Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-16-18 | Lipscomb v. North Carolina -19.5 | Top | 66-84 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
At 2:45 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Lipscomb. The Tar Heels lost the ACC Conference championship game to #1-ranked Virginia, but I look for them to bounce back this afternoon. Indeed, the losers of the ACC Title game have done well in their initial game following that loss, as they've cashed 62% since 1997. Even worse for Lipscomb: it topped 100 points in its win at Florida Gulf Coast to win the Atlantic Sun tourney. But underdogs (or PK) have covered just 40% over the last 28 years in the 1st Round of the NCAA Tourney after scoring 100+ points. Take North Carolina. | |||||||
03-16-18 | Georgia State v. Cincinnati -13.5 | Top | 53-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Cincy Bearcats minus the points over Georgia State. The Panthers have won and covered four straight games heading into this match-up in Nashville, while Cincinnati's on a 3-game ATS losing streak. The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the double-digits with the red-hot Panthers. But over the last 28 years, teams on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak have actually burned money in the NCAA Tourney when playing a foe off back to back ATS defeats, as they've covered just 33%. Lay the point with the Bearcats. | |||||||
03-16-18 | Marshall v. Wichita State -11.5 | Top | 81-75 | Loss | -117 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Wichita State Shockers minus the points over Marshall. The Thundering Herd upset Western Kentucky, 67-66, as a 6-point underdog to win their Conference. But that upset win has placed Marshall in a nasty 6-64 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams that got the $$$ as underdogs. Moreover, Wichita is on a six-game ATS losing streak, but favorites off 6 ATS losses have covered 83% in the NCAA Tourney vs. foes off back to back wins. Take Wichita. Opening Round Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-16-18 | CS-Fullerton v. Purdue -20 | Top | 48-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
At 12:40 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Cal Fullerton. The Titans upset Cal Irvine, 71-55, to win the Big West Conference Tournament, while Purdue was upset, 75-66, by Michigan in the Big 10 Title game. And that was the 3rd straight ATS loss by Purdue. The good news, though, for the 2nd-seeded Boilers is that Top 2-seeded teams, off 3 ATS losses, have cashed 75% in the NCAA Tourney as double-digit favorites vs. foes off upset wins. Lay the points with Purdue. NCAA High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-15-18 | Montana +11 v. Michigan | Top | 47-61 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
At 9:50 pm, our selection is on the Montana Grizzlies + the points over Michigan. The Wolverines upset Purdue to win the Big 10 Title, and have been installed as a double-digit favorite in this 1st round game vs. Montana. We'll fade Michigan, as top 4-seeded teams have gone 1-10 ATS as favorites of -11 or more points in the NCAA Tourney since 2000 off an upset win. Take Montana. Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-15-18 | St Bonaventure v. Florida -5 | Top | 62-77 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over St Bonaventure. The Bonnies upset UCLA in the play-in game on Tuesday, to run their season record to 26-7, while Florida was upset by Arkansas last Friday, and dropped to 20-12. We'll lay the points with Florida, as teams off upset wins (like St Bonaventure) have cashed just 39 of 96 games in the NCAA Tournament vs. foes off upset wins, including 7 of 28 if our play-against team (here, St Bonnie) owned a better win percentage than its opponent. Take the Gators. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-15-18 | South Dakota State v. Ohio State -7.5 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over South Dakota State. Ohio State was upset by Penn State in the Big 10 Tourney, while South Dakota State punched its ticket to the Big Dance with an upset win over rival, South Dakota, in the Summit League Championship game. However, since 1990, Big 10 teams have cashed 79% in the post-season, if they were off an upset loss, and their opponent was off an upset win. Lay the points with the Buckeyes. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-15-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Miami-FL -1.5 | Top | 64-62 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Loyola-Illinois. The Ramblers have won 10 in a row, but have been installed as an underdog vs. the Hurricanes. Unfortunately for Loyola, teams on 9-game (or better) win streaks that are underdogs in the first round of the NCAA Tourney, are a soft 32-54-1 ATS since 1990. Take Miami. | |||||||
