Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-29-19 | Bulls v. Blazers OVER 225 | Top | 103-107 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Portland Trail Blazers have answered a four-game skid with back-to-back triumphs through which they've averaged 126.5 ppg. and the first of those two wins was a 117-94 win at Chicago on Nov 25. I think we'll see more points on the board for both teams here in the rematch on Black Friday. The Bulls may be one of the worst teams in the NBA for several offensive categories, but points should come fairly easy against a Portland side that ranks in the bottom 10 for defensive efficiency. Additionally, Portland has a top 10 pace factor and I think the home team will push the tempo and that the visitors will be more or less forced to oblige. Over is 9-2-1 in Trail Blazers last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 Friday games. Over is 6-2 in Bulls last 8 Friday games. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
11-27-19 | Bulls v. Warriors UNDER 216.5 | Top | 90-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT NBA TOTAL *TOP PLAY* The Golden State Warriors are having an absolutely abysmal year. Injuries have not helped matters and there's a clear lack of healthy shooting talent on the roster right now. The Warriors shot just 41.6 percent from the field in a 100-97 loss to the OKC Thunder Monday night and they're 5-2 to the under over their last seven games. As for the Chicago Bulls, they were held to 41.9 percent shooting in a 117-94 loss to Portland last time out. On the season, Chicago ranks 27th for offensive efficiency and Golden State 24th. Under is 13-3 in Bulls last 16 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-26-19 | Wichita State v. South Carolina UNDER 132.5 | Top | 70-47 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAB): MIKE'S TOP RATED CANCUN CHALLENGE TOTAL The South Carolina Gamecocks have scored 70+ points in three straight games that all went over the total. I think points will be harder to come by here in their semifinal matchups of the Cancun Challenge as they'll face a Wichita State team that has held back-to-back opponents to fewer than 60 points and has held all five opponents to fewer than 63 points this season. Over/under is 2-8 in South Carolina's last 10 games on a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 134.5 and all but one of the Shockers' five games this season have gone under the total. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-25-19 | Lakers v. Spurs OVER 223 | Top | 114-104 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
TOP-RATED NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The red hot LA Lakers travel to San Antonio riding a seven-game winning streak. They've scored 120 points or more in five of those games and here they'll face a San Antonio Spurs team that has had huge issues on the defensive end of the hardwood all season long. The Spurs surrendered a ridiculous 122.4 ppg through an ugly eight-game skid before picking up a 111-104 win at the low-scoring New York Knicks on Saturday. They have one of the worst defensive efficiencies in the league, but on the flip side, they're also top five for offensive efficiency and I think they'll force the Lakers into a shootout. Over is 9-2 in Spurs last 11 home games. Over is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
11-23-19 | Raptors v. Hawks OVER 223.5 | Top | 119-116 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED SATURDAY TOTAL The Atlanta Hawks have one of the worst defensive efficiency ratings in the NBA, and their lack of defense was on full display in Friday night's 128-103 loss at Detroit. Playing on no rest won't do the Hawks any favors, and I expect the Raptors to run up the score quite freely. That being said, Atlanta has scored 100+ points in eight straight games and they put up 127 their last time out home at State Farm Arena. Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 8-0 in Hawks last 8 overall. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
11-22-19 | Spurs v. 76ers OVER 223.5 | Top | 104-115 | Loss | -101 | 18 h 3 m | Show |
SPURS @ SIXERS FRIDAY NIGHT *TOP PLAY* The San Antonio Spurs are going through a miserable stretch with losses in seven straight games, during which they've allowed an average of 123.4 ppg. Here they'll face a Philadelphia team that hardly has been lighting up the scoreboard lately, but the over is still 7-3 in 76ers last 10 overall. 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Spurs can't defend against anyone, but they can put points on the board and I expect the final score to breeze over the posted total. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
11-21-19 | Pelicans v. Suns OVER 233 | Top | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* PELS @ SUNS TOTAL *BAILOUT PLAY* Both the New Orleans Pelicans and the Phoenix Suns have top 10 offensive efficiency ratings on the season. The Pels are also one of the worst defensive teams in the league though with 118.9 points allowed per game on average and I'm confident we'll see points come fast and easy for both teams in this contest. The Suns took a 120-116 loss at Sacramento a couple of nights ago and they're on a 10-2 run to the over following a straight up loss. Additionally, the over is 5-1 in the last 6 head-to-head meetings. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
11-20-19 | Knicks v. 76ers UNDER 214.5 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Knicks are one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA, and they're most likely in for a tough one against a Philadelphia team that is holding opponents to a solid 102.7 points per 100 possessions. The Knicks are also among the slowest teams in the league with just over 100 possesions per game while the Sixers rank in the middle of the pack for pace. The Knicks are coming off a 123-105 win over Cleveland on Monday. The under is 11-2-1 in their last 14 games playing on 1 days rest and 23-9-1 in their last 33 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Philly had put a 114-95 beating on that same Cleveland team the night before, and the under is 10-4 in its last 14 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-19-19 | Thunder v. Lakers UNDER 210.5 | Top | 107-112 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): MIKE'S BEST NBA TOTAL FOR NOVEMBER The LA Lakers are tied for the best record in the league while having the very best point-differential, and arguably the biggest reason for their success is their play on the defensive end of the hardwood. The Lakers have the very best defensive efficiency in the NBA (even better than Utah!) and they've allowed an average of just over 97 ppg over their last three contests. The OKC Thunder have been held to fewer than 90 points in two of their last three games, including a 90-88 loss to the Clippers here at Staples Center Monday night. Under is 34-16-1 in Thunder last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 15-7 in Lakers last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-17-19 | Hawks v. Lakers UNDER 218 | Top | 101-122 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
TOP RATED HAWKS @ LAKERS NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The LA Lakers have the best defensive efficiency in the league, allowing just 97.2 points per 100 possessions. Atlanta has one of the worst offensive efficiency ratings in the NBA and the Hawks will be playing on no rest after taking a 119-83 beating by the Clippers last night. I think we can safely assume that the Clippers will run away with this game early and then keep the Hawks at a distance. Under is 15-6 in Lakers last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-16-19 | Blazers v. Spurs OVER 227 | Top | 121-116 | Win | 100 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL San Antonio Spurs have one of the worst marks in the league for defensive efficiency, and this looks like a trouble spot defensively as they'll be playing on no rest. The over is 15-5 in Spurs last 20 games playing on 0 days rest, and for all of Portland's struggles this season, putting the ball in the basket has rarely been an issue. The Blazers will be playing on two days rest and I think they'll drive up the tempo to take advantage of the home team's tired legs, forcing a high-paced shootout. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
11-15-19 | Wizards v. Wolves OVER 238.5 | Top | 137-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* FRIDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL The books have posted an extremely high total for this matchup between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Washington Wizards Friday night, but do not let the high number intimidate you. Note that the over is 51-33-1 (60%) in games with a closing number of 235+ points since the start of last season, and while I would not recommend betting the over blindly in those spots moving forward, we have a strong case for this contest to fly over the posted total. Both teams rank in the top 10 for pace (Minnesota 4th, Washington 7th) and only Golden State has a worse defensive efficiency (the number of points a team allows per 100 possessions) than the Wizards. Additionally, both teams are averaging over 115 ppg, and that's against a mixed bucket of opponents, most with better defenses than we'll see here. Over is 6-1 in Timberwolves last 7 overall. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
