Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06-03-22 | Lightning v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER (DESTRUCTION) Tampa lost Game 1 by a score of 6-2. I'm not sure what I'm more surprised about: that Tampa let in 6 goals, or that the Rangers scored 6 goals. Let's not assume that every game is going to follow suit. Note that the Lightning have seen the total go "under" the number in 5 of their last 6 in trying to revenge a 4 goals or greater road loss against an opponent. Tampa looked like the extra time off between series led to "rust." Expect a much more concerted effort from the Bolts on the defensive end. These are 2 of the best goaltenders on the planet and all signs point to them being the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; this number is high, the play is the "under" in Game 2! AAA Sports | |||||||
06-01-22 | Lightning v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lightning/Rangers (BLOOD-BATH) After last night's high-scoring Western Conference Finals Game 1, I'm expecting a much tighter and ultimatley lower-scoring affair here in the ECF. Tampa finished with a 2.78 GAA this year, while New York had a 2.49 GAA. New York goaltender Igor Shesterkin was 3-0 with a 1.30 GAA in 3 games vs. the Bolts this year as well. Look for these competent goaltenders to garner most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-31-22 | Oilers v. Avalanche UNDER 7 | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER (WCF TOY) Both teams finished in the Top 5 in scoring this year. Neither was that great defensively though or in net. The winner of this series though is going to be the one that plays the better defense. Colorado finished with the slightly better defensive stats, but these starting goaltenders' stats are very equal here during the playoffs. Edmontons' Mike Smith has started all 12 games and he's posted a sharp 2.70 GAA, while the Avs Darcy Kuemper has a 2.54 GAA. Expect these two competent netminders to garner most of the attention in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-24-22 | Royals v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ART OF WAR) These teams have sure been playing to several high-scoring affairs of late, but all signs finally point to a "duel" here on Tuesday night. The Royals go with Jonathan Heasley, who is 0-2 with a 4.32 ERA. He's been better than his win/loss record would indicate. And then Zac Gallen has been a bright spot all year for the D-Backs, as he's 3-0 with a tiny 1.14 ERA. As I said off the top, this one has all the making of a classic "pitchers duel;" the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-24-22 | Warriors v. Mavs OVER 215.5 | Top | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) I'm expecting a bit of a shootout here. Dallas is down 0-3, but it won't be going down without a fight. Note that the Mavericks have seen the total go OVER the number in 9 of their last 12 in trying to revenge 2 straight SU losses against an opponent. I was surprised that the Mavs got past the Suns. I'm also surprised though that the Warriors have a 3-0 lead. I think Golden State suffers a small mental lapse here and the Mavericks keep the foot on the proverbial gas pedal from start to finish; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-23-22 | Guardians v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
10* OVER (BOB) These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring "unders" of late, but I expect those trends to end in the opener of this three-game series. The Guardians are off a 4-2 loss to the Tigers, their 4th loss in their last 6 games. Zach Plesac is 1-3 with a 4.42 ERA for the Guardians this year, but he's 0-2 with a ballooned 6.86 ERA over his last 4 starts. Houston sees Luis Garcia toe the slab. He's 3-2 with a 3.35 ERA. Garcia took a step back in his last outing though, allowing 5 runs off 5 hits over 4 innings in a loss to Boston on Wednesday. Two teams in dire need of a victory here. Two starters who are on the decline. Look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later. AAA Sports | |||||||
05-22-22 | Flames v. Oilers UNDER 7 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) So far the Battle of Alberta has been a competitive, high-scoring series. Calgary won Game 1 by a score of 9-6, before the Oilers bounced back with a 5-3 win in Game 2. The value has now shifted the other way as far as the total is concerned though in my opinion, as note that the Flames have in fact seen the total go "under" in 7 of their last 9 in trying to revenge a 2 goals or greater home loss against an opponent. The Flames had one of the best defenese in the league during the regular season, and I expect a return to form here on the road in this all-important Game 3 matchup. Yes, the first 2 games have flown well "over" the number, but Game 3 has all the makings of a classic "goaltenders battle." The play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-22-22 | Mariners v. Red Sox UNDER 9.5 | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) The first 3 games of this 4 game series have all flown well "over" the number, but on Sunday in the finale we can expect a classic "duel" finally. These teams are moving in opposite directions, but each is desperate for a victory here today. I really like Logan Gilbert here for Seattle and I think he'll settle the M's down here. He's 4-2 with a 2.40 ERA and 51 K's. Boston counters with Nathan Eovaldi, who is 1-2 with a 4.32 ERA. The totals on these games keep creeping higher and higher, and today's is now just too large. We'll go the other way here on the total in the fourth game, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-21-22 | Reds v. Blue Jays OVER 8 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
10* OVER (IL TOY) Toronto has now seen the total go "under" the number in 6 straight after yesterday's tight 2-1 home win over the Reds. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a much higher-scoring game here finally on Saturday (it's interesting to note that the Jays though have seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 5 or more straight "unders" in a row. The Reds have seen the total go "over" in 6 of their last 8 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which they were held to 1 or less runs in. Alek Manoah is 4-1 with a 1.71 ERA for the Jays. Regression is imminent in my opinion. Hunter Greene though is just 1-6 with a 6.21 ERA for the Reds. Look for these starters to get chased early and for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-18-22 | Mavs v. Warriors OVER 214.5 | Top | 87-112 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) If this opening game was in Dallas, I'd lean to the "under" likely. The Mavericks are off a big upset series victory over the Suns, and I think they carry that momentum over here. Golden State will try to take advantage of a tired Mavericks team that just had to play seven games by picking up the pace from the opening tip off, and continuing that pressure until the final horn. I think the defensive intensity will pick up in this series as it goes, but Game 1 definitely sets up as a higher-scoring affair. Finally, note that Golden State has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 home games as a favorite in the -4.5 to -7.5 points range. This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-14-22 | Phillies v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 20 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) After 2 straight really high-scoring games to open this series, I'm expecting much more of a "duel" here on Saturday. Philadelphia has inexplicably taken the first 2 games, winning 9-7 and 12-10. The Dodgers have actually seen the total go "under" in 8 of their last 10 in trying to avenge 2 straight losses against an opponent. Ranger Suarez is 3-1 with a 3.68 ERA for the Phillies. He'll be opposed by Julio Urias, who is 2-2 with a 2.10 ERA. The numbers/trends point to a lower-scoring affair, and all signs point to a classic "duel" as well. This number is indeed a tad high now, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-12-22 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 41 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Scoring may be down in MLB and the NBA, but scoring is UP in the NHL Playoffs. That said, I expect Tampa to really clamp down defensively here as they try to avoid elimination. The Leafs are on the cusp of finally winning a playoff series after their 4-3 win in Game 5. Tampa though has seen the total go "under" the number in 8 of its last 11 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Game 1 went "under" the number, but the last 4 have all flown "over." But with the home side buckling down defensively like I expect here, the value has now finally swung the other way as far as the total is concerned; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-12-22 | Heat v. 76ers OVER 207 | Top | 99-90 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 10 m | Show |
10* OVER (RED DRAGON) So far the "home floor advantage" has proven critical in this series. The Heat have won and covered in all three home games while the 76ers will be hoping they can pull off the same thing tonight as well with a victory here in Game 6. These teams have been following a familiar pattern with their totals as well, flip-flopping "overs" with "under" since Game 1. Off a lower-scoring battle in Game 5, we're expecting this pattern to continue here in a higher-scoring affair. The 76ers have to be the aggressor. Philadelphia can't take any lead for granted and it'll just have to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Also note that Philadelphia has seen the total go OVER the number in 8 of its last 11 in trying to revenge a 20 points or greater SU/ATS loss against an opponent; this number is low, the play is the OVER! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-10-22 | Brewers v. Reds UNDER 8 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER (DESTRUCTION) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games leading into this one, but we can expect that direction to change tonight finally. Milwaukee has seen the total go "over" in 6 of its last 7 (including in yesterday's 10-5 defeat here.) The Brewers have lost 3 straight, and they've seen the total go "under" in 6 of their last 8 after three or more losses in a row. Cincinnati enters having seen the total go "over" in 8 straight. Let's not overreact to these starters early numbers. The home side goes with Hunter Greene, who is 1-4 with an 8.71 ERA. He gave up 5 home runs to the Brewers last Thursday. Greene is the Reds' top rookie prospect and I expect him to settle down here in the rematch. The Brewers go with Freddy Peralta, who is 1-1 with a 5.09 ERA so far this season. Peralta has to be feeling confident today though, as he's 3-2 with a 3.70 ERA in 15 career games vs. Cincinnati. All signs point to a lower-scoring "under" between these teams finally on Tuesday! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-06-22 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to some higher-scoring games of late, but I think that'll change today with these two "stud" starters facing off in Arizona. The D-Backs had yesterday off, while the Rockies enter off a high-scoring 9-7 win at home over Washington. But as I mentioned off the start, I expect these two starters to steal most of the headlines in tomorrow's summaries of this contest. The Rockies go with Chad Kuhl, who is 3-0 with a 1.90 ERA. Merrill Kelly is 2-1 with a 1.27 ERA this season for the Diamondbacks. Interestingly, each has struggled against his respective opponent today in the past, but to that I say: that was then, and this is now! These two starters enter on top form and I expect that to help in driving this O/U number "under" the total once it's all said and done; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
