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Under 7.0 Brandon Woodruff is 5-1 in his team starts this season with a superb 2.65 ERA/0.88 WHIP. The Brewers bullpen has a terrific 2.10 ERA/1.01 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Milwaukee has played 19-7 to the under on the road this season when facing a team with a winning record. The Brewers are also 9-1 to the under on the road this season when facing National League starting pitchers like Kyle Hendricks who have a WHIP of 1.25 or better. The Cubs have now seen 4 of their 5 games at Wrigley Field versus Milwaukee go under the total. Kyle Hendricks has exhibited good form over his last 3 starts while recording a 3.00 ERA/1.22 WHIP and averaged 6.0 innings pitched per outing. The Chicago bullpen has a very good 2.49 ERA/0.97 WHIP as a staff during their previous 7 games. Both team’s pitching staffs will benefit today from wins of 18 MPH that are blowing in. Give me this game to go under the total. | |||||||
08-29-23 | Reds +148 v. Giants | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Reds (Williamson) @ Giants (Cobb) 9:45 PM ET Game#957-958 Play On: Reds +148 The Giants Alex Cobb has been in poor form over his last 4 starts with a 7.53 ERA/1.67 WHIP. He’s made 1 start versus the Reds this season and it wasn’t a good one. During that appearance, Cobb allowed 5 earned runs on 9 hits while walking 4 in just 4 1/3 innings pitched. The Giants bullpen has a lofty staff 5.80 ERA and allowed 8 homers during their previous 7 games. The Reds are coming off 2 straight losses including a 4-1 defeat last night at San Francisco. However, hasn’t lost 3 in a row since 8/6 and is 4-0 in their last 4 following 2 consecutive losses. The reds Brandon Williams has been in very good form over his last 4 starts while recording a 2.25 ERA/1.00 WHIP and averaging 6.0 innings pitched per outing. Cincinnati is a respectable 37-31 on the road this season and made $100 per game bettors a net profit of $1,640. Give me the Reds as a money line underdog. | |||||||
08-29-23 | Rays v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 11-2 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show | |
Rays (Civale) @ Marlins (Alcantara) 6:40 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: Under 7.5 Aaron Civale of the Rays has pitched brilliantly during 9 road starts this season while recording a 1.86 ERA/1.12 WHIP. As a matter of fact, Civale has posted an impressive 2.59 ERA/1.10 WHIP during 17 starts overall this season. The Rays bullpen has been solid over their last 7 games with a staff 3.64 ERA/1.05 WHIP. Sandy Alcantara has been dominant over his last 3 home starts with a 0.76 ERA/0.72 WHIP while averaging 7.9 innings pitched per start. Speaking of being dominant, Alcantara was in his lone start versus Tampa Bay this year when he pitched a complete game and allowed only 1 earned run. The Marlins have been anemic offensively of late. Throughout their last 8 outings they’ve averaged a mere 1.9 runs scored per game and tallied 2 runs or fewer on 6 of those occasions. Miami’s bullpen pitched 8.0 innings during a 2-1 win over Washington in their previous game. The Marlins have played 7-0 to the under this season following a game in which their bullpen pitched 6.0 innings or more, and there was a combined average of only 4.0 runs scored per outing. Give me this game to go under the total. | |||||||
08-28-23 | Brewers +110 v. Cubs | 6-2 | Win | 110 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
Brewers (Miley) @ Cubs (Taillon) 8:05 PM ET Game# 903-904 Play On: Brewers +110 Jameson Taillon has a horrible 8.59 ERA over his last 3 starts while averaging only 4.9 innings pitched per outing. Taillon is 4-8 during his team starts at home this season with a 6.00 ERA. The Cubs veteran right-hander has made 1 start this year and 1 last season versus Milwaukee with a terrible 7.00 ERA/1.56 WHIP. The Brewers have won 8 straight and averaged 7.3 runs scored per game during that win streak. Wade Miley has exhibited good form over his last 5 starts with a 2.77 ERA/1.23 WHIP. The Brewers bullpen has been outstanding during their current win streak. Milwaukee is 17-11 this season as a money line road underdog of +100 to +150 and $100 per game bettors made a net profit of $960. The Brewers are only 18-20 versus lefty starting pitchers but an extremely profitable 55-37 versus right-handers in 2023. Give me the Brewers as a money line underdog. | |||||||
08-28-23 | White Sox v. Orioles -1.5 | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
White Sox (Kopech) @ Orioles (Rodriguez) 7:05 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Orioles -1.5 (-117) Michael Kopech has an awful 7.16 ERA/1.84 WHIP over his last 6 starts. Kopech has allowed an alarmingly high 28 homers during 120.0 innings pitched this season. That’s genuine cause for concern considering he’ll be facing an Orioles team which has belted 12 home runs during their previous 7 games. The White Sox are coming off home wins over the lowly Oakland A’s on Saturday and Sunday. However, they haven’t put together a 3-game win streak since 8/6 and did so just once since 6/8. The White Sox bullpen has an unappealing 5.90 ERA over their previous 7 games and that includes allowing 6 homers in 29.0 innings pitched. After a rough start to the season, Baltimore’s young right-hander Grayson Rodriguez is coming into his own as of late. Rodriguez has a stellar 2.61 ERA/1.00 WHIP over his last 5 starts and averaged a healthy 6.2 innings pitched per outing. The Orioles bullpen has been excellent over their last 7 games with a staff 2.21 ERA/0.64 WHIP and a 10:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Baltimore is 25-6 this season as a money line favorite of -150 or greater and they averaged 6.0 runs scored per game. Give me the Orioles as a run-line favorite. | |||||||
08-28-23 | Angels v. Phillies -128 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Angels (Giolito) @ Phillies (Walker) 6:40 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Phillies -128 Lucas Giolito is 4-10 during his away team starts this season with a lofty 6.14 ERA/1.62 WHIP and allowed a noteworthy 18 homers in just 73 1/3 innings pitched. That shapes up to be problematic for Giolito considering he’ll be facing a Phillies team that’s averaged 6.4 runs scored per game, hit .309 as a team, recorded a team on-base-percentage of .366, and smacked 15 homers throughout their previous 7 outings. Making matters even worse, the Angels bullpen has a dismal 6.62 ERA/1.79 WHIP as a staff over their previous 7 games while also allowing an eye-catching 7 homers in 34.0 innings of work. Since the start of last season, Tijuan Walkers is 17-3 during his home team starts in games such as this one that have a total of 9.0 or 9.5. Walker is 10-3 in his home team starts this season with a very good 3.26 ERA/1.19 WHIP. The Phillies bullpen has performed well over their previous 7 games with a staff 2.45 ERA/1.09 WHIP. Give me the Phillies as a money line favorite. | |||||||
08-27-23 | Padres v. Brewers UNDER 9 | Top | 6-10 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
