Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-18-21 | Rangers v. Devils +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -133 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
New Jersey Devils Puck Line +1.5 goals -133 - The Devils showed a lot of heart in battling back from a 4-0 deficit yesterday and putting a scare into the Rangers. Ultimately, New York survived it and then got a couple of empty net goals for the 6-3 final. But New Jersey playing with a lot of pride did not go unnoticed by me. I feel this is a tricky game for the Rangers. They have a huge match-up with the Islanders on Tuesday they could get caught looking ahead to. Also, Shesterkin has been their hot goalie and has been in goal for 9 of last 10 games but, with this being back to back, he likely is out for today and the Devils will have a better chance for the upset in this one in my opinion. I am not saying they will get the upset but another difference here is this game is in New Jersey and I liked what I saw from the Devils and, at worse, I think this is a 1-goal loss for them. Value with the puck line. 8* NEW JERSEY DEVILS +1.5 -133 | |||||||
04-18-21 | Penguins v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Big East Beast - OVER 6 goals in Buffalo - Yesterday's game stayed just under the total as it was a 3-2 final. The Sabres came very close to making it a 3-3 game late which, of course, would have resulted in an over. Buffalo continues to show some surprising fight here late in the season but they have a goaltending issue here. Ullmark is out. Hutton is out. Tokarski played yesterday. That means that the Sabres have limited options here for this one and, of course, the defense in front of the netminder remains shaky no matter who is in the crease. That said, I am looking for plenty of goals here because, while Buffalo is sure to surrender plenty, the Sabres should enjoy some success in the offensive zone as well. Tristan Jarry started for the Penguins yesterday and he has been playing very well. But it is likely it will be Casey DeSmith getting the call here since this is a back to back. He has struggled badly in his last 3 starts even though the Penguins have given him plenty of goal-scoring support in all 3 games. Each of the 3 games totaled at least 10 goals and the average goals scored was 11.3 goals per game. Indeed this could be a wild one on Sunday afternoon in upstate New York! 10* OVER 6 goals in Buffalo | |||||||
04-17-21 | Oilers v. Jets OVER 6 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
NHL Network Rout - NHL Rotation #21 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Winnipeg Jets vs Edmonton Oilers @ 7:05 ET - I look for a very entertaining game here. Oilers are highly motivated off an embarrassing 5-0 loss at rival Calgary. The Jets are highly motivated because they have lost 3 straight meetings with Edmonton and are out for revenge here. The problem for the Jets in terms of getting that revenge is that their #1 goalie, Connor Hellebuyck - truly one of the best in the game, has had struggles against the Oilers all season long. Edmonton has scored an average of 4 goals per game the last 4 times they have faced Hellebuyck. Indeed, the Oilers have been his nemesis this season. However, I don't trust the Oilers in their own zone either. 4 of the last 5 times these teams have met at Winnipeg the game has gone over the total and Edmonton has allowed 9 goals in its last two visits here. Koskinen is off a good start at Ottawa but allowed 4 goals at Montreal, a more formidable opponent, in his prior start. Smith just allowed 5 goals at Calgary. Plus you have the revenge factor for the Jets so you know they will be very aggressive in this one in terms of putting pressure on the Oilers netminder. Look for plenty of goals as a result. 10* OVER the total in Winnipeg | |||||||
04-17-21 | Devils v. Rangers -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 105 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
Puck Line Punisher - NHL Rotation #2 Saturday 8* New York Rangers Puck Line -1.5 goals +105 vs New Jersey Devils @ 12:35 ET - The Devils have thrown in the towel on this season. They traded away some of their top players. PK Subban might not even play in this game. New Jersey has won just once in its last 9 games and that was against one of the few teams, Buffalo, in the league that is worse than they are. The Devils are facing a goaltender, Shesterkin, who has shut them out in back to back games and also the Rangers are red hot and still making a push for a playoff spot in this division. In other words, another blowout as likely as the Devils just don't have the skilled players to match the Rangers top skilled players and New Jersey does not appear to have the motivation right now either. They were outshot 33 to 16 in Thursday's loss to these Rangers. The Devils last 5 losses have all been by 2+ goals. The Rangers have won 6 of 9 games and, also 17 of their 21 victories this season have been by 2+ goals. They are favored by more than -200 on the money line for a reason and, as you can see, high probability that a home team victory here will be by 2+ goals. 8* NEW YORK RANGERS Puck Line -1.5 goals +105 | |||||||
04-16-21 | Sharks v. Wild OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
OVER in Minnesota - The Wild are off a 5-2 win versus Arizona and I fully expect a recent high-scoring trend for Minnesota to continue considering that the Sharks are in town. First off, about the Wild, 4 of their last 5 games have totaled at least 7 goals. San Jose enters this game unable to stop anyone. The Sharks have lost 3 straight and 4 of their last 5 and allowed at least 4 goals in all 4 defeats and they scored 5 goals in the lone win. Additionally, the over is a perfect 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams and those games averaged 7 goals per game. We only need 6 to be a winner here and, given the current trending for both these clubs and the fact both are allowing a lot of goals, look for at least 6 goals in this one with 7 plus being more likely! 10* OVER 5.5 goals in Minnesota | |||||||
04-16-21 | Islanders +110 v. Bruins | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
ISLANDERS - Yesterday the Bruins embarrassed the Islanders 4 to 1 as they totally dominated the game. Rask was back between the pipes for Boston and even though Varlamov played well in the crease for New York, the Islanders were outplayed by the Bruins all over the ice. That means payback time in this back to back situation and the goalie situation favors the road dog. Boston's Halak is still out so that means, since Rask played last night, it is likely to be Swayman in goal for the Bruins in this one. He has played well but is still unproven but certainly he has been a better option than Vladar of late. However, Swayman still would be making just the 5th start of his NHL career. As for the Isles, they have a much more experienced option in Ilya Sorokin and he is a fantastic 11-3-1 this season. Also, when he is on he is really on strong. Sorokin has a fantastic 1.50 GAA in those 11 victories. The Isles are a strong-minded well-coached team that will come back hard after a game that played out ugly like yesterday's did. 10* NEW YORK ISLANDERS | |||||||
04-16-21 | Flames v. Canadiens -130 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
CANADIENS - Montreal seeks revenge for a 4-1 home loss to Calgary Wednesday. That upset win for the Flames not a huge surprise as the Canadiens were caught flat emotionally after their big 4-2 win over Toronto Monday. What is a surprise is that Calgary has won 4 straight over the Habs. That streak ends here as the Canadiens get some payback on home ice. I know the Flames have won 3 straight but they have NOT won 4 straight games all season long and this 3-game run was preceded by a stretch that saw Calgary lose 8 of 9 games. 8* MONTREAL | |||||||
04-15-21 | Jets +151 v. Maple Leafs | 5-2 | Win | 151 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Money Line Shocker - NHL Rotation #45 Thursday 8* Winnipeg Jets Money Line (+) @ Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:05 ET - This is a big 1-2 battle in the North Division and the Jets can move to within 3 points of the Maple Leafs for a top spot with a win here. Too much value on Winnipeg to pass up this spot in my opinion. Yes it is a back to back for the Jets but they used their back-up goalie last night so they would have their #1 goalie Connor Hellebuyck for this one. He is one of the best netminders in the game without a doubt. As for Toronto, Jack Campbell has been fantastic this season and had an incredible 11-0 start to the year but the streak is over and he has cooled off in his last two starts. Campbell has allowed 8 goals in his last two starts. In match-ups between the Jets and Leafs, the road team actually has taken 6 of the last 8. Home ice can be over-rated at times and Toronto has not looked too great in recent games. Yes I know they want to bounce back after consecutive losses but they face a very tough netminder here and, overall, a Jets team hell bent on closing the gap at the top of the standings. Winnipeg has won 4 of its last 5 games and the Jets have scored an average of 4 goals per game in those victories. The Jets road record is every bit as good as the Maple Leafs home record this season and yet we get the road dog in a +150 price range here. I'll take it! 8* WINNIPEG | |||||||
04-15-21 | Predators v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Total Annihilation - NHL Rotation #47 Thursday 8* OVER 5.5 goals in Carolina Hurricanes vs Nashville Predators @ 7:05 ET - The Predators have been getting strong goaltending but all the defensive injuries are going to catch up to them in this match-up. Carolina has given the Preds trouble all season long and the Hurricanes are 5-0 against Nashville, dating back to last season and including all 4 match-ups this season. Carolina has scored an average of 4 goals per game in those victories. But Nashville has been scoring well entering this match-up and that is why the play here is the over. The Predators have won 13 of last 16 games and have scored an average of 3.6 goals per game, not including OT or SO in those victories. 3 of the 4 match-ups between these teams this season have totaled at least 6 goals and I fully expect this one will as well. The Hurricanes are angry off back to back losses and will take advantage of a depleted defensive corps for the Predators. 8* OVER 5.5 goals in Carolina | |||||||
04-14-21 | Jets v. Senators OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Total Annihilation - NHL Rotation #31 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Ottawa Senators vs Winnipeg Jets @ 7:05 ET - The Senators are off a 4-2 upset win over the Jets on Monday. That game was 2-2 after the first period and then the scoring tied off and over players had to settle for a push there. I do not expect a repeat here as this one will get over the total. Winnipeg goalie is likely to be Connor Hellebuyck and I have plenty of respect for him as he is one of the top netminders in the game. However, Ottawa does score better at home than on the road and continues to push hard despite their poor overall season. The Senators have scored at least 3 goals each of the last two times they have faced Hellebuyck and the Jets. Ottawa has scored an average of 3 goals per game in its last 14 home games. But the Jets, with revenge on their minds, are sure to respond here and Matt Murray could be back between the pipes here and is sure to be rusty. He was out with an upper body injury and this would be his first game action for the Sens in 5 weeks! Murray has a 3.84 GAA on the season and was struggling before he got hurt too with 14 goals allowed in 145 minutes over his last 2+ appearances. That works out to about a goal allowed every 10 minutes and is not what any goalie wants. A very hungry Winnipeg team will be on the attack here too so this is shaping up to be a real barn-burner. 10* OVER the total in Ottawa | |||||||
04-13-21 | Flames v. Maple Leafs OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
Total of the Month - NHL Rotation #25 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames @ 7:35 ET - Intriguing match-up with the Leafs expected to have former Flames goalie Rittich between the pipes. He was just acquired at the trade deadline and with Anderson still out and Campbell getting the start last night, Rittich likely gets the call here. He will likely be up against Calgary's Markstrom whom supplanted him as the #1 netminder for the Flames. That said, some are expecting a goaltenders duel here but I am expecting the opposite based on some key situational factors here as well as the fact that both goalies will have some extra pressure on them because of the dynamics to this match-up. The Flames are of a 5-0 shutout win but had allowed 4 goals per game in their preceding 4 games - all losses. Two of those games were against Toronto and 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have totaled 6 or more goals. Markstrom is 1-3 with a 3.82 GAA versus the Leafs this season and after a hot start in January did not fare well in February or March. Rittich has allowed 3 or more goals in 5 of last 7 starts. 4 of the Maple Leafs last 5 games have totaled 6 or more goals and this one should as well as they bounce back off yesterday's loss at Montreal. 10* OVER the total in Toronto | |||||||
04-12-21 | Maple Leafs -145 v. Canadiens | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -145 | 6 h 36 m | Show |
Big East Beast - NHL Rotation #3 Monday 10* Top Play Toronto Maple Leafs Money Line (-) @ Montreal Canadiens @ 7:05 ET - Jack Campbell is the confirmed starter for the Maple Leafs and he can't wait to get on the ice and redeem himself. Even though he improved to 11-0 with a win over Ottawa it was a rare rough outing for him. He wants to bounce back here and is 7-0 with a 1.54 GAA and a .945 save percentage in his road starts this season. Toronto is on track to finish with the top spot in the North Division and the Canadiens a likely number four spot. The Leafs have dominated this series thus far this year and do not want to give Montreal any hopes of a first round upset either should these teams meet which appears likely at this point. With Carey Price only practicing as he works on conditioning after his injury, the Habs netminder tonight is likely to be Jake Allen. He has won just 1 of his 7 home decisions this season and has a 3.12 GAA at home. Allen enters this start having allowed 11 goals in his last 3 games. With Montreal having lost 3 straight and the Maple Leafs having won 6 straight and 9 of their last 10, look for this one to be a road rout. 10* TORONTO | |||||||
04-11-21 | Rangers v. Islanders -126 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
10* Top Play New York Islanders Money Line -125 vs New York Rangers @ 7:05 ET - The Islanders lost 4 to 1 to the Rangers Friday but the game was much closer than that score would indicate. Look for payback here as the Islanders are 6-1 the last 7 times they were off a loss and playing on home ice. They get their payback at home here where they have been so strong all season long. The Rangers have been playing better of late but this is still a tough ask to expect them to win back to back games against such a strong home team. Lets not forget that the Rangers had lost 7 of 11 road games prior to the win here on Long Island Friday. It is payback time. The Isles are 17-2-2 at home this season and also these teams have been in a pattern of alternating wins and losses for 7 straight meetings! Look for that to continue here. 10* NY ISLANDERS money line -125 | |||||||
04-11-21 | Coyotes v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
