Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-06-24 | Cincinnati +9 v. BYU | Top | 71-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Cincinnati. While I'm not calling for the outright win, I definitely think this is too many points for the home side to be covering here. Cincinnati is 10-2 and BYU is 12-1. The Bearcats are off the 76-68 win over Evansville, but despite not covering the spread for a fourth straight time, note that the Bearcats are still 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. BYU is 4-1 SU in its last five and 3-0 ATS in its last three, but that's also significant to note here as the Cougars are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS victories in a row. These teams are more evenly matched than what this spread is suggesting. So grab the points, as the play is indeed on CINCINNATI. Good luck, NP | |||||||
01-05-24 | Boise State v. San Jose State UNDER 141 | Top | 78-69 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* MW TOY on the UNDER Boise State/SJSU. Both teams have been involved in several highers-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to more of a defensive battle here in what I believe to be a great situational play. Boise State is now 9-4 after its most recent 85-63 win over Utah Valley last time out. The Broncos have now seen the total go OVER the number in five of their last six. The total also went OVER the number in San Jose State's 74-68 OT win in this game last year. SJSU is just 7-7 after trading wins and losses over it last five games, most recently falling 75-73 at Wyoming as a 5.5-point dog. The Spartans have seen the total go OVER in five straight, but that's definitely significant to take note of us, as SJSU has in fact seen the total go UNDER in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight OVERS in a row. With each team doubling down defensively like I anticipate, all signs definitely point to a much lower-scoring battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; this number is high, the play is the "under!" Good luck, NP | |||||||
01-04-24 | Minnesota v. Michigan UNDER 151.5 | Top | 73-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TEN TOM on the UNDER Minnesota/Michigan. These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening in what sets up well from a situational stand point to be a very defensive affair between these conference opponents. Minnesota is 10-3 and Michigan is 6-7. The Wolverines have seen the total go OVER the number in six straight after their 87-76 loss to McNeese State. That's significant to note however for a couple of different reasons, as despite the total going OVER the number for a sixth straight time for Michigan in that one, the Wolverines have still seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of thier last 12 after playing to five or more straight OVERS in a row. Michigan has also seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four off an upset home loss as a favorite. The Gophers enter on a five-game win streak and they've now seen the total go OVER the number in three straight after their most recent 80-62 win over Maine. Note though that Minnesota has seen the total go UNDER in five of its last seven after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. I think Michigan doubles down defensively here as it looks to get back into the winner's circle. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
01-03-24 | Rutgers +9 v. Ohio State | Top | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG TEN GOM on Rutgers. I'm not calling for an outright win. I'm not trying to pretend that Rutgers is a great team that's just had some bad breaks to open the year. Ohio State is the better team in this fight, but situationally this one sets up great for Rutgers to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample amount of points that they've been afforded in this one. The Scarlet Knights are 8-4 and the Buckeyes are 11-2. The Scarlet Knights are 1-1 on the road this year. The Buckeyes enter on a three-game win streak after beating WVU in OT in the Legends of Basketbal Showcase. Despite being 7-1 at home this year, I suspect a bit of a mental letdown here finally from Ohio State after that big victory. Rutgers may be 0-3 ATS in its last three, but it's a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in its last eight after three or more ATS losses in a row. This one sets up great from a situational stand point for the SCARLET KNIGHTS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
01-02-24 | Utah State v. Air Force UNDER 136.5 | Top | 88-60 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* MW TOM on the UNDER Utah State/Air Force. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but now that conference action is here, I'm expecting a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Utah State is 12-1 and fourth in the Mountain West. The Aggies have seen the total fly OVER the number in six of their last seven. Air Force won't be taking anything for granted here though. It's 7-5 and it's lost three straight. The Falcons have also seen the total go OVER the number in three straight. Both of these facts are important to take note of, as Air Force has in fact seen the total UNDER the number in three of its last four after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row and seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-31-23 | Oakland +4 v. Youngstown State | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* HORIZON LEAGUE GOM on Oakland. While I feel the outright win is possible, in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Golden Grizzlies are 6-8 overall and 3-5 on the road, while the Youngstown State Penguins are 10-3 overall, including 7-0 at home. This is a classic over-reaction though by the general betting public, with the majority of the money on the home side here. Oakland has played some tough teams and while it's 0-3 SU/ATS in its last three, note that the Grizzlies have performend well in this spot for bettors by going 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Look for the hungrier visiting side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to cover with the points. Grab the points, the play is indeed on OAKLAND. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-30-23 | CS Sacramento +11.5 v. Eastern Washington | Top | 61-87 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG SKY GOM on Sacramento State. Sacramento State is 3-9, including 0-1 in Big Sky action, while Eastern Washington is 5-7, and 1-0 in league play. These teams are very even defensively, with Sacramento State conceding 72.7 PPG so far, and Eastern Washington allowing 72.9. The Eagles' stellar home numbers have the general betting public rushing to the window, but in my estimation this spread is now just a little TOO big for the home side to cover. So grab the points, the play is SACRAMENTO STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-29-23 | Rider v. Penn State UNDER 147.5 | 63-90 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOWOUT on the UNDER Rider/Penn State. This is a great "situational" play. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but now I believe they'll finally play to more of a defensive affair here in their final non-conference contest of the season. Rider is only 3-9, including just 1-6 on the road, while Penn State is 6-6, including 6-1 at home. Will the Nittany Lions get caught "looking past" their lowly opponent today to their game at Michigan State on January 4th?! I mean, the possibility is there for sure. I believe the Nittany Lions will take the foot off the gas in the second half. Previous to their 72-55 win over Le Moyne last time out, the Lions had seen the total go OVER in seven straight, so I'm expecting another great defensive performance here vs. this sub-par Broncs offense. Rider has played to back-to-back OT games and it's seen the total go OVER in three straight, but note that the Broncs have seen the total go UNDER in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. I say the conditions are right for a lower-scoring UNDER here finally. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-28-23 | Long Beach State v. CS-Fullerton +2.5 | Top | 81-71 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG WEST GOM on Cal State Fullerton. While I clearly feel the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end I'll recommend that you grab as many points as you can. Big West Conference action here and I just can't understate how important I feel that the home-court advantage really will prove to be for the Titans. Cal State Fullerton comes in playing its best basketball of the season in winning five of its last six. With a tough upcoming road trip at Hawaii and UC Irvine, this contest takes on added importance for the Titans. LBSU is off five straight SU wins and three straight ATS victories, but that's significant to note here as Long Beach State is in fact just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more ATS victories in a row. Grab the points, the play is CAL STATE FULLERTON. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-24-23 | TCU v. Hawaii UNDER 148.5 | Top | 65-51 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* WALLET EXPANDER on the UNDER TCU/Hawaii. These teams have been involved in some higher-scoring games of late, but here on X-Mas Eve I'm expecting more of a defensive battle. TCU is 9-2 and Hawaii is 8-3. The Horned Frogs are 1-0 in true road games, and the Warriors are 6-2 at home. In what we anticipate to be a very competitive battle, we expect that to then translate into a very defensive battle. The Horned Frogs have seen the total go OVER the number in four of their last five, but they're off the 88-75 loss to Nevada as three-point favorites, and that's important for us to take note of here as TCU has in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of its last 12 off a SU/ATS loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Hawaii is in a similar spot. Its last game also went OVER the number in a 73-68 loss to Georgia Tech, but note that the Warriors have seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last four off a SU/ATS loss as a favorite. The overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends point to this total staying well UNDER the number. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-23-23 | Vanderbilt +16.5 v. Memphis | 75-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on Vanderbilt. I'm not predicting an outright upset or anything, but I do think that the home side will take the No. 23 ranked home side will take the foot off the gas in the second half as it gets caught looking ahead to the X-Mas Break. Memphis has now won four straight. Vanderbilt on the other hand has dropped three straight, both SU and ATS. That however is significant for us to take note of as the Commodores are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Vanderbilt won't be happy with its 63-62 loss to Western Carolina. The Tigers are clearly the better team here, but I say everything points to a second half "lapse." No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points, the play is VANDY. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-22-23 | Marist v. Notre Dame OVER 125.5 | Top | 56-60 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF TOW on the OVER Marist/Notre Dame. Both teams have been involved in some lower-scoring affairs of late, but I'm finally expecting some offensive fireworks. Marist is 7-2 and it's seen the total go UNDER in five straight (while also winning five straight), after its 76-52 victory over UMES. Note though that the Foxes have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last ten after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row.) Notre Dame is just 4-7. It'll be desperate here to snap a three-game slide, falling 65-45 to The Citadel as 8.5-point favs last time out, but note that the Irish have seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last four after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The overall situation combined with the numbers/trends all point to this one eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-21-23 | Kent State +7 v. Oregon | Top | 70-84 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER SHOCKER on Kent State. Both teams enter 7-3. One enters "under the radar" though, and it's not Oregon. The Golden Flashes average 84.3 PPG, while allowing 72.5. Oregon averages 78.5 PPG, while allowing 71. I just can't see Oregon pulling away in this one. I'll stop short in calling for the outright victory, but everything points to a much tighter contest than what this spread is suggesting in my opinion. So grab the points, the play is indeed on KENT STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-20-23 | Alabama v. Arizona UNDER 174 | Top | 74-87 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER Bama/Zona. Alabama is 6-4, while Arizona is 8-1. This is the Jerry Colangelo Hall of Fame Series at the Footprint Center. The Tide have lost three of their last four and the last thing they'll want to do is to turn this into a "track meet" with the Wildcats, whose only loss came against No. 1 ranked Purdue last Saturday. These teams are both averaging in the 90's, hence the really high total. But look for these teams to be a little less efficient here in this neutral site affair. In my opinion, this total is now just a bit TOO high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-19-23 | CS-Northridge v. UCLA -17 | Top | 76-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BEATDOWN on UCLA. Cal State Northridge is 7-3, while UCLA is 5-4. The Matadors are 3-2 on the road, while UCLA is 4-0 at home. CSUN held on for an 80-75 win over Utah Tech last time out, but I think it'll struggle to keep pace here with the home side. UCLA has had its up and downs to start the season, but the bottom line is that it's faced some really stiff competition, like Gonzaga, Villanova and Ohio State. With upcoming games vs. Maryland and then the conference schedule getting underway, this is a final "tune-up" for UCLA and I expect it to make the most of it. Lay the points with confidence, the play is indeed on UCLA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-18-23 | Tenn-Martin +6.5 v. Evansville | Top | 91-98 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Tennessee Martin. This one sets up really well for the Skyhawks from a situational stand point and in a game that I see "coming down to the wire," I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Tennessee Martin is 6-5 and comes in "under the radar" a bit here in my estimation facing the 8-2 Evansville Purple Aces. The Skyhawks are off a competitive 81-67 loss to NC State, easily covering the 19 points and I think they're not getting enough respect here either. Evansville has faced some stiff competition this year as well, but the Skyhawks balance on both ends of the court makes them a possibility for an outright upset here. In this evenly matched contest, I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with TENNESSEE MARTIN. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-16-23 | North Carolina -1.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 83-87 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on UNC. This is a big game, but one that favors UNC in my opinion. Both teams are 7-2 as they enter this CBS Sports Classic contest. UNC's two losses have come against Villanova (83-81) and UConn (87-67.) In between those losses are three quality wins. One of the Wildcats' losses cam against lowly UNC Wilmington (80-73.) UNC has more talent on the floor here today though (Armando Bacot), and I believe it's already more "battle-tested." Lay the short points, the play is NORTH CAROLINA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-13-23 | Creighton v. UNLV +13.5 | Top | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER SHOCKER on UNLV. As primarily a "situational" capper, these are the types of games I keep my eyes open for. I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but I do think that the stage is now set for a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting. This is part of the Jack Jones Classic. I think 8-1 Creighton takes the foot off the gas here and allows 3-4 UNLV to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Creighton is great on both sides of the ball, but everything points to a letdown in my opinion as it looks to close out non-conference play. The Rebels have fallen WAY short of expectations this year, as they already have three losses as favorites. Winning can lead to complacency and losing leads to desperation. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points, the play is indeed on UNLV. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-11-23 | Delaware v. Robert Morris +5 | Top | 73-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* UNDERDOG BOB on Robert Morris. As primarily a situational handicapper, this one falls right into my wheelhouse. The Blue Hens are 6-3 SU, including 3-1 on the road. They're 4-0 ATS. I say this string of ATS success away from friendly confines comes to an end here finally vs. 2-7 Robert Morris. I say Delaware is primed for a letdown here after its 87-80 upset win over Xavier. The Colonials are 4-4 ATS. They're competing hard despite their win/loss record, most recently falling 87-80 to Canisius. I think this is a good matchup for the home side. The Blue Hens are getting a little TOO much repsect here now after their most recent upset and while I do think the outright win is a possibility, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with ROBERT MORRIS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-10-23 | Grambling State +22.5 v. Washington State | Top | 65-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Grambling State. I'm a situational handicapper for the most part. I always look for what I feel to be undervalued, or overvalued teams based upon where the early money goes, and then I look at trends and other factor based criteria to make my decision. In this case, I think that 7-1 Washington State will get caught looking past its lowly non-conference opponent today, to back-to-back neutral site games before the bulk of the conference schedule begins. Grambling State is just 2-6 SU, and 0-6 ATS. It's coming off five straight SU/ATS losses in a row, but that's significant to note here as the Tigers are in fact 8-2 ATS in their last ten after five or more ATS losses in a row. Grambling State has been a big underdog in most of its games and it's faced some stiff competion, including back-to-back road games at Troy and Dayton. This is a few too many points to be giving up now, the play is indeed on GRAMBLING STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-09-23 | St. Mary's +5.5 v. Colorado State | Top | 64-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Saint Mary's. While I feel the outright win is a distinct possibility, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can here with the visiting side. The Gaels are 4-5 SU while the Rams are 9-0. CSU is ranked 13th and has already beaten Washington, Colorado, Creighton and BC. Saint Mary's snapped a two-game slide with a 70-57 win over Cleveland State last time out. The Gaels lost this game 62-60 last year as 12-point favorites. That humbling setback won't be forgotten at this point. The Rams have hit a favorable part of their schedule, but it's now Colorado State which I feel is getting too much respect from the oddsmakers. This one has "trap" written all over it. As stated off the top, I love the way this one sets up situationally for the hungry visiting side and while I do feel that the outright upset is a very real possibility, let's grab the points and expect a battle until the end. The play is SAINT MARY'S. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-08-23 | Illinois-Chicago v. Jacksonville State OVER 131 | Top | 55-49 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONF. TOY on the OVER UIC/Jacksonville State. Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games heading into this one, but I'm finally expecting some offensive fireworks this evening. UIC is 5-3, including 1-1 on the road, while Jacksonville State is 4-5, including 2-2 at home. Jacksonville State is off the 61-59 home loss to ETSU, which is significant to take note of, as the Gamecocks have responded well in this spot for OVER bettors, having seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 12 off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in which they were held to 60 or fewer points in. The Gamecocks have in fact seen the total go UNDER in all but their very first contest this year. Expect these two hungry sides to push the pace and ultimatley look for this total to blow well OVER the number as it comes down the stretch. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-06-23 | Massachusetts v. Towson +3 | Top | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* MASTERPIECE on Towson. Here's a great early season "situational" play. Massachusetts is 4-1 this year, but now finally hits the road for its first true road game here. Towson is 3-5 so far, but 2-0 at home. I think the home floor advantage really will matter here. The Tigers have played the tougher competition to this point as well. While I do think an outright win is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with TOWSON. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-03-23 | Eastern Kentucky +4.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 69-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* BATTLE on Eastern Kentucky. Here at the Diddle Arena, I'm expecting a battle until the end. EKU is 3-2 and WKU is 5-3. EKU is off the 77-76 win over Troy. It averages 91.2 PPG, while allowing 75.8. WKU is averaging 81.1 PPG, while allowing 74.4. This really is a case of this being a bad matchup for the Hilltoppers. Look for EKU's faster-pace and high-scoring ways to keep it competitive in this contest late. Grab the points, the play is EKU. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-02-23 | CS-Northridge v. Northern Colorado -3.5 | Top | 71-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* BK on Northern Colorado. I like the way this one sets up for the home side. CSU Northridge is 5-3, while Northern Colorado is 3-4. The Bears are 2-1 at home. They're off a tight 74-72 loss as 4.5-point dogs at San Diego last time out. They've faced some stiff competition, including Colorado State and New Mexico State. The same can't be said for the Matadors, who somehow pulled off the 80-69 upset road win at Pacific last time out (but note that they're just 3-6 ATS in their last nine off a SU/ATS road win as a dog vs. an opponent.) These teams played last year and Northern Colorado won 70-63 on the road. Now at home here in 2023, I think we'll see an even bigger blowout this time around. Lay the points, the play is NORTHERN COLORADO. Good luck, NP | |||||||
12-01-23 | Liberty v. College of Charleston +5.5 | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GOW on Charleston. The 6-1 Liberty Flames are getting a little TOO much respect from the oddsmakers now in my opinion. The Cougars though come in off a momentum-building 84-78 win over Kent State. So far Charleston averages 71.8 PPG, while allowing 74.8. Liberty is off its first loss of the season, falling 83-58 at FAU as a 7.5-point underdog. And with nearly 85% of the early public money backing the home side, we're going to definitely go contrarian with this wager. I think the hungry COUGARS keep it super tight until the final moments, so grab the points. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-30-23 | Creighton v. Oklahoma State +8 | Top | 79-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* CBB UNDERDOG TOP SIDE on Oklahoma State. Creighton is 4-1. While they've played two neutral site tournament games, the Blue Jays have yet to play a true road game this year. This is the first. Oklahoma State is 3-3 this year, including 3-1 at home. The Cowboys are coming off B2B blowout wins, posting 188 points in the process. Look for Oklahoma State's offense to be a difference-maker here at home. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points, the play is OKLAHOMA STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-29-23 | CS-Northridge v. Pacific -2.5 | Top | 80-69 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Pacific. CSU Northridge is 4-2, but after two straight road victories, I'm expecting it to take a step back here finally. Pacific is 4-1 overall, but 0-4 ATS in its last four. Expect that lop-sided number to change here though in this favorable home matchup. The Matadors are off the 84-48 blowout win over Mississippi Valley State and so far average 80.2 PPG, while allowing 70. Pacific avoided a near-disaster by holding on for a 68-65 OT win over Mississippi Valley State. The Tigers are averaging 67.4 PPG, while allowing 73.7. Look for the Matadors to finally take a step back here and for PACIFIC to play a full four-quarters. Lay the points. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-27-23 | Northern Illinois v. Northwestern -11.5 | Top | 67-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE CBB GOW on Northwestern. NIU is 5-1 and Northwestern is 4-1. The Huskies are 5-0 ATS after dispatching DePaul 89-79 as a 3.5-point dog last time out. NIU has quickly become a fan favorite, but now I think it's getting too much respect here. Northwestern has faced some stiff competition. Last time out it was a 3.5-point dog and it lost 66-57 to Mississippi State in a tourney game. With Purdue coming to town next, the Wildcats can't afford to look past this opportunity. Look for NIU's perfect ATS run to finally come to an end here, as Northwestern's superior play on both ends of the court will prove to be too much for the visiting side to keep up to. Lay the points, the play is Northwestern. (additional analysis available.) Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-27-23 | Troy State v. Eastern Kentucky -5 | 76-77 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ATS BLOWOUT on Eastern Kentucky. Troy is 3-3 adn EKU is 2-2. The Trojans are off the 80-67 win over Grambling State. Overall Troy averages 86.5 PPG. EKU is going to be the "hungrier" team here though after back-to-back losses. Most recently it was a 76-64 loss to Prairie View A&M last time out. Despite the losses though, note that the Colonels are still averaging 94.8 PPG this year. These are two .500 teams, but EKU has a major advantage at home. Look for the Colonels pace to be too much for the Trojans to keep up with down the stretch. Lay the points, the play is EKU. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-25-23 | Evansville v. SE Missouri State +6.5 | Top | 93-74 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT on Southeast Missouri State. Evansville is 5-0 SU/ATS, but off an 85-77 OT win over Chattanooga last night, I think the Purple Aces will have a difficult time covering this spread vs. Southeast Missouri State, which plays with revenge after a 76-57 loss at home to Evansville two weeks ago. The Redhawks snapped their three-game slide to open the season with a 70-68 win over Central Arkansas last time out, and they're 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Round 2 is going to be a lot closer, so grab the points with Southeast Missouri State. (more analysis available) Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-24-23 | Brown v. Delaware UNDER 141.5 | Top | 59-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER Brown/Delaware. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games to open the season, but I think this Tournament game finally sets up as more of a defensive battle. Brown is 1-4, while Delaware is 4-0. The Bears have seen the total fly OVER the number in three straight, but note that Brown has in fact seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. Delaware is off the 78-67 win over Delaware State, and whiel that total did eclipse the smaller number, note that the Blue Hens previous three contests all went UNDER the number. All signs point to a much more defensive battle than what this O/U line is suggesting in my opinion. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-23-23 | Boise State +2.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Boise State. This is the final game of the opening day of play at the ESPN Events Invitational. Virginia Tech is 3-1 after a 98-76 win over Wofford at home. Boise State is 2-1 SU after falling 85-68 to Clemson in its most recent action. So far in the early going the Hokies are averaging 83.8 PPG, while allowing 63.5. The Broncos are averaging 73.3 PPG, while allowing 66. Virginia Tech's wins have come over nobodies. In the one game they lost to South Carolina (at a neutral court), they were favored by 6.5. Boise State has already faced two tough teams in San Francisco and Clemson and I say it's the Broncos who should in fact be favored here. Grab the points, the play is indeed on BOISE STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-22-23 | Ole Miss -3 v. Temple | 77-76 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER-BLOWOUT on Ole Miss. Ole Miss is 4-0 and Temple is 3-1. The Rebels survived a scare last time out by holding off Sam Houston 70-67, but now I expect them to be "on point" here after that near disaster. The Owls are 1-1 at home, losing 78-73 to Columbia last time out. As soon as Temple played someone half decent, it completely crumbled. It was a 12.5-point favorite over Columbia, but it got crushed. Ole Miss hasn't faced anyone difficult yet either, but it'll have its opportunities here from range finally, and I expect it to dominate in the paint as well. Lay the points, the play is OLE MISS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-21-23 | Syracuse +12.