11-14-19 | Hawks v. Suns OVER 226.5 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* THURSDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL The Atlanta Hawks won 125-121 at Denver on Tuesday and the over is 3-0 in their last three games. The Phoenix Suns took a 123-115 home loss to the Lakers last time out and the over is 4-0 in their last four games. Phoenix has among the best offensive efficiency (the number of points a team scores per 100 possessions) numbers in the league and they're also in the top third for pace. I'm confident they'll make the Hawks run in this one, forcing a fast-paced and high-scoring game. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
11-11-19 | Jazz v. Warriors UNDER 213 | Top | 122-108 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 53 m | Show |
TOP RATED MONDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL Golden State has been atrocious on the defensive end of the hardwood in recent games, but the Utah Jazz just might come out flat offensively in this following back-to-back home wins over two NBA heavyweights in Philadelphia and Milwaukee. The Jazz have the best defensive efficiency in the league, and this edition of the Golden State Warriors lack the firepower to break them down. Under is 11-2-1 in Jazz last 14 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 20-6-1 in Warriors last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-10-19 | Raptors v. Lakers UNDER 215.5 | Top | 113-104 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED RAPTORS @ LAKERS TOTAL The LA Lakers rank top of the league in defensive efficiency giving up just 94.5 points per 100 possessions and the Toronto Raptors are in the top 10. The under is 12-5-1 in the Raptors last 18 road games and 7-2 in the Lakers last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Additionally, the under is 7-2 in the last 9 head-to-head meetings. The Raptors are shorthanded with All-Star point guard Kyle Lowry and backup big man Serge Ibaka out. I think they'll try and slow down the pace to make it hard for the Lakers to run away with the game, and the Lakers are not playing at a particularly high pace as it is. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-07-19 | Celtics v. Hornets OVER 217.5 | Top | 108-87 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
CELTICS @ HORNETS TOP RATED TOTAL The Charlotte Hornets defeated the Indiana Pacers 122-120 in OT last time out to improve to 4-3 overall and 2-1 at home. They struggled big time on the defensive end in their first two home games though, and here they'll face a Boston Celtics side that is coming off a 119-113 win at Cleveland to make it four wins on the bounce. The Celtics have scored 116+ points in three of those wins and each of the last five games in this series has gone over the total. Over is 5-1-1 in Hornets last 7 home games and 13-5-1 in their last 19 games following a straight up win. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
11-06-19 | 76ers v. Jazz UNDER 212 | Top | 104-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* 76ERS @ JAZZ NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Utah Jazz have opened the season with seven straight unders, and I think another relatively low-scoring affair is in the cards when they host the Philadelphia 76ers Wednesday night. The Sixers will be looking to bounce back from a 114-109 loss at Phoenix Suns on Monday, and they're likely to be focusing on getting the defense right. "Obviously defensively, I thought they never really felt us in the second half," forward Tobias Harris told reporters after the setback. "They got too many easy looks, too many open looks. So, I thought that was probably the biggest adjustment." Overall on the season, Philly is still a top 10 team in defensive efficiency, a category the Jazz rank no. 1 for, but Utah is also one of the worst teams in the league in offensive efficiency. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Utah and 9-2 in the last 11 meetings overall. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-05-19 | Lakers v. Bulls UNDER 215.5 | Top | 118-112 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
LAKERS @ BULLS TUESDAY NIGHT *TOP PLAY* The LA Lakers have played locked down basketball lately holding opponents to an average of 96.8 ppg through a five-game winning streak, and that's despite one of the games going to OT. They lead the league in defensive efficiency (the number of points a team allows per 100 possessions) and here they'll face a Chicago team that has been held to fewer than 100 points in three of its last four games. Under is 26-10-1 in the Bulls last 37 home games vs. a team with a winning road record while the under is 14-5 in Lakers last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and I think they'll limit the damage the 2-5 Bulls can do on offense. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-03-19 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 213 | Top | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S JAZZ @ CLIPPERS TOTAL TOP PLAY The Utah Jazz have the best scoring defense in the NBA with only 94.0 ppg allowed per game while holding opponents to 42.1 percent shooting from the field. They're also one of the slowest teams with just 100.7 possessions per game and have yet to see any of their games go over the total this season. The Clippers have also stepped it up a notch on the defensive end in recent games and limited the Spurs to 97 points last time out. Under is 3-0 in their last three overall and 4-1 in Clippers last 5 home games. We saw just a total of 206 points when these two teams did battle at Utah earlier this week, and I think this will be another low-scoring affair. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-02-19 | 76ers v. Blazers UNDER 220 | Top | 129-128 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia 76ers have the fourth best scoring defense in the league and they have held opponents to 35.5 percent shooting from the field. The Portland Trail Blazers shot just 39.5 percent in a 102-99 win at OKC last time out, and while they generally shoot the ball much better home at Moda Center I don't see points coming easy in this one. Under is 3-1 in the Sixers four games on the season and 6-2 in their last 8 vs. teams from the Western Conference. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-01-19 | Jazz v. Kings UNDER 214 | Top | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* JAZZ @ KINGS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Utah Jazz are limiting opponents to 40.8% shooting from the field on the season and have yet to allow more than 96 points in any of their games. As for the Sacramento Kings, they're averaging only 98.6 ppg and note that both these teams are in the bottom six in the NBA for offensive efficiency (the number of points a team scores per 100 possessions). Utah is as per usual one of the slowest teams in the league just barely breaking 100 possessions per game and the under is 5-0 in their first five games this season. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
10-31-19 | Spurs v. Clippers OVER 225.5 | Top | 97-103 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 20 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* SPURS @ CLIPPERS TOTAL The LA Clippers will be playing on no rest following a loss at Utah last night. I think their heavy legs could become an issue on defense, something that Spurs coach Gregg Popovich will be smart enough to exploit by urging his team to push the ball tempo to get open shots. The Spurs have averaged 119 ppg while going a perfect 3-0 on the season and the Clippers have had no trouble scoring, entering this contest with a 121.5 ppg average despite being held to 96 points by the Jazz last night. Note that star forward Kawhi Leonard was rested yesterday, and he'll surely be up for putting points on the board against his former team. Additionally, we can note that both teams rank near the top of the league for offensive efficiency (the number of points a team scores per 100 possessions). Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings and the last head-to-head matchup here at Staples Center saw a total of 233 points scored. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
10-29-19 | Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 216 | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED TUESDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Dallas Mavericks have averaged 121 ppg while splitting a couple of high-scoring affairs against New Orleans and Portland, but I think points will be harder to come by here at Denver Tuesday night with the home team looking to slow down the tempo. The Nuggets are 2-0 to the under on the season, scoring 108 points in both games with an average of only 103.5 ppg allowed (and that despite Friday's matchup at Phoenix going to overtime). They were just outside of the top 10 for defensive efficiency (the number of points a team allows per 100 possessions) last season and it looks like Denver will be hard to beat on the defensive end of the hardwood this season as well. Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 games playing on 0 days rest and 16-5 in their last 21 home games. Under is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings at Pepsi Center. *Write up posted before the conclusion of Denver's matchup with the Kings at Sacramento Monday night. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
