Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-14-23 | Manchester City v. Everton OVER 2.75 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 50 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #200065: English Premier League OVER 2.5 in Everton vs Manchester City @ 9 AM ET - I look for Manchester City to be more strong-armed than many expect here. Yes the Champions League is important to them but they also want to win the Championship in the English Premier League of course. That said, they only have a slim lead at the top over Arsenal. Points are important to City and they are also important to the club they are visiting early Sunday. The fact is that Everton is still close to the dangers of relegation but they did show they want to do something about that. They won 5 to 1 over Brighton! Indeed goals have flowed decently of late in Everton matches and at the same time I can't see City being slowed here either. That is why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here and we certainly could see a lot more scoring than that. Lets take advantage of the very fair number here with this total. OVER 2.5 in Everton | |||||||
05-13-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -57.5 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
Rotation #206881 Saturday OVER 2.5 +110 in Universitatea Craiova vs Farul @ 2:30 ET - Farul is looking to clinch the top spot and the league title with a win here. However, Universitatea Craiova is certainly favored for a reason. Farul is off a 7-2 win and I know they are missing a few players heading into this match but they are so strong and will still put up a fight here on the road. The thing about Farul is they have plenty of scoring punch but they have been conceding goals with plenty of regularity of late. In terms of the over here, this certainly meshes well with a Universitatea Craiova club that has both scored at least one goal and conceded at least one goal in each of its last 8 matches! Those matches have averaged 3 goals and certainly at least a 2-1 final here sure seems to be in the offing. Note that the last 5 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and those 5 matches have averaged 4.6 goals apiece. They have scored at least 1 goal in 13 of last 15 matches and have scored an average of 2 goals per match. This one should be very high-scoring given all the positive variables here, including Farul playing without pressure, which point to the over in this one. OVER 2.5 +110 in Universitatea Craiova | |||||||
05-13-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 4 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #206877: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj vs Chindia Targoviste @ Noon ET - Chindia desperate for the 3 points as they are so dangerously low in the table. Cluj hungry for points because their position is almost strong enough to secure no fears of relegation and that they can automatically stay in Liga 1. That said, I am looking for goals here because the only draw either club has had in their 7 matches in the play-out stage was the scoreless draw for Cluj last week. However, prior to that draw, Universitatea Cluj had seen 11 of last 13 matches total at least 2 goals. In fact, those matches totaled an average of 3 goals apiece. We have excellent value with this total available at 2 goals. Chindia has seen 16 of last 21 matches total at least 2 goals. Those 16 matches averaged 2.6 goals apiece. With both teams likely to score and neither team apt to settle for a draw here (nor have they been!), this sets up well for a 2-1 final and 3 goals total at a minimum the way I see it. OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj | |||||||
05-13-23 | Nottingham Forest v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
Rotation #200057: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest @ 10 AM ET - Chelsea finally got on track with a 3-1 win last week - their 2nd straight match totaling 4 goals - and I look for this to get them going finally as they look to finish a disappointing campaign in a strong way as they finally got a positive result after the managerial change some weeks back to Frank Lampard. Also, Nottingham Forest - though prone to road struggles - should come up big here as they ride a wave of emotion after a key win last week as they look to avoid relegation. They have won 2 of last 3. Also, each of last 4 matches have totaled at least 3 goals and those matches have averaged 4.8 goals per match. More of the same expected here. OVER 2.5 in Chelsea | |||||||
05-13-23 | Fulham v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #200053 Saturday OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Fulham @ 10 AM ET - Southampton is fighting to avoid relegation but they are at the very bottom of the table after last week's 4-3 loss. That was the 3rd time in 4 matches that a Southampton match has totaled at least 4 goals and I expect more of the same here. Certainly they are desperate to get the full 3 points here and stay alive but they allow too many goals and this will continue to be an issue here. Fulham is off a 5-3 win last week plus they get Mitrovic back from his suspension which had him miss 8 matches. That said, Fulham's attack gets a key boost here and they can take advantage of a Saints club which has allowed an average of approximately 2 goals per match this season. Fulham does allow an average of 1.5 goals per match and Southampton is averaging scoring 1 goal per match on the season. So the home club should get on the board here but the Saints have allowed 2.5 goals per match last 9 matches and I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here in what should be an entertaining affair with Mitrovic leading the attack again for Fulham in this one. OVER 2.5 in Southampton | |||||||
05-12-23 | Hertha Berlin v. FC Koln OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #202417: German Bundesliga Friday OVER 2.5 in FC Koln vs Hertha Berlin @ 2:30 ET - Hertha Berlin is currently in last place in the table but they defeated FC Koln 2-0 in the prior meeting earlier this season. That said, this is a payback spot for the hosts and FC Koln did win each of the two prior meetings by a 3-1 final each time. A similarly high-scoring match here getting to 4 goals would not surprise me either. That said, this one could come in surprising fashion though. FC Koln has been in solid current form but Hertha Berlin is desperate for points in the table as they hope to avoid relegation. They will have to score plenty to compete here though because the visitors have allowed an average of 2.4 goals per match in their road matches this season. As for FC Koln, they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match on the season. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Hertha Berlin has some momentum courtesy of a 2-1 win in most recent match and their last 4 matches have averaged 4.5 goals apiece. FC Koln has one shutout loss in last 5 matches but scored an average of 2.2 goals in the other 4 matches. OVER 2.5 in FC Koln | |||||||
05-12-23 | Sepsi v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #206869: Romania Liga 1 Friday OVER 2.5 in Rapid vs Sepsi @ 1:30 ET - Rapid is off a an embarrassing loss at Farul and will be ready to respond here after the 7-2 loss. While I do expect them to respond on their home pitch, I also expect Sepsi to put up a good fight. Sepsi has scored at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches and has averaged 1.5 goals scored in those matches. However, of course Rapid is favored for a reason here and that is why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one. Rapid has averaged 1.8 goals scored in last 4 matches and that is since a 2-0 loss to Sepsi. They will seek revenge for that defeat here but also Rapid has allowed 2 or more goals in 5 of last 8 matches! Per the above, you can see why plenty of scoring is to be expected in this one and why this total sits at 2.5 goals rather than the more common 2 in this match. OVER 2.5 in Rapid | |||||||
05-11-23 | AZ Alkmaar v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #235605: Europa Conference League Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in West Ham United vs AZ Alkmaar @ 3 ET - AZ Alkmaar plays in the Dutch Eredivisie league and of course West Ham United is in the English Premier League. AZ Alkmaar has scored an average of 2 goals per match in their league games this season. They also enter this match off a scoreless draw but this was preceded by scoring 8 goals in 3 matches across all competitions. West Ham has been much stronger outside of league play plus they have the home pitch edge here. Note that West Ham has averaged 2.2 goals per match in their last 17 matches outside of league action. They have been great in these other tourneys and are playing with a lot of confidence and are favored heavily here for a reason. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here as both teams have the scoring trends to support some scoring here but I also expect the Hammers to be particularly dangerous at home in this one. OVER 2.5 in West Ham United | |||||||
05-10-23 | Inter Milan v. AC Milan OVER 2 | Top | 2-0 | Push | 0 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
Rotation #224205: Champions League Wednesday OVER 2 in AC Milan vs Inter Milan @ 3 ET - Defensive grinder is the expectation here so I am not surprised we are seeing a 2 on this one. The fact is that this is a great value for the over because reports I am reading suggest we are going to see more attacking than others are expecting here. Look for a bit of an aggressive style in this match-up. Note that prior to the 1-0 Inter Milan win in February, the last 3 match-ups between these clubs all totaled 3 or more goals. Note that AC Milan has scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches. Each of their last 6 matches have totaled 2 goals. AC Milan has scored an average of 1.5 goals in their last 4 matches as a host. Inter Milan is what really helps push this toward an over. They have scored an average of 3 goals in their last 6 matches! That is not the average total for those matches, that is just what Inter Milan has averaged. Those 6 matches have averaged about 4 goals and Inter Milan had a 3-3 draw in most recent Champions League action. Look for Inter Milan to push the attack in this one and force AC Milan to respond. This is going to result in more scoring here than many were expecting. OVER 2 in AC Milan | |||||||
05-09-23 | Manchester City v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #224201: Champions League OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - Real Madrid is without a key defender as Eder Militao will miss here due to suspension. Manchester City is without a key defender here as Nathan Ake suffered an injury and did not even travel for this match. That said, these are two very strong clubs that are dangerous on the attack and I feel very confident about this one getting to at least 3 goals. Note that Real Madrid has allowed 2.2 goals in the last 4 matches but scored 2.5 goals per match in the last 11 matches! Manchester City is well-known as a juggernaut on offense this season but also note they have conceded in 3 of last 4 matches. City will be aggressive here but Real Madrid has the weapons and the speed to make that dangerous for City on the counter-attack. That said, I am looking for plenty of goals here and note that each of the last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and those 5 have averaged 4.4 goals apiece. I would not be surprised to see 4 here and certainly feel good about getting to at least 3 with nothing less than a 2-1 final in this one. OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid | |||||||
05-08-23 | Southampton v. Nottingham Forest +105 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 105 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
Rotation #200038: English Premier League Monday Nottingham Forest +105 vs Southampton @ 3 ET - This is a key battle in the relegation zone and right now Nottingham Forest is certainly in better form plus they have the home pitch edge. Nottingham has been much better at home than on the road and, as for Southampton, they have been struggling whether home or away this season. Nottingham actually has a positive goal differential on their home pitch this season while Southampton has been outscored 29 to 13 in their road matches this season. While Southampton has lost 22 matches already this season, Nottingham has only 5 losses in their 17 home matches this season. Knowing they need the full 3 points to try to get some safety from the relegation zone, I also do not expect Nottingham to settle for a push here either. Southampton has not won a match since early March and here they visit a club that has fared well against lower-table clubs as a host this season. Nottingham Forest +105 | |||||||
05-08-23 | Sepsi v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
Rotation #206861 Monday OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Sepsi @ 2 ET - Raining in Bucharest today but I still like the over here and expect conditions to be okay with the FCSB field. FSCB is chasing Farul at the top of the play-off table and they just watched Farul put on a 7-2 thrashing of Rapid. I look for FCSB to be particularly relentless on their home pitch tonight as they look to replicate that performance. I am not saying they will do that but I do expect them to be aggressive at home here. Sepsi is at the bottom of the play-off table and playing quite loose as a result. Even though Sepsi has scored in 7 straight matches, they have also conceded in 5 of last 6. In those 7 matches, however, Sepsi has scored a solid 1.4 goals per match. Sepsi, however, in the 5 matches in which they conceded have allowed an average of 1.8 goals per match. FCSB is looking for a breakout type effort here and that is the type of match I am expecting with plenty of scoring. FCSB has seen 8 of last 14 matches total at least 3 goals and those matches have averaged about 8 goals. Their most recent home match was a 2-1 win over Farul and they are happy to be at home for just the 2nd time since mid-March. They will make the most of it and I sense and offensive explosion here. 10* OVER 2.5 in FCSB | |||||||
