Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-11-17 | Kent State v. Youngstown State +5 | 111-78 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
For Zack’s second college basketball release we find value with Youngstown State against Kent State. Kent State was one of the hottest teams down the stretch of last season from a non power five conference. They used the momentum to win the MAC conference tournament and were led by departing graduate Jimmy Hall. He’ll be a big loss against a Youngstown State team that is much more competitive than their subpar record of 2016-2017 suggests. Grab Youngstown State. | |||||||
11-11-17 | Lakers v. Bucks -6.5 | 90-98 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
Saturday there is attractive value on the Bucks based on their extended road trip conclusion last night. They were able to defeat the Spurs and now will take on a Lakers team that has looked woeful on their current road trip against the Wizards/Celtics. Grab a favorable number here on the Bucks who are rejuvenated with the arrival of Eric Bledsoe. | |||||||
11-11-17 | Arkansas State -10.5 v. South Alabama | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
Sometimes a non power five conference can hinder a teams true rating. A close week one loss against Nebraska took away some thunder for a 5-2 Arkansas State team. They’ve risen their level of play each week and are a formidable top 30 college football team. While South Alabama has talent in certain positions they’re a team fighting transition at the quarterback position. They have not settled in on utilizing junior quarterback Dallas Davis or junior Cole Garvin. | |||||||
11-11-17 | Georgia State -6.5 v. Texas State | 33-30 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
At 2-7 Texas State may seem like a home dog to ride against a Georgia State team that’s played above their capabilities. 4-1 in conference the Panthers have taken advantage of winning the turnover battle to win close games. Nothing comes easy for the Panthers but they’re getting road favorite value here. Grab Georgia State. | |||||||
11-11-17 | SMU +3.5 v. Navy | 40-43 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
It’s not often you see a top twenty five team fade with three consecutive losses. Yet that’s what has occurred for Navy. All three losses have been by ten points or less. Certainly factored into this point spread is Navy’s attempt to halt their skid as well as SMU’s travel to Maryland. Look for Navy’s inability to close out games to continue to haunt them ATS. Grab SMU. | |||||||
11-11-17 | UL-Lafayette +20 v. Ole Miss | 22-50 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
Over the last several years the SEC has struggled against Sun Belt opponents, including last week’s close call for Arkansas against Coastal Carolina. Saturday UL Lafayette travels to Ole Miss and will utilize their third starting quarterback of the season in Levi Lewis. Lewis a freshman showed flashes of a great future in his first start last week in a win against South Alabama. Assuredly he’ll face a challenge but look for Lafayette to hold within the number. | |||||||
11-07-17 | Nets v. Nuggets -11.5 | 104-112 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
As a steep double-digit favorite Tuesday we have our eyes set on the Nuggets. This is a home-away series for the Nets who just played in one last night against the Suns. After losing at home to the Suns the Nets got revenge Monday. Yet, look for a different outcome Tuesday as the Nets surrendered a fifteen point home lead to get blown out by the Nuggets last week. Denver has the proper game plan to carry over that success against a Nets team playing in a back to back scenario. | |||||||
11-07-17 | Hornets -1.5 v. Knicks | 113-118 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Tuesday we’ll look for a reversal with the Knicks recent great stretch. Having won five of their six games they’ve performed at a heighten level. Tuesday marks their fifth straight home game against a Hornets team that is just 1-4 on the road. Yet look for the Hornets to get on track after a poor outing Sunday against the Timberwolves. | |||||||
11-05-17 | Hornets v. Wolves -5 | 94-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
Consecutive games value lies with the Timberwolves for Sunday. Having won four straight games they’ll be tested against a young Hornets team. The Hornets themselves had one three straight before a hard fought loss against the Spurs. Here look for the Timberwolves to show a veteran fortitude in a game that’ll catch attention of oddsmakers. | |||||||
11-05-17 | Pacers v. Knicks +1 | 101-108 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
The Knicks are a team oddsmakers are trying to figure out. Minus Carmelo they’ve shown a new grit defensively and have reshaped their offense. Indiana on the other hand may be the early season out the gate inflated team. Ride the Knicks momentum as they topple oddsmakers adjusting value once again. | |||||||
