Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-19-17 | Chiefs v. Giants +10.5 | 9-12 | Win | 100 | 41 h 4 m | Show | |
The Giants have been a blood bath disaster for bettors all season. Their lone win was a double digit underdogs on a Sunday night game in Denver. For several weeks folks have been trying to jump on that lone glimmer of ATS value to no avail. After a disastrous season low showcase against the 49ers the locker room is at an all time low. With the Chiefs coming off a bye week they are the less traveled team. Yet, look for the Chiefs in-game woes to continue even against the depleted deflated Giants. Grab New York. | |||||||
11-19-17 | Lions -2.5 v. Bears | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 41 h 3 m | Show | |
At 5-4 the Detroit Lions have not won in style and all their losses have been close. Consecutive weeks against undermanned teams in the Packers/Browns is going to make their road challenge against the Bears tough. Yet, the Bears are a team that are still over valued based on mid-season play. Though they haven’t left Chicago in November the value lies with the road team Lions. | |||||||
11-19-17 | Cardinals v. Texans -1.5 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 41 h 3 m | Show | |
Blaine Gabbert has officially been named a starter for the Cardinals on Sunday. His experience as a starter is actually far superior than the Texans Tom Savage. That is a factor in a small point spread along with the Cardinals star name talent. Yet this free fall for the Cardinals has been ongoing for two seasons. Expect the Texans to take advantage of a Cardinals team that’s record masks their overall issues. Grab Houston. | |||||||
11-18-17 | Northern Kentucky v. Iona +2 | 85-72 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 33 m | Show | |
Iona is just 1-2 on the season while Northern Kentucky has started off strong at 3-0. Northern Kentucky’s experience is a key factor here but Iona has showed some positive strides. Against Syracuse they erased a double digit deficit to tie in the second half before Syracuse pulled away. That experience will pay off here against Northern Kentucky. Grab the Gaels. | |||||||
11-18-17 | Arizona University v. Oregon -3 | 28-48 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
Perhaps the most inflated team ATS are the Arizona Wildcats. After starting the season 2-2 with Brandon Dawkins, they’ve been a different team with Khalif Tate. Under center he has led a 5-1 surge and made Arizona an ATS juggernaut. Oregon on the other hand is just 2-5 in-conference and coming off a blowout loss to Washington. Yet look for Arizona’s primary reliance on Tate’s legs to give Oregon and defensive minded Coach Willie Taggart an advantage. Grab Oregon. | |||||||
11-18-17 | UMass +4.5 v. BYU | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
Here two teams are far below .500 in UMass and BYU. Yet both teams have also grabbed wins as of late. With BYU’s impressive ground game it’ll be tough task to limit for UMass. Still this is a spot where a healthy experienced quarterback should pay dividends ATS. Senior Andrew Ford from UMass will not finish his career in a bowl game and likely will challenge this game as one. Last year the Minute Men suffered a 51-9 loss at BYU and will seek revenge. Grab UMass. | |||||||
11-18-17 | Minnesota +7.5 v. Northwestern | 0-39 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
Five straight victories by Northwestern has catapulted them into the top twenty five and put them in position for a much higher than anticipated bowl game. In fact their two losses were to top teams Penn State and Wisconsin. Yet look for Minnesota to support the oddsmaker touchdown value here off their downgraded 2-5 conference record. Grab the Gophers. | |||||||
11-17-17 | Blazers -7 v. Kings | 82-86 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
Portland Sacramento returns home after a dreadful road trip that featured blowout losses to the Knicks, Wizards, and Hawks. Returning home seems like a sigh of relief but oddsmakers aren’t buying it. Although the Kings are 2-3 at home, side with the Portland Trailblazers to continue to expose the porous defense of the Kings. Grab Portland. | |||||||
11-17-17 | Ohio v. Dayton -3.5 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 1 h 25 m | Show | |
A close victory against Ball State followed by a loss to Host has devalued Dayton for Friday. They’ll face an Ohio team that played a solid game in a five point loss to Clemson. Yet this will be the game that Ohio misses team leader Jason Carter the most. Look for Dayton to shoot the three ball much better tonight and create turnovers Ohio. | |||||||
11-15-17 | Butler +5 v. Maryland | 65-79 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
Although the Terrapins did lose Melo Trimble, they retained four of five starters going into this season. Justin Jackson and Kevin Huerter played huge roles last season as freshman and have showcased solid development into their sophomore seasons. Butler on the other hand is a bit under the radar in a loaded Big East. Look for their under sized lineup to give problems to Maryland. Grab Butler. | |||||||
11-15-17 | Bulls +12 v. Thunder | 79-92 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
We’ll grab the value here on the steep underdog Bulls. OKC has started to turn the corner in their level of play and clearly outmatch the Bulls. In fact OKC dominated the Bulls just a couple of weeks ago in Chicago. Yet, expect the Bulls to dig in and play a competitive game here on the road. Grab the Bulls. | |||||||
11-15-17 | UC-Santa Barbara v. Pittsburgh -5 | 62-70 | Win | 100 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
A true shocker to start the season is to see Pittsburgh 0-2. They lost to Navy to start the season and also a close contest against Montana. That presents value heading into tonight’s game against UCSB. Look for Pittsburgh to neutralize UCSB’s prime talent in Gabe Vincent and correct early season issues on the defensive end of the floor. Grab Pittsburgh. | |||||||