05-08-23 | Everton v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 3 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #200033: English Premier League Monday OVER 3 in Brighton vs Everton @ 12:30 ET - Brighton needs points in the table as they have a tough closing schedule to the season. That said, they will want to leave no doubt here and will be relentless on the attack. Remember, before last week's 1-0 win over Man U, Brighton had scored 6 goals in a huge home win over Wolverhampton. This is a dangerous club that is averaging 2 goals per match when at home this season and now they take on a relegation threatened Everton club. Certainly Everton is going to bring an intense effort as a result but they can not stop anyone. Everton has had 3 of last 4 matches total at least 4 goals. Also, the the last two meetings between these clubs have each totaled 5 goals. A similar result here would not surprise me in the least. OVER 3 in Brighton | |||||||
05-07-23 | CS U Craiova v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -52 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #206849: Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2 goals -140 in CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova @ 2 ET - The value of an over 2 is a big one here. Yes we lay a little extra juice for that but consider the facts entering this key match in the play-off stage of the season. Universitatea Craiova has both scored and conceded in 7 straight matches! Those matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. Also, each of last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals and these matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. Additionally, CFR Cluj is off a high-scoring 3-1 road loss. Prior to this, in looking at CFR Cluj matches in Liga 1 action, they have seen straight matches as a host total at least 2 goals and these matches have averaged totaling 3.3 goals apiece. OVER 2 goals -140 in CFR Cluj | |||||||
05-07-23 | Manchester United v. West Ham United OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #200025: English Premier League Sunday OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham United vs Manchester United @ 2 ET - Both clubs off negative results and this should bring out the best in each of them here as this is a key match for each. Man U is trying to retain a top four spot in the league while West Ham is trying to avoid the relegation zone which they have now been slipping toward. Man U is allowing about 2 goals per match on the road this season while West Ham is conceding about 1.5 goals per match on this season. I like the fact both clubs pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table and both clubs also likely to score given those numbers above. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final as West Ham also gets a boost with the return of some players who had been ill and missed the match with Man City. Also, it looks like Man U will get a boost with the return of teen phenom Alejandro Garnacho. Man U won the last meeting between these clubs 3 to 1. West Ham has seen each of last 6 matches across all competitions total at least 3 goals and these have averaged 4.3 goals apiece. More of the same here. OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham United | |||||||
05-07-23 | Arsenal v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 27 m | Show |
Rotation #200021: English Premier League Sunday OVER 2.5 or 3 in Newcastle United vs Arsenal @ 11:30 AM ET - Newcastle is scoring an average of 2 goals per match at home this season. Arsenal is scoring an average of 2 goals per match on the road this season. A 2-2 final actually would not surprise in the least here. Both clubs have not been the defensive forces they were earlier this season. Arsenal did get their attack going on offense again in the 3-1 win over Chelsea. As for Newcastle, they have continued to roll and can take advantage of an Arsenal backline that has been impacted by injuries as the season has gone on. The fact remains though, the Newcastle backline has not been what it once was either. Look for a wide open affair with goals here as both clubs are confident right now in their attacks. Both clubs have been consistently scoring and conceding for many weeks now. Newcastle's last 9 matches have averaged 4 goals and only 1 totaled less than 3 goals. Arsenal, similarly, has seen last 15 matches average 4 goals and only 2 of the 15 totaled less than 3 goals. OVER 2.5 or 3 in Newcastle United | |||||||
05-06-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #206845: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2.5 in Farul vs Rapid @ 2:30 ET - Farul is a big money line favorite here and favored by -1 on the goal line. Taking this info and Farul's long-term domination as a host, I am projecting at least a 2-1 final here. Rapid should make the net ripple at least once as they have averaged scoring 1.5 goals last 26 matches. Farul has averaged scoring 2.4 goals per match in their last 15 matches. One could argue, based on the above, that this should get to 4 goals so certainly expecting 3 is not asking too much. This should be an entertaining affair with a lot of scoring opportunities for each club. OVER 2.5 in Farul | |||||||
05-06-23 | Brentford v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -116 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Rotation #200017: English Premier League Saturday OVER 3 in Liverpool vs Brentford @ 12:30 ET - Liverpool off a tight 1-0 win versus Fulham last week but low-scoring matches have been the exception rather than the norm for the Reds of late overall and all season long as a host. Overall, Liverpool's last 5 matches before that one had averaged 5 goals apiece. Also, the Reds had averaged scoring 3 goals per match last 7 at home heading into that one. Brentford has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match last 14 matches. Liverpool huge favorite here for a reason of course and yet you can see why the Bees can be expected to make the net ripple as well in this one. The last 3 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 4 goals apiece. Look for at least 4 in this one! OVER 3 in Liverpool | |||||||
05-06-23 | Leeds United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -111 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
Rotation #200013: English Premier League Saturday OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Leeds United @ 10 AM ET - This one will get ugly for Leeds but of course that is why City is favored by 2 to 2.5 goals on the goal line. I feel the best way to play this one is the over. Leeds might get a bit of a new manager bounce after the change at the top and Allardyce being brought in. However, the 68-year old manager did himself no favors whatsoever in comparing himself in the exact same category as managers like Klopp, Arteta and Guardiola! Now he faces Guardiola and the best team in the league. You don't think Guardiola is aware of the comments? You don't think he will put a whipping on the manager that thinks he is just as good as he is when he has no business making such a comment? Even at the risk of allowing some goals, City (who is so strong at home by the way) is going to be aggressive on the attack in this match. They will be relentless and I expect plenty of scoring as a result! OVER 3.5 in Manchester City | |||||||
05-05-23 | Schalke 04 v. Mainz OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Rotation #202581: German Bundesliga Friday OVER 2.5 -135 in Mainz vs Schalke @ 2:30 ET - Mainz is off a frustrating 3-0 loss and I am sure they are going to be relentless on the attack here at home as a result. However, Schalke is trying to avoid relegation. They need all the points they can get. They can not just sit back and hope for a win. They need goals. Schalke has struggled to score goals on the road all season long and I am well aware of that. However, the key here is the desperate situation and the fact that Schalke has some momentum from scoring 7 goals in last 3 matches and picking up a couple of home wins. As for Mainz, they are still alive for a top 6 spot despite last week's disappointment and, prior to that loss, had averaged scoring 2.2 goals last 4 matches. Also, in matches on their home pitch, Mainz has averaged 2.3 goals scored in last 6 matches. Schalke has allowed a ton of scoring all season long and they are in trouble here but must put up a fight. We should see the visitors make the net ripple at least once but Mainz could also get this total all by themselves given the situation. OVER 2.5 -135 in Mainz | |||||||
05-05-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 2 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #206837: Romania Liga 1 Friday OVER 2 -115 in Chindia Targoviste vs Petrolul 52 @ 1:30 ET - Chindia has no draws in the 6 matches in the play-out stage and Petrolul has just one draw in their 6 matches and a solid 4-1-1 record that has them tied for 1st in the play-out standings. Chindia is battling to stay safe from relegation. Petrolul played home matches in this venue too so, even though Chindia is the host here, it still feels like home for the visitors too. The point about the lack of draws above is that if we expect each club to score and we know odds have been just 1 out of 12 for a draw for these clubs combined in the play-out stage, you have strong odds on at least a 2-1 final here. We get extra value too because this total is posted at a 2 in the markets. Strong play for me here as a result. Chindia has scored at least 1 goals in 6 of last 7 matches as a host and has averaged scoring 1.5 goals in those 6 matches. Chindia has allowed at least 1 goal in 7 of last 8 matches. The two matches between these clubs this season each totaled at least 3 goals and those 2 averaged 4 goals. Petrolul has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 matches and averaged scoring 1.3 goals in those 6 matches. More of the same here as we get yet another over between these two nearby foes. OVER 2 -115 in Chindia Targoviste | |||||||
05-04-23 | Manchester United v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
Rotation #200177: English Premier League Thursday OVER 3 -120 in Brighton & Hove vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - These clubs just played out to a scoreless draw in the English FA Cup which was decided on penalty kicks. Even off that 0-0 match this total is still posted at 3 goals. Why do you think that is? Indeed you can expect plenty of scoring here as 3 of their last 4 meetings before that totaled at 3 goals. Also, Brighton enters this one off a 6-0 win and their last 6 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece and only one totaled less than 3 goals. Manchester United has averaged 1.6 goals scored per match last 5 matches in league action. On the season they have allowed an average of 2 goals per match in their road matches and Brighton has scored an average of 2 goals per match in their matches as a host in league action. So consider all that and then consider that Brighton is the favorite in this one. It is set up to be at least a 2-1 final the way I see it but I am expecting at least 4 goals as both clubs pushing very hard here given the current situation in the table. They want those full 3 points and so often you see much different results when clubs just meet after a recent match. So after that 0-0 battle watch this one go crazy. OVER 3 -120 in Brighton & Hove | |||||||
05-04-23 | Sheffield United v. Huddersfield Town OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #200281: English League Championship Thursday OVER 2 -135 in Huddersfield Town vs Sheffield United @ 2:45 ET - Huddersfield Town has scored an average of 1.6 goals last 5 matches. They need at least a draw here to lock up being safe from the relegation zone. This is a rivalry match however. Sheffield United, though already having locked up promotion to Premier League, has been playing very well and will be playing loose here with no pressure. I expect goals here as these are nearby rivals and Sheffield has been going strong and has averaged scoring 2.8 goals in last 4 matches in league action. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here but the fact that the hosts would benefit from a draw means the value of an over 2 is a good one since 1-1, in theory, is a possibility. However, based on how the visitors can play wide open here and force the hosts to score, I am expecting plenty of goals in this one. OVER 2 in Huddersfield Town | |||||||
05-03-23 | Fulham v. Liverpool OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
Rotation #200169 Wednesday OVER 3.5 +115 in Liverpool vs Fulham @ 3 ET - Liverpool, based on the goal-line for this match is expected to win this one by at least a 2-goal margin. Fulham, based on Liverpool's recent trending certainly should be expected to allow at least 1 goal. I am looking for at least a 3-1 final when I look at this match. The Reds have scored 43 times in 16 home matches this season and only Arsenal and Manchester City have scored more as a host. That is pretty good company as those are the #1 and #2 clubs in the league this season. Liverpool had one scoreless draw versus Chelsea in the last 7 matches but their other 6 matches averaged 5 goals apiece! Fulham played out to a 2-2 draw the last time these clubs played. Fulham has scored 19 goals in last 14 matches so they can score here. They just will not be able to score a surging Reds club that won 4-3 last week. Another wild one likely here. OVER 3.5 +115 in Liverpool | |||||||
05-03-23 | West Ham United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200173 Wednesday OVER 3 -135 or 3.5 +125 in Manchester City vs West Ham United @ 3 ET - There is even some over 3 available at this one at higher juice. I would recommend over 3 as the top choice and then over 3.5 as a great second option since it has a big plus money. Manchester City actually off a lower-scoring match by their standards as they won only 2-1 last week. Look for them to make up for that here with goals aplenty on their home pitch. Remember they are averaging 3.4 goals per match this season when a host. As for West Ham, they do score an average of 1 goal per match on the road and City has not shown a penchant for clean sheets of late so look for the visitors to make the net ripple here. I am forecasting a 3-1 type match though we could see much more. Manchester City has actually averaged 4.3 goals scored in their last 7 as a host. West Ham has hit a high-scoring trend too with last 5 matches across all competitions totaling an average of 4.6 goals apiece. City also well aware that Arsenal jumped them in the table yesterday. Even if City lost this they still have a game in hand over Arsenal but they should leave no doubt at home here and will push for plenty of scoring to put this one away early. OVER 3 -135 or OVER 3.5 +125 in Manchester City | |||||||
05-02-23 | Chelsea v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
