Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-29-19 | Bucks v. Pistons UNDER 219 | 115-105 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
3-GAME HIGH ROLLER REPORT The Milwaukee Bucks have lost just 13 games all season, one of them last time out when they dropped a 118-112 decision to the OKC Thunder on Sunday. They have yet to lose back-to-back games on the season and are a solid 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss. I fully expect the Bucks to bounce back in a big way against a Pistons team that has been held to 101 points or fewer in each game during a 1-3 stretch and is just 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Pistons have had plenty of time to recover since their 106-101 loss at Dallas on Friday, but they're 1-4 ATS in their last five games playing on three or more days rest while the Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on one days rest. Under is 22-8-2 in Pistons last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 10-3 in Bucks last 13 road games. The Bucks' D will win them this game. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
01-27-19 | Raptors v. Mavs UNDER 220 | Top | 123-120 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED BEST TOTAL BET The Toronto Raptors took a high-scoring loss at Houston Friday night, but each of their last four games prior to that had gone under the total. Here they'll face Dallas Mavericks team that has won back-to-back games despite scoring just 106 points in both, and under is 5-0 in the Mavs last five overall. Ten of Dallas' 12 games overall here in January have gone under and under is a PERFECT 8-0 in its last eight vs. teams from the East. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
01-22-19 | Wolves v. Suns OVER 228 | 118-91 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT WOLVES @ SUNS TOTAL Neither the Minnesota Timberwolves or the Phoenix Suns are known for their great defending, and I think this encounter will fly over the total rather easily. The Wolves are allowing 116.3 ppg on the road this season and have surrendered an average of 126.3 ppg through their last three overall. The Suns meanwhile have alloed an average of 123.3 ppg through a four-game slide but have had no trouble putting points on the board. The Wolves won the first meeting of this home-and-home set 116-114 at Minnesota on Sunday. Over is 8-0 in Timberwolves last eight road games, 14-3 in their last 17 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and also 14-3 in their last 17 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. 8* play on OVER. | |||||||
01-18-19 | Heat v. Pistons UNDER 208 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
FRIDAY NIGHT NBA HIGH ROLLER REPORT (3 PICKS) The Miami Heat took a 124-86 beating at Milwaukee last time out, but they've had two days of rest since and I think they'll bounce back with a solid performance here at Detroit Friday night. The Heat are 5-1 ATS when playing with two days rest this season and will face a Pistons side that's likely to come out flat after defeating Orlando Magic 120-115 in overtime on Wednesday. Pistons are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win and 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games playing on one days rest. Heat are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings and 13-6 ATS as an underdog on the season. Under is 4-1 in Miami's last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 15-6-1 in Pistons' last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
01-17-19 | Lakers v. Thunder UNDER 226.5 | 138-128 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT LAKERS @ THUNDER TOTAL The Oklahoma City Thunder took a 142-126 beating by the lowly Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday. They're 6-0 ATS in their last six games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and I like the Thunder to bounce back with a solid outing against the LA Lakers here on Thursday. The Lakers will be without LeBron James for a 12th consecutive game and had been held to 95 points in back-to-back losses to Utah and Cleveland before ending the skid with a 107-100 triumph over Chicago last time out. They're 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win and have played six straight unders. "Unfortunately as of late, we haven't been scoring, but our defense has been pretty steady for the most part," Ball said. "And that's what we try to lean on." I think the visitors will struggle to put points on the board against an OKC team that knows it has to do better than it has in recent contest. "These are the games that we've got to be ready for -- the ones where we're supposed to come in and roll them over. Those are the teams that we've got to come out and match the energy they give us." Oklahoma City's Paul George said after the loss to the Hawks. The Home team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings and under is 6-0 in the last six meetings in Oklahoma City. I expect OKC to win and cover the spread in a relatively low-scoring game. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
01-10-19 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 211.5 | 99-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
3-GAME HIGH ROLLER REPORT The Boston Celtics have averaged 120 ppg through a four-game winning streak and scored a season-high 135 points in last night's rout of Indiana. Here the Celtics will face a Miami team that has failed to reach 100 points in either of its last two games, but note that the Heat had posted an average of 112.2 ppg through six games prior to their slump. The Celtics shot 56.8 percent from the field last night and I think the efficiency will carry over to this contest. Miami meanwhile should be able to score some easy buckets late in the game as the visitors defense gets worn down due to fatigue. Over is 8-3 in Celtics last 11 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and 4-1 in their last five games playing on no rest. 8* play on OVER. | |||||||
01-06-19 | Heat v. Hawks OVER 221.5 | Top | 82-106 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 33 m | Show |
NBA PLAY OF THE DAY (TOP RATED 10* TOTAL) Both of the first two meetings between the Miami Heat and the Atlanta Hawks this season went over the total with closing numbers of 224 and 225.5 points. Despite that, we're getting a lower number here in the third meeting between the Southeast Division rivals, and I'm all over the over. The Miami Heat have seen each of their last six games go over, and here they'll face a Hawks side that is struggling on the defensive end and allowed 144 points at Milwaukee its last time out. Over is 8-3 in Hawks last 11 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Note that the two teams have a combined 26-17 over/under record in games with a total closing at 220 points or more this season, so don't let the relatively big number scare you. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
01-04-19 | Thunder v. Blazers UNDER 224 | Top | 111-109 | Win | 100 | 21 h 59 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED 10* NBA TOTAL The Oklahoma City Thunder have lost eight straight meetings at Portland and under is 14-6 in their 20 road games on the season. They do however own the 4th best scoring defense in the NBA, and here they'll face a Portland side that is coming off a 113-108 win at Sacramento, a contest that went under the total despite going to OT. Under is 9-2 in Trail Blazers last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and 5-1 in their six games against divisional opponents this season. Three of the last four meetings in the series have gone under, all with totals closing at a number much lower than this. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