Padres (Wacha) @ Brewers (Houser) 2:10 PM ET Game# 957-958 Play On: Under 9.0 Michael Wacha has been in terrific form over his last 6 starts while recording a 1.06 ERA/0.94 WHIP. Wacha has also been superb in form day game starts this season with a 1.12 ERA/0.88 WHIP. The Padres bullpen has been very good over the past week. However, their offense has been silent and they were hitting just .182 as a team and averaged 3.1 runs scored per outing over their last 7 games heading into the weekend. The Brewers Adrian Houser is a perfect 6-0 during his team starts in day games with a shiny 3.03 ERA/1.06 WHIP. Houser has made 3 home starts versus the Padres since 2019 and posted a brilliant 1.80 ERA/0.87 WHIP in those appearances. The Milwaukee bullpen has been extremely good of late. The Brewers have played 26-11 to the under this year whenever the total was 9.0 or 9.5. Give me this game to go under the total. | |||||||
08-26-23 | Raiders -4.5 v. Cowboys | 16-31 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 38 m | Show | |
Raiders @ Cowboys 8;00 PM ET Game# 131-132 Play On: Raiders -4.5 Dallas lost and failed to cover in their first 2 preseason games. That makes the Cowboys an abysmal 9-25 SU and 8-23-3 ATS in their last 34 preseason games. The Raiders are coming off impressive wins of 34-7 at home versus San Francisco and 34-17 at the Los Angeles Rams. That now makes current head coach Josh McDaniels 6-0 SU&ATS in preseason games with the Raiders and with an average victory margin of 14.2 points per game. Any NFL preseason away favorite like Las Vegas that’s facing an opponent like Dallas who’s playing their 3rd preseason game and lost their first 2, resulted in those away favorites going 10-0 SU&ATS since 1999. The average margin of victory in those contests came by 13.6 points per game. Give the Raiders minus points. | |||||||
08-26-23 | Rangers v. Twins OVER 7.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
Rangers (Scherzer) @ Twins (Ryan) 7:15 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Over 7.5 There’s something going on with Twins starter Joe Ryan who has been awful in recent starts. During his previous 5 starts, Ryan has compiled a sizable 9.00 ERA/1.83 WHIP and allowed an alarming 11 home runs in just 23.0 innings pitched. The Twins bullpen has been shaky over their previous 7 games while recording a staff 4.98 ERA/1.85 WHIP and they walked 17 batters in 21 2/3 innings pitched. Throughout their previous 7 games, Minnesota is averaging 5.7 runs scored per game and belted 13 homers. Some of you may be scratching your head when seeing this pick, and consequently feeling uncomfortable betting a game over with Max Scherzer as one of the starting pitchers. However, as much as Scherzer has been dominant in his home starts this season that’s not been the case on the road. Scherzer has pitched 8-4-1 over on the road this season with a lofty 4.79 ERA. The most concerning part of Scherzer’s road starts is that he’s allowed 20 homers in 73.3 innings pitched. Couple that with the fact that he’ll be facing a Twins team which averages 1.48 homers hit per game at home and identically 1.48 hit per outing during 97 games versus right-handed starting pitchers, and he points toward a perfect storm. Furthermore, the Rangers bullpen has been brutal over the last 7 games while posting a 8.69 ERA/1.66 WHIP as a staff and they gave up 7 homers in 29.0 innings. Give me this game to go over the total. | |||||||
08-26-23 | Ohio +2.5 v. San Diego State | 13-20 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 45 m | Show | |
Ohio @ San Diego State 7:00 PM ET Game# 307-308 Play On: Ohio +2.5 This line jumped right off the page at me when it first came out. Ohio as a short road favorite versus a Mountain West football program with a fine winning tradition. However, upon further review, this is an Ohio team that went 10-4 last season, reached the MAC Championship Game, and beat another Mountain West Conference team in a bowl game by way of a 30-27 win over Wyoming. They finished the season on a 8-1 winning run. Ohio returns 9 starters on offense including quarterback Kurtis Rourke and 1,000-yard rusher Sieh Bangura. Rourke was the MAC Offensive Player of the Year a season ago that was cut short by an ACL injury in Game 11 at Ball State. However, Rourke still threw for 3256 yards with 25 touchdown passes versus only 4 interceptions. He also ran for 249 yards and 4 touchdowns as well. Since 9/23/17, Ohio has gone 6-0 SU&ATS as an underdog of 3.0 or less and won by an average of 15.8 points per game. Give me Ohio plus points. | |||||||
08-26-23 | Seahawks +3 v. Packers | 15-19 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 7 m | Show | |
Seahawks @ Packers 1:00 PM ET Game# 115-116 Play On: Seahawks +3.0 Seattle is coming home wins in their first 2 preseason games by scores of 24-13 over Minnesota and 22-14 versus Dallas. Any NFL Preseason underdog of 5.0 or less like Seattle that’s coming off back-to-back home wins and is undefeated, and they won their previous game by 4 points or more, resulted in those underdogs going 16-3 ATS (84.2%) since 1997 while also winning 14 of those 19 contests straight up. Furthermore, if those teams were an underdog of between 3.0 and 5.0, they improve to 13-0 ATS and 11-2 SU. Give me the Seahawks plus points. | |||||||
08-25-23 | Padres v. Brewers -110 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Padres (Darvish) @ Brewers (Woodruff) 8:10 PM ET Game# 957958 Play On: Brewers -110 The Padres are coming off a 4-0 home win over Miami. San Diego is 1-6 during in their last 7 following a win in their previous game. The Padres have averaged a mere 2.9 runs scored per game over their last 7 outings with an anemic .176 team batting average. Yu Darvish is 0-2 in his last 2 starts with a 6.00 ERA/1.58 WHIP. Milwaukee enters today riding a 5-game win streak and they scored 6 runs or more in all those games. Brandon Woodruff is 4-1 in his team starts this season with a 2.89 ERA/0.86 WHIP. The Brewers bullpen has a very good 2.35 ERA/1.13 WHIP over their last 7 games. Give me the Brewers on the money line. | |||||||
08-24-23 | Steelers -4.5 v. Falcons | 24-0 | Win | 100 | 23 h 5 m | Show | |
Falcons @ Steelers 7:30 PM ET Game# 105-106 Play On: Pittsburgh -4.5 Pittsburgh won and covered their first 2 preseason games 27-17 at Tampa Bay and 27-15 at home over Buffalo. Since 2017, and all under current head coach Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh is 17-4 SU and 15-6 ATS during preseason action. Conversely, during that identical time frame, Atlanta has gone 4-16-1 SU and 4-17 ATS, and that includes 1-8-1 SU and 1-10 ATS when playing at home. Atlanta is coming off last week’s 13-13 tie versus Cincinnati in a game they failed to cover as a 6.0-point home favorite. When it comes to preseason action, it would be difficult to make a case against the Steelers quarterback rotation of Kenny Pickett, Mitch Trubsiky, and Mason Rudolph not being the best in the NFL. Any NFL preseason road favorite like Pittsburgh coming off back-to-back SU&ATS wins, and theyre facing an opponent like Atlanta who failed to cover their previous game by 4.0-points or more, resulted in those road favorites going a perfect 6-0 SU&ATS since 1990. The average margin of victory in those exact situations came by a substantial 16.7 points per game. Give me the Steelers minus points. | |||||||