Rotation #200165: English Premier League Tuesday OVER 2.5 in Arsenal vs Chelsea @ 3 ET - I am well aware of Chelsea's goal-scoring troubles but you know they would love nothing more than to play the role of spoiler here against Arsenal. Also, this Arsenal club has not exactly been water-tight at the back right now. That is evidenced by the fact they have both scored and conceded in 7 straight matches. Arsenal's last 9 matches in league action have all totaled 3 or more goals. The last 6 matches have all totaled at least 4 goals. Chelsea has allowed at least 2 goals in 4 straight matches and so Arsenal should have a big day as they look to bounce back off a rough 4-1 loss to Manchester City. However, Arsenal has allowed an average of 2 goals per match last 4 games and has given up at least one goal in 7 straight matches. Chelsea will get on the board here finally as they are desperate and will be aggressive but there is no denying Arsenal in this one. OVER 2.5 in Arsenal | |||||||
05-02-23 | Hermannstadt v. UTA Arad OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -127 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #206829: Romania Liga 1 Tuesday OVER 2 in UTA vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - UTA is hosting a Hermannstadt club that scored 2 goals in its last visit here. Hermannstadt won that match 2-1 and also has scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches and scored 2 goals in each of last 3 matches. UTA is off a 1-0 loss to Universitatea Cluj in Cupa Romaniei action last week but in the playout league action they also have struggled. UTA has allowed 5 goals in last 3 matches but they are the favorite in this match-up with Hermannstadt for a reason. Though they were shutout at home in most recent match in Arad, UTA average scoring 1.5 goals in 8 home matches prior to that. They will respond here at home but Hermannstadt has been scoring plenty of late and could again put up a 2 spot here just as they did in their last visit. That said, there is great value with this total posted at just 2 goals in this one. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here per the above. OVER 2 in UTA | |||||||
05-01-23 | Everton v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #200161: English Premier League OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Everton @ 3 ET - Leicester has gone 18 straight matches in league action without a clean sheet. That said, odds favor that Everton will score at least 1 goal here. Also, Leicester is favored here at home for a reason. In other words, 2-1 final at a minimum the way I see it and an upset would not completely shock me. I know Everton has been so bad and they particularly struggle to score goals on the road but there is no hiding Leicester's track record for struggling to stop the opposition. At the same time, this is a key battle to avoid relegation so each club is pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table. As noted above, good reasoning (18 in a row) for expecting Everton to score here but also Leicester should deliver a huge performance on their home pitch. Leicester has 44 goals scored on the season and no club in the bottom half of the table has more than that! These guys will produce against an Everton club that is allowing 2 goals per match its last 22 matches across all competitions. OVER 2.5 in Leicester | |||||||
05-01-23 | CFR Cluj v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 101 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
Rotation #206825: Romania Liga 1 Monday OVER 2 goals -140 in Rapid vs CFR Cluj @ 1:30 ET - CFR Cluj just lost 3-0 in Cup action earlier this week. They are an angry bunch as they also lost their most recent match in Liga 1 action and did not score. This is rare for them and I am sure CFR Cluj will bounce back big here. The problem is they are at Rapid for this one in playoff action and you know the hosts are going to be tough to beat. I am looking for each club to score at least once and do not foresee either club being satisfied with a share of the spoils based on recent results. That said, the 2-1 final at a minimum is the expectation here but I will grab the over 2 goals with some heavy juice on the over just in case we have to settle for a push. Note that both meetings this season and 3 of the last 4 overall have totaled at least 3 goals when these clubs square off. Rapid enters this one off a 1-0 win but they had allowed 2 goals per match in the 5 matches before that. CFR Cluj, including that 3-0 loss to Sepsi, have allowed 1.4 goals per match in last 10 matches across all competitions. Both Rapid and CFR Cluj are very strong clubs in terms of offensive production but, as you can see, both allowing plenty of goals of late too. OVER 2 goals -140 in Rapid | |||||||
05-01-23 | Luton Town v. Blackburn Rovers OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #200277: English League Championship Monday OVER 2.5 goals +100 in Blackburn vs Luton @ 12:30 ET - I like the fact we get the over 2.5 here with no juice on the over. Luton has been red hot and is effectively now locked into the playoff seeding they needed as they will have home playoff match now but also can't catch the #2 spot for an automatic promotion. So we could see Luton make some personnel changes for this one. That does two things. One is these guys will be hungry to show what they can to plus extend a long unbeaten streak for this club. The other is that these personnel changes can lead to some miscues on the field that can lead to counterattack opportunities for the opposition. That opposition today is a Blackburn club that is hosting and desperately in need of a win. So the Rovers are going to bring it on their home pitch today I am sure. Blackburn lost 1-0 last week but that was against Burnley club that is the best club in the league. Prior to this, Blackburn had scored an average of 1.3 goals per match in their last dozen across all competitions. However, Blackburn has also allowed 1.5 goals per match in their last 10 matches across all competitions. Blackburn is a strong home club with only 3 draws in 22 matches as a host this season. That said, with needing 3 points badly and a low draw rate on their home pitch and high likelihood each club scores at least once here, you can see why I am expecting nothing less than a 2-1 final in this one! OVER 2.5 goals +100 in Blackburn | |||||||
04-30-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #200157: English Premier League Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 or 3.5 in Liverpool vs Tottenham @ 11:30 AM ET - Tottenham showing renewed spirit as they rallied from 2 goals down under Ryan White and that was against another heavyweight, Manchester United. Now they take on a tough Liverpool club that also has been showing plenty of life of last. Also, Liverpool has been so tough at home this season. They score goals like crazy here but also Tottenham is sure to not go down without a fight. Tottenham just can not beat these guys and Liverpool has scored an average of 2 goals per match in the last 5 meetings. There has not been a clean sheet in any of those 5 matches for either club and, keep in mind, Tottenham still without Hugo Lloris in goal. Tottenham's last 4 matches have all totaled 3 or more goals and their last 3 matches have all totaled 4 or more goals. Liverpool's last 4 matches have all totaled at least 3 goals and the first three in that stretch all totaled at least 4 goals. This should be a very entertaining wide open match given the current situation for each club as well as the history in their match-ups. Liverpool again scores well on these guys but Tottenham, very hungry, is sure to answer. 10* OVER 3 or 3.5 in Liverpool | |||||||
04-30-23 | Aston Villa v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 1 m | Show |
Rotation #200141: English Premier League Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals +110 in Manchester United vs Aston Villa @ 9 AM ET - With Emery patrolling the sidelines, Aston Villa has scored at least 1 goal in 20 straight premier league matches. This is a streak since he took over the reins so it is quite impressive to say the least. You can see why one can feel confident in Aston Villa making the net ripple given numbers like that. The other key here is that Manchester United is, of course, favored for a reason. That said, this one has the makings of at least a 2-1 final. I am expecting 4 or more here as each of the last 4 meetings between these clubs have topped the 4-goal mark! The most recent meeting totaled 6 goals. 10* OVER 3 +110 in Manchester United | |||||||
04-29-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -59.5 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #206813: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2.5 +115 in Sepsi vs Farul @ 2:45 ET - Farul off a 1-0 victory last week but that was preceded by 4 of 5 matches totaling at least 3 goals. Farul has scored 1.7 goals per match last 6 matches. Sepsi needs to respond on their home pitch after a tough run in the play-off. They are off a 3-0 win Wednesday over CFR Cluj in the Cupa României so they certainly bring some momentum into this match. 12 of last 16 Sepsi matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals as they also beat CS Mioveni 4-1 in their first match-up in the Cupa României earlier in April. Sepsi has scored 1.7 goals per match last 15 matches across all competitions. You can see why this total is posted at higher than 2 but also why there is solid value with this total in terms of the over and expecting at least 3 goals given all of the above. 10* OVER 2.5 +115 in Sepsi | |||||||
04-29-23 | Botosani v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -119 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
Rotation #206809: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs FC Botosani @ 10 AM ET - Petrolul Ploiesti has revenge for a 5-0 loss to FC Botosani when these clubs met in February. The prior match this season also topped the 2-goal mark as it was a 2-1 win for Petrolul Ploiesti. I look for the hosts to be relentless here in the revenge role and we have fantastic value with this total at 2 goals. I know that FC Botosani is off a scoreless draw last week but they had scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches prior to that. Considering that plus the revenge of Petrolul Ploiesti, you have a nice situation for goals here. There have only been 2 times this entire season, and these were many months ago, that FC Botosani was shutout in B2B games. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 9 matches and averaged 1.3 goals per match in those 7 matches. OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti | |||||||
04-29-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Brighton & Hove Albion -1 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #200134: English Premier League Saturday Brighton & Hove -1 -120 vs Wolverhampton @ 10 AM ET - Wolverhampton has won just 2 of 16 road matches this season and is facing an angry host here. Brighton has lost just 4 of 14 home matches this season but they are coming off B2B disappointing results and this has them fired up here. They will respond big on their home pitch. They had a scoreless draw end in a loss on penalty kicks to Manchester United in the English FA Cup two matches ago. After that heart-breaking loss they were flat against Nottingham Forest and paid the price with a 3-1 loss on the road. Brighton will surely be at their best today to make up for those losses and I am expecting a blowout home win to result. BRIGHTON -1 -120 | |||||||
04-29-23 | Nottingham Forest v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
Rotation #200137: English Premier League OVER 2.5 in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest @ 10 AM ET - I know that Nottingham Forest has been so bad on the road this season but they can rally off last week's 3-1 win over Brighton & Hove and should score on the road now this week even though that is rare for them. The issue for Nottingham Forest is that they generally can not stop clubs and this has particularly been true on the road where they have been dreadful in that regard. That said, Brentford should have a huge performance here and the Bees are averaging 2 goals scored per match when on their home pitch this season. Building off the momentum of a 2-0 win over Chelsea, even though that victory was ugly, Brentford can now take advantage of a porous back line and score plenty in this one. The key is a rejuvenated Nottingham Forest desperate to avoid relegation as they are likely to find the back of the net once in this once but the hosts a big favorite for a reason. OVER 2.5 in Brentford | |||||||
04-28-23 | MIllwall v. Blackpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 105 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #200233: English League Championship Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Blackpool vs Millwall @ 3 ET - I do play a high percentage of overs rather than sides or unders in football. However, it is only when the situation is right and this is another one of those situations that is a good one. Blackpool is relegation-threatened and, arguably relegation-likely. However they got a key win last week and do still have life and will push hard for the full 3 points in the table here. At the same time, Millwall is trying to earn a playoff position but has hurt themselves with consecutive losses. That means they are also pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table in this one. When you consider those factors plus the fact each club is likely to score at least a goal, you have likelihood of a 2-1 final at a minimum here. Blackpool has scored at least 1 goal in 7 of last 8 matches. However, prior to last week's 1-0 win, Blackpool had conceded an average of 2.5 goals last 6 matches. The hosts have scored an average of 1.8 goals last 5 home matches. Millwall has seen 3 of last 4 meetings with them total at least 3 goals. These clubs combine for a 25% draw rate so, based on odds alone, 75% chance this match will not end in a draw. Millwall has had a tough April but did score a goal in their most recent match and also scored 2 goals in their most recent victory which preceded the B2B losses. They are fired up and know it is do or die time and they will take advantage of facing a club near the very bottom of the table. But the hosts will put up a fight here. Look for a 2-1 type match as a result. 10* OVER 2.5 in Blackpool | |||||||
04-28-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