11-05-17 | Jazz v. Rockets -6 | 110-137 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
The Jazz deep lineup should give the Rockets problems. Although Houston doesn’t have expanded depth they still have the ability to run D’Antoni’s dynamic offense to a high degree. Utah is 0-3 on the road and has had poor droughts offensively. Look for the Rockets to capitalize. | |||||||
11-05-17 | Wizards +7.5 v. Raptors | 107-96 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
Over the years the Raptors dominance at home against the Wizards is alarming. The fact that the Wizards dropped consecutive home games is a value side for Sunday. In both losses the Wizards were exposed for lackluster defense as the Suns scored 122 and the Cavs 130. Yet look for road travels to spark the Wizards. Grab Washington. | |||||||
11-05-17 | Chiefs v. Cowboys -2 | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 47 h 6 m | Show | |
The issue of Ezekiel Elliott’s looming suspension has not been a distraction for the Cowboys. They took care of business in road wins against the 49ers and Redskins all the while not hitting a top gear. Kansas City is a dangerous team but has hit the typical mid-season wall showcased by past Andy Reid teams. Dallas has not had many big tests this season against stiff competition aside from Denver/Green Bay. Look for the Cowboys to pass this time and get the ATS cover. | |||||||
11-05-17 | Bucs +7 v. Saints | 10-30 | Loss | -115 | 44 h 32 m | Show | |
Perhaps no team has sunken quicker from an ATS standpoint than the Buccaneers, nor has a team rose as quick as the Saints. That pushes forth the first re-upped Saints home value spread in a couple of seasons. While the Saints offense has been in-tune there his a history of the Buccaneers causing issues for Drew Brees. They’ve had an ability to read his over the middle pass routes and I expect the same Sunday. While the Buccaneers offense will likely continue to have it’s woes look for the defense to hold fort. Grab the Bucs. | |||||||
11-05-17 | Colts +6.5 v. Texans | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 44 h 31 m | Show | |
How disheartened will the Colts be after hearing the news of Andrew Luck out for the season? It’ll likely have a small psychological impact but not as big as the other side with the Texans. Keep in mind this is a Texans team that has had complete disarray at the quarterback position since Matt Schaub was demoted. Look for a deflated home effort and for the Colts defense to capitalize off of Tom Savage and the Texans. | |||||||
11-04-17 | Pelicans v. Bulls +6.5 | 96-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
The Bulls are coming off a two-game road trip in Florida that featured competitive affairs. After last night’s lopsided victory over the Magic they’ll make an unusual trek back to Chicago for a night game against the Pelicans. The Pelicans dynamic lineup may pose problems for the Bulls but look for Chicago’s home court edge to persevere ATS. | |||||||
11-04-17 | Oregon State v. California -7 | 23-37 | Win | 100 | 22 h 37 m | Show | |
Again we find value in the Pac-12 based on poor conference play. California’s lone Pac-12 victory came against Washington State in convincing fashion. On the other hand Oregon State has been winless in the conference. Yet consecutive close calls against Colorado and Stanford have flipped their ATS value. With California coming off a dreadful performance against Colorado look for the value here on Cal. | |||||||
11-04-17 | UL-Lafayette +6 v. South Alabama | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 21 h 39 m | Show | |
Push aside South Alabama’s victory over Troy and there is not much to be showcased for their season. Saturday they’ll host a Louisiana Lafayette team that has struggled mightily against higher grade offenses. Look for Lafayette to attack South Alabama’s defense and play much sharper than their last performance that featured a 47-3 loss to Arkansas State. | |||||||
11-04-17 | Georgia State v. Georgia Southern +4 | 21-17 | Push | 0 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
It has not been Georgia Southern’s season. At 0-7 it goes without saying that they’ve been a major failure on the football field. That goes with ATS support as well as they’ve been blown out recently against UMass and last week against Troy. Yet, this is a home spot where they can play within the number against a Georgia State team that’s inflated from their 3-1 conference record. | |||||||
10-31-17 | Thunder -1.5 v. Bucks | 110-91 | Win | 100 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City is in another road spot tonight against the Bucks. The Bucks length and expanded depth figures to bode a big problem for the Thunder. While it may expect the new look Thunder to take advantage of late collapses in two recent games against the Timberwolves. Grab the veteran Thunder in this spot. | |||||||
