|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|10-15-22||Winnipeg v. BC||32-40||Win||100||78 h 7 m||Show|
Having clinched the top seed in the Western Conference and home field advantage in the playoffs, Winnipeg has nothing to gain in this game. So, not surprisingly, the Blue Bombers will be sitting out numerous starters, including QB Zach Collaros.
BC, however, is battling Calgary for the No. 2 seed in the West and home field advantage in the playoffs. This also is fan appreciation night in British Columbia so the Lions will be far more motivated than the Blue Bombers.
|09-02-22||Ottawa +5.5 v. Montreal||Top||38-24||Win||100||72 h 52 m||Show|
Ottawa has covered during each of its last NINE visits to Montreal. That's a strong historical trend. But there is much more as to why I like the underdog Redblacks to cover if not win straight-up.The Redblacks have covered four of their five road games this season. Montreal is a money-burner at home covering only four of its last 14 home contests. Ottawa has a respectable defense. The Redblacks are giving up an average of 19.5 points in their last four games. Montreal has won two in a row. But the Alouettes may have lost that winning momentum since they last played on Aug. 20. This is just their third game since Aug. 11. Their two victories in a row came by three in overtime and by one point. The Alouettes have surrendered an average of 31.6 points in their last three home games. Ottawa looks like it has gotten its offense back on track with Nick Arubckle returning at quarterback. He helped spark the Redblacks to a 25-18 road upset victory against Edmonton as a short underdog in Ottawa's last game. The Redblacks don't need to have a dominant offense to upset Montreal. They can accomplish this via ball-control with Arbuckle providing steady quarterback play and Devonte Williams running the ball. Williams is in line for a big game facing a Montreal defense that ranks second-to-last in run defense giving up 5.3 yards per carry on the ground and 10 rushing TD's.
|08-26-22||Hamilton +2.5 v. Toronto||20-37||Loss||-110||27 h 42 m||Show|
Hamilton is the road team, but taking points with the Tiger-Cats is a bonus. I see Hamilton as the better team with the return of QB Dane Evans. He didn't play in Hamilton's last two games because of a shoulder injury. Evans had the second-most passing yardage in the CFL this season behind only BC QB Nathan Rourke.Evans should have a big game as Toronto has a league-low 16 sacks. The Argos have trouble running the ball ranking last in average yards per run. They are without their star runner, injured Andrew Harris. Hamilton ranks No. 2 in the league in run defense. So the Argos shouldn't be able to achieve any balance on offense. The Tiger-Cats are 10-4-1 ATS the past 15 times playing in Toronto.
|08-25-22||Calgary v. Winnipeg OVER 48||29-31||Win||100||10 h 4 m||Show|
The two teams met July 30 in Calgary. There were 63 points scored in that game with Winnipeg winning, 35-28. That's the most points the Blue Bombers have allowed all season.
The Stampeders have the offense to produce points like that even with the QB change to Jake Maier. This is Maier's opportunity after he completed 14 of 18 passes for 156 yards to lead Calgary to a come-from-behind road victory against Toronto last week. The Stampeders rank No. 2 in the CFL in scoring at 29.8 points. They lead the league in rushing. So Maier has ground support.
The Blue Bombers are the third-highest scoring team in the CFL at 26.7 points. They were idle last week so they should have plenty of energy and a strong offensive game plan.
|08-19-22||Edmonton Elks v. Ottawa OVER 48||30-12||Loss||-110||48 h 53 m||Show|
Edmonton and Ottawa are the two worst teams in the CFL. This should be a loose game featuring two mobile quarterbacks - Taylor Cornelius and probably Caleb Evans of the Redblacks. Evans played poorly against Calgary in Ottawa's last game. But he led the Redblacks to a victory against Toronto two games ago while being named CFL Top Performer for that week.
Ottawa ranks No. 2 in the CFL in total yardage yet averages only 19.8 points. Expect that to change here as Edmonton has the worst defense in the league. The Elks are giving up a whopping 36 points per game in nine games. So the Redblacks should finally produce points no matter if Evans or Nick Arubuckle, a former Elk player, should start.
Cornelius should be in line for a big game on the ground as Ottawa ranks third-from-the bottom in run defense. He has a top wide receiver in Kenny Lawler, who is tied for the most receptions in the CFL.
|08-05-22||Calgary v. Ottawa +5.5||17-3||Loss||-110||55 h 47 m||Show|
Ottawa has a very misleading 1-6 record. The Redblacks have lost five games by a combined 21 points. They lost twice to powerful 8-0 Winnipeg by an average of 4.5 points. Calgary just played Winnipeg twice and lost by seven points in each game against the Blue Bombers.
The Redblacks have their confidence up after getting that much needed first win against Toronto this past Sunday. Caleb Evans was effective for the Redblacks completing 24-of-29 passes for 286 yards and two TD's against the Argonauts. Evans has steadily been improving.
Calgary could be without its star running back, Ka'Deem Carey because of a hamstring injury. Carey is the second-leading rusher in the CFL and is tied for the most running TD's with five.
|07-31-22||Ottawa +5 v. Toronto||23-13||Win||100||30 h 35 m||Show|
Hard to believe Ottawa is 0-6. The Redblacks have only been out of one game. All but one of their losses was by more than seven points. Ottawa is improving each week and due for positive regression.
Ottawa QB Caleb Evans has been improving as he gets more comfortable running the Redblacks' offense with starter Jeremiah Masoli out. Jaelon Acklin has the second-most receiving yardage in the league and Richie Leone has the second-highest punting average in the CFL at 48.2. Those are key weapons for the Redblacks.
Toronto has taken advantage of some scheduling breaks to go 3-2. But the Argos are not impressive. They have been outscored by 25 points and are minus 8 in turnover ratio. Toronto's last two wins were both against Saskatchewan and in one of those contests the Roughriders were short-handed due to a COVID outbreak.
You have to go back nine games to last season to find the last time the Argos were favored by more than three points. They are 1-5 ATS the last six times they've been chalk.
|07-29-22||BC -125 v. Saskatchewan||Top||32-17||Win||100||29 h 55 m||Show|
Saskatchewan could be far closer to full strength than it was last week because of injuries and a COVID-19 outbreak. The Roughriders aren't a very good team, though, even if healthy. They lost and failed to cover against Toronto in their last two games. The Roughriders gave up an average of 30.5 points to the Argos in those two games.
The Roughriders have played an easy schedule. BC is the first strong Western Division foe Saskatchewan has faced. BC is 4-1 with the lone loss occurring to two-time defending Grey Cup champion Winnipeg. The Lions rank No. 1 in totals yards and points per game. They also give up the fewest yards per game on defense along with ranking first in pass defense.
Roughriders QB Cody Fajardo sat out last week due to a knee injury. Jake Dolegala filled in for Fajardo and completed just 46 percent of his throws. Fajardo is likely to return here, but his mobility may be limited.
Saskatchewan last played this past Sunday. So the Roughriders are on a short week. BC, by contrast, last played on July 21. So the Lions are on extra rest and prep time.
|07-22-22||Winnipeg v. Edmonton Elks OVER 47||Top||24-10||Loss||-110||45 h 10 m||Show|
Winnipeg is coming off a season-high 43-point scoring performance against BC, who gives up the fewest yards per game in the CFL. Now the Blue Bombers step way down in defensive class facing Edmonton. The Elks have the worst defensive numbers in the league, including allowing a CFL-worst 36.7 points per game.
QB Zach Collaros is off to an excellent start despite the Blue Bombers breaking in many new faces on offense. Winnipeg hasn't found a bell cow running back, but Collaros has found chemistry with his old receiving target from Hamilton, Greg Ellingson, and Dalton Schoen. Those two receivers have combined for 699 receiving yards, 44 receptions and six TD's in five games. Collaros has a 5-to-0 touchdown-to-interception ratio in 68 attempts during his past two games.
The Elks rank last in pass defense while also surrendering the most passing TD's. So Collaros is in line for another big performance.
Edmonton should do its part to help get this total Over. Winnipeg gives up the fewest points per game. However, the Blue Bombers' defensive statistics don't match that lofty No. 1 mark as Winnipeg ranks eighth in pass defense and sixth in total defense.
|07-21-22||Montreal -135 v. Ottawa||40-33||Win||100||52 h 30 m||Show|
Montreal (1-4) and Ottawa (0-5) are the two worst teams in the Canadian Football League. Montreal is better. The oddsmaker certainly believes that making the Alouettes a road favorite. I'm on board with that thinking.
The Alouettes have only been outscored by two points on the season. They have covered 20 of their last 28 road games and are a perfect 6-0 ATS during their last six trips to Ottawa.
The situation is slanted toward Montreal. The Alouettes last played this past Thursday. This will be just their third game since July 2. It's Montreal's second game under new coach Danny Maciocia. So there should be fewer mistakes and sloppiness.
Ottawa is on a short week having suffered a tough two-point road loss to Hamilton this past Saturday. The Redblacks have problems at quarterback with Jeremiah Masoli out. Caleb Evans hasn't impressed with his lack of accuracy and newcomer Nick Arbuckle hasn't fully learned Ottawa's offense and remains unproven.
The Alouettes may have found a quality runner in Walter Fletcher. He showed promise in his first start with Montreal, averaging 7.3 yards rushing and 9.0 yards per reception. Ottawa has struggled to stop the run and its secondary has injuries, which could mean a big game, too, from QB Trevor Harris.
|07-09-22||Winnipeg v. BC -3||Top||43-22||Loss||-120||69 h 39 m||Show|
Both Winnipeg and British Columbia are unbeaten.
But statistically and situational-wise these teams are not that close. BC is much superior.
The Lions rank first in the CFL in the major categories in both offense AND defense. They have allowed just two sacks in three games. Nathan Rourke has opened the season with the highest completion percentage in any three-game span in CFL history going 88-for-105 for 83.8 percent.
The Blue Bombers average fewer than 22 points. They rank second-to-last in yards and are last in pass defense. They were fortunate to nip 1-2 Toronto last week in a 23-22 victory.