Rotation #206801: Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -135 in U Craiova 1948 vs Chindia Targoviste @ 1:30 ET - The value of an over 2 here well worth the -135 price in a match that is going to see U Craiova 1948 come out strong after a scoreless draw last week. Prior to that one, 4 of their last 5 matches had totaled at least 3 goals. In those 4 matches U Craiova 1948 scored an average of 2.2 goals but allowed an average of 2 goals. I know the recent history of matches between these two clubs is one of a low-scoring nature but the current situation and current form suggests we will see quite a different result here! Note that Chindia Targoviste comes into this one with some momentum. They have won 2 of last 4 matches and are off a 2-1 victory and two of their last three matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Considering that plus the recent high-scoring ways of U Craiova 1948, I am looking for a 2-1 type match here. The visitors have not had a draw in any of their last 5 matches and both clubs going strong for the full 3 points in the table in this one. 10* OVER 2 goals -135 in U Craiova 1948 | |||||||
04-27-23 | Manchester United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 115 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #200125: English Premier League Thursday OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham vs Manchester United @ 3:15 ET - With the managerial change after the embarrassing 6-1 loss, Tottenham is sure to respond here. However, they lost their current top goalie and now go back to the guy that had been demoted to the #2 goalie spot. So, instead of the injured Lloris it will be Forster in between the sticks for the hosts in this one. It will be a challenge as Manchester United, even without the injured Fernandes, has plenty of scoring threat and they are fired up for some big scoring here after the scoreless draw versus Brighton. That one actually featured solid chances and I know Man U is going to bring it here as they have not scored a goal in last two matches. The thing is, Tottenham will have extra aggression on the attack here too as they respond to the ugly loss and subsequent managerial change. What I like about this total being at a 2.5 or 3 in most spots, is the fact that Tottenham has both scored and conceded in 6 straight matches. Not only that, there has not been a draw in an EPL match at this stadium since 2021. So the point is, we can fully expect at least a 2-1 final in this one the way I see it. But truly I am expecting at least 4 goals as both clubs bring their A game on the Attack in this one! The last meeting between these clubs was a 2-0 Man U win but this followed 4 matches that all totaled at least 3 goals and actually averaged nearly 5 goals per match! We'll see plenty of scoring in this one is my strong prediction here. OVER 2.5 or 3 in Tottenham | |||||||
04-27-23 | Cardiff City v. Rotherham United OVER 2 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
Rotation #200229: English League Championship Thursday OVER 2 in Rotherham United vs Cardiff City @ 3 ET - Excellent line value with this total at a 2 even with juice in the -135 range. Both clubs should score at least once and that would mean nothing less than a push and a 1-1 final. However, considering both clubs proximity to the relegation zone, they also are pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table and all signs point to at least a 2-1 final the way I see it. Note that Rotherham has allowed at least 1 goal (and average of 1.6 goals conceded) in last 7 matches on their home pitch. Rotherham also has scored at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 on home pitch and averaged scoring 2.2 goals in those 5 matches. Cardiff has both scored and conceded in 5 of their 6 matches this month. Those 5 matches averaged totaling 4 goals apiece and we only need 3 to be a winner here. Also, Ryan Allsop has an abductor injury and is expected to miss the rest of the season. He is the starting goalie for Cardiff so that means little used #2 Jak Alnwick (struggling in 2023) will get the start here. OVER 2 in Rotherham | |||||||
04-27-23 | Newcastle United v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Rotation #200117: English Premier League Thursday OVER 2.5 +110 in Everton vs Newcastle United @ 2:45 ET - If I could write the script for this I would say Everton scores an early goal and then Newcastle immediately responds to tie and then eventually wins the match 2-1. That is the type of match I am expecting here. Newcastle is off that 6-1 thrashing of Tottenham so I could see them coming out flat here and Everton - finally getting some key players back - takes advantage and gets an early marker. The issue for Everton is that they will have then poked the bear so to speak and this Newcastle club has it sights set on a top four finish in the Premier League. They are in excellent current form and there solid goal-scoring run should continue here. However, in support of my script for this one, do note that Newcastle has conceded at least 1 goal in 6 straight road matches. Overall, 4 straight Newcastle matches have totaled at least 3 goals and these 4 matches have averaged nearly 5 goals per match! Everton is off a shocking scoreless draw but this was preceded by a 7-match stretch that averaged 3 goals apiece. Look for at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 +110 in Everton | |||||||
04-26-23 | West Bromwich Albion v. Sheffield United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #200221: English League Championship Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Sheffield United vs West Bromwich Albion @ 3 ET - Sheffield can clinch automatic promotion with a win. For West Bromwich, this match is ultra important due to playoff reasons. That said, both clubs going strong here for the full 3 points in the table and I expect at least a 2-1 match here at a minimum. West Bromwich is averaging 1.24 goals per match on the road this season. Sheffield is averaging 2 goals match at home this season. In terms of recent form, Sheffield has won each of last 4 as a host and is averaging 2.2 goals per match during that 4-0 run. West Bromwich has scored 2 goals in each of last 2 road matches and has scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight road matches. Overall, 4 of last 5 West Bromwich matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Look for this one to reach that mark as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in Sheffield United | |||||||
04-26-23 | Arsenal v. Manchester City -158 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #200114: English Premier League Wednesday 10* Top Play Manchester City Money Line -158 vs Arsenal @ 3 ET - Manchester City the much hotter club. Arsenal had to rally from 2 goals down for a 3-3 draw in most recent match. Prior to that, Arsenal had back to back 2-2 draws in which they blew 2-goal leads. So the problem is that Arsenal is having a lot of trouble in their own end and conceding far too much. Now they face the most dangerous offensive club on the planet right now. Yes Manchester City scored only 1 goal in a 1-1 draw with Bayern Munich recently but that was because it was all that they needed. Now they will be going for the throat here against Arsenal as this is a battle for supremacy in the premier league and if they win this match they control their own destiny. I just do not see Man City being denied here. They are the better team and in the much better current form right now. Without William Saliba, Arsenal will particularly struggle in trying to stop Erling Braut Haaland. Additionally, even if Granit Xhaka returns from illness for this one, he is unlikely to be 100%. This is a tough situation for Arsenal all the way around and they are on the road for this one too. Yes they have been great on the road this season but City has been superb at home - tops in the league as a host! City has won the last 5 meetings by an aggregate score of 12 to 2 and their stronger defensive play of yet plus home pitch and being the healthier team will all be key factors adding up to a home victory here. 10* MANCHESTER CITY -158 | |||||||
04-26-23 | Liverpool v. West Ham United OVER 2.75 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 50 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #200105: English Premier League Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham United vs Liverpool @ 2:45 ET - West Ham has scored 10 goals last 3 matches across all competitions. West Ham also has averaged 2.2 goals last 9 matches across all competitions as a host. Their last two matches with Liverpool have both been 1-0 wins for the Reds but this one sure looks different. Note also that the 3 meetings prior to those 2 all totaled 3 or more goals and averaged 4 goals apiece. As for the key to why this one will be more like the former 3 rather than the latter 2 , both of these clubs enter this one having scored goals like crazy of late. Liverpool has scored 11 goals last 3 matches. However, Liverpool also has allowed 1.8 goals per match last 5 matches. Looking at just EPL matches, Liverpool has scored 2.3 goals per match last 9 matches! Given all of the above, I would not be surprised to see each of these clubs get to the 2 goal mark in this one. 2-2 draw or a 3-2 final and, in my mind, at the very least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in West Ham United | |||||||
04-25-23 | Burnley v. Blackburn Rovers OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Rotation #200225: English League Championship Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +110 in Blackburn vs Burnley @ 3 ET - Burnley wants to clinch the title finally after a rare 3-match winless streak and what better place to do that than at rival Blackburn. However, you know the hosts will do all they can to prevent that from happening. I expect all this to translate to goals because Blackburn will put up a fight on their home pitch but they have conceded 14 times in last 9 matches. Burnley has conceded 10 goals in last 5 matches away from home across all competitions. Blackburn has given up late equalizers in each of their last two matches and Burnley also frustrated with not getting winning results of late. This will lead to extra goal-scoring push in this one the way I see it. A strong attack from both clubs likely in an entertaining affair that should get to at least 2-1 the way I see it. 10* OVER 2.5 +110 in Blackburn | |||||||
04-25-23 | Leicester v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -136 | 6 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #200085 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leeds United vs Leicester @ 3 ET - These are two of the worst clubs in the league in terms of goals allowed but both have been scoring decently of late as well. These two clubs are down near the bottom of the table so both are pushing for the full 3 points here and I don't foresee a draw as a result. Look for at least a 2-1 final. Note that Leeds home matches have averaged about 3 goals apiece this season and Leicester road matches have averaged about 4 goals apiece this season. The fact that their recent meetings (the last 3) have all totaled 2 or less goals is helping to keep this total lower than it should be. The two meetings prior to those each totaled 4 or more goals. Leeds last 7 matches have ALL totaled 3 or more goals and have averaged FIVE goals apiece! 9 of last 13 Leicester City matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Those 9 have averaged 4 goals apiece. All signs pointing to a wide open affair here totaling at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leeds | |||||||
04-25-23 | Crystal Palace v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation #200073: English Premier League Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Wolverhampton vs Crystal Palace @ 2:30 ET - Crystal Palace is off a scoreless draw last week so the low total of 2 here makes sense in that regard. However, under Hodgson, Palace has been revitalized and I am not going to let one tough effort against a nemesis impact the thought process here. The fact is that Crystal Palace had won 3 straight matches and scored an average of 3 goals per match. As for Wolverhampton, they should also get on the board here on their home pitch and they also have had just 2 draws in 16 home matches this season. In other words, a 1-1 match is very likely to end up at least 2-1. Note that the Wolves have scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight matches! Also, Crystal Palace has scored 2 goals in each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs. This is why I feel we have excellent value here and I will not pass up on it. 10* OVER 2 in Wolverhampton | |||||||
04-24-23 | Middlesbrough v. Luton Town OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 102 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #200373: English League Championship Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Luton Town vs Middlesbrough @ 3 ET - Middlesbrough has been scoring a lot of goals of late but this is also a club that allows about twice as many goals on the road as they have at home this season. They are traveling here and facing the club that is just above them in the standings and this Luton Town club actually has allowed more goals at home than on the road this season. So this one sets up well for goals and we should see plenty here as the recent trending of Middlesbrough has been for very high-scoring matches. Luton Town is not as high-scoring as their opponents for this one but they are averaging scoring 1.8 goals per match their last 5 matches. Middlesbrough has seen 12 of last 14 matches total at least 3 goals! Those matches averaged 4 goals apiece and we only need 3 goals to be a winner here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Luton Town | |||||||
04-24-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
Rotation #206925: Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Voluntari vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 1:30 ET - The value of an over 2 is big in Romania and I definitely look for 3 or more here but like the fact that 2 would be a push rather than a loss. 14 of last 17 FC Voluntari matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Those 14 matches have averaged 3 goals! Petrolul Ploiesti has seen 20 of last 27 matches total at least 2 goals. Those 20 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. Petrolul Ploiesti had scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 matches before being shutout at home in most recent match. They should respond here as they have scored at least 1 goal in 3 straight road matches. Of course you know that FC Voluntari is favored for a reason here. So you can see, given the above, there is reasoning behind why I am expecting a 2-1 final at the very least in this one. Neither club has had many losses of late so they are playing with plenty of confidence too as the defeat for Petrolul Ploiesti last week was a rare one. They had won 4 straight before that loss. Also, the hosts in this one are unbeaten last 8 matches! 10* OVER 2 in FC Voluntari | |||||||