10-31-17 | Suns v. Nets -5 | 122-114 | Loss | -102 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns travel to Brooklyn on Tuesday as they continue their west coast trip. While the Nets did not impress Sunday as a five point underdog against the Nuggets, look for that to change tonight against the Suns. Phoenix has shown much more grit with the subtractions of former Coach Earl Watson and exit of PG Eric Bledsoe. Yet, look for the young Nets to be up for the task tonight. Grab Brooklyn. | |||||||
10-30-17 | Mavs +7.5 v. Jazz | 89-104 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
The 1-6 Mavericks have not resembled anything remotely close to an NBA franchise to start the season. Monday, they travel to Utah whom is a very dangerous home team. After a blowout win against the Lakers as steep favorites one would expect a similar outcome here. Instead, look for the Jazz’s defense to suffer against a Mavericks team that likes to push the ball. Grab the big spread dog here. | |||||||
10-30-17 | Spurs +3.5 v. Celtics | 94-108 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 35 m | Show | |
The Spurs have lost consecutive road games with glaring issues. Against the Magic their defense was no where to be found. Yesterday against the Pacers they showed the effects of playing with a younger team and not protecting a lead on the road. Yet I see value in a back to back spot against a Celtics team off momentum building wins against the Knicks and Bucks. Grab the Spurs as a slight dog Monday. | |||||||
10-29-17 | Nuggets -5.5 v. Nets | 124-111 | Win | 100 | 1 h 16 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets have been winless on the road but should be in a good spot Sunday in Brooklyn. They have the lineup to attack the Nets fast paced strategy and depth to hurdle road fatigue. Look for Denver to get their first road win and cover. | |||||||
10-29-17 | Wizards -7 v. Kings | 110-83 | Win | 100 | 1 h 15 m | Show | |
Washington continues their west coast trip after two an overtime loss and an up and down frenetic game against the Warriors. One would expect tired legs and not 100 percent focus after two tight games. Instead look for the Wizards veteran depth to showcase their skillset and gain an ATS cover against a Kings team drained from a loss to the Pelicans. | |||||||
10-29-17 | Falcons v. Jets +6 | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 38 h 47 m | Show | |
The Jets have lost consecutive heart breakers after surrendering steep leads. They’ll face a desperate Atlanta Falcons team that faced the same opponents in the Dolphins and Patriots. As odd as that is, the fact of the matter is the Falcons have lost their team identity offensively. This has caused a young defense to suffer. Look for the Jets to attack the Falcons defense and cover as five point home dogs. | |||||||
10-29-17 | Raiders v. Bills -2.5 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 38 h 47 m | Show | |
At 4-2 Buffalo may be the least talked about team with an above .500 record in football. All of their wins and losses have been close results. Yet, they know how to pull finish games especially at home where they boast a 3-0 record. Sunday is expected to be 48 degrees with rain. Take the Bills to continue to protect their home field. | |||||||
10-28-17 | Boise State -9 v. Utah State | 41-14 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
An unusual dual quarterback system is working for Boise State. Utilizing their system has caught teams off balance and allowed Boise State to regroup after a demoralizing loss to Virginia. With Utah State coming off a blowout win over UNLV one may side with the home dog here. Instead grab the value on Boise State. | |||||||
10-28-17 | Arkansas State v. New Mexico State +3 | 37-21 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
New Mexico State has had a peculiar schedule. Thus far on the season they’ve played five road games compared to two at home. It’s part of the reason why they’re short home dogs against undefeated Sun Belt opponent Arkansas State. All season New Mexico State has been a team that rises to the occasion against stiffer competition. Grab the Aggies. | |||||||
10-28-17 | Penn State v. Ohio State -6 | 38-39 | Loss | -131 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
As impressive as Penn State’s win was last week it should not be skewed ATS. Oddsmakers are aware of that and have priced accordingly against Ohio State. Ohio State’s vaunted offensive attack should not skip a beat against a Penn State team that hasn’t been tested to this degree. Grab the Buckeyes. | |||||||
10-28-17 | California v. Colorado -3.5 | 28-44 | Win | 100 | 15 h 58 m | Show | |