10* Top Play OVER 5.5 goals in Vegas Golden Knights vs Arizona Coyotes @ 4:05 ET - These teams combined for 11 goals in their game on Friday night and while we should expect less than here it should certainly be more than the 5.5 total that is posted on this game. Arizona has been scoring well for an extended stretch and 9 of their last 11 games have totaled 6 or more goals as a result. In 9 straight games the Coyotes have scored at least 3 goals and only 1 of those was an OT goal. After some recent goal-scoring struggles that were a wake-up call for Vegas, the Golden Knights have now erupted for at least 6 goals in 2 of last 3 games. Their goal-scoring surge continues here. 10* OVER 5.5 goals in Vegas | |||||||
04-11-21 | Sabres v. Flyers -1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
Big East Beast - 8* Philadelphia Flyers Puck Line -1.5 goals +110 vs Buffalo @ 2:05 ET - The Flyers are still very much alive in the post-season race after knocking off Boston 3-2 yesterday. Now they seek revenge against a Sabres team that not only ended their 18-game losing streak the last time these teams met, Buffalo embarrassed them 6 to 1. It will be payback time now as the rematch is in Philly and before the loss on the final day of March, the Flyers had won 5 straight meetings by a combined score of 18 to 7. That is why we're willing to lay the puck line here too and get plus money with 8* PHILADELPHIA at -1.5 goals | |||||||
04-10-21 | Jets v. Canadiens -122 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -122 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
Big East Beast - NHL Rotation #52 Saturday 10* Top Play Montreal Canadiens Money Line (-) vs Winnipeg Jets @ 7:05 ET - The Canadiens have impressed me a lot of late. Montreal was in a very tough spot versus Winnipeg Thursday as it was the 2nd game of a back to back and goalie Carey Price is out with an injury so Jake Allen was also playing his 2nd straight game between the pipes without a day of rest in between. The Habs put up a valiant effort but ultimately fell short versus the Jets despite outshooting them by a substantial margin. I feel strongly that we will see some carry over from that game right into this game. The Canadiens are currently in the 4th spot in the standings but have 3 games in hand compared to the Jets who are 8 points in front of them. The Habs are hungry for points here to close the gap because, keep in mind, there are some teams not too far behind Montreal, in particular Vancouver, that could put a run together. The Canucks, dealing with covid issues presently, are certainly getting plenty of rest for their skating legs and ready to make a push. That said, this is the 2nd game of a 6-game homestand for the Canadiens and they know they need to the most of it. Dropping the first was somewhat expected as was a tough back to back but the fact is Allen has been playing very well in goal and Montreal is off back to back losses but only once this season (out of 4 prior occurrences) have the Canadiens had a losing streak longer than 2 games. Winnipeg, when on the road and off 2 or more consecutive wins, has lost 3 of 4 this season. Look for these trends to continue Saturday. 10* MONTREAL | |||||||
04-10-21 | Bruins v. Flyers +108 | 2-3 | Win | 108 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - NHL Rotation #50 Saturday 8* Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (+) vs Boston Bruins @ 2:05 ET - Jeremy Swayman has played very well between the pipes for the Bruins but is still just a 22-year old netminder making only his 3rd NHL start here. This will also be the first time a team is getting a second shot at him and that means they have seen some of his tendencies in live game action. In other words do you go glove side or blocker side or do you go top shelf or five hole...of course these decisions as a shooter depend on what a goalie gives you and how he reacts in certain situations. The Flyers should fare better than they did in Tuesday's 4-2 loss when they outshot the Bruins 42 to 26 but fell short on the scoreboard. Philadelphia is chasing Boston for the #4 (and final playoff spot) in the division. Picking up two points here is key as they also take two away from Boston. On deck for Philly tomorrow is a game against Buffalo which is worth noting as the Sabres are one of the worst teams in the league. The Flyers approach this weekend as a critical juncture in their season prior to Monday's trade deadline. They know they have an opportunity to do quite a bit with picking up 4 points in this weekend's games. Even though Philly is off a loss to the Islanders, they absolutely outplayed the Isles as the game went on and deserved the full two points rather than the single point they earned in the shootout loss. There has been no quit in this Flyers team and Claude Giroux continues to lead by example and Sean Courterier continues his stellar play. Also, Philly is 7-2 this season when they enter game off 2 or more losses. Once again they snap a losing streak at just 2 games as they continue to show great resolve. 8* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
04-09-21 | Penguins v. Devils +160 | 6-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - NHL Rotation #36 Friday 8* New Jersey Devils Money Line (+) vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:05 ET - The Devils faced a struggling Sabres team yesterday but the fact they still banded together for the 6-3 win after trading away Palmieri and Zajac says a lot about this New Jersey team. They are not going to lay down and they would love to play the role of spoiler in the division. The Devils have already taken 2 of 3 from the Penguins this season and they are catching Pittsburgh at the perfect time for another upset. The Pens are off a huge 5-2 win against the Rangers at New York last night. The Penguins used Jarry between the pipes last night which means now he either goes again in the 2nd game of a back to back or the Pens turn to DeSmith. Neither situation is palatable as back to backs are always tough on a netminder and, after DeSmith had been so hot for so long, he is now struggling badly. He has allowed 10 goals on 41 shots in his last two appearances! Too much home dog situational value to pass up on here. 8* NEW JERSEY | |||||||
04-09-21 | Rangers +125 v. Islanders | Top | 4-1 | Win | 125 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
Big East Beast - NHL Rotation #31 Friday 10* Top Play New York Rangers +125 @ New York Islanders @ 7:05 ET - The Islanders got outplayed by the Flyers last night but got a fortunate win in the shootout. They won't be so fortunate here as they face a Rangers team angry off a 5-2 loss at home last night versus Pittsburgh. The Rangers are 5-1 the last 6 times they have entered a game off a loss and they also have a revenge from a 2-0 loss in their most recent meeting with the Islanders. The Islanders have been held to 2 or less goals in regulation time of 4 of their last 5 games and their recent lack of punch on offense catches up with them here. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS +125 | |||||||
04-08-21 | Oilers v. Senators OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Big East Beast - NHL Rotation #81 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers @ 7:05 ET - I am coming right back with this play today that ended up a 4-2 final but that saw a lot of great scoring chances and a number of shots off the pipe. The point is the gam easily should have gotten to at least 8 goals. Here is yesterday's write-up because it is still applicable here with same play and same teams. "The Oilers are off a 3-2 loss in overtime at Montreal as they had a 2-0 lead but then didn't add to it and paid the price. Of course the Canadiens are at a different level than the Senators. Considering that as well as Edmonton knowing they can not afford to take their foot off the gas and try to sit on a lead, I am looking for a ton of goals in this one. Edmonton has won all 7 meetings between these teams this season and has averaged nearly 5 goals per game in the 7 wins. The Senators have scored at least 2 goals in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these teams and Ottawa has averaged 2.5 goals per game in those 8 contests. The Sens have been more competitive in recent weeks as they have earned at least a point in 7 of their last 9 games. The Senators have averaged about 3 goals per game during this 9-game stretch. Look for a 4-3 type game here as the Oilers are in bounce back mode but the Sens have the ability, especially on home ice, to match them goal for goal and we should see plenty of scoring in this one as a result." Now, after watching yesterday's game and seeing all the great chances and with this being a back to back which stresses a teams goaltending and defense, I am projecting even more...a 5-3 or 5-4 type game here. 10* OVER the total in Ottawa | |||||||
04-08-21 | Flyers +155 v. Islanders | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - NHL Rotation #21 Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (+155) @ New York Islanders @ 7:05 ET - This is simply way too much underdog line value available to a team that is still fighting hard to stay alive in the playoff chase. Philadelphia just outshot Boston 42 to 26 but came out on the wrong end of a 4 to 2 final. The Flyers also won the first three meetings with the Islanders this season. Each of their last two losses to the Isles have come after regulation and Philly actually outshot them by a combined 69 to 44 in those two losses. The Islanders enter this game on a 3-game winning streak but have been held to 2 or less goals in regulation time of 3 or their last 4 games. Also, I know the Islanders just acquired Palmieri and Zajac from the Devils but it is going to take a little time for those guys to get acclimated on Long Island. Look for an upset here as there is no quit in this Flyers team and they get revenge against the Islanders for the recent tight losses to them. 10* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
04-07-21 | Canadiens +138 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Perfection Play - NHL Rotation #3 Wednesday 10* Top Play Montreal Canadiens Money Line (+) @ Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:35 ET - The Maple Leafs are on a 4-game winning streak but have gone 0-3 this season when they enter a season on a 4-game win streak. In other words, Toronto just hasn't been able to get that elusive 5-game win streak this season and this will be their 4th crack at it tonight. I don't see this trend ending either. The road team has won each of the last 3 meetings between these rivals. Jake Allen will get the start in goal for the Habs because Carey Price is out with a lower body injury. Allen has a solid .922 save percentage on the season and he has been particularly strong on the road. Just one regulation loss in 7 decisions away from home for Allen. He has a stellar 1.84 GAA on enemy ice this season. Toronto has only 4 wins in their last 9 home games and 3 of the 4 wins came after regulation! This Maple Leafs team has been far from dominant on home ice and I expect this trend to continue here as the Canadiens come into this game riding high with confidence. That's because they rallied for a key 3-2 OT win versus Edmonton Monday and that is the Habs 4th win in 5 games. Getting 2 third period goals to tie that one up is a huge boost for the Canadiens and they are likely to build on that surge tonight as the road team wins for the 4th straight time in meetings between these teams. 10* MONTREAL | |||||||
04-07-21 | Oilers v. Senators OVER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - NHL Rotation #1 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers @ 5:05 ET - The Oilers are off a 3-2 loss in overtime at Montreal as they had a 2-0 lead but then didn't add to it and paid the price. Of course the Canadiens are at a different level than the Senators. Considering that as well as Edmonton knowing they can not afford to take their foot off the gas and try to sit on a lead, I am looking for a ton of goals in this one. Edmonton has won all 7 meetings between these teams this season and has averaged nearly 5 goals per game in the 7 wins. The Senators have scored at least 2 goals in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these teams and Ottawa has averaged 2.5 goals per game in those 8 contests. The Sens have been more competitive in recent weeks as they have earned at least a point in 7 of their last 9 games. The Senators have averaged about 3 goals per game during this 9-game stretch. Look for a 4-3 type game here as the Oilers are in bounce back mode but the Sens have the ability, especially on home ice, to match them goal for goal and we should see plenty of scoring in this one as a result. 10* OVER the total in Ottawa | |||||||
04-06-21 | Bruins v. Flyers +115 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
Big East Beast - NHL Rotation #58 Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (+) vs Boston Bruins @ 7:05 ET - There is no quit in this Flyers team. They were already being written off by many but with a regulation win tonight (won last night's game in OT) Philadelphia would move just 1 point behind Boston for the final playoff spot in the division. Considering that plus the fact there is still 5 weeks of hockey left, it could be quite a memorable ride in the East Division. The Flyers will have Carter Hart in goal for this one. He looked like the Hart of old in his most recent start but Philly started Brian Elliott last night since it was on the road and first of a back to back. Keep in mind, Hart dominated on home ice last season and, again, his start against the Islanders Saturday, a shootout loss, sure looked like he is back "in the zone" again after Philadelphia had given him some time off to work through everything. As for the Bruins, they have a mess at the goaltending position. Tuukka Rask has been out with an injury. Jaroslav Halak, unless was a false positive (unlikely) has entered covid-19 protocol. That is why the #3 goalie Daniel Vladar started last night and Callum Booth was called up from Providence to be the back-up. With all the issues at the goalie spot, plus the fact the Bruins have lost 13 of 22 games, the Flyers are offering plenty of value as a dog on their home ice here. 10* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
04-05-21 | Flyers +152 v. Bruins | Top | 3-2 | Win | 152 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
Big East Beast - NHL Rotation #41 Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (+155) @ Boston Bruins @ 7:05 ET - This one is all about the line value with taking a big dog against a team that is still not 100% healthy and that has had trouble building win streaks of late. The Bruins are off a big 7-5 win versus the Penguins Saturday. That is very significant here because we are in early April now and note that since a 5-game winning streak that wrapped up for Boston on February 12th, they have only managed to win consecutive games one single time! Indeed, the Bruins from February 13th onward have gone 1-8 when off a win! 8 losses, 1 win! Now I certainly know the Flyers have been quite inconsistent of late but they are still a very talented team capable of bringing it on any night. That said, Philly offers all kinds of line value here because they absolutely should bring it in this one! The Flyers have lost all their games against Boston this season thus far and that includes an embarrassing 7-3 loss in the outdoor game in late February in the most recent meeting. The Flyers enter this game off back to back losses after a tough shootout loss to the Islanders on Saturday but they are 6-2 this season when entering a game off back to back losses. Based on all of the above you can see why I love the value of the big dog in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA +155 | |||||||