12-31-18 | Hawks v. Pacers UNDER 221.5 | Top | 108-116 | Loss | -107 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): MIKE'S BEST NEW YEARS EVE NBA TOTAL The Pacers and the Hawks combined for 250 points in an Indiana win at Atlanta on December 26, but I think we'll see way fewer points scored here in this early New Years Eve matchup. The Pacers have allowed just 96.4 ppg through 18 contests home at Bankers Life Fieldhouse this season and under is 14-4 in those games. Under is 17-8 in Hawks last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 10-1 in the last 11 meetings with the Pacers. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
12-26-18 | Pacers v. Hawks UNDER 217.5 | 129-121 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The bookmakers must be well aware of the fact that Indiana owns the best scoring defense in the league, yet they continue to throw out way too high totals for Pacers' games with 13 of their last 14 going under the total. Here they Pacers will host an Atlanta team that is coming off a 98-95 win over Detroit and has seen five of its last seven games go under the total. Under is 21-5 in Hawks last 26 games following a straight up win. Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings with Indiana. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
12-26-18 | Suns v. Magic UNDER 209.5 | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY Both the Phoenix Suns and the Orlando Magic rank near the bottom of the league for both offensive efficiency and pace. I think we'll see a low-scoring contest at Amway Center Wednesday night. Four of the Suns last six games have gone under the total and I don't see them pushing the tempo here, especially considering they'll be closing out a five-game road trip that has seen them travel 9,180 miles. The Suns appeared to be fatigued at times when they suffered a 111-103 loss in Brooklyn on Sunday, not all that surprising considering they played a triple OT game in Washington the night before. I doubt the hosts will be looking to make this an up-tempo game either, considering that's not they're style at all averaging just 99.9 possessions per game on the season. Four of the Suns last six games have gone under the total. Under is 12-4 in Magic last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
12-25-18 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 221.5 | 109-113 | Loss | -103 | 29 h 3 m | Show | |
CHRISTMAS DAY NBA BUCKET BREAKER (TOTAL) The Houston Rockets are coming off a 108-101 triumph over San Antonio, the seventh of their last 10 games to go under the total. Here they'll host an Oklahoma City side that owns the 2nd best defensive rating in the NBA behind Indiana. OKC is scoring significantly fewer points on the road than at home, and over/under is 5-11 in its 16 away games on the season. The Rockets and the Thunder clashed in OKC back in November, a game the home team won 98-80. Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings with Houston and I predict another relatively low-scoring affair here on Christmas Day. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
12-21-18 | Grizzlies v. Kings UNDER 212 | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT NBA TOTAL The Sacramento Kings have allowed 132 points in back-to-back losses and they've played five straight overs, but here they'll face a defensive-minded Memphis team that won't allow the Kings to dictate the tempo. Under is 7-3 in Grizzlies last 10 overall and 8-3 in Kings last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Sacramento. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
12-18-18 | Lakers v. Nets OVER 227 | 110-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
TUESDAY NIGHT 3-PACK The LA Lakers have seen three straight contests go over the total with an average final total of 234.3 during that stretch. Here they'll visit a red hot Brooklyn side that has scored at least 120 points in three straight games and an average of 122.8 ppg through a five-game winning streak. The Nets beat Atlanta 144-127 last time out and I don't think defense will be a priority for either side here. 8* play on OVER. | |||||||
12-14-18 | Thunder v. Nuggets UNDER 219 | 98-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
SUPER LATE NBA NIGHTCRAWLER (TOTAL) Both the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Denver Nuggets rank in the top 5 for scoring defense. Under is 15-6 in Thunder last 21 road games and 7-2 in Nuggets last nine home games vs. a team with a winning road record (OKC is 7-6 on the road). Five of the last seven meetings have gone under the total and we saw just a total of 203 points scored when they clashed last month. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
12-12-18 | Heat v. Jazz OVER 210 | 84-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
SUBSCRIBERS ONLY The Miami Heat have dominated recent matchups with the Utah Jazz, claiming each of the last five, but I think that winning streak is about to come an end here Wednesday night. Utah is coming off back-to-back losses at San Antonio and Oklahoma City, but it has won its last two games by a combined 61 points. The Heat are in a tough spot playing the fourth game on a six-game road trip. Over is 8-2 at Vivint Smart Home Arena this season and note that Utah has scored 113 points or more three of its last four games overall. 8* play on OVER. | |||||||
12-08-18 | Heat v. Clippers OVER 220 | Top | 121-98 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY (TOTAL) The LA Clippers had scored 110 points or more in four straight games before getting held to a season-worst 86 in a loss to Memphis Wednesday night. I think they'll be back to their free-scoring ways here against a Miami team which opened a six-game road trip with a 115-98 victory over Phoenix Friday night. Playing on no rest will almost certainly not do the Heat any favors defensively, and we can note that over is 11-1 in their last 12 games playing on 0 days rest. Combine it with the fact that over is 10-3 in Clippers last 13 overall and I think we have a solid case for the over here. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
12-06-18 | Rockets v. Jazz OVER 216 | Top | 91-118 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 27 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA BOOKIE BREAKER (TOTAL) The Houston Rockets had played eight straight overs before taking a 103-91 loss at Minnesota Monday night (with a total closing at 222.5 points). The Rockets had scored 120+ points in three of their last four games prior to that that dudd and here they'll face a Utah team which scored a season-high 139 points against San Antonio on Tuesday. Since acquiring Kyle Korver, the Jazz are the 3rd best 3 point shooting team in the league, hitting 43.3% of their shots from downtown, and they scored a franchise high 20 three pointers against the Spurs. Over is 7-0 in Jazz last 7 home games and 10-4 in Jazz last 14 games playing on one days rest. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