The Lions average the most yards in the league while giving up the fewest yards per game. They are the No. 1 passing and scoring team. Their defense is No. 1 against the pass and No. 2 against the run.
Winnipeg is getting a lot of respect based on its 4-0 record and being the defending Grey Cup champions. Right now, though, BC is the best team in the league. The spot sets up well, too, for the Lions as the Blue Bombers will be making the 1,318-mile, cross-country journey.
|07-04-22||Winnipeg -4.5 v. Toronto||Top||23-22||Loss||-110||34 h 30 m||Show|
This was supposed to be a down season for two-time defending CFL champion Winnipeg. But the Blue Bombers are 3-0. Their stout defense is giving up just 13 points per game in victories against Hamilton and Ottawa twice.
The Blue Bombers are disciplined, well-coached under Mike O'Shea and won't beat themselves. That should prove to be enough to win by more than a touchdown against Toronto.
The Argos nipped Montreal, 20-19, in their opener failing to cover as 3-point home favorites. However, the 1-1 Argos were buried by BC, 44-3, in their last game raising a huge red flag about just how good they are.
Toronto surrendered 583 yards and 35 first downs in that loss. The Argos' defense last forced a two-and-out during the opening drive of their season-opener.
The Blue Bombers feature two top pass rushers in Willie Jefferson and Jackson Jeffocats. Toronto has a banged-up offensive line and a vulnerable defense.
So I see Winnipeg covering for the ninth time in the last 11 meetings against the Argos.
|07-02-22||Montreal v. Saskatchewan UNDER 46.5||20-41||Loss||-112||9 h 40 m||Show|
Saskatchewan gives up the second-fewest yards per game in the CFL. The Roughriders, though, are far from polished on the other side of the ball dealing with offensive line injuries and top receiver Shaq Evans out with an ankle injury. The result has been two Unders and one Over during their three games. That lone Over occurred in the Roughriders' last game, a 37-13 loss at Montreal nine days ago. But there were many unusual things that occurred that aided greatly in that contest going Over. The Alouettes scored TD's on a kickoff return and a Pick Six. The Roughriders scored a meaningless late TD from their backup QB during garbage time. Montreal isn't that strong of an offensive club. The Alouettes averaged 23 points in their first two games. The Roughriders also get Montreal in Saskatchewan. The Under has cashed in nine of the Roughriders' last 12 games. The Under also has cashed seven of the past 10 times in this series.
|07-01-22||Edmonton Elks v. Hamilton -7||Top||29-25||Loss||-110||17 h 22 m||Show|
Both Edmonton and Hamilton are 0-3 on the season. But these are different types of 0-3.
Rebuilding Edmonton averages 18 points a game and has the worst defense in the CFL.
Hamilton's three losses have come to Calgary, Winnipeg and Saskatchewan. Those three opponents have a combined record of 8-1.
Now the Tiger-Cats finally get to step down in class - way down in class. This is the Tiger-Cats' second home game. They were nipped by Calgary, 33-30 in overtime, during their first home game.
Hamilton is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 home contests.
Edmonton is giving rookie QB Tre Ford his first start. This is a tough road setting for Ford, who replaces Nick Arbuckle. Ford couldn't beat out Arbuckle during preseason. Ford has thrown three passes, completing one throw for eight yards. One of his passes was intercepted. The Elks are going to be without injured James Wilder Jr., their best running back.
Note, too, that the Tiger-Cats have covered the last four times they've played Edmonton.
|06-30-22||BC v. Ottawa OVER 47||Top||34-31||Win||100||48 h 41 m||Show|
The spot isn't great for British Columbia traveling on a short week. But the Lions' offense has gotten off to a great start averaging 51.5 points and 526 yards per game. Both lead the CFL. Nathan Rourke has quieted any critics so far with his quarterback play for BC.
The Over has cashed in seven of the Lions' last eight games going back to last season.
Ottawa should do its part to push this total Over behind QB Jeremiah Masoli. The Redblacks have played two games - both against defending Grey Cup champion Winnipeg and its stout defense.
The Lions' defensive numbers are inflated because they played a pair of weak offenses, Edmonton and Toronto. Those two teams rank last and second-to-last offensively. Ottawa and the veteran Masoli should produce much better numbers against the Lions than the Elks and Argonauts did.
Expect the Redblacks to be fresh and have a strong offensive design since they were idle last week.
|06-25-22||Edmonton Elks +8.5 v. Calgary||23-30||Win||100||26 h 59 m||Show|
I saw enough improvement from Edmonton last week to feel confident they will cover this road game and provincial rivalry matchup getting more than a touchdown.
The Elks have been hurt by seven turnovers. They have several wideouts, though, who have displayed talent helping the Elks to the third-most receiving yards in the CFL. Kenny Lawler, for instance, enters this week with the second-most receiving yards in the league. Calgary surrenders the second-most passing yards in the CFL. The Stampeders are young in the secondary and are without their star cornerback, Tre Roberson.
Calgary had to exert a lot of effort in posting a 33-30 comeback overtime victory against Hamilton last week. The Stampeders came back from a 24-3 deficit. The Stampeders' skill position players got beat up in that game, too, with Ka'Deem Carey, their best running back, knocked out in the first quarter. Backup RB Peyton Logan was injured in the second half. QB Bo Levi Mitchell is dealing with a foot injury. Carey is likely to play although Mitchell could be a game-time decision.
|06-23-22||Saskatchewan v. Montreal UNDER 46.5||13-37||Loss||-115||25 h 55 m||Show|
Saskatchewan has one of the best defenses in the CFL. The Roughriders have held their first two opponents, Edmonton and Hamilton, to a combined 29 points.
Montreal is down its starting QB, Vernon Adams. He's in COVID-19 protocol. There's not much of a dropoff from Adams to backup Trevor Harris. Adams is more dynamic, Harris less turnover prone. The Alouettes are without their top running back, injured William Stanback.
Roughriders QB Cody Fajardo wasn't too sharp last week despite playing a horrible Edmonton defense. Saskatchewan is averaging only 17.2 points in its last seven road games going back to last season.
Montreal lost some key defensive players from last season. But the Alouettes held the Tiger-Cats to 20 points last week. They catch a break in that the Roughriders have far less practice time having just played last Saturday also on the road at Edmonton.
|06-18-22||Saskatchewan -7.5 v. Edmonton Elks||26-16||Win||100||99 h 34 m||Show|
This is my Game of the Week.
This figured to be a rebuilding year for Edmonton. But it was shocking just how bad the Elks looked opening week in getting blasted by British Columbia, 59-15. The final score wasn't exaggerated. The Elks looked that bad on both sides of the ball.
Edmonton didn't win one home game last season. Don't look for the Elks to end that streak here.
Saskatchewan rolled past Hamilton, 30-13, in its opener last week. The Roughriders forced five turnovers and had eight sacks. This wasn't a fluke as the Roughriders have one of the top defenses in the CFL.
I don't see Edmonton putting much - if any type of dent - into the Roughriders' defense. Saskatchewan QB Cody Fajardo should be in line for a big game against an Edmonton defense that couldn't tackle anyone last week. Those problems aren't going away so soon for Edmonton.
|06-18-22||Calgary +1.5 v. Hamilton||33-30||Win||100||96 h 35 m||Show|
Now that Bo Levi Mitchell is OK, I'm confident in taking the Stampeders. Calgary was the No. 3 scoring team in the CFL last year. They have a strong wide receiving corps and the top scoring running back in the league with Ka'Deem Carey. Linebacker Cameron Judge was brought in to strengthen the defense.
The Stampeders opened the season with a 30-27 win against Montreal. That game showed the Stampeders don't need Reggie Begelton, their top wide receiver, to have a big game. Begelton was quiet, but Richard Sindani had seven catches for 101 yards.
Hamilton didn't look good in its opener, losing, 30-13, to Saskatchewan. The Tiger-Cats gave up eight sacks, had no sacks and only rushed for 26 yards. QB Dane Evans was ineffective and his receivers weren't getting separation.
Calgary is 23-9 ATS (72 percent) the last 32 times as a road 'dog.
|06-17-22||Winnipeg v. Ottawa +3||19-12||Loss||-110||73 h 2 m||Show|
There were plenty of concerns entering this season about two-time defending CFL champion Winnipeg. Those concerns were well justified after the Blue Bombers escaped with a 19-17 home win against Ottawa this past Friday.
The two teams meet again this Friday in Ottawa. The Redblacks look much improved from last season. They outplayed Winnipeg putting up 142 more yards than the Blue Bombers.
The Blue Bombers aren't nearly as dynamic at receiver and running back like they were last season. They also are missing a key cog in their secondary with All-Star safety Braxton Alexander out with a knee injury. Redblacks QB Jeremiah Masoli threw for 380 yards against the Bombers and their struggling secondary.
|06-11-22||Edmonton Elks v. BC -185||15-59||Win||100||15 h 17 m||Show|
Both teams had losing records last season. But Edmonton is worse. The Elks went 3-11 and are in rebuild mode with a new coach, Chris Jones.
I like Jones. He's a strong defensive coach. But it's going to take time for the Elks to improve. That was apparent in preseason when they looked terrible against Calgary in a 30-point loss.
QB Nick Arbuckle is a huge question mark for Edmonton. He has decent wideouts, but is playing behind a revamped offensive line that figures to struggle. Jones should upgrade a defense that permitted more than 30 points last season, but that is going to take time especially with the Elks having to learn Jones' complicated various schemes.
BC QB Nathan Rourke looked good in his last preseason showing. Unlike the Elks, the Lions have nearly their entire offensive line returning. They also have good receiving targets for Rourke. The Lions also get a strong check mark in the secondary.
I do believe the Lions will win. I'm not as comfortable laying more than a field goal with them, however. So I'm going to lay the high juice backing them on the money line.
|06-09-22||Montreal v. Calgary OVER 47||27-30||Win||100||18 h 11 m||Show|
There have been a number of rule changes made this season in the Canadian Football League. They favor offense. So expect higher scoring than perceived starting with this matchup.