04-04-21 | Capitals v. Devils +146 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - NHL Rotation #28 Sunday 10* Top Play New Jersey Devils Money Line (+) vs Washington Capitals @ 3:05 ET - The Devils lost in overtime Friday and I had them right here and am coming right back with them again as they are desperate to get off the schneid versus the Capitals. New Jersey is getting their last chance to get a win over Washington this season and that is today on Sunday. I look for the hungry Devils to make the most of it and possibly catch the Capitals looking ahead to bigger games up ahead as they face the Islanders Tuesday and the Bruins Thursday of this coming week. Keep in mind the Caps just got blitzed 8 to 4 by the Isles and New York is coached by their former coach, Barry Trotz. That said this is a good spot to back the Devils off back to back losses as they had blown a 4-1 lead against Boston to lose that game in the shootout and then lost to the Capitals in overtime Friday. Prior to these two tight losses, New Jersey had won 5 of 8. I just do not see the Devils being denied here in their quest to finally emerge victorious over the Caps this season. The home team will prove to be the much hungrier and much more focused team in this one. 10* NEW JERSEY | |||||||
04-04-21 | Red Wings v. Lightning OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 107 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
Big East Beast - NHL Rotation #25 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings @ 12:05 ET - Yesterday's game was a tight 2-1 win for Tampa but now it is the 2nd game of a back to back on consecutive days and we are likely to see back-up goalies as a result. The last time these teams met and the #1 goalies did not go, it was a 6-4 Lightning win! While we may not again get to double digits in goals here, we certainly should at least get to 6 and I like the value with the over 5.5 currently available at plus money in this one. Prior to yesterday's low-scoring battle, the over was 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams and those 4 overs averaged 8 goals per game. Look for a lot of goals here and, keep in mind, if Vasilevskiy would happen to go between the pipes for the Bolts it would be the 2nd game of a back to back and that is a tough situation for any netminder. I expect it will be McElhinney in the crease for the Lightning. 10* OVER 5.5 goals in Tampa Bay | |||||||
04-03-21 | Blackhawks v. Predators -117 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - NHL Rotation #6 Saturday 10* Top Play Nashville Predators Money Line (-) vs Chicago Blackhawks @ 3:05 ET - The Predators are a perfect 4-0 against the Blackhawks this season. I know Nashville has some injury issues but that is also what is helping to keep this line a little on the low side even though the Preds are on home ice. I am happy to grab the line value here as the Predators are ready to respond off a loss. Nashville had won 8 of 9 prior to their home loss to Dallas Thursday. Chicago, in my opinion, has a chance to be a quality team very soon but I just do not see it this season. The Blackhawks came into the season not expected to do much and they lived up to those expectations with a very slow start. Then they suddenly caught fire like teams do sometimes but then reality set in again and the Hawks have been losing on the regular once again. Chicago enters this game having lost 9 of 13 games and they have lost 5 of their last 6 road games. More of the same expected here. 10* NASHVILLE | |||||||
04-03-21 | Penguins +106 v. Bruins | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
Big East Beast - NHL Rotation #1 Saturday 8* Pittsburgh Penguins Money Line (+) @ Boston Bruins @ 1:05 ET - I successfully used Pittsburgh in Thursday's game and will do the same again here. As mentioned in Thursday's write-up, the Penguins had lost each of their last 10 visits to Boston yet the game was priced at very nearly a pick'em. Long-time followers knew where I am going with this one! The fact is the Penguins came into that game on a hot streak and desperate to end their losing streak in games at Boston. They got the job done then and I expect they will again here as they are battling for a top spot in the division. Pittsburgh has the hottest goalie in the league right now with Casey DeSmith on a phenomenal run over his last 11 appearances. As for the Bruins, they have been without Tuukka Rask and this has stressed their goaltending situation. Whether it is Jaroslav Halak or Dan Vladar in goal for this one, the Bruins netminder will be facing a Penguins club that has won 5 straight games and 12 of 15. Boston, on the other hand, had lost 11 of 18 games before rallying for a win versus New Jersey Tuesday and then losing 4-1 to the Pens Thursday. The Bruins last 3 wins have come against the Sabres (who had lost 18 straight) and the Devils (fortunate win for Boston). Give me the road dog playing the much better hockey of late and the club that also has the goaltending edge. 8* PITTSBURGH | |||||||
04-02-21 | Maple Leafs v. Jets +128 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - NHL Rotation #62 Friday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Money Line (+) vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 8:05 ET - This will be the 8th meeting since January of 2020 and no team has won back to back games in this series since then. That said, and with the Maple Leafs winning Wednesday, I like the Jets here! Toronto is 0 for 9 on the power play in the last 3 meetings between these teams and that is eventually going to catch up with them. Winnipeg is 3 for 8 on the power play in the last two games and they get back to work here seeking revenge after Wednesday's loss. The rest of this is from Wednesday's write-up because I did lose with this play Wednesday but all of these factors are why I still like the Jets in the rematch today on Friday. From Wednesday's write-up: "I like the home underdog in this one. It is hard to argue that the Leafs should be such a pricey favorite on the road in this one when you consider the Jets record is every bit as good as Toronto's plus these teams have split the first four meetings this season. I know Jack Campbell has played surprisingly well between the pipes for the Maple Leafs of late but he certainly does not have the long-term success factor that Connor Hellebuyck has. Also, Hellebuyck is 4-0 with a .966 save percentage and has allowed an average of just 1 goal per game his last 4 starts. I know Campbell has been great this season - albeit in limited action thus far - but he lost 12 of 18 road decisions last season. As for the season before that, Campbell lost 9 of 14 road decisions. In fact in his career, prior to this season, Campbell lost 24 of 36 decisions away from home. That is 2 out of every 3 decisions resulting in a loss on the road. He is a solid netminder playing well right now but Hellebuyck is playing even better and home ice matters and we get an underdog line here as well. A lot of positive factors in our favor and the Leafs are one point in front of the Jets in the standings. Great set up here. Also, the Maple Leafs have lost 7 of their last 11 games. The Jets, on the other hand, have won 4 of last 5 and those were on the road plus they have won 7 of last 10 on home ice." 10* WINNIPEG | |||||||
04-02-21 | Capitals v. Devils +138 | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Big East Beast - NHL Rotation #60 Friday 8* New Jersey Devils Money Line +140 vs Washington Capitals @ 7:05 ET - The Capitals are in the 2nd game of a back to back plus #1 goalie Samsonov might have a concussion. Additionally, both Samsonov and #2 goalie Vanecek got blitzed in yesterday's 8-4 loss at New York against the Islanders. Teams are starting to gun for the Capitals after they moved into the top spot in the division as that certainly did not go unnoticed. I am well aware of the fact that the Caps have owned the Devils this season with a perfect 6-0 mark against them but I love the home dog New Jersey here. They just blew a 4-1 lead at Boston Tuesday and lost in the shootout. They will be fired up here as today and Sunday are their last two chances to get a win versus the Capitals in the regular season and certainly they are not happy about the collapse against the Bruins Tuesday. I really like the fact that the Devils have had two days off leading into this game while Washington is off a grueling effort against the Isles and their former coach, Trotz, yesterday. The set up is perfect for a New Jersey home dog upset. The Devils had won 5 of 8 before letting one slip away at Boston. They will bounce back here. 8* NEW JERSEY | |||||||
04-01-21 | Blue Jackets v. Lightning -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Puck Line Punisher - NHL Rotation #48 Thursday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 goals -105 vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - Sometimes crazy things happen in the NHL just like other sports. The Blue Jackets beat the Lightning Tuesday despite Columbus having been one of the coldest teams in the league plus Tampa Bay having revenge. It happened despite the Bolts having a huge edge in shots on goal too. That said, payback is going to come in a big way here. The Lightning are on a rare losing streak now but they are still extremely talented and now hungry to respond after the recent defeats. Let us not forget TB is the defending champs after all. Additionally, the Blue Jackets had lost 4 straight and 15 of 21 games prior to the upset win on Tuesday. Of course Tampa Bay is priced as a big money line favorite here for a good reason as you can see per all of the above. Where the value is with this one is with playing the Bolts on the puck line and note that 8 of 11 Jackets road losses this season have come by a multiple goal margin. 10* TAMPA BAY -1.5 goals -105 | |||||||
04-01-21 | Penguins +107 v. Bruins | Top | 4-1 | Win | 107 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Big East Beast - NHL Rotation #49 Thursday 10* Top Play Pittsburgh Penguins Money Line (+) @ Boston Bruins @ 7:05 ET - The Penguins have lost each of their last 10 visits to Boston yet this game is priced at very nearly a pick'em. Long-time followers know where I am going with this one! The fact is the Penguins come into this game on a hot streak and desperate to end their losing streak in games at Boston. Pittsburgh has the hottest goalie in the league right now with Casey DeSmith on a phenomenal run over his last 10 appearances. As for the Bruins, they are expected to start Dan Vladar here. He has been strong in his first two starts but this is still a 23-year old netminder appearing in just his 3rd ever NHL game and he is facing a Penguins club that has won 4 straight games and 11 of 14. Boston, on the other hand, had lost 11 of 18 games before rallying for a win versus New Jersey Tuesday. The Bruins last 3 wins have come against the Sabres (who had lost 18 straight) and the Devils (fortunate win for Boston). Give me the highly motivated road dog playing the much better hockey of late and that also has the goaltending edge. 10* PITTSBURGH | |||||||
03-31-21 | Flyers -190 v. Sabres | 1-6 | Loss | -190 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Big East Beast - NHL Rotation #31 Wednesday 6* Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (-) @ Buffalo Sabres @ 7:35 ET - NOTE my rating here. As long-time followers know my top play is 10* so this one is rated at nearly only half of that! Currently priced in the -190 range that means betting this at 6* is commensurate with betting a 10* top on a -115 money line. The fact is I rarely ever lay these kind of prices and the only time I do is in the most rare of cases and this is certainly one you will not see often! The Sabres have lost 18 straight games. The most recent was a 4-3 OT loss to these same Flyers on Monday in which Buffalo blew a 3-0 third period lead. Of course the Sabres will wan to respond but that kind of a loss is hard enough for any team to bounce back from and this is particularly true of one that has lost 18 games in a row! At the same time, the Flyers are desperate for points and to stay alive in the playoff race. Philadelphia has 3 days off after this game - a rare break in the schedule - and so they will definitely leave it all on the ice for this game! They are hungry for 2 points and then a needed break and then ready to make a playoff push. Until the Sabres prove they can win a game - and by they way they are now winless in last 5 versus Flyers - they must be faded. 6* PHILADELPHIA money line | |||||||
03-31-21 | Maple Leafs v. Jets +126 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
NHL Rotation #30 Wednesday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Money Line (+) vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:35 ET - This is a battle for first place in the North Division and I like the home underdog in this one. It is hard to argue that the Leafs should be such a pricey favorite on the road in this one when you consider the Jets record is every bit as good as Toronto's plus these teams have split the first four meetings this season. I know Jack Campbell has played surprisingly well between the pipes for the Maple Leafs of late but he certainly does not have the long-term success factor that Connor Hellebuyck has. Also, Hellebuyck is 4-0 with a .966 save percentage and has allowed an average of just 1 goal per game his last 4 starts. I know Campbell has been great this season - albeit in limited action thus far - but he lost 12 of 18 road decisions last season. As for the season before that, Campbell lost 9 of 14 road decisions. In fact in his career, prior to this season, Campbell lost 24 of 36 decisions away from home. That is 2 out of every 3 decisions resulting in a loss on the road. He is a solid netminder playing well right now but Hellebuyck is playing even better and home ice matters and we get an underdog line here as well. A lot of positive factors in our favor and the Leafs are one point in front of the Jets in the standings. Great set up here. Also, the Maple Leafs have lost 7 of their last 11 games. The Jets, on the other hand, have won 4 of last 5 and those were on the road plus they have won 7 of last 10 on home ice. 10* WINNIPEG | |||||||
03-30-21 | Oilers v. Canadiens -118 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
NHL Rotation #72 Tuesday 8* Montreal Canadiens Money Line -118 vs Edmonton Oilers @ 7:05 ET - I understand the line move here as everyone is playing Edmonton because Montreal has had a long layoff. This will be the Canadiens first game since the 20th. However, certainly the Habs will have fresh skating legs as a result and this is the ideal spot to fade the Oilers. They are in the 2nd night of a back to back and rallied for a huge OT win at Toronto last night. Having struggling badly against the Maple Leafs this season, and that being their final game against them for this year, they wanted it badly. That makes this a potential flat spot for Edmonton here. Also, the Oilers handed the Habs a 3-0 shutout loss at Montreal in the last meeting. Suffice to say the home team hasn't forgotten that beatdown and wants revenge. Also, in their last 15 games the Canadiens have earned at least a point in 12 of them. A tough team to beat in regulation and a great spot to back them for a win here. 8* MONTREAL | |||||||
03-30-21 | Capitals v. Rangers +102 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 102 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
NHL Rotation #18 Tuesday 10* Top Play New York Rangers Money Line (+) vs Washington Capitals @ 7:05 ET - The Capitals have been hot for sure but the Rangers have been playing very well and will carry some momentum over from Sunday's game at Washington. Momentum from a loss? Yes! The Rangers were down 4-0 in that game but showed a lot of fight in never giving up in the eventual 5-4 loss. Now with the scene shifting from DC to NY for this one, the Rangers get the home ice win tonight. New York has won 4 of its last 6 home games and has won them by a combined score of 23 to 7. Also, Shesterkin should be between the pipes for the Rangers tonight and he has been great in recent starts against the Capitals. Overall, he has been great this season and has a 2.06 GAA and .942 save percentage in the month of March. More of the same here and, off tight back to back losses - to Flyers and Capitals - I do not see the home team being denied here. 10* NEW YORK RANGERS | |||||||
