Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-29-23 | Kings +1.5 v. Hawks | 117-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Atlanta enters this home game against Sacramento dumping money for their betting backers at an astounding rate , as is evident by cashing just 2 of their L/15 overall including SU losses in 9 of their L/12 overall. I know Atlanta has won 4 straight meetings in this series but that was than and this is now. Advantage Kings SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS in road games versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more over the last 2 seasons ATLANTA is 2-13 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts this season.ATLANTA is 5-20 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season. ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite this season. ATLANTA is 0-9 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season. NBA Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (ATLANTA) - after 3 or more consecutive losses, in December games are 8-32 L/5 seasons for. a 80% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams (ATLANTA) - after allowing 115 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 points or more are 22-55 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento | |||||||
12-29-23 | Bucks v. Cavs +6.5 | 119-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Cleveland came through in the crunch in a hard-fought battle Wednesday, taking down the Dallas Mavericks on the road 113-110 after needing to come-back from a 20-point deficit. Entering this game with a big scoop of confidence Im betting the Cavs give the visiting Milwaukee Bucks all they can handle. Cleveland has won the L/4 meetings in this series a at home and have an edge taking points at home. CLEVELAND is 28-14 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - poor defensive team - allowing 114+ points/game on the season, after scoring 120 points or more 2 straight games are 31-61 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover | |||||||
12-29-23 | Alabama State v. South Florida OVER 144.5 | 70-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over | |||||||
12-29-23 | Wright State -7 v. Green Bay | 77-88 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. . Wright St to cover | |||||||
12-29-23 | Clemson v. Kentucky +4.5 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
Clemsons HC Dabo Sweeney is used to playing for bigger marbles than this, and the team as whole may not be as motivated to play in a minor bowl . Meanwhile. Kentucky is a gritty team, that has played well overall this season, against top tier competition and considering ,ACC teams are just 1-6 SU L/7 l bowl games vs the Southeastern Conference its not going to be hard decision for me to take the points with the underdog Wildcats who are 24-1 SU in their L/25 non conference games. Play on Kentucky to cover | |||||||
12-28-23 | Long Beach State -3 v. CS-Fullerton | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-28-23 | Arizona v. Oklahoma +3 | 38-24 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
I know Oklahoma will start a freshman QB Jackson Arnold today after their starter went into the transfer portal, but this is still a solid Sooners team that is more than capable of upending No.14th ranked Arizona. He went 18-for-24 for 202 yards this season so its not like hes has not taken a snaps. Scouting reports also say hes is excelling in the new offensive coordinators system. I also know Arizona has won 6 straight and are streaking into this Bowl game, but it must also be noted that Pac-12 bowl sides are an ugly 2-25 ATS versus opposition coming off a victory. Note: The Sooners are 5-0 SU in their L/5 games against Pac-12. The favorite is 2-7 ATS in this bowl venue. Arizona QB Noah Fafita may have more issues staying upright as his starting starting left tackle, will ,miss this tilt, Historical trend chart: ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS in road games after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival since 1992.ARIZONA is 1-12 ATSin road games after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992. (Beat rivals Arizona State 59-23 last time out) | |||||||
12-28-23 | CS Sacramento v. Idaho -2.5 | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-28-23 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Tennessee Tech OVER 153 | 81-75 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over | |||||||
12-28-23 | Pacers v. Bulls +1.5 | 120-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
The Bulls according to my power rankings matchup well here at home vs a Indiana team that pays little attention to D. Note: CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more this season. Right now the Bulls are a ATM machine for their betting backers cashing 11 of their L/13 ATS and are off a underdog victory vs the Atlanta Hawks last time out. That good news considering they are a bankroll expanding CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons . HC Donovan is 18-2 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog as the coach of CHICAGO.CHICAGO is also 7-0 ATS after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread this season. The Pacers won last time out against Houston, but that was only their 3rd win in 9 games, and Im betting against them here tonight, mostly because of their lack of defensive discipline, something the Bulls have in spades. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (118 or more PPG) are 40-8 L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover | |||||||
12-28-23 | Albany v. Long Island UNDER 153 | 86-69 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 41 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
12-28-23 | Coppin State v. Maryland UNDER 129 | 53-75 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