05-06-22 | Heat v. 76ers OVER 210.5 | Top | 79-99 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 59 m | Show |
10* OVER (RED DRAGON) Joel Embiid is probably out again for this game for Philadelphia, but if the supporting cast doesn't stand up in Game 3 and make some sort of noise, then this series is going to be over quick, fast and in a hurry. Tyrese Maxey did look phenomenal in the Game 2 loss for Philly finishing with 34 points. James Harden will be leaned on here to produce though as he's averaged only 18 PPG through the first 2 games. Note though that Philly has also seen the total go "over" the number in 8 of its last 11 in trying to revenge a 15 points or greater road loss against an opponent. And for the Heat, they can smell the blood in the water. Even if Embiid does return, the big man will be far from 100% healthy. Miami's done well defensively over the first 2 games, but I'm expecting a more wide-open affair with the shift in venue. This number is just a little too low; the play is hte over! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-05-22 | Stars v. Flames OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) Calgary opened up this series with a tight 1-0 victory, but we're expecting a much higher-scoring contest in the second game. Note that the Stars have seen the total go OVER the number in 7 of their last 9 in trying to revenge a shutout road loss against an opponet. Including their final 2 regular season games, the Flames have now seen the total go "under" the number in 3 straight, which is significant to note here, as Calgary has seen the total go OVER in 10 of its last 13 after playing to 3 or more straight UNDERS in a row. The stats/trends and overall situation all point to a much faster-paced and wide-open affair in Game 2; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-02-22 | Mavs v. Suns UNDER 215.5 | Top | 114-121 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 59 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) I'm expecting a hard-fought battle in the opener of this series, but a very defensive one overall. Both teams advanced by taking out their opponents in 6 games in the first round. Dallas was without Luka Doncic for 3 games vs. Utah, but the Mavs still won in 6. Dallas only averaged 108 PPG during the regular season, but was Top 3 on the defensive end. If the Mavericks are going to win this series, they'll need another huge performance from Doncic of course, but they'll also have to do what they do best, and that's slow things down and clamp down defensively with plenty of half and full court pressure throughout. Phoenix averaged 114.8 PPG, but in three games vs. the Mavs this year, the Suns played well defensively, going 3-0 by winning 105-98, 112-104 and 109-101. This is going to be a slower-paced defensive affair; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
05-02-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER (RED DRAGON) I think the opener of this series will be a very defensive one. Boston averages 3.09 GPG, which ranks just 15th. It's been better on the defensive end though, allowing only 2.66 GPG, which ranks 4th. Carolina averages 3.38 GPG, which ranks 9th, while conceding 2.44, which ranks 1st. Defense wins championships. That's true in all North American sports. These teams have the goaltending and defense to make a serious run at the cup. These teams are rested and ready for battle. Expect that to translate into an ultra-competitive and overall defensive affair in Game 1 of this series; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-27-22 | Nuggets v. Warriors UNDER 226 | Top | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) These teams were really good defensively in the regular season, so it's a bit of a surprise that all four games so far have flown "over" the posted number. For a number of different reasons though, I think this Game 5 total is now a bit too high. Denver managed the 126-121 win as a 4.5-point underdog in Game 4 to keep its hopes alive. The Nuggets have a recent history of coming back in series when down 3-1 and after watching the Raptors win on the road last night to force a Game 6, Nikola Jokic and company will be confident here that they can do the same. To do that though, they'll have to play tight defense and once again run their offense through their reigning MVP. Golden State has actually seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last nine in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent as a favorite. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the UNDER. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-27-22 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
10* OVER Astros/Rangers. While the first two games of this series have fallen "under" the number, all signs point to the "grudge match" being a much higher-scoring contest. Texas won 6-2 in the first game, while Houston bounced back in yesterday's 5-1 victory. Texas has now seen the total go "under" in four straight, which is significant to note in our case as the Rangers have seen the total go "over" in 9 of their last 12 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. Christian Javier is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the Astros (has made 3 relief appearances.) The Rangers see Glen Otto toe the slabe and he's 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA. These early sparkling numbers are unrealistic and unsustainable. Look for the regression to be swift for each. Considering all of the above information, this number is a little low in my opinion, the play is the OVER. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-27-22 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays UNDER 9 | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
8* TOTAL on the UNDER Red Sox/Jays. These teams have played to a couple higher-scoring games to open this series, but I expect a lower-scoring "duel" here on Wednesday. The Red Sox go with Michael Wacha, and he's 1-0 with a 1.88 ERA so far this season. He'll be opposed by the Jays' Ross Stripling, who is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA. Boston has also seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge B2B losses against an opponent. This number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-26-22 | Padres v. Reds OVER 8 | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
8* OVER (SPECIAL) Two teams in need of a victory collide on Tuesday night and I'm expecting some runs to come across the plate. The Padres are 10-7 overall and out to snap a 2-game road losing streak. The Reds are 3-13. San Diego is off a 10-2 loss to the Angels, while the Reds are off a confidence-building 4-1 win over St. Louis. Joe Musgrove has been sharp for SD in the early going by going 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA, but I think regression is finally in store here. Reds' starter Reiver Sanmartin has struggled to open the season though, going 0-2 with a 7.11 ERA. The Reds are just 1-9 the L10 in this series, so they'll be motivated to snap that trend. The Reds allow 5.40 RPG at home and the Padres have averaged 5.33 RPG in their last 3 vs. Cincinnati. Expect these high-scoring trends to continue on Tuesday night; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-24-22 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 7 | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
8* OVER (SPECIAL) I think these starters are great, but the overall situation will lead to this total eclipsing the posted number by the latter frames. The Dodgers see Clayton Kershaw toe the slab and he's 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA. Sean Manea gets the call for the home side and he's 2-1 with a 1.42 ERA. These teams have been struggling to score, and these starters have opened up the season well. Those facts though have the public convinced that this will once again be a "pitchers duel." This perception though has driven this O/U line a little lower than I think it normally would be, and the value has now definitely swung the other way as far as the total is concerned. A great situtaional value play on the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-24-22 | Warriors v. Nuggets UNDER 225 | Top | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) This has been a high-scoring series. If the Nuggets have any hopes of salvaging at least a single game in this series, they're going to have to throw a proverbial monkey-wrench into this Golden State offensive rythym. The Nuggets have actually seen the total go "under" in 9 of their last 12 after 3 or more SU/ATS losses in a row as well. Golden State is now favored to win the Championship, but I think a small mental lapse is in the cards. Much like the 76ers last night in Toronto. Nikola Jokic isn't going down without a fight either. And clearly the Nuggets will be running their offense through their All Star tonight. For all the reasons listed above, I say this number is now too high; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-23-22 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