12-04-18 | Spurs v. Jazz OVER 213 | Top | 105-139 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) TOTAL The San Antonio Spurs managed to put an end to a two-game slide with a 131-118 win over Portland last time out. They have seen seven of their last eight games go over the total (one push) and have allowed an average of 127.3 ppg through their last three contests. The Utah Jazz are not quite the stout defensive unit we've gotten used to in recent years. They've allowed an average of 113.4 ppg through their eight home games on the season with seven of those going over the total. We can also note that the Jazz have been shooting 39.7 percent from the perimeter since trading for veteran shooting guard Kyle Korver. I think this total looks way too low and recommend a BIG PLAY on the over. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Blazers v. Spurs OVER 216 | Top | 118-131 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) TOTAL The San Antonio Spurs have given up an average of 132 points in back-to-back losses by 30 points or more. They're allowing 112.0 ppg on the season and over is 6-0-1 in their last seven games. Here the Spurs will face a Portland side which has seen six of its last seven games go over the total, the lone exception a matchup with the total closing at 227 points. Spurs have been terrible at the defending the three lately allowing their last two opponents to shoot a combined 40-of-95 from downtown, and Portland's backcourt is capable of making it rain. The Blazers shot 53.6 percent from the field in a 121-108 win over the Spurs at home on Oct. 20 and over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
11-30-18 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 214 | 113-112 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The Denver Nuggets are on a roll, entering this game 4-0 SU and ATS through their last four games. They've won at both Minnesota and Oklahoma City during that stretch to improve to 5-4 on the road for the season, and I think would not be surprised to see them win ouright at Portland Friday night. The Blazers had dropped three straight prior to a 115-112 win as a 10-point favorite against Orlando last time out and they've covered the spread in just one of their last eight contest. Denver has held three straight opponents to fewer than 100 points and it has won three straight meetings with Portland. Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings and I expect Denver to at the very least cover the spread in a relatively low-scoring contest. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-27-18 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 217 | 85-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
LAKERS @ NUGGETS TUESDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL Eight of the LA Lakers last 10 games have gone under the total, and none of their last four have gone over the total posted for this matchup with Denver. The Nuggets own the third best scoring defense in the NBA and have allowed an average of only 97.5 ppg through its last three contests, all going under the total. Denver is particularly good at defending the three-ball, holding opponents to 32.3 percent shooting from behind the arc. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-27-18 | Raptors v. Grizzlies UNDER 207 | 122-114 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The Memphis Grizzlies are 7-2 SU and ATS home at FedExForum and I think they'll give the Toronto Raptors all they can handle Tuesday night. The Grizzlies are holding opponents to a league-best 100.0 ppg and have covered the spread in eight of the last 10 when facing a team with a winning record over .600. With the Raptors in risk of looking ahead to a nationally televised showdown with Golden State on Thursday, the right play here is to take the points on the home team. Under is 7-2 in Grizzlies last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 16-3 in Raptors last 19 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 28-8 in the last 36 meetings. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-25-18 | Heat v. Raptors OVER 218 | 115-125 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
HEAT @ RAPTORS TOTAL I expect to see a high-scoring contest when the Miami Heat visit Toronto Raptors Sunday night. Note that over/under is 11-7 in games involving Miami this season (despite four straight unders) and o/u is 13-7 for Toronto. The Raptors hit on a season-best 17 shots from 3-point range for a 43.6 percentage from beyond the arc in a 125-107 triumph over Washington Friday night and they've scored 120+ points in three of their last four games. Miami had been held to fewer than 100 points in three straight games prior to a 103-96 win at Chicago Friday night, but keep in mind that the Heat rank seventh in the NBA averaging 11.8 3-pointers per game, so they're definitely capable of putting plenty of points on the board. 8* play on OVER. | |||||||
11-23-18 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 220 | Top | 97-125 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT NBA TOTAL (10* TOP PLAY) The Golden State Warriors are in free fall, coming off four straight defeats as they're battling injuries to Draymond Green and Stephen Curry. The former might be back here while the latter is expected to miss several more games. Four of their last five games when playing without Curry have gone under the total, and that's a pattern I expect to continue here. This will be the finale of a tough six-game road trip for the Blazers and I think they'll make sure to up the intensity on the defensive end after giving up 143 points at Milwaukee last time out. Under is 4-0 in Trail Blazers last four games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Under is 19-6-1 in Warriors last 26 games following a straight up loss. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-21-18 | Pacers v. Hornets UNDER 216.5 | 109-127 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
WEDNESDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL The Indiana Pacers have held three straight opponents to fewer than 94 points and six of their last nine have gone under the total. Here they'll visit a Charlotte team which has been involved in a fair amount of shootouts lately, but note that under is 8-2 in Hornets last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Indiana fits the bill with a 5-3 SU record on the road and I expect this game to stay under the total. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-20-18 | Nets v. Heat OVER 216 | 104-92 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
NETS @ HEAT TUESDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL The Miami Heat have failed to break 100 points in each of their last two games. It had however seen seven of its last eight go over the total prior to the recent funk and picked up a 120-107 road win over the Nets on Nov. 14. This looks like a good spot for the Heat to find their scoring touch again as they'll face a Brooklyn side which has lost four of its last five and allowed more than 120 ppg on average in each defeat. Both teams rank in the top half of the table when it comes to making three-pointers and Miami is third worst in the league at defending the three. I expect to see both teams make a high percentage of their attempts outside the perimeter to push this game over the total. 8* play on OVER. | |||||||
11-19-18 | Jazz v. Pacers UNDER 205.5 | Top | 94-121 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) TOTAL The Indiana Pacers have won back-to-back games despite not breaking 100 points scored in either contest. They're allowing just 101.4 ppg on the season which drops to 97.1 ppg home at Bankers Life Fieldhouse where the O/U is 1-7 for the season. Tonight the Pacers will host a Utah team which has not played with its usual intensity on the defensive end of the court lately, but it showed what it's capable of when holding Boston to 86 points on 38.5 percent shooting its last time out. Under is 10-3 in Jazz last 13 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 18-8 in Pacers last 26 vs. Western Conference. Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Indiana. 10* play on UNDER in Indiana. | |||||||