12-28-23 | NC State v. Kansas State -1.5 | 19-28 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Both of these teams have opt outs, but the deeper side is Kansas State and they have the better coach in my opinion, Kleiman who takes winning seriously and losing even more intensely as is evident by going 6-0 ATS /SU after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.( KState lost to Iowa State 42-35 to end the season) Bounce back time on todays agenda for the Wildcats. Note: Kleiman is 10-1-1 ATS off a loss versus a side coming off a victory like NC State. KANSAS ST is 13-5 ATS (as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. KState ranked No. 1 in the nation in most Defensive TD CFB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NC STATE) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread, with a winning record on the season are 16-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate for bettors. NC State is 0-3 SUATS L3 Bowls. Play on Kansas State to cover | |||||||
12-28-23 | SMU v. Boston College +10.5 | 14-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
To start with SMU is 0-4 SU/ATS vs ACC schools and have lost their L/3 Bowl games SU/ATS all as chalk. I know Boston college will have a back up QB at the helm of the offense, but my projections estimate they will still do enough damage to cover this number with their D being the key to covering this number and even possibly pulling of the upset. It must also be noted three of the Eagles 6 wins came as underdogs this season and they must not be discounted in this spot play . I know SMU comes in their streaking, but are jus 2-11 ATS in road games after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins . CFB Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games are 55-24 L/31 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on BC to cover | |||||||
12-27-23 | Chicago State v. California Baptist UNDER 132.5 | 62-74 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (CHICAGO ST) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 31-9 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate with a combined average of 129.8 ppg scored. Play under | |||||||
12-27-23 | Jets v. Blackhawks OVER 6 | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
Winnipeg blitzed Atlantic Division-leading Boston 5-1 and Im betting they light up the board again, which will help propel this combined score over the set Totals offering. Note: Winnipeg has scored 5 or more goals in 4 of their L/5 trips to the ice. Chicago has allowed 4.71 GPG in their L/7 overall while allowing 7 goal outputs by their opponents twice during that span. Im betting the Jets are good for 5 or 6 goals here, which by itself puts us in a position to cash this ticket , even if the Hawks struggle to score.
Road teams where the total is 6 or more (WINNIPEG) - hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread, playing with 3 or more days rest are 25-6 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Road teams where the total is 6 or more (WINNIPEG) - hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, playing with 3 or more days rest are 26-6 OVER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER | |||||||
12-27-23 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma State -2 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 27 h 10 m | Show | |
Texas A&M enters this Bowl game with a recent history of failure in Bowl games going 0-3 SU/ATS L/3 appearances. The Aggies despite of some top tier talent just makes to many mistakes and are an undisciplined group as is evident by ranking No. 130 in the nation in Most Penalties Per Game (9.83). Also the Aggies this season are 1-5 SU against fellow Bowl teams. Considering the Cowboys are 6-1 ATS L/7 series , I like their chances to cover against a inconsistent Aggies side. .The key will be one of the nations top running backs Gordon who eclipsed the 100-yard mark in eight games this season and has 20 TDs of Oklahoma State.
CFB team (OKLAHOMA ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games are 60-20 ATS sicne 1992 for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma State to cover | |||||||
12-27-23 | Cavs +4.5 v. Mavs | 113-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show | |
Cleveland has played very competitive ball and according to my projections matchup well here vs a Dallas Mavs side that is 15-28 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons and just 10-24 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Considering Cleveland is well rested after last playing Saturday in a 109-95 win at Chicago, they look to have an edge here taking points vs a side that played Christmas day in a win vs the Suns on the road - behind Doncics 50 point out put. Regression from the Mavs should be expected. NBA Underdogs (CLEVELAND) - off a win against a division rival, in December games are 45-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Cleveland to cover | |||||||
12-27-23 | Louisville v. USC OVER 58 | 28-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 8 m | Show | |
USC will be shorthanded offensively because of the portal transfer , but will still have four-star QB under center along with a large group of tainted offensive players who I expect to take this opportunity to showcase their talents. Defensively Im also betting the Trojans stop units will once again struggle vs a Louisville side that can score in bunches. (Note: Trojans rank :Trojans defense ranks just 122nd in EPA per play and 118th in explosiveness) Yes on the flip side the Cardinal D has shown some staunch efforts overall but have also been torched,Georgia Tech (34 points, 488 yards ), Virginia (24 points, 434 yards ), Miami (31 points, 486 yards ), and Kentucky (38 points) I project at least 28 points for the Trojans -Note: USC is 7-0 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points this season with a combined average of 83.7 ppg scored. LOUISVILLE is 9-1 OVER when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 70.2 ppg scored. USC is 15-4 OVER in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 73.1 ppg scored.USC is 15-3 OVER after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 75.9 ppg scored. Play over USC is 12-3 OVER vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 73.5 ppg scored. | |||||||
12-27-23 | North Carolina +6.5 v. West Virginia | 10-30 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