08-23-23 | Red Sox v. Astros -105 | 7-5 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Red Sox (Sale) @ Astros (Urquidy) 8:10 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Houston -105 Since 2016, Chris Sale is 1-4 during his team starts at Houston with a sizable 6.07 ERA and he allowed 6 home runs in 26 2/3 innings pitched. The Red Sox bullpen has a terrible 6.75 ERA/1.65 WHIP as a staff over their previous 7 games, and they allowed an eye-popping 8 homers in just 26 2/3 innings of work. Boston will be playing their 9th of a 10-game in 10-day road trip. The Red Sox are a dismal 6-18 this season following 5 or more away games in a row. Jose Urquidy as struggled mightily at times this season. However, he’s 2-0 in his career home starts versus Boston with a 0.69 ERA/0.46 WHIP and both outings took place since 2021. The Astros bullpen has been solid over their last 7 games with a staff 2.83 ERA/1.12 WHIP and a 34:7 strikeout to walk ratio. The Astros have averaged 6.1 runs scored per game, compiled a .285 team batting average, and smacked 13 homers over their previous 7 games. Additionally, since the start of last season, Houston is 67-27 when facing lefthanded starting pitchers like Chris Sale is, and that included 24-14 in 2023. Give me the Astros on the money line. | |||||||
08-22-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks -118 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
Rangers (Gray) @ Diamondbacks (Gallen) 9:40 PM ET Game# 929-930 Play On: Diamondbacks -118 The 1st place Texas Rangers hit a wall of late and lost 5 in a row. During this current losing streak, they’ve averaged a mere 2.6 runs scored per game and 5.6 hits per game. The Rangers bullpen has compiled a lousy staff 6.66 ERA over their last 7 games. Arizona has gone 6-1 in their last 7 and 8-2 in their last 10 which has catapulted them back into the National League Wild Card race. Zac Gallen has gone 10-2 during his home team starts this season with an excellent 1.82 ERA/0.90 WHIP while averaging 6.6 inning pitched per outing. Give me the Diamondbacks on the money line. | |||||||
08-22-23 | Reds +135 v. Angels | Top | 4-3 | Win | 135 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Reds (Ashcraft) @ Angels (Giolito) 9:38 PM ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Reds +135 The Angels pitching has been horrific of late. The Halos have allowed 7 runs or more in their last 3 and 6 of the previous 7 games. Lucas Giolito is the slated starting pitcher for the Angels, and he’s been in bad form over his last 3 starts while recording a 9.19 ERA/1.66 WHIP. The Angels bullpen has a miserable 8.16 ERA/1.92 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Despite being 3-4 in their last 7, the Angels are a -4.2 run per game differential over that course of time. Graham Ashcraft of the Reds has exhibited very good form over his last 4 starts with a 2.25 ERA/0.89 WHIP. The Reds bullpen has an excellent staff 1.42 ERA/0.79 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Cincinnati is 33-21 this season versus teams like the Angels who have a losing record. Give me the Reds on the money line as my MLB Underdog Game of the Month. | |||||||
08-22-23 | Red Sox v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
Red Sox (Houck) @ Astros (Verlander) 8:10 PM ET Game# 913-914 Play On: Over 8.5 The Red Sox have hit home runs and averaged 5.7 runs scored per game over their last 7 outings. Boston has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 and there was a combined average of 12.2 runs scored per game. Boston’s Tanner Houck has an uninspiring 5.26 ERA over his last 4 starts while also allowing 4 homers in 19.0 innings pitched. The Red Sox bullpen has a staff 6.35 ERA in their last 7 games and allowed an alarmingly high 8 homers in 28 1/3 innings of work. Boston has played 34-18 to the over this season when facing American League teams like Houston who allow 4.4 runs or less per game. Justin Verland hasn’t been sharp in his last 2 starts while posting a 5.73 ERA/1.55 WHIP. The Astros have belted 12 homers over their previous 7 games. Houston has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 and that includes 9-4 home win versus Boston. Last night’s game could have been much higher scoring than it already was but for the fact that the teams had a combined 24 men left on base. Give this game to go over the total. | |||||||
08-22-23 | Mariners v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Mariners (Woo) @ White Sox (Clevinger) 8:10 PM ET Game# 911-912 Play On: Over 8.5 Mike Clevinger has pitched very well for the White Sox this season. However, he made 2 starts versus the Mariners last season and recorded a large 8.18 ERA/1.55 WHIP and allowed 4 homers in 11.0 innings pitched. Chicago has gone over the total in 4 straight and with a combined average of 14.0 runs scored per game. During their current 7-game win streak, Seattle has averaged 7.9 runs scored per game, hit a sizzling hot .337 as a team, and smacked 17 homers. The Mariners have also cracked 90 homers in 63 road games in 2023 and that equated to an average of 1.43 home runs hit per game. Seattle has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 with a combined average of 12.0 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. | |||||||
08-22-23 | Cubs v. Tigers OVER 9 | 6-8 | Win | 102 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
Cubs (Smyly) @ Tigers (Olsen) 6:40 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Over 9.0 Drew Smyly has pitched 6-0 to the over his last 6 starts and with a massive 10.33 ERA/1.93 WHIP while allowing 10 home runs during just 27.0 innings pitched. The Cubs bullpen has a lofty 5.01 ERA/1.46 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Detroit’s Reese Olsen has a sizable 5.61 ERA this season in 11 starts. Olsen has displayed shaky form over his last 3 starts with a 5.27 ERA/1.61 WHIP. The Tigers bullpen has a terrible staff 6.47 ERA/1.65 WHIP during their previous 7 games. Detroit has played 19-7 to the over in home night games this season. Since the start of last season, the Tigers have played 11-2 to the over at home when facing a starting pitcher like Drew Smyly that allowed an average of 1 or more home runs per start, and there was a combined average of 12.0 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. | |||||||
08-21-23 | Ravens -120 v. Commanders | Top | 28-29 | Loss | -120 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