03-15-18 | Pennsylvania +14 v. Kansas | Top | 60-76 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Pennsylvania Quakers + the points over Kansas. The #1-seeded Jayhawks enter this Tourney on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak, including an upset of WVU in the Big 12 Championship game. Unfortunately, Big 12 Conference teams (or Big 8 Conference before that) have been dreadful in the 1st round of the NCAA Tourney off an upset win in the Conference Title game. Since 1990, they've cashed just 28%. Meanwhile, Ivy League teams have cashed 69% in the post-season since 1990 vs. foes off upset wins. Take Penn + the points. | |||||||
03-15-18 | Wright State v. Tennessee -12 | Top | 47-73 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show |
At 12:40 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Wright State. The Raiders have won and covered four straight games. But that hot streak sets them up in several of my negative situations, including two angles that are 83-45 and 34-15 ATS going against Wright State. Meanwhile, Tennessee was upset by Kentucky in its previous game, and that defeat has triggered a solid 51-22 ATS system on the Volunteers. Also, Tennessee's covered 14 of its last 18 games away from home vs. non-conference foes, while the SEC Conference has covered 83% vs. the Horizon League since 1990 as a double-digit favorite when the SEC team was off a loss. Lay the points with Tennessee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-14-18 | Boise State v. Washington +1 | Top | 77-74 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies over Boise State. The #4-seeded Broncos are the higher seeded team in this NIT Tournament, but #5-seeded Washington will enjoy home court tonight, since Boise's court is being used by the NCAA Tournament this week. Boise was upset, 78-75, by Utah State in the Mountain West tourney last week. And that doesn't bode well for the Broncos tonight, as road favorites off an upset loss have cashed just 33% in the post-season the past 28 years, including 1-10-1 ATS the past four year. Take Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-13-18 | Wagner v. Baylor -15 | Top | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Wagner. The Bears dropped their last two games to end their Big 12 Conference campaign, but have still earned a #1 seed in this NIT tournament. We'll lay the points with Baylor, as #1-seeded teams have cashed 80% since 1992 in the post-season when favored by 9+ points. Even better: Baylor's 41-13-3 ATS at home off back to back losses vs. .785 (or worse) foes. Take the Bears minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-11-18 | Houston v. Cincinnati -4.5 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Houston. Cincinnati's a fantastic 29-4 this season, and earned the #1 seed in this AAC Tournament. The Bearcats won by double-digits in each of their first two tournament games, and that's a good sign for them today, as #1 seeds have gone 73-50 ATS in the Championship round off back to back double-digit wins, when not favored by 9+ points. Moreover, Cincy's playing with revenge from a loss earlier this season to Houston. And the Bearcats are 11-2 ATS as a favorite when playing with revenge. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-11-18 | Kentucky v. Tennessee +1 | Top | 77-72 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers over Kentucky. It's true that Kentucky is off an impressive 86-63 blowout of Alabama. However, the Vols won both meetings with Kentucky this season, and that bodes well for Tennessee to win the title, today, on Sunday. Indeed, since 1991, .692 (or better) teams (like Kentucky) playing with double revenge from two losses earlier in the season, have been a wallet-busting 82-114 ATS in the Conference Tourneys. Even worse: teams off 18-point wins (and 18-point covers) in the semi-final round have covered just 40% of Title games when not getting double-digits. Take Tennessee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-10-18 | North Carolina v. Virginia -3.5 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over North Carolina. Yesterday we played on North Carolina in its upset win as a 4-point underdog vs. its rival, Duke. But off that upset win, I expect a letdown tonight vs. Virginia. Indeed, North Carolina falls into negative 5-40, 14-34 and 3-19 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams in the tourneys off upset wins. And the Tar Heels are also a poor 1-6 ATS vs. Virginia when not favored in the game. Take the Cavaliers minus the points. ACC Tourney Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-09-18 | Texas State v. UL-Lafayette -11.5 | Top | 54-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Texas State. We played on the Bobcats in their opening game of this tournament, and were rewarded with a 73-66 upset win over Coastal Carolina. But off that upset win, we will fade Texas State in this game vs. the #1-seeded Rajin' Cajuns, who are off an upset loss to end their regular season. However, #1-seeded teams off an upset loss have cashed 68% in the Tournaments over the past 28 years vs. foes off upset wins. And, since March 2015, the Cajuns have covered 11 straight away from home off an upset loss! Take Louisiana Lafayette minus the points. Sun Belt Conf. Tourney Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-08-18 | Cal Poly +11.5 v. UC-Santa Barbara | Top | 53-75 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 55 m | Show |