11-14-17 | Raptors v. Rockets -6 | 129-113 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Houston -6 Tuesday, the Rockets will look to win their seventh straight game as they take on the Toronto Raptors. This is the second game of the Raptors road trip which started with a loss to the Celtics. In the loss the Raptors surrendered a steep lead to a Celtics team minus Kyrie Irving. That’s a deflating start to a road trip and one that will carry over on the road against the dynamic Rockets. | |||||||
11-13-17 | Grizzlies v. Bucks -4 | 103-110 | Win | 100 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
At 7-5 the Grizzlies have shown a knack for staying in games. Of their five losses three have been by five points or less. With the Bucks adjusting to life without Greg Monroe and the insertion of Eric Bledsoe, one may expect their offensive lulls to continue against a solid Grizzlies defensive team. Instead, grab the Bucks to prevail with a higher level of offensive efficiency seen recently. | |||||||
11-13-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee +15.5 v. Iowa State | 74-56 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
Monday oddsmakers have set a steep line as Iowa State hosts UW-Milwaukee. After being blown out by fifteen points to Missouri, this is supposed to be a spot for Iowa State to get back on track. After all UW-Milwaukee is under a new Coach and had severe issues last season against fast paced teams. Yet Iowa State’s volume shooting should ignite a Milwaukee team to get out in transition. Grab Milwaukee. | |||||||
11-13-17 | Vanderbilt -3.5 v. Belmont | 60-69 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 0 m | Show | |
Monday, an in-state matchup lies with Vanderbilt against Belmont. Oddsmakers have put their faith into the home team here poised for an upset. Yet, look for Vanderbilt to wear down Belmont’s aggressive three-point shooting by attacking the hoop and winning the turnover battle. Grab Vanderbilt. | |||||||
11-13-17 | La Salle v. Pennsylvania -2 | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 29 m | Show | |
The most interesting spread of the day lies with LaSalle against Penn. We’ve seen LaSalle showcase themselves as a talented team in the A-10. They’ve done so with prime offense but have dipped with their on-guard defensive skills. Pennsylvania’s strict disciplined offense should be able to capitalize early in the season against an untrustworthy LaSalle half court defense. | |||||||
11-12-17 | Patriots v. Broncos +8.5 | 41-16 | Loss | -130 | 47 h 15 m | Show | |
The disastrous play exhibited by the Broncos offense has trickled over to their defense. Last week the team surrendered 51 points against the Eagles and looked defeated in all aspects. Facing a Patriots team coming off a bye week would seem to be a huge concern for a Denver team that’s lost four straight. Yet, quarterback Brock Osweiler has showcased his best performances in prime time. He’s boasted wins over the Bengals, Colts, and Patriots in 2015. Look for the Broncos to get on track and challenge an inflated number. | |||||||
11-12-17 | Eastern Washington v. Washington -9.5 | 69-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show | |
Over the last several years Washington has had it’s issues early in the season against smaller schools. In fact in non-conference play they’ve lost against Oakland, Yale, Stony Brook, and UC Irvine each of the last four years. After struggling to defeat Belmont to start the season one may expect rust in a quick turn around matchup. Yet, look for a new and refreshed team effort led by former Syracuse assistant Mike Hopkins. | |||||||
11-12-17 | Mavs +12 v. Thunder | 99-112 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
At 5-7 the Oklahoma City Thunder have undoubtedly struggled to adapt to their new big three. One area they have been impressive is cashing ATS against teams in back to back scenarios. They’ve done so against the Pacers and their latest matchup against the Clippers. With the woeful Mavericks coming off last night’s loss to Cleveland this may seem a spot to back the Thunder again. Yet, look for the sluggish Thunder to leave the door open for Dallas. | |||||||
11-12-17 | Heat +2.5 v. Pistons | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 35 m | Show | |
Sunday there is value on the road Miami Heat against the Detroit Pistons. Detroit has jumped out to an impressive 9-3 start which features a 6-1 home record. In fact they have not left home in November as today marks their fifth straight home game. Miami on the other hand is playing their sixth straight road game that started in California. Grab the value here on Miami. | |||||||
11-12-17 | Cal Poly +8 v. California | 82-85 | Win | 100 | 1 h 19 m | Show | |
California will look to avoid the double-whammy in in-state losses against lower level California division one schools. In their first game of the season they lost 74-66 to Cal Riverside. While California is likely to come out with a lead and much more aggression against Cal Poly, the worry here is in the second half. Grab Cal Poly plus the points. | |||||||
11-12-17 | Bengals +5 v. Titans | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 40 h 36 m | Show | |
The Bengals started off the season going 0-3 before gaining a little trust back with consecutive wins. Yet over their last three games they’ve been outclassed by the Steelers and Jaguars with a narrow win at home against the Colts. With a 1-3 road record (lone win over winless Browns) there is a huge concern traveling on the road against the Titans. Still, Tennessee’s lack of taking care of their opponents early is a deciding factor to weigh ATS. Grab the road value here on the Bengals. | |||||||
11-12-17 | Packers +6 v. Bears | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 40 h 36 m | Show | |
Mounting injuries and issues at quarterback have drowned the Packers ATS value. Quarterback Brett Hundley has not shown much in dissecting two division opponents in the Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions. At home this year the Bears have rose to the occasion with upset wins over the Panthers and Steelers. Coach Fox has done it with brilliant game plans that have attacked opponents offensive strengths. Yet the Bears haven’t had to step out of the box offensively. Look for the Packers to bring forth a proper game plan to attack Mitch Trubisky’s weaknesses. | |||||||