Ravens @ Commanders 8:00 PM ET Game# 431-432 Play On: Baltimore -125 Washington is coming off last week’s 17-15 win as a 2.5-pont road underdog at Cleveland. Baltimore is coming off a 20-19 win over Philadelphia but failed to cover as a large 6.0-point home favorite. Despite that close call, Baltimore has gone 24-0 SU and 20-3-1 ATS under the guidance of current head coach John Harbaugh. That includes 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS on the road and with a decisive average victory margin of 12.3 points per game. Furthermore, except for 2020 when there were no preseason games due to COVID, these teams have met in preseason action every year since 2017. Baltimore was 5-0 SU in those contests and won by a substantial average of 15.8 points per game. Any NFL preseason away team like Baltimore with a point-spread parameter of +2.0 to -2.0, and they’re coming off a home win in which they failed to cover as a favorite, versus an opponent like Washing who’s coming off an away underdog SU win, resulted in those away teams withing that point-spread parameter going 9-0 SU since 2004, and with an average victory margin of 12.3 points per game. Give me the Ravens on the money line. | |||||||
08-20-23 | Saints -3.5 v. Chargers | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
Saints @ Chargers 7:05 PM ET Game# 429-430 Play On: Saints -3.5 New Orleans is coming off last Sunday’s 26-24 home win over Kansas City. The Chargers are coming off a 34-17 blowout win as a 2.5-point road underdog in their preseason opener. At the time of this writing, the total in this contest is 37.0 which ties into 1 of my 3 NFL preseason betting angles applicable to this game. Any NFL Preseason favorite of 6.0 or less like the saints that’s coming off a home favorite ATS win. And they’re facing a team like the Chargers who’s coming off an away underdog SU win, has gone 6-0 ATS since 2011 and with an average victory margin of 9.4 points per contest. Any NFL Preseason away team like the Saints New Orleans who’s point-spread is between +2.0 and -6.0, and their coming off a home win in which they scored 34 points or less, resulted in the road teams within those point-spread parameters going 10-1 SU&ATS since 2019. Any NFL preseason away favorite of 6.0 or less and with a total of 43.0 or less like the Saints, and they’re coming off a SU win, versus a team like the Chargers that’s coming off an away underdog SU win, resulted in those away favorites going 6-0 ATS since 2009. The average victory margin for those away teams was 10.3 points per game. Give me the Saints minus the points. | |||||||
08-20-23 | Orioles -1.5 v. A's | 12-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Orioles (Bradish) @ A’s (Sears) 4:07 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Orioles -1.5 (-115) Oakland is an abysmal 9-41 during day games this season and was outscored by a substantial average of 3.2 runs per game. Oakland’s slated left-handed starter J.P. Sears has displayed poor form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 5.79 ERA/2.07 WHIP. He’s very lucky his ERA wasn’t much higher during that span considering that extremely high 2.07 WHIP. Especially when considering that Sears has given up a whopping 26 home runs in 130 2/3 innings pitched this season. The same can be said for the Oakland bullpen that has a staff 5.96 ERA/2.06 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Kyle Bradish has been in good form over his last 3 starts with a 2.55 ERA/1.08 WHIP throughout his previous 3 starts. Bradish is an extremely profitable 7-1 his day game team starts this season while posting a sparkling 2.28 ERA/1.04 WHIP. The Orioles bullpen has registered a very good 2.33 ERA/1.11 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Orioles are also 29-14 this season versus lefthanded starting pitchers and 40-24 in road games. Give me the Orioles as a run-line favorite. | |||||||
08-19-23 | Titans -2.5 v. Vikings | 24-16 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show | |
Titans @ Vikings 8:00 PM ET Game# 419-420 Play On: Titans -2.5 Since taking over as head coach in Minnesota last season, Kevin O’Connell has seen his team go 0-4 SU&ATS in preseason action and they lost by an average of 9.3 points per game. It comes as no shock to me the Titans come up as a small favorite in this spot. As a matter of fact, the Vikings preseason futility extend beyond O’Connell’s current tenure. Minnesota is 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 preseason games. Minnesota is coming off last week’s 24-13 loss at Seattle in a game they failed to cover as a 3.5-point underdog. Tennessee is 3-0 SU&ATS in their last 3 games when their point-spread is +2.5 to -2.5 and with a decisive victory margin of 22.5 points per game. Tennessee put an impressive 372 yards of total offense in last week’s 23-17 loss at Chicago. The 2 young Titans backup quarterbacks Malik Willis and Will Levis went a combined 25-39 (64.1%) passing for 274 yards. Tennessee was victimized by 4 turnovers and their offensive line allowed their quarterbacks to be sacked 8 times. I’m betting those frequency of mistakes won’t come close to happening again. Give me Tennessee minus the small number. | |||||||
08-19-23 | Dolphins +2 v. Texans | 28-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
Dolphins @ Texans 4:00 PM ET Game# 407-408 Play On: Dolphins +2.0 Miami is coming off a humbling 19-3 loss to Atlanta as the home favorite in their preseason opener last week. The Dolphins are 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 preseason games following a loss and with a massive average victory margin of 25.0 points per game. One of those wins came last season under current head coach Mike McDaniel when they lambasted the Philadelphia Eagles 48-10. Let’s not get carried away with Houston’s 20-9 preseason opening win at New England last week. Quite frankly the Patriots aren’t very good and have very little in the way of quality depth. Any NFL Preseason away pick or favorite of 2.5 or less like Miami, and they’re coming off a home favorite loss by 10 points or more in their preseason opener, resulted in those away teams going 9-0 SU&ATS since 1985. The average victory margin was 7.8 points per game. Give me the Miami Dolphins to cover. | |||||||
08-19-23 | Jaguars v. Lions OVER 39 | 25-7 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show | |
Jaguars @ Lions 1:00 PM ET Game# 407-408 Play On: Over 39.0 Since Dan Campbell took over as head coach in Detroit, the Lions have played 5-0 to the over when the total was 40.0 or less and there was a combined average of 46.0 points scored per game. Conversely, since Doug Pederson took over as head coach in Jacksonville, the Jaguars have played 4-0 to the over when the total was 41.0 or less and there was a combined average of 41.5 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. | |||||||
