Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-13-23 | Pacers v. Pistons UNDER 228 | Top | 97-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* EASTERN-CONFERENCE TOW on the UNDER Pacers/Pistons. I'm expecting a defensive affair here between two teams in need of a victory. Indiana is just 12-21 on the road, but it enters off a 121-115 road win here in Detroit on Saturday night. While that total flew OVER the number, note that the Pistons have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Indiana has now seen the total go OVER in four straight, but all signs point to a much more defensive battle here in the immediate rematch in my opinion. Detroit's lost 11 in a row. The Pistons only average 111.8 PPG, ranked 28th, and I have a hard time seeing them reaching that average this evening. This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-12-23 | Nets v. Nuggets -8 | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Nuggets. Denver is coming off back-to-back losses, first falling 117-96 at home to the Bulls, and then l28-120 at San Antonio as a 12.5-point favorite. Now Denver is just a single-digit favorite and I expect it to take out its frustrations and run up the score here on the Nets. Note that Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more ATS losses in a row. Brooklyn is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last five. It's coming off a 124-123 OT win at Minnesota as a 4.5-point dog. Note though that the Nets are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after five or more ATS victories in a row. It's a letdown spot here finally for overachieving Brooklyn, as Denver keeps the foot on the gas from start to finsih. Lay the points, the play is the NUGGETS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-12-23 | Princeton +3.5 v. Yale | Top | 74-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* CHAMPIONSHIP WINNER on Princeton. I'm going to grab the points and expect a battle until the final horn here. Princeton finished 20-8 this year, while Yale was 21-7. The Tigers beat Penn yesterday by a score of 77-70 as two-point favorites. The main reason I like Princeton here is that it does play with revenge after a setback in these team's most recent matchup, falling 93-83 in OT at home as a two-point favorite in mid-February. Note that the Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss vs. an opponent. Yale didn't have much trouble with Cornell yestreday (80-60), but the competition goes up dramatically here today vs. the Tigers. These teams won't give an inch, and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The play is PRINCETON. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-11-23 | CS-Fullerton v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 131 | Top | 62-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG WEST TOY on the UNDER CSU Fullerton/UC Santa Barbara. Both teams ended the regular season playing to several high-scoring games. The last game they played against each other went OVER the number as well. They're also coming off second-round high-scoring victories to advance here. All of these higher-scoring outcomes has helped in driving tonight's total a few points higher than it normally would/should be in my opinion. The Titans beat the Gauchos 74-60 on February 20th, and the total sailed well OVER the number of 128.5 in that one. Note though that Santa Barbara has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent. Expect fatigue to finally play a major factor in the final combied score here as well. This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-11-23 | Bucks v. Warriors | Top | 116-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Warriors. The Warriors are 34-33 this year. They've lost three straight, both SU and ATS, but I expect them to finally bounce back here at home (where they're still 27-7) in this revenge spot. Note that Golden State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Warriors are also 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent (fell 128-111 in Milwaukee in mid-December.) Milwaukee has won three straight. I think it'll have its hands full here today though with the determined Champs looking to shake out of a poor stretch. With upcoming games at the Kings and Suns, I say the Bucks also get caught looking ahead. The play is GOLDEN STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-11-23 | Tulane v. Memphis UNDER 161.5 | 54-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SPECIAL TOTAL on the UNDER Tulane/Memphis. Tulane has now seen the total go OVER the number in three straight after its successful 82-76 win over Wichita State yesterday. Note though that the Green Wave have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row. Memphis saw its total go OVER the number yesterday as well in its 81-76 advancing victory over UCF. It's intereting to note here though that Memphis plays with revenge after falling 90-89 to Tulane in OT as a seven-point home favorite oin Feruary 4th, as the Tigers have seen the total go UNDER the number in six of their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponet. Expect a very competitive, but ultimatley lower-scoring outcome in this one. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-10-23 | Oregon v. UCLA UNDER 134.5 | Top | 56-75 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* PAC 12 TOURNEY TOY on the UNDER Oregon/UCLA. Both teams ended the season playing to a couple of high-scoring games, and each advanced to this point after a high-scoring games in their Pac 12 Tourney openers. The last time they played against each other in the regular season though the total went UNDER the number, and I'm expecting another hard-fought and ulimtatley lower-scoring battle here as well. Oregon has now seen the total go OVER the number in four straight after a 75-70 win over Washington State yesterday. The Ducks lost to UCLA by a score of 70-63 in February, and the total stayed UNDER the number of 133.5 in that one. Note though that the Ducks have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. UCLA has now seen the total go OVER the number in three straight after its 80-69 thrashing of Colorado. Note though that the Bruins have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row. Second round of the Tourney, expect this one to indeed be a very tight and competitive, but lower-scoring war. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-10-23 | Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 238 | Top | 114-107 | Win | 100 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* SOUTHEAST TOM on the UNDER Hawks/Wizards. I skipped the Thursday card, because I didn't see any value on the card at all. I looked at every game, both sides and totals, and didn't see anything that fell into any of my systems. This particular total on Friday does though, a great situational and common sense play. Atlanta just beat Washington 122-120 as a three-point favorite in the Nation's capitals two nights ago, the total going OVER the posted number of 237 in that one. Note that Washington has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU divisional road loss against an opponent. These two teams are neck and neck in the Southeast right now and I'm expecting a much tigter, and ulimtately lower-scoring outocme in the rematch here on Friday night. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-10-23 | East Carolina v. Houston -22.5 | 46-60 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an ATS TOMAHAWK on Houston. I think ECU's run in the Tournament ends here. I don't believe Houston will have any mercy on the Pirates, as I expect them to keep the pedal to the metal until the final horn. ECU beat USF 73-58 as a 3.5-point dog yesterday, but I believe that fatigue will be a major factor here in the second game of the B2B sceanrio. Previous to that the Pirates backed their way into the Tournament by losing three of their final four. ECU covered against Houston earlier in the season, but still lost by 18. The Cougars come in well-rested, and note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine when playing with five or more days of rest between games. Look for HOUSTON to send an early message here to the rest of the conference with a brutal beatdown of the Pirates. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-09-23 | UNLV +5.5 v. Boise State | Top | 76-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* MW TOURNEY GOY on UNLV. UNLV is 19-12 overall. It's comingin off a 78-70 OT win and cover over Air Force yesterday and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas until the final horn here as well. Note that the Rebels play with REVENGE today, as they lost 73-69 to BSU in Mid-February. Note that UNLV is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent. Boise State finished 23-8. It went just 1-2 in its final three regulat season games. The Broncos have had five days off between games, and I think that "rest" leads to "rust" in this instance. Grab the points though, the play is UNLV. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-09-23 | Ohio State v. Iowa UNDER 154.5 | 73-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOWOUT TOTAL on the UNDER Ohio State/Iowa. Ohio State advanced to the second round of the Big Ten Tournament with a 65-57 win over Wisconsin yesterday. The total went UNDER the number of 130.5. Iowa had a first round bye. It averages 80.6 PPG, and it beat Ohio State 92-75 at home in mid-February, the total sailing well OVER the posted number of 153.5 in that one. l But note that the Buckeyes have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. Ohio State will be looking to slow this one down whenever possible. I believe the rematch will be a tighter, slower and more defensive affair overall. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-09-23 | Miami-OH +13.5 v. Toledo | Top | 75-91 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* MAC TOURNEY GOY on Miami Ohio. Miami Ohio finished just 12-19, but it was playing some of its best basketball down the stretch, winning four of its last five. The RedHawks play with revenge here after falling 89-71 to Toledo as a 16-point dog in mid-February. Note though that Miami Ohio is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent. Toledo enters with a 25-6 record, No. 1 in the conference. It's won 15 straight and covered in five straight. Note though that the Rockets are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after five or more SU/ATS wins in a row. I think the Rockets are slightly overvalued here. Look for the RedHawks to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The play is MIAMI OHIO. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-08-23 | Texas Southern +2 v. Alcorn State | Top | 66-62 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* SWAC TOURNEY GOY on Texas Southern. I like the way this one sets up for Texas Southern. The Tigers stumbled down the stretch of the regular season going 0-3 SU/ATS to close out the year. That's important to note for us betting on the today though, as note that Texas Southern is a wallet-expanding 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Tigers also play with revenge after falling 89-81 to Alcorn State in these team's most recent matchup in late February. Once again though, that favors us as bettors here today as note that Texas Southern is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent. Alcorn State won and covered in its final three games, but note that the Braves are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Grab the points, the play is TEXAS SOUTHERN. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-08-23 | Virginia Tech +3 v. NC State | 77-97 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SPECIAL on Virginia Tech. I like VT to build off yesterday's 67-64 win over Notre Dame. The Hokies didn't cover, but they got the win. The play with revenge here as well after falling 73-69 to NC State as 5.5-point favs in January. Note that VT is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. I think the Wolfpack get caught off-guard here. The outright is obviously a very real possibility, but let's grab the points. The play is VIRGINIA TECH. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-08-23 | Thunder v. Suns UNDER 234 | Top | 101-132 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Thunder/Suns. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end here tonight finally. The Thunder have seen the total go OVER the number in seven straight. They come in off three straight SU vicrtories, including an impressive 137-128 home win over the Warriors as 4.5-point dogs just last night. Can anyone say "letdown" spot here? The Suns have won three straight high-scoring games as well. Note that Phoenix has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row though. I think the stage is set for a much more defensive battle than what this line is suggesting. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-07-23 | Hornets +10.5 v. Knicks | Top | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOP TRAP GAME OF THE SEASON on the Hornets. The Knicks have won and covered in nine straight. That includes victories over the best of the best in the East, including the Celtics twice. That includes in their most recent action, a come-from-behind 131-129 OT win at Boston two nights ago. Can anyone say "letdown" spot? Would anyone blame the Knicks for having a small mental letdown after their recent success and now facing the lowly Hornets at home before a lengthy West Coast trip? Letdown + lookahead = TRAP GAME. The lowly Hornets will look to take advantage. Charlotte plays with revenge here as well after a 121-102 home loss to the Knicks in December. Note that the Hornets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Charlotte has lost three straight, both SU and ATS, and that's also important to note here, as the Hornets are in fact 4-1 ATS in their last five after playing to three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. No outright, but much closer than expected. Grab the points, the play is CHARLOTTE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-07-23 | McNeese State v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi UNDER 147.5 | Top | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* SOUTHLAND TOURNEY TOY on the UNDER McNeese State/Texas A&M CC. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games, but I expect this one to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. McNeese State has now seen the total go OVER in five straight after starting the tournament with back-to-back upset victories. Note that the Cowboys have in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five after playing to five or more straight OVERs in a row. They play with revenge after a 77-54 loss to Texas A&M CC as 5.5-point undredog at home back in February. Suffice it to say I'm expecting a similar final combined score here today as well. The Islanders enjoyed a double-bye to reach this point and I think they'll double down on the defensive side here as they look to take advantage of his now fatigued Cowboys team. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-07-23 | Louisville v. Boston College UNDER 135.5 | 62-80 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SPECIAL on the UNDER Louisville/BC. The ACC Tournament gets underway and a couple of bottom feeders go head-to-head here. Louisville finished just 4-27, while BC finished 15-16. Louisville was 0-11 on the road this year. It lost 75-65 to BC as a 9.5-point underdog in January. That's significant to note here though, as the Cardinals have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against a conference opponent. Expect the rematch to be a much tighter, and lower-scoring defensvie affair. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-06-23 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga -14 | 73-84 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BAIL-OUT on Gonzaga. After two straight SU/ATS victories to open up the West Coast Conference Tournament, I expect a letdown here finally from the Dons. They needed OT to get by Santa Clara last time out and I believe fatigue will be a major issue here. Gonzaga is always a heavy favorite, but not quite "heavy" enough here in my opinion. It comes into the tournament on fire with seven straight victories. The Bulldogs won and covered at home over San Fran by a score of 99-81 and I expect a similar final combined score here as well. Lay the points, the play is GONZAGA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-06-23 | Idaho State +5.5 v. Montana | Top | 74-83 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG SKY TOURNEY GOY on Idaho State. While I do think an outright victory is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. This one ticks off all the boxes for a great situational play here on the College hardwood, as this is the opener of the Big Sky Conference Tournament, which sees Idaho State and Montana facing off on a neutral court. The Bengals plays with revenge here after falling 69-61 at home to Montana as 3.5-point underdogs in February. Note that Idaho State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against a conference opponent. The stage is set for a tight battle until the final moments, so I'm grabbing the points. The play is IDAHO STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-05-23 | Bucks v. Wizards UNDER 229 | Top | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Bucks/Wizards. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Milwaukee has seen the total go OVER in two straight, including in its 133-130 loss at home to Philadelphia last night as a five-point favorite. Fatigue will be an issue for sure in the second game of the back-to-back. Washington plays with revenge after falling 123-113 to the Bucks on January 3rd. The Wizards are off a 116-109 OT loss to Toronto here just last night. Fatigue will be an issue in the Nation's capital there is no question. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-05-23 | William & Mary v. Hofstra OVER 140 | 46-94 | Push | 0 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOTAL SPECIAL on the OVER W&M/Hofstra. This is the second round of the CAA Conference Tournament. Hofstra received a bye in the first roud after finishing 23-8. It comes into the Tournament having seen lthe total go UNDER in five straight games, and that's significant to note here, as the Pride have in fact seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight UNDERs in a row. Not surprisingly, the Tribe play with revenge here after falling 75-62 to Hofstra as seven-point dogs on January 7th. Note that William and Mary have seen the total go OVER the number in four of their last five though in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conferece home loss vs. an opponent. The Tribe easily moved past Elon 73-51 yesterday afternoon and I expect another good offensive showing here as well in this revenge spot. This one has all the makings of a shootout IMO, so the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-04-23 | Wolves +5.5 v. Kings | Top | 138-134 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Wolves. At 37-25, the Kings are amazingly the top team in the Pacific Division. They're coming in off five straight SU wins, going 4-1 ATS in that span. The one ATS loss occurred just last night in their 128-127 home win over the Clippers. The Wolves are 33-32 and second in the Northwest. They've broken a three-game slide with back-to-back victories, most recently a 110-102 win over the Lakers last night. Minnesota is the more motivated team here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario though, as it plays with revenge after falling 118-111 in OT at home to the Kings as one-point dogs back on January 30th. That however works in our favor here, as the Wolves are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The play is MINNESOTA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-04-23 | Butler v. Xavier OVER 142 | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOTAL SPECIAL on the OVER Butler/Xavier. It's the final game of the regular season for each team and I'm expecting a wide-open SHOOT-OUT. Butler has seen the total go UNDER in nine straight. It fell 69-67 to Xavier at home in February, and while that total did also go UNDER the number, I look for this anticapted faster-paced affair to produce plenty of offensive fireworks. As note that Butler has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a conference home loss vs. an opponent. Xavier has won two straight on the road. Both totals went OVER the number. At 22-8, the Musketeers look to close out the regular season and enter the conference tourney on a roll. This number is low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-04-23 | Florida International v. Rice UNDER 155.5 | Top | 90-83 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* CONFERENCE USA TOM on the UNDER FIU/Rice. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect more of a defensive affair here in their final regular-season game of the year. FIU is just 13-17, including only 2-10 on the road. It's coming in off five straight losses. It'll be still mentally hung up on the last one, falling 77-76 in OT to Louisiana Tech. The Panthers have seen the total go OVER in three straight, but that's significant for us to take note of, as FIU has in fact seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row. FIU plays with revenge as well after an 85-78 home loss to Rice as a three-point favorite on February 11th, which is also important to take note of, as the Panthers have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Look for the rematch to be a tight, lower-scoring UNDER once the final buzzer sounds. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-03-23 | Suns v. Bulls +5.5 | Top | 125-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF GOY on the Bulls. I love the way this one sets up for the Bulls. Phoenix is 34-29, but just 13-19 on the road. With a game at Dallas up next, which would see KD facing off against Kyrie, I say the visitors get caught "looking ahead." The Bulls are just 29-34 overall, but they're 18-13 at home. They've gone 3-1 since the All-Star break, arguably playing their best basketball of the season right now. Chicago plays with revenge as well after a 132-113 loss at Phoenix back on November 30th, and that's significant to note in this case, as the Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The play is the BULLS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-03-23 | Gardner-Webb -4 v. USC Upstate | Top | 76-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG SOUTH TOURNEY GOY on Gardner Webb. Gardner Webb finished the regular season at 15-15, while South Carolina Upsate was 15-14. The Bulldogs finished with four straight SU/ATS losses in a row, which is significant to note here for us, as Gardner Webb is still 8-3 ATS in its last 11 after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Also note, the Bulldogs lost 75-69 to South Carolina Upstate as a 2.5-point favorite in these team's final regular season game of the year. That's also working in our favor here though, as Gardner Webb is 6-2 ATS in its last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Look for the Bulldogs to exact a little revenge here in this neutral site contest. The play is GARDNER WEBB. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-03-23 | Monmouth +1.5 v. Hampton | 100-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* WINNER Monmouth. This is the first round of the CAA Championship and it's wo that favors 6-25 Monmouth in my opinion. Note that Hampton is just 7-23. Both teams have been brutal on both ends of the court this season. Monmouth plays with the added incentive of revenge here though after falling 86-81 to Hampton on the road as a two-point dog just about two weeks ago. That was a very competitive game, but the Pirates don't have the home-floor advantage, as this is a neutral site game. Grab the points, the play is MONMOUTH. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-02-23 | Evansville +17.5 v. Indiana State | Top | 58-97 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* MISSOURI VALLEY GOY on Evansville. Evansville is just 5-26, but after five straight SU losses, note tha it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine after five or more SU losses in a row. The Purple Aces also play with "revenge" here after falling 83-65 to Indiana State at home on February 1st as a l4-point underdog. The Sycamores are 20-11. They had a string of nine straight ATS victories in a row going for bettors until their final game of the regular season, falling 66-62 to Missouri State as eight-point favorites. I think they're overvalued here now as well in this neutral site affair. I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but everything points to this game being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, the play is EVANSVILLE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-01-23 | 76ers v. Heat OVER 215 | Top | 119-96 | Push | 0 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the OVER 76ers/Heat. This is an interesting game, because it's the second game of a home and home set between these teams. I actually had a play on the Heat on Monday night, and they didn't even need the 6.5-points because they wound up winning by a score of 101-99. I loved the way that one set up for Miami, which had lost four straight, both straight up and against the spread heading into that one. The 76ers on the other hand had just had their five-game win streak snapped in a 110-107 setback to their arch nemesis Boston, and I just felt like they'd still mentally hung up on that loss as Philadelphia really does use Boston as a measuring stick as for as its performance is concerned in the East. It was a GREAT situational play there on Miami. In fact it was my EASTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR, that's how much I liked it And so here we are now in the immediate revenge game for the 76ers in Miami, but instead of focussing on the side I'm going to target the total. The last game stayed WAY under the number, but I'm expecting more of a wide-open offensive affair here in Miami. As note that Philadelphia has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in. Expect a faster-paced, and ultimatley higher-scoring shootout; the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-01-23 | Long Island +16.5 v. Merrimack | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* NORTHEASTERN TOURNEY GOY on LIU. LIU is a terrible team it's just 3-25, including only 1-13 on the road. Merrimack is a poor team at 15-16, including 7-6 at home. The Sharks play with revenge here after falling 80-59 as 12.5-point underdogs on February 25th at home, which is significant to note here, as LIU is a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. This is in fact a double revenge (both SU and ATS) for LIU. It's difficult to beat a team three times in one year, and even more difficult to beat it both SU and ATS three times. I believe that Merrimack will earn another elusive victory today, but I do also firmly believe that this spread is a few points larger that in really should be. The value now swings to the undervalued underdog. The play is LIU. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-28-23 | Bulls v. Raptors OVER 219.5 | Top | 98-104 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the OVER Bulls/Raptors. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Both teams are highly motivated for a victory here tonight, and I believe the sense of urgency that each will be playing with, will help in contributing to a faster overall pace, and I believe that'll ultimatley drive this total OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch. Chicago has snapped a six-game slide with back-to-back wins. It's seen the total go UNDER in three straight though, and that's significant to note here, as the Bulls have seen the total go OVER in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight UNDERs in a row. The Raptors though play with revenge after a 111-97 loss to Chicago back on November 7th. That's also significant for us to take note of, as Toronto has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in. Toronto is coing off three straight UNDERS as well, includuing a 118-93 loss at Cleveland in its last outing. Note though that the Raptors have seen the total go OVER the number in even of their last ten off a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. Look for this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-28-23 | Holy Cross +6 v. Loyola Maryland | Top | 69-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* PATRIOT LEAGUE TOURNEY GOY on Holy Cross. Neither team is very good. Loyola Maryland finished 12-19 and in seventh in the Conference, while Holy Cross was right below it in eighth with a 10-21 record. The last time these teams played against each other, Loyola Maryland earned the 90-68 victory as a 4.5-point favorite just last week. "Revenge" is a dish best served cold they say, and I hear that it's absolutely freezing at Loyola Maryland today. Note that Holy Cross is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent. Also note that it did win the first matchup with the Greyhounds in the 63-55 victory back on January 8th. These teams are evenly matched and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The play is HOLY CROSS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-27-23 | Montana State +3 v. Eastern Washington | Top | 79-74 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Montana State. I love the way this one sets up for the visiting side. Two really good teams going head-to-head here in the final game of the regular season for these Big Sky opponents. Montanta State is 21-9, including 9-5 on the road, while Eastern Washington is 22-8, including 11-0 at home. The Bobcats would love nothing more than to hand the Eagles their first loss of the season at home, while at the same time avenging a 70-67 loss to EWU as six-point favorites on December 31st. Note that Montana State is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. a conference opponent. Clearly, the outright win isn't out of the question, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can. The play is MONTANA STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-27-23 | Heat +6.5 v. 76ers | Top | 101-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* EAST-CONF GOY on the Heat. Maybe surprisingly, the Heat and 76ers play for the first time this year. I like the way this one sets up for the struggling Heat. This is the first game of a back-to-back and if Miami loses this one, I'll almost assuredly be on it again in the next one. But I do think that the desperate Heat have much more than just a "punchers chance" in this one. Miami has lost four straight SU/ATS and it prompted Jimmy Butler to say after the 108-103 road loss at Charlotte to say: "I hate losing." I think this sets up as a letdown spot for the 76ers, who had their five-game win streak snapped in a tight 110-107 loss to Boston. Philadelphia uses the Celtics as a measuring stick in the East. It was a big mental loss and I say their ripe for the picking here in fact. Miami is also still 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The play is MIAMI. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-26-23 | Raptors v. Cavs -6.5 | Top | 93-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Cavaliers. Despite this being a very public side, I look for the Cavaliers to dig deep and deliver here at home. This is the third game in four nights for the Raptors. They played and came from behind to knock off the Pistons 95-91 last night, but I say that fatigue is a major factor for the visitors this evening. Cleveland has now lost three straight. It's lost four straight ATS. It plays with revenge here as well after falling 1l8-107 here at home to the Raptors in December. With a chance to bounce back here at home where they're still 25-7, while at the same time avenging the earlier loss, I look for the CAVALIERS to do just that in this favorable matchup. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-26-23 | Valparaiso +6 v. Murray State | Top | 76-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* MISSOURI VALLEY GOY on Valparaiso. I love the way this one sets up for Valparaiso to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch. Valpo is just 11-19. It's off three straight SU/ATS losses in a row, which is significant to note here as the Beacons are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. They also play with revenge here after a 77-70 OT home loss to Murray State as three-point underdogs back in December, which is also important to note here, as Valporaiso is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Murray State is getting just a little too much respect here in my opinion, after an 84-69 road loss at Missouri State last time out. I'm not calling for the outright upset, but this one comes "right down to the wire." Grab the points, the play is VALPARAISO. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-25-23 | Idaho +8.5 v. Weber State | Top | 53-67 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG SKY GOY on Idaho. I love the way this one sets up for Idaho here. The Vandals are just 10-19, including 4-10 on the road, while Weber State is 15-14, including 7-4 at home. Idaho though is playing with revenge here after a 73-65 loss at home to Weber State as a 2.5-point underdog in January, and that's significant to note here as the Vandals are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. And with an even "easier" game upcoming vs. 8-21 Northern Arizona on the road to end the regular season, there's every reason to believe that the home side will take the foot off the gas in the second half of this one. Look for IDAHO to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-25-23 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies -2 | Top | 94-112 | Win | 100 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE BOOKIEKILLER on the Grizzlies. Denver has now won four straight after a come from behind 115-109 win at Cleveland in its first game back from the break. With a game on Sunday at home vs. the Clippers, I think the Nuggets get caught "looking ahead" here. Memphis came out of the break with a 110-105 loss at Philadelphia. The Grizzlies have now lost three straight ATS, which is significant to note here as Memphis is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more ATS losses in a row. Memphis also plays with revenge here after a 105-91 loss at Denver as a one-point favorite in December. Give me the revenge-minded home side desperate for a win here. The play is MEMPHIS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-25-23 | Northern Illinois v. Central Michigan OVER 135 | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MAC SUPER TOTAL on the OVER NIU/CMU. These teams played to a lower-scoring UNDER when they played earlier in the season, but all signs point to this rematch flying OVER the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. NIU won that game by a score of 73-54. Note though that the Chips have seen the total go OVER the number in nine of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. CMU is coming off B2B losses. It fell 63-35 in its last outing at Buffalo. Note though that CMU has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five after a loss in which it was held to 41 or fewer points in. NIU has lost three straight, and the Huskies have seen the total go OVER the number in five of their last seven after three or more SU losses in a row. As mentioned above, all signs point to this games total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-25-23 | Michigan State v. Iowa -5.5 | Top | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* DESTRUCTION on Iowa. MSU is 17-10, but it's just 3-5 on the road. Iowa is 17-11, but it's 13-2 at home. Look for the home floor advantage to prove to be BIG in the outcome of this one. One other factor working in Iowa's favor here is that it plays with revenge after falling 63-61 at MSU back in January, and that's significant to note, as the Hawkeyes are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent. The play is IOWA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-24-23 | Richmond +9.5 v. VCU | 58-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SIDE BLOWOUT on Richmond. Richmond has done well in this spot for bettors, and I expect this strong trend to continue here. The Spiders have been trading wins and losses over their last five games, but off an 81-78 SU win over Saint Louis as an underdog, I look for them to keep the momentum rolling. They also play with revenge here after 74-62 at home to VCU as 1.5-point favorites back in January. Note that Richmond is a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points, the play is RICHMOND. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-24-23 | Austin Peay v. Florida Gulf Coast OVER 134.5 | Top | 71-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASUN TOY on the OVER Austin Peay/FGCU. This one sets up well to be high-scoring affair from a situational stand point. This is the final game of the regular season for both teams. Austin Peay has seen the total go UNDER the number in six straight. That's significant to note though, as the Governors have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 still after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row. Florida Gulf Coast plays with the added incentive of revenge here as well after falling 61-59 to Austin Peay as a 4.5-point favorite back on January 5th. That's also important to note here, as the Eagles have seen the total go UNDER the number in five of their last seven in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent. Look for this final game of the regular season to be a wide open one, and as a result, expect this total to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-23-23 | Blazers v. Kings UNDER 239.5 | 116-133 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOTAL SPECIAL on the UNDER Blazers/Kings. Despite scoring being up around the league, this is still a really high O/U line. I say it's a little TOO high. I just expect each team to come out a little flat-footed here after the break. Note that Portland has seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 11 when playing with three or more days of rest. The last time these teams played against each other, the Blazers managed the 115-108 upset win as three-point underdogs. I expect a similar tight, and ultimately lower-scoring contest here as well. This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-23-23 | Louisiana Tech v. Western Kentucky UNDER 144 | Top | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Louisiana Tech/WKU. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Louisiana Tech is 13-14, including just 4-9 on the road, while WKU is 14-13 overall, including 8-4 at home. The Bulldogs have lost four straight and they've seen the total go OVER in three straight. Note though that Louisiana Tech has see the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. The last time these teams played against each other was at WKU, and the Hilltoppers would finally pull away for an 84-74 OT win on January 19th, covering the four-point spread, and the total blastig past the posted number of 141.5. Note as well that WKU has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. WKU has actually seen the total go OVER the number in five straight. It's lost back-to-back high-scoring and tight road games. Now back home, I look for WKU to double down on the defensive end. This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-22-23 | Maine +2.5 v. New Hampshire | Top | 62-74 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING on Maine. Neither team has been great this year. Maine is 11-15, and New Hampshire is 12-13. Both have been better at home than on the road, but on January 11th, New Hampshire upset Maine on the road by a score of 71-58 as a four-point dog. Note though that the Black Bears 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite to an opponent. Maine is also 4-1 ATS in its last five after three or more straight ATS losses in a row, as despite a 74-72 outright win over Albany last time out, the Bears have indeed dropped three straight ATS right now. While the outright is a possibility, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with MAINE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-22-23 | UMass Lowell v. Maryland-Baltimore County +2.5 | Top | 75-70 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* A.E. GOM om UMBC. This one sets up great for the home side. UMass is 22-7 this year, but just a pedestrian 8-7 on the road. UMBC is 17-12 overall this season, but 13-2 in front of the home town crowd. This is a revenge game for UMBC, which fell 81-75 at UMass as a four-point dog back in mid January. Note though that the Retreivers are 5-1 ATS in their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. The outright win is possible, but let's grab the points with UMBC. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-21-23 | Akron v. Toledo UNDER 149 | Top | 63-84 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Toledo/Akron. Two of the best in the conference duke it out here, but instead of a high-scoring shootout, I believe that this one sets up to be a very defensive affair. Akron is 19-8, but just 5-4 on the road. Akron is 21-6, including 11-1 at home. The Zips have seen the total go OVER in three of their last four, but note that they play with revenge here after an 84-74 loss at home to the Rockets as two-point favorites at the start of February. Akron though has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent in which it was the favorite. Toledo has won 11 in a row. It's seen the total go OVER in three straight, which is significant to note here, as the Rockets have seen the total go UNDER in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. Expect the rematch between these two conference heavyweights to be a very defensive affair. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-21-23 | Central Michigan v. Buffalo -11.5 | Top | 35-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* ULTIMATE REVENGE BLOOD-BATH on Buffalo. This particular play is indeed based entirely around the "revenge" factor. CMU is 10-17, including just 3-10 on the road, while Buffalo is 12-15 overall, but 9-4 at home. The Bulls play with revenge after falling 87-78 in OT at CMU in mid-January. Note that Buffalo is a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss in which it was the favorite vs. an opponent. Revenge is a dish best served "cold," they say, and I hear that it's FREEZING in Buffalo tonight. Lay the points, the play is the BULLS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-20-23 | Cal-Irvine v. Cal Poly +10.5 | Top | 59-56 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG WEST GAME OF THE YEAR on Cal Poly Slo. UC Irvine is currently No. 1 in the Big West, but I think it'll get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent today, leaving the back door wide open for a solid cover for Cal Poly Slo, which is currently 11th in the Conference. The Mustangs play with revenge here after a tight 55-54 loss at UC Irvine two weeks ago. The Anteaters easily covered with the 13.5 points in that one, and I'm expecting a similar "gutty" performance here now at home as well from Cal Poly Slo. I think this one'll be much tighter than what this spread is suggesting. Grab the points, the play is CAL POLY SLO. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-20-23 | Hawaii v. CS Bakersfield UNDER 122.5 | 61-50 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8 MID-MAJOR BLOWOUT on the UNDER Hawaii/CSU Bakersfield. The last time these teams played against each other, the total went OVER the number, but I'm expecting more of a defensive battle this time around. Hawaii beat CSU Bakersfield by a score of 72-69 as a 16-point favorite at home back in January. The total went OVER the number of 119.5 in that one. Note though that CSU Bakersfield has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 in tryihng to avenge a conference road loss against an opponent. The Roadrunners have actually see the total go OVER the number in nine straight now. That's only helped in driving this particular total a few points higher than it normally would/should be though. Look for a very defensive, lower-scoring UNDER in this one. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-19-23 | Belmont v. Drake UNDER 145.5 | Top | 56-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Belmont/Drake. Two of the best in the conference go head to head here in this Missouri Valley matchup, and in my opinion, all signs point to more of a defensive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Belmont is 19-9, including just 6-6 on the road though, while Drake is 22-6, including 12-1 at home. Belmont plays with revenge here after falling 79-61 at home to the Bulldogs back on January 29th, but note that the Bruis have in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. Drake has won eight in a row. It's now seen the total go OVER in six straight. But note that the Bulldogs have still seen the total go UNDER the number in six of their last eight after playing to five or more straight OVERs in a row. Expect this highly-competitive battle to be a defensive one. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-19-23 | East Carolina v. SMU UNDER 143 | 70-86 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOTAL SPECIAL on the UNDER ECU/SMU. Neither team is very good, and I'm expecting that a combination of ineptitude and aggressive defensive play will lead to this total staying UNDER the posted number. ECU is 13-12, but just 1-6 on the road. It averages only 69.8 PPG, while allowing 70.2. The Pirates have seen the total go OVER the number in four of their last five, and while their last game vs. SMU did fly OVER the number in their 77-72 upset home victory as two-point dogs back on February 4th, I expect a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring contest in the rematch. Note that SMU has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss as a favorite against an opponet. SMU has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last nine, including four straight. Off back-to-back high-scoring losses, I look for the Mustangs, who are just 9-18 overall and only 6-8 at home, to double down on the defensive end this evening. In my estimation, this total is a little high. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-18-23 | Western Kentucky v. Rice UNDER 153 | Top | 77-83 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* CONFERENCE USA TOY on the UNDER WKU/Rice. Everything points to this one being a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. WKU is 14-12, including only 4-7 on the road. It's three-game win streak was snapped in a 68-64 OT loss at Charlotte last time out. The Hilltoppers have seen the total go OVER the number in four straight, but note that they've seen the total go UNDER in five of their last seven after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. They play with revenge here as well after falling 81-78 to Rice as six-point favorites on December 29th, and that's significant to note here, as WKU has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Rice has seen the total go OVER in five straight, but note that the Owls have seen the total go UNDER in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight OVERs in a row. Expect a hard-fought and competitive game, but one that falls UNDER the number once it's all said and done. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-17-23 | Abilene Christian v. Grand Canyon UNDER 143.5 | Top | 84-94 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the UNDER Albilene Christian/Grand Canyon. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end here. These teams have played each a total of three times, and Grand Canyon is 3-0. That includes a 75-73 win back in January. Note though that Albilen Christian has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a conference loss vs. an opponent. The Wildcats average 70.4 PPG, while the Antelopes average 70.2. I don't see either team reaching its offensive average here though in the rematch. This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-16-23 | Wizards v. Wolves UNDER 235.5 | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Wizards/Wolves. I think these non-conference foes will run out of steam in the second half as they each get caught LOOKING AHEAD to the All-Star break. Washington is off a 126-101 win at Portland. It beat Minnesota 142-127 at home back on November 28th, and that's signficant to note here because the Wolves have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight eight of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. Minnesota has seen the total go OVER the number in six straight as well. That's only helped in driving tonight's O/U line a few points higher than it normally would be though in my professional opinion. I think this'll be a competitive game, but one that falls UNDER the number once the final horn blares. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-15-23 | Spurs v. Hornets UNDER 241.5 | Top | 110-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Spurs/Hornets. Both of these teams have been playing to some higher-scoring games of late, but I think that's just pushed this particular total on Wednesday night a few points higher than it normally would or should be. These teams actually played against each other all the way back at the start of the year on October 19th and Charlotte won that game by a score of 129-102. The total actualy went OVER the number of 221 in that contest. Now we fast forward to the final portion of the first half of the season and this total is now set over 20 points higher than in their first matchup. Of course, that was then and this is now. Scoring is up around the league since then and these over/under lines are now sky high. But as I was saying, I think there's every reason to believe that this rematch will be more of a defensive affair and really I see them finishing with a similar final combined score as what they had in that first game. San Antonio of course is really struggling. Its lost 13 in a row. It's only managed a total of 215 points in its last two road losses. I say that points will be at a premium again for the Spurs on Wednesday night. Charlotte finally broke a seven game slide with an explosive 144-138 win over the Hawks, but during their skid, offense was a major issue for the Hornets. I think an immediate return to mediocrity is in store here for Charlotte as well. Neither team plays much defense, but both have been struggling to score. I think this number is just a little TOO high, so the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-15-23 | Alabama v. Tennessee -2.5 | Top | 59-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* SEC GOM on Tennessee. I think that this is one favors No. 10 Tennessee at home. Alabama is No. 1 and it's led by Brandon Miller. The Tide are 22-3 and 12-0 in SEC action. They won for the 12th time in their last 13 games in a 77-69 victory at Auburn on Saturday. Miller leads the way most nights for the Tide with 18.8 points and 8.2 boards per game, but he saw his streak of 15 straight games in which he made a 3-pointer come to an end last time out. Alabama is winning despite not getting the best play out of its best player. Tennessee has taken a bit of a step back of late, but that fact only adds fuel to the fire for a better performance here. The Volunteers are still 19-6 overall this year and 8-4 in league play, but clearly the Vols are going to be eager to get back on track after back-to-back one-point losses. First losing 66-65 at Vanderbilt, before dropping an 86-85 contest to Missouri on Saturday. Tennessee did overcome a 17-point second half deficit in the latest loss and while the Volunteers did come up short, I think they can keep that momentum rolling here to open up this game as well. These teams haven't played since 2021 and Alabama won that one by a score of 73-68. It's a bit of a revenge game here for Tennessee. The Vols are the more motivated team after back-to-back one point heartbreakers, and they're playing at home. Give me the VOLUNTEERS to cover this manageable spread. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-13-23 | Magic v. Bulls OVER 225.5 | Top | 100-91 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* EAST-CONF TOM on the OVER Magic/Bulls. Orlando is just 1-2 in its last three after a 107-103 OT loss at home to Miami. It's seen the total go UNDER in four straight, but note that the Magic have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight UNDERs in a row. The Bulls are desperate here to snap a three-game slide. They've seen the total go UNDER in four straight as well. The Magic play with revenge here though after a 128-109 loss to the Bulls at the end of January, and that's signficant to note here, as Orlando has seen the total go OVER the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss of 15 or more points. These are two teams in dire need of a victory here and we can anticipate a frantic, wide-open "shootout." This number is low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-13-23 | Delaware State v. Norfolk State UNDER 140.5 | Top | 58-97 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* MEAC TOY on the UNDER Delaware State/Norfolk. As primarily a "situational" handicapper, I think this one really does set up well to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. These teams have been playing to so many OVERS of late, that this O/U line is now a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Norfolk has seen the total go OVER the number in eight straight games. That run of OVERS started with a 78-65 win over Delaware State. Note that the Hornets have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Hornets only average 64.7 PPG, so the last thing they can do is turn this into a "shootout" in their revenge bid this evening. This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-13-23 | Miami-FL v. North Carolina -4.5 | Top | 80-72 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* ACC GOY on UNC. Miami is 20-5, and UNC is 16-9. The Hurricanes one weakness this season has been their play on the road, where they're a pedestrian 5-4 so far. The Tar Heels have not lived up to their lofty expectations before the season started, but they've consistently been at their best in front of the home town crowd with an 11-1 record. Miami has won four straight, but note that the Hurricanes are just 3-6 in their last nine after three or more straight SU wins in a row. The Tar Heels are the hungrier team here after snapping a three-game skid with a convincing win over Clemson. Miami doesn't matchup well against UNC big man Armando Bacot. The Hurricanes only rank 126th in defensive efficiency. Look for UNC to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and to pull away for the comfortable win and cover once the final horn blares. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-12-23 | Youngstown State v. Cleveland State +2.5 | 78-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* WALLET-EXPANDER on Cleveland State. The outright win is definitely in the cards, but in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Youngstown State is 20-6, most recently coming off an 81-72 road win over Purdue Fort Wayne. Cleveland State is 15-11 and coming off an inspiring 57-55 home win over Robert Morris. The Penguins average 83.5 PPG, while allowing 72.7. The Vikings are averaging 70.4 PPG, while allowing just 67.2. The Vikings also rank 29th in the country in offensive rebounds, with 10.7 per game. The Penguins rank 193rd, with 8.3. The home team has covered in five of the last seven between these teams and I expect that strong trend to continue here. Grab the points, the play is CLEVELAND STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-11-23 | Grand Canyon v. Seattle University UNDER 140.5 | Top | 58-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* WAC TOY on the UNDER Grand Canyon/Seattle. Sets up really well from a number of different angles to bea lower-scoring battle. Grand Canyon is 16-8, but it's just 3-4 on the road. It's played to TEN STRAIGHT "overs" and I believe that's definitely helped in driving tonight's O/U line with Seattle a few points higher than it normally would/should be. The Antelopes beat Seattle 78-66 earlier in the season, and the total went OVER the number of 139.5 in that one. Note though that Seattle (17-8, 10-1), has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-11-23 | Bulls +5.5 v. Cavs | Top | 89-97 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE BOOKIEKILLER on the Bulls. Chicago comes in hungry here after starting its road trip 0-2 SU/ATS. I like betting on motivated teams obviously. The Bulls do indeed play with the revenge factor here after a frustrating 145-134 OT loss at Cleveland as four-point dogs back on January 2nd. As note, Chicago is a near-perfect 6-1 ATS in its last seven in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. In fact, the Bulls fell 103-102 at home to Cleveland two nights previous to that stunning OT victory, meaning that this is in fact a "double revenge" scenario. Cleveland comes in on the other end of the spectrum, off five straight SU/ATS victories in a row. I think the Cavs will have their hands full here tonight finally though and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has it hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The play is CHICAGO. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-11-23 | Heat +0.5 v. Magic | 107-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on the Heat. The Heat come in off back-to-back wins, but they've lost four straight ATS. Note that Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more ATS losses in a row. Orlando is off a 115-104 home win over Denver, but I think it gets caught flat-footed here vs. this determined Heat side. Miami beat Orlando 110-105 in the last matchup, unable to cover the large 8.5-point spread, but tonight's is much more manageable obviously. Lay the short points, the play is the HEAT. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-11-23 | Princeton v. Dartmouth +8 | Top | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* IVY LEAGUE GOY on Dartmouth. Princeton is a bit over-priced here. I think that it stumbles here on the road just enough to allow the hungry home side to comfortably cover with the healthy spread that it's been afforded in this one. The Tigers are off back-to-back SU/ATS home wins, but in their last road game they fell 87-65 at Yale as three-point underdogs. I like Big Green here. They're coming off two straight SU/ATS home losses, but when they played at Princeton on January 21st, they lost 93-90 in OT as 12-point underdogs. I think the stage is now set for a very tight battle. I'm not calling for the outright, but I expect this one to come "down to the wire." Grab the points, the play is DARTMOUTH. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-11-23 | Penn State +8.5 v. Maryland | Top | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Penn State. Penn State won't be going down without a fight here today. The Nittany Lions are a thorn in everyone's side this year in the Big Ten, as you can't let your guard down with this deep team. Penn State has an extremely efficient offense, that averages 115.4 points per 100 possessions. Maryland WAS riding a four-game win streak before a 63-58 loss to the Spartans. I say the Terps are vulnerable here, and while I won't call for the outright, I'm indeed expecting an all out battle until the final horn. Grab the points, the play is PENN STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-10-23 | Akron v. Ohio UNDER 142 | Top | 81-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* MAC TOM on the UNDER Akron/Ohio. Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring contests of late, but everything points to a very defensive affair here tonight finally in my opinion. Akron is 17-7 overall, but just 4-3 on the road. Ohio is only 13-11 overall, but it's 10-1 at home. Akron is off an 84-74 loss to Toledo as a two-point fav. Note though that the Zips have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last ten off an upset home loss as a favorite. Ohio has now won back-to-back games. It's seen the total go OVER the number in six of its last seven. Four of their last five vs. each other have gone OVER the number, but I expect this to be a competitive affair, and a much tighter and more defensive one finally than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-10-23 | Knicks v. 76ers -5.5 | 108-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ATS BLOWOUT on the 76ers. This is a public play, which I don't typically play on, but there's always exceptions to every rule. This one sets up really for the Philadelphia to exact a little revenge from an earlier loss in my opinion. The Knicks have actually been good on the road this year, entering with a 16-11 record. After back-to-back wins though, including a 108-97 victory over the 76ers at home on February 5th, I expect a predictable letdown here now. After this the Knicks return home for a much more "winnable" game vs. the Jazz, and I believe they get caught "looking ahead" for sure. Philadelphia is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent as the favorite. Lay the points, the play is PHILADELPHIA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-10-23 | Iona v. Canisius +12 | Top | 80-59 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Canisius. I'm not predicting an outright win, but I think that 16-7 Iona comes in a bit complacent here, and the revenge-minded home side keeps it close down the stretch. Iona comes in off three straight wins, most recently a 70-61 road victory at Fairfield as a seven-point favorite. Now it's a double-digit favorite, and I just think this spread has ballooned a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Canisius is off five straight losses, but note that the Golden Griffins are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after five or more SU losses in a row. And as I mentioned, they play with revenge here as well after a 90-60 loss at Iona earlier in the season, and note that Canisius is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. With a much more high-profile game at 13-9 Niagara in two nights, this also sets up as a look-ahead spot for the visiting side. No outright, but MUCH closer than expected. Grab the points, the play is CANISIUS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-09-23 | Bucks v. Lakers +5.5 | Top | 115-106 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Lakers. The Lakers have lost two straight, and they've dropped three straight ATS. Note though that LA is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three more ATS losses in a row. LA actually beat the Bucks 133-129 in MIlwaukee back in December, but I'm not reading too much into the revenge factor here. The Lakers have two tough road games after this one, so I expect LA to buckle down here in friendly confines tonight. Conversely, the Bucks face the Clippers here tomorrow night, so I believe they get caught looking ahead. The outright is possible again, but let's grab the points. The play is the LAKERS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-09-23 | Tenn-Martin v. Eastern Illinois UNDER 149.5 | Top | 75-77 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* OHIO VALLEY TOY on the UNDER Tennessee Martin/Eastern Illinois. Situationally, this one definitely sets up as more of a defensive affair here between these usually high-scoring offensive clubs. Tennessee Martin is 15-10 overall this year, but just 3-9 on the road. It's seen the total go OVER the number in three straight, which is significant to note here, as the Skyhawks have in fact seen the total go UNDER in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. Tennessee Martin beat Eastern Illinois by a score of 91-78 in January, and the total blasted past the posted number of 142 in that one. Today's total is much higher, and it's a clear over-reaction in my opinion, as additionally hnote that the Panthers have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. Look for this to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-08-23 | Hornets v. Wizards -5 | Top | 104-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Wizards. Two struggling teams here, but ultimatley I think that the home floor advantage will turn out to be the difference in this one. The Hornets are just 15-40 overall, including only 8-23 on the road. The Wizards are 24-29 overall, including 12-12 at home. The Hornets have lost four straight and have lost three straight against the spread. Washington had won six straight, both straight up and against the spread, before now suffering three straight losses both straight up and ATS. The most recent was a 114-91 home loss to Cleveland, but that's significant to note as the Wizards are 7-3 against the spread in their last ten off a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. This is a REVENGE spot for Washington as well, which lost 117-116 as a four-point favorite at Charlotte back at the start of December. I think there are enough positive reasons working in favor of the Wizards on Wednesday to pull the trigger on this one. The play is WASHINGTON. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-08-23 | Bryant v. Albany +9 | Top | 87-62 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* AMERICA EAST GOY on Albany. Bryant is 15-8, but just 5-5 on the road. It's coming off back-to-back home victories, but in its last road game it fell 84-67 at Binghamton as a 7.5 point favorite. I just don't trust the Bulldogs on the road. Albany is only 6-19, but it's 3-5 at home. It plays with revenge here after falling 86-69 at Bryant back in January. The Great Danes have lost seven straight, both SU and ATS, but that fact has only helped in bumping up their spread a few points higher than it normally would/should be. And note, Albany is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. No outright, but expect this one to come "down to the wire." The play is ALBANY. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-07-23 | Drake v. Murray State UNDER 140.5 | Top | 92-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* MISSOURI VALLEY TOY on the UNDER Drake/Murray State. Murray State is 13-11, and Drake is 19-6. Murray State has seen the total go OVER the number in nine straight, but that fact has only helped in driving this total with Drake a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Note that the Racers are off a humbling 99-56 loss at Indiana State as seven-point dogs. That's important for us to note, as Murray State has seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 11 off a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 59 or fewer points in. Drake has won five straight. It's gone to OT in each of its last two games and won and covered in each. It's seen the total go OVER the number in three straight, but note that the Bulldogs have seen the total go UNDER the number in six of their last eight after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. Expect a highly competitive, but lower-scoring UNDER in this one. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-07-23 | Hawks v. Pelicans UNDER 236.5 | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Hawks/Pelicans. The Hawks have seen the total fly OVER the number in four of their last five, but I'm expecting a more defensive affair here finally. Atlanta enters off a 128-108 road loss at Denver. The night before the Hawks won 115-108 in Utah, against a Jazz team that owns a Top 3 offense. I'm expecting a similar final combined score in this one as well. New Orleans comes in off back-to-back high-scoring wins. The Pels have also seen the total go OVER the number in four of their last five. But after holding the Kings to jsut 104 points last time out, I'm expecting another gritty defensive performance here as well from the home side. This number is just a bit high now, so the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-06-23 | Texas +4 v. Kansas | 80-88 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOCKBUSTER Texas. Kansas has played a tough schedule, but it's lost four of its last six games. The Longhorns have struggled in Lawrence over the years, but here's the perfect moment to pull off an upset. The Longhorns already have conference road wins over K-State, WVU, Oklahoma and OKS. They average 79.9 PPG (No. 1 in the conference), and they have the best scoring margin at +11.8 PPG. The outright is possible, but grab the points with TEXAS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-06-23 | Florida A&M v. Prairie View A&M -10 | Top | 45-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* SWAC GOM on Prairie View A&M. Two poor teams, but I say that home floor advantage turns out to be the difference-maker. Florida A&M is just 5-15, while Prairie View A&M is 8-15. The Panthers have the best defense in the conference, and I don't trust A&M's offense to produce anything on the road. This line should in fact be larger. The play is PRAIRIE VIEW A&M. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-06-23 | Celtics v. Pistons OVER 229.5 | Top | 111-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF WEEK on the OVER Celtics/Pistons. Detroit has lost seven of its last ten. It's seen the total go UNDER in four straight, but note that the Pistons have seen the total go OVER in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. The Pistons not surprisingly play with revenge her after falling 117-108 at home to Boston back in November. The total "pushed" on that one, but I'm expecting a much more wide-open affair here. Boston is off the 106-94 home loss to Phoenix. Note that the Celtics have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 after a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. All signs point to a "run and gun shootout," so the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-05-23 | Penn State v. Nebraska +5 | Top | 63-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TEN GOY on Nebraska. Penn State is 14-8, but only 1-5 on the road. Nebraska is only 10-13, but it's 7-3 at home. The Huskers play with revenge here after falling 76-65 at Penn State as eight-point dogs back in January. Note that Nebraska is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The play is NEBRASKA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-05-23 | Wichita State v. Tulsa +6 | Top | 86-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* REVENGE BK on Tulsa. I think an outright is possible, but I'll suggest grabbing the points. This is indeed a "revenge" game for Tulsa, which fell 73-69 at Wichita State on January 14th. It was an "easy" cover for the Golden Hurricane, who had ten-points afforded to them. Wichita State has had success for bettors on the road this season, but I expect that streak to come to an end here with a date at UCF up next after this to look ahead to. Grab the points, the play is TULSA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-05-23 | Magic v. Hornets OVER 234.5 | Top | 119-113 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* SOUTHEAST TOY on the OVER Magic/Hornets. Here's a game in which both teams will feel they can win. Orlando is 21-32, but just 8-19 on the road. The Magic went 1-1 in Philadelphia earlier in the week, and then beat Minnesota 127-120. I expect the Magic to keep that offensive momentum rolling here. Charlotte is 15-39, including 7-16 at home. The Hornets are off three straight losses, which is important to note here for our total, as note that Charlotte has seen the total go OVER the number in seven of its last ten after three or more SU losses in a row. Look for this faster-paced divisional affair to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-04-23 | St Francis PA +3.5 v. Merrimack | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* NORTHEAST GOY on St. Francis PA. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever of these teams has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. St. Francis PA is only 8-14, including just 1-11 on the road. The good news though is that Merrimack is just 8-16 this season, including only 4-6 at home. The Red Flash have lost three straight, both SU and ATS, and that's important to note in our case here, as St. Francis PA is in fact 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. When these teams last played last season, Merrimack scored the 65-64 road win. We can absolutely expect another competitive "nail-biter" here as well. Merrimack only averages 58.9 PPG, while St. Francis PA averages 73.3. The difference comes on the defensive end obviously, but that said, the Red Flash catch a big break today on that end of the court. I do think an outright win is possible, but in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with ST. FRANCIS PA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-03-23 | Blazers +4 v. Wizards | Top | 124-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Blazers. This is a great spot for the Blazers, who have now won four of their last five. Damian Lillard is on fire, and with a game at the Bulls the following night, I expect Portland to leave everything on the floor here. Conversely, the Wizards will get caught "looking ahead" to their game at Brooklyn on Saturday in my opinion. Washington has won six straight SU/ATS including four straight on the road. Suffice it to say, after enjoying three whole nights off, I finally expect the Wiz to have a letdown here. Letdown + look-ahead = TRAP GAME. The play is the BLAZERS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-03-23 | VCU v. St. Louis OVER 141 | Top | 73-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
This is an A-10 TOY on the OVER VCU/Saint Louis. Both teams have been playing to several UNDERS of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. VCU is 8-2 in its last ten, but it's coming off three straight UNDERs (which is actually very signficant for us to note here, as the Rams have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight UNDERs in a row), while Saint Louis is 7-3 in its last ten, and it's seen the total go UNDER the number in two straight. This is the first matchup of the season between the teams, but last March Saint Louis won by a score of 69-65. We can expect a much faster pace here though between two of the top in the Conference. VCU averages 70.4 PPG, while Saint Louis averages 76.2. Look for the tempo of this one to help in pushing this total OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-02-23 | Grizzlies v. Cavs OVER 225.5 | Top | 113-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF TOM on the OVER Grizzlies/Cavs. I expect this non-conference matchup to be less intense defensively than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Grizzlies are just 1-6 in their last seven after last night's 122-112 loss at the Blazers. Look for the Grizz to be a bit fatigued here in the second game of the back-to-back. Memphis has seen the total UNDER in seven straight, which is working in our favor here, as I believe this O/U line is now a few points lower than it normally would/should be because of it. Cleveland has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last six. That includes in its 100-97 loss to Miami as a four-point fav last time out. Note though that the Cavs have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 off a SU/ATS loss as a favorite and being held to 99 or fewer points in. Look for these two teams to play to a wide-open, high-scoring shootout; the play is "over!" Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-02-23 | North Florida +7.5 v. Jacksonville | Top | 76-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASUN GOY on North Florida. This the opener of a home and home set for North Florida and Jacksonville. While I'm stopping short in calling for an outright upset, I do believe that this contest will come "down to the wire." North Florida has lost three straight both SU and ATS. Note though that it's 7-2 ATS in its lasrt nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Ospreys average 75 PPG, while the Dolphins average 65. Jacksonville makes up for it on the other end, allowing just 62.2 PPG. Jacksonville has been trading ATS wins and losses over its last ten games though, and after a 74-64 win over Central Arkansas last time out, I believe this strong pattern continues here. This is a bit of TRAP game for the home side. Grab the points, the play is NORTH FLORIDA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-02-23 | High Point +8.5 v. North Carolina-Asheville | Top | 63-89 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG SOUTH GOM on High Point. I'm not calling for the outright win, but I think this sets up well for the revenge-minded High Point Panthers, who lost to UNC Asheville 76-72 at home as two-point favorites back on January 4th. Note that High Point is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. The Panthers are bad, but they're a bit undervalued here after three straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Note though that High Point is also 6-2 ATS in is last eight after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. UNCA is 8-0 SU its last eight, but this is a few too many points to be giving up here in my opinion. I say these teams play to another competitive and tight battle here as well. Grab the points, the play is HIGH POINT. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-01-23 | Kings v. Spurs OVER 244.5 | Top | 119-109 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* WESTERN CONFERENCE TOM on the OVER Kings/Spurs. Sacramento is the highest scoring team in the league, averaging 119.5 PPG. It has to keep the pedal to the metal offensively most nights, as the Kings are conceding 116.8 PPG, ranked 22nd. The Kings though enter having seen the total go UNDER the number in four straight games. Sacramento though has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. San Antonio comes in hungry to snap a six-game slide. It's coming off a 127-106 home loss to Washington. Note though that the Spurs have seen the total eclipse the posted number in nine of their last 12 after five or more SU losses in a row. When these teams played in January, the Kings won by a score of 132-119. I believe we'll see a similar final combined score here as well. This number is low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