11-16-18 | Nets v. Wizards OVER 223 | 115-104 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The Washington Wizards have found their groove and enter this matchup riding a three-game winning streak SU and ATS, the most recent a 24-point rout of Cleveland. They've averaged 117.3 points during the streak and here they'll face a Brooklyn team which took a 120-107 home loss to the Heat on Wednesday to go to 0-3 SU and ATS last three. We can also note that the visitors will be without their leading scorer, guard Caris LeVert who is out indefinitely with a dislocated right foot and that the Nets are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Washington. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings and I expect Washington to score plenty here to push this game over the total. 8* play on OVER. | |||||||
11-14-18 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 210 | Top | 82-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
10* NBA TOP PLAY The Boston Celtics have lost four of their last five and shot only 38.7 percent from the field in a 100-94 loss at Portland their last time out. Under is 6-2 in Celtics last eight games following a straight up loss and I think we'll see a low-scoring game when they host the Chicago Bulls Wednesday night. Chicago has been held to 99 points or fewer in four of its last five games, the lone exception an OT win at New York. Under is 6-1 in Bulls last seven overall. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
11-08-18 | Clippers v. Blazers OVER 225 | Top | 105-116 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA TOTAL) The LA Clippers have scored 120 points in back-to-back victories and 110 points or more in six straight games. Here they'll face a Portland team off a 118-103 win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday and the Blazers are averaging a healthy 120.6 ppg home at Moda Center on the season. With both teams in the top 5 for offensive efficiency (the number of points a team scores per 100 possessions) I have no doubt this will be a high-scoring affair. 10* play on LAC @ POR OVER. | |||||||
11-04-18 | 76ers v. Nets OVER 226 | Top | 97-122 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA TOTAL) The Philadelphia 76ers have yet to win on the road this season, and while I'm not confident in them covering the spread when playing on rest here at Brooklyn Sunday night I don't think scoring points will be an issue. The 76ers will be facing a Nets side which has lost five straight and allowed 115 points or more in all those contests with all but one of those going over the total. Philly has struggled defensively away from home giving up 122.5 ppg, and for all the Nets woes they've actually scored 111 points or more in four of their last five. Over is 6-0 in 76ers last six games playing on no rest and 6-1 in their last seven road games. 10* G.O.W on OVER. | |||||||
11-02-18 | Rockets v. Nets OVER 216 | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
ROCKETS @ NETS TGIF TOTAL I think we'll see a wide open high-scoring game when the Brooklyn Nets host the Houston Rockets Friday night. Houston has been held to fewer than 100 points in two of its last three contests and James Harden might miss his third straight game with a hamstring injury, but buckets should still come fairly easy against a Brooklyn side which has allowed 115+ in four straight games. Defensively Houston ranks in the bottom third of the league giving up 116.3 ppg and the Nets have averaged 113.7 ppg through its three games home at Barclays Center. 8* play on OVER. | |||||||
11-01-18 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 220 | 113-117 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
BUCKS @ CELTICS BUCKET BREAKER The Milwaukee Bucks are the lone undefeated team this season following an impressive 124-109 triumph over Toronto. I think the spread is pretty spot on for this contest, but the total is set too high IMO. Sure, scoring is way up in the NBA this season and Milwaukee has scored at least 113 points in all its games, but Boston owns the best defense in the league allowing just 97.6 ppg. The Celtics gave up 105 in a win against Detroit Tuesday night but under is 5-0 in their last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. We can also note that Bucks' superstar forward Giannis Antetokounmpo who averaged 25 points, 14.2 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game in the Bucks' first six games this season is in the concussion protocol and remains questionable for this game. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
10-30-18 | Clippers v. Thunder OVER 224 | Top | 110-128 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show |
NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY (10* TOP PLAY) The Oklahoma City Thunder recorded their first win of the season with a 117-110 home triumph over the Suns on Sunday. Russell Westbrook missed the first two games of the season following knee surgery but led the team with 23 points, nine rebounds and seven assists against Phoenix. The LA Clippers are off a 136-104 win over the Washington Wizards and have now scored 130+ points in two straight games. The Clippers beat the Westbrook-less Thunder 108-92 on Oct. 19, but I think we'll see a closer game with a higher score here with the OKC superstar back in the mix. Over is 5-1 in Clippers last six games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Oklahoma City. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
10-30-18 | Heat v. Hornets OVER 222 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
HEAT @ HORNETS TOTAL I think we'll see a high-scoring contest when the Charlotte Hornets host the Miami Heat Tuesday night. The visitors are likely to struggle with the intensity on defense as they'll be playing on no rest following a 123-113 loss to Sacramento on Monday. The Hornets should have a lot of energy and looking to play high tempo basketball following two days rest since a 105-103 setback at Philadelphia on Saturday. Over is 9-1 in Heat's last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. Over is 18-7-1 in Hornets' last 26 home games. 8* play on OVER. | |||||||
10-29-18 | Warriors v. Bulls UNDER 230.5 | 149-124 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The Chicago Bulls are coming off a 97-85 upset win at Atlanta on Saturday, putting them in a let down spot here when hosting the Golden State Warriors Monday night. The Warriors will be playing on no rest but made light work of Brooklyn without exhausting themselves last night. They've now won four in a row since their lone loss (100-98 at Denver on Oct 21) and the previous three were all by at least 20 points. Trends supporting Golden State: Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. Bulls are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Monday games. With the under 10-4 in the last 14 meetings at United Center I also recommend a play on this game to go under the total. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
10-28-18 | Jazz v. Mavs OVER 213 | Top | 113-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA TOTAL) The Utah Jazz defeated the Pelicans 132-111 Saturday night. I think we'll see another high-scoring affair involving the Jazz when they visit Dallas Saturday evening. The Mavs have been giving up an average of 118.6 points through their first five games and Utah has scored 123 points or more in three of its five games. The Jazz might struggle with fatigue and intensity on the defensive end of the court playing on no rest, giving the Mavs some easy buckets. Trends supporting the Over: Over is 12-5 in Jazz last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 5-1 in Mavericks last six vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