03-29-21 | Oilers +137 v. Maple Leafs | 3-2 | Win | 137 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
NHL Rotation #3 Monday 8* Edmonton Oilers Money Line +140 @ Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:05 ET - This is the Oilers last shot at knocking off the Maple Leafs in regular season action. The teams have already met 8 times so this is the 9th and final game between the North Division foes. Toronto rallied for the overtime win on Saturday night as Edmonton blew a huge lead. Look for the Oilers to make up for that here with a huge effort. Edmonton was dealing with a schedule break before facing the Leafs Saturday and that week off seemed to take something out of them as they were unable to finish the game off after getting a big lead. Keep in mind, the Oilers had won 7 of 9 before that loss and I fully expect them to bounce back her now that they have a game under their belts. Toronto has taken 6 of the 8 meetings between these teams so far and certainly the Oilers are not happy about this. Payback time here. Yes, the Maple Leafs are off 3 straight wins but the last two have come in OT plus Toronto had lost 6 of 7 games prior to this hot streak. This game is simply offering too much line value to the highly motivated road dog and I will not pass up on it. 8* EDMONTON | |||||||
03-29-21 | Islanders -105 v. Penguins | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
Rotation #1 NHL 10* Top Play New York Islanders Money Line (-) @ Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:05 ET - The Islanders are one of the best teams in the NHL and they just got hammered 6-3 at Pittsburgh on Saturday. You can bet (literally!) that they will be ready to respond in this rematch Monday. The Isles had won 12 of 14 games prior to the loss Saturday. Going further back it was a stretch of 19 wins in 25 games for this rock solid Islanders club. One of the few teams that has given the Isles any trouble this season is the Penguins. That said, this is the Isles last shot at them in the regular season and I am sure they will make it count! New York has lost 5 of 7 meetings with Pittsburgh this season and this is payback time. Pittsburgh has won 3 straight games but 2 of those victories came against a Buffalo tam that has lost 17 straight games. Plus, prior to that stretch, the Pens had lost 3 of 4. I just do not see the Islanders being denied tonight given all of the above and the situational factors here. 10* NEW YORK ISLANDERS | |||||||
03-28-21 | Blue Jackets v. Red Wings OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
Big East Beast - NHL 10* OVER 5.5 goals +120 in Detroit Red Wings vs Columbus Blue Jackets @ 3:05 ET - Both teams have goalie concerns and this is a back to back so it exasperates the situation. The Blue Jackets started Merzlikins yesterday and Korpisalo is dealing with a lower body injury. The Red Wings started Pickard yesterday and Bernier is dealing with a leg injury. Even though this series has trended under big time this season, I like the over given the situation here. Note that the Blue Jackets are hungry to respond here and certainly should but I don't see them stopping a Detroit team that put 34 shots on goal yesterday. On their home ice, the Red Wings will bring another strong effort but I also expected Columbus to be more focused on the offensive zone in this rematch. The Jackets had averaged 31.5 shots on goal the last 6 meetings between these teams before a paltry effort of 22 shots yesterday. Both teams are allowing too many goals this season and Columbus has allowed 3 or more goals in 3 straight games and 7 of their last 10. The Red Wings had allowed 3 or more goals in 8 of 12 games prior to yesterday's 3-1 win. Given the above, don't be surprised if each team gets to 3 goals in this one. 10* OVER 5.5 goals +120 in Detroit | |||||||
03-28-21 | Rangers +123 v. Capitals | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - NHL 8* New York Rangers Money Line (+) @ Washington Capitals @ 12:05 ET - This line jumped because it is a back to back for the Rangers and they'll have back-up goalie Georgiev between the pipes. However, he played a lot recently because Shesterkin was out with an injury. Also, he played well in most outings too! Georgiev has allowed just 2 goals in his last 2 starts and that included a shutout win and a tough 2-1 loss to the Capitals. That makes this a revenge game for Georgiev as his Rangers blew a 1-0 lead in that game and lost 2-1 despite a 33-18 edge in shots on goal. They dominated play but lost when the Caps got a couple of late goals in the 3rd period. Coming off a loss to the Flyers yesterday and with Georgiev looking for revenge, the Rangers are poised for a big game here. The Rangers had won 5 of 7 before yesterday's loss and each of their last 3 losses has been by a single goal while their last 5 victories have come by a combined score of 29 to 7. We get value here because the Capitals have been so hot but there is a reason the odds makers had priced this line so low on Washington in the first place. The odds makers are sharp...but we are too! Fade the masses! 8* NEW YORK RANGERS money line | |||||||
03-27-21 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 7 m | Show |
Top Play - 10* OVER 5.5 goals in Colorado Avalanche vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 3:05 ET - Vegas has now lost 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams and a big concern for the Golden Knights is that they have scored an average of only 1.8 goals in the 5 meetings this season. Vegas knows they must change their approach in the offensive zone if they want to improve their odds of defeating the other top team out west. I look for this to lead to more scoring here from the Golden Knights but they also won't be able to stop a Colorado team that has scored 11 goals in the 3 wins over Vegas. The Golden Knights will look to get pucks in deeper in the offensive zone and win those battles in the corner and behind the net with their physicality. This should work and lead to some more offensive chances but it also could lead to Vegas chasing the game the other way if the Avalanche create some turnovers and then the Golden Knights are already deep in the offensive zone and have to scramble back the other way. I understand Vegas having to take some risk here to score some more goals but, the end result will be plenty of continued scoring for the Avalanche in this one too. As a result, and with a total of 5.5 on this game, look for a rather easy over in this one in what could very well turn into a back and forth high-scoring affair. 5 of the Knights last 6 road games have totaled at least 6 goals. Each of the Avalanche last 6 games have totaled at least 6 goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Colorado | |||||||
03-27-21 | Rangers v. Flyers +116 | 1-2 | Win | 116 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
Big East Beast - 8* Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (+) vs New York Rangers @ 1:05 ET - The Flyers have been embarrassed by the rival Rangers in two straight games now and will turn to veteran Brian Elliott between the pipes to steady the ship. Even though the most recent defeat was still certainly embarrassing, Philadelphia showed resolve in still battling hard and playing hard as they battled back from a 6-0 deficit. They will carry some momentum from that effort right into this game and, on home ice and off an embarrassing loss, the Flyers will not be denied here. Elliott is 7-4-1 this season and has a 2.75 GAA in home games. This is a bit of a make or break game for the Flyers and I do not seen them being denied. I liked their response in Thursday's ugly loss and they will carry that right into a determined effort in today's game. 8* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
03-27-21 | Sabres v. Bruins -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -137 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Puck Line Punisher - 8* Boston Bruins Puck Line -1.5 goals -137 vs Buffalo Sabres @ 1:05 ET - Ideal set-up here as Boston can take out frustration of letting a game slip away against the Islanders by going from facing one of the best teams in the league to facing one of the worst. Not only has Buffalo lost 16 straight games, 12 of the last 15 defeats have been by a multiple goal margin. That said, though Boston is far too pricey to play on the money line here, we can play them on the puck line and fully expect that their win today will come by at least a 2-goal margin. The Bruins will show no mercy as they don't want another slip-up like happened Thursday when they blew a 2-goal lead and lost to the Isles. As a result, this one gets very ugly for the downtrodden Sabres. 8* BOSTON Puck Line -1.5 goals -137 | |||||||
03-26-21 | Ducks v. Blues OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #27 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in St Louis Blues vs Anaheim Ducks @ 8:05 ET - The Blues are off a 2-0 shutout loss at Minnesota but they actually generated 37 shots on goal in that defeat! This was on the heels of a 5-1 loss at Vegas. That said, do you think St Louis is going to be ready to "pour it on" tonight against Anaheim? Of course they will be and I am expecting a lot of goals in this one. The Ducks can be sneaky good at times and have shown a tendency for higher scoring games when on the road. Anaheim was held in check a bit at Minnesota so for this week, though Wednesday's game was 3-2 after two periods and never should have stayed under the total of 5.5 goals! But, prior to the 2-game set with the Wild, the Ducks last 5 road games averaged nearly 8 goals per game and 4 of the 5 totaled at least 7 goals! That said, and with a total of only 5.5 goals here, I like our chances of a bit of a wild one at St Louis. Many recent meetings between these teams have totaled exactly 5 goals but the fact is none of the last 7 meetings have totaled less than 5 and the 7 meetings averaged 6 goals per game and I am expecting at least 6 here. Before last night's rare shutout loss, 4 of the Blues last 6 games totaled 6 or more goals and this one will too. Bounce back time from two teams hungry off losses that will keep a lot of pressure in the offensive zones tonight. 10* OVER 5.5 goals in St Louis | |||||||
03-26-21 | Devils +196 v. Capitals | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
Big East Beast - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #25 Friday 8* New Jersey Devils Money Line (+) @ Washington Capitals @ 7:05 ET - Too much big dog line value pass up on here. I know the Capitals have been playing great but the Devils are an up and coming team that has played very well on the road this season. Yesterday every goal they scored ended up being quickly answered by the Caps and Washington hung on for the eventual 4-3 win. Look for New Jersey, a very determined hockey club, to show even more resolve in today's game and I look for them to get the huge upset win. The Devils had won 4 of 5 games prior to yesterday's loss. Also, entering yesterday's game, New Jersey had lost only 7 road games this season while the Capitals have lost 8 games on home ice this year! In other words, even as hot as Washington has been, there is simply no argument here about the fact that there is line value with the live dog in this one! I like the Devils to bounce back and get the big road win. 8* NEW JERSEY | |||||||
03-25-21 | Blues v. Wild OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Total Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #17 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Minnesota Wild vs St Louis Blues @ 8:05 ET - The Wild hosted the Ducks yesterday and the over 5.5 was 3-2 going to the 3rd and inexplicably not another goal was scored. We lost with that play but I will come right back with it here. Surprisingly it is being reported that Cam Talbot will get the start again tonight. That makes this the 2nd game of a back to back for Talbot plus would be his 3rd start in 4 days. I know he is off strong back to back starts but now he is in a taxing situation and this solid 2-game run was preceded by him allowing 4 or more goals in 4 of 6 starts. Also, the Blues come into this one hungry to bounce back off a 5-1 loss. St Louis won their preceding game 5-2 but has been struggling overall in terms of keeping pucks out of their own net. The Blues have lost 6 of 8 and have allowed 4 or more goals in each of their last 4 losses. The long-term reputation is why this total is a 5.5 but the Wild have allowed 3.5 goals per game their last 4 games and have scored well on home ice this season. Look for a surprisingly high-scoring game here. 10* OVER the total in Minnesota | |||||||
03-25-21 | Rangers v. Flyers +112 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #2 Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (+) vs New York Rangers @ 7:05 ET - You think the Flyers might be motivated and play one of their best games of the season tonight? They absolutely should! Philadelphia has lost 3 straight games for the first time this season. Their loss to the Devils Tuesday was the first time this season they did not respond off back to back losses as they had been a perfect 5-0 in that situation this season. That said, I fully expect a huge response here as the game that started this 3-game skid was a very embarrassing 9-0 loss to the Rangers last week. Teams do not suffer losses like that very often at all and when it happens against a rival and then you can get quick shot at redemption you can bank on what should happen here. We are also are getting some line value here because Shesterkin is expected to be back between the pipes for New York tonight but he is returning from injury and could be rusty making his first start in 3 weeks. The line moved toward the Rangers after his return was announced for tonight but for all the reasons above, I feel strongly that this line move is the wrong way and the home dog gets payback and cashes in here. 10* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
03-24-21 | Sabres v. Penguins -1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #76 Wednesday 10* Top Play Pittsburgh Penguins Puck Line -1.5 goals -115 vs Buffalo Sabres @ 8:05 ET - Not only have the Sabres lost 14 straight games, many of them have been blowout losses. Of course that is why the Penguins are a pricey favorite here on the money line but is also why we get value by laying the 1.5 goals and playing Pittsburgh on the puck line at a price in the -115 range! Buffalo has seen 10 of their last 13 losses come by a margin of 2 or more goals. Adding to the situational value here is the fact that the Penguins are at home and off a loss. Pittsburgh has now lost each of it's last two home games but, prior to this, the Pens had won 12 of 14 home games this season! Also, the Penguins last 6 wins have all come by a multiple goal margin. Look for this one too as well as the Sabres season of misery continues here. 10* PITTSBURGH Puck Line -1.5 goals -115 | |||||||
03-24-21 | Ducks v. Wild OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #71 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 goals in Minnesota Wild vs Anaheim Ducks @ 5:35 ET - Tight, low-scoring 2-1 Wild win on Monday. Look for things to open up a bit in the rematch. The Ducks had allowed 4 or more goals in 6 of 8 games previous to that defensive battle Monday. Anaheim allowed an average of 4.8 goals per game in those 8 games! The total here is only a 5.5 and the over is available at even money. I like the odds for a high-scoring rematch here as Minnesota has won 9 straight home games and averaged 3.5 goals per game in the first 8 victories of this win streak. Also, prior to shutting down the Ducks, the Wild allowed 11 goals over their two preceding games. That is an average of 5.5 goals allowed per game. Look for at least a 4-2 type game here but possibly much more! 10* OVER the total in Minnesota | |||||||