11-11-17 | Kent State v. Youngstown State +5 | 111-78 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
For Zack’s second college basketball release we find value with Youngstown State against Kent State. Kent State was one of the hottest teams down the stretch of last season from a non power five conference. They used the momentum to win the MAC conference tournament and were led by departing graduate Jimmy Hall. He’ll be a big loss against a Youngstown State team that is much more competitive than their subpar record of 2016-2017 suggests. Grab Youngstown State. | |||||||
11-11-17 | Lakers v. Bucks -6.5 | 90-98 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
Saturday there is attractive value on the Bucks based on their extended road trip conclusion last night. They were able to defeat the Spurs and now will take on a Lakers team that has looked woeful on their current road trip against the Wizards/Celtics. Grab a favorable number here on the Bucks who are rejuvenated with the arrival of Eric Bledsoe. | |||||||
11-11-17 | Arkansas State -10.5 v. South Alabama | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
Sometimes a non power five conference can hinder a teams true rating. A close week one loss against Nebraska took away some thunder for a 5-2 Arkansas State team. They’ve risen their level of play each week and are a formidable top 30 college football team. While South Alabama has talent in certain positions they’re a team fighting transition at the quarterback position. They have not settled in on utilizing junior quarterback Dallas Davis or junior Cole Garvin. | |||||||
11-11-17 | Georgia State -6.5 v. Texas State | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
At 2-7 Texas State may seem like a home dog to ride against a Georgia State team that’s played above their capabilities. 4-1 in conference the Panthers have taken advantage of winning the turnover battle to win close games. Nothing comes easy for the Panthers but they’re getting road favorite value here. Grab Georgia State. | |||||||
11-11-17 | SMU +3.5 v. Navy | 40-43 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
It’s not often you see a top twenty five team fade with three consecutive losses. Yet that’s what has occurred for Navy. All three losses have been by ten points or less. Certainly factored into this point spread is Navy’s attempt to halt their skid as well as SMU’s travel to Maryland. Look for Navy’s inability to close out games to continue to haunt them ATS. Grab SMU. | |||||||
11-11-17 | UL-Lafayette +20 v. Ole Miss | 22-50 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
Over the last several years the SEC has struggled against Sun Belt opponents, including last week’s close call for Arkansas against Coastal Carolina. Saturday UL Lafayette travels to Ole Miss and will utilize their third starting quarterback of the season in Levi Lewis. Lewis a freshman showed flashes of a great future in his first start last week in a win against South Alabama. Assuredly he’ll face a challenge but look for Lafayette to hold within the number. | |||||||
11-07-17 | Nets v. Nuggets -11.5 | 104-112 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
As a steep double-digit favorite Tuesday we have our eyes set on the Nuggets. This is a home-away series for the Nets who just played in one last night against the Suns. After losing at home to the Suns the Nets got revenge Monday. Yet, look for a different outcome Tuesday as the Nets surrendered a fifteen point home lead to get blown out by the Nuggets last week. Denver has the proper game plan to carry over that success against a Nets team playing in a back to back scenario. | |||||||
11-07-17 | Hornets -1.5 v. Knicks | 113-118 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Tuesday we’ll look for a reversal with the Knicks recent great stretch. Having won five of their six games they’ve performed at a heighten level. Tuesday marks their fifth straight home game against a Hornets team that is just 1-4 on the road. Yet look for the Hornets to get on track after a poor outing Sunday against the Timberwolves. | |||||||
11-05-17 | Hornets v. Wolves -5 | 94-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
Consecutive games value lies with the Timberwolves for Sunday. Having won four straight games they’ll be tested against a young Hornets team. The Hornets themselves had one three straight before a hard fought loss against the Spurs. Here look for the Timberwolves to show a veteran fortitude in a game that’ll catch attention of oddsmakers. | |||||||
11-05-17 | Pacers v. Knicks +1 | 101-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
The Knicks are a team oddsmakers are trying to figure out. Minus Carmelo they’ve shown a new grit defensively and have reshaped their offense. Indiana on the other hand may be the early season out the gate inflated team. Ride the Knicks momentum as they topple oddsmakers adjusting value once again. | |||||||
11-05-17 | Jazz v. Rockets -6 | 110-137 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
The Jazz deep lineup should give the Rockets problems. Although Houston doesn’t have expanded depth they still have the ability to run D’Antoni’s dynamic offense to a high degree. Utah is 0-3 on the road and has had poor droughts offensively. Look for the Rockets to capitalize. | |||||||
11-05-17 | Wizards +7.5 v. Raptors | 107-96 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Over the years the Raptors dominance at home against the Wizards is alarming. The fact that the Wizards dropped consecutive home games is a value side for Sunday. In both losses the Wizards were exposed for lackluster defense as the Suns scored 122 and the Cavs 130. Yet look for road travels to spark the Wizards. Grab Washington. | |||||||
11-05-17 | Chiefs v. Cowboys -2 | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 47 h 6 m | Show | |
The issue of Ezekiel Elliott’s looming suspension has not been a distraction for the Cowboys. They took care of business in road wins against the 49ers and Redskins all the while not hitting a top gear. Kansas City is a dangerous team but has hit the typical mid-season wall showcased by past Andy Reid teams. Dallas has not had many big tests this season against stiff competition aside from Denver/Green Bay. Look for the Cowboys to pass this time and get the ATS cover. | |||||||