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal Santa Barbara. The Mustangs have dropped their last seven games to the point spread, and have covered just one of their previous 15. And, for the season, they're 7-19 ATS. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Cal Poly tonight. But consider that, over the past 28 years, NCAA teams whose ATS records were more than 10 games below .500, have actually covered 67% in the Conference Tourneys vs. foes off a SU/ATS win! Moreover, double-digit dogs with a losing record have cashed 68.1% since 1990 in the post-season if they were off back to back SU/ATS losses, and their opponent was off a SU/ATS win. Finally, Cal Poly also falls into 37-20, 80-27, 503-351 and 62-28 ATS systems of mine, so we'll grab the points with the Mustangs. Big West Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-08-18 | UAB v. Western Kentucky -4 | Top | 70-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers over UAB. There aren't many teams with a better post-season resume than Western Kentucky. Dating back to 1993, the Hilltoppers have gone 43-23 SU and 46-19-1 ATS in their 66 post season games! They've also dominated the Blazers over the years, including a perfect 7-0 ATS at home or on a neutral court. It's true that the Hilltoppers dropped their final two regular season games by 18 and 28 points, respectively. But NCAA teams have cashed 74% in the Conference Tourneys off back to back losses by 18+ points, if they were playing a winning opponent. Take Western Kentucky. Conf. USA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-08-18 | East Carolina +13.5 v. UCF | Top | 52-66 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 53 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over Central Florida. The Pirates have lost five straight games to end their regular season, and have also failed to cover their last four. In contrast, the Knights are off back to back ATS wins. Unfortunately for Central Florida, favorites of 8+ points, off back to back ATS wins, have been dreadful in the post-season vs. foes off three ATS losses, including 20.9% ATS since 1990 vs. conference foes off a SU loss. Take East Carolina. AAC Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-08-18 | LSU v. Mississippi State -2 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over LSU. These two teams met five days ago in Baton Rouge, and LSU got the better of the Bulldogs that day, with a 78-57 win. LSU, though, was at home in that game, and was favored. Here, it's an underdog, and the Tigers are a poor 17-30 ATS their last 47 as a dog, and also 0-6 ATS off a double-digit SEC Conference win. Meanwhile, Miss State is a super 17-6 ATS when playing with revenge from a road loss, and is 57-36 ATS when playing with revenge from a double-digit defeat. The Bulldogs are also 10-2 ATS off back to back ATS losses, and they fall into a 72-32 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off double-digit losses. Take the Bulldogs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-08-18 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas -3 | Top | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Oklahoma State. The Jayhawks play this game with revenge from an 82-64 loss to the Cowboys. And that bodes well today, as Oklahoma State is an awful 16-35 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, provided Okie State wasn't favored by more than 2 points. Even worse: if the Cowboys won the season's previous meeting by 14+ points, then our 16-35 stat crashes to 1-11 ATS. Finally, the Jayhawks fall into several of my best Tourney systems, with records of 46-13, 202-120 and 82-41 ATS since 1990. Take Kansas. Big 12 Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-08-18 | UC Riverside +7 v. UC-Davis | Top | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show |
At 3 pm, our selection is on Cal Riverside + the points over Cal Davis. Cal Riverside plays this game with double-revenge, and also falls into a 43-8 ATS 'bounce-back' system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses. With Riverside in off an 18-point loss at Long Beach last Saturday, we'll grab the points with the revenging Highlanders. | |||||||
03-08-18 | South Florida v. Memphis -9 | Top | 77-79 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over South Florida. These two teams met a week ago in Memphis, and South Florida stunned the Tigers with a 75-51 win, as a 13.5-point underdog. But you know what they say about 'Payback!' And I love Memphis today, as it falls into a 71-25 ATS post-season revenge system of mine. South Florida's also 0-7 ATS off back to back ATS wins. Take Memphis. | |||||||