06-13-19 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 210.5 | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): TOP RATED TOTAL *MAJOR WAGER ALERT* The Golden State Warriors managed to avoid elimination with a 106-105 win at Toronto on Monday, a contest that just about stayed under the total despite a high-scoring first-half. The series now shifts back to Oakland for Game 6, and I think this one will go over as we're seeing the lowest total so far in the series. The game will be the Warriors' last at Oracle Arena before moving to the Chase Center in San Francisco next season. Klay Thompson thinks the fans will be an important 6th man tonight, particularly with Kevin Durant out again after a brief comeback last time out. "I expect our fans to be the loudest they have ever been, especially in the name of Kevin and bringing his type of spirit he would bring to the fight and the competitiveness," Warriors guard Klay Thompson said Wednesday. "I know our fans will do that because we deserve it, but more importantly, Kevin does for what he gave this team, this organization. There wouldn't be banners if it wasn't for his presence." The Raptors outscored the Warriors 120-96 from three-point land in their three triumphs, while the Warriors owned a 99-57 advantage from behind the arc in their two victories. Considering what's at stake, expect both teams to be locked in and knock down plenty of three-pointers driving up the score. Over is 9-3 in Raptors last 12 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 9-4 in Warriors last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings at Oracle Arena. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors OVER 212 | Top | 106-105 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 42 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA TOTAL) The Golden State Warriors are in desperation mode with their backs against the wall after a Game 4 loss at home to put them in a 3-1 hole in the series. The Warriors simply can not afford to lose another game, and as they are finding it very hard to stop the Raptors offense they're gonna have to focus on outscoring their opponent to stay alive. The Raptors are playing with a lot of confidence and have been shooting the ball well throughout the series. The Warriors, and Stephen Curry in particular need to bounce back from a tough outing as they scored just 92 points and turned the ball over 19 times in the most recent loss. Curry himself was just 2-for-9 from behind the arc, extremely unlikely to happen again. Over is 6-1-1 in Warriors last 8 road games. Over is 9-3 in Warriors last 12 NBA Championship games. Over is 9-2 in Raptors last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 215 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -106 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NBA): MIKE'S BEST NBA PLAYOFFS TOTAL The Toronto Raptors and the Golden State Warriors combined for 232 points in Game 3 of this series and over is now 9-2 in Warriors last 11 NBA Championship games. I think we'll see another high-scoring affair here Friday night. Sure, Warriors are expected to get Klay Thompson back which no doubt will help them defensively, but we should also keep in mind that Thompson was the Warriors' leading scorer in their Game 2 win with 25 points on 10-for-17 shooting. The Warriors are in desperate need of a win here to avoid heading to Toronto down 3-1 in the series, and they'll need to heat up offensively to keep pace with a Raptors team that has shot better than 50 percent from the field in its two wins in the series and shot 44.7 percent from beyond the arc last time out. "We haven't really had a good team shooting night, and I knew eventually at some point we were due for one," Toronto guard Danny Green said after Game 3. "We still have to do a better job defensively on that end of the floor to limit those guys better so we don't have to rely on our offense or our shooting to win games for us." Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings at Oracle Arena. Over is 13-3 in Raptors last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
05-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 214.5 | Top | 101-96 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): RAPTORS @ 76ERS GAME 4 TOTAL The first three games of this series have gone under the total, and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair here in Game 4 Sunday afternoon. The Toronto Raptors will be desperate for a win to regain homecourt advantage and, and they know what they have to improve. "I think the first adjustment, we're going to have to make it, I guess we're going to have to play all of them a lot harder," Raptors head coach Nick Nurse said. "We're going to have to play a hell of a lot more physical. I mean if we don't do that, the prettiest things we decided to do offensively aren't going to matter much." The Philadelphia 76ers won Game 3 116-95, but we can note that under is 8-2 in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points and 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 8-1 in Raptors last 9 overall. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 217 | Top | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* RAPTORS @ 76ERS GAME 3 BEST BET The Toronto Raptors and the Philadelphia 76ers enter Game 3 of this Eastern Conference semifinals series tied at 1-1. Both teams have combined decent defense with poor shooting through the first two games, and I expect more of the same tonight. Toronto won the first game of the series 108-95, but neither team managed to break 100 points in Game 2, a matchup Philly won despite shooting just 39.5% from the field (Toronto shot 36.7%). Under is 7-1 in Raptors last 8 overall. Under is 6-1 in 76ers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
04-19-19 | Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 222 | Top | 108-120 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* BLAZERS @ THUNDER BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL The first two games of this series at Portland were both low-scoring affairs, and that's a trend I expect to continue here in Game 3 at Chesapeake Energy Arena Friday night. The Thunder really struggled to put points on the board and were held to sub-100 points in both contests. Under is 6-2 in Thunder last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 4-0 in their last four Conference Quarterfinals games. The Blazers averaged 118.2 ppg at home during the regular season but that number dropped significantly to 111.1 ppg on the road. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine away from home and 6-2 in their last eight vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Thunder need to win this game to avoid falling into an 0-3 hole. They're probably smart enough to realize they can't outscore Portland, and I expect the home team to come out and play lock-down defense and try and slow down the tempo. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
04-15-19 | Clippers v. Warriors UNDER 230.5 | Top | 135-131 | Loss | -109 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* CLIPPERS @ WARRIORS BOOKIE BREAKER We have seen most games go under the total so far in the first round of the NBA playoffs, and that's a trend I like to continue here as the Golden State Warriors take on the LA Clippers in Game 2 of their playoffs series. The Warriors won the first matchup 121-105, and in that neighbourhood is where I think the final score for this contest will land as well. The Clippers have averaged a healthy 115.0 ppg on the season, but they match up poorly offensively against Golden State and have averaged just 97.3 ppg through the last three head-to-head meetings (all three went under the total). Under is 6-2 in Clippers last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 19-7 in Warriors last 26 overall. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
04-14-19 | Thunder v. Blazers OVER 225 | Top | 99-104 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL The Portland Trail Blazers closed out the regular season with a 136-131 win over Sacramento. Here they'll face an OKC Thunder team that kept the scorekeepers busy during their five-game winning streak down the stretch. The Thunder put a 127-116 beating on Milwaukee in the regular season finale, and playoffs or not, I expect both teams to let offense rule this game. Particularly Portland is likely to struggle to stop OKC in the paint on the defensive end with big man Jusuf Nurkic out for the season. We can also note that three of four regular season meetings between these two teams surpassed the posted total for this contest. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