10-22-18 | Hornets v. Raptors OVER 222.5 | Top | 106-127 | Win | 100 | 16 h 50 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) - MIKE'S TOP RATED *BEST BET* TOTAL The over/under is 27-12 in the NBA so far this season, and I think we'll see another game fly over the total when the Charlotte Hornets visit the Toronto Raptors Monday night. Charlotte has scored at least 113 points in each of its first three games of the season with a 115.0 ppg average. Kemba Walker is 19-of-38 from behind the arc so far in 2018-19 and scored a total of 39 points a 113-112 win over Miami on Saturday. Toronto is off to a perfect 3-0 start and has averaged 115.3 ppg. Kawhi Leonard has averaged 27.5 points and 11 rebounds in two games and should be well rested here after sitting out Saturday's 117-113 win at Washington. Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings. 10* play on OVER. | |||||||
10-19-18 | Warriors v. Jazz UNDER 218 | 124-123 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 18 m | Show | |
WARRIORS @ JAZZ MIDNIGHT MASSACRE The defending NBA champions Golden State Warriors opened the season with a 108-100 win against Oklahoma City Thunder. That game went way under the total which closed at 220 points, and I think we'll see another under involving the Warriors when they visit the Utah Jazz Friday night. Utah held opponents to 99.8 ppg last season but struggled to slow down Sacramento in a 123-117 triumph on Wednesday. I expect the Jazz to play much better defense tonight, fueled by the motivation of putting beating the reigning champs. Trends supporting the under: Under is 12-3 in Warriors last 15 overall, 22-7-1 in their last 30 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 10-3 in their last 13 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 6-2 in Jazz last 8 games vs. a team with a winning record. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
10-16-18 | Thunder v. Warriors UNDER 222 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
THUNDER @ WARRIORS BASKET BRAWLER (10* TOP PLAY) Both Oklahoma City Thunder and Golden State Warriors are extremely talented with the ball in their hands and play high-paced basketball, but I think the bookmakers have set the total too high for this contest. OKC allowed an average of 104.4 ppg last season while Golden State allowed 107.5 ppg and there's a good chance the shooting will be off for several players here in the season opener. Trends supporting the under: Under is 11-5 in Thunder last 16 overall. Under is 11-3 in Warriors last 14 overall. Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Golden State. Under is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
06-08-18 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 215.5 | 108-85 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
5-PACK The Golden State Warriors are going for the kill here when they visit the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. They're clearly the superior team, but also know they can't afford to give the Cavs anything for free. "You never know, crazy things that can happen, turn of events in a series that could take place," Golden State forward Draymond Green told reporters. "So you have the opportunity to close out, you want to do that. So you come in, take full advantage of the opportunity in front of us." Lebron James has carried the Cavs throughout the playoffs, but there's only so much he can do alone against this Warriors team. Under is 10-3 in Warriors last 13 overall. Under is 11-5 in Cavaliers last 16 home games. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
06-06-18 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 218 | 110-102 | Win | 100 | 35 h 10 m | Show | |
BONUS PLAY The Golden State Warriors are just two wins away from their third NBA title in four years after a pair of double-digit wins home in Oakland. The Cavs gave GS a scare in Game 1 but still lost by 10 in OT, and the Warriors dominated Game 2 from start to finish to run away with a 122-103 triumph. Remember how Cavs defeated Golden State in the 2016 NBA Finals in seven games, coming back from a 3-1 series deficit to avenge their NBA Finals loss from the year before? I'm sure Warriors do, and that's why I expect them to keep pushing the pedal to the metal and not give Cavs any reason to think they can win this series. Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 road games. Warriors are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Bonus Play: 8* on UNDER. | |||||||
06-03-18 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 215 | Top | 103-122 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA) The Cleveland Cavaliers gave Golden State Warriors a scare in Game 1 of the series, and would probably have won the game in regulation if not for a missed free throw at 107-107 with only seconds left on clock. The Warriors could instead win the game by 10 points in overtime, and I think they'll cruise to a blowout win here while holding the Cavs offense in check. Cleveland superstar LeBron James couldn't have played any better in Game 1 (51 points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists), and to still lose after such a performance must be deflating. Under is 8-3-2 in the last 13 meetings in Golden State. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. 10* NBA Game of the Week: UNDER. 8* Bonus Play: Golden State Warriors ATS. | |||||||
05-31-18 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 215.5 | Top | 114-124 | Loss | -105 | 66 h 11 m | Show |
TOP RATED NBA FINALS GAME 1 *BEST BET* TOTAL For the fourth year in a row, the Cleveland Cavaliers and Golden State Warriors will meet in the NBA Finals. I think we'll see a relatively low-scoring game here in the opener. Cleveland was among the worst defensive teams in the NBA during the regular season, but the Cavs have stepped the intensity on defense here in the postseason and held the Celtics to fewer than 100 points in each of the last three games of the Eastern Conference Finals. Kevin Love is in the league’s concussion protocol after colliding with Boston’s Jayson Tatum in Game 6 of that series and will need to complete a series of tests before he's cleared to return. The Warriors held the Rockets to fewer than 100 points in each of the last five games of the Western Conference Finals. Primarily known for their offensive capabilities, it's also worth noting that State has held opponents to an average of 100.3 ppg here in the postseason. Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 road games. Under is 5-0 in Warriors last five overall. Under is 8-2-2 in the last 12 meetings at Oracle Arena. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
05-28-18 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 208 | 101-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALS GAME 7 *HARDWOOD HAMMER* The Golden State Warriors held the Houston Rockets to 25 points in the second half of a 115-86 triumph in Game 6. The Rockets didn't just lose the game, but also possibly Chris Paul who is most likely out for this contest with a hamstring strain. Yesterday's Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals finished with a total of just 166 points, and I would be surprised to see this Game 7 break 200. Five of the first six games of this Western Conference Finals series have gone under the total, and I expect to see two aggressive defenses once again tonight. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
05-27-18 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 200 | 87-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