11-05-17 | Bucs +7 v. Saints | 10-30 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 32 m | Show | |
Perhaps no team has sunken quicker from an ATS standpoint than the Buccaneers, nor has a team rose as quick as the Saints. That pushes forth the first re-upped Saints home value spread in a couple of seasons. While the Saints offense has been in-tune there his a history of the Buccaneers causing issues for Drew Brees. They’ve had an ability to read his over the middle pass routes and I expect the same Sunday. While the Buccaneers offense will likely continue to have it’s woes look for the defense to hold fort. Grab the Bucs. | |||||||
11-05-17 | Colts +6.5 v. Texans | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 44 h 31 m | Show | |
How disheartened will the Colts be after hearing the news of Andrew Luck out for the season? It’ll likely have a small psychological impact but not as big as the other side with the Texans. Keep in mind this is a Texans team that has had complete disarray at the quarterback position since Matt Schaub was demoted. Look for a deflated home effort and for the Colts defense to capitalize off of Tom Savage and the Texans. | |||||||
11-04-17 | Pelicans v. Bulls +6.5 | 96-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
The Bulls are coming off a two-game road trip in Florida that featured competitive affairs. After last night’s lopsided victory over the Magic they’ll make an unusual trek back to Chicago for a night game against the Pelicans. The Pelicans dynamic lineup may pose problems for the Bulls but look for Chicago’s home court edge to persevere ATS. | |||||||
11-04-17 | Oregon State v. California -7 | 23-37 | Win | 100 | 22 h 37 m | Show | |
Again we find value in the Pac-12 based on poor conference play. California’s lone Pac-12 victory came against Washington State in convincing fashion. On the other hand Oregon State has been winless in the conference. Yet consecutive close calls against Colorado and Stanford have flipped their ATS value. With California coming off a dreadful performance against Colorado look for the value here on Cal. | |||||||
11-04-17 | UL-Lafayette +6 v. South Alabama | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
Push aside South Alabama’s victory over Troy and there is not much to be showcased for their season. Saturday they’ll host a Louisiana Lafayette team that has struggled mightily against higher grade offenses. Look for Lafayette to attack South Alabama’s defense and play much sharper than their last performance that featured a 47-3 loss to Arkansas State. | |||||||
11-04-17 | Georgia State v. Georgia Southern +4 | 21-17 | Push | 0 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
It has not been Georgia Southern’s season. At 0-7 it goes without saying that they’ve been a major failure on the football field. That goes with ATS support as well as they’ve been blown out recently against UMass and last week against Troy. Yet, this is a home spot where they can play within the number against a Georgia State team that’s inflated from their 3-1 conference record. | |||||||
10-31-17 | Thunder -1.5 v. Bucks | 110-91 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City is in another road spot tonight against the Bucks. The Bucks length and expanded depth figures to bode a big problem for the Thunder. While it may expect the new look Thunder to take advantage of late collapses in two recent games against the Timberwolves. Grab the veteran Thunder in this spot. | |||||||
10-31-17 | Suns v. Nets -5 | 122-114 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns travel to Brooklyn on Tuesday as they continue their west coast trip. While the Nets did not impress Sunday as a five point underdog against the Nuggets, look for that to change tonight against the Suns. Phoenix has shown much more grit with the subtractions of former Coach Earl Watson and exit of PG Eric Bledsoe. Yet, look for the young Nets to be up for the task tonight. Grab Brooklyn. | |||||||
10-30-17 | Mavs +7.5 v. Jazz | 89-104 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
The 1-6 Mavericks have not resembled anything remotely close to an NBA franchise to start the season. Monday, they travel to Utah whom is a very dangerous home team. After a blowout win against the Lakers as steep favorites one would expect a similar outcome here. Instead, look for the Jazz’s defense to suffer against a Mavericks team that likes to push the ball. Grab the big spread dog here. | |||||||
10-30-17 | Spurs +3.5 v. Celtics | 94-108 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
The Spurs have lost consecutive road games with glaring issues. Against the Magic their defense was no where to be found. Yesterday against the Pacers they showed the effects of playing with a younger team and not protecting a lead on the road. Yet I see value in a back to back spot against a Celtics team off momentum building wins against the Knicks and Bucks. Grab the Spurs as a slight dog Monday. | |||||||
10-29-17 | Nuggets -5.5 v. Nets | 124-111 | Win | 100 | 1 h 16 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets have been winless on the road but should be in a good spot Sunday in Brooklyn. They have the lineup to attack the Nets fast paced strategy and depth to hurdle road fatigue. Look for Denver to get their first road win and cover. | |||||||
10-29-17 | Wizards -7 v. Kings | 110-83 | Win | 100 | 1 h 15 m | Show | |
Washington continues their west coast trip after two an overtime loss and an up and down frenetic game against the Warriors. One would expect tired legs and not 100 percent focus after two tight games. Instead look for the Wizards veteran depth to showcase their skillset and gain an ATS cover against a Kings team drained from a loss to the Pelicans. | |||||||
10-29-17 | Falcons v. Jets +6 | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 38 h 47 m | Show | |
The Jets have lost consecutive heart breakers after surrendering steep leads. They’ll face a desperate Atlanta Falcons team that faced the same opponents in the Dolphins and Patriots. As odd as that is, the fact of the matter is the Falcons have lost their team identity offensively. This has caused a young defense to suffer. Look for the Jets to attack the Falcons defense and cover as five point home dogs. | |||||||