04-07-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 217 | Top | 108-115 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL The Denver Nuggets defeated the Portland Trail Blazers 119-110 home at Pepsi Center Friday night. Each of the last three meetings in the series have gone over the total, and I predict another relatively high-scoring affair here at Moda Center Sunday night. The Blazers have been held to fewer than 110 points in just one of their last nine games, a 99-90 loss at Detroit on March 30 which was their second game of a back-to-back situation. Over is 19-5-2 in Trail Blazers last 26 games playing on one day of rest and 13-2-1 in their last 16 home games. The Nuggets have been involved in somewhat low-scoring affairs lately with only two of their last seven going over the total. However, with both teams playoff position still to be decided I expect to see a wide open affair and both teams trying to outscore the other rather than winning with good defense. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
03-25-19 | Suns v. Jazz UNDER 217.5 | Top | 92-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL The Phoenix Suns have topped 103 points in only one of their last six games, an OT win at New Orleans. The under is 8-2 in their last 10 games and here they'll face a Utah team that is allowing just 106.2 ppg on the season and held the Bulls to 83 points on 35.9% shooting (including 2-of-16 from 3-point range) last time out. "I liked how we started the game. I thought we were focused on the defensive end," Utah coach Quin Snyder told the team website. "I just want us to keep getting better." Under is 6-2 in Utah's last eight games overall and 7-1 in its last eight vs. Western Conference foes. The Jazz have a playoff spot locked in but are in a tight race for the No. 5 (and possibly No. 4) seed in the West. Under is 23-9 in the last 32 meetings with the Sun who they've beaten twice this season, winning 116-88 on Feb. 6 and 114-97 on March 13. I think this will be another relatively low-scoring affair. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
03-24-19 | Nuggets v. Pacers UNDER 211.5 | Top | 88-124 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL The Denver Nuggets travel to Indiana riding a six-game winning streak. They've held opponents to an average of 102 ppg during that run and held the Knicks to 37.8 percent shooting from the field last time out. Under is 18-5 in Nuggets last 23 overall, and here they'll visit a Pacers team that has averaged only 99 ppg through a four-game losing streak. Indiana was held to 38.5% shooting from the field in a 112-89 loss at Golden State last time out. Under is 8-1 in Pacers last nine overall and 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Both teams are involved in tight battles for home-court advantage in their respective conferences, and I think we'll see a competitive, low-scoring game with a postseason feeling to it here at Bankers Life Fieldhouse on Sunday. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
03-22-19 | Spurs v. Rockets UNDER 220.5 | Top | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL Both teams have been involved in relatively low-scoring contests lately with under is 9-2 in Spurs last 11 overall and 8-2 in Rockets last 10 overall. This contest is important for both teams as San Antonio is in a dogfight with the Utah Jazz, Los Angeles Clippers and Oklahoma City Thunder for the No. 5 seed in the West, so it will most certainly be motivated to bounce back from a 110-105 loss to Miami. The Spurs had won nine in a row prior to that setback and have produced a 104.1 defensive rating over the past 10 games. "Defense -- and understanding that's what's going to take us to get to the next level and beyond," Mills said in explaining the Spurs' recent run. The Rockets are fighting to hold off Portland for the No. 3 seed in the conference and will also be looking to bounce back from a defeat after taking a 126-125 OT loss at Memphis last time out. They had won eight of nine prior to that setback while never allowing more than 106 points. We can also note that under is 5-1 in the last six meetings overall and 12-3 in the last 15 meetings in Houston. The Rockets won the last meeting 108-101 with a total closing at 217.5 points, and I think this game will stay under the total as well. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
03-18-19 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 224 | Top | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA TOTAL The Golden State Warriors fell to Phoenix Suns on March 10 but have bounced back with a pair of wins at Houston and Oklahoma City Thunder while allowing an average of just 96 ppg. "I think the loss to Phoenix opened our eyes a little bit," Golden State coach Steve Kerr told reporters. "And I think our guys just felt threatened on the road. We've played two great teams, we've got another one, maybe the hottest team in the league in San Antonio coming up, so anytime they're threatened, I think our guys tend to play better." Under is 9-1 in the Warriors last 10. and here they'll face a San Antonio team that has won eight straight games and held all but one of those opponents (Milwaukee) to fewer than 105 points. The Spurs lead the league in scoring defense during their winning streak, allowing just 99.8 points per 100 possessions. The Warriors put a 141-102 beating on San Antonio last month, but you better believe Spurs coach Gregg Popovich will have his team better prepared defensively for this one. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
03-14-19 | Thunder v. Pacers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 106-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED 10* TOTAL The Indiana Pacers should be farily well rested here following 103-98 win over New York at home Tuesday night. They've struggled to put points on the board of late though, averaging only 98.8 ppg through their last four but have limited opponents to a league-best 103.9 ppg on the season. Under is 24-11 in Pacers' games home at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. They enter this contest off four straight unders and under is 16-5 in Pacers' games after three or more consecutive unders this season. The OKC Thunder will be playing on no rest after defeating the Nets last night. They have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three playing on zero days rest while Indiana is 4-0 in its last four against opponents playing on back-to-back nights. Under is 13-3 in OKC's games as underdogs this season and 19-10 when playing against a team with a winning record. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
03-10-19 | Suns v. Warriors UNDER 235 | Top | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* SUNDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL The Phoenix Suns will head to Oakland with their heads held high as they had won three on the bounce before taking a 127-120 loss at Portland on Saturday. Under is 8-4 in Phoenix games with total of 230+ points this season and I think we'll see a relatively low-scoring affair as they visit the Golden State Warriors Sunday night. The Suns had allowed just 103.3 ppg during their winning streak and limited the Milwaukee Bucks to 105 points Monday night. Here they'll face a Golden State Warriors team that is coming off a 122-105 win over Denver to make it six unders through their last seven games. The Warriors have not played particularly well of late and will most likely not do much more than needed to get the W here. Golden State claimed the first meeting of the season 117-107 about a month ago and has won 18 straight meetings in the series. The Warriors have outscored Phoenix by an average of 16.4 points during that stretch, and I think we'll see Golden State run up the score early and then slow down the tempo in the 4th quarter. Who will cover is tough to say as the Suns might get the backdoor cover, but I'm confident this game will stay under the total. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
03-08-19 | Nuggets v. Warriors UNDER 233.5 | Top | 105-122 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL The Golden State Warriors are in need of a solid defensive outing following a 128-95 blowout loss to Boston Tuesday night. Only one of their last six games have gone over the total total and under is 8-2 in Warriors last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Tonight they'll face Denver team that seen each of its last seven games go under the total. Both the Nuggets and the Warriors are obviously very capable of putting up good numbers, but neither side is playing particularly well at the moment. I expect to see a tight playoff-like affair as they jostle for the top spot in the conference and home-court advantage throughout the Western playoffs. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