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 57-76 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOURNEY PLAY on Syracuse. The Orange are 3-1 and the Bulldogs are 2-1. Syracuse though is 0-4 ATS, while Gonzaga is 1-1. This is the consolation part of the bracket for the Maui Invitational. Syracuse suffered its first SU loss of the season last time out by falling 73-56 to Tennessee, but note that the Orange are 3-1 ATS in their last four after a SU/ATS loss as an underdog. Gonzaga also lost its first game of the year in a 73-63 setback to Purdue. Syracuse has the personel to stretch this Zags defense and while I'm stopping short in calling for the outright upset, I do see the backdoor being left open for the hungry underdogs to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. Grab the points, the play is SYRACUSE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-20-23 | NC-Wilmington v. Murray State +6 | 83-81 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* ATS BLOWOUT SUPER WINNER on Murray State. Murray State is 2-1 and UNC Wilmington is 3-0. These early season Tournament games are always interesting. With nearly 80% of the money on the Seahawks though, I definitely feel that we're getting great value here on the Raers, who enter off the 86-81 loss to WKU. While I do feel an outright win is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with MURRAY STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-19-23 | College of Charleston -7.5 v. Coastal Carolina | 80-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SUPER BLOWOUT on Charleston. This is the seventh-place game in the Myrtle Beach Invitational. Both teams are 0-2 so far in this tournament, but Charleston is the more battle-tested and I'm expecting its offense to be too much for the Chanticleers to handle down the stretch. The Cougars most recently fell 67-60 to Wyoming, led by 19 points and eight boards from Ben Burnham in a losing cause. Coastal Carolina is hosting this tournament, but I say they're way overmatched here. The Chanticleers only had 11 total victories last year, and all signs point to another very difficult season ahead. Lay the points, the play is CHARLESTON. (more analysis available) Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-18-23 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. South Dakota +3.5 | 93-81 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* UNDERDOG BLOWOUT on South Dakota. With 70% of the money on Purdue Fort Wayne, I'm naturally going to go the other way here and take South Dakota. It's not just that though, as overall this one does set up well for the hungry underdog home side. The Mastodons are 4-0, while the Coyotes are 3-1. Check out who these teams have played tough, and it's South Dakota that's endured the tougher schedule. In a contest that I see coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The play is SOUTH DAKOTA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-18-23 | Seattle University v. VCU OVER 136.5 | Top | 56-60 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the OVER Seattle/VCU. At the start of the season, I'm basing my picks on "situations." And for the most part I base all of my Over/Under releases (in every sport), on "situations" as well. And so this one is a great "situational" play in my opinion. Both teams are 2-1 SU. Seattle is 0-3 ATS, while VCU is 2-1 ATS. But both sides have seen the total go UNDER in all three games to this point. But that's in fact significant to note here, as Seattle has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight UNDERS in a row, while VCU has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten in the same position. For all the reasons listed above, I think this O/U is now a bit TOO low. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-16-23 | North Dakota State v. Montana OVER 137 | Top | 78-69 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOW on the OVER North Dakota State/Montana. The North Dakota State Bison are on the road to take on the Montana Grizzlies and everything points to this one flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later. North Dakota State is 2-2 after a 68-53 loss to UC Davis last time out. Overall the Bison are so far averaging 71.5 PPG, while allowing 74.8. Montana is 2-1 after a 78-65 win over UC Davis last time out. Montana is averaging 82 PPG, while allowing 66.3 in the early going. I see the Grizzlies really pushing the pace of this one, and because of that, everything does indeed point to the OVER as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one in my opinion. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-15-23 | Georgetown v. Rutgers OVER 134.5 | Top | 60-71 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER TOTAL on the OVER Georgetown/Rutgers. Georgetown is 1-1, and Rutgers is 2-1. So far the Scarlet Knights have seen the total go UNDER the number in their first three games, but I'm finally expecting more of a wide-open offensive affair in this one. Rutgers lost its first game of the year to Princeton, but comes in off B2B victories. The Scarlet Knights have been playing great defense, but the Hoyas outside shooting will keep them honest in this one. Expect these team's offensive shooting numbers to improve in this one and expect this total to eclipse this low number as the game comes down the stretch. The play is the OVER. (more analysis available) Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-14-23 | Southern Utah v. Utah State -15.5 | Top | 84-93 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* ULTIMATE BEATDOWN on Utah State. Southern Utah is 1-1 SU and 1-0 ATS, while Utah State is 1-1 SU, and 0-1 ATS. Southern Utah averaged 82.8 PPG last year, while allowing 74.7. The Aggies averaged 78.2 PPG, while conceding just 69.9. The difference though is the level of competition. After a somewhat lacklustre start, I'm looking for Utah State to take advantage of this matchup as I expect its defense to be the difference-maker in the end. Lay the points, the play is UTAH STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-13-23 | Michigan v. St. John's -2.5 | Top | 89-73 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on St. John's. This is part of the Gavitt Tipoff Games. The Wolverines are 2-0 after pulling away for a 92-62 win over Youngstown State on Friday. They're also 2-0 ATS. The Red Storm are 1-0 SU and 0-1 ATS after a 90-74 win over Stony Brook. The moral of the story here? Clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched. St. John's has had a week off to prepare for this one, where Michigan played on Friday. Look for the more rested side to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover. Lay the short points, the play is ST. JOHN'S. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-12-23 | UC-Davis +4.5 v. Montana | Top | 65-78 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* UNDERDOG BOB on UC Davis. UC Davis is 2-0 SU, and 0-2 ATS. Montana is 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever of these equally-matched sides has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. Last year Montana averaged 69.3 PPG, while the Aggies averaged 74.8. Elija Pepper and Ty Johnson are a difficult matchup issue for the home side here. Look for UC DAVIS to, at the very least, keep this one comfortably close down the stretch and grab as many points as you can. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-11-23 | Siena +12 v. Richmond | Top | 48-90 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILER on Siena. Both teams are 1-0. I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but I do absolutely believe that the stage is set for a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Siena held on for a tighter-than-expected 73-71 win over Holy Cross in its opener, while Richmond rolled over VMI 93-71. The Saints had three players score in double-digits, while Richmond had two. The lack of scoring depth for the Spiders is something they'll have to figure out before the end of the season if they want to be true contendors. Either way, this is a few too many points in my opinion. Grab the points, the play is SIENA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-11-23 | Arkansas State +2 v. Bowling Green | Top | 75-81 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* UNDERDOG SUPER SHOCKER on Arkansas State. Arkansas State comes in as the hungrier team here after falling to Wisconsin in its opener. Bowling Green is 1-0, but its victory came over lowly Chicago State. In the 105-76 loss to the Badgers, Freddy Hicks was superb in a losing cause with 21 point and seven boards and I think he'll be a matchup issue for the Green Falcons today. The 70-41 win over Chicago State clearly has to be taken with a grain of salt, with Marcus Hill leading the way with 18 points and five boards. The Red Wolves still shot 40.7 percent in their loss to Wisconsin, and this Green Falcons' defense isn't anything close to the Badgers' unit. Either way, while I do think the outright win is possible obviously, my official recommendation will be to grab as many points as you can with ARKANSAS STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-10-23 | Monmouth +16 v. West Virginia | 73-65 | Win | 100 | 26 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* DESTRUCTION on Monmouth. I like Monmouth to comfortably sneak in through the back door. WVU is 1-0 after a relatively easy 67-59 win over Missouri State, while Monmouth is 0-1 after a 72-61 setback at George Mason. Quinn Slazinski had 18 points for the Mountaineers in the victory, while Xander Rice had 21 points for Monmouth in a losing cause. Last year WVU averaged 76 PPG, while allowing 70.9, while the Hawks averaged 61.7 and allowing 74.7. Monmouth though is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after a SU/ATS road loss as an underdog in its previous contest. This is a few too many points in my estimation. Grab the points, the play is indeed on MONMOUTH. (more analysis available.) Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-10-23 | Youngstown State +14 v. Michigan | Top | 62-92 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* SHOCKER on Youngstown State. Am I suggesting that Youngstown State will win this game outright?! I am not! But I do think it'll be a lot closer down the stretch than what this lop-sided spread is suggesting. Last year the Penguins averaged 81.9 PPG, while allowing 72.5. They're 0-1 after a tight 72-62 loss at UL Lafayette as 4.5-point underdogs. Michigan rolled over UNCA 99-74 as a ten-point favorite. Last year the Wolverines averaged 73.4, while allowing 69.6. These teams have no recent history together and the bottom line is I believe the visiting side will come in under the radar here and give the Wolverines everything they can handle. Grab the points, the play is YOUNGSTOWN STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-09-23 | Florida A&M +26 v. Nebraska | Top | 54-81 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* ULTIMATE SHOCKER on Florida A&M. At the start of the season, in any sport, I employ a few different strategies, as my systems don't really kick into full gear until at least a week or so of results have been posted. Am I suggesting an outright win here? Of course not! But I do think that Nebraska will take the foot off the gas in the second half and allow Florida A&M more than enough room to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. I'm a situational handicapper, and this is a great situational play in my opinion. FAMU is 0-1after a huimbling 105-54 setback at Creighton. It's being undervalued here now though. Nebraska is 1-0 SU/ATS after its 84-52 win over Lindenwood. But with a neutral site tourney game vs. Oregon State up next, I think the home side gets caught "looking ahead." Grab the points, the play is FLORIDA A&M. (more analysis available.) Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-08-23 | Southern +18.5 v. UNLV | Top | 85-71 | Win | 100 | 32 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Southern. Southern travels to UNLV to take on the Rebels and in no way shape or form am I suggesting that the Jaguars will win this game straight-up, but I do think that the overall situation/conditions point to this one being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Southern lost 108-75 at TCU as a 27.5-point underdog, unable to cover with the large spread. The Jaguars get another large spread here on Wednesday as well, but with that first game under their belt, I think we'll see another solid overall performance from the visiting side. Southern made this trip here last year and lost this game 66-56 as a 14-point dog and all signs point to a similar final discrepancy in the outcome of this one here on Wednesday as well. Grab the points, the play is indeed on SOUTHERN. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-07-23 | Auburn +2 v. Baylor | Top | 82-88 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GOW on Auburn. These teams haven't played since January 30th, 2021 and Baylor won 84-72. With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched, as this game is in fact being played on a neutral court. Baylor averaged 77 PPG last year, while conceding 70.3. The Bears struggled on the glass, ranked 283rd in the country with 29.9 per game. Baylor was sharp from behind the line, 18th in the nation with 9.3 per game. But Auburn ranked 17th best in country in defending the three-ball, allowing just 5.6 per contest, and SIXTH-BEST in three-point percentage allowed at 28.8 percent. Overall the Tigers averaged 72.8 PPG, while conceding 67.7. I say defense wins the day in this early season tournament action. Grab the points, the play is AUBURN. Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-06-23 | Sam Houston State v. Pacific | 64-57 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Sam Houston State. With over 75% of the early public money on Pacific, we're definitely going the other way on this one and taking Sam Houston State. (more analysis available.) Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-06-23 | Portland State +7 v. Air Force | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Portland State. With over 75% of the early public money on Air Force, we're definitely going the other way and taking Portland State. (more analysis available.) Good luck, NP | |||||||
11-06-23 | Abilene Christian +10.5 v. Oklahoma State | 64-59 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Albiene Christian. With nearly 80% of the early public money on Oklahoma State, we're going the other way here and taking Albiene Christian. (more analysis available.) Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut OVER 132.5 | Top | 59-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* ULTIMATE TOTAL on the OVER SDSU/UConn. I had a play on the OVER in SDSU's Final Four win over FAU. I expect another higher-tempo and ultimately higher-scoring affair here as well. SDSU will be forced to match pace with UConn, which is loaded with diverse offensive talent. Both teams have played to several UNDERS throughout their Conference and NCAA Tournament runs, but that fact has only helped in driving this Championship Game total a few points lower than it normally would/should be in my opinion. I just think that if UConn does sit back and let the Aztecs control the tempo, and if this does turn into a full-court defensive battle, then it's a game that will favor the underdog here. So I don't see the offensively talented Huskies letting that happen. This number is low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State OVER 131.5 | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOP PLAY on the OVER FAU/SDSU. These are two of the best defensive clubs in the nation. The reason they've advanced to this point is because of their incredibly tough defensive play. This fact however has only helped in driving this Over/Under line finally a few points lower than it normally would/should be in my opinion. FAU is off a high-scoring 79-76 win over KSU, and it'll look to duplicate that performance. SDSU though has seen the total go UNDER the number in all seven of its postseason games this year. Despite that though, note that the Aztecs have seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight UNDERs in a row. The Law of Averages is flawed in many ways, but I do now finally expect some more efficient offensive play in this one to help in seeing this total eclipsing the posted number as it comes down the stretch. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-28-23 | Utah Valley +2.5 v. UAB | Top | 86-88 | Win | 100 | 37 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* NIT GOW on Utah Valley. Utah Valley has consistently been undervalued throughout the playoffs and that's the case again here in my opinion. The Wolverines average 76.7 PPG, while allowing 67.6. Can't take anything away from the UAB Blazers either, whose only loss in the playoffs came against FAU in the Conf. Champ. game. UAB averages 82.2 PPG, but it concedes 71.0. The Wolverines aggressive trapping style of defene will be the differnece here though in my opinion. I think an outright victor is possible, but in the end let's grab the points. The play is UTAH VALLEY. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-26-23 | Miami-FL v. Texas UNDER 149.5 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER Miami Florida/Texas. Miami Florida is coming off the 89-75 upset win over No. 1 Houston last time out. That's three straight SU/ATS victories in a row. Note though that the Hurricanes have seen the total go UNDER the number in five of their last six after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Texas had played to five straight UNDERS in the playoffs before its most recent 83-71 win over Xavier. Suffice to say, I'm expecting another good defensive performance from the Longhorns today. I'm expecting a lot of half and full court pressure throughout, and as such, everthing does point to this total being a few points too high. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Kansas State UNDER 144.5 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* ELITE EIGHT TOY on the UNDER FAU/KSU. If this were a regular season game, I'd likely lean to the OVER, but the overall situation points to more of a defensive affair here in my opinion. K-State has seen the total go OVER in three straight now in the Tournament, but note that the Wildcats have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row. After their tough 98-93 OT win over MSU last time out, I think the Wildcats will come in fatigued here finally. FAU has seen five of its six postseason games go UNDER the number, including in its most recent 62-55 upet win over Tennessee. It was another impressive defensive performance and I expect the Owls to once again be on top of their game defensively here. This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-24-23 | Xavier v. Texas OVER 149 | Top | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT TOTAL on the OVER Xavier/Texas. Texas has so far rolled through the Big 12 Tournament and the NCAA Tournament having played to five straight UNDERS. The Longhorns are also 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS so far in the postseason. Note though that the Longhorns have seen the total go OVER the number in five of their last six after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row. Xavier has played five postseason games as well and the total has gone 3-2 to the UNDER. The Musketeers though are off a impressive 84-73 win over Pitt last time out and I think they carry that offesive momentum over to this one. This O/U number is a little low in my opinion, as I expect a faster-paced affair that eclipses the total as the game comes down the stretch. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-23-23 | Gonzaga v. UCLA UNDER 145.5 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUPER BLOWOUT TOTAL on the UNDER Gonzaga/UCLA. UCLA will be looking to slow this one down vs. the Bulldogs offense. Gonzaga is ranked 75th in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Bruins have the second-ranked defense in the country though, limiting teams to just 87.8 points per 100 possessions, while only averaging 74.1 PPG themselves. Expect a more methodical pace, and as a result, the play here is on the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee -5.5 | Top | 62-55 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* FIRST HALF BOOKIEKILLER on Tennessee. I think we're getting great value here on the No. 1 defense in the country in the FIRST HALF. The last thing Tennessee can do is give FAU any sort of momentum or confidence, so I'm expecting the Vols to really take control of this contest from the outset. FAU struggled against the 350th ranked defense in Fairleigh Dickinson last time out, and this is a major step up. The Vols assert themselves early here; the play is Tennessee in the FIRST HALF! (If you can't get a FIRST HALF line, then I also still LOVE Tennessee for the entire game as well, so also a play on TENNESSEE for the GAME.) Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-23-23 | Michigan State -124 v. Kansas State | 93-98 | Loss | -124 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SPECIAL on Michigan State (MONEYLINE). I'm taking Tom Izzo and the Spartans on the moneyline option. These teams are evenly matched. Michigan State has the better offense, while K-State has the better defense. Michigan State has faced better defenses though this season. The Spartans are shooting the three-ball well this year, but they were just 2 of 16 in their win over the Golden Eagles. I don't see that type of futility happening twice in a row though. Look for Michigan State's superior overall play on both ends of the court to be the difference. The play is MICHIGAN STATE on the MONEYLINE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-22-23 | Eastern Kentucky v. Charlotte -4.5 | Top | 68-71 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* CHAMPIONSHIP WINNER on Charlotte. Charlotte is coming off a relatively simple 63-56 win over Radford yesterday, also going on to cover the five-point spread. The 49ers have been roughly a five-point fav in each game so far throughout this Tournament, and they've covered quite easily in each with a dominant defensive effort. It's been anything but easy for EKU though, which has played to three straight OT victories to advance, including a double OT win over Southern Utah last night. The last two games the Colonels have been underdogs. Fatigue is an issue for both sides obviously, but much more so for EKU. I just can't see this team having enough energy to overcome this aggressive 49ers defense. I smell a blowout here, so the play is indeed on CHARLOTTE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-21-23 | Eastern Kentucky v. Southern Utah -3 | Top | 108-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Southern Utah. Southern Utah got past rice to advance in the CBI, while Eastenr Kentucky needed OT to upset Indiana State 89-88 as a 6.5-point underdog. Southern Utah lost to Grand Canyon in the final of the WAC. Overall they shot 47 percent from the field and 35 percent from range. The Colonels upset Indiana State, but I expect a letdown here. Their weakness comes at the free throw line, where they rank 333rd in the country at 65.9 percent shooting. EKU has had to play two straight OT games. I say its out of gas here. Southern Utah shoots the three-ball well, and the Colonels strugge to defend it. Lay the points, the play is SOUTHERN UTAH. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-19-23 | St. Mary's +4.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 55-70 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
10* Saint Mary's (TOP DOG SHOCKER) Saint Mary's is battle-tested. So is UConn. The Gaels' defense is ranked 12th, with an adjusted efficiency margin of +21.94. The Gaels limit teams to just 91.3 points per 100 possessions. They are averaging 71.1 PPG as well, so I expect them to keep pace with a Huskies side averaging 78.7 PPG. This will be one of the Huskies most difficult defenses they've faced all year and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has it's hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The play is SAINT MARY'S. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-19-23 | Eastern Washington v. Oklahoma State -11 | Top | 60-71 | Push | 0 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Oklahoma State. Eastern Washington upset Washington State 81-74 as a nine-point underdog to advance to the second round of the NIT, but I am expecting a letdown here as the competition increases. Beating your weak instate rival is one thing, but taking out Oklahoma State is going to be quite another. l The Cowboys beat Oklahoma in the conference tournament, before bowing out to Texas. Then Oklahoma State opened this tourney with a 69-64 win over a potentially dangerous Youngstown State side. Great defensive play and efficient offensive play will be just too much for the Eagles to overcome this time around. This is a great matchup for OKLAHOMA STATE and I expect it to make the most of it, keeping the foot on the gas until the final horn. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-18-23 | Arkansas +3.5 v. Kansas | Top | 72-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* SHCKER on Arkansas. The Razorbacks have won six of eight neutral site games this season and I think they're going to, at the very least, sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Kansas also had a 6-2 record in neutral-site games this season. The Razorbacks were impressive defensively in their win over Illinois, holding it to just 27.6 percent from the floor. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The play is ARKANSAS. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-18-23 | Michigan +2 v. Vanderbilt | Top | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Michigan. The bottom line here is that Michigan is ranked better in both shooting efficiency and effective field goal percentage. The Wolverines' defense is also ranked higher in most metrics. Michigan is also ranked in the top 10 for defensive rebounds per game. The eye test here for me says that Michigan is the better overall team. The play is the WOLVERINES. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-17-23 | Arizona State v. TCU -5.5 | Top | 70-72 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on TCU. ASU managed a 98-73 win over Nevada in the FIRST FOUR, but I'm not reading too much into that final outcome. I think we can all agree that that Mountain West Conference is just terrible. TCU is a huge step up in competition. It beat KSU 80-67 in the Conference Tournament, before then falling to Texas 66-60. The Horned Frogs played in the much tougher conference and I expect them to completely slow down ASU's attack here today. Look for the FROGS to grind out the solid win and cover in this one. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-17-23 | Kennesaw State v. Xavier -12.5 | 67-72 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SPECIAL on Xavier. These teams are similar, in that they like to shoot the three-ball; Kennesaw State is ranked 34th in the country with a 37.1 percentage, while Xavier is No. 3, with a 39.5 percentage. The Owls are just overmatched here. They've averaged 71.3 PPG over their last four games, but their competition has been weak. The Musketeers have averaged 76 PPG over their last four in the much tougher Big East conference. Look for the size and experience of the Musketeers to be just too much for the Owls to handle down the stretch. Lay the points, the play is XAVIER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-16-23 | Northern Kentucky +18.5 v. Houston | Top | 52-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* RND. 1 DOG on Northern Kentucky. Yes, Houston has a great defenese. But so does UNK. The Cougars could be without their leading scorer here in Marcus Sasser. If he does play, will he be at 100% health? UNK closed out the regular season and conference tournament well and I think it keeps that momentum rolling here. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points, the play is NORTHERN KENTUCKY. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-16-23 | Princeton v. Arizona -14.5 | 59-55 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SPECIAL on Arizona. Princeton is completely overmatched here. This will be the best defense it's seen all season. Princeton faced only one NCAA Tourney team this year and it lost to Iona in December. Arizona faced seven different tourney teams throughout the season, including more than once, and the Wildcats went 10-2 SU vs. them. It's a mismatch. I say that Arizona keeps its foot on the gas until the final horn. Lay the points, the play is ARIZONA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-16-23 | College of Charleston v. San Diego State OVER 142 | Top | 57-63 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* FIRST ROUND TOY on the OVER Charleston/SDSU. Both teams enter the NCAA Tournament having played to several "unders," but I expect those trends to end here this afternoon. Charleston is 31-3, including 11-2 on the road, while SDSU finished 27-6 overall. Charleston has five players averaging in double figures. SDSU won both the Mountain West Conference regular and Conference Tourney. Ultimately though I think that Charleston's pace will help in driving this total well OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-16-23 | West Virginia v. Maryland OVER 136.5 | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 60 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOTAL WINNER on the OVER WVU/Maryland. I'm expecting a much more wide-open offensive affair than what this O/U line is suggesting. WVU is 19-14, but it's going for its fourth win in its last five games. Maryland started the season 8-0, and finished 21-12. WVU was decent defensively at home, but it struggled on the road. That'll be the case for both teams here in my opinion. With a spread like this, the oddsmakers believe these teams are evenly matched. Expect that to result in a highly-competitive, but ultimately higher-scoring game than what this O/U line is suggesting. The play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-15-23 | Utah Valley +5.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 83-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Utah Valley. I think Utah Valley sneaks in under the radar here. It finished 25-8, but was knocked out of the semifinals of the WAC Tournament to Southern Utah by a score of 89-88, squandering a 23-point second-half lead. The Wolverines will be eager to take out their frustrations here today with a concerted effort obviously. New Mexico finished 22-11 and was bounced from the MW semi's by Utah State 91-76. New Mexico has dropped nine of its last 13 games, while Utah Valley is in much better form. I think the outright is possible, but the official call will be to grab the points with UTAH VALLEY. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-15-23 | Texas Southern v. Fairleigh Dickinson OVER 147 | Top | 61-84 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* FIRST FOUR TOY on the OVER Fairleigh Dickinson/Texas Southern. With a chance to advance, I'm expecting a wide-open "shoot-out" between these teams. This total opened at 146.5 and it's already gone up a point. I'm going to follow this movement as I still don't think it's nearly high enough. Both teams move at a good pace, with Texas Southern 72nd in the nation in that category, and FDU rated 110th. Fairleigh Dickinson averages 78.3 PPG, and it concedes 76. The Knights need to push the pace to win. The Tigers average 69.7 PPG, while conceding 72.7. This is going to be a wide-open offensive affair in my opinion, as I expect this total to fly OVER the number sooner, rather than later. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-14-23 | Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh UNDER 133 | Top | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* TOTAL BK on the UNDER Pittsburgh/Mississippi State. I'm expecting a very defensive affair here. With a spread like this, obviously the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched and they pretty much are. Pittsburgh averages 76.1 PPG, while allowing 70.5, while Mississippi State averages only 65.9 PPG, while conceding just 61. The Bulldogs will be looking to control the pace of this one obviously (managed just 49 points in a loss to the Crimson Tide in the SEC Tourney quarter-finals.) I'm expecting full and half-court pressure throughout. This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-14-23 | Bradley +3.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 62-81 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