Four of five losses for the Buffaloes have shown a far superior weakness offensively than anticipated in pre-season. Buffaloes quarterback Steven Montez performed so poorly last week against the Cougars that he was benched in the second half. Sometimes that is needed be done to get someone to respond. Look for Montez and the Buffaloes to finally resemble the team of last season. | |||||||
10-26-17 | Pelicans v. Kings -1.5 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
Thursday the Pelicans will be without Anthony Davis as they travel to Sacramento. In a battle of 1-3 teams the plot will be on DeMarcus Cousins return to Sacramento. Though New Orleans does have an upper hand in bench depth the concern lies with minutes dispersed. Look for the Pelicans rotation to be out of sync as the Kings familiar rotation pays off at home. | |||||||
10-26-17 | Hawks +3.5 v. Bulls | 86-91 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
One of the strangest schedules to open a season belongs to the Atlanta Hawks. Friday, they’ll compete in their fifth straight road game to start the season against the Chicago Bulls. Though the Bulls are winless they showed a competitive spirit in their last matchup against the Cavaliers. Yet, don’t fall for the Hawks road trip trap line. Grab Atlanta. | |||||||
10-26-17 | Red Wings v. Lightning -210 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a whopping line for a familiar hard fought opening round playoff series of two seasons ago. Yet, grab the value on the home Lightning. | |||||||
10-25-17 | Jazz v. Suns +7 | 88-97 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
The Utah Jazz are coming off a steep double-digit loss to the Clippers last night. The game was closer than the score indicated with a slim halftime deficit and the Jazz within a few baskets late fourth. With the Suns still in disarray as a franchise it’s not hard to see why they’re a steep underdog at home. Yet, look for the Suns to continue to rise to the occasion and get their second consecutive cover. | |||||||
10-25-17 | Grizzlies v. Mavs +4 | 94-103 | Win | 100 | 2 h 30 m | Show | |
The Mavericks have started 0-4 and have looked like the worst team in the NBA. After a solid first half against the Warriors Monday, they unraveled for a thirty point second half loss. With Memphis undefeated off of wins against Golden State and Houston, this is a perfect spot to nab the Mavericks. Grab Dallas. | |||||||
10-25-17 | Sabres v. Blue Jackets -235 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
Grab the value here on the home Columbus Blue Jackets for Wednesday's hockey selection. | |||||||
10-24-17 | Pacers v. Wolves -12 | 130-107 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 30 m | Show | |
The Timberwolves aren’t considered a super team but have the talent to contend with anyone. After a buzzer beater victory Sunday at Oklahoma City, they’ll take on the young Pacers Tuesday. Indiana has struggled defensively surrendering 119 points per game. They also have an intriguing look ahead game for Wednesday as they travel to OKC to take on their former teammate Paul George. Grab the Timberwolves here. | |||||||
10-24-17 | Knicks v. Celtics -7.5 | 89-110 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
The Celtics injuries to Gordon Hayward and Marcus Morris has suddenly turned them into a team that has to rely heavily on youth. That furthers the burden for newcomer Kyrie Irving who is still adapting to his new setting. For the Knicks one has to wonder how they will respond from surrendering a 21-point lead Saturday to the Pistons. Expect their dreadful second half against Detroit to carry over against Boston. Grab the Celtics. | |||||||
10-23-17 | Raptors v. Spurs -2.5 | 97-101 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
The Spurs have been a home dominant team against the Raptors. Minus Kawhi Leonard this line is severely downgraded from last year’s six to seven point range. Yet, the defensive intangibles that led to a Spur blowout are still there. Grab the Spurs to negate the Raptors superstars and start 3-0 on the season. | |||||||
10-23-17 | Redskins +5 v. Eagles | 24-34 | Loss | -113 | 71 h 15 m | Show | |
Consecutive dominant wins by the Eagles has pushed their ATS value to a season-high. A combination of variables leads me to side with Washington here. One, week one’s road win by Philadelphia skews this line a tad. Also, the Redskins have not exhibited solid second half football that’s plagued them in recent matchups against Kansas City and San Francisco. Teams with Thursday game rest have been strong ATS the following week, but look for this game to reverse the course. Grab Washington. | |||||||
10-22-17 | Bengals v. Steelers -5 | 14-29 | Win | 100 | 43 h 10 m | Show | |