03-06-19 | Providence v. Creighton UNDER 140 | Top | 70-76 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CBB): MIKE'S BEST BIG EAST TOTAL The Creighton Bluejays host the Providence Friars at CHI Health Center Omaha Wednesday night. Under is 8-1 in the last nine meetings, and I think this will be another relatively low-scoring affair. Providence had played back-to-back unders (against St. John's and Marquette) before going over at Butler last time out, but only because the game went to OT. Under is 10-1 in Friars last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record, and here it'll face a Creighton team that held conference-leading Marquette to 60 points last time out. Under is 3-0 in Bluejays games where they held their previous opponent to 60 point or fewer this season and 9-1 in their last 10 overall. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
03-03-19 | Raptors v. Pistons UNDER 219.5 | Top | 107-112 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED EASTERN CONF TOTAL This will be the 2nd leg of a back-to-back set for the Detroit Pistons, but they didn't have to spend too much energy in a comfortable 129-93 win over the short-handed Cleveland Cavaliers Saturday afternoon. Under is 25-8-1 in their last 34 games playing on zero days rest and the Pistons should have plenty of gas left in the tank to play good defense in this matchup with the Toronto Raptors. "We played as well as we expected," Detroit coach Dwane Casey said. "I wouldn't put anything into the amount of points or the point differential. I promise it's not going to be that type of game tomorrow." Toronto is coming off a high-scoring 119-117 triumph over Portland Friday night, but they had played two straight unders prior to that and under is 7-2 in their last nine vs. Eastern Conference foes. The Pistons defeated the Raptors 106-104 in Toronto on Nov. 14 and under is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings in the series. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
03-02-19 | Kentucky v. Tennessee UNDER 142 | Top | 52-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (CBB): MIKE'S BEST 2018/2019 REG SEASON TOTAL The No. 4 Kentucky Wildcats put an 86-69 beating on the No. 7 Tennessee Volunteers three weeks ago and have won an additional three straight games since. They've played great defense during that four-game stretch, holding opponents to an average of 61.5 ppg. The Vols had won 19 straight prior to that defeat, and you better believe the home side will be angry and hungry for revenge here in the rematch at Thompson-Boling Arena Saturday afternoon. They've struggled to put points on the board lately though, scoring just an average of 70 ppg through their last four contests (including an 80 point OT outing at LSU). Under is 7-1 in Wildcats last eight overall and 13-5-2 in Volunteers last 20 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 13-5-2 in the last 20 meetings. Kentucky, Tennessee, and LSU are tied at the top of the SEC with identical 13–2 records, so this is a lot at stake here. I expect to see a tense, low-scoring affair. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
02-26-19 | Duke v. Virginia Tech UNDER 145.5 | Top | 72-77 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (CBB): MIKE'S TOP RATED ACC TOTAL The Under is 8-2 in the Duke Blue Devils last 10, 18-6-2 in their last 26 and 7-0 in their last seven Tuesday night games. Zion Williamson (knee sprain) has been ruled out for this contest and I expect another relatively low-scoring contest for the Blue Devils tonight as they face a Virginia Tech team that held Notre Dame to 32.8 percent shooting from the field in a 67-59 triumph last time out. Under is 13-3 in Hokies last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 13-3 in the last 16 meetings with Duke. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
02-22-19 | Nuggets v. Mavs UNDER 219.5 | Top | 114-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL The Nuggets won the first meeting of the season 126-118 home at Pepsi Center, but I think we'll see far fewer points on the board here in the rematch at Dallas Friday night. Under is 15-5-1 in the Mavs last 21 overall and they' allowed just 106.3 ppg home at American Airlines Center. Denver meanwhile is playing just .500 basketball on the road, and one reason is a big drop in points scored compared to home, 107.7 ppg vs. 112.0 ppg). Also keep in mind that this is both teams first game back from the All Star break, so rust and sloppy shooting can be expected. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
02-22-19 | Kent State v. Buffalo OVER 158.5 | Top | 57-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MID-AMERICAN BOOKIE BREAKER TOTAL The Buffalo Bulls are coming off a 114-67 rout of Ohio and have played three straight overs. They're scoring an average of 85.8 ppg overall which ballons to 90.3 ppg in front of the home town crowd at Alumni Arena. The Kent State Golden Flashes took an 84-74 loss at Central Michigan last time out and over is 7-2 in their nine games vs. teams that averages 77+ points/game. Over is 9-3 in the Bulls last 12 Friday night games and I think points will come fast and easy for both sides in this contest. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
02-14-19 | Arizona v. Utah OVER 144 | Top | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CBB): MIKE'S TOP RATED PAC-12 TOTAL The Arizona Wildcats have dropped five in a row and took a 69-55 home loss Saturday to Washington State. They've struggled to put points on the board in recent games, but over is still 5-1 in Wildcats last six road games and they've allowed 78.3 ppg on average away from home. The Utah Utes on the other hand have played very well offensively of late, coming off a 93-92 triumph at UCLA and they've scored 70 points or more in each of their last eight games. Over is 6-1 in Utes last seven games following a straight up win and each of the last three meetings with Arizona have gone over the total. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
02-07-19 | Spurs v. Blazers OVER 227 | Top | 118-127 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) The San Antonio Spurs took a 141-102 beating at Golden State last night and have allowed 124 points or more in three of their last five games. Over is 13-3 in Spurs last 16 games playing on no rest and I think we'll see points come fast and easy for both teams here at Moda Center Thursday night. Spurs rested All-Star power forward LaMarcus Aldridge and shooting guard DeMar DeRozan last night but the duo is expected to be back here to take on a Portland team that had scored 120 points or more in three straight games prior to a 118-109 setback to Miami last time out. Over is 6-0-1 in Trail Blazers last seven home games and 12-4 in the last 16 meetings with the Spurs in Portland. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
02-01-19 | Maryland v. Wisconsin UNDER 134 | Top | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (CBB): MIKE'S TOP RATED BIG TEN TOTAL The Wisconsin Badgers have an 2-8 over/under record in Big Ten play on the season and have played five straight unders, one of them a 64-60 setback at Maryland on January 14 which closed with a total of 130.5 points. I think we'll see another low-scoring contest when they get a chance to avenge that loss Friday night. Maryland is scoring just 71.2 ppg on the road, well below its 75.0 season average overall, and under 4-0-1 in the Terps' last five vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Wisconsin has held four straight opponents to 60 points or fewer (avg of 52.8 ppg) and under is 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings with Maryland. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
01-27-19 | Raptors v. Mavs UNDER 220 | Top | 123-120 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED BEST TOTAL BET The Toronto Raptors took a high-scoring loss at Houston Friday night, but each of their last four games prior to that had gone under the total. Here they'll face Dallas Mavericks team that has won back-to-back games despite scoring just 106 points in both, and under is 5-0 in the Mavs last five overall. Ten of Dallas' 12 games overall here in January have gone under and under is a PERFECT 8-0 in its last eight vs. teams from the East. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
01-06-19 | Heat v. Hawks OVER 221.5 | Top | 82-106 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 33 m | Show |
NBA PLAY OF THE DAY (TOP RATED 10* TOTAL) Both of the first two meetings between the Miami Heat and the Atlanta Hawks this season went over the total with closing numbers of 224 and 225.5 points. Despite that, we're getting a lower number here in the third meeting between the Southeast Division rivals, and I'm all over the over. The Miami Heat have seen each of their last six games go over, and here they'll face a Hawks side that is struggling on the defensive end and allowed 144 points at Milwaukee its last time out. Over is 8-3 in Hawks last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Note that the two teams have a combined 26-17 over/under record in games with a total closing at 220 points or more this season, so don't let the relatively big number scare you. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