EASTERN CONFERENCE FINALS GAME 7 TOTAL The Boston Celtics host the Cleveland Cavaliers for Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals Sunday night, and we should see a defensive battle with a spot in the NBA Finals at stake. Another reasoning for the under is the fact that the Cavs will be without power forward Kevin Love (concussion). Even though Love has struggled to find his rhythm during the playoffs, he's usually providing a key threat as an open shooter when Lebron James opens up the defense. Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in TD Garden and 4-2 in the first six games of this playoff series. 8* play on UNDER. | |||||||
05-26-18 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 212.5 | Top | 86-115 | Win | 100 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
TOP RATED ROCKETS @ WARRIORS TOTAL Golden State Warriors (113.5) and Houston Rockets (112.4) owned the highest points scored per game average over the regular season. Playoff basketball is a completely different animal though, and both teams have played aggressive defense so far here in the Western Conference Finals, and that will certainly be the case again here in Game 6. Note that both of the last two games stayed under 200 points! The books have caught on, and this is the lowest total we've seen in a matchup between these two teams for many years, but I'm confident they know what they're doing and are looking to make bank on people just seeing the (relatively) low number. Under is 7-1 in Rockets last eight games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 7-1 in Warriors last eight overall. Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings. 10* play on UNDER. | |||||||
04-30-18 | 76ers v. Celtics UNDER 207.5 | Top | 101-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
TOP RATED 76ERS @ CELTICS TOTAL *BOOKIE BREAKER* The Philadelphia 76ers defeated Miami in five games in the first round, and they really turned up the heat defensively at the end of the series. The Boston Celtics relied on solid defensive performances at home as they needed seven games to get past the Bucks. Philadelphia won the last meeting 89-80 here at TD Garden, and three of the last four head-to-head matchups have gone under the total. Under is 10-3 in 76ers last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-2 in Celtics last seven home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on PHI @ BOS to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-28-18 | Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 224 | Top | 101-123 | Push | 0 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
TOP RATED PELS @ WARRIORS GAME 1 TOTAL The New Orleans Pelicans are not getting much respect here despite coming off a dominant sweep of the third-seeded Trail Blazers in the first round of the playoffs. The Pels may very well be underrated here, but I have my eyes on the total which is set extremely high for a playoff game. Note that under is 4-0 in Pelicans last four Conference Semifinals games and 6-1 in their last seven road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 5-1 in Warriors last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on NO @ GS to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-21-18 | Blazers v. Pelicans UNDER 217.5 | 123-131 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
SATURDAY NBA TOTAL OF THE DAY The Portland Trail Blazers are at risk of an early exit from the NBA playoffs when they enter Smoothie King Center Saturday afternoon. They've scored an average of just 99.7 ppg through the first three defeats, and I don't think points will come easy today either. Betting Portland games to go under the total has been a winning recipe all season long and note that the under is 6-1 in Trail Blazers last seven vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 9-3-1 in Pelicans last 13 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and I expect to see solid and aggressive defense from both teams in this contest. 8* play on POR @ NO to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-17-18 | Pelicans v. Blazers UNDER 214 | Top | 111-102 | Win | 100 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* PELICANS @ BLAZERS TOTAL The New Orleans Pelicans stole a 97-95 victory in Saturday's opener with the total closing at 216.5. I think we'll see another relatively low-scoring contest here in Game 2. New Orleans played excellent defense in Game 1 and held Portland to 31.9 percent shooting from the field, including 3-of-17 from behind the arc. Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum combined for just three points on 1-of-15 shooting in the first half, which the Blazers finished trailing 45-36. "We just didn't make shots," said Lillard. "Give credit to what they did defensively. They were physical, and they were trapping a lot of my pick-and-rolls." Expect more of the same tonight. Under is 8-2-1 in Pelicans last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 5-0 in Trail Blazers last five vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings in Portland. 10* play on NO @ POR to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-15-18 | Wolves v. Rockets OVER 216 | 101-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
WOLVES @ ROCKETS *NO-BRAINER* The Minnesota Timberwolves clinched their playoff berth with an overtime victory on the final day of the regular season. The "reward" is a series against the NBA-best Houston Rockets. This is simply a terrible matchup for Minnesota which struggles do defend the perimeter while Houston has fired 42.3 3-point attempts per game and made 36.2 percent of those shots. Over is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings, and I think we'll see another high-scoring affair tonight. 8* play on MIN @ HOU to go OVER the total. | |||||||
04-09-18 | Thunder v. Heat UNDER 214 | Top | 115-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA *BOOKIE BREAKER* TOTAL The Oklahoma City Thunder are coming off a huge 108-102 triumph at top-seeded Houston Rockets on Saturday. They can clinch a playoff spot with a win here against Miami Heat at American Airlines Arena Monday night, so I have no doubt that they'll bring it on the defensive end of the court. The Heat are already in the playoffs but took a brutal 122-98 loss to the New York Knicks on Friday, so they no doubt want to do better defensively here. Under is 23-11 in Heat's last 34 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Under is 4-0 in OKC's last four road games, 7-1 in its last eight overall and 20-6 in its last 26 Monday games. Under is 7-0 in Miami's last seven vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 8-0 in the last eight meetings, including a 105-99 Thunder win in Oklahoma City on March 23. 10* play on OKC @ MIA to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-06-18 | Hawks v. Wizards UNDER 209 | Top | 103-97 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA *BASKET BRAWLER* (TOTAL) The Washington Wizards blew a late lead in last night's 119-115 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers. I don't see them having any intention of driving up the tempo here when playing on no rest, and the Atlanta Hawks have failed to score more than 100 points in all of their last four games. Under is 6-2 in Atlanta's last eight and 6-1 in the last seven head-to-head matchups in Washington. 