03-24-21 | Flames -167 v. Senators | 1-3 | Loss | -167 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #69 Wednesday 7* Calgary Flames Money Line -167 @ Ottawa Senators @ 5:05 ET - A little pricier than I like to normally play but that is why I have reduced the rating to a 7* here. In other words, it is similar to laying -120 on a 10* top play. This is simply a fantastic spot as the Senators won a tight one 2-1 Monday behind an outstanding effort from their rookie goalie. The Flames outshot them 36 to 23 and will get payback here. Ottawa is 0-4 the last 4 times when off a win. Only twice this season have the Sens produced a winning streak of 2 or more games. Calgary is 5-1 the last 6 times this season when they enter a game off back to back losses. Only twice this season have the Flames had a losing streak of more than 2 games. Payback time here. Lay it! 7* CALGARY -167 | |||||||
03-23-21 | Panthers v. Blackhawks OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
Freight Train TOP - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #61 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 6 goals in Chicago Blackhawks vs Florida Panthers @ 8:05 ET - The Blackhawks have allowed an average of 4.6 goals per game their last 7 games! Chicago does tend to score well at home however as the Hawks have averaged scoring 3.8 goals per game as a host this season. That sets this one up well to be a very high-scoring game on Blackhawks home ice tonight. The Panthers are in town and their 4 games with Chicago this season have all totaled 6 or more goals and have averaged 7.5 goals per game! Florida is fired up off a 5-3 loss to Tampa Bay and will be ready to bounce back here but they have been giving up too many goals recently on the road. Hence my play on the over here. The Panthers have allowed an average of 3.5 goals per game in their last 6 games away from home. This one has the makings of a 4-3 type battle. Great value with this total at an even 6 goals. 10* OVER the total in Chicago | |||||||
03-23-21 | Devils v. Flyers -157 | 4-3 | Loss | -157 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
NBC Sports Network Rout - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #58 Tuesday 8* Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (-) vs New Jersey Devils @ 7:05 ET - The Flyers are off a tough OT loss to the Islanders yesterday as the Isles tied the game on a bit of a fluke goal in the 3rd period and then got the win after a Philadelphia turnover in their own zone. That said, Philly will come out strong in bounce back mode here. Carter Hart will be in goal and he was fantastic on home ice last season plus has been very strong against the Devils both this year and last season. Also, New Jersey enters this game having struggled to score goals of late with an average of only 2 per game in their last half dozen contests. As for Philadelphia, even though this is a back to back, they have played very well in the 2nd game of back to backs this season. This is about the upper limit money line I am willing to lay and, given the situation, I will not pass up on this opportunity. The Flyers played very well last night but lost and now come out even hungrier against the Devils tonight. New Jersey is off an OT win over Pittsburgh so the set up is perfect here. The Devils had lost 13 of 17 prior to the win over the Penguins. 8* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
03-22-21 | Islanders v. Flyers +112 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #46 Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (+) vs New York Islanders @ 7:05 ET - When a good team is left for dead it is often the best time to step in and play them. Everyone is very down on the Flyers right now but they got what was coming to them with Saturday's 6-1 loss to the Islanders. Certainly New York is a great team but now they are on the road and lets not forget that Philadelphia had won each of the first 3 meetings between these teams this season. Also, the Isles have been great at home this season but have lost 9 of their 16 road games. The Flyers are a perfect 5-0 this season when off a loss in which they were held to 1 goal or less. Bounce back time here so grab the home dog. 10* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
03-21-21 | Panthers v. Lightning OVER 6 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #31 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 goals in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers @ 4:05 ET - Each of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have resulted in an over. This is a back to back spot for each of these teams and, as a result, Sergei Bobrovsky is likely to get the start for Florida in this one. He has allowed at least 6 goals in 2 of his last 3 starts against the Lightning. As for Tampa Bay, they did have Andrei Vasilevskiy between the pipes for yesterday's game against Chicago. That increases the likelihood that it will be Curtis McElhinney between the pipes in this one for the Bolts. He allowed 6 goals when he most recently faced the Panthers. Overall, McElhinney has struggled this season with an .874 GAA. Also, if TB would end up using Vasilevskiy in this back to back spot, note that it would be a tough back to back for him plus he allowed 3 goals in 4 straight games prior to enjoying success against the Blackhawks Thursday and yesterday. Staying true to the recent trending when these teams meet plus factoring in the stresses on defense and goaltending that a back to back brings, look for another high-scoring match-up in this one. 10* OVER 6 goals in Tampa Bay | |||||||
03-21-21 | Devils v. Penguins OVER 5.5 | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
Earliest Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #29 Sunday 8* OVER 5.5 goals in Pittsburgh Penguins vs New Jersey Devils @ 1:05 ET - Yesterday's game between these teams in New Jersey stayed under the total but now the series shifts to Pittsburgh. The Penguins lost their most recent home game 2-1 but Pittsburgh entered that game with wins in 12 of 14 games on home ice this season plus averaging 4 goals per game as a host on the year! New Jersey has trended over this season as 8 of their 11 games away from home have resulted in an over. Those Devils game averaged totaling 6.5 goals per game and we have a total of only 5.5 goals on this game plus it is a back to back which stresses a team's goalie situation and their defense. I'll take advantage. 8* OVER the total in Pittsburgh | |||||||
03-20-21 | Canucks v. Canadiens OVER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #15 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 6 goals in Montreal Canadiens vs Vancouver Canucks @ 7:05 ET - Just about 6 minutes into the 2nd period last night, the Canucks had a 2-1 lead but the total died at that point and never got over. I'll come right back with it here. Carey Price gets the start for Montreal but he allowed 4 goals in his most recent start and has now allowed an average of 3 goals per game his last 3 starts. Vancouver has revenge against Price as he has shut them down this season so far. Look for the Canucks, to that end, to build off the momentum of yesterday's 3-2 win and test Price early and often in this one. The issue for Vancouver however is that their own goaltending is likely to be a weakness here. Since Demko started yesterday it is likely to be Holtby in this one. He has struggled badly and has a 3.56 GAA on the season and has allowed 4 goals in each of his last two starts. Holtby has a 4.90 GAA versus the Habs this season and I look for a high-scoring entertaining game in this one as a result. 10* OVER 6 goals in Montreal | |||||||
03-20-21 | Penguins v. Devils OVER 5.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -113 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
Earliest Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #3 Saturday 8* OVER 5.5 goals in New Jersey Devils vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 1:05 ET - You know the Penguins are going to bounce back after Thursday's 3-2 loss at New Jersey. However, I just don't trust the Pittsburgh goaltending. The Devils will continue to take advantage of that weakness here. New Jersey has scored at least 3 goals in 4 of last 6 games. With a total of just 5.5 goals here I like the value on the over. The Pens are off back to back low-scoring losses but this was preceded by a 7-1 run that saw Pittsburgh score at least 3 goals in all 8 games. They have had more time now to adjust to being without Malkin who recently got hurt. Keep in mind, this is still a Penguins team that scored an average of 4 goals per game during that 8-game stretch. 8* OVER 5.5 goals in New Jersey | |||||||
03-19-21 | Canucks v. Canadiens OVER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Earliest Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #69 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Montreal Canadiens vs Vancouver Canucks @ 7:05 ET - This one is a bit of a contrarian play but Jake Allen is expected to get the start between the pipes for Montreal. The Canadiens back-up netminder will make his first start in over a week and it will be just his 2nd start from March 5th to now! He has allowed at least 3 goals in each of his last 3 home starts and I expect more of the same here. Allen should get plenty of goal support though as the Habs are still in bounce back mode after the coaching mode and working hard to get things going in the offensive zone. 2 of Allen's last 3 home starts have seen the teams combine for 7 or more goals. Montreal has scored an average of 4 goals per game last 4 home games and I look for that high-scoring trend to continue here. I know Vancouver has been trending the other way and, like I said above, this is a bit of a contrarian play. The key is that I look for the Canadiens to come out strong and dictate the tempo on their home ice and that will lead to a rather exciting high-scoring match-up here as the Canucks have won 7 of 9 games. Vancouver has scored an average of 3 goals per game in the 3 victories and I would not be surprised to see each team get to 3 goals in this one which, of course, would guarantee us of no less than 4-3 final. 10* OVER the total in Montreal | |||||||
03-18-21 | Flyers +143 v. Islanders | 4-3 | Win | 143 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Early Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #53 Thursday 8* Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (+) @ New York Islanders @ 7:05 ET - The Flyers did not just lose yesterday to the Rangers, they were thoroughly embarrassed in a 9-0 beatdown. That is the type of defeat that brings about an immediate response from a team and I expect Philadelphia to bounce back strong here. The Flyers are already 2-0 this season against the Islanders as motivation has gone a long way - the Isles eliminated Philly from the post-season last year. The Islanders just lost a key player to a season-ending injury as Anders Lee suffered an ACL injury. This is awful news that is tough for a team to immediately respond to. The Isles had won 9 straight games before a loss to the Capitals Tuesday. However 7 of the 8 most-recent wins in the streak came against the bottom-feeding Devils and Sabres. New Jersey and Buffalo have combined for just 15 wins in their 54 games this season! Now the Islanders, still adjusting to playing without their leading goal-scorer, host a very angry visitor in this one. The Isles are a great team but the line value lies with the big dog Flyers here after what happened to them last night. 8* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
03-18-21 | Blackhawks v. Lightning OVER 6 | Top | 2-4 | Push | 0 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Earliest Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #49 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Chicago Blackhawks @ 7:05 ET - Andrei Vasilevskiy is expected to get the start for the Bolts here. It goes without saying that he might very well be the best goalie in the league. However, Vasilevskiy has allowed 3 goals in each of his last 4 starts. Also, the Lightning are facing a club that should equate to Vasilevskiy's teammates giving him plenty of goal support here! TB has scored an average of 4.2 goals per game in regulation time of their 5 games against the Blackhawks this season. Chicago enters this game having seen 10 of their last 12 games total at least 6 goals! The Blackhawks have scored an average of 3.2 goals per game in those dozen games. More of the same expected here as at least a 4-3 final expected here based on all of the above. Chicago is simply not getting the goaltending they were earlier this season. In fact, the Blackhawks have now allowed an average of 4.8 goals per game last 5 games and 3.8 goals per game last 12 games. More of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Tampa Bay | |||||||
03-17-21 | Flyers -124 v. Rangers | Top | 0-9 | Loss | -124 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
NBC Sports Network Rout - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #37 Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (-) @ New York Rangers @ 7:35 ET - The Flyers have dominated this series of late and that includes the games at Madison Square Garden as well. Philadelphia is on an 8-2 run last 10 meetings including a perfect 4-0 at New York. The Rangers lost to the Flyers Monday and Carter Hart played better between the pipes for Philly than you would have expected based on the final score of 5-4. Also, the Rangers have lost 4 of their last 5 and now Alexandar Georgiev is expected to be in the crease for the hosts tonight. He is making just his 2nd start in the last 10 days and Georgiev hasn't lasted long at all in his last two appearances! He has given up 7 goals on just 20 shots for an awful .650 save percentage as Georgiev has been chased from each of his last two appearances. Look for more of the same here as the Flyers have been piling up goals in recent games and have been red hot on the power play. Philly has scored an average of 4 goals per game last 4 games and I look for the recent dominance of the Rangers to continue in this one. 10* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
03-16-21 | Islanders -111 v. Capitals | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
East Div Game of the Month - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #25 Tuesday 10* Top Play New York Islanders Money Line (-) @ Washington Capitals @ 7:05 ET - The Capitals were out for revenge when they had a 2-game set with the Islanders in late January. That's because Washington was eliminated from the post-season last year by the Isles. However, now it is New York with revenge as they lost both those late January games and seek payback here. The situation certainly favors the travelers here as the Caps are in a back to back spot. Yes, the Capitals have been hot but they are in a back to back spot here and also it is likely to be Samsonov (allowed 7 goals last 2 starts) between the pipes since Vanecek was in the crease for last night's shutout win. That game was at Buffalo by the way so the Caps also had to travel for this next game. The Islanders certainly are the more rested team as they were off yesterday. Also, even though the Capitals have been hot, so too have the Isles as they have won 9 straight and 11 of their last 12. Both teams certainly playing very well but grab the hotter team, playing with revenge, and in the better scheduling situation. 10* NEW YORK ISLANDERS | |||||||