01-05-19 | Syracuse v. Notre Dame UNDER 136 | Top | 72-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (CBB): MIKE'S TOP RATED ACC TOTAL **EARLY START** The Syracuse Orange held St. Bonaventure to 48 points on 35% shooting their last time out. Eight of their last nine games have gone under the total, and I think we'll see a relatively low-scoring contest when they open their ACC schedule with a visit to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Saturday. Note that under is 6-2 in Orange last eight games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game and here they'll face a Notre Dame side coming off an 81-66 loss at Virginia Tech. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
01-04-19 | Thunder v. Blazers UNDER 224 | Top | 111-109 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED 10* NBA TOTAL The Oklahoma City Thunder have lost eight straight meetings at Portland and under is 14-6 in their 20 road games on the season. They do however own the 4th best scoring defense in the NBA, and here they'll face a Portland side that is coming off a 113-108 win at Sacramento, a contest that went under the total despite going to OT. Under is 9-2 in Trail Blazers last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and 5-1 in their six games against divisional opponents this season. Three of the last four meetings in the series have gone under, all with totals closing at a number much lower than this. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
12-31-18 | Hawks v. Pacers UNDER 221.5 | Top | 108-116 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): MIKE'S BEST NEW YEARS EVE NBA TOTAL The Pacers and the Hawks combined for 250 points in an Indiana win at Atlanta on December 26, but I think we'll see way fewer points scored here in this early New Years Eve matchup. The Pacers have allowed just 96.4 ppg through 18 contests home at Bankers Life Fieldhouse this season and under is 14-4 in those games. Under is 17-8 in Hawks last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 10-1 in the last 11 meetings with the Pacers. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
12-26-18 | Suns v. Magic UNDER 209.5 | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY Both the Phoenix Suns and the Orlando Magic rank near the bottom of the league for both offensive efficiency and pace. I think we'll see a low-scoring contest at Amway Center Wednesday night. Four of the Suns last six games have gone under the total and I don't see them pushing the tempo here, especially considering they'll be closing out a five-game road trip that has seen them travel 9,180 miles. The Suns appeared to be fatigued at times when they suffered a 111-103 loss in Brooklyn on Sunday, not all that surprising considering they played a triple OT game in Washington the night before. I doubt the hosts will be looking to make this an up-tempo game either, considering that's not they're style at all averaging just 99.9 possessions per game on the season. Four of the Suns last six games have gone under the total. Under is 12-4 in Magic last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
12-08-18 | Heat v. Clippers OVER 220 | Top | 121-98 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY (TOTAL) The LA Clippers had scored 110 points or more in four straight games before getting held to a season-worst 86 in a loss to Memphis Wednesday night. I think they'll be back to their free-scoring ways here against a Miami team which opened a six-game road trip with a 115-98 victory over Phoenix Friday night. Playing on no rest will almost certainly not do the Heat any favors defensively, and we can note that over is 11-1 in their last 12 games playing on 0 days rest. Combine it with the fact that over is 10-3 in Clippers last 13 overall and I think we have a solid case for the over here. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
12-06-18 | Rockets v. Jazz OVER 216 | Top | 91-118 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 27 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA BOOKIE BREAKER (TOTAL) The Houston Rockets had played eight straight overs before taking a 103-91 loss at Minnesota Monday night (with a total closing at 222.5 points). The Rockets had scored 120+ points in three of their last four games prior to that that dudd and here they'll face a Utah team which scored a season-high 139 points against San Antonio on Tuesday. Since acquiring Kyle Korver, the Jazz are the 3rd best 3 point shooting team in the league, hitting 43.3% of their shots from downtown, and they scored a franchise high 20 three pointers against the Spurs. Over is 7-0 in Jazz last 7 home games and 10-4 in Jazz last 14 games playing on one days rest. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
12-04-18 | Spurs v. Jazz OVER 213 | Top | 105-139 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) TOTAL The San Antonio Spurs managed to put an end to a two-game slide with a 131-118 win over Portland last time out. They have seen seven of their last eight games go over the total (one push) and have allowed an average of 127.3 ppg through their last three contests. The Utah Jazz are not quite the stout defensive unit we've gotten used to in recent years. They've allowed an average of 113.4 ppg through their eight home games on the season with seven of those going over the total. We can also note that the Jazz have been shooting 39.7 percent from the perimeter since trading for veteran shooting guard Kyle Korver. I think this total looks way too low and recommend a BIG PLAY on the over. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Blazers v. Spurs OVER 216 | Top | 118-131 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) TOTAL The San Antonio Spurs have given up an average of 132 points in back-to-back losses by 30 points or more. They're allowing 112.0 ppg on the season and over is 6-0-1 in their last seven games. Here the Spurs will face a Portland side which has seen six of its last seven games go over the total, the lone exception a matchup with the total closing at 227 points. Spurs have been terrible at the defending the three lately allowing their last two opponents to shoot a combined 40-of-95 from downtown, and Portland's backcourt is capable of making it rain. The Blazers shot 53.6 percent from the field in a 121-108 win over the Spurs at home on Oct. 20 and over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
11-23-18 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 220 | Top | 97-125 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT NBA TOTAL (10* TOP PLAY) The Golden State Warriors are in free fall, coming off four straight defeats as they're battling injuries to Draymond Green and Stephen Curry. The former might be back here while the latter is expected to miss several more games. Four of their last five games when playing without Curry have gone under the total, and that's a pattern I expect to continue here. This will be the finale of a tough six-game road trip for the Blazers and I think they'll make sure to up the intensity on the defensive end after giving up 143 points at Milwaukee last time out. Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last four games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 19-6-1 in Warriors last 26 games following a straight up loss. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-19-18 | Jazz v. Pacers UNDER 205.5 | Top | 94-121 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) TOTAL The Indiana Pacers have won back-to-back games despite not breaking 100 points scored in either contest. They're allowing just 101.4 ppg on the season which drops to 97.1 ppg home at Bankers Life Fieldhouse where the O/U is 1-7 for the season. Tonight the Pacers will host a Utah team which has not played with its usual intensity on the defensive end of the court lately, but it showed what it's capable of when holding Boston to 86 points on 38.5 percent shooting its last time out. Under is 10-3 in Jazz last 13 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 18-8 in Pacers last 26 vs. Western Conference. Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Indiana. 10* play on UNDER in Indiana. | |||||||
11-14-18 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 210 | Top | 82-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* NBA TOP PLAY The Boston Celtics have lost four of their last five and shot only 38.7 percent from the field in a 100-94 loss at Portland their last time out. Under is 6-2 in Celtics last eight games following a straight up loss and I think we'll see a low-scoring game when they host the Chicago Bulls Wednesday night. Chicago has been held to 99 points or fewer in four of its last five games, the lone exception an OT win at New York. Under is 6-1 in Bulls last seven overall. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-08-18 | Clippers v. Blazers OVER 225 | Top | 105-116 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA TOTAL) The LA Clippers have scored 120 points in back-to-back victories and 110 points or more in six straight games. Here they'll face a Portland team off a 118-103 win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday and the Blazers are averaging a healthy 120.6 ppg home at Moda Center on the season. With both teams in the top 5 for offensive efficiency (the number of points a team scores per 100 possessions) I have no doubt this will be a high-scoring affair. 10* play on LAC @ POR OVER. | |||||||