These teams West Virginia and North Carolina feature two key missing parts. The Mountaineers will be without starting C Zach Frazier who is out due to surgery. Meanwhile, North Carolina, will be without star QB Drake Maye who opted out for the NFL draft. Both may have problems moving the ball consistently though the air because of this will Im betting instead pound the ball on the ground consistently behind very strong running games. The Mounties have a trio of strong backs, QB Garrett Green ,.J. Donaldson, and Jaheim White while, Tar Heels exhibit RB Omarion Hampton who had 1442 yars of production. From my projected perspective this will be a grinding game that could easily be decided by one score, thus making the underdog value a very viable proposition. W VIRGINIA is 0-8 ATS as a neutral field favorite of 7 points or less since 1992. W VIRGINIA is 1-12 ATS as a neutral field favorite since 1992. West Virginia is also s 0-11 ATS as a bowl favorite. N CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS in road games against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game on the season CFB Neutral field favorites (W VIRGINIA) - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season are 7-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. The Fav has failed to cover 5 of the L/6 Duke's Mayo Bowl confrontations. Play on North Carolina to cover | |||||||
12-27-23 | Virginia Tech v. Tulane +11 | 41-20 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
So Tulanes HC Willie Fritz is gone to Houston along with a few assistants , but is that enough to sway this line in that big of a direction vs a side like Tulane that has won 24 of their L/27 games overall. Im betting no. This is a viable Tulane team, that is in my opinion being vastly under rated and deserve respect here getting points. The Green Wave are 11-2 on the season , while the VTech Hokies are just 6-6 on the season, and just 2-4 away from home. Just have to take the points here as the line seems bloated. VIRGINIA TECH is 2-11 ATS L/13 in road games after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games . Also VTech won their last game of the season vs Virginia, but in the past thats not a good omen for their betting backers as they are 1-10 ATS L/11 coming off a victory as a fav (which they were). Play on Tulane to cover | |||||||
12-26-23 | Hawks v. Bulls -1 | 113-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls have shown alot of consistency and competitive recently winning 8 of their L/12 SU while covering 10 of those games. They did lose to Cleveland late time out but are a resilient bunch that Im betting will bounce back vs a Atlanta side that does not travel particularly well as is evident by their 8-9 away record that has seen them fail to cover 11 of those tilts and 10 of their L/14 overall SU(home/away). With the Hawks expected to be without forward De'Andre Hunter who will undergo a non-surgical procedure and already missing key component Johnson, Trae Young becomes the sole arbiter of the Hawks, and despite his prowess is not a one man team. Advantage Chicago. ATLANTA is 5-16 ATS in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.ATLANTA is 2-12 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. NBA team (CHICAGO) - off a home loss by 10 points or more, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 73-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, average defensive team (108-114 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (118 or more PPG) are 39-8 L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover | |||||||
12-26-23 | Texas State v. Rice +3.5 | 45-21 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
The Texas State offense was explosive this season but the D is where the problems are incurred as is evident by , ranking 118th in the nation while allowing 33.8 points per game and earlier this season allowed 77 points in a loss versus Arkansas State. I know Rice Backup AJ Padgett has not been as explosive as starter JT Daniels , but he is a quality QB that matches up well vs this miserable Texas State secondary and D. Note: AAC bowlers are 4-2 SUATS vs. Sun Belt opponent. The Owls 7-1 ATS L/7 games as a dog of 13 or less points. RICE is 8-2 ATS in games played on turf this season. NFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (RICE) - after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their previous game, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB are 57-27 ATS L/10 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Rice to cover | |||||||
12-26-23 | Bowling Green v. Minnesota OVER 39.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 21 h 16 m | Show | |
The Minnesota Gophers allow 5.8 yards per play and have less than viable offense, and rank130th in Finishing Drives Allowed and red-zone scoring percentage allowed. Meanwhile, as this season has progressed the bowl Green offense has improved and Im betting they do some damage here as they put up 49 , 31, 34 points respectively in L/3 games of the season . Meanwhile, the media has been making a big deal over whether starting quarterback Athan Kaliakmanis will not start for the Gophers as he enters the transfer portal. But truth is the Gophers offense runs around their running game, as they move the ball via the rush more 60% of time behind, star RB Darius Taylor who averages 5.7 yard per carry. Note:Falcons have struggled stopping the rush, ranking outside the top 100 in Rushing Success Rate Allowed. Everything points to this total being eclipsed. CFB teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (BOWLING GREEN/MINNESOTA) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (280 to 330 YPG) are 120-62 OVER L/31 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers OVER 46 | 33-19 | Win | 100 | 34 h 9 m | Show | |
We two very explosive offenses ready to go head tonight in San Francisco as the Ravens visit the 49ers in what Im betting will be a fairly high scoring affair. My projections estimate both sides will put up 21 plus points. Note: SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average 64.3 ppg scored.BALTIMORE is 16-3 OVER when both teams score 20 or more points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 57.4 ppg scored in those tilts. San Francisco popped 45 points on the score board last week in their road victory vs the Cards - which brings in to play this Top tier trend- NFL home teams who scored 45 or more points in an away game the previous week have gone over 9 straight times. SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 OVER as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 48.4 ppg scored. Harbaugh is 18-9 OVER as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points as the coach of BALTIMORE with a combined average of 47.1 ppg scored. NFC home chalk of 7 points or less like the 49ers on Mondays have gone OVER 9 of the L/10 times dating back 9 seasons vs AFC opposition like the Ravens. Play over | |||||||