08-18-23 | Marlins v. Dodgers -132 | Top | 11-3 | Loss | -132 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Marlins (Alcantara) @ Dodgers (Gonsolin) 10:10 PM ET Game# 909-910 Play On: Dodgers -132 Sandy Alcantara has been brilliant over his last 4 starts. However, during that time he tossed 2 complete games and logged 32.0 innings pitched. That’s an extremely heavy workload by modern MLB standards. Furthermore, Alcantara has been horrible during 3 career starts at Dodgers Stadium while compiling a massive 18.00 ERA/3.00 WHIP. He lasted only a combined 10.0 innings in those 3 outings. Miami hasn’t been the same team since returning from the all-star break. As a matter of fact, the Marlins are an abysmal 3-14 during their previous 17 away games. The Dodgers remain sizzling hot after winning 1-0 at home over Milwaukee last night which extended their current win streak to 11 games. Additionally, they’ve gone a terrific 15 -1 in their last 16 games and that includes 10-0 at Dodger Stadium. Tony Gonsolin was very good in 13 night-game starts this season with a 2.73 ERA/0.97 WHIP. The Dodgers bullpen has been magnificent of late while posting a 0.41 ERA over their last 7 games. Give me the Dodgers as a money line favorite. | |||||||
08-18-23 | Panthers v. Giants OVER 39 | 19-21 | Win | 100 | 32 h 3 m | Show | |
Panthers @ Giants 7:00 PM ET Game# 403-404 Play On: Over 39.0 Since Brian Daboll took over as head coach of the Giants last season, they’ve gone over the total in all 4 of their preseason games. Furthermore, if you go back to his days as offensive coordinator, The Bills went 5-0 to the over during their last 5 preseason games when he was in that role, and Buffalo averaged 26.0 points scored per contest. So, the last 9 preseason games he’s coach in as either an offensive coordinator or head coach have all gone over the total. Carolina is coming off an anemic offensive performance during last week’s 27-0 home loss to the New York Jets. However, recent NFL preseason betting history shows that teams coming off a shutout loss and are within this current total parameter have played in a high percentage of high scoring affairs the next time out. Specifically speaking, All NFL Preseason Road teams with a total of between 33.5 and 40.0 that are coming off a shutout loss in their previous game, resulted in those road teams playing 7-1 to the over since 2000. Those 8 contests produced a combined average of 48.8 points scored per game. | |||||||
08-17-23 | Brewers v. Dodgers -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Brewers (Burnes) @ Dodgers (Lynn) 10:10 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Dodgers -1.5 (+145) Corbin Burnes is widely recognized as one of the best National League starting pitchers. However, Burnes has made 4 career starts versus the Dodgers and recoded a horrible 10.34 ERA/1.91 WHIP during those appearances. The Dodgers have won 4 in a row versus the Brewers this season and outscored them by a immense margin of 27-6 while doing so. Los Angeles has won 10 consecutive games going into to today and won 8 of those by 2 runs or more. They’re also 14-1 in their last 15 and includes a perfect 9-0 at Dodger Stadium. Lance Lynn has been rejuvenated since coming over to the Dodgers at the trade deadline. During his last 3 starts, Lynn has an impressive 2.00 ERA/0.94 WHIP while averaging 6.0 innings pitched per outing and compiled an excellent 22:4 strikeout to walk ratio. The Dodgers bullpen has been outstanding over their last 7 games while compiling an excellent staff 0.39 ERA/0.34 WHIP. The Dodgers are 19-3 this season after allowing 4 runs or fewer in each of their last 3 outings and with a huge +3.8 run per game differential. Give me the Dodgers as a run-line favorite. | |||||||
08-17-23 | Browns v. Eagles OVER 37 | 18-18 | Loss | -115 | 34 h 15 m | Show | |
Browns @ Eagles 7:30 PM ET Game# 401-402 Play On: Over 37.0 The Eagles have gone over the total in 6 of their last 7 preseason contests under current head coach Mick Sirianni. Furthermore, if there was a total of 38.0 or less, then that number improves to 6-0 to the over and with a combined average of 47.5 points scored per game. Philadelphia racked up 334 yards of total offense in a narrow 20-19 loss to Baltimore in their preseason opener. Even more impressive was the 271 yards of total offense they amassed in the 1st half of that game. Since Kevin Stefanski has taken over as head coach in Cleveland, the Browns have played 4-0 to the over whenever there was a total of 37.5 or less. Cleveland was part of the annual Hall of Fame Game in Canton, Ohio so this will be their 3rd preseason game. During the first 2, they averaged a combined 18.0 points scored and 356.5 yards scored per game. All 3 of their backup quarterbacks performed well during those outings. Give me this game to go over the total. | |||||||
08-15-23 | Guardians v. Reds -111 | 3-0 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Guardians (Allen) @ Reds (Ashcraft) 6:40 PM ET Game# 963-964 Play On: Reds -111 The Guardians lefthanded starting pitcher Logan Allen has displayed shaky form over his last 3 starts while posting a lofty 1.53 WHIP. The Guardians bullpen has a poor 5.40 ERA/1.55 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Cleveland is 1-5 this season when they’re between -100 to -150 and facing a team like Cincinnati that didn’t play the day before. Cleveland is coming off a 9-2 win at Tampa on Sunday. However, they’re 0-5 in their last 5 immediately following a win in their previous game. Graham Ashcraft has exhibited excellent form throughout his previous 3 starts while recording a 1.71 ERA/0.76 WHIP and averaging 7.0 innings pitched per outing. Furthermore, Ashcraft has been superb over his last 5 starts at home with a 2.14 ERA/0.89 WHIP. Cincinnati is coming off a 6-5 win at Pittsburgh on Sunday. The Reds are 5-1 this season following a day off and a win in their previous game. During those exact 6 situations, they averaged 7.0 runs scored and 1.67 home runs hit per game. The Reds bullpen has a solid 3.59 ERA/1.21 WHIP at home in 2023. Lastly, Cincinnati is 12-4 at home this season when facing a left-handed starting pitcher like Logan Allen while averaging 6.2 runs scored per game. Give me the Reds on the money line. | |||||||
08-14-23 | Orioles v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
Orioles (Rodriguez) @ Padres (Darvish) 9:45 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Under 8.5 Yu Darvish has produced 5 quality starts over his last 6 outings. He’s been especially good during his last 4 starts while posting a brilliant 0.95 ERA and averaging 6.3 innings pitched per outing. The Padres bullpen has struggled on the road but has been solid at home while with a staff 3.31 ERA/1.22 WHIP. San Diego has scored 2 runs or fewer in 4 of their last 6 games. The Orioles Grayson Rodriguez has endured his fair share of struggles this season. However, throughout his previous 3 starts he’s exhibited very good form while collecting a 2.50 ERA/0.94 WHIP. The Baltimore bullpen has been consistently good all season. The Orioles are coming off a weekend series at Seattle in which they took 2 of 3 despite scoring just a combined 5 runs during the first 9.0 innings of play in each game. Give me this game to go under the total. | |||||||