03-15-21 | Predators v. Lightning OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
NHL Network Crusher - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 goals in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators @ 4:05 ET - Going to take advantage of the low total here and ride the high-scoring trend. This total could be on its way to a 6 so lets get in on it early here and grab the 5.5 that is very plentiful as of mid-morning Monday. This is an afternoon game featuring two clubs that have been trending toward higher-scoring games of late. The most recent one was a game between these two teams and a 6-3 Tampa Bay team but, overall, these teams have each been individually trending toward plenty of goals in recent weeks. Nashville has seen 6 of their last 7 games total at least 6 goals. The Predators loss to the Bolts Saturday was the 5th time in 7 games that they have allowed at least 4 goals. As for the Lightning, they are known for strong goaltending but this is the first game of a back to back so we could see McElhinney between the pipes. Even if it is Vasilevskiy in goal, he has not been as sharp of late so either way there should be plenty of scoring here. The Bolts have allowed at least 3 goals in 5 straight games. All 5 of those games totaled 7 or more goals and this one should too! 4 of the 5 meetings between these teams this season have totaled 7 or more goals and TB has scored an average of 5 goals per game in their match-ups with Nashville this season. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 5.5 goals in Tampa Bay | |||||||
03-14-21 | Stars -125 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #62 Sunday 10* Top Play Dallas Stars Money Line (-) @ Columbus Blue Jackets @ 5:05 ET - The Stars lost this match-up yesterday in OT. Based on the goalie match-up yesterday it is likely to be Khodobin versus Korpisalo in this one. The Stars netminder will be looking to redeem himself after allowing 4 goals on just 8 shots in his most recent appearance. This followed a stellar effort of just 1 goal allowed in his prior start on 22 shots. Korpisalo allowed 7 goals in his last two starts and that included a loss to Dallas. The Stars have scored an average of 4 goals per game in their last 3 games at Columbus and I expect that coupled with a strong performance bounce back from Khudobin to lead to a road rout here. 10* DALLAS | |||||||
03-13-21 | Capitals v. Flyers -115 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #48 Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (-) vs Washington Capitals @ 7:05 ET - The Flyers lost to the Caps Thursday but showed resilience in battling back and now will carry momentum from that game right into this one. A season that was humming along for Philly took a hit because of covid protocols and that seems to have left Philadelphia in a bit of a funk. Carter Hart goaltending performances are not helping but having veteran Brian Elliott to steady the ship is a key. Elliott will get the start here and I expect a huge response from the Flyers after Thursday's loss. Philadelphia is 4-0 this season when off a game in which they allowed 5 or more goals in regulation. The Capitals are 1-2 this season when on a winning streak of 3 games or more and the lone win came in the shootout while the 2 losses came by a combined score of 10 to 4. Look for this one to be all Flyers. 10* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
03-12-21 | Golden Knights v. Blues OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #23 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 5.5 goals in St Louis Blues vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:05 ET - Generally speaking the Blues are known for tough defensive-minded hockey and the Golden Knights get solid goal-tending. However, couple of important comments on that to follow here. First off, when these teams meet the recent results have been absolutely crazy with not only 5 straight overs but each of the last 4 games all totaling 9 or more goals! Now when you also factor in that Vegas goalie Robin Lehner is still on a conditioning assignment and Marc-Andre is now in covid protocol, you also have a very precarious goaltending situation for the Knights here. What it means is that rookie goalie Logan Thompson or a generally inefficient Oscar Dansk is likely to get the start here for Vegas between the pipes. All that said, I do expect the Golden Knights to respond well here off a loss and that should lead to a strong effort in the offensive zone but I just don't see Vegas as being able to keep the puck out of their own net in this one. The result should be a rather easy over here with this game getting to the 6-goal mark and, likely, beyond. The total of 5.5 is because of the Blues long-term reputation but you can see, per the above, exactly why I am expecting much more here. The last 6 Blues games entering this one have averaged 7 goals per game NOT including OT! 4 of the Knights last 6 games have totaled 6 or more goals. 10* OVER the total in St Louis | |||||||
03-11-21 | Capitals v. Flyers -109 | 5-3 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
Early Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #2 Thursday 8* Philadelphia Flyers Money Line -110 vs Washington Capitals @ 7:05 ET - The Flyers lost the most recent meeting 3-1 but outshot the Capitals 37-27 in that loss on Sunday. Philadelphia is out for revenge here and note that Philly had won 5 in a row against Washington prior to that loss over the weekend. Not only that, the Flyers won those 5 games by a combined score of 25 to 11. That is an average score of 5 to 2 per game and certainly there is nothing average about that! Look for the Flyers recent series dominance to resume here as they take advantage of the opportunity to avenge that defeat. 8* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
03-11-21 | Penguins v. Sabres OVER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 113 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #11 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Buffalo Sabres vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:05 ET - The Sabres have been struggling but gained a little confidence with their 5-4 shootout loss at Philadelphia in their most recent game. That said, at home and hosting Sidney Crosby and company, Buffalo is likely to come up with a strong effort and score some goals here but they can't stop anybody. The way I see this one playing out is that that the Penguins could get caught sleepwalking a bit early on and the Sabres take advantage and score some early but then I expect Pittsburgh to respond with a barrage of goals. Buffalo has goaltending issues caused by Linus Ullmark being out for some time and the Sabres have allowed at least 3 goals in 8 straight games and an average of 4 goals per game during this 8-game stretch! The Penguins also are known for getting involved in high-scoring games. 7 of last 8 Pittsburgh games have totaled 6 or more goals. 5 of those 7 totaled 7 or more and this one is set up to as well. The Penguins have averaged 4.2 goals per game last 5 games. 10* OVER the total in Buffalo | |||||||
03-10-21 | Senators v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #71 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 6.5 goals in Edmonton Oilers vs Ottawa Senators @ 8:05 ET - The Senators entered Monday's game having scored 3 or more goals in 8 of their last 9 games. That Monday game was against these same Oilers and was 3-2 Edmonton heading to the 3rd period. However, inexplicably, no one scored in the 3rd period and the game remained under the total. That is leading to line value here. The Oilers are favored big here for a reason of course. The point is that this game should end up getting to nothing less than a 4-3 final as Edmonton finds a way to get the win but gives up some goals along the way. Ottawa has been scoring decent of late as noted above but also has a tendency to allow far too many and that is the reason, entering Monday, 7 of their last 11 games had totaled at least 7 goals. Those 7 games actually averaged 9 goals! In terms of high-scoring games, the Senators last 3 visits to Edmonton entering Monday had seen the games total 26 goals. The Oilers had been scoring well as they were averaging about 4 goals per game over a stretch of 16 games prior to running into the red hot Maple Leafs. That slowed them down a little but Edmonton can resume their strong play and this game won't go scoreless in the 3rd like Monday's did. Also, the Oilers goalies have allowed 3.4 goals per game in the last 5 games and the Senators continue to have goal-tending issues. This total is a 6.5 for a reason and the over is the way to go here based on all of the above. 10* OVER the total in Edmonton | |||||||
03-09-21 | Panthers -128 v. Blue Jackets | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #61 Tuesday 10* Top Play Florida Panthers Money Line (-) @ Columbus Blue Jackets @ 7:05 ET - The Panthers are off a 4-2 loss at Carolina on Sunday. Florida is 7-1 this season when off a loss. The Panthers also were on a 7-1 run in road games prior to the loss to the Hurricanes Sunday. That big run followed a 3-2 shootout loss at Columbus in late January when these teams most recently met. In other words, ideal set-up here as Florida also has revenge against the Blue Jackets here. We also get line value in this one since the Panthers are on the road. At home they would be a pricey favorite but on the road they are priced very reasonably. Columbus is off their 8th loss in 11 games and that was a 5-0 beating at Dallas. Though the loss to the Stars was a road game and one might thing the Blue Jackets will be better here at home, note that Columbus did win their most recent game as a host but this was preceded by 3 straight home losses. Also, that win came against the Red Wings. The Panthers most certainly are at a much higher level than Detroit! 10* FLORIDA | |||||||
03-09-21 | Rangers +152 v. Penguins | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Earliest Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #51 Tuesday 8* New York Rangers Money Line (+) @ Pittsburgh Penguins @ 6:05 ET - The Rangers got hammered 5-1 at Pittsburgh on Sunday but that game fell apart for them in the span of just a couple minutes late in the first period after they had grabbed a very early 1-0 lead and things were looking so good. After that ugly collapse, they will make up for it here and are offering great underdog value. New York is 3-0 the last 3 times they were off a loss. Also, the Rangers had won 6 of 8 games prior to the ugly loss Sunday. Also, even though this game is at Pittsburgh, note that New York had won 5 of 6 road games prior to the loss at PPG Paints Arena Sunday. The Penguins are off back to back wins but this was on the heels of an 8-8 run in which 4 of the Pens 8 wins came after regulation too. That means Pittsburgh had just 4 regulation wins in 16 games. There is simply not enough difference between these teams right now to warrant the Penguins being priced as high as they are. They have moved up to as high as the -175 range this morning because Keith Kinkaid will get the start here. However, after the veteran netminder was able to work the rust off in relief of Alexandar Georgiev Sunday, look for him to give a strong effort here and you know the Rangers will be skating hard in front of him after the ugly weekend loss. 8* NEW YORK RANGERS | |||||||
03-08-21 | Golden Knights v. Wild +101 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 101 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #42 Monday 10* Top Play Minnesota Wild Money Line (+) vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 8:05 ET - The Wild are available at even money in this one even though they are at home. I like the value here with revenge minded Minnesota in this one. They faced the Golden Knights in Vegas twice last week and lost the first game 5-4 in OT after blowing a 4-2 lead. Keep in mind 2 of the Knights 4 goals in regulation came on the power play so the Wild did outscore Vegas 4-2 in 5 on 5 hockey of that game. Then Minny got blown out on the scoreboard in Wednesday's rematch but did outshoot the Golden Knights by a 37-28 margin in that one. Vegas is having a great season but also enter this game off back to back wins over their hated rival, the Sharks. I will not be surprised to see Minnesota out-skating the Golden Knights here as they are likely to be the hungrier team given this double revenge spot. By the way, the home team has now won each of the last 4 meetings between these teams. Also, the Wild are off a 5-2 loss at Arizona and have gone 5-1 this season when they enter a game off a defeat in which they were held to 2 or less goals. 10* MINNESOTA | |||||||
03-07-21 | Rangers v. Penguins OVER 6 | Top | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
NBC Sports Network Blowout Rout - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #35 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 6 goals in Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Rangers @ 7:35 ET - Back to back games for both teams and they are each off big wins. That sets this one up well to be a high-scoring barnburner. The Rangers are still without goalie Igor Shesterkin which means they have to go with either Alexandar Georgiev in a back to back here (allowed 3 goals yesterday) or Keith Kinkaid who was called up from the taxi squad but has not started an NHL game since October 2019. Truly neither of these options is appealing especially when facing Sidney Crosby and the high-powered Penguins. 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games have totaled 7 or more goals and I am expecting another wild one here. The Pens also have a goal-tending concern in this back to back spot because Tristan Jarry played last night. Though Casey DeSmith is off a solid outing in his most recent start he could be rusty here after not playing very much at all in recent weeks. Also, prior to a solid start most recently, he had seen 4 of his first 5 starts this season all end up as games that totaled 7 or more goals. I expect another crazy one here given the situation as the Penguins also could be a little "spent" defensively after a hard-fought revenging win versus the rival Flyers last night. 10* OVER the total in Pittsburgh | |||||||
03-07-21 | Lightning -1.5 v. Blackhawks | Top | 6-3 | Win | 134 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #27 Sunday 10* Top Play Tampa Bay Lightning Puck Line -1.5 goals +134 @ Chicago Blackhawks @ 2:35 ET - The Lightning let one get away and lost in the shootout to the Blackhawks on Friday. Watching that game it was very evident who the better team was but give Chicago credit for taking advantage of their opportunities and finding a way to win that game eventually in the shootout. However, as a result of that win and this opportunity at revenge for Tampa Bay, you can fully expect a blowout road win here. Of course that is why TB is a money line favorite priced in the 2 to 1 range here. That said, where the value lies is with the puck line as we can get the Lightning at +135 by laying the 1.5 goals. While the Bolts most recent win over Chicago came in OT, this was preceded by a 14-game stretch for Tampa Bay in which ALL 14 of their games were decided by a multiple-goal margin and that included 11 wins by 2+ goals. Look for another one of those right here. 10* TAMPA BAY Puck Line -1.5 goals +134 | |||||||
03-07-21 | Sabres v. Islanders OVER 5.5 | 2-5 | Win | 117 | 3 h 56 m | Show | |