Both teams have proven veteran QB's. Montreal has Vernon Adams behind center. Adams has one of the league's better running backs, William Stanback, and several good wide receivers to go with a solid offensive line.
Calgary has Bo Levi Mitchell, who should have a better season now that he's healthy after being banged-up last season. The Stampeders have a very good runner, too, in Ka'Deem Carey plus a number of excellent wideouts headed by Reggie Begelton and Kamar Jorden along with promising Luther Hakunavanhu.
A key factor for the Stampeders is that Montreal lost a lot of its key defensive players due to free agency. So the Alouettes defense figures to be down.
|12-05-21||Hamilton v. Toronto UNDER 45||27-19||Loss||-110||66 h 14 m||Show|
First off, weather factors here. It's going to be cold with a 70 percent chance of snow.
Both teams are in good defensive form, too.
Hamilton is the No. 2 defensive team in the CFL giving up 17.4 points a game. The Tiger-Cats opened the playoffs with a 23-12 win against Montreal last week. Hamilton held Montreal's stud running back William Stanback to 46 yards on 16 carries.
Toronto has held its last three opponents to an average of 15 points. Defensive guru Chris Jones was added to the Argos this season as a consultant. He could make a difference here with a strong defensive game plan.
|11-28-21||Calgary +3 v. Saskatchewan||30-33||Push||0||23 h 55 m||Show|
Every point matters in this playoff matchup. So I'm going with the underdog Stampeders, who have won and covered their last three. Calgary also defeated Saskatchewan two of three during the regular season with all of the games being close. The Stampeders held the Roughriders to an average of 18.6 points in those three games.
The Stampeders are 23-8 the past 31 times as a road 'dog. They've covered their last four games going 5-2 in away games this season. Calgary also has covered in five of its last six visits to Saskatchewan.
Calgary QB Bo Levi Mitchell has found a welcomed target with Reggie Begelton returning to Calgary from the NFL. He caught seven passes for 119 yards in his return two weeks ago. I'm counting on Mitchell's veteran savvy and Calgary's elite defense. The Stampeders allowed the second-fewest TD's in the CFL while surrendering only 18.8 points a game. Tre Roberson gives the Stampeders an elite cornerback.
The Roughriders have a strong defensive front, but permit a league-worst 273.6 passing yards per game. Opponents scored 31 TD's against the Roughriders, which tied for the most in the league.
|11-19-21||Ottawa +14 v. Montreal||19-18||Win||100||49 h 20 m||Show|
This is a big number for Montreal to lay. The Alouettes are 7-6. They are a playoff team, but not some dominant power.
The oddsmaker seems to believe the Alouettes will play hard against a bad Ottawa team because of home field incentive. The Alouettes would host Hamilton in the first round of the playoffs if the Tiger-Cats lose to Saskatchewan on Saturday provided Montreal defeats Ottawa. Hamilton is around a TD favorite against Saskatchewan.
What can be said for sure is Montreal and Hamilton are meeting next week in a playoff game. So this game is pretty much meaningless. The Alouettes aren't going to risk an injury just to have their starters play a full game. If Montreal were to jump out to a big lead, the backdoor would be left wide open as the Alouettes likely are going to play reserves a lot here.
Ottawa had a bye last week. So the Redblacks will be refreshed and loose this being their final game of the season. Ottawa played Toronto tough in its last game losing, 23-20, but covering as a 10 1/2-point 'dog.
Montreal has failed to cover eight of the last 11 times it has been favored. The Alouettes also are 0-6 ATS the past six times as home chalk. Ottawa has covered the past eight times when playing in Montreal.
|11-16-21||Edmonton Elks v. Toronto UNDER 47.5||13-7||Win||100||19 h 35 m||Show|
This is a rare CFL Tuesday game caused by the original date being postponed due to COVID-19. It just might be the worst CFL game of the season, too.
The reason is Toronto clinched its first playoff spot since 2017 by defeating Hamilton this past Friday. The Argos' reward is they will be resting many of their starters as this game is meaningless to them.
The Elks have the second-worst scoring offense in the CFL. They are averaging 16.6 points in their past five games.
Edmonton is on even a shorter week having last played just four days ago.
This certainly doesn't allow for much practice time.
These teams have every reason to just mail this one in with simple schemes that keep the clock moving.
|11-13-21||Winnipeg v. Montreal +7||14-28||Win||100||39 h 33 m||Show|
Montreal covered against Winnipeg last week and I expect the same this week as this game means nothing to the Blue Bombers and everything to the Alouettes.
Winnipeg has already clinched home field for the playoffs. The Blue Bombers are resting starters. Backup QB Sean McGuire likely is going to play a lot as Zach Collaros rests.
Montreal can rely on William Stanback, the leading rusher in the CFL. He rushed for 106 yards against the Blue Bombers last week.
|11-12-21||Calgary -120 v. BC||33-23||Win||100||24 h 5 m||Show|
Calgary is 4-2 in its last six games while BC has lost six in a row.
The Stampeders have dominated this series winning nine of the last 11.
The teams met at BC on Oct. 16 and Calgary stomped the Lions, 39-10.
The Lions have been money-burners in November going 3-12-1 ATS.
Calgary recently bolstered its wide receiving group adding Reggie Begelton. He's a former CFL All-Star.
|11-12-21||Hamilton +1 v. Toronto||12-31||Loss||-110||21 h 6 m||Show|
This is my CFL Game of the Month. It's a big game here and I'm going to ride the hot hand of Hamilton QB Jeremiah Masoli, who in his past four starts has thrown for 1,296 yards with nine TD's and no interceptions. Masoli is 6-2 lifetime against Toronto.
Toronto has allowed the second-most touchdowns in the CFL. Only Ottawa has given up more TD's and the Argonauts barely beat the 2-11 Redblacks, 23-20, last week.
The Argos lost their best running back, John White, to injury against Ottawa.
Hamilton has the second-best defense in the league giving up 17.5 points per game. That's seven points less per game than Toronto permits.
|11-06-21||Montreal +12.5 v. Winnipeg||21-31||Win||100||20 h 43 m||Show|
Yes, Winnipeg is vastly superior to Montreal, is rested following a bye week and at home. So it's easy to see why the oddsmaker made the Blue Bombers a double-digit favorite. There's just one huge catch to this: This game means nothing to Winnipeg. The Blue Bombers already have clinched first place in the West Division and with it home field advantage for the postseason. So there's no reason for the Blue Bombers to go all out and play their regulars the entire game thus risking injury in a meaningless matchup. This isn't the case with the 6-5 Alouettes. They are battling hard for playoff positioning in the East Division. Montreal should get a spark, too, at quarterback from newly acquired Trevor Harris. Only one of Montreal's five losses this season has come by more than nine points.
|11-05-21||BC v. Hamilton OVER 43.5||18-26||Win||100||27 h 13 m||Show|
BC busted out for 29 points against Toronto this past Saturday after scoring just a combined 19 points in its previous three games. I believe the Lions' offense is back on track helped immeasurably by the return of wide receivers Lucky Whitehead and Dominique Rhymes, who is one of the top wideouts in the CFL. BC QB Michael Reilly threw for 290 yards on 20 completions with 3 TD's against the Argos. Reilly is an aggressive downfield passer, something you like to see when going Over the total. Hamilton QB Jeremiah Masoli has really stepped up his game lately. The Tiger-Cats are averaging 35.5 points in their past two games. Masoli is in line for another big performance against an injury-racked BC defense that has given up an average of 35.2 points in its last five games.
|11-05-21||BC v. Hamilton -6.5||18-26||Win||100||27 h 12 m||Show|
The Tiger-Cats are tough at home as evidenced by their 11-4-1 ATS mark the past 16 times they've been a host. BC is 4-10-1 ATS the past 15 times when meeting an above .500 foe. The Lions are in free fall, too, losers of five in a row. The Lions give up the third-most yardage in the CFL and produce the third-fewest yardage. They rank last in pass defense. Hamilton QB Jeremiah Masoli has been hot, averaging 346 yards passing, while compiling 1,038 yards and seven passing TD's during his last three games. The Lions have multiple defensive injuries. They've surrendered at least 30 points in each of their last five games.
|10-30-21||BC v. Toronto -3||29-31||Loss||-110||27 h 10 m||Show|
Surprising that this line opened so low. BC hasn't been competitive going 0-4 SU and ATS in its last four games. The Lions have lost their last three games by a combined margin of 114-19. A struggling offensive line and multiple injuries at wide receiver have rendered the Lions punchless.Toronto should bounce back after a 37-16 road loss to Montreal last week. The Argos had won and covered their previous three games. They have not lost back-to-back games all season. BC's defense is gassed and this marks the Lions' second consecutive road game. They lost, 45-0, at Winnipeg last Saturday. Toronto is 4-0 at home this season and 5-0-1 ATS during its past six home contests. BC has failed to cover in four of its last five meetings against Toronto.
|10-23-21||Saskatchewan v. Calgary OVER 44||20-17||Loss||-109||30 h 58 m||Show|
The linesmaker doesn't have time to put much emphasis into Canadian Football League lines. If he did he would realize this total opened too short. Perhaps it's accurate in reflecting scores of past games. But it's not fully taking into account where these two team's offenses are now. Saskatchewan has been held to an average of 18 points in its last two games after scoring 31 and 30 points during its previous two games. However, the Roughriders get key reinforcements here in wide receivers Shaq Evans and Duke Williams. Evans has played only two games and Williams will be making his Roughriders debut. This is a huge boost for QB Cody Fajardo. Calgary has picked up its offense this month, averaging 28 points in three October games. The Stampeders get a key playmaker back, too, in wide receiver Kamar Jordan. That gives QB Bo Levi Mitchell another target to go with Josh Huff and Markeith Ambles. Saskatchewan is giving up an average of 26.6 points in three road games.