12-25-23 | Celtics -2.5 v. Lakers | 126-115 | Win | 100 | 28 h 42 m | Show | |
Boston owns the No.1 SRS in the NBA with. a 11.50 mark, while the Lakers are ranked 20th in SRS at -0.13. Even with home court advantage there is a clear cut edge for the top tier Celtics telling me this line is tainted based on Lakers brand name recognition. I know the Lakers grabbed a elite win vs the Thunder last time out on the road, but history does not bode well for the aging Lakers to put out another big time effort in this spot, as HC Ham is 6-19 ATS off a road win as the coach of LA LAKERS. SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average BOSTON is 19-9 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Boston team vs the money line (LA LAKERS) - after allowing 115 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 125 points or more 2 straight game are 39-10 L/27 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +7.2 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on Celtics to cover | |||||||
12-25-23 | Giants v. Eagles -13 | 25-33 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 42 m | Show | |
Philadelphia before their current 3 games losing streak had won 24 of 28 games . Despite of the negatives of their current skein this is still a proud side with enough top tier talent for a conclusive bounce back effort. I know the Giants had won 3 straight before getting lambasted by DDs last week at New Orleans , but this is a side that has been out yarded in 6 straight games and just don't have the wheels to compete here vs a frustrated and redemption minded side. Its not often I lay this much lumber, but that what Im recommending we do this Monday. Super Bowl losing sides from the previous season like the Eagles are 9-1 SU L/10 opportunities when playing off three consecutive defeats, including 3-0 SUATS at home by an average ppg diff of 14 ppg. NFL team (PHILADELPHIA) - off an upset loss as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record in the second half of the season is 43-14 ATS L/10 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Eagles to cover | |||||||
12-25-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets UNDER 230.5 | 114-120 | Loss | -110 | 787 h 47 m | Show | |
12-25-23 | Bucks v. Knicks +3.5 | 122-129 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show | |
12-24-23 | TCU v. Hawaii +5.5 | 65-51 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TCU) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 14-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Hawaii to cover | |||||||
12-24-23 | Cardinals +4 v. Bears | 16-27 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
Kyler Murray is set to make his sixth start since returning from injury.The QB has completed 62.1 percent of his passes for 1,075 yards, four touchdowns and four interception while rushing for 155 yards and three scores and Im betting he will be the difference maker vs a Bears side he matches up well against. ARIZONA is 9-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.Arizona 9-2 ATS in their last eleven non-division tilts and 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series. CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Chicago 1-5 ATS L/6 as short non-division home favorite of 6 or less points. Play on the Arizona Cards to cover | |||||||
12-24-23 | Old Dominion v. Massachusetts UNDER 155 | 65-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
12-24-23 | Temple -3.5 v. Portland | 55-54 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (TEMPLE) - after 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two good offensive teams (74-78 PPG) are 28-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.3. Temple to cover | |||||||
12-24-23 | Seahawks v. Titans +3.5 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 21 m | Show | |
Seattle is not playing well, despite of finding a way to win last time out, coming from behind to beat a tired Philadelphia Eagles side 20-17 count. After 4 straight exhausting games against the 49ers twice and the Cowboys and the Eagles last time out, Im betting the Seahawks dont have alot left in the tank. It must also be noted that the Seahawks are 0-5 SU in away tilts this season since its Bye Week. With Tennessee owning a 6-1 ATS record in this series and the fact that they are 4-0 SUATS this season off a loss the Titans look like viable underdogs. NFL Road teams (SEATTLE) - poor rushing team (70-95 RY/game) against a team with an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/game), after being outrushed by 75 or more yards in 2 straight games are 22-53 ATS L/30 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Tennessee to cover | |||||||
12-24-23 | Browns v. Texans OVER 40 | 36-22 | Win | 100 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
CLEVELAND is 6-0 OVER in road games this season with a combined average of 54.9 ppg scored. This Browns team seems to play alot more wide open on the road, and are transitioning to pass first attack with Joe Flacco under center. Today with talented Texas QB Stroud back in the mix Im betting they will have to open up their offense, as Im betting Stroud and company do some offensive damage. Stefanski is 8-1 OVER in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points as the coach of CLEVELAND. Play over | |||||||
12-24-23 | Commanders v. Jets -150 | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show | |
both these sides to inspire bets or bettors, but home filed advantage Im betting will be the difference maker here today NFL Underdogs vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - with a poor first half defense - 14 or more points per game, after allowing 25 points or more in 5 straight games are 1-26 L/10 seasons for a go against 96% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Jets ML | |||||||