Earliest Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #25 Sunday 8* OVER 5.5 goals +117 in New York Islanders vs Buffalo Sabres @ 12:05 ET - The Islanders are known for being stingy defensively and they have a strong back-up goalie in Ilya Sorokin. However, the Sabres did score twice yesterday and all the recent easy wins for the Isles could lead to a bit of an "off game" for them here in terms of effort defensively. That said, Buffalo could surprise with goal-scoring here but their problem is they are so weak defensively and also are still without goalie Linus Ullmark. Since Carter Hutton started yesterday the Sabres are likely to go with Jonas Johansson here and he is a very inexperienced netminder likely to face another barrage of high-quality scoring chances. The Islanders will continue to take advantage of a Buffalo defense that is a true weakness with this hockey club. 8* OVER 5.5 goals +117 in NY Islanders | |||||||
03-06-21 | Jets +124 v. Canadiens | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #9 Saturday 10* Top Play Winnipeg Jets Money Line (+) @ Montreal Canadiens @ 7:05 ET - Winnipeg entered Thursday's game at Montreal off a 5-2 win over Vancouver on Tuesday as it was payback time for the Jets after that rare loss to the Canucks Monday. Winnipeg, entering Monday's game, had won 4 straight games and 8 of their last 11 games. After the Tuesday win followed by a win at Montreal Thursday, the Jets have won 10 of their last 14 games! The Canadiens entered Thursday's game off a win as well but they had entered Tuesday night's game having lost 7 of 8 games. This is clearly a case of two teams heading opposite directions for multiple weeks now and, as expected, one game does not change all that. Sure enough, though it was a hard-fought win, the Jets got a well-deserved victory over the Habs Thursday. The fact is that Jets goalie Connor Hellebuyck gives them a big edge over the Canadiens as he is one of the best in the league. Time to again take advantage of underdog line value here because the Canadiens have not responded all that well since the coaching change and it is going to be a transitional cycle for a period of time for Montreal. Considering all of the above, the plus money price on Winnipeg here is an excellent value as this is the perfect spot to back a strong team and the stronger goalie against an over-priced favorite that still can't seem to shake its losing ways. The Jets are 4-0 the last 4 games against Habs with Hellebuyck in goal and they outscored them 15-9 in those games. 10* WINNIPEG | |||||||
03-06-21 | Flyers +101 v. Penguins | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #5 Saturday 8* Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (+) @ Pittsburgh Penguins @ 1:05 ET - Though it didn't look good early for them Thursday (a 3-0 deficit in first few minutes of game!), the fact is that the Flyers are getting healthier again and getting back in a rhythm as guys have come back and now they even have Travis Konecny back too! Sure enough, they rallied and eventually earned a hard-fought 4-3 comeback win. That is the kind of win that can really trigger one team's momentum while also decimating the spirits of the losing team. That said, though the Penguins have a solid record this season they had arguably been the most fortunate team in the league. Pittsburgh has 12 wins this season but only 5 have come in regulation. The Penguins have 10 losses this season and 9 of them have come in regulation. So what that means is that the Pens are 7-1 in games decided after regulation but just 5-9 in games decided in the first 60 minutes. That includes back to back blowout losses to the Flyers when these teams met in Philly earlier this season. The Bruins are one of the best teams in the league. What does that have to do with this play. Well, Philly has lost all 5 meetings with Boston but has won 12 of 15 against the rest of the league! Off back to back 3-0 shutout wins on the road, the Flyers entered this 2-game set loaded with confidence and that confidence is now boosted even further after their comeback win Thursday which was a great bounce back from Tuesday's loss to the Pens. Now look for the Flyers to continue a run of 12-3 dominance against divisional foes not named the Bruins! 8* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
03-05-21 | Capitals v. Bruins -132 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #62 Friday 10* Top Play Boston Bruins Money Line (-) vs Washington Capitals @ 7:05 ET - As I mentioned in my write-up on this match-up Wednesday, this is a huge battle between two of the top teams in the East Division standings. Even though the Caps are in the top spot they have played two more games than Boston. Also, the Capitals entered Wednesday's game having lost 4 of 9 road games. Note that the Bruins entered that game having lost just 1 of 6 home games so far this season. Even though the teams had split their first two games this season, Boston had outshot Washington by a combined margin of 76 to 49 in those two meetings and both those games were at DC. The Bruins, on home ice, are absolutely worth the price here as they now have revenge too. Give the Capitals credit for Wednesday's win as it was a deserved win and they outshot them but still that was a game that the Bruins never trailed in and then lost in the shootout. The home team came out a little sluggish in Wednesday's game and yet still never trailed the entire way and they certainly are unlikely to start slow in this one. Look for another physical, playoff-type game here but the determined Bruins will not be denied here. 10* BOSTON | |||||||
03-04-21 | Panthers -130 v. Predators | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #29 Thursday 10* Top Play Florida Panthers Money Line (-) @ Nashville Predators @ 8:05 ET - The Predators are off an ugly loss vs Carolina. The Preds did not look good in that game and this is a team that is now 7-1 combined against Columbus and Chicago but has lost 11 of 14 against the rest of the division. This includes Nashville losing 7 of 8 against the upper tier teams in the division like Carolina, Florida, and Tampa Bay. Now the Panthers are in town and angry and this one, as a result, certainly does not set up well for the Predators. Florida is off back to back losses this season for the first time this season and one came in the shootout and one came in overtime. This was after the Panthers had gone a perfect 6-0 this season when off a loss. Also, Florida did lose their most recent road game but entered that contest 5-1 this season as travelers. All signs point to a very motivated Panthers team taking the ice in this one and I will gladly lay the short road price here. 10* FLORIDA | |||||||
03-04-21 | Flyers -121 v. Penguins | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #21 Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (-) vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:05 ET - Though it didn't pan out for them Tuesday, the fact is that the Flyers are getting healthier again and getting back in a rhythm as guys have come back and now they even have Travis Konecny back too! The Penguins have a solid record this season but have arguably been the most fortunate team in the league. Pittsburgh has 12 wins this season but only 5 have come in regulation. The Penguins have 9 losses this season and 8 of them have come in regulation. So what that means is that the Pens are 7-1 in games decided after regulation but just 5-8 in games decided in the first 60 minutes. That includes back to back blowout losses to the Flyers when these teams met earlier this season. The Bruins are one of the best teams in the league. What does that have to do with this play. Well, Philly has lost all 5 meetings with Boston but has won 11 of 14 against the rest of the league! Off back to back 3-0 shutout wins on the road, the Flyers entered this 2-game set loaded with confidence and will bounce back from Tuesday's loss to the Pens as they resume a run of 11-3 dominance against divisional foes not named the Bruins! 10* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
03-03-21 | Maple Leafs v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 110 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
Total Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL 10* Top Play OVER the total in Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 8:05 ET - Why did this total open up at a 6.5 and not a 6? Really it is strange because the Oilers have not even scored a goal in the last two games and yet the odds makers still hung a 6.5 on this one. Exactly! As long-time followers know, I am a contrarian and I feel strongly that, in this case, we are going to see a barnburner tonight when many are least expecting it. The Maple Leafs and Oilers are two of the highest scoring teams in the league and Edmonton can not keep getting shutdown on their home ice. They will bounce back. The Oilers are likely to get another shot tonight at Toronto's #3 goalie, Michael Hutchinson, and they will take advantage after he surprisingly shut them out Monday. Here is how I see this one playing out...the Leafs have scored at least 3 goals in all 10 of their road games this season. But I do not see the Oilers being denied again in this game. I could see the game going either way in terms of the side but Edmonton is going to battle hard and get their 3 goals here too. A 3-3 game can not end with anything less than a 4-3 final. This one goes over the total as result. Prior to these back to back shutout losses to the Maple Leafs, the Oilers had averaged scoring 3.6 goals per game in the 5 most recent meetings with Toronto. Also, Edmonton had averaged scoring 4 goals per game this season in a 16-game stretch that preceded these rare back to back shutouts for the Oilers. They'll get back on track tonight. 10* OVER the total in Edmonton | |||||||
03-03-21 | Capitals v. Bruins -143 | 2-1 | Loss | -143 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
NBCSN Blowout Rout - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #12 Wednesday 8* Boston Bruins Money Line (-) vs Washington Capitals @ 7:05 ET - This is a huge battle between two of the top teams in the East Division standings. Even though the Caps are in the top spot they have played two more games than Boston. Also, the Capitals have lost 4 of 9 road games. Note that the Bruins have lost just 1 of 6 home games so far this season. Even though the teams have split their two games this season, Boston outshot Washington by a combined margin of 76 to 49 in those two meetings and plus those games were at DC. The Bruins, on home ice, are absolutely worth the price here. 8* BOSTON | |||||||
03-02-21 | Hurricanes v. Predators +108 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #42 Tuesday 10* Top Play Nashville Predators Money Line (+) vs Carolina Hurricanes @ 8:05 ET - The Predators have won 4 of their last 5 games and now are catching the Hurricanes in the 2nd night of a back to back plus off back to back huge wins over the rival Panthers which each took extra time! One win was in a shootout and then last night's was in OT after Carolina scored with under a minute and a half to go in the game to tie it. The Hurricanes had Nedeljkovic between the pipes last night which likely means it will be Reimer tonight because Mrazek is still out. The significance in this is that Reimer has not been as sharp as Nedeljkovic of late. He hasn't been bad but Reimer has allowed at least 3 goals in 9 of his last 10 starts and did allow 5 goals twice during this span as well. Nashville enters this game rested and plus has allowed an average of only 1 goal per game in their 4 wins during their current 4-1 run. Also, the Preds are 0-2 this season on home ice against defending Stanley Cup champs TB but have gone 7-2 in their other 9 home games. They again get it done tonight and, in doing so, exact some revenge against Carolina. The Hurricanes won the first meeting between these teams this season but this one sets up well for payback! 10* NASHVILLE | |||||||
03-02-21 | Flyers +101 v. Penguins | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
NBCSN Blowout Rout - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #3 Tuesday 8* Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (+) @ Pittsburgh Penguins @ 7:05 ET - The Flyers are getting healthier again and getting back in a rhythm as guys have come back and now they might even get Travis Konecny back tonight too! The Penguins have a solid record this season but have arguably been the most fortunate team in the league. Pittsburgh has 11 wins this season but only 4 have come in regulation. The Penguins have 9 losses this season and 8 of them have come in regulation. So what that means is that the Pens are 7-1 in games decided after regulation but an ugly 4-8 in games decided in the first 60 minutes. That includes back to back blowout losses to the Flyers when these teams met earlier this season. The Bruins are one of the best teams in the league. What does that have to do with this play. Well, Philly has lost all 5 meetings with Boston but has won 11 of 13 against the rest of the league! Off back to back 3-0 shutout wins on the road, the Flyers are loaded with confidence right now and continue that run of 11-2 dominance against divisional foes not named the Bruins! 8* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
03-01-21 | Flames v. Senators OVER 6 | Top | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #67 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames @ 7:05 ET - The Flames suffered a key loss with the Jacob Markstrom injury. David Rittich has allowed 7 goals on 54 shots since taking over for him. The Senators had their 3-games winning streak with Calgary's 6-3 win Saturday but they have now averaged scoring 4.3 goals per game the last 3 games. The problem for Ottawa is keeping the puck out of their own net and, with Marcus Hogberg out, all the pressure is on veteran Matt Murray. The former Penguins netminder has allowed 19 goals in his last 5 starts for an average of 3.8 goals per game. 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games have totaled 7 or more goals and getting tonight's total at an even 6 goals is a strong value in my opinion. The Flames last 3 games at Ottawa have all totaled at least 7 goals. With Murray struggling between the pipes for the Sens and Rittich struggling for Calgary, the high-scoring trend continues here as the teams combined for 67 shots in their most recent game. More of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Ottawa | |||||||
03-01-21 | Hurricanes v. Panthers +102 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
Top Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #72 Monday 10* Top Play Florida Panthers Money Line (+) vs Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:05 ET - The Panthers are so dangerous and so resilient. Florida rallied from a 2-0 third period deficit to beat the Stars 3-2 on Thursday. Then, on Saturday, the Panthers again rallied from a 2-0 third period deficit to tie the game before falling behind 3-2 and then again managing to knot the game late and force OT. That one ended up being decided in the shootout and the Hurricanes prevailed but this Panthers team continues to impress me. This is a great spot to back them now as Florida is a perfect 6-0 this season when off a loss! The Hurricanes are a very strong team but they had lost 3 in a row before the tight win Saturday and I know the Panthers are going to come out strong here on home ice after that loss. Two high quality teams meeting for the 2nd consecutive game and I give a large edge to the home dog as they look to improve to 7-0 on the season when in this situation. The absence of Canes #1 goalie Petr Mrazek is still an issue for Carolina. He should be back soon but I do not expect that to be tonight and, either way, like the Panthers a ton in this spot! 10* FLORIDA | |||||||