10-29-17 | Raiders v. Bills -2.5 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 38 h 47 m | Show | |
At 4-2 Buffalo may be the least talked about team with an above .500 record in football. All of their wins and losses have been close results. Yet, they know how to pull finish games especially at home where they boast a 3-0 record. Sunday is expected to be 48 degrees with rain. Take the Bills to continue to protect their home field. | |||||||
10-28-17 | Boise State -9 v. Utah State | 41-14 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
An unusual dual quarterback system is working for Boise State. Utilizing their system has caught teams off balance and allowed Boise State to regroup after a demoralizing loss to Virginia. With Utah State coming off a blowout win over UNLV one may side with the home dog here. Instead grab the value on Boise State. | |||||||
10-28-17 | Arkansas State v. New Mexico State +3 | 37-21 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
New Mexico State has had a peculiar schedule. Thus far on the season they’ve played five road games compared to two at home. It’s part of the reason why they’re short home dogs against undefeated Sun Belt opponent Arkansas State. All season New Mexico State has been a team that rises to the occasion against stiffer competition. Grab the Aggies. | |||||||
10-28-17 | Penn State v. Ohio State -6 | 38-39 | Loss | -131 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
As impressive as Penn State’s win was last week it should not be skewed ATS. Oddsmakers are aware of that and have priced accordingly against Ohio State. Ohio State’s vaunted offensive attack should not skip a beat against a Penn State team that hasn’t been tested to this degree. Grab the Buckeyes. | |||||||
10-28-17 | California v. Colorado -3.5 | 28-44 | Win | 100 | 15 h 58 m | Show | |
Four of five losses for the Buffaloes have shown a far superior weakness offensively than anticipated in pre-season. Buffaloes quarterback Steven Montez performed so poorly last week against the Cougars that he was benched in the second half. Sometimes that is needed be done to get someone to respond. Look for Montez and the Buffaloes to finally resemble the team of last season. | |||||||
10-26-17 | Pelicans v. Kings -1.5 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
Thursday the Pelicans will be without Anthony Davis as they travel to Sacramento. In a battle of 1-3 teams the plot will be on DeMarcus Cousins return to Sacramento. Though New Orleans does have an upper hand in bench depth the concern lies with minutes dispersed. Look for the Pelicans rotation to be out of sync as the Kings familiar rotation pays off at home. | |||||||
10-26-17 | Hawks +3.5 v. Bulls | 86-91 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
One of the strangest schedules to open a season belongs to the Atlanta Hawks. Friday, they’ll compete in their fifth straight road game to start the season against the Chicago Bulls. Though the Bulls are winless they showed a competitive spirit in their last matchup against the Cavaliers. Yet, don’t fall for the Hawks road trip trap line. Grab Atlanta. | |||||||
10-26-17 | Red Wings v. Lightning -210 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a whopping line for a familiar hard fought opening round playoff series of two seasons ago. Yet, grab the value on the home Lightning. | |||||||
10-25-17 | Jazz v. Suns +7 | 88-97 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz are coming off a steep double-digit loss to the Clippers last night. The game was closer than the score indicated with a slim halftime deficit and the Jazz within a few baskets late fourth. With the Suns still in disarray as a franchise it’s not hard to see why they’re a steep underdog at home. Yet, look for the Suns to continue to rise to the occasion and get their second consecutive cover. | |||||||
10-25-17 | Grizzlies v. Mavs +4 | 94-103 | Win | 100 | 2 h 30 m | Show | |
The Mavericks have started 0-4 and have looked like the worst team in the NBA. After a solid first half against the Warriors Monday, they unraveled for a thirty point second half loss. With Memphis undefeated off of wins against Golden State and Houston, this is a perfect spot to nab the Mavericks. Grab Dallas. | |||||||
10-25-17 | Sabres v. Blue Jackets -235 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
Grab the value here on the home Columbus Blue Jackets for Wednesday's hockey selection. | |||||||
10-24-17 | Pacers v. Wolves -12 | 130-107 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves aren’t considered a super team but have the talent to contend with anyone. After a buzzer beater victory Sunday at Oklahoma City, they’ll take on the young Pacers Tuesday. Indiana has struggled defensively surrendering 119 points per game. They also have an intriguing look ahead game for Wednesday as they travel to OKC to take on their former teammate Paul George. Grab the Timberwolves here. | |||||||
10-24-17 | Knicks v. Celtics -7.5 | 89-110 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
The Celtics injuries to Gordon Hayward and Marcus Morris has suddenly turned them into a team that has to rely heavily on youth. That furthers the burden for newcomer Kyrie Irving who is still adapting to his new setting. For the Knicks one has to wonder how they will respond from surrendering a 21-point lead Saturday to the Pistons. Expect their dreadful second half against Detroit to carry over against Boston. Grab the Celtics. | |||||||
10-23-17 | Raptors v. Spurs -2.5 | 97-101 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
The Spurs have been a home dominant team against the Raptors. Minus Kawhi Leonard this line is severely downgraded from last year’s six to seven point range. Yet, the defensive intangibles that led to a Spur blowout are still there. Grab the Spurs to negate the Raptors superstars and start 3-0 on the season. | |||||||
10-23-17 | Redskins +5 v. Eagles | 24-34 | Loss | -113 | 71 h 15 m | Show | |