04-23-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #206921: Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Rapid vs FCSB @ 1:30 ET - Rapid and FCSB last 3 matches have averaged 3.3 goals and two of those were 3-1 finals. Rapid enters this one having allowed 2 goals per match last 5 matches. However, Rapid has scored an average of 1.8 goals in their 16 home matches this season. You can see why this match getting to 2-2 would not be shocking in the least given numbers like this. The key here is FCSB has seen 7 of last 12 matches total at least 3 goals. 9 of last 10 FCSB matches have seen them both score and concede at least 1 time. These clubs each had only about a 20% draw rate in the regular season but have each had 2 draws in 4 matches in the play-off round. In other words, extra effort a win here to earn full points and long-term trending shows the odds favor that as well. Look for a 2-1 final at least here and 4 or more would not surprise me at all here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Rapid | |||||||
04-23-23 | Manchester United v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -145 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200405: English FA Cup Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 -145 in Brighton & Hove vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET from Wembley Stadium in London - Fernandes and Rashford both should play for Man U here but each club has some injury issues defensively. 4 of last 5 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals. Man U had scored 2 goals in 3 straight before getting shutout 3-0 by Sevilla which was the 2nd time in 3 matches in which they had allowed at least 2 goals. Also, they have won all 4 of their English FA Cup matches by identical 3-1 scores. We should again see 4 goals here for a 5th straight match but we only need 3 to be a winner here. That is noteworthy too as Brighton has seen 6 of last 8 matches total at least 3 goals. In fact, those have averaged 3.5 goals apiece. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton | |||||||
04-23-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #200065 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur @ 9 AM ET - Both clubs scoring quite well of late while Tottenham has had issues all season with allowing too many goals on the road. Newcastle normally solid on their home pitch in terms of goals allowed but that has not been the case recently. They are having trouble lately with a leaky backline. I am sure Tottenham is going to take advantage of this weakness and will generate plenty of chances with an aggressive attack. However, Newcastle is sure to get their high quality scoring chances at home too. That means at least a 2-1 final here is likely the way I see it. The last 4 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and actually have averaged 4.5 goals apiece. Tottenham enters this match with 4 of last 5 totaling at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 4 goals. Newcastle has seen 5 of last 6 matches total at least 3 goals and those have averaged 3.3 goals apiece. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle | |||||||
04-22-23 | CFR Cluj v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
Rotation #206901: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 -130 in Farul vs CFR Cluj @ 1:30 ET - Laying a little extra juice to have the over 2 goals is well worth it. I am expecting this one to get to at least 3 goals but, this way, if it lands on 2 we get a push rather than a loss. In the regular season, these were the two highest-scoring clubs in the league! Not only that, their two meetings this season each totaled at least 3 goals. Also, their current trending absolutely supports a play on the over here as well. Farul tends to be so strong at home but, though they do score well, they also have been conceding goals of late as well. In fact, Farul has both scored and conceded in 5 straight matches! Those matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. As for CFR Cluj, their story is similar as 8 of their last 9 matches have seen both they and their opponent find the back of the net! Those 9 matches have averaged 3.7 goals apiece. I am expecting 4 goals in this one but 3 also serves our purposes just fine and I do love the value of a push if this one shocks me and ends with only 2 goals. This should be a high-scoring wide-open affair. OVER 2 -130 in Farul | |||||||
04-22-23 | Sheffield United v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Rotation #200401: English FA Cup Saturday OVER 3.5 +105 in Manchester City vs Sheffield United @ 11:45 AM ET - Of course the huge underdogs, Sheffield United, would love to turn this match into a low-scoring grinder. However, Manchester City simply is too talented and strong and will not let that happen. Of course once City starts going goals it will put pressure on Sheffield to open things and take risks. I would not be surprised to see them find the back of the net in this one but City is a 2-goal favorite on the goal line for a reason. I am looking for a 3 to 1 type of final here. Either way we get to 4 goals even if City goes ballistic and gets to that number all by themselves. Yes they have a big match on deck with Arsenal but this one is also very important and they will likely use this as a tune-up to be a well-oiled machine heading into Wednesday's big EPL match. Remember that City is averaging 2.6 goals scored per match in league action this season. Also, City has averaged scoring 4 goals per match last 7 matches across all competitions. As for Sheffield, they average about 1.6 goals per match in Championship League action and, again, they will be forced to be aggressive on the attack here and take some risks as this match goes along. OVER 3.5 +105 in Manchester City | |||||||
04-22-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Botosani OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Rotation #206913: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 -135 in FC Botosani vs U Craiova 1948 @ 10:30 AM ET - Laying a little extra juice to have the over 2 goals is well worth it. I am expecting this one to get to at least 3 goals but, this way, if it lands on 2 we get a push rather than a loss. FC Botosani has scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches overall. Also, as a host, FC Botosani has scored at least 1 goal in 9 straight matches and averaged 1.6 goals in the process. As for U Craiova 1948, they have had 4 of last 5 matches total at least 3 goals. Those 4 matches, in fact, have averaged 4 goals apiece! As for FC Botosani matched up with U Craiova 1948, their two matches this season were each 1-0 finals. However, this followed 3 straight that totaled at least 2 goals and the last two averaged 4 goals apiece. The way these clubs are trending right now (including FC Botosani solid scoring at home), that is the type of result I expect here. OVER 2 -135 in FC Botosani | |||||||
04-22-23 | Everton v. Crystal Palace OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
Rotation #200049: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2 -130 in Crystal Palace vs Everton @ 10 AM ET - Don't be surprised if Dominic Calvert-Lewin ends up playing some for Everton in this match and that would certainly give the visitors a boost. However, even if he does not play, I expect Everton to find the back of the net here as last week's clean sheet that Crystal Palace delivered was a rare one for them of late. But what has not been rare of late for them is plenty of goals. They have absolutely enjoyed a resurgence under manager Roy Hodgson. They have scored in each of last 4 matches and have averaged 2.5 goals scored per match. Getting this total at 2 goals is a great bargain here even at a price in the -130 range. Crystal Palace, prior to last week's 2-0 win, had allowed a goal in 6 straight matches. They are playing a more aggressive style under Hodgson now and should score well in this one but could struggle to an Everton club desperate for a victory. They are winless in their last 4 matches and those averaged a total of 3 goals apiece and manager Sean Dyche is desperate to get his club back on track. As a result, we'll see more attacking in this match than you might would normally expect. Everton has scored 7 goals in last 6 matches but also conceded an average of 2 goals per match last 8 matches. OVER 2 -130 in Crystal Palace | |||||||
04-21-23 | Southampton v. Arsenal OVER 3 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Rotation #200033: English Premier League Friday OVER 3 in Arsenal vs Southampton @ 3 ET - Amazingly, in English Premier League matches, Arsenal has had 9 of last 10 including 7 straight total at least 3 goals! Those 10 matches have averaged 4 goals apiece and I am expecting to get to at least the 4 goal mark in this one. Look for Arsenal to be relentless on the attack here as their last two matches have been 2-2 draws as a result of letting 2-0 leads slip away in each match. They will push hard to get to at least the 3 goal mark here I am sure! As for Southampton, they have allowed an average of 2.4 goals per match last 5 matches and now face one of the top clubs in the league. However, Arsenal does have a huge match Wednesday against Manchester City. That said, if they get caught looking ahead Southampton could certainly make this one interesting! They have not been scoring much but certainly should do some damage here against a leaky Arsenal defense. The storyline though will be a huge rout for the hosts though ultimately as they are massive favorites here - including -2 goals on the goal line - with good reason! OVER 3 in Arsenal | |||||||
04-21-23 | CS U Craiova v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #206897 Friday OVER 2.5 +115 in Sepsi vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1:30 ET - Universitatea Craiova won 1-0 here when these clubs last met way back in October. However, the two prior meetings each totaled 4 goals. Also, each of the 3 prior meetings saw each club score at least one goal in each match. Likewise, Universitatea Craiova has played 5 straight matches overall in which they have both scored and conceded at least once in every single match. Their last two matches have each totaled at least 4 goals and I am looking for more of the same here. As for Sepsi, their last 18 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. I love the value here of the over 2.5 goals at plus money. Sepsi has scored an average of 2 goals per match in last 9 at home. Also, last week's 2-1 loss was the 5th time last 8 matches in which Sepsi has conceded at least 2 goals. We'll see plenty of scoring here as Universitatea Craiova will enjoy plenty of success as well. OVER 2.5 +115 in Sepsi | |||||||
04-20-23 | Manchester United v. Sevilla OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Rotation #224429 Europa League Thursday OVER 2.5 in Sevilla vs Manchester United @ 3 ET - Sevilla always seems to rise to the occasion in events like this. I am looking for plenty of goals here as Manchester United is certainly hungry to advance as well and they are not happy about giving up 2 late goals and blowing a 2-goal lead in their 2-2 draw with Sevilla in the first meeting. That is all part of a 4-match stretch in which Sevilla has scored 2 goals in all 4 matches. The thing is, Manchester United has been playing well also and they have scored 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches. They will also have Rashford back for this one. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here and note that each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals. More of the same in another highly entertaining affair between these clubs. After what happened in the first one, Manchester United knows no lead is safe and they will be relentless here but of course they are on the road for this one too. The hosts will be on the attack on their home pitch as well. OVER 2.5 in Sevilla | |||||||
04-19-23 | Manchester City v. Bayern Munich OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -111 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
Champions League OVER 3 in Bayern Munich - Manchester City won the first meeting 3-0 so Bayern Munich must be aggressive on their home pitch and they are known for scoring goals here. However, Manchester City is on an incredible goal-scoring run of their own. That means the hosts being forced to be aggressive will absolutely open things up for the visitors to continue their onslaught of goal-scoring across all competitions. OVER 3 in Bayern Munich | |||||||
04-18-23 | Real Madrid v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
Rotation #224217: Champions League Tuesday OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Real Madrid @ 3 ET - Down 2-0 on the aggregate so far in this one, Chelsea has to dig deep and get a miracle 3-goal win to advance. Of course that is a tall order and I am not forecasting that but I am forecasting a very aggressive effort on the part of Chelsea. They can not afford to sit back here. Of course this will open up the scoring options for Real Madrid on the counterattack and this could result in a very entertaining high-scoring affair here with some great breakaway opportunities. Note that Chelsea did finally make the net ripple in their recent 2-1 loss to Brighton. They can at least take something from that as it finally ended their scoreless drought. The issue here is they are hosting a Real Madrid club that has scored an average of 3.2 goals last 5 matches and will be up to the challenge here no matter how spirited the effort of the hosts in this one! OVER 2.5 in Chelsea | |||||||