08-13-23 | Rangers v. Giants -132 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Rangers (Dunning) @ Giants (Webb) 4:05 PM ET Game# 977-978 Play On: Giants -132 This line jumped right off the screen at me. We have a red-hot Texas Rangers team that’s won 10 of their last 11 versus a San Francisco Giants club that lost 4 in a row and 6 of their last 7, and it’s the latter who comes up as a sizable favorite. They’re begging us to bet Texas but we’re not taking the bait. The Giants Brandon Webb has been superb during 11 home starts this season while recording a 2.58 ERA/0.99 WHIP and averaged 7.0 pitched per outing. Since 2021, Webb is 26-12 during his team starts versus team with a winning record. Additionally, the Giants are 15-6 this season versus teams like Texas who own a win percentage of between .540 and .620. Since the start of last season, Dane Dunning is a dismal 5-17 during his road team starts. Dunning has a lofty 5.40 ERA/1.50 WHIP during his last 3 road starts in which Texas went 1-2. Give me the Giants on the money line. | |||||||
08-13-23 | Tigers +118 v. Red Sox | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Tigers (Rodriguez) @ Red Sox (Crawford) 12:05 PM ET Game# 959-960 Play On: Tigers +118 Kutter Crawford is 1-5 in his home team starts this season with a terrible 8.87 ERA/1.84 WHIP. Heading into this weekend the Boston bullpen had a lofty 6.50 ERA/1.72 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Red Sox are coming off a 6-2 home loss to Detroit on Saturday and the continue to struggle offensively. Boston has scored 3 runs or fewer in 10 of their last 16 games. The Tigers are a more than respectable 10-6 over their previous 16 away games. Give me the Tigers as a money line underdog. The Tigers Eduardo Rodriguez has been solid all season long with a 2.75 ERA/1.05 WHIP in 19 starts while averaging 6.0 innings pitched per outing. Rodriguez has an even better 2.15 ERA/0.89 WHIP during 10-day-game starts. Heading into the weekend, the Tigers had a bullpen 2.16 ERA/1.20 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Detroit is 4-1 in their last 5 games. | |||||||
08-12-23 | A's v. Nationals -131 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
A’s (Medina) @ Nationals (Irvin) 7:05 PM ET Game# 925-926 Play On: Nationals -131 Luis Medina is 0-5 during his road team starts this season with a terrible 8.34 ERA/1.99 WHIP. The Oakland bullpen has a miserable 6.28 ERA/1.66 WHIP on the road. The A’s have scored 3 runs or fewer in 9 of their last 10 games which includes 2 or fewer in each of their previous 3. Oakland is an abysmal 3-24 this season when scoring 2 runs or less in each of their previous 2 outings they were outscored by a decisive average margin of 3.7 runs per game. Washington is a more than respectable 13-8 during their previous 21 games. Furthermore, the Nationals are 10-2 in their last 12 at home. Conversely, Oakland is 2-11 in their last 13 on the road. Although I’m not crazy about their starting pitcher Jake Irvin, the Nationals bullpen has a stellar 2.63 ERA/0.99 WHIP over their last 7 games. Give me the Nationals as a money line favorite. | |||||||
08-11-23 | Angels v. Astros -1.5 | 3-11 | Win | 127 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Angels (Detmers) @ Astros (Verlander) 8:10 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Astros -1.5 (+127) The Angels Ross Detmers has exhibited terrible form over his last 5 starts with an 8.61 ERA/1.70 WHIP. Detmers has a sizable 6.55 ERA during his 2 starts versus Houston this season. The Angels bullpen has an uninspiring 5.68 ERA/1.78 WHIP over their last 7 games. Justin Verlander has been superb over his last 4 starts while compiling a 1.37 ERA/0.95 WHIP and averaging a healthy 6.5 innings pitched per outing. The Astros bullpen has an impressive 1.71 ERA as a staff during their previous 7 games. Houston is coming off yesterday’s 5-4 loss at Baltimore. However, the Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 and 9-1 during their previous 10 games immediately following a loss. Give me the Astros as a run-line favorite. | |||||||
08-11-23 | Steelers -2.5 v. Bucs | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 51 h 54 m | Show | |
Buccaneers @ Steelers 7:00 PM ET Game# 109-110 Play On: Steelers -2.5 Since 2017, Pittsburgh has gone 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS in all preseason games within the point-spread parameters of +3.5 to -3.5. All those games came under the guidance of current head coach Mike Tomlin and the average margin of victory came by 8.8 points per game. Conversely, Todd Bowles begins his 2nd year as head coach of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. During his first preseason campaign in 2022, Bowles team went 0-3 SU&ATS and were defeated by a decisive average of 9.7 points per game. Give me the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the small number. | |||||||
08-10-23 | Texans v. Patriots UNDER 37 | 20-9 | Win | 100 | 28 h 50 m | Show | |
Texans @ Patriots 7:00 PM ET Game# 103-104 Play On: Under 37.0 Under the guidance of head coach Bill Belichick, the New England Patriots have gone under in 8 consecutive preseason games when the total was 36.5 or greater and there was a combined average of 31.1 points scored per contest. Additionally, under Belichick, the Patriots have gone under the total in 6 consecutive preseason games when their point-spread was between +2.5 and -2.5 just like it currently is. Conversely, the Houston Texans have played 6-2 to the under in their last 8 preseason games. Give me this game to go under the total. | |||||||
08-10-23 | Cardinals v. Rays -1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Cardinals (Liberatore) @ Rays (Littel) 6:40 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Rays -1.5 (+108) The Cardinals are coming off a win at Tampa yesterday to even this current series at 1-1. However, St. Louis has gone a dismal 0-6 throughout their previous 6 games immediately following a loss. Furthermore, during those 6 defeats they scored 3 runs or fewer on each occasion and averaged 2.0 runs scored per game. Mathew Liberatore is the slated starting pitcher for the Cardinals, and he’s compiled a horrible 10.45 ERA/2.13 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Additionally, Liberatore has a massive 11.48 ERA/2.10 WHIP during 4 road starts in 2023. Zack Little has pitched very well in 5 starts for Tampa Bay with a 2.45 ERA/1.20 WHIP. The Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. Tampa is 15-6 this season when facing lefthanded starting pitchers like Liberatore and with a +2.3 run per games differential. They also average 1.57 home runs per game when facing those left-handed starting pitchers. Even more impressive is the fact they’re 9-2 at home versus southpaw starters with a decisive +2.7 run per game differential. Give me the Rays as a run-line favorite. | |||||||
08-09-23 | Royals v. Red Sox OVER 10.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