Consecutive dominant wins by the Eagles has pushed their ATS value to a season-high. A combination of variables leads me to side with Washington here. One, week one’s road win by Philadelphia skews this line a tad. Also, the Redskins have not exhibited solid second half football that’s plagued them in recent matchups against Kansas City and San Francisco. Teams with Thursday game rest have been strong ATS the following week, but look for this game to reverse the course. Grab Washington. | |||||||
10-22-17 | Bengals v. Steelers -5 | 14-29 | Win | 100 | 43 h 10 m | Show | |
Oddsmakers sometimes have to shift line value for the downright obvious reasons. Here the Steelers are taking on a team in the Bengals coming off a bye week. Their defense has been a factor in years past at limiting Big Ben and covering against the Steelers. Even though the Steelers offense isn’t scoring at the volume of years past, they’re finding a balance. Grab the Steelers to cover Sunday. | |||||||
10-22-17 | Titans -5.5 v. Browns | 12-9 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 45 m | Show | |
What I’ve seen in Vegas is the knack for bettors to continue to chase the Browns. Last week oddsmakers did a great job in inflating a line that did not matter against the Texans. This week they’ve done so again but the attraction lies with the Browns as a home dog. Unfortunately Cleveland catches a Titans team blossoming with confidence and is an untimely matchup. Grab the Titans. | |||||||
10-21-17 | Colorado +10 v. Washington State | 0-28 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 28 m | Show | |
Out in the Pac-12 perhaps no team has been as disappointing as Colorado. They haven’t had the killer injuries some teams have had yet have taken a major step back. Part of that has been due to Steven Montez’s woes. After squeezing out a win over lowly Oregon State, one may side with Washington State after their first loss. Instead, expect the Buffaloes to play their best game in a month. Grab Colorado. | |||||||
10-21-17 | Oregon +6.5 v. UCLA | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
Both the Ducks and Bruins have an inordinate amount of unexpected on the field talent issues. Minus Justin Herbert the Ducks have failed miserably in two straight blowout losses. Yet, UCLA lacks the team discipline to capitalize off of roster matchup advantages. Grab the Ducks to keep this close and within the spread. | |||||||
10-21-17 | Central Florida v. Navy +7.5 | 31-21 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
Last week Navy caught a break on the road as they covered with a backdoor touchdown and two-point conversion. As ugly as they played it was a winnable performance against a similar octane offense as Central Florida’s in Memphis. Better execution and Navy can keep themselves in this game in similar fashion. The weakened American conference has a knack for boosting team’s AP ranking, and that is the case with Central Florida. | |||||||
10-18-17 | Hawks v. Mavs -6 | 117-111 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
During the off-season the Western Conference grew in strength. While many teams have rising youth, the Mavs are a team still led by veteran Dirk Nowitzki. Behind him is strong uncertainty that will build behind rookie Dennis Smith Jr. In an opening night matchup you would not expect a mid-point line against a talented young Hawks team. Yet, look for the Mavericks to capitalize and take advantage of a home court edge. | |||||||
10-17-17 | Rockets +9.5 v. Warriors | 122-121 | Win | 100 | 23 h 34 m | Show | |
The Warriors come in off another NBA championship after destroying the Cavaliers in last year’s NBA Finals. There’s no doubt there destined for another run but I’m always leery in backing a champion off the bat of a season. Houston lost their on ball strong guard defender in Patrick Beverly in a trade for Chris Paul. Bringing together chemistry of two talented guards is hard to do with Paul and Harden. Yet, I like the steps the Rockets role players took last season. They’ll match the Warriors role players and get enough from Harden/Paul to cover. Grab Houston. | |||||||
10-16-17 | Colts v. Titans -7.5 | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
I had this game as my third play on the NFL board via 5dimes early line of 7.5. That’s what we have here and will look for the Titans to respond with Mariota back under center. In all phases the Titans have under achieved since their blowout win over the Jaguars in week two. Indianapolis just doesn’t have the personnel to keep up with a Titans team that is far better than their play/record indicates. | |||||||
10-15-17 | Bears +7 v. Ravens | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 34 h 37 m | Show | |
The Bears played about as ugly as one team can on Monday night, and now will travel on the road to Baltimore. It’s safe to say that the Ravens veteran defense will be primed for the miscues that Mitch Trubisky showcased Monday. Still, the Ravens have not been consistent enough offensively to warrant this spread. Grab Chicago to keep covering within the number. | |||||||
10-15-17 | Packers v. Vikings +3 | 10-23 | Win | 101 | 34 h 36 m | Show | |
The Vikings injuries continue to mount. After losing rookie running back Dalvin Cook they’ll now be without Sam Bradford and Stefon Diggs. That’s going to put a high burden on the shoulder of Case Keenum who has not looked comfortable in recent outings. Off of Green Bay’s stout win look for the Vikings experience defensively against Aaron Rodgers to shine. Back the home Vikings to cover the field goal here. | |||||||
10-14-17 | UCLA -2.5 v. Arizona | 30-47 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
Can the Bruins reshape their season coming off a bye week? They’ll travel to Tucson Saturday against a reinvigorated Wildcats team. Against Colorado last week the Wildcats displayed the type of play many expected under Rich Rodriguez. The victory was against an underperforming Buffaloes team. Grab UCLA to bring a higher level of intensity and get the road win against Arizona. | |||||||
10-14-17 | Georgia State v. UL-Monroe -7 | 47-37 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Out in the Sun Belt Saturday action lies with UL Monroe as a touchdown favorite against Georgia State. Georgia State will look to lean on senior quarterback Connor Manning’s shoulders against a potent Louisiana Monroe team. Both teams are on win streaks but expect Monroe’s defensive edge to dictate the ATS outcome. Grab Louisiana Monroe. | |||||||