8* OVER (SPECIAL) LA is coming off a 6-1 win last night, but I expect a classic "slug-fest" on Saturday night. The Dodgers have won ten of their first 13 games. Freddie Freeman is hitting .346. Mookie Betts hit a two run shot last night. Tyler Andreson has been decent for LA, allowing 2 runs off 4 hits with 8 K's so far this season. San Diego won't be lacking for motivation obviously. It's actually seen the total go 7-2 to the over in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 1 run or less. Yu Darvish counters for the home side, he's put up on horrible start, and one great one. Off a gem against the Braves, will this pattern continue? I say yes. This number is now a bit TOO low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-22-22 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) The Cardinals are 7-4 and the Reds are 2-11. The Reds only managed 5 hits in a 6-0 loss at the Padres on Wednesday, but Cinncy has seen the total go "over" the number in 8 of its last 10 after a shutout road loss. St. Louis is off a 5-0 road loss at Miami, after taking the first 2 games. The Cards though have seen the total go "over" the number in 6 of their last 8 off a shutout road loss. The Reds hand the ball to rookie Hunter Greene, who is 1-1 with a 4.35 ERA (allowed 3 homers in 10 1/3's innings so far), while the Cards go with Steve Matz, who is 1-1 with a 7.26 ERA after getting shelled for 7 runs over his first 8 2/3's innings of work. Considering all of the above information, the play is the OVER. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-21-22 | Cardinals v. Marlins OVER 7.5 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) The first 2 games of this series have been low-scoring, but I'm expecting some fireworks here tonight finally. The Cardinals have taken both games, winning 5-1 and 2-0 (that's important for us to note here though, as Miami has seen the total go "over" in 7 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a shutout home loss against an opponent.) Each starting pitcher has gotten out to a decent start to the 2022 season, but regression is in store for both in my estimation. St. Louis goes with Jordan Hicks, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA, working a total of 4 innings between 2 games. Pablo Lopez is 1-0 with a 0.87 ERA. He most recently blanked the Phillies over 5.1 innings in his most recent outing. I'll not read too much into either of these pitchers' early numbers. The value has now finally swung the other way; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-20-22 | Bulls v. Bucks OVER 224.5 | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOTAL ASSASSIN) What do you base your picks on? Do you break down every single individual matchup, look at every stat possible? I do that for some games, but other times I absolutely feel that a simpler approach is the best way to handicap a contest. I thought Game 1 would be a competitive game, but not such a lower-scoring defensive one in the Bucks' 93-86 victory. Several players struggled (uncharacteristically), including Chicago's DeMar DeRozan, who went just 6-of-25 from the floor in Game 1. Expect a much more efficient game here as Chicago pushes the pace from start to finish; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-20-22 | Yankees v. Tigers OVER 7.5 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
10* OVER (AL TOTAL BOB) New York has been trading wins and losses over its last 8 games. It'll have to plate some runs here today if it want to avoid that patten, as the Yanks took the first game of this series by a score of 4-2 yesterday. The Yanks have seen the total go "under" in 5 straight, which is important for us to note here, as they've seen the total go "over" 6 of their last 8 after playing to 5 or more straight "unders" in a row. Detroit's seen the total go "under" in 4 straight. It's lost 2 straight. Luis Severino has been great for New York, he enters with a 1-0, 2.25 ERA. Regression seems imminent at some point though. And Eduardo Rodriguez has yet to find his footing for his new team, he enters with an 0-1, 5.87 ERA and 1.83 WHIP for the Tigers. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the OVER. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-19-22 | Yankees v. Tigers OVER 8 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOP) The Yanks Gerrit Cole is vastly overrated. He's 0-0 with a 5.59 ERA. He most recently allowed 3 runs over 5 innings in a no-decision to Toronto. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit 2 home runs off him. He's had plenty of success against the Tigers throughout his career, but I say that that was then, and this is now. The Yanks won't be lacking for motivation today after dropping 2 of 3 at Baltimore. They lost 5-0 on Sunday (note that New York though has seen the total go "over" the number in 9 of its last 13 after a shutout loss in its previous outing) and then had yesterday off. "We've got to find a way to get on the board and support our pitching," manager Aaron Boone assessed. The Tigers haven't played since Saturday, but Tyler Alexander is going to have his hands full as well against this determined visiting side. He most recently allowed 3 runs over 5 innings vs. Boston. Detroit slugger Miguel Cabrera needs just 5 more hits to reach the 3,000 mark, and while he may not achieve that tonight, he has a big opportunity to do that during this series. When you add it all up, the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-12-22 | Cavs v. Nets OVER 228 | Top | 108-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) The Cavaliers are looking for a big outright upset today, but to do that, I believe they'll have to push the pace and match the Nets at their "own game." The Cavs closed the regular season with a 133-115 win over the Bucks, and I believe they can match that scoring output here. The Nets clearly won't be rolling over and they enter the playoffs on top form after 4 straight wins, including a 134-126 win over Indiana in its regular-season finale. The Cavs may or may not have Jarret Allen back in the line-up, but that just means that they'll have to get out and push the pace in transition a lot more. The Cavs defense allowed an average of 113.3 PPG over their final 26 games, so its offense has been forced to pick up the pace. The total has gone "over" in 5 of these team's last 7 together and all signs point to that steak continuing here; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-10-22 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) The first game of this series flew "over" the number, the second game went "under." I expect tonight's finale to once again be a higher-scoring one. Tanner Houck toes the slab for the visitors; He was 0-1 with a 3.77 ERA over 31 innings pitched on the road last year. The home side counters with Jordan Montgomery, who was 6-7 with a 3.83 ERA last year. These two division rivals won't take it easy at the plate in this nationally televised contest. Neither team's bullpen can be trusted and I don't expect either starter to throw very deep. This all adds up to a higher-scoring "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-10-22 | Stars v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) Dallas will be looking to snap a string of poor play. It's lost 3 of its last 4 and 2 in a row. That includes a 3-1 home setback to the lowly Devils. The Stars though have seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of their last 9 after a home loss in which they were held to 1 or less goals in. Chicago plays with revenge here after a 1-0 loss to the Stars in mid-February, and note that it's seen the total go "over" the number in 8 of its last 12 in trying to revenge a shutout road loss against an opponent. The Hawks are off 6 straight losses, including a 2-0 setback to the lowly Kraken here in their latest. I say Chicago finally rebounds here and finds the back of the net. All signs point to this one flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-09-22 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 221.5 | Top | 100-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER (BOB) The Warriors are still looking to clinch third spot in the West, so they need to take this game seriously, despite who is on the floor. They're coming off a 128-112 win over the Lakers. The Spurs lost 127-121 to the Wolves on Thursday. Golden State will look to control this one from the outset though, as it won't want to give the Spurs much room on the perimeter as it looks to clamp down on the tempo. I'm expecting a more methodical pace here, but one that falls well "under" the number! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-09-22 | A's v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Philadelphia pulled away for the high-scoring 9-5 win yesterday, but I expect much more of a classic pitchers duel on Saturday afternoon. Cole Irvin finished 10-15 with a 4.24 ERA last year for the A's, while Kyle Gibson was 10-9 with a 3.71 ERA and who was traded to the Phillies last summer. He's 5-3 with a 4.47 ERA lifetime against the A's. Gibson's familiarity of this club is another strong situational factor we can use here as well. Expect these two capable starters to throw deep, and look for this total to fall under! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-02-22 | Villanova v. Kansas OVER 132.5 | Top | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 131 h 10 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOM) Villanova is going to have to hit some three-balls today if it wants to beat the Jayhawks. Miami struggled from range in the second half of its Elite 8 matchup vs. Kansas, and the Jayhawks would then pull away for the 76-50 victory (Hurricanes finished just 3 of 21 from range.) The Wildcats can shoot threes and they're one of the best free throw shooting team's in the country as well. Villanova did lose the services of Justin Moore to a torn Achilles tendon in the win over Houston. Villanova can't afford to get into a half-court battle with this efficient Kansas team. I'm expecting this one to be a bit more "wide open" and faster-paced than what this O/U line is suggesting; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-01-22 | Blues v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) St. Louis is off a 4-3 win at Vancouver, but I think it'll have a more difficult time finding the back of the net in Edmonton this evening. I simply feel that the Blues will get caught "looking ahead" here and save some of their energy for tomorrow night's difficult game in Calgary. I expect St. Louis to play more of a "trap" style of game, where it sits back and waits for the Oilers to make the first mistake. Edmonton has played to 5 straight overs, but note that the Oilers have seen the total go under in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 5 or more "overs" in a row. When these teams played on December 29th, the Blues managed the 4-2 home win and that total went "under" the number. I expect an