Royals (Lyles) @ Red Sox (Pivetta) 7:10 PM ET Game# 971-972 Play On: Over 10.5 Jordan Lyles has seen each of his previous 3 starts go over the total and his 7.47 ERA/1.53 WHIP during those outing were major contributing factors to those high scoring affairs. Lyle has surrendered an alarmingly high 23 home runs in 118 1/3 innings pitched this season. Lyles has made 5 starts versus Boston since last season and had a miserable 8.10 ERA during those appearances. The Royals bullpen has struggled over their last 7 games with a staff 6.87 ERA, and they allowed 5 home runs in 19 2/3 innings pitched. Kansas City has scored 7 runs or more in 7 of their last 11 games. The Royals have gone over in 5 of their last 6 and 9 of their previous 12 games. Boston’s Nick Pivetta has displayed terrible form over his last 7 starts while recording a sizable 7.23 ERA and he allowed 9 homers during 37 1/3 innings pitched. Pivetta has made 4 career starts versus Kansas with all coming since 2021, and he compiled an awful 6.98 ERA/1.91 WHIP during those outings. The Red Sox bullpen has been brutal throughout their previous 7 games while posing a staff 9.00 ERA/2.00 WHIP and they allowed 7 home runs during 34.0 innings pitched. Give me this game to go over the total. | |||||||
08-08-23 | Blue Jays v. Guardians UNDER 8 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
Blue Jays (Kikuchi) @ Guardians (Bibee) 7:10 PM ET Game# 917-918 Play On: Under 8.0 The Blue Jays Yusei Kikuchi has a brilliant 1.04 ERA over his last 3 starts and all those games went under the total. Kikuchi has a career 1.80 ERA/0.90 WHIP in 3 starts against Cleveland while averaging a healthy 6.7 innings pitched per outing. The Blues Jays have played 14-4-1 (77.8%) to the under in their last 19 games. Cleveland’s Tanner Bibbee has displayed terrific form over his last 7 starts while recording a 1.96 ERA/1.16 WHIP. Bibee has also pitched 7-1 to the under at home this season with a 1.96 ERA/1.00 WHIP. The Guardians bullpen has been very good at home in 2023 with a staff 2.70 ERA/1.11 WHIP. Cleveland has played 36-19-1 (65.5%) under at home this season. Cleveland has averaged a pathetic 2.4 runs scored per game and it a mere 2 home runs over their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total. | |||||||
08-08-23 | Braves v. Pirates OVER 10 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Braves (Chirinos) vs. Pirates (Keller) 7:05 ET Game# 905-906 Play On: Over 10.0 Mitch Keller is 0-3 in his career team starts versus Atlanta with a massive 10.03 ERA/2.57 WHIP. Keller has been in horrible form over his last 4 starts while recording a 9.97 ERA/1.98 WHIP. The Pirates have played 33-21-1 (61.1%) to the over at home this season and that includes 26-12 (68.4%) over as a money line underdog of +100 or greater.. The Pirates have played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 and 6-1 over during their previous 7 games when the total was 8.0 or greater. The Braves have averaged 6.0 runs scored per game and belted 14 home runs over their previous 7 outings. The Braves Yonny Chirinos is unequivocally the weak link in their starting pitching rotation. Chirinos has a terrible 9.64 ERA/1.79 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Give me this game to go over the total. | |||||||
08-08-23 | Astros v. Orioles +113 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Astros (Valdez) @ Orioles (Rodriguez) 7:05 PM ET Game# 915-916 Play On: Orioles +113 Yes, I am fading a starting pitcher in Framber Valdez who tossed a no-hitter in his last outing. My personal experience when witnessing an ample sample size of no-hitters over the past 2 decades is that pitchers coming off those monumental feats are more often than not nowhere near as sharp in their next start. Besides, during his previous 3 starts prior to the no-hitter, Valdez had a large 9.00 ERA/1.80 WHIP. The Astros bullpen has a deceivingly low ERA throughout their last 7 games. During that span, Astros relievers have an uninspiring 1.65 WHIP while walking 18 batters in just 20.0 innings pitched. Houston is coming off a 9-7 win at Yankee Stadium on Sunday in a game they belted 4 homers. The Astros are 5-15 since the start of last year immediately following a game in which they hit 4 or more home runs. The Orioles Grayson Rodriguez has exhibited very good form over his last 3 starts with a 2.55 ERA/0.79 WHIP. The Baltimore bullpen has a superb 0.44 ERA over their previous 7 games. Baltimore is 27-12 this season when facing lefthanded starting pitchers like Framber Valdez while averaging 6.1 runs scored per game, compiling a .315 team batting average, and an excellent .382 on-base-percentage. The Orioles enter this series having won 4 straight and 7 of their last 8 games. Give me the Orioles on the money line. | |||||||
08-07-23 | Yankees -1.5 v. White Sox | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Yankees (Cole) @ White Sox (Cease) 8:10 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Yankees -1.5 (+100) The White Sox will be facing one of the Top 5 dominant pitchers in MLB tonight. If that’s not tough enough, they’ve averaged a mere 2.6 runs scored per game over their previous 7 outings. The White Sox slated starter Dylan Cease has been horrible in his last 2 starts while allowing 11 earned runs, 11 hits, and walked 5 batters in just 7 1/3 innings pitched. Cease is 0-3 in his career teams starts versus the Yankees and with a massive 9.54 ERA and each of those outings transpired since 2021. Gerrit Cole has been extremely good in a high percentage of his starts this season. Cole has displayed superb form over his last 4 starts with a 1.71 ERA/0.68 WHIP while striking out 34 batters and wlaked just 4. Since the start of last season, the Yankees are 15-0 versus AL Central Division teams like Chicago when Gerrit Cole is their starter. Give me the Yankees on the run-line. | |||||||
08-07-23 | Blue Jays -124 v. Guardians | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
Guardians (Smith) @ Blue Jays (Ryu) 7:10 PM ET Game# 967-968 Play On: Blue Jays -124 The Guardians are 2.7 in their last 9 while averaging a paltry 2.6 runs scored per game. Gavin Williams is the slated starter for Cleveland, and he’s displayed poor form over his last 5 starts with a 1.65 WHIP. The Guardians bullpen has a staff 1.62 WHIP over their last 7 games which leaves much to be desired. The Blue Jays are 13-4 in their last 17 on the road. That includes coming off a 3-game sweep over Boston this past weekend in which they averaged 8.3 runs and 14.7 hits per game. Hyun-Jin Ryu makes his second sart of the season after returning from a 13-month stint on the disabled list. I expect him to be much better than in his season debut last week. Give me the Toronto Blue Jays on the money line. | |||||||
08-06-23 | Mets v. Orioles -1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 116 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
Mets (Quintana) @ Orioles (Bradish) 1:35 PM ET Game# 923-924 Play On: Orioles -1.5 (+116) The Mets have now lost 5 straight and were outscored by a combined 39-14. He Mets bullpen has a horrible 6.92 ERA/1.69 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The Baltimore Orioles are 26-12 versus lefthanded starting pitchers this season and outscored their opponents by an average of 1.5 runs per game. The Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Bradish has been terrific in 8 starts at Camden Yards this season 2.39 ERA/0.92 WHIP while averaging 6.1 innings pitched per outing. The Orioles bullpen has been excellent over their last 7 games while collecting a staff 0.43 ERA and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Baltimore is 26-12 in 2023 when facing lefthanded starting pitchers like Jose Quintana. The Orioles are 6-1 in their 7 while scoring 6 or more runs on 5 of those occasions. Give me the Orioles as a run-line favorite. | |||||||