|10-11-21||Toronto v. Hamilton -4.5||24-23||Loss||-113||16 h 19 m||Show|
Toronto is playing better having won a season-high two in a row. Both of those victories were achieved at home with the latter occurring just this past Wednesday against 2-6 Ottawa.Now the Argos have to play just five days later - and on the road in a very tough away setting for this Canadian Thanksgiving Day game. Toronto has lost and failed to cover in each of its last three away games. One of those road losses was to Hamilton, 32-19, on Sept. 6. ''I know we're going to be going into it tired,'' Argos coach Ryan Dinwiddie said about this matchup. ''We just have to make sure we're not mentally tired.'' Hamilton last played on Oct. 2 when it was upset at home by Montreal in overtime. The Tiger-Cats are anxious to redeem themselves following that tough loss, which ended an 11-game home win streak. The Tiger-Cats are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. The return of QB Jeremiah Masoli, strong home field and nine days of rest and preparation compared to just five days for Toronto makes the Tiger-Cats the right side especially given the Argos' poor road history. Toronto is 11-25-1 ATS during its past 37 road contests. The Argos are 2-7-1 ATS the past 10 times they've played in Hamilton.
|10-08-21||Edmonton Elks +10 v. Winnipeg||3-30||Loss||-110||8 h 60 m||Show|
Winnipeg is the best team in the Canadian Football League at 7-1. Edmonton has been one of the most disappointing at 2-5. The Elks are in desperation mode to turn around their wretched season. They get back their star QB, Trevor Harris, who has missed the past two games. The line is at double-digits. It's enough to get me involved with the Elks. Winnipeg has a very strong home field. But the Elks' two victories have come in away games with upset wins against Calgary and British Columbia. The Bombers have a two-game lead in the Western Division so they don't have the urgency Edmonton does. Edmonton has dangerous skill position weapons. The quality of these weapons is raised with the return of Harris. Elks running back James Wilder Jr. leads the CFL in rushing. Derel Walker, Greg Ellingson, Teuvan Smith and Shai Ross are all talented receivers. The Blue Bombers are going to be without Kenny Lawler, their star wide receiver who leads the CFL in receiving yards. He is suspended. There's also some unique scheduling here. Winnipeg already has beaten Edmonton, 37-22, on Sept. 18. The teams meet again next week in Edmonton. So the Blue Bombers may not want to show too much, or run up a score against the Elks knowing they'll be playing right away again.
|10-06-21||Ottawa v. Toronto -8.5||16-35||Win||100||9 h 42 m||Show|
Toronto should take care of business at home against Ottawa. The Argos are 3-0 SU, 2-0-1 ATS at home this season. The Redblacks have the worst defense in the CFL and are below average on offense. Ottawa has been outscored by 82 points in its seven games. That's the worst point differential in the league. The Argos, though, won't be looking past Ottawa. The Redblacks and their new QB, Caleb Evans, got Toronto's attention with an upset home victory against Edmonton last week. Evans threw 3 TD's in that contest while showing off excellent mobility. That was his first CFL game. Chris Jones is a defensive consultant for Toronto and one of the sharper defensive minds in the league. He now has film on Evans. I'm sure the Argos will be looking to keep Evans inside the pocket. Before the Redblacks sprung their upset of Edmonton, they had lost and failed to cover five straight games with all of those defeats coming by 12 or more points. Ottawa is 1-7 ATS in its last eight road games and has failed to cover the past eight times facing an Eastern Conference team.
|10-02-21||Saskatchewan v. Calgary +2.5||17-23||Win||100||34 h 17 m||Show|
Circumstances set up well here for Calgary. The Stampeders haven't played in two weeks. They draw Saskatchewan off a huge upset road win against BC last week. This is only the Roughriders' third road game and first in consecutive weeks. They lost their first road game, 33-9, to Winnipeg on Sept. 11. Calgary desperately needs this game being 2-5 looking up at three teams in the West Division. I have confidence that veteran QB Bo Levin Mitchell is in line for a big performance following a bye. He's healthy now and proven to be one of the top QB's in the league. Saskatchewan is banged up defensively both on its line and in the secondary. The Stampeders have always been a strong 'dog play covering 69 percent of the time in that role during the past 51 instances. They are 3-1 ATS as a 'dog this season and 6-1 ATS as a home 'dog the past seven times.
|09-24-21||Montreal v. Toronto OVER 48.5||27-30||Win||100||22 h 49 m||Show|
This total is too short. Montreal and Toronto rank second and third, respectively, in yards gained. The Alouettes lead the CFL in scoring at 26.2 points per game. The Alouettes have both a good QB, Vernon Adams, and an excellent running back, William Stanback. They draw Toronto in a defensive transition phase. The Argonauts just brought in veteran coach Chris Jones, who has his own way of doing things. It's going to take time for the Argonauts to pick up Jones' schemes. Toronto also is down two of its Canadian linebackers, Cameron Judge and Henoc Muamba. Both are out with injuries. Toronto is replacing injured QB Nick Arbuckle with McLeod Bethel-Thompson, who played well at home two seasons ago when he was Toronto's starting QB. The CFL did not play in 2020. The bar isn't set high here for Toronto's offense as Montreal has yielded an average of 27.7 points during its last four games.
|09-17-21||Toronto v. Saskatchewan -4||16-30||Win||100||9 h 49 m||Show|
I'm expecting QB Cody Fajardo to play this week after he was injured last week. That's good enough to back Saskatchewan, which is 13-6-1 ATS the past 20 times it has been favored. The Roughriders have covered in six of their last eight meetings against Toronto. The Argonauts are 11-24-1 ATS in their last 36 road games. Fajardo is having a strong season throwing for 1,153 yards and rushing for nearly 200 more yards while accounting for six TD's. The Roughriders' young wide receivers have stepped up, too. Saskatchewan has forced 12 turnovers and leads the CFL in sacks with 16. Toronto lacks a balanced attack. I don't see the Argos being in the Roughriders' class especially on the road where they usually struggle.
|09-11-21||Calgary v. Edmonton Elks OVER 46||32-16||Win||100||12 h 46 m||Show|
The Canadian Football League is a quirky league with quirky scheduling. This matchup is one of those weird schedule dates. Calgary and Edmonton just played this past Monday. The Elks won, 32-20. So has anything changed during these last five days? Well, yes. The Stampeders are expected to get back star QB Bo Levi Mitchell, a two-time winner of the league's Most Outstanding Player. Mitchell was among the passing leaders through the first two weeks of the season until suffering a broken leg causing him to miss the past three games. Rookie Jake Maier filled in well for Mitchell throwing for 300 yards in each of his three starts. Mitchell really makes Calgary's offense more dangerous with his deep passing capabilities. He has excellent weapons in wideouts Kamar Jorden, Markeith Ambles and Josh Huff to go along with running back Ka'Deem Carey, who leads the CFL with four rushing TD's. Edmonton's offense played very well in the first meeting. Elks QB Trevor Harris lit up Calgary completing 31-of-41 passes for 398 yards and four TD's. There's no reason why Harris can't have a repeat performance. The Stampeders give up the most passing yards in the league.
|09-06-21||Edmonton Elks v. Calgary OVER 42.5||32-20||Win||100||23 h 49 m||Show|
Given the skill position talent of these teams, I find this total too low. Calgary could get QB Bo Levi Mitchell back. But I'm fine if Mitchell isn't ready yet. Jake Maier, his replacement the past two games, has played extremely well. Maier threw for more than 300 yards against Montreal and completed 17 consecutive passes against Winnipeg while also passing for more than 300 yards. Edmonton leads the CFL in yards per game. The Elks have a strong passing attack with Trevor Harris and one of the best runners in the league in James Wilder Jr., who has a CFL-high 11 rushes of 10 yards or more. The Elks should be scoring more points than they have. They put up 21 against a respectable BC defense in their last game. I expect the Elks to have a solid game plan coming off a COVID-19 pause and having had more than two weeks to game plan.
|08-27-21||Hamilton v. Montreal +2.5||27-10||Loss||-110||19 h 33 m||Show|
The attendance will be capped at 15,000. But Montreal will be playing its first home game in two years since there was no CFL last season. So the Alouettes certainly won't lack for motivation. Montreal QB Vernon Adams had a monster season in 2019 when he became a starter for the first time. Despite putting up decent numbers in a narrow loss at Calgary last week, Adams didn't have a good performance by his standards. He'll look to atone against the 0-2 Tiger-Cats. Adams didn't lose consecutive games during the entire 2019 season. Hamilton has managed just 14 points in its two games. Backup Dane Evans will be filling in for injured starting Hamilton QB Jeremiah Masoli. The Tiger-Cats have numerous injuries in their offensive and defensive lines, too. Montreal is the far healthier team.
|08-20-21||Montreal v. Calgary UNDER 44||22-28||Loss||-110||9 h 20 m||Show|
Calgary was struggling to produce TD's - and that was before starting QB Bo Levi Mitchell went down with a broken leg. Now the Stampeders have to make due with a pair of untested backup QB's, Michael O'Connor and Jake Maier. They've been splitting practice reps this week. I'm not expecting much from either one against a Montreal defense that held Edmonton out of the end zone for more than 58 minutes during last week's game. That was Montreal's first game of the season. The scary thing was the Als were saying their defense still was capable of playing better, much better. Here's an ideal chance for them with Mitchell out. I'm expecting a conservative game from both teams. The Als figure to run big back William Stanback a lot. He carried 18 times last week. That's going to eat clock. The Under has cashed nine of the last 12 times these teams have met.
|08-14-21||Hamilton v. Saskatchewan -2.5||8-30||Win||100||10 h 13 m||Show|
The Roughriders have dominated Hamilton at home going 17-3-1 ATS during the past 21 meetings. They catch the Tiger-Cats playing their second consecutive road game. That's not a good way to open the season. Hamilton was not impressive opening week losing, 19-6, to Winnipeg looking horrible the last three quarters. Saskatchewan built a 32-9 halftime lead in its opener at home last week against BC and held on to win, 33-29. I don't see the Roughriders having any type of letdown after last week's scare. They are tough at Mosaic and also in a favorite's role going 11-5-1 ATS the past 16 times when laying points. The Tiger-Cats aren't expected to have injured running back Don Jackson.