even tighter/lower-scoring affair this time around; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-01-22 | Kings v. Rockets UNDER 232.5 | 122-117 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (SPECIAL) Sacramento has seen the total go "over" the number in 3 straight. It's been playing better for bettors of late as well, going 4-1 ATS in its last five. Off a 121-118 road win at Houston though, I believe the rematch here will be a little tighter defensively. Note as well that the Kings have seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. Houston's 2 game win streak is in the rear-view mirror after 2 straight home losses. That includes the 121-118 loss to the Kings last time out. Note though that the Rockets have seen the total go "under" the number in 9 of their last 12 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. This number is a little high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-01-22 | Suns v. Grizzlies OVER 228.5 | Top | 114-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) Memphis has won 6 straight. It's seen the total go "under" the number in 4 straight. The Grizz are the No. 1 offense in the league, averaging 115.4 PPG, but I say they have their hands full here with a Suns team playing with revenge after a tight 114-113 home loss to Memphis as 7.5 point favs on December 27th. Phoenix enters on top form after 9 straight victories. That includes a 107-103 win over GS last time out. The Suns have the No. 2 offense in the league, averaging 115.2 PPG. Phoenix has also seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent; expect this faster-paced affair to fly well "over" the number! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-31-22 | Stars v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) These teams just played against each other, and Dallas held on for hte 3-2 victory. Note that the Ducks have seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of their last 9 in trying to revenge road loss against an opponent. The Ducks won't be lacking for motivation here, as they've now lost 10 straight. Dallas will look to take advantage and we're expecting it to open things up and push the pace here. With the Ducks desperate to put pucks on the net and to break this slide, I expect this total to ultimately fly well "over" the number before the final horn blares; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-31-22 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 226 | Top | 109-122 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) The Lakers are now on the outside of the playoffs looking in. It's going to be an uphill battle the rest of the way for the Lakers this season. Is LeBron James playing tonight for LA? Who is playing for the Lakers? That changes on an almost day to day basis. Even if "The King" does suit up here, I'm expecting a very defensive affair. LA needs this win, but the last thing it can do here is try to turn this into a run and gun shootout with the Jazz. LA is off back-to-back losses, falling 116-108 to New Orleans, and then 128-110 to the Mavericks. Utah will be in the playoffs, but it can't be happy with its recent play either, as it's lost 5 in a row (note though that Utah has seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of its last 10 after 5 or more SU/ATS losses in a row.) This is an important game for each side, and I look for both to double down on the defensive end; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-31-22 | Xavier v. Texas A&M OVER 137.5 | Top | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10* OVER (BOB) Two really good defensive teams battle for the NIT Championship tonight, but I think that public perception has helped driving this total a few points lower than it should be. The Musketeers enter off an 84-77 win over St. Bonaventure to advance, while Texas A&M beat Washington State by a score of 72-56. Xavier is going to have to push the pace from start to finish here to try and take the Aggies out of their comfort zone. The Musketeers average 74.1 PPG. A&M averages 72.7 PPG. I believe each team will exceed its offensive seasonal average today. Yes, this is a big game, but I believe that'll translate into an efficent, wide-open contest, rather than a suffocating defensive one; this number is a little low, the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-30-22 | Kings v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) After playing to 5 straight "overs," I'm expecting a more defensive battle from the Kings on the road here. They're off a humbling 6-1 home loss to the lowly Kraken, which actually works in our favor here as LA has seen the total go "under" in 7 of its last 9 after a home loss of 5 or more goals. LA also plays with revenge here after a 5-2 loss to the Oilers in mid-Feb. Edmonton has seen the total go "over" in 4 sraight. That includes a 6-1 win here over Arizona in its most recent. However note, the Oilers have seen the total go "under" in 14 of their last 20 off a 5 goals or greater home victory in their last outing. When you add it all up, I say this number is indeed just a tad high; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-30-22 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 215 | Top | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EAST-CONF TOY) Miami has seen the total go "over" 5 of its last 6, but I expect it to run a lot of half court sets tonight on the road against the red hot Celtics. The Heat finally broke a 4 game slide with a 123-100 win over the Kings at home in their last game, but they play with revenge here after falling 122-92 to the C's on January 31st (Miami has interestingly seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in.) Boston has played to 6 straight "overs." After its 115-112 OT loss at Toronto, I believe that the Celtics' are going to be fatigued here. When you add it all up, I say this O/U line is indeed just a tad high; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-30-22 | Wolves v. Raptors UNDER 230 | 102-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (DESTRUCTION) The Wolves have been great this year and I'm excited to see them in the playoffs. That said, they've been slipping a bit of late, going just 1-3 in their last 4. That includes a 134-112 loss at Boston in their most recent. Note though that Minny has seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of its last 10 off a SU/ATS road loss in which it conceded 130 or more points in. Toronto has been trading high-scoring games, with lower-scoring ones over its last 4. Off a high-scoring 115-112 OT win over a red hot Boston, I expect this strong pattern to continue here. Toronto won 103-91 over the Wolves in mid February, and while we'll likely see a few points scored here, I do expect another defensive battle overall; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-29-22 | Washington State v. Texas A&M OVER 132 | Top | 56-72 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
10* OVER (NIT SEMI-FINAL TOY) Washington State is 22-14 after beating BYU by a score of 77-58 to advance to the semi-finals of the NIT. Michael Flowers led the way in the win with 27 points, 5 assists and 3 steals. Texas A&M advanced to this point by beating Wake Forest by a score of 67-52. Wade Taylor was a standout in that victory with 12 points. Both teams enter on top form. If they had just gotten hot like this a couple of weeks earlier in the regular season, each could have been playing in The Big Dance instead of the NIT. Either way, I expect a faster pace here and I look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-29-22 | Pistons v. Nets OVER 229 | Top | 123-130 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) Detroit enters off B2B losses. The Pistons have been playing better over the second half, but they won't be in the playoffs. They're coming off 3 straight "unders" in a row though, and note that they've seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "unders" in a row. They play with revenge here after a 116-104 loss at home to Brooklyn in mid-December as well. The Nets have been trading good efforst with bad of late, and off a 119-110 loss at home to Charlotte, I say this pattern continues here. With each team pushing the pace like I expect, we can also look for this total to fly well "over" the number as it comes down the stretch! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-29-22 | Rangers v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) The Rangers have won 2 straight, and they've seen the total go "over" in 3 straight. Note that New York has seen the total go "under" in 7 of its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. The Rangers are off a 5-4 OT win over Buffalo, but I think they'll have a more difficult time moving the puck here against this revenge-minded Penguins team that fell to the Rangers 5-1 just last week. Note that Pittsburgh has seen the total go "under" in 6 of its last 8 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 1 or less goals in. Off their 11-2 blowout win over the Wings here 2 nights ago, we can expect this Pens' offense to come back down to Earth here vs. one of the league's top defensive clubs. Considering all of the above information, I believe this number is indeed too high; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-28-22 | Hurricanes v. Capitals UNDER 6 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOW) Both teams can score. Both teams can defend. Both teams will be in the playoffs. Honestly, it would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either the "over" or the "under" to hit in this contest? So why do I love the "under" in this contest then? Carolina is off a 7-2 win at St. Louis, but note that it's seen the total go "under" the number in 8 of its last 11 off a road win of 5 or more goals. Washington is off B2B wins and has seen the total go "over" in 3 straight. Note though that the Caps have seen the total go "under" in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. Washington won 4-3 over Carolina on the road a couple of weeks ago, but all signs point to a much tighter defensive affair this time around; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-27-22 | Jazz v. Mavs OVER 220 | Top | 100-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. I like betting on motivated teams when playing "overs." Utah is going to be motivated for sure after 3 straight losses. That includes a listless 107-101 setback at Charlotte in its most recent. It plays with revenge here after a 111-103 loss to Dallas as well at the start of the month (and note that the Jazz have seen the total go "over" in 7 of their