10* play on ATL @ WAS to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-05-18 | Warriors v. Pacers UNDER 211.5 | 106-126 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The Golden State Warriors have won three in a row following a 111-107 triumph at Oklahoma City on Tuesday. They were without Kevin Durant, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green or Stephen Curry available in a 92-81 home loss to Indiana on March 27, but they're getting a little bit healthier lately and I think they'll be fired up to avenge that loss tonight. The Pacers dropped a 107-104 decision at Denver on Tuesday and they're just 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 12-5 in Warriors last 17 overall. Under is 7-1 in Pacers last eight home games. Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Indiana. 8* play on GS @ IND to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-04-18 | 76ers v. Pistons UNDER 213 | Top | 115-108 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA *PLAY OF THE DAY* (TOTAL) The Philadelphia 76ers have won 11 in a row following a 121-95 win over Brooklyn last night. They'll be without All-Star center Joel Embiid (orbital fracture) and Dario Saric (elbow), and we can note that under is 5-2 in 76ers last seven games playing on no days rest. The Detroit Pistons have won five in a row and seven of eight to stay alive in the playoff race in the East. They held Brooklyn to 96 points their last time out and under is 15-4-2 in Pistons last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 12-3 in 76ers last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 10* play on PHI @ DET to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-03-18 | Warriors v. Thunder UNDER 222.5 | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The Golden State Warriors main motivation must be to get to the playoffs as healthy as they can as they're already locked into the No. 2 spot in the West. Kevin Durant (ribs), Klay Thompson (thumb) and Draymond Green (pelvic contusion) are back in the lineup, but Stephen Curry will miss his sixth consecutive game with a sprain of his left medial collateral ligament, Patrick McCaw is also out after a scary Saturday night injury that left him with a lumbar spine contusion and Andre Iguodala (knee soreness) and Kevon Looney (flu) are listed as doubtful for this contest. The OKC Thunder had lost three in a row before picking up a 109-104 win at New Orleans their last time out. They are battling for homecourt advantage in the first round of the playoffs so motivation should be high for the home team. Warriors are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 7-1 in Warriors last eight vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Thunder are 41-19-3 ATS in their last 63 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Under is 13-3 in Thunder's last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. 8* play on GS @ OKC to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-01-18 | Suns v. Warriors UNDER 215 | Top | 107-117 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA *BOOKIE BREAKER* TOTAL The Golden State Warriors will play on no rest following a 112-96 win at Sacramento last night. They have six games left of the regular season but little to play for with the Rockets already having clinched the best record in the league and the Warriors themselves clinched the No. 2 seed in the West. Stephen Curry is expected to miss the rest of the regular season so the Warriors must avoid more injuries and keep the rest of their stars fresh which means more time on the floor for their fringe players. Under is 7-2 in Warriors last nine home games and they'll face a Phoenix team which may have lost four straight, but the Suns are coming off three straight impressive efforts against Boston, the LA Clippers and Houston. Under is 6-0 in Suns last six overall and 11-1 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 10* play on PHX @ GS to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-01-18 | Mavs v. Cavs UNDER 217.5 | 87-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The Cleveland Cavaliers have won seven of their last eight games. They're allowing an average of 109.9 ppg on the season but have played much better defense of late and under is 4-1 in Cavs last five overall. Here they'll host a tanking Dallas team which has lost two in a row and seven of its last eight. Each of their last four games have gone under the total and they've averaged 92.5 ppg in the last two. Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings overall and 5-1 in the last six meetings in Cleveland. 8* play on DAL @ CLE to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-01-18 | Magic v. Hawks UNDER 209 | 88-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK I expect a low-scoring contest when the two worst teams in the East clash at Philips Arena Sunday night. Orlando is coming off a 90-82 loss against Chicago. It has lost eight of its last 10 with only three of those going over the total. Atlanta has lost nine of its last 10 with four of the last six going under the total. It fell 101-91 against Philly its last time out. Atlanta's leading scorer PG Dennis Schroder suffered a medial bone bruise and a sprained left ankle against Golden State on March 23 and will miss the rest of the season, and it'll also have to do without its third-leading scorer Kent Bazemore. Under is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings in Atlanta. 8* play on ORL @ ATL to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-30-18 | Wolves v. Mavs UNDER 217 | Top | 93-92 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA *BASKET BRAWLER (TOTAL) The Minnesota Timberwolves ended a two-game skid with a 126-114 triumph over Atlanta on Wednesday. They enter this contest at seventh place in the Western Conference 1 1/2 games up on the ninth-place LA Clippers, so they'll have everything to play for. I think we'll see good defending and way fewer points scored than their last time out when they visit the Dallas Mavericks Friday night. The tanking Mavs have played three straight unders and we can note that under is 9-1-1 in Timberwolves last 11 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. The Wolves have won four straight meetings, the most recent a 97-92 win home at Minnesota. Each of the last seven matchups in the series have gone under the total. 10* play on MIN @ DAL to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-28-18 | Mavs v. Lakers UNDER 215.5 | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
LATE NIGHT MAVS @ LAKERS *NO-BRAINER* The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a 103-97 win at Sacramento last night, their second straight game to go under the total. Four of their last five games when playing on no rest have gone under the total, and under is 13-6 in Mavericks last 19 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Here they'll visit the 32-41 LA Lakers who have seen five of their last seven games stay under the total and under is 5-1 in Lakers last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 8* play on DAL @ LAL to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-28-18 | Clippers v. Suns UNDER 223 | 111-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