|08-13-21||Toronto v. Winnipeg -6.5||7-20||Win||100||9 h 15 m||Show|
Winnipeg is 12-1 in its last 13 games at IG Field. The Blue Bombers also are 9-2 ATS the past 11 times as a home favorite after opening the season with a 19-6 home victory against Hamilton. Look for the defending champion Blue Bombers to continue their ATS home chalk dominance. Toronto stunned Calgary opening week in its, 23-20, road win six days ago. The Argonauts rallied after trailing by eight points in the final quarter. I don't see them pulling off a second straight road upset win, especially traveling on a short week. The last time Toronto opened 2-0 was 2015. The Blue Bombers have covered seven of the last eight in this series. Winnipeg has an inexperienced secondary, but its front seven can compensate as they should control the line of scrimmage. I'm not sold on Toronto QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson.
|11-10-19||Edmonton v. Montreal -118||37-29||Loss||-118||113 h 17 m||Show|
I want the Alouettes going for me playing at home in their first playoff game since 2014. I like Montreal coach Khari Jones and trust QB Vernon Adams Jr. The Alouettes enter the matchup having just beat Ottawa, 42-32, on the road. Edmonton is off back-to-back losses to Saskatchewan. The Eskimos are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games.
|11-02-19||Calgary -7 v. BC||21-16||Loss||-115||92 h 27 m||Show|
Calgary is going for playoff seeding needing this game. BC is playing the string out. The Lions were on a four-game winning streak showing after losing seven in a row. But they are back to their losing ways scoring a combined 25 points in their last two games, losses to Edmonton and Saskatchewan. The Lions were without their quarterback, Mike Reilly, in both of those defeats. Reilly is out for the season with a wrist injury. BC's offense isn't nearly as good without him. BC has failed to step up in class all season losing 12 of 13 games versus playoff-bound teams going 3-9-1 ATS in those contests. Calgary is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six visits to British Columbia.
|10-25-19||Calgary -140 v. Winnipeg||Top||28-29||Loss||-140||72 h 10 m||Show|
The teams just met last Saturday with Calgary winning, 37-33, but failing to cover as 6 1/2-point home favorites. The Stampeders won that game without star defensive back Tre Roberson, who has seven interceptions, and Don Jackson, one of the better RB's in the CFL. Both practiced on Tuesday and are expected to play. The Stampders have motivation trying to win the West Division. They are tied for first with Saskatchewan. Winnipeg is at low ebb having lost four of its past five games. Calgary holds a huge QB edge with Bo Levi Mitchell. The Blue Bombers may have third-stringer Zach Collaros as their starting QB. Chris Streveler, who was filling in for injured Matt Nichols, was limping during the Stampeders' win last week. Streveler was on crutches Tuesday. Collaros hasn't played since Week 1. Winnipeg is 2-6-1 ATS the past nine times hosting Calgary.
|10-12-19||BC -138 v. Edmonton||6-19||Loss||-138||99 h 2 m||Show|
It took nearly all season, but British Columbia is hitting its stride. The Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games and have won four in a row. Mike Reilly threw a career-high five TD passes in a 55-8 win against Toronto last week. BC's offensive line is playing much better than it did when the teams met back in June and July. Edmonton won those games in part by sacking Reilly a combined 12 times. The Eskimos are really missing injured QB Trevor Harris. They are 1-5 SU, 0-6 ATS in their last six games. The Lions are peaking while the Eskimos have regressed.
|10-11-19||Saskatchewan v. Calgary -145||28-30||Win||100||78 h 36 m||Show|
I want Calgary going for me in a bounce back spot. The Stampeders had won four in a row until losing, 21-17, at Montreal last Saturday night. Bo Levi Mitchell threw for 464 yards and Calgary's defense played well. But the Stampeders were done in by five turnovers.Calgary has covered seven of the last 10 in this series. The Stampeders whipped Saskatchewan, 37-10, earlier in the season.
|10-04-19||Edmonton v. Hamilton OVER 46.5||12-42||Win||100||75 h 45 m||Show|
The two teams met just two weeks ago. There were a combined 15 punts, but still 57 points were scored in Hamilton's 30-27 victory. That was the fourth time in the last five meetings the Over has covered in this series. The Tiger-Cats lead the CFL in scoring at 29.8 points a game. Dane Evans is not afraid to attack downfield averaging 11.2 yards per attempt in three of his last four games. The Eskimos have permitted 25 or more points in five of their last six games.
|09-28-19||Saskatchewan v. Toronto UNDER 49.5||41-16||Loss||-110||66 h 37 m||Show|
Saskatchewan gives up the second-fewest yards in the CFL. The Roughriders have held five of their last seven opponents to fewer than 20 points. But the Roughriders have been held under 20 points in three of their last five games. Toronto averages just 20 points on the season. The Argos are the worst team in the league. But the Argos have been playing better defense. They held Ottawa to 17 points and Calgary to 23 points during their past two games. Calgary is the third-highest scoring team in the CFL. The Under has cashed in four of the last five meetings between the two teams, including in Week 2 when the Roughriders won, 32-7, at home.
|09-20-19||Calgary v. Toronto UNDER 53.5||23-16||Win||100||78 h 29 m||Show|
The Stampeders defeated Toronto, 26-16, when the teams met earlier this year. That was the fourth time in the last five meetings between the two teams that the Under has won. I'm going to ride that trend in the rematch. Calgary is averaging 25.6 points in its last three games. The Argos have scored 26 points or fewer in eight of their 11 games this season. The Stampeders have held seven of their last nine opponents to 26 points or fewer. The Under has cashed in six of Calgary's past eight road games.
|09-20-19||Calgary v. Toronto +6.5||23-16||Loss||-106||52 h 33 m||Show|
Calgary is in a very dangerous situation here. The Stampeders just nipped East Division leader Hamilton, 19-18, at home last Saturday after trailing by 11 points at halftime. They are on the road in a revenge spot against Montreal next week. So it could become very easy for Calgary to overlook and come out flat against the 2-9 Argonauts. The Stampeders are on short rest, while Toronto was idle last week. The Argonauts entered their bye bolstered by a smashing 46-17 road win against Ottawa. Toronto is 2-0-1 ATS in its last three games. The Stampeders have injuries and a poor recent track history in this type of role. They are 1-6 ATS the past seven times laying points and 1-5 ATS the last six times they've met sub .500 opponents.
|09-14-19||Montreal v. Saskatchewan UNDER 51||25-27||Loss||-110||104 h 41 m||Show|
These same two teams met on Aug. 9 in Montreal. Saskatchewan won, 17-10. There were just 372 combined yards of offense in that game. It marked the sixth time during the past seven meetings in this series that the Under won. I see another low-scoring matchup here.The improved Alouettes have held five of their last seven foes to 22 points or fewer. The Under has cashed in 11 of Montreal's last 16 away games. The Roughriders have yielded fewer than 20 points per game during five of their last six games. If you discount a 40-point performance against Ottawa, the Roughriders are averaging only 17.5 points in their last four games.
|09-14-19||Montreal +7.5 v. Saskatchewan||25-27||Win||100||104 h 40 m||Show|
Montreal has been a nice surprise this season. The Alouettes are back on track winning their past three games. They have been receiving excellent skill position play from QB Vernon Adams Jr., who is 6-2 as a starter this season. William Stanback and Jeremiah Johnson have become one of the better running back tandems in the CFL. The Alouettes have proven to be road warriors covering 10 of their last 13 away contests. Saskatchewan has failed to cover during its past five September games.
|09-14-19||Hamilton +7 v. Calgary||18-19||Win||100||37 h 29 m||Show|
Hamilton is 9-2, but not getting enough respect here especially considering the spot. The Tiger-Cats are coming off a bye while drawing Calgary off consecutive victories against arch rival Edmonton. The Stampeders have covered only once in six games when favored this season. The teams met in Week 5 and the Tiger-Cats won, 30-23, at home. Hamilton QB Dane Evans is coming off his finest game. The Tiger-Cats are 4-1 since Evans replaced injured Jeremiah Masoli. The Tiger-Cats haven't lost by more than seven points all year. Hamilton has held their last three opponents to an average of 14.6 points a game.
|09-07-19||Calgary v. Edmonton UNDER 48.5||33-17||Loss||-120||89 h 23 m||Show|
These same two teams just met this past Monday at Calgary and the Stampeders won, 25-9. Look for another Under in the rematch at Edmonton on Saturday. It's a short week, which favors the defense. So does the familarity. The Eskimos should play with a great deal of intensity and be prepared for Calgary QB Bo Levi MItchell, who had been out since Week 3 until playing this past Monday. Edmonton gives up the fewest yards per game in the CFL and third-fewest points. The Under has cashed in seven of their last nine games. Calgary allows the third-fewest yards per game in the league. The Stampeders have held four of their last six foes to 18 points or fewer. They have gone Under in six of their past seven away contests.
|09-02-19||Edmonton v. Calgary UNDER 49.5||9-25||Win||100||152 h 44 m||Show|
It may be easy to see offense here between these two teams. But it would be a mistake. The two teams met a month ago and Calgary won, 24-18, at home. That was a combined total of 42 points. Calgary has held four of its last seven foes to fewer than 19 points a game. Stampeders linebacker Cory Greenwood leads the CFL in tackles. Edmonton gives up the fewest yards per game in the league and the second-fewest points at 19.8 per game. The Under has won 80 percent of the time during the Eskimos' past 11 road contests going 8-2-1.
|08-24-19||Hamilton v. BC +4.5||13-10||Win||100||120 h 14 m||Show|
These teams just met two weeks ago at Hamilton. BC outgained Hamilton by 98 yards and dominated time of possession, 37:01 to 22:59. But The Tiger-Cats nipped BC, 35-34. The key was the Lions committing three turnovers while the Tiger-Cats didn't have any. I like the LIons to get their revenge. They have had extra time to rest and prepare having last played this past Thursday while Hamilton had to play last Saturday. The Lions have covered four of the past five times hosting Hamilton.