02-01-23 | Samford -4.5 v. Western Carolina | Top | 85-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* SOUTHERN GOY on Samford. I think Samford should be a bigger favorite in this matchup. It's 14-9 overall, while Western Carolina is 12-11. The Bulldogs are tough on both ends of the court, averaging 78.3 PPG, while allowing 71. The Catamounts have been decent as well, averaging 74.7 PPG, and conceding 69.2. The favorite is 7-3-1 ATS the last 11 in this series. Samford is 0-3 ATS in its last three, but that's signficant to note as well, as the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more straight ATS setbacks in a row. Samford is the better team, and it won't be looking past the Catamounts. I expect the Bulldogs to keep the foot on the gas until the final buzzer sounds. Lay the points, the play is SAMFORD. Good luck, NP | |||||||
01-31-23 | Pelicans +8 v. Nuggets | Top | 113-122 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Pelicans. I'm not predicting an outright upset, but I do believe that the conditions are correct for a much tighter game than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Pels have fallen on hard times over the last month, but I expect them to dig deep here and keep it competitive throughout. One angle to note is, the Pels play with revenge here after a tight 99-98 home loss as 3-point dogs to the Nuggets just last week. While they covered the spread, still note that New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in. After an extended winning the run, Denver has cooled off a bit over the last week, going just 2-2 in its last four. It's off a l26-119 loss at Philly most recently. With a couple nights off after this before a home game vs. the defending champs, I say the Nuggets get caught "looking ahead" here as well. As I said, no outright or anything, but this one will come "down to the wire." Grab the points, the play is NEW ORLEANS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
01-31-23 | Ball State v. Bowling Green UNDER 152 | Top | 69-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* MAC TOY on the UNDER Ball State/Bowling Green. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I finally expect those trends to end this evening. Ball State is 14-7, but just 4-4 on the road. It's comig off an 87-69 wi over NIU. It's seen the total go OVER the number in three straight, but note that the Cardinals have in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. Ball State averages 75.6 PPG, while Bowling Green averages 78.1. The Green Falcons are off a 91-77 home loss to Toledo, which is significant for us to take note of, as BG has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of its last 14 off a SU/ATS loss in which it allowed 90 or more points in. Expect the 10-11 home side to double down defensively today in trying to pull off the SU upset. This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
01-30-23 | Jackson State +8 v. Southern | Top | 62-73 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* SWAC GOY on Jackson State. I'm not calling for an outright, but in a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Tigers are just 6-15, while the Jaguars are 10-10. So far Jackson State is averaging 6l6 PPG, while allowing 76.5. Despite going 2-1 SU in its last three, it's 0-3 ATS, which is signficant to note here as the Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight after three or more ATS losses in a row. Southern averages 75.3 PPG, while allowing 73.1. The Jaguars have been ATS covering "machines" of late, but I think this spread is now a little inflated. NOte that they are in fact just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after three or more ATS victories in a row. I expect a very competitive battle until the final moments, so I'm grabbing the points. The play is JACKSON STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
01-30-23 | Kings v. Wolves OVER 236 | Top | 118-111 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER Kings/Wolves. Here's a great situational play, combined with some great O/U trends. These two teams just played, and the Wolves won by a score of 117-110 here two nights ago as 1.5-point underdogs. Minnesota is easily playing its best basketball of the season right now with six wins out of its last seven games. It's seen the total go UNDER in three straight, which is signficant for us to note, as Minnesota has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row. The Kings have seen the total go OVER the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite against an opponent. Sacramento has lost three of its last four, but it still remains the highest scoring team in the league averaging 119.5 PPG. Look for this faster-paced affair to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
01-29-23 | Clippers v. Cavs -4.5 | Top | 99-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Cavaliers. I think this is a great spot for the Cavaliers to bounce back. They've split their last four games. They return home off a 112-100 loss at OKC, but they play with revenge here after a 119-117 loss as a four-point favorite in LA back in November. Note that the Cavs are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss as a favorite against an opponent. The Clippers have for sure been playing better of late, but off a 120-113 home win over the Hawks just last night, expect fatigue to be a major factor for the visiting side this evening. As primarily a situational handicapper, this one does indeed set up perfectly for CLEVELAND in my opinion. Good luck, NP | |||||||
01-29-23 | South Florida v. SMU UNDER 146.5 | Top | 80-82 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* AAC TOY on the UNDER USF/SMU. As primiarly a situational handicapper at heart, these are the types of games that I wait for to come along each season. This one ticks all the boxes for me. Both teams need a win. USF is just 9-12, and SMU is just 7-14. Look for this competitiveness to translate into a tight, defensive affair here. USF has now seen the total go OVER the number in nine of its last ten, including six straight after a 79-76 OT loss at Temple. That's significant to note here though, as the Bulls have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight OVERs in a row. SMU has played to three straight OVERS, and that's also important for us to take note of, as the Mustangs have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. This O/U line is now inflated a few points higher than it normally would/should be. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
01-28-23 | Clippers v. Hawks UNDER 234 | Top | 120-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Clippers/Hawks. I'm expecting a slower-paced here between these two non-conference opponents. Each team needs a victory, and I believe we'll see a very tight, lower-scoring affair, rather than a "run and gun" shootout. The Clippers are coming off four straight SU victories and they've seen the total go OVER in two in a row. Despite that though LA still only averages 110.7 PPG, ranked 28th. The Hawks beat the Clippers 112-108 at home at the start of January, and that total stayed UNDER the number of 233. I'm expecting a similar final combined score here as well. ATL has seen the total go OVER in four of its last five, including in a 137-132 win at the Thunder last time out. I think tonight's total is now a little TOO high though. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
01-28-23 | Bulls -140 v. Magic | Top | 128-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* ML REVENGE DESTRUCTION on the Bulls. CHicago has lost two straight on the road. Most recently it was an uninspiring 111-96 setback at Charlotte. The Bulls though are 7-2 ATS in their last nine off a SU/ATS loss as a favorite. Chicago plays with revenge here after falling 108-107 at home to the Magic as 8.5-point favs back in November. Note that the Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent as a favorite. Orlando has won eight of its last ten ATS, including three straight. It's coming off the 110-105 road loss at Miami just last night and I believe it'll be fatigued. We're bypassing the spread, laying the price on the moneyline and expecting the BULLS to dig deep and deliver here. Good luck, NP | |||||||
01-28-23 | UAB -3.5 v. Rice | 70-52 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* MONEY-BOMB on UAB. UAB is 14-7, but just 1-4 on the road. Rice is 15-5, and it's 10-2 at home. Despite that, I think that the Blazers are undervalued here. UAB has lost nine of ten ATS. That's skewed this line here finally in my opinion. The Blazers average 82.6 PPG, while allowing 71.3, while th eOwls average 80.7, while conceding 73.1. The favorite is 4-1 ATS the last five in this series, and I look for that near-perfect streak to continue. The play is UAB. Good luck, NP | |||||||
01-28-23 | Maryland-Baltimore County +8.5 v. Vermont | Top | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* AE GOM on UMBC. UMBC has been trading ATS wins and losses for seven straight games, and off a 69-65 upset loss at NJIT last time out, I belive this pattern continues. NOte that UMBC is 3-1 ATS in its last four off an upset loss as a favorite. It's also 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent, which occured on January 1st, falling 74-61 to Vermont as a two-point home dog. Vermont is off three straight SU/ATS victories, which is significant to note here, as it's just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU victories in a row. Despite Vermont's home record, I say this one favors the visitors. The play is UMBC. Good luck, NP |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
William Burns | $516 |
Ricky Tran | $412 |
Sean Higgs | $152 |
Dan Kaiser | $151 |
Will Rogers | $131 |
Ray Monohan | $58 |
Jimmy Boyd | $47 |
Sean Murphy | $21 |
Joey Tron | $11 |