12-23-23 | Coastal Carolina +10 v. San Jose State | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show | |
San Jose State has not lost since late October winning 6 straight games and have looked decent overall . But this line vs Coastal Carolina is a just a bit too big a spread. according to my projections. Note : Coastal Carolina is 5-1 ATS vs an opponent with equal or better record and are 20-9 ATS L/29 as a dog of 12 points or more . San Jose State HC Brennan has cashed only 2 of 8 ATS as a double-digit favorite. Coastal Carolina to cover | |||||||
12-23-23 | Lakers v. Thunder -3 | 129-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
After winning the in season tournament the Lakers old legs look like they have cramped up as is evident by losing 5 of their L/6 including four straight. Meanwhile, the Thunder are playing at the opposite end of the performance spectrum, and just off ending the Clippers extended win streak while having won 5 of their L/6 and three straight and will be primed to take down the visitors tonight as they are one of the best conditioned sides in the league. OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-5 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game this season.OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-6 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-9 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days are 32-4 L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +11.4 which easily qualifies on this ATS offering. Play on the Thunder to cover | |||||||
12-23-23 | Bills v. Chargers +13 | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show | |
After two top tier victories in a row vs KC and Dallas, Im betting on the Bills to be in a letdown spot here in Southern California tonight vs a Chargers side that is a perfect 5-0 SU at home in this series and a 5-0 ATS in its last five games as a double-digit underdog . It must be noted that the Bills are 0-6 ATS L/5 as DD favs. I know the Bills need wins for a play off admission but a victory does not mean things will go all that easily , especially against a side that looks to be running the ball this week alot because their starting star QB Hebert in out. Note: The Bills rush D, is kind of wonky as is evident by allowing 4.6 ypc. Advantage Chargers NFL Underdogs of 10.5 or more points (LA CHARGERS) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 30-4 ATS L/10 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Chargers to cover | |||||||
12-23-23 | Utah v. Northwestern +6 | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show | |
I dont think is the kind of Bowl invite the Utah Utes expected at the out set of what might be considered a disappointing season, based on high expectations. I realy cant see the Utes coming into this game with a lot of enthusiasm, and Im betting they are weak favs here vs a Northwestern side that won their L/3 games of the season while covering their L/6 overall. . The Utes are 0-4 SU in their last four bowl tilts, and have lost 3 of their L/4 SU/ATS vs big 10 opposition. Whittingham is 24-38 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of UTAH. Big Ten teams coming off a victory like (Northwestern) are 14-0 ATS in bowl games versus Pac-12 opponents. Meanwhile, Pac 12 Bowl teams like the Utes are 2-25 ATS vs teams coming off a win. Northwestern is 7-3 ATS L/10 bowl games. Play on Northwestern to cover | |||||||
12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers +3 | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 30 h 54 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh QB Rudolph, has gone 5-4-1 SU and 5-3-2 ATS as a starter in his NFL career but has , a 2-0 SU record vs the Bengals. . HC Tomlin has never a had losing NFL season and he is 22-9 when he brings his team in with a .500 record and are 11-4 SU as a host including 4-0 SUATS as a pup. Its not easy going with a Steelers team that has scored an average of just 13 points in their L/5 games, but I feel confident we have a top tier spot position to bet into as the Steelers really need a victory here to catch the possibility of a play off spot. I like the Steelers chances of having the favor of the God of Fortune on their sides here in Steel Town this Saturday. PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (after allowing 30 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons. Steelers are 5-0 SU/ATS L/5 at home off a 3 game losing run! Steelers are 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 Saturday home games. NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PITTSBURGH) - after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread against opponent after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread are 37-13 ATS L/10 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Pittsburgh Steelers | |||||||
12-23-23 | James Madison v. Air Force +2 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 21 h 27 m | Show | |
JMD HC Curt Cignetti, has left the team, some say abandoned ( lol) to be the new coach at Indiana .This leaves a strong side without their mentor, which could easily see the Dukes fumble here vs a military school thats not easy to play against . Air Force is 9-0 L9 as non-conf dogs and 8-2 ATS L/10 bowl games . CFB team (AIR FORCE) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games are 58-20 ATS L/31 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Air Force to cover | |||||||
12-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Arizona UNDER 164.5 | 96-95 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
12-23-23 | Stars -125 v. Predators | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
Dallas enters this game with momentum after defeating the NHL-leading Vancouver Canucks 4-3 in a comeback OT win on Thursday night and deserve respect here as short favs. Dallas has won 4 straight meetings in this series and get the nod again. NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (DALLAS) - after 6 or more consecutive overs, good team (+0.4 or more goals/game diff.) vs an average team (-0.4 to +0.4 goal/game diff.) are 31-6 L/26 seasons for a 84% conversion rare for bettors. Play on Dallas to win | |||||||