last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent.) Dallas is 2-1 in its last 3, but it's seen the total go "under" in 3 straight (note that the Mavs have seen the total go "over" in 6 of their last 9 after playing to 3 or more straight "unders" in a row.) Off a poor 116-95 loss at Minnesota, we can expect the home side to push the pace from start to finish; considering all of the above info, I say the correct call is on the "over" as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-27-22 | Coyotes v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 105 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOTAL U OF THE U) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. The Jets have seen the total go "over" in 2 straight, but with a tough upcoming Eastern road swing on the horizon, I believe the home side will not keep the foot on the gas here vs. the lowly Coyotes. Arizona is off a 4-2 loss at Calgary. I have a hard time seeing it mustering up much of an offensive attack here, as the 'Yotes only average 2.58 GPG anyways, which ranks 30th. This number is much too high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-27-22 | 76ers v. Suns UNDER 230 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (DESTRUCTION) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. Philadlephia is off back-to-back road wins over the Lakers and Clippers, but I think it'll have its hands full here in this difficult road venue. The 76ers still only average 108.9 points per game. They play with revenge here after a 114-109 loss to the Suns at home in early February (note that they've seen the total go "under" the number in 6 of their last 7 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent.) The Suns average 115.3 PPG this season. They're coming off 7 straight victories. They've seen the total go OVER in 3 straight though, and note that Phoenix has seen the total go UNDER in 8 of its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight OVERS in a row. This total is high, the play is the "under." AAA Sports | |||||||
03-26-22 | Bulls v. Cavs UNDER 220.5 | Top | 98-94 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. Previous to their 126-109 loss to New Orleans, the Bulls had seen the total go "under" in 3 straight. When they played the Cavs on March 12th, the total went "under" the number in their 101-91 win, and I expect a similar final combined score here as well. The Cavs have seen the total go "under" in 7 of their last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Since that game, the Cavs have seen the total go "over" in 6 straight. Look for that streak to end here though in what I anticipate to be a very defensive battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-26-22 | Islanders v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. The Isles are off a 5-2 home win over Detroit. They beat Boston 4-1 on Feb. 7th. They have a tough game at home tomorrow night against the Lightning, so I say they push the pace here on the road. Boston has seen the total go "over" in 7 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 1 or less goals in. The Bruins average 3.00 GPG and after 3 straight wins, I believe they keep the foot on the proverbial gas pedal tonight. This number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-25-22 | Iowa State v. Miami-FL OVER 133 | Top | 56-70 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 27 m | Show |
10* OVER (SWEET 16 TOY) I think that public perception has driven this O/U line a few points lower than it normally would be. And that's because Iowa State has seen the total go "under" the number in its last five Tournament Games (conference and NCAA), while Miami Florida has also seen the total go "under" in both of its NCAA Tournament games. Yes, these team's successes are based around their tough-nosed defensive play, but here's a case where each will be pushing the pace on the offensive end. Look for each side to exceed it's seasonal offensive average; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-21-22 | Golden Knights v. Wild UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOW) Vegas has won both games so far in this season sereis. The Wild play with revenge. The Knights are off a 5-1 win over the Kings, but I think they'll have a much more difficult time on the offensive end this evening vs. this revenge-minded home side. Despite the win last time out, the Knights have taken a step back this year, as they're just 4-6-0 in their last 10. Logan Thompson was big in net for the Knights last time out though with 38 saves. The Wild have won 4 of their last 6. They're most recently off a 3-1 win over the Blackhawks. Both teams can score, but the situation points to a very intense defensive battle in my opinion; this number is a little high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-20-22 | Celtics v. Nuggets UNDER 222.5 | 124-104 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 39 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (DESTRUCTION) These have been two of the hottest teams in the league since the All Star break and this should absolutely be an exciting game to watch on Sunday night. So, high-scoring, and super intense defensive battle?! I say it's going to be the latter. Boston is off B2B wins to open its road trip, but off a big 126-97 victory at Sacramento, I expect the Celtics to have a more difficult time moving the ball in Denver tonight. Overall the C's average 109.7 PPG, which is right in the middle of the pack. The Nuggets average 111.4 PPG. Denver enters off a 119-116 OT loss at Cleveland, but it plays with revenge here after a 108-102 loss at Boston last month. That total went "under" the number and I expect a similar lower-scoring, intense defensive battle here as well; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-20-22 | Thunder v. Magic UNDER 229 | Top | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) With nothing to play for here, I expect these unmotivated teams to go through the motions and for this contest to eventually fall well "under" the posted number. OKC is just 11-24 on the road this year and it only averages 103.1 PPG. Somehow the Thunder have seen the total go "over" the number in 4 straight (fell 120-108 at Miami last time out.) Note though that the Thunder have seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. They fell 108-99 at Orlando as 4.5 point underdogs at the start of the year and I expect a similar, lower-scoring game here as well. Orlando averages just 104.5 PPG. It's coming off B2B terrible losses, giving up 284 points in the process! I say Orlando doubles down on the defensive end tonight after those two straight disasters. When you add it all up, this number is definitely high; the play is the UNDER! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-19-22 | St. Peter's v. Murray State UNDER 130 | 70-60 | Push | 0 | 38 h 53 m | Show | |
9* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Saint Peter's is off a life-changing 85-79 win over Kentucky, and I believe a predictable mental letdown is in order here. The victory was also the Peacock's first Tournament win in school history. Murray State needed overtime to get by San Francisco by a score of 92-87. The Racers have seen the total go "over" the number in 3 straight, but I say the Racers come in predictably "gassed" here after their marathon win in the first round. With each team playing with "heavy legs," I say this number is now just a little too high; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-18-22 | Davidson v. Michigan State UNDER 140.5 | Top | 73-74 | Loss | -110 | 110 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER (1st RND TOY) With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. In what I predict will be a very tight battle, the correct call as far as the total is concered is definitely the "under" in my opinion. Davidson is the No. 10 seed and Michigan State is No. 7. These teams have plenty of experience on both sides of the ball and each is coached extremely well. Davidson averages 75.8 PPG, while MSU averages 72.1. Suffice it to say, I don't expect either to hit their seasonal offensive average here. Expect this evenly matched contest to turn into a very low-scoring defensive battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-18-22 | Blazers v. Nets UNDER 223.5 | Top | 123-128 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) Brooklyn needs some wins down the stretch. The Nets will be out to atone for a 113-111 setback at home to Dallas, giving up a big half-time lead in the loss (interesting to note though that Brooklyn has seen the total go "under" in 7 of its last 9 after a SU home loss in which it was an underdog.) When these teams played in January, the total went "under" the number in the Blazers 114-108 win. Brooklyn plays with revenge and I expect it to dial up the pressure on the defensive end. The Blazers are off an uninspired 128-98 loss at the Knicks and I think they'll have difficult surpassing the century mark today as well. Considering all of the above information, the play here is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-17-22 | Sharks v. Kings OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) San Jose and LA won't be lacking for motivation tonight. The Sharks are off a 3-2 OT loss to Florida. They've now loshttps://www.bigal.com/handicapper/leagues/7/events/1359925?bet_type=over_undert 8 of their last 10. The last time they faced LA though they hammered it by a score of 5-0 just last week. LA does indeed play with revenge here after that setback (and note that the Kings have seen the total eclipse the posted number in 7 of their last 11 in trying to revenge a shutout loss against an opponent.) And with a tough game at home against Colorado tomorrow night, the Sharks can't leave anything for granted here in LA either. So with each side pushing the pace from the opening face off until the final horn, expect this total to fly well "over" the posted number! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-17-22 | Pistons v. Magic UNDER 219 | Top | 134-120 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) These two teams are looking towards the future as the 2021/22 season comes down the stretch. It's been a disaster for each side, but both team's knew it would be a difficult and humbling rebuilding season. However all of that said, each side has been playing significantly better and more competitively over the last month or so. Detroit bettors have been laughing all the way to the bank of late, as they've covered in 9 of their last 10 (incl. a 105-98 setback at Miami most recently.) Orlando bettors have covered in 7 of their last 10. The Magic though can't be happy after their terrible 150-108 home loss to Brooklyn in their most recent outing (that works to our advantage though, as Orlando has seen the total go "under" in 8 of its last 11 in a SU/ATS home loss of 35 or more points.) Expect these hungry young cellar dwellers to battle to a tight, but lower-scoring under on Thursday night! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-16-22 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 233.5 | Top | 120-122 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) The Spurs had seen the total go "under" in 5 straight before their 149-139 loss at home to Minnesota in their last outing. I expect a return to the "norm" here. San Antonio averages 112.9 PPG, but fatigue is going to be an issue here in my opinion. And thanfully for the home side, it won't have to prepare for a "marathon" today facing the Thunder, who average just 102.8 PPG. The Thunder are off a 134-116 road loss at Charlotte, but they've seen the total go "under" in 7 of their last 10 off a SU/ATS road loss in which they allowed 130 or more points in. These team's played to a higher-scoring affair in Spurs' 114-106 win in mid February, but the savvy call (in my opinion) is on the "under" in the rematch Wednesday! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-15-22 | Islanders v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -102 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER (SPECIAL) The Islanders are off a 4-3 home win over Anaheim, but they still only average 2.70 GPG. They've been much better defensively though in conceding just 2.71 GPG. The Isles have in fact won 3 straight, winning 6-0 over Columbus, 5-2 over Winnipeg as well (note though that they've seen the total go "under" in 7 of their last 9 after playing to 3 or more "overs" in a row.) Washington averages 3.25 GPG, while allowing 2.78. The Capitals have gone 4-1 in their last 5, but off B2B OT contests that both went "over" the number, I expect fatigue to be an issue for the home side. Considering all of the above situational circumstances, my official recommendation for this selection is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-15-22 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Texas Southern OVER 135 | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 35 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) This is going to be an interesting battle, but it's one that I anticipate will fly well "over" the number before the final buzzer sounds! Texas Southern is a good rebounding team, but it's turnover prone. Texas A&M CC forces a TON of steals, so the Tigers are going to be forced to push the pace here to keep up. Texas A&M CC ranks 65th in the country at 75% from the free throw line, so the underdog could in fact have an edge if Texas Southern isn't careful. The best way for the Tigers to avoid this scenario though will be to take an early lead and keep the pressure on; in what I expect to a fast-paced affair, the play is the "over" as far as the total is concerned in my opinion! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-13-22 | Lightning v. Canucks UNDER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) I think the last thing that the Canucks can afford to do here today is to turn this into a wide-open affair and expect to "hang" with the defending champs. Vancouver's best opportunity for an outright upset here is to grind out a victory in front of the home town crowd. The Canucks are off a 4-3 OT loss at home to Washington, which is significant to note in our case as Vancouver has seen the total go "under" in 7 of its last 9 off an OT home loss that went "over" the number. Tampa Bay is off 3 straight losses. Note that it's seen the total go "under" in 6 of its last 8 after 3 or more straight losses in a row; this number is indeed a tad high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-12-22 | Bucks v. Warriors OVER 231.5 | Top | 109-122 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) Possible NBA Finals preview? Possibly! Milwaukee will be bringing it's "A" game tonight after 4 straight victoreis. The Bucks have found their scoring groove and I expect that trend to continue here, as Milwaukee has scored 118, 132, 142 and 124 in the victory over the Hawks. Golden State has struggled over the last month, but it enters on a 2-game win streak, most recently pulling away for a 113-102 win at Denver as a 1-point dog. This is a big time revenge game for the home side, which feel 118-99 at Milwaukee in mid-January (which is important to note here for us as the Warriors have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last 10 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in.) With each of these Conference leading teams pushing the pace like I expect, all signs point to the "over" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-11-22 | USC v. UCLA UNDER 137 | Top | 59-69 | Win | 100 | 18 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Two really good teams collide here, and I expect this competitive affair to produce a very defensive contest, rather than a high-scoring offensive one. USC beat Washington by a score of 65-61 to advance to this game, while UCLA beat Washington State by a score of 75-65. The Bruins have seen the total fly "over" in three straight, but that does in fact work in our favor here as UCLA has seen the total go "under" in seven of its last ten after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. When these teams met in the final regular season game, UCLA won 75-68 and the total snuck "over" the posted number, but we can expect this conference tournament game to be much more intense defensively; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-11-22 | Pistons v. Celtics OVER 216 | Top | 103-114 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) Detroit has been much more competitive of late, and I expect that momentum to get carried over here in this difficult road venue. For bettors, the Pistons have been money in the bank of late after 9 straight ATS covers (they've gone 6-3 SU in that span as well.) 2 nights after holding on for a 113-110 OT win at honme over the Hawks, they fell 114-108 at home to the Bulls. They played the C's on February 13th and lost 113-104, but they've seen the total go "over" in 6 of their last 8 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. Boston has gone 8-2 SU in it slast ten and 7-3 ATS. It's coming off 4 straight victories and over its last 3 it's posted 120-, 126 and 115 points respectively. Look for these improved sides to be efficient on the floor and expect this total to fly "over" the number! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-11-22 | Wolves v. Magic OVER 233 | 110-118 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 60 m | Show | |
8* OVER (SPECIAL) The Wolves hold their own destiny in their hands as far as the playoffs are concerned. They're 38-29, but just 16-17 on the road. Minnesota won't be taking this game lightly though because of the recent improved play of Orlando. Minnesota is 7-3 in its last 10 SU and it's coming off 6 straight victories, posting 127, 129, 138, 135, 124 and 132 points respectively. When these teams met on November 1st, it was the Magic that scored the upset 115-97 victory as 8.5-point underdogs. Orlando is off a 108-102 road win at New Orleans, and while it won't be in the playoffs, it also won't be rolling over here at home. I expect a faster-paced and ultimatley higher-scoring shootout; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-10-22 | Maryland-Eastern Shore v. North Carolina Central OVER 132 | 56-68 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 56 m | Show | |
8* OVER (SPECIAL) The MEAC Tournament is in full swing. Two teams that are coming off sub-par seasons collide on Thursday night and I'm expecting a faster-paced contest. The North Carolina Central Eagles finished 15-14 overall, but 8-5 in the MEAC. Maryland Eastern Shore will have to keep pace after finishing 11-14 and 6-8 respectively. North Carolina Central averages 72.9 PPG, while Maryland-Eastern Shore averages 67.2. North Carolina Central allows 68.4 PPG, while Maryland-Eastern Shore concedes 66.3. I absolutely believe that each team will exceed its offensive seasonal average here. These teams split their regular season matchup. The first game went "under," the second soared "over." Look for a similar game style as what we saw in the second game; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-10-22 | Coyotes v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) How, or what do you base your Over/Under picks on? Is it recent form only? Or do you take into account a wide variety of situational, scheduling, statistical and other info to make your decision? Common sense is often the best approach to handicapping a contest, and that's the case for me here. Arizona only averages 2.50 GPG, and after 3 straight wins, I expect a predictable letdown here finally (ESPECIALLY after its crazy 9-2 win at Detroit 2 nights ago!) Toronto averages 3.70 GPG, but after 6 straight "overs" in a row, here's a team that it doesn't need to run the score up on. Off a 6-4 win over Seattle, I believe we'll see a much tighter game here; this is indeed a common sense play on the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-10-22 | Newcastle United v. Southampton UNDER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 57 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOW) I'm expecting a "war of attrition" here. This one is being played at St. Mary's stadium. Southampton is currently in 9th place. The Saints though will be extra-motivated here after a humbling 4-0 loss to Aston Villa in their most recent match. Here's the perfect opponent to do that against. Newcastle is in 14th place. The Magpies enter off a 2-1 upset win over Brighton & Hove Albion, and suffice it to say, I expect an immediate return to mediocrity in this one. If recent and past history is any precedence, then Southampton has to be feeling confident today as it has lonly lost twice in 20 matches at home to Newcastle. Both teams really need a win today, so expect this battle to produce a classic lower-scoring result; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-10-22 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati OVER 136 | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 30 h 38 m | Show | |