08-06-23 | Royals v. Phillies -1.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Royals (Greinke) @ Phillies (Walker) 1:35 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Phillies -1.5 (-108) The Royals are 1-9 on the road this season when Zack Greinke is their starting pitcher. During those 10 away starts, Greinke posted a 7.40 ERA and 14 home runs during 48 2/3 innings pitched. The Kansas City bullpen has struggled over their previous 7 games with a staff 6.45 ERA/1.52 WHIP. The Royals had their season long 7-game win streak snapped in yesterday’s 9-6 loss at Philadelphia. The Phillies Taijuan Walker has been terrific at home this season while going 8-2 in his team starts with a 2.80 ERA/1.10 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Walker has gone 25-5 during his team starts when facing teams with a losing record. The Phillies bullpen has been very good at home this season while recording a staff 2.88 ERA/1.19 WHIP. Give me the Phillies as a run-line favorite. | |||||||
08-06-23 | Royals v. Phillies OVER 9.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Royals (Greinke) @ Phillies (Walker) 1:35 PM ET Game# 921-922 Play On: Over 9.5 (+100) Zack Greinke has posted a large 7.40 ERA and 14 home runs during 48 2/3 innings pitched during 10 road starts this season. The Kansas City bullpen has struggled over their previous 7 games with a staff 6.45 ERA/1.52 WHIP, and they allowed 5 homers in just 22 1/3 innings pitched. On a positive note, the Royals have averaged 6.4 runs scored per game while compiling a .307 team batting average and .307 team batting average and .354 on-base-percentage over their last 7 outings. Furthermore, the Royals have gone over the total in 7 straight games and 11 of their last 12 when the total was 9.5 or greater. The Phillies have gone over the total in 4 straight games when the total was 9.5 or greater and there were a combined 12.5 runs scored per game. The first 2 games of this series have produced a combined 8 homers and 27 runs scored. The scheduled home plate umpire today is Jeff Nelson and teams have played 13-6-1 to the over this season when Nelson was calling balls and strikes and there was a combined average of 10.7 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total. | |||||||
08-05-23 | Mets v. Orioles -1.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 105 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
Mets (Megill) @ Orioles (Gibson) 7:05 PM ET Game# 975-976 Play On: Orioles -1.5 (+105) The Mets have lost their last 4 while being outscored by a cumulative 30-11. New York has also dropped 7 of their last 8 road games. Tylor Megill has a a horrible 7.99 ERA/2.23 WHIP during 8 road starts this season. The Mets bullpen has an undesirable 6.57 ERA/1.62 WHP throughout their previous 7 games. New York is coming off a 10-3 loss last night at Camden Yards. They’ve gone 1-9 on the road this season after allowing 9 runs or more in their previous outing and were outscored by an average of 3.4 runs per game. Kyle Gibson exhibited good form over his last 3 starts with a 3.00 ERA/1.06 WHIP. The Orioles bullpen has been stellar over their previous 7 games with a staff 2.13 ERA/1.03 WHIP. During that identical stretch, Baltimore averaged 6.6 runs scored per game while compiling a .307 team batting average and .369 on-base percentage. Give me the Baltimore Orioles on the run-line. | |||||||
08-04-23 | Mariners -110 v. Angels | Top | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
Mariners (Castillo) @ Angels (Detmers) 9:38 PM ET Game# 919-920 Play On: Mariners -110 Ross Detmers has an awful 8.05 ERA over his last 4 starts. The Angels bullpen has a 5.54 ERA/1.50 WHIP and allowed 7 homers in 26.0 innings pitched throughout their previous 7 games. The Angels have averaged a mere 2.6 runs scored per game over their previous 7 outings. Seattle has gone 7-2 in their last 9 and 9-4 during their previous 13 away games. The Mariners slated starter Luis Castillo has displayed excellent form over his last 5 starts with a 2.32 ERA/0.84 WHIP. The Mariners bullpen has a terrific 1.23 ERA/0.86 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Give me the Seattle Mariners on the money line. | |||||||
08-03-23 | Mariners v. Angels OVER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Mariners (Woo) @ Angels (Ohtani) 9:38 PM ET Game# 965-966 Play On: Over 8.0 Seattle has played 15-5 to the over this season when facing American League teams like the Angels who average 4.9 or more runs scored per game. The Mariner Bryan Woo has exhibited terrible form over his last 3 starts with an 8.16 ERA/1.75 WHIP while also allowing 4 homers in just 14.3 innings pitched. Shoei Ohtani is coming off a complete game 1-hit shutout performance in his last start. However, in his previous 3 starts prior to that absolute gem, Ohtani recorded a 7.71 ERA/1.59 WHIP and surrendered 6 home runs during 13 1/3 innings pitched. Give me this game to go over the total. | |||||||
08-03-23 | Twins v. Cardinals OVER 9 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
Twins (Gray) @ Cardinals (Liberatore) 7:15 PM ET Game# 969-970 Play On: Over 9.0 Mathew Liberatore has a massive 10.12 ERA/2.36 WHIP throughout his previous 4 starts. The Cardinals bullpen has performed poorly over their last 7 games with a staff 4.97 ERA/1.50 WHIP. St. Louis has smacked an impressive 14 home runs throughout their previous 7 games. Sonny Gray of the Twins has a terrible 7.71 ERA/1.59 WHIP during his previous 4 starts. The Twins bullpen has an awful 7.30 ERA as a staff over their last 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total. | |||||||
08-03-23 | Pirates v. Brewers OVER 8.5 | 1-14 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Pirates (Keller) @ Brewers (Houser) 7:15 PM ET Game# 955-956 Play On: Over 8.5 The Pirates Mitch Keller has been in bad form over his last 3 starts with an 8.64 ERA/1.86 WHIP and allowed an alarmingly high 6 home runs in 16 2/3 innings pitched. During his lone start versus Milwaukee this season, Keller allowed 4 earned runs in only 5.0 innings pitched. Additionally, Pittsburgh has played 28-13 to the over this season when their money line was +125 to -125 which it currently is. The Brewers Adrian Houser has exhibited poor form over his last 3 starts with a 6.89 ERA/1.66 WHIP. The Milwaukee bullpen has recorded an uninspiring 5.32 ERA/1.55 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ray Monohan | $529 |
Jim Feist | $502 |
Matt Fargo | $451 |
Rocky Atkinson | $438 |
ProSportsPicks | $435 |
Marc Lawrence | $368 |
Tim Michael | $206 |
Dan Kaiser | $205 |
William Burns | $175 |
Kyle Hunter | $70 |