12-23-23 | Seton Hall +4 v. Xavier | 54-74 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Seton Hall to cover | |||||||
12-23-23 | Toledo v. West Virginia -4.5 | 81-91 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. West Virginia to cover | |||||||
12-23-23 | Arkansas State v. Northern Illinois | 19-21 | Loss | -110 | 388 h 56 m | Show | |
12-23-23 | Duke v. Troy -7.5 | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 357 h 35 m | Show | |
12-22-23 | Hawks +1.5 v. Heat | 113-122 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
Atlanta rallied late for a 134-127 road win over the Houston Rockets on Wednesday and have momentum and confidence entering this game against inconsistent Miami side. that is 15-33 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.MIAMI is also 18-32 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.Friday's game will be the second of the season between the teams, as the Heat won in Atlanta 117-109 on Nov. 11 and now Im betting on a top tier revenge effort from a Hawks side that grabbed a victory here the last time they visited. Play on Atlanta to cover | |||||||
12-22-23 | Bruins v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
Winnipeg has allowed more than 3 goals only twice in their L/11 games overall and have not allowed more than 3 goals in any of those tilts and Im betting nothing changes tonight against the visiting Boston Bruins. Meanwhile, the Bruins have only allowed more than 3 goals one time in their L/9 trips to the ice, and Im betting their current brand of top defensive play will continue tonight against a opponent Im sure they will be paying special attention to in transition. Both games between these sides last season stayed under the total. WINNIPEG is 7-0 UNDER off a home win by 2 goals or more this season with a combined average of 4.8 ppg scored.( Jets beat the Wings 5-2 last time out) NHL Road teams against the total (BOSTON) - off 2 or more consecutive home losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) are 28-6 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play under | |||||||
12-22-23 | Central Florida -4.5 v. Georgia Tech | 17-30 | Loss | -112 | 25 h 27 m | Show | |
Georgia Techs defense is a big issue here facing a side that can light up the board in hurry. .The Gtech rush defense is the worst of any team in this Bowl season season, ranking No. 128,th allowing 233 ypg and 5.7 ypc. With that said Im expecting the UCF top tier ground game that has accumulated 233.2 yards per game ranking No. 4 in the nation while scoring 28 rushing touchdowns to rip apart the GTech rush D, which will set up a strong Knights passing game that averages 266 ypg in what Im betting will be a decisive victory.Malzahn is 9-1 ATS in road games versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.75 or more rushing yards/carry in all games he has coached since 1992. Play on Central Florida to cover | |||||||
12-22-23 | George Mason v. Tulane UNDER 157 | 69-66 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
12-22-23 | Siena +12.5 v. Brown | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Siena to cover | |||||||
12-22-23 | Drexel v. Bryant OVER 133.5 | 86-104 | Win | 100 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over | |||||||
12-21-23 | Boise State v. Washington State | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Washington State to cover | |||||||
12-21-23 | Georgia Tech v. Massachusetts UNDER 151.5 | 73-70 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
12-21-23 | Wichita State v. Kansas State UNDER 147 | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-21-23 | Saints v. Rams -4 | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 22 h 20 m | Show | |
Rams are currently sitting on the No. 7 playoff seeding spot, and edging out the Saints, so this is an all important game thats every bit as important as a playoff game. I know the Saints looked good last time out, but they have long history of inconsistent efforts after a win as is evident by Allens 4-15 ATS record after 1 or more consecutive wins in all games he has coached since 1992 and his .1-7-1 ATS mark coming off a double-digit victory. NEW ORLEANS is also 1-9 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons. Meanwhile the Rams have played their best ball late in the season recently as they are 10-1 ATS in December games over the last 3 seasons. Considering the home side in this series is a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS Im like the Rams to come out here with a truly top tier prime time effort and for us to grab the cash by backing him. Play on the Rams to cover | |||||||
12-21-23 | Syracuse v. South Florida +3 | 0-45 | Win | 100 | 52 h 58 m | Show | |
Boca Raton Bowl - FAU Stadium - Boca Raton, FL Dino Barbers losing tenure comes to end this week, as Syracuse goes in a new direction after this Bowl tilt. The Orange are a side, that is 0-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 or more yards/game over the last 2 seasons like South Florida. Also the Orange are 3-9 ATS all-time versus the AAC and have failed to cover 8 of the L/10 meetings vs the Bulls and with this game bing a defacto home game for South Florida Im betting they have the edge when taking points. Play on South Florida to cover | |||||||
12-21-23 | Magic v. Bucks UNDER 236.5 | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Orlando has lost 5 of their L/6 overall and scored 111 points or fewer in the five losses -- less than its season average of 113 per game. Im betting their offensive woes continue tonight against the Bucs , and because their struggling will press hard defensively in transition, this Im betting will equate to a lower scoring affair than the lines-makers expect according to my projections. ORLANDO is 10-1 UNDER in road games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (ORLANDO/ MILWAUKEE) - well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 54-14 UNDER L/27 seasons for 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Under | |||||||
12-21-23 | Buffalo v. Richmond OVER 144 | 66-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over | |||||||