11-04-18 | 76ers v. Nets OVER 226 | Top | 97-122 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA TOTAL) The Philadelphia 76ers have yet to win on the road this season, and while I'm not confident in them covering the spread when playing on rest here at Brooklyn Sunday night I don't think scoring points will be an issue. The 76ers will be facing a Nets side which has lost five straight and allowed 115 points or more in all those contests with all but one of those going over the total. Philly has struggled defensively away from home giving up 122.5 ppg, and for all the Nets woes they've actually scored 111 points or more in four of their last five. Over is 6-0 in 76ers last six games playing on no rest and 6-1 in their last seven road games. 10* G.O.W on OVER. | |||||||
10-30-18 | Clippers v. Thunder OVER 224 | Top | 110-128 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY (10* TOP PLAY) The Oklahoma City Thunder recorded their first win of the season with a 117-110 home triumph over the Suns on Sunday. Russell Westbrook missed the first two games of the season following knee surgery but led the team with 23 points, nine rebounds and seven assists against Phoenix. The LA Clippers are off a 136-104 win over the Washington Wizards and have now scored 130+ points in two straight games. The Clippers beat the Westbrook-less Thunder 108-92 on Oct. 19, but I think we'll see a closer game with a higher score here with the OKC superstar back in the mix. Over is 5-1 in Clippers last six games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Oklahoma City. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
10-28-18 | Jazz v. Mavs OVER 213 | Top | 113-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA TOTAL) The Utah Jazz defeated the Pelicans 132-111 Saturday night. I think we'll see another high-scoring affair involving the Jazz when they visit Dallas Saturday evening. The Mavs have been giving up an average of 118.6 points through their first five games and Utah has scored 123 points or more in three of its five games. The Jazz might struggle with fatigue and intensity on the defensive end of the court playing on no rest, giving the Mavs some easy buckets. Trends supporting the Over: Over is 12-5 in Jazz last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 5-1 in Mavericks last six vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
10-22-18 | Hornets v. Raptors OVER 222.5 | Top | 106-127 | Win | 100 | 16 h 50 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) - MIKE'S TOP RATED *BEST BET* TOTAL The over/under is 27-12 in the NBA so far this season, and I think we'll see another game fly over the total when the Charlotte Hornets visit the Toronto Raptors Monday night. Charlotte has scored at least 113 points in each of its first three games of the season with a 115.0 ppg average. Kemba Walker is 19-of-38 from behind the arc so far in 2018-19 and scored a total of 39 points a 113-112 win over Miami on Saturday. Toronto is off to a perfect 3-0 start and has averaged 115.3 ppg. Kawhi Leonard has averaged 27.5 points and 11 rebounds in two games and should be well rested here after sitting out Saturday's 117-113 win at Washington. Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
10-16-18 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 222 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
THUNDER @ WARRIORS BASKET BRAWLER (10* TOP PLAY) Both Oklahoma City Thunder and Golden State Warriors are extremely talented with the ball in their hands and play high-paced basketball, but I think the bookmakers have set the total too high for this contest. OKC allowed an average of 104.4 ppg last season while Golden State allowed 107.5 ppg and there's a good chance the shooting will be off for several players here in the season opener. Trends supporting the under: Under is 11-5 in Thunder last 16 overall. Under is 11-3 in Warriors last 14 overall. Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Golden State. Under is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
06-03-18 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 215 | Top | 103-122 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) The Cleveland Cavaliers gave Golden State Warriors a scare in Game 1 of the series, and would probably have won the game in regulation if not for a missed free throw at 107-107 with only seconds left on clock. The Warriors could instead win the game by 10 points in overtime, and I think they'll cruise to a blowout win here while holding the Cavs offense in check. Cleveland superstar LeBron James couldn't have played any better in Game 1 (51 points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists), and to still lose after such a performance must be deflating. Under is 8-3-2 in the last 13 meetings in Golden State. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. 10* NBA Game of the Week: UNDER. 8* Bonus Play: Golden State Warriors ATS. | |||||||
05-31-18 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 215.5 | Top | 114-124 | Loss | -105 | 66 h 11 m | Show |
TOP RATED NBA FINALS GAME 1 *BEST BET* TOTAL For the fourth year in a row, the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors will meet in the NBA Finals. I think we'll see a relatively low-scoring game here in the opener. Cleveland was among the worst defensive teams in the NBA during the regular season, but the Cavs have stepped the intensity on defense here in the postseason and held the Celtics to fewer than 100 points in each of the last three games of the Eastern Conference Finals. Kevin Love is in the league’s concussion protocol after colliding with Boston’s Jayson Tatum in Game 6 of that series and will need to complete a series of tests before he's cleared to return. The Warriors held the Rockets to fewer than 100 points in each of the last five games of the Western Conference Finals. Primarily known for their offensive capabilities, it's also worth noting that State has held opponents to an average of 100.3 ppg here in the postseason. Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 road games. Under is 5-0 in Warriors last five overall. Under is 8-2-2 in the last 12 meetings at Oracle Arena. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
05-26-18 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 212.5 | Top | 86-115 | Win | 100 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
TOP RATED ROCKETS @ WARRIORS TOTAL Golden State Warriors (113.5) and Houston Rockets (112.4) owned the highest points scored per game average over the regular season. Playoff basketball is a completely different animal though, and both teams have played aggressive defense so far here in the Western Conference Finals, and that will certainly be the case again here in Game 6. Note that both of the last two games stayed under 200 points! The books have caught on, and this is the lowest total we've seen in a matchup between these two teams for many years, but I'm confident they know what they're doing and are looking to make bank on people just seeing the (relatively) low number. Under is 7-1 in Rockets last eight games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 7-1 in Warriors last eight overall. Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
04-30-18 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 207.5 | Top | 101-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
TOP RATED 76ERS @ CELTICS TOTAL *BOOKIE BREAKER* The Philadelphia 76ers defeated Miami in five games in the first round, and they really turned up the heat defensively at the end of the series. The Boston Celtics relied on solid defensive performances at home as they needed seven games to get past the Bucks. Philadelphia won the last meeting 89-80 here at TD Garden, and three of the last four head-to-head matchups have gone under the total. Under is 10-3 in 76ers last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-2 in Celtics last seven home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on PHI @ BOS to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-28-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 224 | Top | 101-123 | Push | 0 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