02-28-21 | Penguins v. Islanders -104 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Top Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #64 Sunday 10* Top Play New York Islanders Money Line (-) vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 5:05 ET - Yesterday the Islanders had a 2-0 lead against the Penguins but blew it before then taking another lead, 3-2, but then allowed the tying goal in the 3rd period and losing in overtime. Pittsburgh is a solid hockey club but they continue to be very fortunate and after again finding a way to win another one after regulation yesterday, the Penguins will fall short here in my opinion. The back to back favors the Islanders because Ilya Sorokin is likely to be between the pipes for the Isles and he is coming off a shutout win plus has allowed 2 or less goals in 2 of his last 3 starts. Since the Penguins used Tristan Jarry in the crease yesterday it is likely going to be Casey DeSmith getting the start here. The Pittsburgh backup goalie has allowed 3 or more goals in 4 of his last 5 appearances and has 4 wins this season but all came after regulation. He did beat the Islanders in a shootout win in his last start and that means it is payback time here. For DeSmith and the Penguins, their luck runs out here. You are going to see a very determined effort here from a revenge-minded Islanders team in this one. The Isles have yet to lose a game in regulation on home ice as they are 6-0-2 as a host and get payback here for yesterday's OT loss. 10* NEW YORK ISLANDERS | |||||||
02-28-21 | Flyers -158 v. Sabres | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #61 Sunday 8* Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (-) @ Buffalo Sabres @ 3:05 ET - As I have said before, I do not like to lay big prices and you won't ever find me laying -200 in a game no matter the situation. However, when we get a great situation and still have pricing in the 150 to 160 range then I will strongly consider getting involved and this is one I can not pass up on. The Sabres have issues right now. They are missing some guys and gave a listless performance against the Flyers yesterday and got waxed 3-0. That might have you expecting better from them today and certainly they can not be worse. But, keep in mind, this is a back to back situation. The Flyers hold a huge edge in goal because Carter Hart will get the start and he is Philly's #1 netminder plus can't wait to get back on the ice and make up for his poor effort in the outdoor game against the Bruins last weekend. As for the Sabres, they have a tough situation in the crease here. Linus Ullmark is out and that means they have to use Carter Hutton again in back to back games or they give the start to Jonas Johansson but he has made only 5 NHL starts in his career and has only 1 win in 5 decisions at the NHL level. With the Flyers finally getting guys back from covid protocol they are looking like the strong Philly team we saw in last year's post-season run as well as this year's early hot streaks. Indeed the Flyers are back! Lay it! 8* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
02-28-21 | Bruins -153 v. Rangers | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
Earliest Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #57 Sunday 8* Boston Bruins Money Line (-) @ New York Rangers @ 12:05 ET - As long-time followers know, I do not like to lay significant prices and it is only rare occasions that I will even consider the -150 range. That said, this is one of those rare occasions. I know the Rangers just blasted the Bruins 6-2 on Friday but the Rangers are not that great of a hockey club especially without Artemi Panarin. As for Boston, they have now lost back to back games by a combined score of 13 to 4 and they are a great hockey club. The Bruins are legitimate Stanley Cup contenders. Now I am not saying the Rangers are not a good team but I am just saying they truly are not on the level of the Bruins and they also really miss their top playmaker, Panarin, when he is out. That didn't show up on Friday but you will see that here early on Sunday as the Bruins are angry and now rested (Friday's game was a back to back for Boston). So, given the circumstances, this one turns into a road rout as the Bruins just will not let the Rangers get going in this one. I feel strongly that you are going to see a very determined and aggressive effort from one of the best teams in the league this afternoon. Look for the Bruins to improve to a perfect 3-0 this season when they enter a game off back to back losses. 8* BOSTON | |||||||
02-27-21 | Hurricanes -115 v. Panthers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
Top Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #41 Saturday 10* Top Play Carolina Hurricanes Money Line (-) @ Florida Panthers @ 7:05 ET - Why are the Hurricanes, 6-5 on the road and on a 3-game losing streak, favored AT Florida? There is only one team, Toronto, in the NHL that has more points in the standings than the Panthers. So, again, the point is why is Carolina favored in this game? As I have pointed out numerous times in the past, I am not a believer in the "odds maker mistake" theory. In other words, this is no mistake here either. The Canes are a road favorite because they are a very good team that has lost 3 straight games and is coming into this game hungry after 3 straight losses to the defending Stanley Cup Champion Lightning. I like the fact that the Panthers just rallied for 3 goals in the 3rd period of a 3-2 win over the Stars on Thursday. Look for the Hurricanes to prove to be the much hungrier team in this one and Florida falls flat after rallying for the big win versus Dallas. 10* CAROLINA | |||||||
02-27-21 | Blue Jackets +113 v. Predators | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #35 Saturday 8* Columbus Blue Jackets (+) @ Nashville Predators @ 3:05 ET - This is a revenge game for the Blue Jackets. Surprisingly the Predators won the most recent meeting and have won 3 of 4 against Columbus this season. Why do I say this is a surprise? Well Nashville has won just 5 of their other 15 games this season! I know the Jackets have been struggling of late but they had been a perfect 4-0 this season when off back to back losses before they lost at Chicago Thursday. That marks the first 3-game losing streak for Columbus this season. It is also the first shutout loss for the Blue Jackets this season. Look for that to result in them playing one of their best games of the season today at Nashville and I will gladly grab the plus money in this one. 8* COLUMBUS | |||||||
02-27-21 | Flyers -138 v. Sabres | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
Earliest Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #85 Saturday 8* Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (-) @ Buffalo Sabres @ 1:05 ET - The Flyers are getting healthier now with a bunch of key guys returning for this game. They also catch Buffalo off a demoralizing home loss in overtime to the Devils. The Sabres now have just 2 wins in 9 home games this season. Not much of a home ice edge for sure and Philly has won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams and those 3 victories came by a combined score of 12 to 2. Look for another big win here as the Flyers recently welcomed back Giroux and now also are expected to today see the return of guys like Voracek, Lindblom, and Laughton. 8* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
02-26-21 | Bruins -165 v. Rangers | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -165 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
NHL Network Crusher - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #23 Friday 10* Top Play Boston Bruins Money Line (-) @ New York Rangers @ 7:05 ET - The Bruins are off an embarrassing 7-2 loss to the Islanders last night but that is a deceiving final score. Boston actually outshot the Isles by a substantial margin through two periods and the game was 2-2 heading to the third period. Then everything unraveled and that was the kind of ugly third period that a good team can not wait to respond to. That said, the Bruins are likely happy to have a game immediately the very next evening and that is bad news for a Rangers team that is not the same when they do not have Artemi Panarin on the ice. New York generally struggles to produce much offensively without Panarin and the fact they got 3 goals against the Flyers Wednesday was thanks in large part to two coming on the power play plus the fact Philadelphia is still missing quite a few guys due to covid protocol. In fact that is the same Flyers team the Bruins just blasted 7-3 in the outdoor game Sunday at Lake Tahoe. That said, Rangers lose to that team 4-3 and it is the same team Boston just crushed 7-3. The fact is there is a large disparity between the level of these two teams and that is why this is a rare exception for me as I am going with a top play even though this money line price is in the 155 to 165 range as of early game day morning. I just feel this one has road rout written all over it. The Bruins won all 3 meetings between these clubs last season and also has won both so far this season. Now they make it 6 in a row here. Also, the Rangers have lost 4 straight home games and are facing the wrong team at the wrong time. 10* BOSTON | |||||||
02-25-21 | Hurricanes +125 v. Lightning | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
8* CAROLINA - The Hurricanes lost 3-0 yesterday but will respond today. McElhinney is expected to be between the pipes for the Lightning here since it was Vasilevskiy yesterday. McElhinney allowed 6 goals in his most recent start. Last season he had a 2.89 GAA. He is a big drop off from Vasilevskiy. The Canes are expected to start Reimer here and, though unspectacular, he has been consistent. Reimer has allowed 3 or less in goals in 8 of his 10 appearances this season including each of his last 4. The Hurricanes are off back to back losses for the first time this season and had been 4-0 when off a defeat. They will respond here with a big effort at Tampa Bay and take advantage of the goaltending situation in this one. Great underdog value here. 8* CAROLINA | |||||||
02-25-21 | Stars v. Panthers -122 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
8* FLORIDA - The Panthers outshot the Stars 43-25 yesterday but came out on the wrong end of a 3-0 final. Look for them to respond in a big way today as they should have a goaltending edge here. Since it is a back to back, Florida is likely going to have Bobrovsky between the pipes and he has allowed 2 or less goals in 3 of his last 4 starts. Dallas could have Oettinger between the pipes. I know he has respectable numbers but the sample size is small. This is still a guy who just turned 22 years old two months ago and will be making just his 6th NHL start. Also, Oettinger is likely to face a barrage of shots unlike any he has seen yet in his career as he has faced an average of 26.8 shots in his first 5 starts but Florida is known for generating a lot of shots and will build off yesterday's 43-shot performance determined to get back into the win column. The Panthers are 5-0 this season when off a loss. 8* FLORIDA | |||||||
02-25-21 | Penguins v. Capitals -105 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
10* WASHINGTON - The Capitals got outplayed by the Penguins Tuesday. The game went to OT but the Caps were severely outshot by the Pens. I look for Washington to make up for that here. Keep in mind, 3 of the 4 wins that Pittsburgh has in these teams match-ups this season have come in OT or the SO. Also, the game prior to Tuesday's was a 3-1 Capitals win in which they outshot the Penguins by a 42 to 27 margin. Pittsburgh has been very strong on home ice this season but their win on Tuesday was just their 3rd win in 9 road games this season. Washington's players will be highly motivated and focused here on a strong effort after being unimpressive for too many stretches of Tuesday's game. The Capitals have just one regulation loss in last five games and get back on track here with their 4th win in 6 games. Look for the Penguins to drop to 0-3 this season when they are on the road and coming off a win. 10* WASHINGTON | |||||||
02-24-21 | Rangers v. Flyers -117 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #64 Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Flyers Money Line (-) vs New York Rangers @ 7:05 ET - The Flyers got hammered by their newest nemesis, the Bruins, on Sunday in the outdoor game at Lake Tahoe. Philadelphia didn't play all that bad early on considering how short-handed they were because of covid but the game got away from them in the latter half of the 2nd period. The problem is goalie Carter Hart really struggled. That happens sometimes and he'll get a break here and Brian Elliott will get the start. He has been great this season and the Flyers will play extra strong here on home ice as they look to atone for the beating they took at the hands of Boston. Note that the Flyers also are expected to get a boost with the return of captain Claude Giroux from the health protocol list. At the same time the Flyers are getting a boost the Rangers are dealing with a major problem. New York has impressed this season with stronger defensive play and goaltending than expected. However, the Rangers often struggle to score goals. One of the keys to them generating a lot of offensive zone time and great scoring chances seems to be when Artemi Panarin is on the ice. However, he is now out after the big story broke in Russia about past allegations against him. Whether the story is true or fabricated, it has the Rangers missing their best playmaker on offense plus has created a distraction. The Flyers lost in the shootout the last time they faced the Rangers. That is one of only two losses they have this season against teams not named the Bruins as they have now won 8 of 10 games this season other than being winless against Boston. The home team gets their revenge here. 10* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
02-24-21 | Stars +123 v. Panthers | 3-0 | Win | 123 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #87 Wednesday 8* Dallas Stars Money Line (+) @ Florida Panthers @ 5 ET - The Stars got embarrassed on Monday after a long layoff as the Panthers outshot them 52 to 25 in that game. It was only the strong play of Anton Khudobin that kept them in the game. It was a horrible 2nd period that did in Dallas as the shots were nearly equal in the 1st and 3rd periods. That said, and now that they have their skating legs back, the Stars will be much better in the rematch tonight and I look for them get revenge. Yes Florida is off to a strong start this season but lets not forget this Dallas team was battling with the Lightning for the Stanley Cup in September. This Stars team is a good team and will be ready to respond in a huge way here. 8* DALLAS | |||||||
02-24-21 | Hurricanes +121 v. Lightning | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #85 Wednesday 8* Carolina Hurricanes Money Line (+) @ Tampa Bay Lightning @ 5:05 ET - This is a rematch of a Monday game. In that one the Bolts came in determined to get a win as they lost the first two meetings with the Canes by a combined score of 5-0. So of course the defending Stanley Cup Champions really wanted that game. Ultimately the did prevail but it was not easy. The Hurricanes scored first, the game was tied 2-2 going to final period, and in that 3rd period the Canes outshot TB 17-10. So even though Tampa Bay got the deciding goal mid-3rd period and later added an empty netter, it was not an easy win to say the least. That said, I really like Carolina in this rematch at Tampa. The Hurricanes, overall, are the hungrier team this season. It is so hard to repeat as champs and the Bolts just hoisted the Stanley Cup less than 5 months ago. Don't get me wrong, the Lightning are still a great team and have a great goaltender but will the hunger level be there all season? I just don't see that and this looks like a great spot to back a strong team at an underdog price that is very hungry for a win here. I'll take it! 8* CAROLINA |
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