10-14-17 | Navy +3.5 v. Memphis | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
A battle of top twenty-five teams in the American Conference squares two teams with completely different styles. Memphis is coming off an unchallenged blowout against UConn last Friday. While one may expect their potent play of 70 points to pose a challenge to Navy, they’ll be thwarted at home. Grab Navy. | |||||||
10-14-17 | Georgia Tech v. Miami-FL -6.5 | 24-25 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
The Hurricanes miracle victory last week came in the final ten seconds against Florida State. After a victory as such a hangover factor could be in the works against a talented Georgia Tech team. Instead look for the win to inject new life into the Hurricane. Grab Miami. | |||||||
10-09-17 | Vikings v. Bears +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 73 h 28 m | Show | |
My theory on backup quarterbacks is they show their true colors after two starts. Ideally Minnesota never wanted to be in the situation of having to start Case Keenum. After a great performance against the Bucs he did not show the merit in a winnable game against the Lions. With Dalvin Cook’s season ending injury it appears the Vikings may be rushing back Sam Bradford. The Bears get a fresh start by starting Mitchell Trubisky. He won’t be the center piece Monday but expect the Bears defense to carry over the Lions game plan on a week ago. | |||||||
10-09-17 | Hornets v. Heat -4 | 106-109 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Monday, we'll grab the home Miami Heat as they look to bounce back from a poor showing against Brooklyn. They will take on a Charlottes Hornets team that has an extended five days of rest. The Hornets do have several key pieces in place that pushed a Dwayne Wade led Heat team to a seven game series two years ago. Still, look for the Heat to show signs of last years team ascension. Grab the Heat tonight. | |||||||
10-08-17 | Packers +2.5 v. Cowboys | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 45 h 23 m | Show | |
The Packers continue to face familiar opponents. In week two they met the Atlanta Falcons for the third time in a year in Atlanta, and will now travel to Dallas for the third time in a season and a half. Green Bay’s issues with their running game will put a high burden on Aaron Rodgers shoulders, but not to the degree that Dak Prescott is facing. Dallas seems to be stuck in a play call shield as they try to reconfigure what worked last season and isn’t this. That bodes to the strength of the veteran on field Packers team as well as the sideline experience coaching wise. Grab Green Bay. | |||||||
10-08-17 | 49ers v. Colts | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 42 h 49 m | Show | |
The Colts have shown very little offensively but are growing more and more comfortable with Jacoby Brissett. San Francisco has gained in ATS value with three straight covers against Seattle, LA, and Arizona. While they have been covering games it’s obvious the same play call connection between Coach Shanahan and Brian Hoyer is missing. Grab the Colts off their late Sunday night performance in Seattle. | |||||||
10-07-17 | Washington State v. Oregon +3 | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 57 m | Show | |
Two seasons ago Washington State put themselves on the map with an overtime win as steep underdogs in Eugene. That performance was followed up by a blow out win in 2016 of 51-33 over Oregon. After an upset win over USC this is a turning point game for the Cougars to push themselves into the top ten. Instead, look for the seniors and coaching change to Willie Taggart to pay dividends for the home Ducks. | |||||||
10-07-17 | Arizona v. Colorado -6.5 | 45-42 | Loss | -125 | 25 h 57 m | Show | |
The Buffaloes find themselves amidst a two-game losing streak against a well-rested Arizona Wildcats team. Off a bye week the Wildcats last game was fifteen days ago on a Friday night against Utah. Without a doubt the Buffaloes offense has dropped off from last year’s showcase. With Arizona’s combined two losses by a mere nine points, one would expect this to be close. Instead look for the Buffaloes to execute on both sides of the football and win by double-digits. | |||||||
10-07-17 | UL-Lafayette +6 v. Idaho | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
Both Idaho and UL Lafayette are coming off bye weeks. UL Lafayette will get their starting quarterback in Jordan Davis back from injury. That’s not where oddsmakers have inflated this point spread. They did so based on the worst defense in football in UL Lafayette. Idaho’s four year senior starting quarterback in Matt Linehan should be able to pick apart the Rajun Cajuns. Still, I’m not impressed with Idaho’s play calling and sloppy turnovers. Grab the value on UL Lafayette. | |||||||
10-06-17 | Suns +5 v. Jazz | 101-112 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
During the regular season consecutive road games at Portland and Utah are extremely tough. With the Jazz already 2-0 at home in the pre-season, Phoenix will be in for a tough test against the depth of Utah. Still, there is too much room for value on the Suns side to ignore five points. Grab the Suns. | |||||||
10-06-17 | Hawks v. Pistons -3.5 | 87-109 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
An unordinary position lies for the Atlanta Hawks. They’ll be on the road for their third straight pre-season game. I find value here on the home Pistons based on the Hawks standout sixteen point victory over the Cavaliers in their last game. Though the Pistons struggled defensively in their opener look for an increased level of defense tonight. | |||||||
10-05-17 | Heat v. Nets -1.5 | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Both Brooklyn and the Heat have jumped out to 1-0 records in the pre-season. This is a series that was dominated by the Heat last season, as most teams did against the lowly Nets. Though there are new faces in the Nets starting lineup there are enough players remaining that will serve a payback performance. Grab the Nets. | |||||||