04-17-23 | Liverpool v. Leeds United OVER 3 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Rotation #200029: English Premier League OVER 3 in Leeds United vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - Liverpool very hungry for a win and should build momentum off last week's comeback against Arsenal as they rallied for the 2-2 draw. However, it is hard to trust the Reds to get the victory here considering how they have struggled on the road all season. Also, they enter this match having failed to notch a victory in 5 straight matches. That said, the play here is the over. Leeds has a leaky defense but they are solid up front and should pressure (and have success) against a Liverpool club known for conceding more goals on the road. Each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and the last 5 meetings between these clubs have averaged 4 goals apiece. Liverpool has seen 2 of last 3 matches total at least 4 goals. Leeds United has had 5 straight matches total at least 3 goals and these 5 have averaged 5 goals apiece! They should notch at least 1 goal here on their home pitch but you know Liverpool is going to be relentless on the attack as they are desperate to notch a victory and get back into the win column finally. OVER 3 in Leeds United | |||||||
04-17-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
Rotation #206877: Romania Liga 1 Monday OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Farul @ 1:30 ET - This match-up has goals written all over it. These are two of the top clubs in the league now meeting in the play-off stage. Note the last 3 meetings have each totaled at least 4 goals and, also at least one of the clubs has scored at least 2 goals in each of the last 5 meetings. We'll see goals here! Farul enters this one with 3 of last 4 matches each totaling at least 3 goals. In each of those 4 matches both Farul and their opponent has scored at least once in every single match. As for FCSB, 6 of last 11 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. These 11 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and considering FCSB is now matched up with a very high-scoring Farul club for this one, goals should be aplenty! On the season FCSB has averaged 1.9 goals scored in their 16 home matches! On the season, in all matches, Farul has averaged 1.8 goals scored per match! You can see, given numbers like that, why 4 goals in this one would not be a shock at all and why I am absolutely expecting at least 3 goals in this one. OVER 2.5 in FCSB | |||||||
04-17-23 | Chindia Targoviste +120 v. Arges | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
Rotation #206865: Romania Liga 1 Monday Chindia Targoviste Money Line +130 @ FC Arges @ 10:30 AM ET - FC Arges has been nothing short of awful and we get line value here since they are hosting. It means we can get a very fair price in backing the road club. Note that FC Arges has not won a match since October. That is absolutely ridiculous. Now, of course, if this match ends in a draw we lose but note that FC Arges also has not scored a goal in 6 straight matches! As for Chindia Targoviste, they have been playing better since the calendar turned the page to 2023. They have scored at least 1 goal in 3 of last 4 matches and have scored an average of 1 goal in their dozen matches this year. All signs pointing toward a 1-0 Chindia Targoviste victory here. Look for the struggles of FC Arges to continue here. Chindia Targoviste +130 | |||||||
04-16-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
Rotation # 206881: Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Universitatea Craiova vs Rapid @ 2 ET - We need 3 here to be a winner but I like our odds on that in this one. Universitatea Craiova is off a 3-2 loss and their last 4 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and they have both scored and conceded in all 4 matches! Rapid is off a 2-0 loss and will respond after being held scoreless. Prior to that match, Rapid had both scored and conceded in 3 straight matches and those averaged 3 goals apiece. Both clubs have had 2 draws and a loss so far in the play-off post-season and so they are extra hungry for a victory here. That said, and given both clubs propensity to both score and concede in recent weeks, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 +120 in Universitatea Craiova | |||||||
04-16-23 | Manchester United v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200017 Sunday OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - There is a hidden key to the value in this one because if you look at overall stats rather than home/road stats it could lead you astray here. No team has conceded fewer goals at home than Man U this season and no team on the road has scored fewer goals than Nottingham Forest this season. However, this match is at Nottingham Forest. They are a scrappy bunch at home and Man U has had trouble giving up too many road goals all season long. That said, I am looking for Man U to push hard after what just happened against Seville when they blew a late 2-0 lead in Europa League action. Both of these clubs are currently dealing with injury issues right now but I just can't see Man U being held down here as they will be relentless on the attack no matter which players are out there on the pitch. At the same time, I do not see the hosts being held scoreless at home as they have been so strong here this season. That said, looking for at least a 2-1 final here. OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest | |||||||
04-16-23 | Universitatea Cluj v. Petrolul 52 +205 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Rotation #206890: Romania Liga 1 Sunday Petrolul Ploiesti Money Line +200 vs Universitatea Cluj @ 11:15 AM ET - Universitatea Cluj has lost 3 of 4 matches and allowed 9 goals in the 3 losses! Also, they have been outscored 6 to 0 in losing both road matches during this stretch. Now they visit a Petro club that has won 4 straight and by a combined score of 5 to 0. That's right, they have not allowed a goal in 4 straight matches and won all 4 and are playing with confidence right now to say the least. By the way, they have met Universitatea Cluj twice this season and they won both matches and the aggregate score was 3 to 0. I thought about playing the goal line here at a Pick'em on Petro but they have had only 3 draws in 33 matches this season. They just do not settle for draws and, the way they are playing right now, I am not going to pass up on this big underdog money line opportunity! Petrolul Ploiesti +200 | |||||||
04-16-23 | Arsenal v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation # 200021: English Premier League OVER 2.5 in West Ham United vs Arsenal @ 9 AM ET - We should see plenty of goals here as Arsenal should be ruthless on the attack after blowing a 2-0 lead at Liverpool last week and having to settle for a 2-2 draw. The key to the over here is I do expect West Ham United to make the net ripple at least once as they are at home and will put up a fight here. Across all competitions, West Ham has scored at least 1 goal in 7 straight and they have averaged scoring 1.6 goals during this stretch. 4 of last 5 matches between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and these averaged 3.6 goals apiece. 9 of Arsenal's last 11 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals and those 11 have averaged 4 goals apiece. Arsenal is a great club but has allowed at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 and actually allowed 2 goals in 3 of those 6. Excellent line value here. OVER 2.5 in West Ham United | |||||||
04-15-23 | Leicester v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #200025: English Premier League Saturday OVER 3.5 in Manchester City vs Leicester @ 12:30 ET - Leicester might get some extra bounce in their step here with new manager Dean Smith. Look for them to be on the attack here and possibly get one goal. However, the reason that Manchester City is such a huge favorite here is because they are on a rampage right now and can not be stopped. They have won 5 straight matches and averaged 4.8 goals per match in this red hot run! Leicester is off a 1-0 loss but was fortunate they did not allow more goals in that one. Also, they allowed about two goals per match in their 14 matches prior to that tight loss. Now they face the current most high-powered attack in all of football. This one gets ugly for Leicester as they are on the road here. I am looking for at least a 3-1 final here but truly expect much more given the circumstances. OVER 3.5 in Manchester City | |||||||
04-15-23 | Sepsi v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
Rotation #206869: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj vs Sepsi @ Noon ET - The ability to get an over 2 at a very fair juice price of -135 here makes this a must play the way I see it. CFR Cluj is very hungry for a victory after 3 straight draws and they are hosting here. Oddly enough, in the regular season no club had fewer draws than CFR Cluj as they had 3 in 30 matches for a 10% draw rate. The reason I keep talking about draws here is because a 1-1 match gets us a push but a 2-1 match would us a winner. I see plenty of reason to expect each club to score at least 1 goal here and then I feel the extra motivation in pushing for a victory is going to be a difference maker in a match that should end with at least 3 goals scoring in a 2-1 final the way I see it. CFR Cluj has had 9 straight Romania Liga 1 matches total at least 2 goals. Sepsi has had 16 of last 17 matches total at least 2 goals. Also, only 1 of last 8 Sepsi matches has ended in a draw. Looking for at least 3 goals and here and love the value with this total. OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj | |||||||
04-15-23 | Crystal Palace v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
Rotation #200005: English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Southampton vs Crystal Palace @ 10 AM ET - This one very important in the relegation battle and I am looking for plenty of attacking from both sides and feel we have great value with this total. Southampton should get some scoring going here as they are on their home pitch but, as for Crystal Palace, they are hot since the managerial change and are like a new club. Crystal Palace has scored 7 goals in their 2 victories in their past two matches. Overall, 3 straight matches for Crystal Palace have totaled at least 3 goals and those matches have averaged 4.7 goals apiece. Southampton has allowed an average of 2.5 goals per match last 4 matches. Southampton has scored an average of 2 goals in last two matches as a host. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals as well. Take advantage of the big plus money in this one. OVER 2.5 goals +135 in Southampton | |||||||
04-14-23 | Norwich City v. Middlesbrough OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
Rotation #200277: English League Championship Friday OVER 2.5 goals -125 in Middlesbrough vs Norwich City @ 3 ET - Norwich City is off a frustrating scoreless draw with Rotterham United as they dominated that match but had nothing to show for it. They will be hell-bent on scoring in this match after the way that played out. Norwich City did have success hosting Middlesbrough earlier this season though they lost 2-1. The hosts were very strong in that match and I look for more of the same here. Trouble for Norwich City is that Middlesbrough is hosting this one and is one of the top clubs in the league plus one of the highest scoring. The hosts will get their goals here but they have been conceding a lot this season as well including of late. Middlesbrough has allowed 8 goals last 3 matches but also scored 9 goals last 4 matches! They are a favorite here in this match for a reason but I also do not foresee them delivering a clean sheet here either. That said, this looks like it has 2-1 written all over it. At a minimum, I am looking for 3 goals and that has been the average total goals scored in this home club's matches this season. OVER 2.5 goals -125 in Middlesbrough | |||||||
04-14-23 | Botosani v. UTA Arad OVER 2 | Top | 2-0 | Push | 0 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
Rotation #206893: Romania Liga 1 Friday OVER 2 goals -120 in UTA vs FC Botosani @ 2 ET - Both clubs have trended to lower-scoring games of late but I love the value of the over 2 in this one. Both regular season meetings between these clubs totaled at least 3 goals and the match-up with UTA hosting totaled 4 goals and now they meet here again. Also, 5 of last 6 UTA matches have totaled at least 2 goals and UTA has scored 22 goals in their 16 home matches this season. UTA has averaged scoring 2 goals in last 4 home matches! FC Botosani is off a 1-0 win but, prior to this, 8 of last 10 of their matches totaled at least 2 goals. FC Botosani has scored at least 1 goal in 10 of last 12 matches. You can see, given all of the above, why I am expecting each club to make the net ripple at least once in this one and I like the value with this low total as I again look for a meeting between these clubs to get to at least the 3-goal mark. OVER 2 goals -120 in UTA | |||||||
04-14-23 | Voluntari v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 101 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Rotation #206873 Friday OVER 2 goals -130 in U Craiova 1948 vs FC Voluntari @ 11 AM ET - The ability to get an over 2 in a reasonable price range of -130 is too good to pass up on here. FC Voluntari 13 of last 16 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Of course we are looking for 3 or more here and to get a win and that is why I like this match-up even more because U Craiova 1948 has been involved in a number of high-scoring matches of late. 3 of last 4 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, if you look at just the matches in which U Craiova 1948 has hosted, 4 of last 6 have totaled at least 3 goals and the hosts have averaged scoring 2 goals per match. The way FC Voluntari is going as well - scoring at least 1 goal in 15 of last 17 matches - I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this match. OVER 2 goals -130 in U Craiova 1948 | |||||||
04-13-23 | Sevilla v. Manchester United -1.5 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
Rotation #224406: Europa League Thursday 10* Top Play Manchester United -1.5 +115 vs Sevilla @ 3 ET - Sevilla is a big name team but having a down season and in poor current form. Manchester United is red hot right now and should dominate this match. They also can get payback here for a 2-1 loss to Sevilla when these clubs last met in Europa League action. Sevilla has allowed an average of 2 goals per match last 9 matches. Manchester United has allowed a TOTAL of only 2 goals in last 6 matches! I am forecasting a 2-0 final here but we could see much more than that and, either way, looking for the hosts to make a statement here in the first leg of this one and win this one by a multi-goal margin. 10* Manchester United -1.5 +115 | |||||||
04-12-23 | Chelsea v. Real Madrid -145 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