|08-17-19||Montreal +7 v. Calgary||40-34||Win||100||57 h 40 m||Show|
Quarterback injuries factor here. So does getting this many points in an inter-division matchup. Vernon Adams has been taking first team reps so he should be back under center for Montreal. It's not so certain if Bo Levi Mitchell will return for Calgary. Sources say he has a sore arm. The Stampeders are likely to be without two starting linebackers, too. That's a huge plus for William Stanback, who is in the argument for best running back in the CFL. He's the league's second-leading rusher. Montreal also gets back deep threat DeVier Posey, who has missed the last three games with a calf injury.
|08-17-19||Hamilton v. Ottawa +4||21-7||Loss||-110||103 h 0 m||Show|
Don't be fooled by Hamilton running away with the East Division. The Tiger-Cats are 5-0 at home, but 1-2 on the road. They have failed to cover four of their last five away contests. It's a dangerous spot, too, for the Tiger-Cats laying points to a hungry and frustrated Ottawa team after going all out last week to nip BC, 35-34. The Tiger-Cats pulled off that victory by coming from 15 points down in the fourth quarter. This is a much bigger game for the Redblacks being home and saddled with a 3-5 record. The Redblacks have covered the past four times they've met the Tiger-Cats and are 7-3 ATS versus above .500 opponents.
|08-17-19||Hamilton v. Ottawa UNDER 50||21-7||Win||100||103 h 59 m||Show|
This is a huge game for Ottawa. The Redblacks have been playing solid defense holding their past three foes to an average of 20 points a game. Ottawa catches Hamilton in a letdown spot after the Tiger-Cats pulled off a stunning fourth-quarter rally to nip BC last week. Keep in mind, the Tiger-Cats are without their starting quarterback, injured Jeremiah Masoli. The Redblacks have a strong Under history versus Eastern Conference teams with the low side cashing 13 of the last 19 times.
|08-02-19||Ottawa +7.5 v. Montreal||Top||30-27||Win||100||9 h 26 m||Show|
The Alouettes are on a three-game win streak and favored for the first time this season. This isn't a little number either. Montreal hasn't won four straight games since 2014. I'm not sold that the Alouettes can cover a touchdown. They are off a bye. But I don't see that as a good thing. It can slow their momentum. It's a big plus for the Redblacks if they get starting quarterback Dominque Davis back for this game. I think Davis plays. But if he doesn't, I like Ottawa at this price anyways. Backup QB Jonathon Jennings was a lot better in his second start completing 15 of 18 passes and the Redblacks defense has looked better. Ottawa has covered 70 percent of its past 37 road games and is 6-0 ATS the past six times playing at Montreal.
|08-01-19||Hamilton v. Saskatchewan -2.5||Top||19-24||Win||100||33 h 40 m||Show|
I don't see Hamilton beating Saskatchewan on the road after losing its starting quarterback, Jeremiah Mosaoli, for the season this past Friday after Masoli suffered a torn ACL. The Tiger-Cats have to turn to second-year QB Dane Evans. The Roughriders are back home after a pair of victories against British Columbia. They have momentum and revenge for a 23-17 road loss to Hamilton opening week. The Roughriders have dominated the Tiger-Cats at home going 17-4-1 ATS. Saskatchewan QB Cody Fajardo is ahead of his counterpart Evans. Fajardo has made five CFL starts and is coming off a 21-for-26 passing game and 46 yards rushing.
|07-27-19||Saskatchewan v. BC +3||45-18||Loss||-125||14 h 35 m||Show|
Sharps play the CFL and the sharps are on British Columbia in this matchup. It makes sense. The Lions are in do-or-die mode at 1-5. BC also has short revenge for a 38-25 road loss suffered to Saskatchewan last week. The Lions outgained the Roughriders in that loss by nearly 100 yards. The Lions have a very good CFL quarterback, Mike Reilly. They just need to protect him better as Reilly has been sacked 21 times. The Roughriders have covered just once during their past five visits to BC.
|07-26-19||Winnipeg v. Hamilton UNDER 53||Top||15-23||Win||100||55 h 25 m||Show|
This is the marquee matchup on the CFL Week 7 card. It's easy to think offense with these two teams. But I'm going defense. Winnipeg has given up the fewest points and second-fewest yards in the CFL. Hamilton isn't as good offensively as its season numbers show. The Tiger-Cats' numbers are skewed by getting to play three games against Toronto and Montreal. Those are the two worst defenses in the league. The Tiger-Cats were held under 260 yards by Calgary and Saskatchewan when they stepped up. Hamilton has surrendered 17 or fewer points in three of its five games. Winnipeg QB Matt Nichols had a huge game against Ottawa last week. Nichols, though, isn't nearly that good. These teams have a strong Under history with the low side winning 16 of the past 21 times.
|07-25-19||Calgary -5 v. Ottawa||Top||17-16||Loss||-105||50 h 22 m||Show|
I like Calgary in a revenge spot for an opening week, 32-28, loss to Ottawa as a 9-point home favorite. The Stampeders have won three of their last four games since then. Their defense has improved giving up an average of 18.6 points a game during their past three games. Nick Arbuckle has been doing a solid job at quarterback for Calgary replacing injured Bo Levi Mitchell. Ottawa really is struggling offensively scoring 14, 19 and one point during its last three games. The RedBlacks have a long injury list headed by quarterback Dominique Davis. Minus Davis and wide receiver R.J. Harris, Ottawa was held to 12 first downs and 175 yards in its 31-1 loss to Winnipeg last Friday. I don't see the RedBlacks solving their problems, especially at quarterback, in time for this matchup.
|07-20-19||Edmonton v. Montreal OVER 54||10-20||Loss||-102||25 h 38 m||Show|
Sparked by Trevor Harris, Edmonton leads the CFL in passing and ranks third in scoring at 31.2 points a game. Harris has an outstanding group of playmakers, including running back C.J. Gable and wide receiver Greg Ellingson. The Eskimos hung 32 points and 608 yards on Montreal when they beat the Alouettes, 32-25, at home in Week 1.That game went Over the total and I expect this one will, too. Montreal has improved its offense with Vernon Adams Jr. establishing himself as a decent quarterback completing better than 65 percent of his throws and throwing for four touchdowns during his first two starts. These teams have a strong Over history with the Over going 12-3-1 during the past 16 meetings.
|07-20-19||Edmonton -5.5 v. Montreal||10-20||Loss||-109||25 h 37 m||Show|
The Eskimos have dominated the Alouettes winning 10 in a row with all of those victories except one coming by at least four points. Edmonton has covered the last five times in Montreal, too. I see that trend playing out here. Montreal is playing better. But the Alouettes are stepping up in class facing a hot Edmonton quarterback Trevor Harris, who has completed 73 percent of his throws with an 8-to-0 touchdown-to-interception ratio. The Alouettes don't have enough quality defenders to stop all of the Eskimos' firepower. Edmonton also has been playing tough defense giving up the fewest yards per game in the CFL.
|07-18-19||Toronto v. Calgary -11.5||16-26||Loss||-108||34 h 38 m||Show|
I see this as a kill spot for the Stampeders after they lost, 30-23, on the road to Hamilton last week. Calgary is home this week and taking on the worst team in the CFL - Toronto. The winless Argos are last in both points allowed and points score. Toronto averages just 14.8 points a game, while surrendering an average of 40.5 points. Nick Arbuckle has proven hinself for the Stampeders after they lost starting quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell. The Stampeders have covered seven of the last eight in this series.
|07-13-19||Calgary v. Hamilton -3.5||23-30||Win||100||28 h 18 m||Show|
Hamilton should be going all out after suffering an embarrassing, 36-29, to Montreal as 14-point road favorites last week. The Tiger-Cats draw Calgary coming off a smashing 37-10 road upset win against Saskatchewan last Saturday. The Stampeders won that game despite being without their star quarterback, Bo Levi Mitchell, who is out again this week with a shoulder injury. This is the Stampeders' second straight road game going with backup QB Nick Arbuckle. Hamilton is the No. 1 offensive team in the CFL. Calgary has multiple defensive injuries on its front line. It's difficult to envision the Stampeders defense keeping the Tiger-Cats' top-notch offense under control especially after last week's tremendous road effort. The Tiger-Cats have won and covered both of their home games this year holding Saskatchewan and Montreal to a combined 27 points in those two games.
|07-11-19||Edmonton v. BC OVER 55||33-6||Loss||-105||13 h 3 m||Show|
These teams met three weeks ago and Edmonton won, 39-23. I'm expecting another high-scoring game. The Eskimos are coming off a bye. Edmonton quarterback Trevor Harris should carve up BC. I'm not sold on the Lions' defense after they held Toronto to 17 points last week when the Argos were on a short week. The Argos have the worst offense in the CFL averaging 12.7 points per game. The Lions gave up an average of 36 points a game during their first three games before meeting Toronto. I expect Mike Reilly and BC to really be psyched for this rematch. The Lions' ground game has picked up since that loss. John White is coming off a 138-yard rushing game last week. The Eskimos are breaking in new people on defense from last season. Note, too, the Over is 5-0-1 during the last six meetings between the two teams.
|07-06-19||BC -7.5 v. Toronto||18-17||Loss||-105||11 h 38 m||Show|
Both teams are winless, but BC has the superior talent. The Lions have a huge edge at quarterback with Mike Reilly against backup McLeod Bethel-Thompson, who is replacing injured James Franklin. Toronto has managed just two touchdowns on offense in opening 0-2. The Argos have lost their games by an average of 37.5 points. Part of their problem on offense is a porous offensive line. BC blew a 32-21 lead with four minutes left against Calgary last week. That was a brutal loss for the Lions, who outplayed the Stampeders for much of the game. Word is the Lions have had a good week of practice and are highly motivated to get their first win here. The Argos are trying to stay upbeat. But they are a bad team and this is a bad spot for them. They just played on Monday and now are playing five days later. They've only had two days of practice after returning home to Regina on a red eye following their Monday game.