NBA *HARDWOOD HAMMER* TOTAL The LA Clippers have played three straight unders and the Phoenix Suns four straight unders. Phoenix has pretty much checked out and topped 100 points in only one of their last six games. The Clippers trail the eighth-place Minnesota by 1 1/2 games in the Western Conference so they'll be up for this game and I see no risk of them slacking on their defensive duties. My selection is an 8* play on LAC @ PHO to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-27-18 | Pacers v. Warriors UNDER 201 | 92-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK Under is 14-3 in the Indiana Pacers last 17 games and 6-0-1 in their last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Here they'll visit a Golden State Warriors team that will be without three of its All Stars with Stephen Curry (knee), Kevin Durant (ribs) and Klay Thompson (hand) all sidelined. Under is 9-3 in Warriors last 12 overall and 7-1 in their last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record. My selection is an 8* play on UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-27-18 | Mavs v. Kings UNDER 202.5 | 103-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK Two of the worst teams in the NBA will clash at Golden 1 Center when the Dallas Mavericks visit the Sacramento Kings. The Mavs have made no secret that they're in full tank mode, and they enter this game off five straight defeats. The Kings have split their last six games and they're perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Mavericks meanwhile are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 7-1 in Kings last eight home games and 5-2 in the last seven meetings with the Mavs in Sacramento. The Kings are 8-2 ATS in the last eight meetings overall. My selection is an 8* play on UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-25-18 | Hawks v. Rockets UNDER 217 | 99-118 | Push | 0 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The Atlanta Hawks are pretty much just playing out the string, but they're in a decent spot to record an upset when they visit the Houston Rockets Sunday night. The Rockets will play on no rest following a dominant 114-98 triumph over New Orleans yesterday, a win that set a franchise record for victories in a season. They now own a 4 1/2-game lead over Golden State in the race for first place in the Western Conference with nine contests remaining and I wouldn't be surprised if they fall for the temptation to look past the lowly Hawks here. Rockets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points and 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Hawks are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and they've won each of their last three visits to Toyota Center. Under is 10-1 in Hawks last 11 road games. Under is 8-2 in Rockets last 10 overall. My selection is an 8* play on ATL @ HOU to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-23-18 | Clippers v. Pacers UNDER 219 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA *BOOKIE BREAKER* We should see two highly motivated teams playing hard defense with the LA Clippers battling to get back into the race for a playoff spot in the Western Conference and the Indiana Pacers drawing closer to clinching a playoff berth and trying to catch the Cavs for third place in the East. Only one of the Pacers' last 12 games have gone over the total while the Clippers have played four straight overs, but the under is 10-4 in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. These two teams had played three straight unders with the total set at an average of 205 points before the last meeting went over with 213 points and the total closing at 207. That would still not be enough to cover this line, and I think this game will go under without any problem. My selection is a 10* play on LAC @ IND to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-22-18 | Lakers v. Pelicans UNDER 229 | 125-128 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK Both the LA Lakers and the New Orleans Pelicans have played more unders than overs lately, and that's a trend I like to continue when the teams meet at Smoothie King Center Thursday night. The Lakers are on a 4-0 under run while the under is 4-1 in the Pels last five. This will be the Pels third game in three nights due to rescheduled games, and I think they'll try and slow down the tempo in this contest. They've defeated Dallas and Indiana in the first two games of this tough stretch, but sweeping the tripleheader will be extremely hard, and the Lakers could very well prove too much to handle here, particularly as the visitors should be pretty fired up for this one, coming off three straight losses and playing on two days of rest. My selection is an 8* play on LAL @ NO to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-21-18 | Pacers v. Pelicans UNDER 219.5 | Top | 92-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA *BOOKIE BREAKER* Only one of the Indiana Pacers' last 11 games have gone over the total, and I think the books have set the number way too high once again when they visit the New Orleans Pelicans Wednesday night. The Pels had played three straight unders prior to a 115-105 triumph over Dallas (with the total closing at 218.5). Under is 16-4-1 in Pelicans last 21 overall vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 8-1-1 in Pacers last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Pelicans posted a 117-112 victory at Indiana on Nov. 7, but eight of the last 10 meetings have gone under the total and none of those games closed with the total set as high as this. My selection is a 10* play on IND @ NOP to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-21-18 | Hornets v. Nets OVER 221.5 | 111-105 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
NBA 3-PACK The Charlotte Hornets have allowed an average of 118.3 points over their last 10 contests. They're more or less battling to stay in postseason contention, entering this game 7 1/2 games out of a playoff spot following a 108-94 loss at Philadelphia on Monday. Each of their last six games prior to that game had gone over the total. I expect the Hornets to play hard here, but they'll probably need a lot of points in order to outscore this Brooklyn side which has averaged 116 points through back-to-back triumphs over Dallas and Memphis. The Nets have no reason to tank as they do not own their first-round pick this season, and they should be able to pour in the points against this reeling Charlotte team. My selection is an 8* play on CHA @ BRK to go OVER the total. | |||||||
03-20-18 | Rockets v. Blazers OVER 214.5 | Top | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* ROCKETS @ BLAZERS BEST BET The red hot Houston Rockets (won 26 of their last 28) will visit the equally hot Portland Trail Blazers (won 13 in a row) Tuesday night, and I think the total is set way too low considering both teams ability to shoot the 3-ball. Portland is hitting 38% of its shots from behind the arc with an average of 10.5 made per game while Houston is averaging a league-best 15.4 3-pointers per game. Six of the last seven meetings have gone over the total, all with a higher number than what we see here today, and we can note that over is 8-1 in Trail Blazers last nine games when taking on a team with a winning % above .600. My selection is a 10* play on HOU @ POR to go OVER the total. | |||||||
03-19-18 | Lakers v. Pacers UNDER 219.5 | Top | 100-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA) The Indiana Pacers had won six of seven before taking back-to-back losses to Toronto and Washington. They've been involved in several low-scoring games lately, and I think the bookmakers have set the total way too high for this contest. The Pacers had seen nine straight games go under the total before losing 109-102 to Washington (with the total closing at 210). They'll take on a Lakers team which lost 92-91 against Miami its last time out and each of its last three games have gone under the total. The Lakers won the last meeting 99-86 back in January (with the total closing at 214). Under is 16-9 when the Pacers are looking to avenge a loss vs. an opponent this season. My NBA Game of the Month is a 10* play on LAL @ IND to go UNDER the total. |
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