10-01-17 | Raiders v. Broncos -3 | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
Both Oakland and Denver are coming off shaky week three performances. Denver’s continued distrust with quarterback Trevor Semien on the road impacted their chance to win against Buffalo. While Oakland will assuredly come out the gate with a stronger performance, this is a game that will be swung and won in the fourth quarter. Throughout his young career Raiders quarterback Derek Carr has been one of the best quarterbacks to ride against when poor performances rear their head. Expect Carr’s turnover issues from last week to continue. | |||||||
10-01-17 | Rams +6.5 v. Cowboys | 35-30 | Win | 100 | 42 h 47 m | Show | |
There is no doubt that Dallas has played a tough schedule to start the season. The same can not be said for the Rams. LA’s two wins have come against Indianapolis and San Francisco, which are a combined 1-5. Washington’s strong showing on the road in LA only benefits the attraction on Dallas here. With confidence and returning home for the first time since week one oddsmakers have baited this line a tad. Grab the Rams here to have an impactful game plan on both sides of the football to gain the cover. | |||||||
10-01-17 | Steelers v. Ravens +3 | 26-9 | Loss | -100 | 42 h 47 m | Show | |
Coach John Harbaugh has to be displeased with the Ravens efforts over the last six quarters of football. While the Ravens defeated the Browns in week two by fourteen points, the win was masked by red zone issues and five Browns turnovers. Jacksonville used that film to their advantage and continued to rack up yards on Baltimore’s defense for 410 yards. Yet, Baltimore’s defense has always had an ability to perform well against Pittsburgh as well as veteran quarterback Joe Flacco. Grab the value here on the home Ravens. | |||||||
09-30-17 | Northern Illinois +10 v. San Diego State | 28-34 | Win | 100 | 28 h 31 m | Show | |
Excellent game plans against three conservative teams has catapulted San Diego State to 19th ranked and 4-0. San Diego State answered the difficult test of a road conference game in a narrow victory over Air Force last week. Now the shift is how will they respond on their home field against a MAC opponent. Coming off a victory over Nebraska on the road and continuing travel to California has created value on the Huskies side. Grab Northern Illinois. | |||||||
09-30-17 | Florida State v. Wake Forest +7.5 | 26-19 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
Every two to three years there is a powerhouse team that has a steep drop off. At 0-2, Florida State appears to be that team. After two weeks off from Hurricane Irma rust was apparent in last week’s loss to North Carolina State. Yet this point spread is a team can’t go 0-3 line versus reality. While Wake Forest offers a methodical game plan that suits Florida State they have the better defense to offset a fourth quarter melt down. | |||||||
09-30-17 | Ohio v. UMass +5.5 | 58-50 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
UMass is now 0-5 but has played respectable defense to hang in games all season long. In fact, all five of their losses are by ten points or less. Ohio has the attraction of rising sophomore quarterback Nathan Rourke but expect consecutive road games to play a role Saturday. The point spread is off here by a mere few points based on UMass’s winless season. | |||||||
09-24-17 | Giants v. Eagles -6 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 43 m | Show | |
The Eagles played well in a loss to the Chiefs. Though it stands as a loss and puts them at 1-1, I believe they’re being downgraded in terms of the number. A win in Kansas City may have pushed this line north of 7.5-8 against the Giants. New York has a laundry list of issues that will continue to grow on Sunday. Grab the value on a Philadelphia team that is poised for an aggressive home division win. | |||||||
09-24-17 | Dolphins v. Jets +6 | 6-20 | Win | 100 | 40 h 42 m | Show | |
A problematic week one performance at home by the Jets against Buffalo compounded last week with an embarrassing loss to the Raiders. On the opposite side the Dolphins gutted out a win over the Chargers on the road. With both teams traveling from California to New York, this has created an arguable point spread. While the fish should be favored a six point line is a bit of a stretch. Grab the points here. | |||||||
09-24-17 | Saints +5.5 v. Panthers | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 40 h 42 m | Show | |
Over the last several years the Saints have underachieved drastically. That isn’t a doubt, but they’ve also been a team to rise to the occasion in must-win situations. On the road after two abysmal performances this stands as a situation for a team to rise to the occasion. Carolina is 2-0 with both wins by six points or more, yet they haven’t been able to click on all cylinders. Expect that to occur again and the Saints to hang around. | |||||||
09-23-17 | Wake Forest v. Appalachian State +6 | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
Time and time again Appalachian State has been the circled team to topple the big schools. Instead they’ve disappointed with lopsided losses to Miami in 2016 and this year to Georgia 31-10. Last week’s 20-13 win as steep favorites to Texas State has put this line out of position a tad. As strong as Wake Forest has looked, expect a down to Earth performance before they embark in ACC play. | |||||||
09-23-17 | Ohio v. Eastern Michigan -2.5 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
Expected offensive and defensive rust is to be displayed by Eastern Michigan Saturday. Their last game occurred fourteen days ago on September 9th in an upset win over the lowly Rutger Scarlet Knights. Against a dynamic Ohio offense the Eagles are going to need to show a surge in offense that they did not display in wins against Charlotte and Rutgers. Expect new wrinkles to be unveiled and for Eastern Michigan to take advantage of their rest. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Steve Janus | $751 |
Chip Chirimbes | $636 |
Rocky's Lock Club | $630 |
Pure Lock | $473 |
Marc Lawrence | $380 |
Mike Lundin | $340 |
Jack Jones | $305 |
Rocky Atkinson | $291 |
Dave Price | $274 |
R&R Totals | $265 |