TOP RATED PELS @ WARRIORS GAME 1 TOTAL The New Orleans Pelicans are not getting much respect here despite coming off a dominant sweep of the third-seeded Trail Blazers in the first round of the playoffs. The Pels may very well be underrated here, but I have my eyes on the total which is set extremely high for a playoff game. Note that under is 4-0 in Pelicans last four Conference Semifinals games and 6-1 in their last seven road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-1 in Warriors last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on NO @ GS to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-17-18 | Pelicans v. Blazers UNDER 214 | Top | 111-102 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* PELICANS @ BLAZERS TOTAL The New Orleans Pelicans stole a 97-95 victory in Saturday's opener with the total closing at 216.5. I think we'll see another relatively low-scoring contest here in Game 2. New Orleans played excellent defense in Game 1 and held Portland to 31.9 percent shooting from the field, including 3-of-17 from behind the arc. Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum combined for just three points on 1-of-15 shooting in the first half, which the Blazers finished trailing 45-36. "We just didn't make shots," said Lillard. "Give credit to what they did defensively. They were physical, and they were trapping a lot of my pick-and-rolls." Expect more of the same tonight. Under is 8-2-1 in Pelicans last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 5-0 in Trail Blazers last five vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings in Portland. 10* play on NO @ POR to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-09-18 | Thunder v. Heat UNDER 214 | Top | 115-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA *BOOKIE BREAKER* TOTAL The Oklahoma City Thunder are coming off a huge 108-102 triumph at top-seeded Houston Rockets on Saturday. They can clinch a playoff spot with a win here against Miami Heat at American Airlines Arena Monday night, so I have no doubt that they'll bring it on the defensive end of the court. The Heat are already in the playoffs but took a brutal 122-98 loss to the New York Knicks on Friday, so they no doubt want to do better defensively here. Under is 23-11 in Heat's last 34 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Under is 4-0 in OKC's last four road games, 7-1 in its last eight overall and 20-6 in its last 26 Monday games. Under is 7-0 in Miami's last seven vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 8-0 in the last eight meetings, including a 105-99 Thunder win in Oklahoma City on March 23. 10* play on OKC @ MIA to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-06-18 | Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 209 | Top | 103-97 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA *BASKET BRAWLER* (TOTAL) The Washington Wizards blew a late lead in last night's 119-115 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers. I don't see them having any intention of driving up the tempo here when playing on no rest, and the Atlanta Hawks have failed to score more than 100 points in all of their last four games. Under is 6-2 in Atlanta's last eight and 6-1 in the last seven head-to-head matchups in Washington. 10* play on ATL @ WAS to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-04-18 | 76ers v. Pistons UNDER 213 | Top | 115-108 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA *PLAY OF THE DAY* (TOTAL) The Philadelphia 76ers have won 11 in a row following a 121-95 win over Brooklyn last night. They'll be without All-Star center Joel Embiid (orbital fracture) and Dario Saric (elbow), and we can note that under is 5-2 in 76ers last seven games playing on no days rest. The Detroit Pistons have won five in a row and seven of eight to stay alive in the playoff race in the East. They held Brooklyn to 96 points their last time out and under is 15-4-2 in Pistons last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 12-3 in 76ers last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 10* play on PHI @ DET to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-01-18 | Suns v. Warriors UNDER 215 | Top | 107-117 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA *BOOKIE BREAKER* TOTAL The Golden State Warriors will play on no rest following a 112-96 win at Sacramento last night. They have six games left of the regular season but little to play for with the Rockets already having clinched the best record in the league and the Warriors themselves clinched the No. 2 seed in the West. Stephen Curry is expected to miss the rest of the regular season so the Warriors must avoid more injuries and keep the rest of their stars fresh which means more time on the floor for their fringe players. Under is 7-2 in Warriors last nine home games and they'll face a Phoenix team which may have lost four straight, but the Suns are coming off three straight impressive efforts against Boston, the LA Clippers and Houston. Under is 6-0 in Suns last six overall and 11-1 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 10* play on PHX @ GS to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-30-18 | Wolves v. Mavs UNDER 217 | Top | 93-92 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA *BASKET BRAWLER (TOTAL) The Minnesota Timberwolves ended a two-game skid with a 126-114 triumph over Atlanta on Wednesday. They enter this contest at seventh place in the Western Conference 1 1/2 games up on the ninth-place LA Clippers, so they'll have everything to play for. I think we'll see good defending and way fewer points scored than their last time out when they visit the Dallas Mavericks Friday night. The tanking Mavs have played three straight unders and we can note that under is 9-1-1 in Timberwolves last 11 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The Wolves have won four straight meetings, the most recent a 97-92 win home at Minnesota. Each of the last seven matchups in the series have gone under the total. 10* play on MIN @ DAL to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-23-18 | Clippers v. Pacers UNDER 219 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA *BOOKIE BREAKER* We should see two highly motivated teams playing hard defense with the LA Clippers battling to get back into the race for a playoff spot in the Western Conference and the Indiana Pacers drawing closer to clinching a playoff berth and trying to catch the Cavs for third place in the East. Only one of the Pacers' last 12 games have gone over the total while the Clippers have played four straight overs, but the under is 10-4 in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. These two teams had played three straight unders with the total set at an average of 205 points before the last meeting went over with 213 points and the total closing at 207. That would still not be enough to cover this line, and I think this game will go under without any problem. My selection is a 10* play on LAC @ IND to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-21-18 | Pacers v. Pelicans UNDER 219.5 | Top | 92-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA *BOOKIE BREAKER* Only one of the Indiana Pacers' last 11 games have gone over the total, and I think the books have set the number way too high once again when they visit the New Orleans Pelicans Wednesday night. The Pels had played three straight unders prior to a 115-105 triumph over Dallas (with the total closing at 218.5). Under is 16-4-1 in Pelicans last 21 overall vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 8-1-1 in Pacers last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Pelicans posted a 117-112 victory at Indiana on Nov. 7, but eight of the last 10 meetings have gone under the total and none of those games closed with the total set as high as this. My selection is a 10* play on IND @ NOP to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-20-18 | Rockets v. Blazers OVER 214.5 | Top | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* ROCKETS @ BLAZERS BEST BET The red hot Houston Rockets (won 26 of their last 28) will visit the equally hot Portland Trail Blazers (won 13 in a row) Tuesday night, and I think the total is set way too low considering both teams ability to shoot the 3-ball. Portland is hitting 38% of its shots from behind the arc with an average of 10.5 made per game while Houston is averaging a league-best 15.4 3-pointers per game. Six of the last seven meetings have gone over the total, all with a higher number than what we see here today, and we can note that over is 8-1 in Trail Blazers last nine games when taking on a team with a winning % above .600. My selection is a 10* play on HOU @ POR to go OVER the total. | |||||||
03-19-18 | Lakers v. Pacers UNDER 219.5 | Top | 100-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA) The Indiana Pacers had won six of seven before taking back-to-back losses to Toronto and Washington. They've been involved in several low-scoring games lately, and I think the bookmakers have set the total way too high for this contest. The Pacers had seen nine straight games go under the total before losing 109-102 to Washington (with the total closing at 210). They'll take on a Lakers team which lost 92-91 against Miami its last time out and each of its last three games have gone under the total. The Lakers won the last meeting 99-86 back in January (with the total closing at 214). Under is 16-9 when the Pacers are looking to avenge a loss vs. an opponent this season. My NBA Game of the Month is a 10* play on LAL @ IND to go UNDER the total. |
Service | Profit |
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William Burns | $1,395 |
Joey Tron | $617 |
Ray Monohan | $607 |
Ross Benjamin | $583 |
Big Al McMordie | $401 |
Matt Fargo | $327 |
Ricky Tran | $297 |
Sean Higgs | $140 |
Jesse Schule | $98 |
Kyle Hunter | $66 |