10* Bradley (BLOWOUT) Bradley won the Missouri Valley Conference regular season crown, but lost in the Conference tournament and missed its change for a ticket to the Big Dance. With a chance for this veteran team to take out its frustrations here, I think the Badgers are going to be in trouble. Wisconsin finished 11th in the Big Ten. The Badgers lost in the first round of the Tournament to Ohio State, led by some terrible shooting. The Braves enter with a net scoring margin of +8, which is 31st in the nation. The Badgers end this game with a net scoring margin of +1.1 points, which is 151st. I think BRADLEY has every opportunity to win this game outright, but my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-12-23 | Princeton +3.5 v. Yale | Top | 74-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* CHAMPIONSHIP WINNER on Princeton. I'm going to grab the points and expect a battle until the final horn here. Princeton finished 20-8 this year, while Yale was 21-7. The Tigers beat Penn yesterday by a score of 77-70 as two-point favorites. The main reason I like Princeton here is that it does play with revenge after a setback in these team's most recent matchup, falling 93-83 in OT at home as a two-point favorite in mid-February. Note that the Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss vs. an opponent. Yale didn't have much trouble with Cornell yestreday (80-60), but the competition goes up dramatically here today vs. the Tigers. These teams won't give an inch, and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The play is PRINCETON. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-11-23 | CS-Fullerton v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 131 | Top | 62-72 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG WEST TOY on the UNDER CSU Fullerton/UC Santa Barbara. Both teams ended the regular season playing to several high-scoring games. The last game they played against each other went OVER the number as well. They're also coming off second-round high-scoring victories to advance here. All of these higher-scoring outcomes has helped in driving tonight's total a few points higher than it normally would/should be in my opinion. The Titans beat the Gauchos 74-60 on February 20th, and the total sailed well OVER the number of 128.5 in that one. Note though that Santa Barbara has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent. Expect fatigue to finally play a major factor in the final combied score here as well. This number is a little high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-11-23 | Tulane v. Memphis UNDER 161.5 | 54-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SPECIAL TOTAL on the UNDER Tulane/Memphis. Tulane has now seen the total go OVER the number in three straight after its successful 82-76 win over Wichita State yesterday. Note though that the Green Wave have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row. Memphis saw its total go OVER the number yesterday as well in its 81-76 advancing victory over UCF. It's intereting to note here though that Memphis plays with revenge after falling 90-89 to Tulane in OT as a seven-point home favorite oin Feruary 4th, as the Tigers have seen the total go UNDER the number in six of their last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponet. Expect a very competitive, but ultimatley lower-scoring outcome in this one. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-10-23 | Oregon v. UCLA UNDER 134.5 | Top | 56-75 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* PAC 12 TOURNEY TOY on the UNDER Oregon/UCLA. Both teams ended the season playing to a couple of high-scoring games, and each advanced to this point after a high-scoring games in their Pac 12 Tourney openers. The last time they played against each other in the regular season though the total went UNDER the number, and I'm expecting another hard-fought and ulimtatley lower-scoring battle here as well. Oregon has now seen the total go OVER the number in four straight after a 75-70 win over Washington State yesterday. The Ducks lost to UCLA by a score of 70-63 in February, and the total stayed UNDER the number of 133.5 in that one. Note though that the Ducks have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. UCLA has now seen the total go OVER the number in three straight after its 80-69 thrashing of Colorado. Note though that the Bruins have seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row. Second round of the Tourney, expect this one to indeed be a very tight and competitive, but lower-scoring war. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-10-23 | East Carolina v. Houston -22.5 | 46-60 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an ATS TOMAHAWK on Houston. I think ECU's run in the Tournament ends here. I don't believe Houston will have any mercy on the Pirates, as I expect them to keep the pedal to the metal until the final horn. ECU beat USF 73-58 as a 3.5-point dog yesterday, but I believe that fatigue will be a major factor here in the second game of the B2B sceanrio. Previous to that the Pirates backed their way into the Tournament by losing three of their final four. ECU covered against Houston earlier in the season, but still lost by 18. The Cougars come in well-rested, and note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine when playing with five or more days of rest between games. Look for HOUSTON to send an early message here to the rest of the conference with a brutal beatdown of the Pirates. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-09-23 | UNLV +5.5 v. Boise State | Top | 76-87 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* MW TOURNEY GOY on UNLV. UNLV is 19-12 overall. It's comingin off a 78-70 OT win and cover over Air Force yesterday and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas until the final horn here as well. Note that the Rebels play with REVENGE today, as they lost 73-69 to BSU in Mid-February. Note that UNLV is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent. Boise State finished 23-8. It went just 1-2 in its final three regulat season games. The Broncos have had five days off between games, and I think that "rest" leads to "rust" in this instance. Grab the points though, the play is UNLV. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-09-23 | Ohio State v. Iowa UNDER 154.5 | 73-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BLOWOUT TOTAL on the UNDER Ohio State/Iowa. Ohio State advanced to the second round of the Big Ten Tournament with a 65-57 win over Wisconsin yesterday. The total went UNDER the number of 130.5. Iowa had a first round bye. It averages 80.6 PPG, and it beat Ohio State 92-75 at home in mid-February, the total sailing well OVER the posted number of 153.5 in that one. l But note that the Buckeyes have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. Ohio State will be looking to slow this one down whenever possible. I believe the rematch will be a tighter, slower and more defensive affair overall. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-09-23 | Miami-OH +13.5 v. Toledo | Top | 75-91 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* MAC TOURNEY GOY on Miami Ohio. Miami Ohio finished just 12-19, but it was playing some of its best basketball down the stretch, winning four of its last five. The RedHawks play with revenge here after falling 89-71 to Toledo as a 16-point dog in mid-February. Note though that Miami Ohio is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent. Toledo enters with a 25-6 record, No. 1 in the conference. It's won 15 straight and covered in five straight. Note though that the Rockets are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after five or more SU/ATS wins in a row. I think the Rockets are slightly overvalued here. Look for the RedHawks to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The play is MIAMI OHIO. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-08-23 | Texas Southern +2 v. Alcorn State | Top | 66-62 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* SWAC TOURNEY GOY on Texas Southern. I like the way this one sets up for Texas Southern. The Tigers stumbled down the stretch of the regular season going 0-3 SU/ATS to close out the year. That's important to note for us betting on the today though, as note that Texas Southern is a wallet-expanding 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Tigers also play with revenge after falling 89-81 to Alcorn State in these team's most recent matchup in late February. Once again though, that favors us as bettors here today as note that Texas Southern is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent. Alcorn State won and covered in its final three games, but note that the Braves are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Grab the points, the play is TEXAS SOUTHERN. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-08-23 | Virginia Tech +3 v. NC State | 77-97 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SPECIAL on Virginia Tech. I like VT to build off yesterday's 67-64 win over Notre Dame. The Hokies didn't cover, but they got the win. The play with revenge here as well after falling 73-69 to NC State as 5.5-point favs in January. Note that VT is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. I think the Wolfpack get caught off-guard here. The outright is obviously a very real possibility, but let's grab the points. The play is VIRGINIA TECH. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-07-23 | McNeese State v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi UNDER 147.5 | Top | 63-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* SOUTHLAND TOURNEY TOY on the UNDER McNeese State/Texas A&M CC. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games, but I expect this one to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. McNeese State has now seen the total go OVER in five straight after starting the tournament with back-to-back upset victories. Note that the Cowboys have in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five after playing to five or more straight OVERs in a row. They play with revenge after a 77-54 loss to Texas A&M CC as 5.5-point undredog at home back in February. Suffice it to say I'm expecting a similar final combined score here today as well. The Islanders enjoyed a double-bye to reach this point and I think they'll double down on the defensive side here as they look to take advantage of his now fatigued Cowboys team. This number is high, the play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-07-23 | Louisville v. Boston College UNDER 135.5 | 62-80 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* SPECIAL on the UNDER Louisville/BC. The ACC Tournament gets underway and a couple of bottom feeders go head-to-head here. Louisville finished just 4-27, while BC finished 15-16. Louisville was 0-11 on the road this year. It lost 75-65 to BC as a 9.5-point underdog in January. That's significant to note here though, as the Cardinals have seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against a conference opponent. Expect the rematch to be a much tighter, and lower-scoring defensvie affair. The play is the UNDER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-06-23 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga -14 | 73-84 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* BAIL-OUT on Gonzaga. After two straight SU/ATS victories to open up the West Coast Conference Tournament, I expect a letdown here finally from the Dons. They needed OT to get by Santa Clara last time out and I believe fatigue will be a major issue here. Gonzaga is always a heavy favorite, but not quite "heavy" enough here in my opinion. It comes into the tournament on fire with seven straight victories. The Bulldogs won and covered at home over San Fran by a score of 99-81 and I expect a similar final combined score here as well. Lay the points, the play is GONZAGA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-06-23 | Idaho State +5.5 v. Montana | Top | 74-83 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG SKY TOURNEY GOY on Idaho State. While I do think an outright victory is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. This one ticks off all the boxes for a great situational play here on the College hardwood, as this is the opener of the Big Sky Conference Tournament, which sees Idaho State and Montana facing off on a neutral court. The Bengals plays with revenge here after falling 69-61 at home to Montana as 3.5-point underdogs in February. Note that Idaho State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against a conference opponent. The stage is set for a tight battle until the final moments, so I'm grabbing the points. The play is IDAHO STATE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-05-23 | William & Mary v. Hofstra OVER 140 | 46-94 | Push | 0 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOTAL SPECIAL on the OVER W&M/Hofstra. This is the second round of the CAA Conference Tournament. Hofstra received a bye in the first roud after finishing 23-8. It comes into the Tournament having seen lthe total go UNDER in five straight games, and that's significant to note here, as the Pride have in fact seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight UNDERs in a row. Not surprisingly, the Tribe play with revenge here after falling 75-62 to Hofstra as seven-point dogs on January 7th. Note that William and Mary have seen the total go OVER the number in four of their last five though in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conferece home loss vs. an opponent. The Tribe easily moved past Elon 73-51 yesterday afternoon and I expect another good offensive showing here as well in this revenge spot. This one has all the makings of a shootout IMO, so the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-04-23 | Butler v. Xavier OVER 142 | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* TOTAL SPECIAL on the OVER Butler/Xavier. It's the final game of the regular season for each team and I'm expecting a wide-open SHOOT-OUT. Butler has seen the total go UNDER in nine straight. It fell 69-67 to Xavier at home in February, and while that total did also go UNDER the number, I look for this anticapted faster-paced affair to produce plenty of offensive fireworks. As note that Butler has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a conference home loss vs. an opponent. Xavier has won two straight on the road. Both totals went OVER the number. At 22-8, the Musketeers look to close out the regular season and enter the conference tourney on a roll. This number is low, the play is the OVER. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-04-23 | Florida International v. Rice UNDER 155.5 | Top | 90-83 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* CONFERENCE USA TOM on the UNDER FIU/Rice. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect more of a defensive affair here in their final regular-season game of the year. FIU is just 13-17, including only 2-10 on the road. It's coming in off five straight losses. It'll be still mentally hung up on the last one, falling 77-76 in OT to Louisiana Tech. The Panthers have seen the total go OVER in three straight, but that's significant for us to take note of, as FIU has in fact seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row. FIU plays with revenge as well after an 85-78 home loss to Rice as a three-point favorite on February 11th, which is also important to take note of, as the Panthers have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Look for the rematch to be a tight, lower-scoring UNDER once the final buzzer sounds. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-03-23 | Gardner-Webb -4 v. USC Upstate | Top | 76-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* BIG SOUTH TOURNEY GOY on Gardner Webb. Gardner Webb finished the regular season at 15-15, while South Carolina Upsate was 15-14. The Bulldogs finished with four straight SU/ATS losses in a row, which is significant to note here for us, as Gardner Webb is still 8-3 ATS in its last 11 after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Also note, the Bulldogs lost 75-69 to South Carolina Upstate as a 2.5-point favorite in these team's final regular season game of the year. That's also working in our favor here though, as Gardner Webb is 6-2 ATS in its last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Look for the Bulldogs to exact a little revenge here in this neutral site contest. The play is GARDNER WEBB. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-03-23 | Monmouth +1.5 v. Hampton | 100-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* WINNER Monmouth. This is the first round of the CAA Championship and it's wo that favors 6-25 Monmouth in my opinion. Note that Hampton is just 7-23. Both teams have been brutal on both ends of the court this season. Monmouth plays with the added incentive of revenge here though after falling 86-81 to Hampton on the road as a two-point dog just about two weeks ago. That was a very competitive game, but the Pirates don't have the home-floor advantage, as this is a neutral site game. Grab the points, the play is MONMOUTH. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-02-23 | Evansville +17.5 v. Indiana State | Top | 58-97 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* MISSOURI VALLEY GOY on Evansville. Evansville is just 5-26, but after five straight SU losses, note tha it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine after five or more SU losses in a row. The Purple Aces also play with "revenge" here after falling 83-65 to Indiana State at home on February 1st as a l4-point underdog. The Sycamores are 20-11. They had a string of nine straight ATS victories in a row going for bettors until their final game of the regular season, falling 66-62 to Missouri State as eight-point favorites. I think they're overvalued here now as well in this neutral site affair. I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but everything points to this game being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Grab the points, the play is EVANSVILLE. Good luck, NP | |||||||
03-01-23 | Long Island +16.5 v. Merrimack | Top | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* NORTHEASTERN TOURNEY GOY on LIU. LIU is a terrible team it's just 3-25, including only 1-13 on the road. Merrimack is a poor team at 15-16, including 7-6 at home. The Sharks play with revenge here after falling 80-59 as 12.5-point underdogs on February 25th at home, which is significant to note here, as LIU is a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss against an opponent. This is in fact a double revenge (both SU and ATS) for LIU. It's difficult to beat a team three times in one year, and even more difficult to beat it both SU and ATS three times. I believe that Merrimack will earn another elusive victory today, but I do also firmly believe that this spread is a few points larger that in really should be. The value now swings to the undervalued underdog. The play is LIU. Good luck, NP |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
William Burns | $516 |
Ricky Tran | $412 |
Sean Higgs | $152 |
Dan Kaiser | $151 |
Will Rogers | $131 |
Ray Monohan | $58 |
Jimmy Boyd | $47 |
Sean Murphy | $21 |
Joey Tron | $11 |