8* OVER (SUPER TOTAL) The AAC tournament kicks off and this is the 8/9 game. What does either team have to lose here? I expect a very wide-open game here, rather than a suffocating defensive one. ECU is 4-6 in its last ten. Cincinnati fans can empathize though, as the Bearcats enter the tournament off 5 straight losses. ECU lost by 8 in its final regular season game to Wichita State. But the Pirates play with double revenge here after the Bearcats took both meetings this year during the regular season, withthe first game going well "over" the number in their 79-71 win, and the second going "under" in their 60-59 victory. Note though that ECU has seen the total go "over" the number in 8 of its last 11 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent; this number is a little low, the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-09-22 | Raptors v. Spurs OVER 228 | Top | 119-104 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER (NON-CONF TOY) The Raptors are going to be in the playoffs. Or they should be. They need to keep the foot on the gas from now until the end of the season. They're 34-30, but just 17-15 on the road. Toronto averages only 108.3 PPG, but that offense catches a break here facing this terrible Spurs' defense. The Raptors won't be lacking for motivation today after 3 straight disastrous efforts, first losing 108-106 to Detroit (at home!), then falling 103-97 to Orlando (also at home!), before then dropping a 104-96 decision at Cleveland in their most recent. Note that TO has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 12 of its last 16 after 3 or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Spurs have no issues scoring, they average 112.8 PPG. But as mentioned above, a big reason behind their terrible 25-40 record has been because of their issues on the defensive end. Situationally, everything points to this one being a very high-scoring offensive affair; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-09-22 | St. Joe's v. La Salle OVER 134 | 56-63 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
8* OVER Two teams with a shot at redemption collide in the opening round of the A-10 Tourney and in my opinion, this one has "shootout" written ALL over it. The St. Joe's Hawks average 68 PPG. They closed out the regular season with a 70-60 win over URI, but previous to that they fell 49-48 at La Salle. The Explorers average 68.3 PPG. La Salle enters playing some of its best basketball of the season with 3 straight wins/covers (note that La Salle has seen the total go "over" the number in 6 of its last 9 after playing to 3 or more ATS covers in a row.) The fact that their most recent matchup was so unbelievably low-scoring has helped in driving this O/U line a few points lower than it normally should be; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-08-22 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies OVER 232 | Top | 111-132 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) For a number of different reasons, I expect a wide-open shootout between the Pelicans and Grizzlies on Tuesday night. New Orleans had its 4 game win streak come to an end last time out in Denver, but it wasn't for a lack of trying, as they'd go on to fall 138-130 in OT. Yes, the Pels only average 107.7 PPG still, but they've been an entirely "different" team with CJ McCullom, scoring 117, 123, 125, 124 and 130 points over their last 5 games. The Grizzlies average 113.9 PPG. That's 4th in the league. They've been trading good games with bad lately and they'll be looking to keep that trend rolling after an inexplicable 123-112 loss at Houston in their last outing. With the Grizz looking to take advantage of this poor Pels' defense and to atone for their lack of effort in their previous outing, everything points to this one eclipsing the number well before the final horn sounds; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-07-22 | Northern Kentucky v. IUPU Ft Wayne UNDER 137 | Top | 57-43 | Win | 100 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER (SPECIAL) Two really good teams collide here. Offensive or defensive affair? In my opinion, everything is pointing towards this being a very tight, and lower-scoring game. NKU is 19-11, while Purdue Fort Wayne is 21-10. The Norse though aren't blowing teams out of the water to win games, as they average only 70.1 PPG. Instead its a suffocating defense that will be taksed to slow down the Mastadons, who enter averaging just 74.6 PPG. The Norse won 59-49 on January 28th, and I believe we'll see a similar lower-scoring defesive war here as well; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-06-22 | Jazz v. Thunder UNDER 223.5 | Top | 116-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) Two nights after beating Houston 132-127 in OT, the Jazz fell 124-90 at New Orleans. That total went "under" the number, but previous to that the Jazz had seen it go "over" in 3 straight. The Jazz beat the Thunder 110-104 in November, and I expect a similar final combined score here as well. The Jazz don't need to run up this score to control this game. Utah also has a much more difficult and high-profile game at surging Dallas tomorrow night. All in all, it sets up as a bit of a "trap" for the visitors. I expect that to effect their offense. The Thunder are off a 138-101 loss at home to Minnesota (which is noteworthy for us here, as the Thunder have seen the total go "under" in 14 of their last 20 off a SU/ATS home loss of 30 or more points.) For all the reasons listed above, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-06-22 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin OVER 149 | 74-73 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
8* OVER (SPECIAL) It's the final regular season home game for each side. Nebraska lost 73-65 at home to Wisconsin in late January and while that total did go "under" the number, I believe that all signs point to a much more wide-open affair this time around. Nebraska has indeed seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 65 or less points in. The Huskers average 73.4 PPG, and I expect them to hit or exceed that point total today. Wisconsin averages 70.9 PPG. It's coming off a 70-67 win over Purdue as a 3.5 points underdog. Previous to that it upset Rutgers by a score of 66-61. I expect the Huskers to push the pace here in an attempt to get the home side out of its comfort zone; as a result, look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-06-22 | Kings v. Sabres UNDER 6 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOTAL BOB) LA is off a 4-3 win over Columbus in OT. It's seen the total go "over" in 4 straight, but note that it's seen the total go "under" in 7 of its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. LA only averages 2.93 GPG, while conceding 2.82. Buffalo averages just 2.70 GPG, while allowing 3.55. The Sabres are off a rare victory, holding on for the 5-4 home win over the Wild. Previous to that they won 5-1 at Toronto. The Sabres though have seen the total go "under" in 7 of their last 9 after an extra periods home win in which they scored 5 or more goals in. I expect a tighter, but ulimtately lower-scoring under in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-05-22 | Kings v. Mavs OVER 221.5 | Top | 113-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) Sacramento has been playing a bit better since the Damontis Sabonis trade. Sacramento comes into this one having gone 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in its last 4. It's coming off a 115-112 win at San Antonio, and note that it's seen the total go "over" the number in 8 of its last 11 off a SU/ATS road win as an underdog. Not surprisingly, the Kings play with revenge here after falling 112-96 to the Mavericks on December 31st. That total went "under" the number. Note though that Sac. has seen the total go "over" in 7 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in. Dallas has definitely been playing better as well, winning 8 of its last 10. It's off a 122-113 win over the Warriors and I expect Luca and company to keep the foot on the gas again; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-05-22 | Senators v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER (BOB) Two bottom of the barrel, non-conference teams get ready to battle it out in the desert on Saturday afternoon and all signs point to very little defense being played. These two teams rarely play another team as horrible as it is on the defensive end, and I expect this non-conference battle to produce a very high-scoring result. I'm not sure who is going to win this one straight-up (and with a line like this, neither are the bookmakers!), but in my opinion, this one definitely sets up as a higher-scoring affair. Ottawa allows 3.17 GPG, while Arizona concedes 3.56. Look for these two starving offenses to finally feast; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-05-22 | Middle Tennessee v. Old Dominion OVER 133.5 | Top | 64-68 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) This is the final regular season game for both teams. MTSU is 22-8, but only 5-8 on the road, while ODU is only 12-17 overall, but a very respectable 9-4 at home. The Monarchs play with revenge after falling 63-48 to MTSU on February 10th. And that's significant to note for us here for sure, as ODU has seen the total so "over" the number in 9 of its last 12 in trying to revenge a conference road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 55 or less points in. MTSU has seen the total go under in 3 straight, but it's seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "unders" in a row. Considering all of the above information, I say the total in the "rematch" this afternoon is now just a little bit TOO low; the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-03-22 | Senators v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) Ottawa is coming off a 5-2 loss to Tampa. It only averages 2.62 GPG, while conceding 3.17. Florida is coming off 3 straight losses, falling 6-4 to Nashville, 6-3 to Columbus and 4-3 to Edmonton. That works in our favor here though as Florida has seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of its last 9 after 3 or more straight losses in a row. Florida averages 4.08 GPG, which is ranked No. 1, but it's been awfully good on the other end of the ice as well in conceding just 2.98. I expect Florida to control the tempo of this one from the ouset after 3 straight losses, and overall I look for a slower-paced affair here; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-02-22 | Knicks v. 76ers UNDER 224 | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOW) James Harden and the 76ers just clobbered the Knicks by a score of 125-109. That total went "over" the number, but I think we can expect a much more defensive battle this time around. At least, I don't expect Philly to run up the score. In fact, neither team regular "shoots the lights out," with Philadelphia ranked 19th