Rotation #242214: Champions League Wednesday 10* Top Play Real Madrid -145 vs Chelsea @ 3 ET - Chelsea is still too much of a mess to have faith in right now and Real Madrid is fully focused on the Champions League action and will have too much firepower for an out of sorts Chelsea side. The Blues have a new manager but they still are struggling to return to form. Until they do, Chelsea must be faded. Chelsea is winless in their last 4 matches and has not even scored a goal in their last 3 matches. Real Madrid is off a loss but this followed wins in 4 of 5. Not only did they score 2 goals in the defeat, Real Madrid has scored an average of 3 goals per game last 6 matches! They also rested some key players in that loss to Villarreal in Spanish LaLiga action because, as noted above, their focus right now is the Champions League. Those rested stars plus facing a struggling Chelsea club plus the home pitch factor all adds up to value on the host in this one. 10* REAL MADRID -145 | |||||||
04-11-23 | Bayern Munich v. Manchester City -135 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Rotation #224202: Champions League Tuesday 10* Top Play Manchester City Money Line -135 vs Bayern Munich @ 3 ET - I love the angle here of Pep Guardiola facing Thomas Tuchel. The fact is Guardiola has a score to settle with Tuchel and he has got the hotter club right now. Back in the 2021 Champions League final Tuchel defeated Guardiola's City when he was with Chelsea. Remember too that this was just weeks after he also eliminated Man City in the semi-finals of the FA Cup. Payback time is here for Guardiola. Additionally, Erling Haaland was playing with Borussia Dortmund before going to Manchester City prior to this season. Dortmund lost all 7 meetings with Bayern Munich when Haaland played for Borussia. So the City star, just like the City manager, are out for blood here. Tuchel came to Munich from Chelsea and it was because Chelsea was struggling badly. Now he is here trying to fix a Bayern Munich club that is having a solid season, though not quite up to their lofty standards, but has struggled defensively of late. Having some leaky defense when you are taking on a City club that is on an absolute tear is a recipe for disaster. Of course this Bayern Munich team, top heavyweight of Germany for many years, commands respect. However, Manchester City has been the top team in England in recent years too. The point is that this is a great money line value to have the host team that is in better overall current form and playing with key revenge factors. City has won 8 straight matches and scored an average of 4 goals per victory and there is certainly nothing average about that. Bayern Munich is off a 1-0 victory but, prior to that, had lost 2 of 3 matches and also - before that clean sheet - had allowed an average of 2.2 goals last 4 matches. City, on the other hand, has been dominant in the goals allowed department too of late. 10* MANCHESTER CITY -135 | |||||||
04-10-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -51 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #206861: Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -140 in Sepsi vs Rapid @ 1:30 ET - 15 of last 16 Sepsi matches have totaled at least 2 goals and these matches have averaged 3 goals so there is excellent line value here with this total available at over 2 goals for some extra juice. Looking for at least 3 here as Sepsi is off a 2-1 home loss and will be looking to respond here on a home pitch that has seen them score an average of 2 goals per match last 8 matches. They scored at least 1 goal in all 8 of those matches! As for Rapid, they have scored 5 goals in the 2 wins over Sepsi this season and both matches reached the 3-goal mark. Rapid has seen 19 of last 22 matches total at least 2 goals. Their last 3 road matches all have totaled at least 3 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2 goals -140 in Sepsi | |||||||
04-10-23 | Middlesbrough v. Bristol City OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
Rotation #200269: English Championship League Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Bristol City vs Middlesbrough @ 12:30 ET - Bristol City is hosting and scores better at home than on the road. Middlesbrough has a knack for high-scoring results and particularly on the road where they have allowed 32 goals but scored 35 in their 20 matches this season. That comes out to an average total of 3.35 goals per match. I expect Bristol City to score at home and I also certainly do not see Middlesbrough going through this match without scoring. They are one of the highest scoring clubs in the league. That said, what about the odds of a draw? They are very slim as Middlesbrough has only 1 draw in 20 road matches for a measly 5% draw rate. That is why I am fully expecting this match to get to at least a 2-1 final here. Bristol City has scored 14 goals in last 9 home matches. Middlesbrough has seen 9 of last 11 matches total at least 3 goals. Those 11 matches averaged nearly 4 goals apiece! 10* OVER 2.5 in Bristol City | |||||||
04-10-23 | Mioveni v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Rotation #206857: Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs CS Mioveni @ 10:30 AM ET - The two matches between these clubs this season were very low-scoring. Also, Petrolul Ploiesti enters this match off 4 straight low-scoring matches. That said, this one is a contrarian play but CS Mioveni, prior to last week's 1-0 loss, had 12 of last 16 matches total at least two goals. Those dozen matches averaged 3 goals and I look for this one to get there too. 7 of last 8 CS Mioveni road matches have totaled at least 3 goals so they have definitely shown a tendency toward higher scoring matches as travelers. They were shutout 3-0 in most recent road match but this followed 7 straight road matches in which they scored at least one goal. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goal in 12 of last 15 home matches. Overall, they enter this match having scored at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 matches. Keep in mind Petrolul Ploiesti had only 3 draws out of 30 matches in the regular season. That is just a 10% draw rate and with each team, per the above, likely to get to 1 goal then we should be looking at a 2-1 final at a minimum here. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti | |||||||
04-10-23 | Rotherham United v. Norwich City -1 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
Rotation #200234: English Championship League Monday 10* Top Play Norwich City Goal Line -1 goal vs Rotherham United @ 10 AM ET - Both clubs back on track with wins Friday but Norwich has a huge edge on home pitch here and is working hard to get back into the Premier League. They are on the cusp of a playoff position but again need maximum points in the table this week. Norwich City was relegated from the Premier League last season and they continue to battle to get back into it. They have had only modest success on their home pitch this season but that is an extra motivator here as well and they will take advantage of a road-adverse side in this one. Rotherham United is 2-9-9 on the road this season with a league-worst 11 goals on enemy pitch in those 20 matches. They have been outscored 28-11 on the road and I look for the motivated hosts to roll in this one. 10* NORWICH CITY Goal Line -1 | |||||||
04-09-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -52 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
Rotation #206853: Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +125 in CFR Cluj vs FCSB @ 2 ET - This one we have to go over the 2.5 goals rather than just 2 goals but it gets us a nice plus money return and the odds are favoring a good shot at 3 goals here. These are two solid scoring clubs and CFR Cluj is off a 1-1 draw last week but this followed 6 straight matches in Liga 1 action totaling at least 3 goals! Those 6 matches averaged 4.3 goals apiece and I expect more of the same here! FCSB has seen 6 of last 10 matches total at least 3 goals. These 10 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and 4 straight FCSB road matches have totaled 3 goals. This one will too as there is plenty of firepower for both these clubs! 10* OVER 2.5 +125 in CFR Cluj | |||||||
04-09-23 | Arsenal v. Liverpool OVER 2.75 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Rotation #200189: English Premier League Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Liverpool vs Arsenal @ 11:30 AM ET - Liverpool is off a scoreless draw versus Chelsea. That seems to be the norm these days for that series. Also, Liverpool has been struggling recently but a lot of this is due to a road-heavy schedule. At home this season Liverpool has been fantastic and scoring plenty of goals. However, the same holds true for league-leading Arsenal on the road. Their away form has been fantastic and they are scoring an average of 2 goals per match as visitors. Liverpool also topping that 2-goal average as a host. That said, the value here is with the over as we only need something along the lines of a 2-1 final to be a victor buy many sings are pointing to a wild 3-2 type affair. This Arsenal club has never been more confident and they will be on the attack here. However, we all know that Liverpool is a different animal when they host and they will be answering Arsenal goal for goal in what should be a highly entertaining affair. Before the scoreless match with Chelsea, Liverpool allowed 4 goals in their most recent match. However, they also scored 7 goals in their most recent match as a host! Arsenal is a scoring machine right now and their last 7 matches across all competitions have averaged 4 goals apiece and there is certainly nothing average about that! 10* OVER 2.5 in Liverpool | |||||||
04-09-23 | Crystal Palace v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 130 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Rotation #200181: English Premier League Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Leeds United vs Crystal Palace @ 9 AM ET - With Hodgson replacing Viera as manager at Crystal Palace they were relentless on the offensive last week. Look for continued attacking here as they face a Leeds United backline that tends to be leaky. However, Palace has been struggling on the road and Leeds has a knack for scoring well again recently. Even though Palace will be without Zaha, I expect them to continue what they started last week under Hodgson - a very aggressive effort in the offensive zone. The last 4 Leeds matches have totaled an average of 4.5 goals and there is certainly nothing average about that. Crystal Palace won the first meeting this season 2-1 and also is off a 2-1 win last week that, based on shots on goal, could have seen even a lot more scoring. Palace did concede 4 goals in most recent road match and I am expecting a 2-2 type battle given all these numbers and the new attacking style for Palace because they are now have Hodgson patrolling the sideline. 10* OVER 2.5 +120 | |||||||
04-09-23 | Arges v. Botosani OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
Rotation #206849: Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -125 in FC Botosani vs FC Arges @ 8:30 AM ET - Someone knows something here. The total here is a 2 with heavy juice on the over. In fact some books have moved to a 2 and 1/4 on this total. But this does not make sense when you consider that FC Arges has not scored a goal in 5 straight matches! However, do note that FC Arges has conceded 1.6 goals per match last 7 matches. Also, FC Botosani has conceded 1.4 goals in last 8 matches but has also scored 1.6 goals per match in last 8 home matches. FC Botosani has scored at least 1 goal each of their last 8 matches as a host. FC Botosani is favored with good reason but you can also see why I am expecting FC Arges to surprise and get on the board here. That said, looking for a 2-1 final and if it would happen to end in a 1-1 draw we at least get a push here but I am looking for 3 or more goals. 10* OVER 2 -125 in FC Botosani | |||||||
04-08-23 | CS U Craiova v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
Rotation #206841: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 goals -145 in Farul vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1:30 ET - Solid value with this total available at 2 goals. We lay some extra juice to have the over at that number but it is an excellent value. 27 of 32 matches for Farul this season have totaled at least 2 goals. They are a fantastic club at home. Farul has scored an average of 2.5 goals in their last 13 matches at home in Constanta! As for Universitatea Craiova, 17 of last 25 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. The big key here too is how these clubs play when they are matched up! Each of their last 4 meetings have totaled at least 3 goals and these matches have averaged 4.5 goals apiece. With this match being played at Stadionul Central Academia Gheorghe Hagi in Ovidiu (suburb of Constanta) by the Black Sea, the beautiful scenery will be especially beautiful if you like scoring! This one should see plenty of goals as both clubs have been playing well of late but are off draws and they want more here! OVER 2 goals -145 in Farul | |||||||
04-08-23 | Manchester City -1.5 v. Southampton | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Rotation #200185: EPL Saturday 10* Manchester City Goal Line -1.5 -125 @ Southampton @ 12:30 ET - This should be a complete blowout. Manchester City did defeat Southampton early this season in the reverse fixture 4-0. However, the club with revenge here is actually City! Why? Because they got knocked out of the English Carabao Cup 2-0 by Southampton in January! This will be payback and goal machine Erling Braut Haaland is expected back for this one for City. Note that Manchester City enters this match having won 7 straight matches across all competitions. Not only that, the aggregate score of those 7 matches is 27 to 2. I know Southampton has been competitive of late and has not had many multi-goal losses recently but this one sets up differently. This Manchester City club will be relentless on the attack and has too many weapons for this Southampton team that is in last place in the table this season. In fact, note that City has not allowed a single goal to a last placed club in any of last 14 meetings with a club at the bottom of the table. Also, they have won 10 straight in those fixtures against bottom-laden clubs. Road team rolls here. 10* MANCHESTER CITY -1.5 -125 | |||||||