03-08-18 | Boston College v. Clemson -5.5 | Top | 82-90 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show |
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Boston College. BC is off an upset win over NC State yesterday, but will be hard-pressed to make it two in a row this afternoon, as Clemson has an advantage of not having to play yesterday. BC falls into a negative 26-68 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins. Lay the points with Clemson. | |||||||
03-08-18 | Alabama +3.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 1 h 5 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide + the points over Texas A&M. Alabama has lost five straight games, but did cover both meetings this season vs. Texas A&M. We'll grab the points, as Bama falls into a 40-15 ATS 'contrarian' system of mine which plays on certain teams in the Tourneys off 4+ losses. | |||||||
03-07-18 | Southern Miss v. Florida International -1 | Top | 69-68 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers over Southern Miss. The Golden Eagles pulled off an upset, at home, against La Tech in their final regular season game. But Southern Miss has lost (both SU and ATS) their four previous games before that upset win. And it's an awful 19-36-3 ATS off an upset conference win since 1990, including 1-13 ATS their last 14 when priced from PK to +8.5. Take the Panthers minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-07-18 | California +9.5 v. Stanford | Top | 58-76 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Stanford. The Cardinal upset Arizona State, 84-83, as an 8.5-point underdog to end their regular season. Unfortunately for Stanford, favorites of -8+ points, off an upset win as an underdog of +6 or more points, have gone 0-for-15 ATS in the post-season over the past 16 years! Take California. | |||||||
03-07-18 | Texas State +2 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 73-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats + the points over Coastal Carolina. Both of these teams come into this game with identical 14-17 records. But they've taken much different routes to that record. Coastal Carolina finished the season by winning seven of its last 11 games, while Texas State was 1-10 its last 11, including 0-9 its last nine. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against a team in the Conference Tourney off nine straight losses. But as we saw yesterday with Pittsburgh (which had lost 18 straight games), such 'cold' teams are often very good bets in the Tourneys. Indeed, since 1990, teams off 9+ losses have covered 58% in the Conference Tournaments. Take Texas State. | |||||||
03-06-18 | BYU v. Gonzaga -9.5 | Top | 54-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over BYU, as Gonzaga falls into 50-17, 43-6 and 84-32 ATS tourney systems of mine. Gonzaga has completely dominated this tournament. It's won the WCC crown each of the last five seasons. And it's gone a perfect 5-0 ATS in each of the Title games. And none of those games were close, as the Zags won each by double-digits, and covered by an average of 8.6 ppg. Gonzaga's also 19-6 ATS in the WCC Tourney when favored by 12 points or less. And BYU has covered just one of 12 games vs. Gonzaga (whether in the regular season or tournament) when BYU's been installed as an underdog of less than 12 points. Take Gonzaga. WCC GAME OF THE YEAR. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-06-18 | Jackson State v. Southern -5 | Top | 60-62 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern U. Jaguars minus the points over Jackson State. The Jaguars lost their last two regular season games -- both at home -- and will look to rebound tonight in their opening game of the Southwestern Athletic Conference tourney. The good news for Southern is that favorites of -4+ points have covered 67% in the tournaments off back to back home losses to end the regular season. Take the Jaguars minus the points. | |||||||
03-06-18 | Long Island +8 v. Wagner | Top | 71-61 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Blackbirds + the points over Wagner. The Seahawks defeated Long Island, 78-74, in the previous meeting. But we'll grab the points with Long Island, as the underdog has covered 82% of Northeast Conference tourney championship games, including 88% ATS when playing with revenge. And Long Island also falls into an 84-45 ATS conference tourney revenge system of mine Take the Blackbirds + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-06-18 | Northeastern v. College of Charleston -2.5 | Top | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on Charleston minus the points over Northeastern. The Huskies have won nine straight entering this CAA Tourney Final. Unfortunately for the Huskies, underdogs of more than 2 points, that have won their previous nine games, have covered just 23% in the Conference Tourneys the past 15 years. Take Charleston to blow out Northeastern. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-06-18 | Montana State +1.5 v. North Dakota | Top | 74-76 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