12-21-23 | Navy v. Youngstown State OVER 139.5 | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play over | |||||||
12-21-23 | Hampton v. Eastern Michigan -4.5 | 69-72 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. | |||||||
12-20-23 | Alabama v. Arizona UNDER 177 | 74-87 | Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
12-20-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Kings UNDER 6 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Only twice has Seattle scored more than 3 goals in a game and here tonight against a top tier D that is owned by the LA Kings more offensive flow problems will be on the agenda. The Kings allow an average of 2.4 gog and only score an average of 3.2 gpg at home, and against division opposition have allowed an average of just 2 gpg. Everything points to a a very low scoring divisional affair.SEATTLE is 18-7 UNDER ( in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the last 2 seasons. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (LOS ANGELES) - good defensive team - opponents average 26.5 or less shots on goal are 273-183 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play under | |||||||
12-20-23 | North Carolina v. Oklahoma UNDER 156 | 81-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
12-20-23 | Clippers v. Mavs +3.5 | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The Clippers enter this game in red hot form winning 8 straight games, but Dallas is the type of team that can make like difficult for even the hottest of teams. Los Angeles split two games with Dallas earlier this season, but what stood out to me in those games, is not the Clippers star Leonard, but the Mavs top man Doncic who averaged 37 points in the two games against the Clippers. He had 44 points on 17-of-21 shooting in the Dallas victory and 30 points in the loss only because he shot 1 of 8 form downtown. Im betting bhe will be key tonight in a Mavs cover. LA CLIPPERS are 1-10 ATS after playing a road game this season.(Beat Indiana last time out by a 151-127 count and now Im betting on major regression) NBA Underdogs vs the money line (DALLAS) - after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 38-24 L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. NBA team (DALLAS) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after 2 straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Dallas to cover | |||||||
12-20-23 | Islanders v. Capitals UNDER 6 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
The Capitals' average of 2.39 goals per game this season which is only slightly better than only the San Jose Sharks and Chicago Blackhawks. However, they continue to get decent result because they also have strong goaltending and D. Tonight against a Islanders team that has been playing more wide open hockey of late I expect the Capitals to be even more focused in transition which Im betting results in a another low scoring event for the Caps. Four of the L/5 meetings in this series have not eclipsed the 6 goal plateau.WASHINGTON is 18-9 UNDER in all games this season with a combined average of 5.4 gog scored. Play under | |||||||
12-20-23 | Red Wings v. Jets UNDER 6.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Winnipeg's success this season is based on a top tier brand of defensive hockey that has allowed an average of just 2.6 gpg. In their L/12 trips to the golden pond they have not allowed more than 3 goals and Im betting nothing changes tonight in what my projections estimate should be a tight transitional game vs the Detroit Red Wings that has only score more than 3 goals once in their L/6 games. WINNIPEG is 9-3 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record this season.WINNIPEG is 5-0 UNDER after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. Play under | |||||||
12-20-23 | Red Wings v. Jets -145 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
12-20-23 | Jazz +7 v. Cavs | 116-124 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Utah seems to reserve it best hoops for top tier teams like Cleveland. Note: UTAH is 37-17 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. After a top tier effort in a 125-108 underdog win vs the Brooklyn last time out Im betting that the momentum of that victory has them playing with confidence here tonight in Cleveland. UTAH is 14-1 ATS off an upset win by 15 points or more as a home underdog. Utah is 3-1 L/4 and the play of Sexton who has averaged 25.6 points and 4.0 assists in the past five games has been key the Jazz' recent resurgence. Im betting he will alos be to us getting the cover in this spot play situation. Utah is 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Cleveland. Utah is also 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Cleveland. Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after scoring 125 points or more are 61-26 ATS L/27 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Utah to cover | |||||||
12-20-23 | Connecticut -8.5 v. Seton Hall | 60-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. UConn is down right explosive and currently in dominate form. The opening line despite of the push back is closer to true value than the beat down number. Advantage Uconn. CONNECTICUT is 13-1 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +15.6. CONNECTICUT is 21-7 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.8 CBB road team (CONNECTICUT) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in five consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 31-7 ATS L/25 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Connecticut to cover | |||||||
12-20-23 | Baylor v. Duke UNDER 154 | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
12-20-23 | Baylor +3.5 v. Duke | 70-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Baylor to cover | |||||||
12-20-23 | Grambling State +5.5 v. Southeastern Louisiana | 47-48 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. SE LOUISIANA is 1-8 ATS versus struggling teams - outscored by their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. GRAMBLING is 8-0 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997. CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SE LOUISIANA) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a struggling defensive team (78 PPG or worse ), after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games are just 25-60 ATS L/26 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Grambling State to cover | |||||||