04-08-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 104 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Rotation #206837: Romania Liga 1 Saturday OVER 2 goals -135 in Universitatea Cluj vs U Craiova 1948 @ 10:30 AM ET - Solid value with this total available at 2 goals. We lay some juice to have the over at that number but it is an excellent value. Universitatea Cluj has seen 10 of last 12 matches total at least 2 goals. In fact, those 10 matches averaged 3.1 goals per match. U Craiova 1948 is off a 1-0 loss but this followed a stretch in which 6 of 9 matches totaled at least 3 goals. Those 6 matches averaged 3.5 goals apiece and I am looking for a 2-1 type of match here. The two matches between these clubs in the regular season averaged 3.5 goals apiece. OVER 2 goals -135 in Universitatea Cluj | |||||||
04-08-23 | Newcastle United v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 103 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Rotation #200161: EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brentford vs Newcastle United @ 10 AM ET - Newcastle is hot again but Brentford has only one loss on home pitch this season. This should be a great match as a result. Note that Brentford's average home match this season equates to a 2-1 final as they have scored 28 and allowed 14 in their 14 matches as a host this season. As for Newcastle, they are averaging scoring 1.64 goals per match this season. 2 of the last 3 matches between these clubs have totaled 6 goals and we only need half that to be a winner here! We certainly should get to the 3-goal mark as Newcastle has scored at least 2 goals in 4 straight matches and is on a 4-match winning streak including a 5-1 win Wednesday! Also, Newcastle has allowed at least 1 goal in 10 of last 11 matches across all competitions. Brentford is off a shutout loss at Manchester United but this followed a stretch in which they scored 14 goals in 8 matches. Now they are at home and will bounce back after being held scoreless but they also struggle to stop a Newcastle United club that is certainly flowing well again now on the attack! 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford | |||||||
04-07-23 | Burnley v. Middlesbrough OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 106 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
2022-23 English League Championship, Regular Season, Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +105 in Middlesbrough vs Burnley @ 3 ET - I know this is a key top of the table battle but this match also features the two highest scoring clubs in the league. I expect plenty of scoring here as Burnley needs to get back on track after a scoreless draw in most recent match. Keep in mind they had scored 3 goals in each of two prior matches in league action. However, they also got throttled and allowed 6 goals to Manchester City in recent English FA Cup action. 8 of last 10 Middlesbrough matches have totaled at least 3 goals! In fact, those 10 matches have averaged 3.8 goals apiece. I would not be surprised to see 4 goals here and hit that average but certainly 3 or more are likely given a determined effort from the host on their home pitch but also a strong effort from a Burnley outfit focused on their scoring output here! In the reverse fixture at Burnley just prior to Christmas, the match was scoreless at half but ended a 3-1 victory for the visitors. The momentum of that 2nd half goal-scoring will permeate this entire match in what should be an exciting affair here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +105 in Middlesbrough | |||||||
04-05-23 | Brentford v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -145 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Brentford @ 3 ET - Manchester United has not been scoring goals of late in the league matches and is well aware of that fact and is ready to do something about it here. Brentford is off a 3-3 draw with Brighton and has averaged 1.8 goals scored in last 8 matches. Manchester United, across all competitions, has been scoring plenty of goals but has actually not scored. They have scored an average of 2.5 goals in last 6 matches outside of league action. I am sure that Man U is going to respond here on their home pitch but I also expect Brentford to continue their solid scoring ways. 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United | |||||||
04-05-23 | Newcastle United +115 v. West Ham United | Top | 5-1 | Win | 115 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play Newcastle United Money Line +115 @ West Ham United @ 3 ET - I know that West Ham has a home record that is roughly equivalent to the road record of Newcastle. However, the fact is we are getting line value here because Newcastle is on the road and I am confident they will get the win here based on current form. Once again, as they were earlier this season, Newcastle is displaying top form and looks like one of the best clubs in the league. Even though West Ham is off a win versus Southampton, they did not look great in that match and their recent action in league action includes shutout losses by a 4-0 count to Brighton and a 2-0 count to Tottenham. I am not convinced the Hammers can step up against quality competition when that competition especially when that club is in top form. I like what I am seeing from Newcastle again and they are so strong defensively and will do enough on the attack here as well to secure a win and get the all-important 3 points in the table. 10* NEWCASTLE +115 | |||||||
04-04-23 | Liverpool v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Liverpool @ 3 ET - A lot of turmoil in Chelsea with the departure of Graham Potter. Look for that to lead to more of an unstructured match than you might otherwise expect here. A little bit more of a wide open affair and this match-up involves rival Liverpool. Look for this match-up of heavyweights to result in plenty of goals. Chelsea has had a disappointing campaign and could be exposed by Liverpool here but I also look for them to respond on their home pitch too and the result should be plenty of scoring. Chelsea has allowed 1.7 goals per match last 3 matches. But also, prior to a shutout loss in most recent match, Chelsea had scored an average of 2 goals per match last 4 matches across all competitions. Liverpool's last match with Chelsea was a scoreless draw but will be looking to respond here off a 4-1 loss to Manchester City and that means we should see solid scoring here from a determined Reds club. Liverpool, like Chelsea, has been out of form of late and comes in off 3 straight losses across all competitions. This followed Liverpool averaging 2.5 goals scored in 6 matches across all competitions. There have been some scoreless battles between these clubs in recent meetings across all competitions. But the most recent meeting which Chelsea hosted in Premier League action was a 2-2 draw. Look for something similar to that here given the current state of these two clubs. 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea | |||||||
04-04-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -125 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove @ 2:45 ET - Look for plenty of goals here as 4 of last 5 Bournemouth matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Also, 4 of last 5 Brighton & Hove matches have totaled at least 4 goals. Incredibly, those 4 matches have averaged 5 goals apiece. We only need 3 goals to be a winner here. I am confident we will get that as both teams hungry for the full 3 points in the table here. I do not expect either club to settle for a draw. I expect both clubs to score at least 1 goal considering their recent form. This means we should see at least a 2-1 final here. Brighton is part of a 4-club logjam in the 6th through 9th position in the table that sees the clubs separated by just 2 points! Bournemouth has 27 points in the table just like 3 other clubs and this has them just 1 point above the relegation line right now. 10* OVER 2.5 in Bournemouth | |||||||
04-03-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Everton +0.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
English Premier League Monday Everton Goal Line +0.5 -130 vs Tottenham @ 3 ET - Everton has been a different team since Sean Dyche took over from Frank Lampard. Also, I know they are in the relegation zone but they have been a respectable home club all season long. Tottenham has struggled away from home. Both teams have some issues off the field right now but how about Antonio Conte stepping away from Tottenham? The Hotspur are in a dogfight near the top of the table and I feel that this club which has struggled some on the road will possibly have a one-match speedbump with Conte's sudden departure and Cristian Stellini again stepping in on an interim basis. Note that, across all competitions, Tottenham has just one win last 5 matches. Everton is on a 3-match unbeaten run and only has 3 losses last 8 matches. They have been even better since Dyche took over and I love the value of having the plus half a goal on our side here. EVERTON +0.5 -130 | |||||||
04-03-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday OVER 2.5 +125 in Sepsi vs FCSB @ 1:30 ET - Always nice to get an over 2 in soccer but taking advantage of the plus money here with the over 2.5 in this one. Sepsi actually has seen 9 of last 15 matches total at least 3 goals. Those 15 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and there is nothing average about 3 goals in Romania Liga 1 action! So the points is we have some nice line value here because I expect Sepsi to play well on their home pitch here but they have a big challenge here with facing an FCSB club that defeated them 1-0 in each of the two matches this season. I know those low-scoring results may not seem conducive to an over here but this one is all about the current trending and the fact FCSB is off a 1-1 draw after that 1-0 victory over Sepsi but these two matches preceded by a high-scoring run. FCSB 5 of 7 matches prior to those two totaled 3 or more goals. Those 5 matches actually averaged 4 goals apiece and it shows the potential for fireworks in FCSB matches. In the regular season Sepsi averaged 1.6 goals per match and FCSB averaged scoring 1.7 goals per match. I have this match pegged for a 2-1 final. OVER 2.5 +125 in Sepsi | |||||||
04-03-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. Mioveni OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday OVER 2 in CS Mioveni vs Chindia Targoviste @ 10:30 AM ET - These clubs just met early last month and CS Mioveni got the 2-0 win. This is part of a stretch in which 8 of 9 matches for CS Mioveni have totaled at least 2 goals. In fact, those 8 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. 3 goals is what I am looking for here as the hosts have allowed 26 goals in last 16 matches. As for Chindia Targoviste, they are off a 1-0 loss at FC Botosani but this followed a stretch in which 15 of last 17 matches totaled at least 2 goals and those 15 matches averaged 2.7 goals apiece. We have a great shot of this match getting to 3 goals and I love the value here with the posted total on this one available at 2 goals. OVER 2 in CS Mioveni | |||||||
04-02-23 | CFR Cluj v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2 -120 in Universitatea Craiova vs CFR Cluj @ 2 ET - Both clubs off draws as Universitatea Craiova off a 1-1 final and CFR Cluj off a 2-2 final in their most recent matches. Odds are strong we will again see each one of these clubs both score and concede on Sunday. Universitatea Craiova was off a 2-1 win prior to that draw and they have scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight matches. CFR Cluj was tied with Farul for highest-scoring club in the league as they average 1.8 goals per match. The recent action for CFR Cluj continues to be very high scoring and I expect more of the same here. Each of the last 6 matches involving CFR Cluj have totaled at least 3 goals. In fact, those 6 matches have averaged 4.3 goals apiece and there is certainly nothing average about that. Love the fact that getting to just 2 goals gets us at least a push here but absolutely expecting 3 or more goals and a solid win. Keep in mind, CFR Cluj had only 3 draws in 30 league matches in the regular season. That is only a 10% draw rate and I see strong odds that each team scores at least once here and all of these factors considered you can see why I am then expecting at least a 2-1 final as a draw is unlikely. OVER 2 -120 in Universitatea Craiova | |||||||
04-02-23 | Manchester United v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
EPL Sunday OVER 2.5 -110 in Newcastle United vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - Newcastle seeks revenge for a 2-0 loss to Manchester United in February's English Carabao Cup final. I do expect Newcastle United to score well against a Man U side that has allowed 2 goals per match on the road this season in league action! However, though Newcastle is averaging 1.5 goals per match this season in league action, so too is Man U. Also, Man U will take advantage of a Newcastle side that has allowed at least one goal in 8 straight matches across all competitions. I like the fact that Newcastle is back on track with B2B 2-1 victories but also allowed 2 goals in each of their 3 matches before these wins. Man U, since the calendar flipped the page to 2023, has played 22 matches across all competitions. 16 of the 22 matches have totaled at least 3 goals! Also, those 22 matches have averaged 3.2 goals apiece. Fully expecting at least a 2-1 final in this one. OVER 2.5 -110 in Newcastle United | |||||||
04-02-23 | Southampton v. West Ham United -135 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
EPL Sunday West Ham United Money Line -135 vs Southampton @ 9 AM ET - This is a big battle at the bottom of the table as both clubs hungry for the full 3 points and an escape from the relegation zone where they are both entrenched right now. I like the home pitch edge here for West Ham as well as the fact they carry some momentum from their recent successes in UEFA Europa Conference League action. This is in stark contrast to a Southampton club that has struggled away from home. They have scored only 1 goal in their last 4 fixtures away from their home pitch and that goal was on a penalty kick. In their 14 road matches in EPL action this season, Southampton has totaled only 9 goals. The Hammers have nearly double in one less home match as they have 17 goals on their home pitch in 13 matches there in EPL action this season. The hosts get it done here and clamp down on the visitors whose road frustrations continue here. WEST HAM money line -135 |
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