At 3 pm, in the Big Sky Tourney, our selection is on the Montana State Bobcats + the points over North Dakota. This is primarily a contrarian play, as the Bobcats enter the game off 6 straight losses. But this losing streak has triggered a 74-34 ATS system of mine which plays on certain cold teams. Even better: the Bobcats are playing with revenge from a 1-point loss at North Dakota in February. But the revenger in Montana State tourney games has gone 13-2 ATS, including a perfect 8-0 ATS if they didn't lose the previous meeting by double-digits. Take the Bobcats. | |||||||
03-05-18 | Bowling Green +8.5 v. Central Michigan | Top | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Bowling Green Falcons plus the points over Central Michigan. The Falcons were blown out, 100-70, in their final regular season game. And Bowling Green has also lost five straight, overall, and has failed to cover its last two. Notwithstanding its current cold streak, we'll grab the points with the Falcons, as teams off back to back SU/ATS losses have covered 59% in the post-season over the last 28 years, if they gave up 100+ points in their previous game. Take Bowling Green. | |||||||
03-04-18 | Furman v. East Tennessee State +2 | Top | 52-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the East Tennessee St. Buccaneers + the points over Furman. The Paladins have won and covered seven straight games. But we'll fade Furman, as they fall into negative 65-109 and 26-74 ATS 'contrarian' systems of mine that go against certain 'hot' teams. Additionally, in the semi-final round of the Conference Tournaments, teams off 7+ wins have gone just 24-47 ATS vs. foes off exactly one win, including 8-28 ATS as a favorite off an ATS win. Take East Tennessee + the points. Southern Conf. Tourney Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-04-18 | Michigan v. Purdue -3.5 | Top | 75-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Michigan. The Wolverines upset Michigan State, 75-64, yesterday. But we'll fade John Beilein's men this afternoon, as teams off double-digit semi-final wins over .759 (or better) foes have crashed in the finals, as they've covered just 37% over the past 28 years. Take Purdue. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-04-18 | Illinois State v. Loyola-Chicago -9 | Top | 49-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
At 2:05 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Chicago Ramblers minus the points over Illinois State. The Ramblers have won nine straight, and 16 of their last 17. They've also covered 13 of those 17 games, including yesterday's 62-54 win over Bradley, as a 6.5-point favorite. These two teams met twice this season, and the Ramblers beat the Redbirds twice, by identical 68-61 scores. That bodes well for Loyola this afternoon, as favorites have cashed 63% in Conference Tourney finals if their win percentage was .750 (or better), and they already defeated their opponent twice in the regular season. Take Loyola. | |||||||
03-04-18 | Drexel v. College of Charleston -9.5 | Top | 59-66 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 30 m | Show |
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Charleston College Cougars minus the points over Drexel. We played on Drexel yesterday, and were rewarded with a 70-62 upset win over James Madison. Unfortunately, the Dragons now have to play the #1 seed, Charleston, in its home city. And #1-seeded teams off a loss have cashed 77% in the Conference Tournaments the past 28 years, if they're playing in their home city against a foe off a win. Lay the points with the Cougars. | |||||||
03-03-18 | Western Illinois +15 v. South Dakota State | Top | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Illinois Leathernecks + the points over South Dakota State. Western Illinois was upset at home by Denver to end its regular season. But I love the Leathernecks to bounce back on Saturday vs. the Jackrabbits, as they fall into 19-1, 41-14 and 52-29 ATS Tourney systems of mine. Additionally, NCAA underdogs have cashed 69% since 1990 in Tourney games off an upset home defeat, if they're matched up against a foe off back to back SU/ATS wins. With the Jackrabbits in off 4 SU/ATS wins, we'll grab the points with Western Illinois. Summit League Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-02-18 | Portland +2.5 v. Loyola Marymount | Top | 72-78 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots plus the points over Loyola Marymount, as Portland falls into 69-28 and 79-38 ATS Conference Tourney systems of mine. Moreover, Portland has lost its last six games. But teams off 6+ losses have actually done well in NCAA Post-season Tourneys, as they've cashed 56% since 1990. Even better: if our team was off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, and its opponent was off back-to-back SU/ATS wins, then our 56% stat zooms to 81%. Take Portland + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-02-18 | Youngstown State +1.5 v. Cleveland State | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on Youngstown St. + the points over Cleveland St. It's true that the Penguins are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak. But they're an awesome 63.1% since 2002 off 3 SU/ATS losses, including 73% ATS when playing with revenge. With Youngstown, indeed, playing with revenge from a 99-94 loss, we'll grab the points with the Penguins. | |||||||