|07-05-19||Winnipeg +4 v. Ottawa||29-14||Win||100||77 h 5 m||Show|
I'm taking the points in this battle of unbeatens. The Blue Bombers have a lot of weapons with Andrew Harris, Darvin Adams, Chris Matthews, Nic Demski and Lucky Whitehead, who is one of the most exciting players in the CFL. Winning has covered 72 percent of its last 29 road games. The Blue Bombers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 overall games. They are 4-0 ATS during their past four visits on Ottawa.
|07-01-19||Toronto v. Saskatchewan UNDER 52.5||7-32||Win||100||35 h 8 m||Show|
Toronto isn't very good. The Argos' main problem on offense is quarterback James Franklin and his lack of accuracy and decision making. Toronto is averaging 11 points in its last three games going back to last season. Franklin is not helped by a porous offensive line. I don't see the Argos breaking their offensive slump going on the road against a Roughriders defense that can apply a solid pass rush. The Argos should exert a supreme effort after opening the season with a 64-14 embarrassing blowout loss to Hamilton. The strength of Toronto is its defensive line. The Roughriders are going with backup quarterback Cody Fajardo. Their starting quarterback, Zach Collaros, is out for a couple of more weeks after sustaining a concusion. This has been an Under series with the low side cashing five of the past seven times.
|06-29-19||BC v. Calgary OVER 53||32-36||Win||100||9 h 19 m||Show|
BC is having a lot of problems with its defense in the early going of this CFL season allowing a combined 72 points through its first two games. This isn't that surprising given there is a new coach and new system in place. The Lions also are breaking in seven different defensive starters. Calgary wasn't sharp offensively in losing 32-28 to Ottawa opening week. The Stampeders have had two weeks to prepare and tinker with their offense following a bye last week. Expect Bo Levi to produce a big game against this weak defense. BC should be able to do its part, too, in getting this total to go Over as Calgary hasn't been sharp either on defense. Despite playing just one game, Calgary is is beat-up on its defensive line.
|06-28-19||Montreal +13 v. Hamilton||10-41||Loss||-110||17 h 7 m||Show|
Montreal is not good. But the Alouettes have a tremendous knack for covering point spreads. They are 6-0 ATS in their last six games and have covered eight of their past nine road matchups. Hamilton is in a letdown spot after destroying rival Toronto, 64-14, on the road last Saturday. Now the Tiger-Cats are home against winless Montreal on a short week. The teams meet again next Thursday at Montreal so the Tiger-Cats won't be anxious to show too much, nor run up a score. Vernon Adams Jr. is an excellent scrambling quarterback. He can keep the Alouettes in the game. Montreal is the fourth-best rushing team in the CFL.The Alouettes will look to control clock so, yes, I can see them covering another inflated spread.
|06-28-19||Montreal v. Hamilton UNDER 58||10-41||Win||100||4 h 38 m||Show|
Montreal figures to stay on the ground and rely on field position to try to hang with Hamilton. That strategy is more likely to happen now that the full weather report has revealed itself on this game. There is going to be gusting wind in the 35-40 mph range and also a chance of rain.Both teams have a strong history of going Under early in the season, too. The Alouettes have gone Under in 24 of their last 28 June games, while the Under is 21-7 in the Tiger-Cats' past 28 June games.
|06-27-19||Edmonton v. Winnipeg -4.5||21-28||Win||100||30 h 24 m||Show|
This is a step up in class for Edmonton, which has opened the season 2-0 with home victories against Montreal and BC. The oddsmaker realizes that. But the line still is too short especially considering the Blue Bombers had a bye last week and this is their home opener while the Eskimos play their first road game. The Blue Bombers opened with a 33-23 road win against BC before enjoying their early bye last week. That pushed their ATS mark to 7-2 in their last nine games going back to last season. Edmonton's rebuilt defense is going to face a far more serious challenge on the road against Winnipeg, which could have the best running back in the CFL in Andrew Harris. The Eskimos didn't see a back nearly that good when it met its first two opponents. Edmonton has injuries on defense that will be tougher to mask against this multi-dimensional opponent.
|06-22-19||Hamilton -3.5 v. Toronto||64-14||Win||100||5 h 48 m||Show|
Both teams have some good skill position players. However, Toronto doesn't have the defense to stay with Hamilton. The Argos had a terrible defense last year and they are in rebuilt mode this season. There are going to be growing pains especially this early in the season. Jeremiah Masoli will be able to exploit Toronto's retooled defense. Hamilton has dominated this series especially when playing in Toronto where the Tiger-Cats have covered eight of the last 10 times.
|06-22-19||Hamilton v. Toronto OVER 52.5||64-14||Win||100||5 h 46 m||Show|
Both teams have some dynamic skill position players. Hamilton should be able to score a lot of points against a Toronto defense that was the league's worst last season and is breaking in a slew of new players and a new system. Hamilton's defense will be minus star linebacker Simoni Lawrence, who will be serving the first of a two-game suspension. The Over has cashed the past four times the teams have met.
|06-20-19||Saskatchewan v. Ottawa UNDER 44||41-44||Loss||-110||55 h 7 m||Show|
Ottawa's defense looked good opening week against a strong Calgary offense. Now the Redblacks step way down in class facing a Roughriders offense that is already down to their backup quarterbacks. Zach Collaros was injured in Saskatchewan's opening game and is out. The Roughriders' offense turned limited once Collaros departed. The Roughriders put up just 17 points on Hamilton and now have to play on the road a second straight week. So expect a conservative game plan.
|06-15-19||Ottawa v. Calgary UNDER 51.5||32-28||Loss||-110||18 h 41 m||Show|
The Redblacks are going to be down offensively especially at the beginning of the season as they have to break in a new quarterback, left tackle and offensive coordinator. Calgary has a huge Under the total history in Week 1 and the first month of the season. The Stampeders have gone Under in 21 of their last 26 June matchups. They also are 17-5-1 to the Under during their last 23 opening week games. This highlights a strong Under Week 1 trend as since 2014, the Under is 15-5 in opening week games.
|06-14-19||Montreal +8 v. Edmonton||25-32||Win||100||8 h 47 m||Show|
The spread is where it is in part because Montreal fired its coach, Mike Sherman, right before the season. Sherman was a bad hire, though. The only time the guy could win was when he had Brett Favre in Green Bay. Interim coach Khari Jones is a much better fit for the Alouettes. Jones knows the CFL. Sherman didn't. The Alouettes have underrated talent and a knack for covering numbers. They are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. Edmonton endured a difficult off-season losing a number of key players, including star quarterback Mike Reilly. I don't see the Eskimos being an early-season powerhouse where they can cover this high of a spread. The Eskimos do not have a good June history either. They are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 June games.
|06-13-19||Saskatchewan v. Hamilton UNDER 48||17-23||Win||100||6 h 42 m||Show|
Chris Jones is gone. But he built a dominant defense for Saskatchewan. The Roughriders are going to be more run-oriented than other CFL teams, which is good for an Under. I see the Tiger-Cats being improved defensively with Orlando Steinauer taking over, but down offensively with offensive guru June Jones no longer the coach. The Under has cashed seven of the last 10 times the teams have met. Note, too, that since 2014 the Under has cashed 75 percent of the time (15-5) during Week 1.
|10-08-18||Edmonton +4 v. Saskatchewan||12-19||Loss||-110||138 h 3 m||Show|
Edmonton defeated Saskatchewan when they last met, 26-19, at the beginning of August. The Eskimos dealt Calgary one of its two defeats on the season. The Eskimos lost by just three points in their other game against the Stampeders. The Eskimos have the CFL's passing yards leader in Mike Reilly and the receiving yardage leader in Duke Williams. Yet Edmonto finds itself in must-win mode trailing Saskatchewan by two games in the much-tougher West Division. At first it didn't seem like Williams was going to play after he was injured. Now word is he's going to play. Edmonton is off a dreadful 30-3 home loss to the Blue Bombers. But I'm going to buy low here believing the Eskimos get the job done. I like that I have Reilly, one of the best players in the CFL, and apparently Williams, who also leads the league in touchdown catches with 10, going for me. Reilly had his string of 42 consecutive regular season starts where he accounted for a touchdown stopped in the loss to Winnipeg. I expect he'll come back strong. The Roughriders are just 3-3 in their last six home games. They are coming off two straight road wins beating Toronto and Montreal by a combined five points failing to cover in either game. Saskatchewan hasn't covered in three straight games. Edmonton is 7-1 ATS versus opponents with a winning record and 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games versus West Division foes. The Eskimos also have covered in five of their last seven visits to Saskatchewan.
|09-15-18||Ottawa v. Saskatchewan -3.5||30-25||Loss||-140||80 h 26 m||Show|
Saskatchewan wasn't playing well early in the season when it got blasted, 40-17, by Ottawa in its first road game of the season. That was back in June. Now it's revenge time for the Roughriders. The Roughriders are playing their best ball winning and covering their last four games. Saskatchewan gives up the third-fewest yards per game in the league. The Redblacks are struggling offensively scoring only a combined 25 points in their last two games against two sub .500 opponents. Ottawa QB Trevor Harris has not looked good. Zach Collaros is expected to play after getting banged-up last week. The Roughriders are 5-0 ATS when he has played.
|08-23-18||Edmonton v. Hamilton -2.5||24-25||Loss||-115||52 h 52 m||Show|
The spot sets up well for Hamilton. The Tiger-Cats are off a bye and catch Edmonton off a 40-24 home win against Montreal this past Saturday night game. The Eskimos are at Calgary for their next game, which is a huge look-ahead spot. Edmonton has failed to cover five of the past six times when going against a sub .500 foe. The Tiger-Cats are better than their record ranking No. 2 in the league in both offense and defensive yards. They have covered seven of their last nine games following a loss.