offensively, and New York ranked 27th. The fact that each side has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 4 straight has helped in pushing this O/U line a few points higher than it normally would be in this case, so let's take advantage! This number is a little too high now, so the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-02-22 | St. Louis v. Rhode Island OVER 136 | Top | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) The A-10 Conference still has two games to go before its Tournament starts. Saint Louis is 19-10 overall, but just 4-6 on the road. It's coming off a tight 68-66 loss to Richmond. It does average 77.7 PPG though, which ranks 36th in the country. It beat URI 67-60 last year, but I expect a much higher-scoring affair this time around. Rhode Island snapped a 3-game slide with a 70-54 win over Duquesne last time out. It's seen the total go "under" in 4 straight (but note, the Rams have seen the total eclipse the posted number in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "unders" in a row.) It's a big game at the end of the season and I expect a faster-paced affair; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-01-22 | Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 224.5 | Top | 98-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Atlanta is off a 127-100 win over Toronto. The Hawks are now 29-31. They average 112.4 PPG. They play with revenge here after a 105-95 loss to the Celtics in mid February. The total in that contest was set at 224. Boston is off a 128-107 loss at Indiana, but previous to that it had won 8 of 9. Two teams that need victories in the 2nd half go H2H here and I expect a very defensive affair, similar to their most recent matchup. Finally, note that ATL has seen the total go "under" in 6 of its last 8 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
02-28-22 | Bethune-Cookman v. Grambling State UNDER 134.5 | Top | 69-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Bethune-Cookman and Grambling State are stumbling towards the finish line. With little to play for here, I expect another sloppy overall affair, one that falls "under" the number. The Wildcats enter on a 3-game losing streak. They're off an 87-84 OT loss to Southern. Off that heart-wrenching setback, I can't see how the visiting side will muster much energy for tonight's game vs. 11-16 Grambling State. The Tigers are off a 79-73 defeat to Florida A&M on Saturday. The main issue for both teams this year though has been because of their poor offenses, as Bethune-Cookman averages 62.8 PPG, while Grambling State averages 65.8. Both team's strength lies on the defensive end. Look for a this one to fall well "under" before the final seconds tick off the clock! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-28-22 | Raptors v. Nets UNDER 221.5 | Top | 133-97 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) This is a big game between two Eastern Conferene playoff bound teams. Toronto is 32-27, while Brooklyn is 32-29. The Raptors are off a poor 127-100 road loss at Atlanta. The Raptors only average 108.3 PPG this year. This is the opener of a home and home set, as they'll play in Toronto tomorrow night. I believe the opener will be a defensive affair. Toronto plays with revenge after falling 131-129 in OT to the Nets in mid-December. Brooklyn averages 111 PPG. It's off a 126-123 road win at Milwaukee. The Nets upcoming schedule is a difficult one, with the game at Toronto tomorrow, followed by Miami, Boston, Charlotte and Philly. We're into the second half now and things are getting heated. I expect a tight defensive and ultimately lower-scoring defensive war from start to finish; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-27-22 | Sabres v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) Buffalo won't be in the playoffs, but it'll be eager to snap a 5-game slide. Note that the Sabres have seen the total go "over" the number in six of their last 8 after playing to 5 or more straight losses in a row. The Sabres beat the Stars 5-4 at home in January, so they'll be looking for a repeat performance here. The Stars though have seen the total go "over" the number in 10 of their last 13 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Look for this non-conference game to have very little defense, and for this total to fly well "over" before the final buzzer blares! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-25-22 | Pelicans v. Suns UNDER 225 | Top | 117-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) I believe both teams are going to come out "flat" here, and because of that, I expect this total to fall "under" the posted number. The Pels are just 23-36 this season, which includes going only 10-19 on the road. The main reason has been their poor offensive play, as they average only 106.3 PPG. The Suns are the highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 113.8 PPG, but with Utah coming to town on Sunday, I say the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half. Phoenix won 123-110 at New Orleans at the start of the year and that total sailed well "over" the number, but take note that the Pelicans have seen the total dip below the posted number in 6 of their last 8 in trhing to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Look for "rust" to play a factor here for each side in their first game back from the break; the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-25-22 | Blue Jackets v. Hurricanes UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 113 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Columbus is off a 6-3 win at Florida. The Jackets have now won 4 straight. They average 3.33 GPG, while allowing 3.63. Note though that they've seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of their last 11 after a road win of 3 or more goals. They play with revenge here after a 6-0 defeat to the Canes back in early January. I think Columbus will once again have difficulty finding its scoring touch today against a Carolina team that allows just 2.42 GPG, ranked second overall. The Hurricanes do average 3.50 GPG, which is ranked 6th, but after a 4-3 OT win over Philadelphia 3 nights ago, I say the home side comes out flat tonight. This number is elevated, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-24-22 | Celtics v. Nets UNDER 213.5 | Top | 129-106 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 16 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Scoring is back up around the NBA, but we can expect a very defensive affair here between two Eastern Conference hopefuls. The Celtics are just 14-15 on the road this season and they only average 108.9 points per game. Brooklyn is only 13-15 at home and it averages 110.8 PPG, which ranks 11th. The Nets play with revenge here after falling 126-91 to the C's back on February 8th (and note that BK has seen the total go "under" in 6 of its last 8 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 95 points or less in.) The Nets are still undermanned and I believe the "B" team doubles down on the defensive end this evening. This number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-23-22 | Jets v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) Dallas only averages 2.86 GPG. It concedes 2.94. It's seen the total go UNDER in 4 straight off a listless 3-1 loss at Arizona in its most recenty outing. Suffice it to say, off that "stinker," we can expect the Stars to come out fired up here at home facing the streaky Jets. When these teams played on February 11th, Dallas earned the 4-3 win. I expect a similar final combined score here. The Jets average 2.88 GPG, while allowing 2.92. They're off a 3-1 loss at Calgary, but they've seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of their last 9 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the over! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-21-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Looks like a great spot to pull the trigger on a defensive game here. That means playing the "under." Seattle is terrible on both ends of the ice, but it catches a break here facing the Canucks, who average a paltry 2.59 GPG. They're much better on the defensive end, where they allow just 2.80. That's 13th. Off a 7-4 home loss to Anaheim, note that Vancouver has seen the total go "under" the number in 8 of its last 11 off a three goals or greater home loss. Seattle averages only 2.59 GPG, while allowing 3.51. The Kraken though are off a 2-1 road loss at Calgary and I envision another lower-scoring defensive battle here as well. Considering all of the above information, my official call here is on the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-21-22 | Alabama State v. Bethune-Cookman UNDER 134 | Top | 89-78 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
10* UNDER (SWAC TOY) Two really poor teams here. I can't see at all where the motivation will come from. Alabama State is just 6-20 overall, including only 2-14 on the road, while Bethune-Cookman is 7-19 overall and 4-5 at home this season. The Hornets only average 67.7 PPG, while the Wildcats average just 61.3. The Wildcats play with revenge here after falling 79-73 at Alabama State in mid-January. While that game went well "over" the posted number of 133, we can expect a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring contest this time around, between two teams just playing out the tail ends of their disastrous seasons. Finally, note that Alabama A&M has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in 8 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home conference home loss against an opponent as the favorite. This number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-19-22 | Oilers v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) Edmonton is off a 7-3 win over Anaheim. The Oilers are 13-8 on the road, but they've seen the total go "under" the number in 8 of their last 11 after a victory in which they score 6 or more goals in. After 4 straight wins and 2 straight "overs," I expect a more defensive affair here from the Oilers in this difficult road venue. The Jets are off a 5-3 win over the Kraken. They've scored a combined 11 goals in b2b wins, but note that Winnipeg still only averages 2.94 GPG, which ranks 16th in the league. I expect a competitive affair, but all signs point to this one staying well under the posted number! AAA Sports |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ricky Tran | $868 |
Will Rogers | $491 |
William Burns | $415 |
Nick Parsons | $345 |
Joseph D'Amico | $282 |
Ross Benjamin | $255 |
Sean Murphy | $226 |
Tom Macrina | $149 |
Joey Tron | $113 |
ProSportsPicks | $107 |