12-20-23 | South Dakota State v. Wyoming UNDER 147 | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
12-20-23 | Longwood v. North Carolina Central OVER 136.5 | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Home teams against the total (NC CENTRAL) - in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 35-9 OVER L/26 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average score of 154.8 ppg scored. Play over | |||||||
12-20-23 | Longwood v. North Carolina Central +6 | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play on North Central to cover | |||||||
12-19-23 | Suns v. Blazers UNDER 233 | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
The Suns run the 27th ranked pace in the NBA , and rank 13th in defensive rating efficiency. Meanwhile, the Blazers rank 24th in pace and 29th in offensive scoring. With Portland on tired legs as they play their 3 rd game in 4 nights, Im expecting their pace and aggression to be at less than optimal . Meanwhile the Suns after an extended home stand will come out here a little bit more rested and will be ready to push down with a more aggressive defensive stance, which is their modus operandi - and that should translate to slower tilt as is projected by both teams pace numbers and tendencies. PORTLAND is 31-17 UNDER as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 224.7 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PHOENIX) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 43-17 L/27 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking in at 221.9 ppg. Play under | |||||||
12-19-23 | UTSA v. Marshall +13 | 35-17 | Loss | -111 | 33 h 3 m | Show | |
UTSA had a fine season but historically have not done well in Bowl action as is evident by their 0-4 record. Meanwhile, Marshall despite of a mediocre season, are a football program that has alot of Bowl experience cashing ,13 of their L/18 SUATS in FBS bowl tilts , and are 7-0 SUATS vs. sub .750 opposition. Also UTSA HC Traylor has failed to 9 of 14 as a non- conference favorite. After finishing their reg season with a 29-16 loss to Tulane, Im betting that UTSA may not be fully focused here. Note: CUSA Bowl sides are just 2-8 SUATS off a double-digit defeat. CFB Neutral field favorites (UTSA) - after having won 3 out of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season are 6-28 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Marshall to cover | |||||||
12-19-23 | Southern Utah v. Montana State OVER 144.5 | 88-89 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. CBB Road teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (SOUTHERN UTAH) - after a close loss by 3 points or less against opponent after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more are 38-12 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play over | |||||||
12-19-23 | Spurs +16.5 v. Bucks | 119-132 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
There is enough calculated mathematical value here for us to a take a flyer on the points. Make no mistake the Spurs are losing team, but this line value is something that cannot be ignored. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 19-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Spurs to cover | |||||||
12-19-23 | Mississippi Valley State +23 v. Tulsa | 50-79 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. TULSA is 1-10 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. TULSA is 1-14 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. TULSA is 4-18 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. CBB Favorites of 10 or more points (TULSA) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games are 12-42 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors. Miss State Valley to cover | |||||||
12-19-23 | Grizzlies +7.5 v. Pelicans | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Memphis gets their star point guard Ja Morant back after a 25-game suspension and Im betting his team feels his energy here tonight in what Im betting will be a cover in the Bayou. Yes I know the Grizz have lost 5 straight including a road loss vs the Thunder last time out. But Jenkins seems to rally his troops in road games off a road loss by 10 points or more as the coach of MEMPHIS as is evident by covering 18 of this L/24 bounce back efforts. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - off a win against a division rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 15-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Memphis to cover | |||||||
12-19-23 | Western Carolina +4 v. Vanderbilt | 63-62 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. The Catamounts enter the week ranked 12th in the Mid-Major Top 25 from CollegeInsider dot com , and must not be underestimated in this ability compete here vs this lower tier SEC team. VANDERBILT is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. W.Carolina to cover | |||||||
12-19-23 | Florida v. Michigan UNDER 158.5 | 106-101 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play under | |||||||
12-19-23 | Georgetown +11.5 v. Butler | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Georgetown and Butler split the pair of games last year, each stealing a win on the road. At Hinkle last season, Georgetown won 68-62 and Im expecting the Hoyas to do enough damage here to get us the cover. GEORGETOWN is 16-6 ATS L/22 in road games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 77% or more of their shots. Cooley is 19-8 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 84+ points/game in all games he has coached. BUTLER is 2-11 ATS in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 3 seasons. Georgetown to cover | |||||||
12-19-23 | Samford v. Valparaiso +9.5 | 79-61 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Valparaiso to cover |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ray Monohan | $529 |
Jim Feist | $502 |
Matt Fargo | $451 |
Rocky Atkinson | $438 |
ProSportsPicks | $435 |
Marc Lawrence | $368 |
Tim Michael | $206 |
Dan Kaiser | $205 |
William Burns | $175 |
Kyle Hunter | $70 |