03-02-18 | Missouri State v. Southern Illinois +2.5 | Top | 63-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Illinois Salukis over Missouri State. Southern Illinois comes into this Missouri Valley Conference quarterfinal game off back to back SU/ATS losses. But the Salukis are 19-3 ATS as an underdog of +6 or less points (or PK) off back to back ATS losses when matched up against foes off a point spread win! Additionally, Southern Illinois falls into 78-39, 51-29 and 18-1 ATS Tourney systems of mine. Take the Salukis. MISSOURI VALLEY GAME OF THE YEAR. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-02-18 | Penn State v. Ohio State -4.5 | Top | 69-68 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Penn State. The Buckeyes only lost three games in Conference play this season, but two of those were to these Nittany Lions. So, Ohio State will surely want to avenge those two defeats this evening. And i believe the Buckeyes will do just that, as they fall into an 81-38 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams in Conference Tourneys with revenge. Moreover, Ohio State is 35-19 ATS when playing with double-revenge. Lay it. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-02-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Toledo -5 | Top | 71-69 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
At 6 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Eastern Michigan. The Eagles defeated Toledo, 85-79, on February 20, in Ypsilanti. Unfortunately for Eastern Michigan, it's an awful 21-42 ATS as an underdog (or PK) vs. a revenge-minded opponent off a win. With the Rockets, indeed, off a win (97-67 at Northern Illinois), we'll lay the points with the Rockets this evening. | |||||||
03-02-18 | Detroit +3.5 v. Green Bay | Top | 81-93 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Titans plus the points over Wisconsin Green Bay. The Phoenix enter this Horizon League Tourney off back to back upset wins, while Detroit is off back to back SU/ATS losses. The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the 'hot' Phoenix, and go against the 'cold' Titans. But since 1990, NCAA teams have cashed just 29% in Conference Tournaments as a favorite off 2 upset wins, if their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Detroit. | |||||||
03-02-18 | VMI v. The Citadel -4 | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
At 5 pm, our selection is on The Citadel Bulldogs minus the points over VMI. These two teams met less than two weeks ago at The Citadel, and the Bulldogs were upset, 75-71, as an 8.5-point favorite. The Citadel also dropped their last two regular season games. But those facts set up our play this evening, as College Basketball favorites off back to back SU/ATS losses, and playing with revenge from an upset home loss, have cashed 67% since 1990 in Conference Tourney games. Lay the points with The Citadel. | |||||||
03-01-18 | Marist +7.5 v. Fairfield | Top | 57-71 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Marist Red Foxes + the points over Fairfield. It's true that Marist won just six of its 30 games this season. But one of its six wins was against this Fairfield squad, when it triumphed, 95-89, as a 5-point home underdog in January (the Stags did win the second meeting, in February). And Fairfield also had an overall losing record on the season, which sets up our play tonight. Since 1990, in conference tournament games between two losing teams, underdogs with a .200 (or worse) win percentage have covered 62%. That bodes well for Marist on Thursday. As does the fact that Fairfield is an awful 9-24 ATS as a favorite of -3 or more points, while Marist is 27-15 ATS off a loss when playing with revenge. Take Marist. MAA Conference Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
03-01-18 | Texas-San Antonio v. North Texas -5 | Top | 62-80 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Texas San Antonio. The Mean Green enter tonight's home game off five straight losses. But they were an underdog in four of those five games. And they were only favored by a meager 1.5 points in the lone game they were installed as a favorite. Here, they're favored by more than that, and I love North Texas to blow out UTSA, as North Texas falls into a 240-153 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses. Even better: North Texas is 12-2 ATS at home off back to back losses, while Texas San Antonio is an awful 33% off back to back ATS wins (and 16% off 3+ ATS wins). Take North Texas. | |||||||
