Stephen Nover NCAA-F Picks
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-18-17 |
Arizona State v. Oregon State OVER 59 | | 40-24 |
Win | 100 | 35 h 43 m | Show |
Arizona State is peaking offensively averaing 40.5 points and rushing for 675 yards during its last two games. Oregon State ranks among the bottom four in the country defensively allowing more than 40 points per game. Arizona State has the second-best red zone scoring percentage in the country. The Sun Devils can almost cover this total alone. But the Beavers should be able to pitch in with some points. They've scored 28 and 23 points during their past two games and have improved their ground attack. Arizona State is weak versus the run. |
11-18-17 |
Virginia +18.5 v. Miami-FL | | 28-44 |
Win | 100 | 21 h 25 m | Show |
Miami is in letdown mode after consecutive huge home victories against Virginia Tech and Notre Dame. Virginia has the passing game to put up enough points to cover this spread. Cavaliers QB Kurt Benkert has thrown 21 TD passes and throws for 249.2 yards per game. The Hurricanes are 0-2 ATS as double-digit ACC favorites. Neither time did they come close to covering beating Syracuse by eight points and North Carolina by five. |
11-18-17 |
Minnesota +7.5 v. Northwestern | | 0-39 |
Loss | -115 | 115 h 12 m | Show |
Minnesota beat Northwestern, 29-12, last season and the Gophers are better this season under P.J. Fleck. The Gophers have bowl incentive needing another victory to reach six wins. Northwestern has won five in a row, but three have come in overtime. The Wildcats don't have better athletes than the Gophers. I see these teams being close to even in terms of talent so this is a generous spread. Minnesota historically does well on the road against the Wildcats covering in eight of their last nine trips to Evanston. |
11-18-17 |
Minnesota v. Northwestern UNDER 46 | | 0-39 |
Win | 100 | 102 h 2 m | Show |
Both of these teams are in the bottom 50th in scoring. Minnesota ranks 111th in total yards. So a low scoring game is expected with the defenses dominating. But making it even more of a defensive battle are the expected weather conditions. It's going to be cold and the forecast is calling for winds gusting from 22-to-30. |