|08-11-18||Montreal v. Ottawa -14||17-24||Loss||-110||56 h 9 m||Show|
Montreal has become a near auto-fade in the Canadian Football League. The Alouettes are by far the worst team in the league. Montreal not only doesn't win, it doesn't cover spreads going 5-17 ATS in its past 22 games. I don't see that changing in this matchup versus Ottawa. The Redblacks have a high-powered offense that should overpower Montreal's last-ranked defense, which surrenders 34..6 points a game. The Redblacks are in a kill mood after blowing a 38-14 second-half lead against Toronto last week, losing 42-41. The Redblacks are 5-1 ATS following a loss. They don't figure to letup, which can be a danger when laying a two-touchdown spread. Johnny Manziel had a horrible debut for Montreal last week. He wasn't ready having practiced just four times. The Alouettes were buried, 50-11, by Hamilton. Montreal is bad in all three phases - offense, defense and special teams. The Redblacks have had little trouble with Montreal in the past covering 10 of the past 11 times, including winning and covering the past six meetings.
|08-11-18||Montreal v. Ottawa OVER 50||17-24||Loss||-112||56 h 8 m||Show|
Montreal has the worst defense in the Canadain Football League - and it is getting worse not better. The Alouettes have given up 94 points in their last two games. They lack the talent and desire to keep Ottawa in check. The Redblacks are coming off a brutal 42-41 loss to Toronto in which they blew a 24-point third quarter lead. This should assure that the Redblacks keep on the attack the entire time against Montreal. The Alouettes are going to encounter difficulty covering Ottawa wide receivers Diontae Spencer and Brad Sinopoli. This will be Johnny Manziel's second start for Montreal. He brings a big-play dimension to the team - and also a pick-six dimension with his gunslinging. It should be encouraging for Montreal's floundering offense, though, that the Argos scored on six of their seven second-half possessions during their comeback victory against the Redblacks.
|08-04-18||BC v. Calgary UNDER 50.5||Top||18-27||Win||100||56 h 52 m||Show|
Calgary is the best team in the Canadian Football League and a huge reason for that is a defense that is on pace to give up the fewest opponent offensive touchdowns in CFL history. The Stampeders are holding foes to less than 12 points per game. I don't see BC denting this dominant defense. The Lions are third from the bottom in scoring. They haven't broken the 22-point barrier in four of their five games. Travis Lulay has been BC's starting quarterback the past two games replacing an ineffective Jonathon Jennings. Lulay has moved the team better, but he's past his prime, on the road and hasn't faced a defense close to this caliber. The teams combined to average just 39 points during their two meetings last season with Calgary winning, 21-17, and 27-13 at home. BC and Calgary each have a strong recent history of going Under in August. The under is 6-0-1 in the Lions' last seven August games while Calgary has gone below the total in seven of its past eight August matchups.
|07-26-18||Edmonton -8 v. Montreal||44-23||Win||100||22 h 58 m||Show|
It was a distracting week in Montreal for Alouettes. They made a monster deal trading for Johnny Manziel. The Alouettes are desperate having lost 15 of their last 16 games while going 2-14 ATS. Manziel won't start this week, though. Vernon Adams Jr. will. He already will be Montreal's fourth quarterback. Adams has failed to distinguish himself in three CFL seasons. Manziel's time is soon. Look for the rested Eskimos to crush the Alouettes whomever Montreal plays behind center. The Alouettes are averaging a league-low 13.8 points per game. Their defense can't sustain such a putrid offense ranking last in scoring defense and third-from-the-bottom in yards. Edmonton has the skill position talent to take advantage with Mike Reilly, Duke Williams and Derel Walker. Reilly has thrown nine TD passes, second-most in the league. The Eskimos have yet to play a complete game. They are due. They were idle last week and won't be taking the Alouettes lightly knowing they are two games behind Calgary in the West Division.
|07-20-18||BC v. Ottawa -7||25-29||Loss||-103||56 h 33 m||Show|
Take away Calgary and Ottawa would be unbeaten this season. The Redblacks' only defeats have come to the unbeaten Stampeders, who are far-and-away the best team in the CFL this season.Ottawa should be fully focused for this home matchup. The Redblacks' next two games are on the road. Ottawa catches BC in a letdown spot. Ottawa is 5-0 ATS off a loss. The Lions could still be celebrating their improbable 20-17 home victory against Winnipeg this past Saturday. BC trailed 17-0 in the second half, but pulled the game out. Winnipeg committed five turnovers in the game. BC quarterback Travis Lulay made his first start since undergoing ACL surgery last September. Lulay was gallant in the victory, but he still might not be 100 percent healthy and he is past his prime. BC has failed to cover in seven of its past eight road games. They are 0-2 in away matchups this season giving up 41 points to Edmonton in a 19-point loss and 41 points to Winnipeg in a 22-point loss. The Lions also will be without all-star linebacker Solomon Elimimian, who is out with a hand/wrist injury.
|07-12-18||Calgary v. Ottawa +3.5||27-3||Loss||-105||26 h 51 m||Show|
The CFL's two best defenses are pitted here. It's short revenge for Ottawa. The Redblacks suffered their lone loss of the season, 24-14, to Calgary two weeks ago. Calgary has been relying on takeaways. Stampeders QB Bo Levi Mitchell is completing barely 60 percent of his throws. That's not impressive especially in the pass-happy CFL. The Redblacks have the league's top rusher in William Powell. Ottawa's defense gives up fewer than 20 points a game. Calgary has failed to beat Ottawa the past three times when not playing at home. The Redblacks and Stampeders tied in Ottawa last season and they also had a tie when they played in Ottawa two years ago. The teams also met at a neural site, Toronto, for the Grey Cup championship in 2016 and the Redblacks won that game in overtime. So getting points with the home 'dog looms large here.
|07-07-18||Edmonton v. Toronto OVER 55.5||17-20||Loss||-107||73 h 59 m||Show|
It's not a surprise Edmonton has gone Over in each of its first three games. The Eskimos are No. 2 in the CFL in scoring and yards per game. However, they have the third-worst defense in the league yielding 30 points per game. The average combined total score in Edmonton's three games this season is 61.6 points. Eskimos quarterback Mike Reilly is among the top two in each of the major passing categories. He has the second-leading rusher in the league, C.J. Gable, and the CFL's two top receiving yardage leaders in D'haqille Williams and Derel Walker. Toronto has the worst defense in the CFL. The Argos are surrendering an average of 34 points a game and 439 yards. So I have no doubt Edmonton is going to put up monster numbers. The key is Toronto. Can the Argos contribute their share of points? I believe they can. The Argos are winless and had a bye last week. Their coach, Marc Trestman, is an offensive guru. The Over has cashed in 11 of the past 13 times the Argos came off a bye. The Argos should be fired-up here. But their path to victory is offense not defense. Trestman has had extra time to get James Franklin, Toronto's new starting quarterback, prepared for this game. Franklin has good arm strength and is mobile. He knows Edmonton, too, having played for the Eskimos during the previous three seasons. Franklin has a huge ace with running back James Wilder Jr. He should have a big game against an Eskimo run defense that ranks second-to-last. There is a strong Over tendency in this series with the Over cashing in 10 of the last 11 meetings. The Eskimos also have gone Over in all but one of their last nine road contests.
|07-05-18||Hamilton v. Saskatchewan OVER 49||13-18||Loss||-119||58 h 35 m||Show|
Quarterback Jeremiah Masoli is thriving under offensive guru June Jones. Masoli has thrown for the most yards in the CFL and the Tiger-Cats are averaging 34 points in their last two games. Masoli has thrown for 300 or more yards in eight straight games going back to last season. Brandon Banks is one of the best receivers in the CFL and Hamilton has solid running back depth. So I definitely see the Tiger-Cats holding up their scoring end here. Saskatchewan has been underacheiving. The Roughriders are without their starting quarterback, Zach Collaros. They've been hurt by turnovers. But they have the talent to turn things around offensively as Brandon Bridge gets more comfortable behind center. I see the Roughriders coming out very determined and Bridge playing much better than last week when the team suffered an embarrassing home loss to Montreal.
|06-29-18||Winnipeg v. Hamilton OVER 58||17-31||Loss||-109||50 h 48 m||Show|
Jeremiah Masoli is becoming an elite CFL quarterback and Hamilton is rolling offensively. Going back to last season, the Tiger-Cats have scored 30 or more points in six of their last eight games. Masoli has continued his strong play from last season. He leads the CFL in passing yards. Going back his last seven games, Masoli has a 12-to-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio and has passed for 300 yards in each game. Masoli had a big game when these teams last met last October completing 27 of 33 throws for 338 yards and two touchdowns as the Tiger-Cats ran up 30 points. Masoli has three excellent wide receiving targets in Luke Tasker, Brandon Banks and Jalen Saunders. They've already combined for 31 receptions in Hamilton's two games. Winnipeg, sparked by rookie quarterback Chris Streveler, is averaging 33 points in its two games this season. Streveler leads the CFL with six TD passes. The Over has cashed in 23 of the Blue Bombers' last 32 games. Winnipeg has been an especially great Over team on the road going above the total in 13 of its last 16 away matchups.
|06-28-18||Ottawa v. Calgary UNDER 57||Top||14-24||Win||100||32 h 56 m||Show|
This is the highest over/under on the Week 3 Canadian Football League card. It's justified if you look at how strong these offenses looked last week. Ottawa scored 40 points against Saskatchewan. Calgary reeled off 41 points against Toronto. But what's being overlooked by this high total is Calgary's tremendous defense and the situation the Stampeders are in. Calgary has allowed only 21 points all season. They are No. 1 in pass defense and run defense. The Stampeders find themselves in a tough spot here. They just played at Toronto on Saturday. So this is a very short week for them. It's such a short week they only were able to get in one practice, which did not go well, according to sources. The short week is going to hurt Calgary's offense more than its defense especially this being so early in the season. Ottawa's defense was sharp in its 40-17 victory versus the Roughriders last Thursday. The Redblacks were idle opening week. So they are going to be the fresher team. Most of the Roughriders' passing yards came in garbage time as Ottawa entered the final quarter leading, 33-14. Calgary has a history of going Under early in the season. The Under has cashed in 79 percent of the Stampeders' past 24 June games.