03-01-18 | Virginia v. Louisville +4 | Top | 67-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Virginia. The Cardinals lost by 10, 74-64, at Virginia, in January. But I love them to avenge that defeat this evening, as Virginia is a horrid 15-45 ATS away from home vs. opponents playing with same-season revenge. And if UVa was priced from -2 to -5.5 points, then the Cavs' stat drops to 1-16 ATS. Take Louisville. | |||||||
03-01-18 | Lafayette v. Colgate -7.5 | Top | 54-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Colgate Raiders minus the points over Lafayette. The Leopards won in the opening round of this Patriot League Tournament, 93-86, vs. American, while Colgate earned a bye, as the #2 seed. Unfortunately for Lafayette, it falls into a negative 38-80 ATS system of mine, which goes against certain teams against revenge-minded foes. Moreover, teams playing with revenge from a double-digit loss have covered 55% in Conference Tourneys since 1990 when favored by more than 3 points (and 62% if they were playing with same-season double revenge). Take Colgate. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
02-28-18 | Robert Morris +7 v. Mount Saint Mary's | Top | 60-56 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Robert Morris Colonials + the points over Mount St. Marys. Robert Morris lost just six days ago to Mount St. Marys, 72-53, so it will be looking to avenge that blowout defeat, tonight. And Northeast Conference Tourney teams have cashed 24 of 35 if they were playing with revenge, and installed as an underdog in the Tourney game. Take the Colonials. | |||||||
02-27-18 | Presbyterian +10.5 v. Charleston Southern | Top | 51-68 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Presbyterian Blue Hose + the points over Charleston Southern, as the Blue Hose fall into one of my favorite Conference Tourney systems, which is 68-26 ATS since 1990. Moreover, Presbyterian's been installed as a double-digit underdog. And double digit road underdogs have cashed 69.2% since 1990 in Conference Tourneys if they were off 2 SU losses, and their opponent was off 2 SU wins. Take Presbyterian. Big South Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
02-26-18 | Duke v. Virginia Tech +6 | Top | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Duke. The Hokies were upset by Louisville here at home on Saturday, 75-68, while Duke has won and covered five straight. One of those five wins was less than two weeks ago in Durham, when the Blue Devils blew out Va Tech, 74-52. But with revenge from that 22-point loss, we'll jump all over the Hokies tonight, as they fall into a 93-33 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost by 20+ points earlier in the season. Moreover, Virginia Tech is 12-1 ATS its last 13 as a home underdog, and 37-14 ATS at home or on neutral courts when playing with same-season revenge vs. a conference foe, including 5-0 ATS off an upset loss, and 27-7 ATS as a dog/PK. Take the Hokies. NCAA Hoops High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
02-25-18 | Colorado State +17.5 v. Nevada | Top | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams + the points over Nevada. Nevada is 24-5 and is riding a 4-game win streak. Unfortunately, Mountain West underdogs of more than 13 points are 92-44 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins. Take Colorado State + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. | |||||||
02-25-18 | Northern Kentucky v. IUPU-Indianapolis +8.5 | Top | 75-56 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Northern Kentucky. IUPUI has won and covered its last three games, and will play its final home game of the season this afternoon vs. the Horizon League-leading Norse (21-8 overall; 16-10 ATS; 14-3 in Conference). Since 1990, home dogs off 3 SU/ATS wins have cashed 65% vs. foes off ATS wins, if such foes also were .500 or better ATS. Additionally, IUPUI is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog or PK over the last three seasons. Take IUPUI plus the points. | |||||||
02-25-18 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin +8.5 | Top | 68-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over Michigan State. The Badgers enter this game with a losing record, at 14-16 (and 7-10 in the Big 10). But they've won and covered three straight. And they're also an awesome 48-26 ATS in Big 10 play when they entered the game with a .500 or worse Big 10 record. Take Wisconsin. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
William Burns | $516 |
Ricky Tran | $412 |
Sean Higgs | $152 |
Dan Kaiser | $151 |
Will Rogers | $131 |
Ray Monohan | $58 |
Jimmy Boyd | $47 |
Sean Murphy | $21 |
Joey Tron | $11 |