Oddsmakers sometimes have to shift line value for the downright obvious reasons. Here the Steelers are taking on a team in the Bengals coming off a bye week. Their defense has been a factor in years past at limiting Big Ben and covering against the Steelers. Even though the Steelers offense isn’t scoring at the volume of years past, they’re finding a balance. Grab the Steelers to cover Sunday. | |||||||
10-22-17 | Titans -5.5 v. Browns | 12-9 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 45 m | Show | |
What I’ve seen in Vegas is the knack for bettors to continue to chase the Browns. Last week oddsmakers did a great job in inflating a line that did not matter against the Texans. This week they’ve done so again but the attraction lies with the Browns as a home dog. Unfortunately Cleveland catches a Titans team blossoming with confidence and is an untimely matchup. Grab the Titans. | |||||||
10-21-17 | Colorado +10 v. Washington State | 0-28 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 28 m | Show | |
Out in the Pac-12 perhaps no team has been as disappointing as Colorado. They haven’t had the killer injuries some teams have had yet have taken a major step back. Part of that has been due to Steven Montez’s woes. After squeezing out a win over lowly Oregon State, one may side with Washington State after their first loss. Instead, expect the Buffaloes to play their best game in a month. Grab Colorado. | |||||||
10-21-17 | Oregon +6.5 v. UCLA | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
Both the Ducks and Bruins have an inordinate amount of unexpected on the field talent issues. Minus Justin Herbert the Ducks have failed miserably in two straight blowout losses. Yet, UCLA lacks the team discipline to capitalize off of roster matchup advantages. Grab the Ducks to keep this close and within the spread. | |||||||
10-21-17 | Central Florida v. Navy +7.5 | 31-21 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
Last week Navy caught a break on the road as they covered with a backdoor touchdown and two-point conversion. As ugly as they played it was a winnable performance against a similar octane offense as Central Florida’s in Memphis. Better execution and Navy can keep themselves in this game in similar fashion. The weakened American conference has a knack for boosting team’s AP ranking, and that is the case with Central Florida. | |||||||
10-18-17 | Hawks v. Mavs -6 | 117-111 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
During the off-season the Western Conference grew in strength. While many teams have rising youth, the Mavs are a team still led by veteran Dirk Nowitzki. Behind him is strong uncertainty that will build behind rookie Dennis Smith Jr. In an opening night matchup you would not expect a mid-point line against a talented young Hawks team. Yet, look for the Mavericks to capitalize and take advantage of a home court edge. | |||||||
10-17-17 | Rockets +9.5 v. Warriors | 122-121 | Win | 100 | 23 h 34 m | Show | |
The Warriors come in off another NBA championship after destroying the Cavaliers in last year’s NBA Finals. There’s no doubt there destined for another run but I’m always leery in backing a champion off the bat of a season. Houston lost their on ball strong guard defender in Patrick Beverly in a trade for Chris Paul. Bringing together chemistry of two talented guards is hard to do with Paul and Harden. Yet, I like the steps the Rockets role players took last season. They’ll match the Warriors role players and get enough from Harden/Paul to cover. Grab Houston. | |||||||
10-16-17 | Colts v. Titans -7.5 | 22-36 | Win | 100 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
I had this game as my third play on the NFL board via 5dimes early line of 7.5. That’s what we have here and will look for the Titans to respond with Mariota back under center. In all phases the Titans have under achieved since their blowout win over the Jaguars in week two. Indianapolis just doesn’t have the personnel to keep up with a Titans team that is far better than their play/record indicates. | |||||||
10-15-17 | Bears +7 v. Ravens | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 34 h 37 m | Show | |
The Bears played about as ugly as one team can on Monday night, and now will travel on the road to Baltimore. It’s safe to say that the Ravens veteran defense will be primed for the miscues that Mitch Trubisky showcased Monday. Still, the Ravens have not been consistent enough offensively to warrant this spread. Grab Chicago to keep covering within the number. | |||||||
10-15-17 | Packers v. Vikings +3 | 10-23 | Win | 101 | 34 h 36 m | Show | |
The Vikings injuries continue to mount. After losing rookie running back Dalvin Cook they’ll now be without Sam Bradford and Stefon Diggs. That’s going to put a high burden on the shoulder of Case Keenum who has not looked comfortable in recent outings. Off of Green Bay’s stout win look for the Vikings experience defensively against Aaron Rodgers to shine. Back the home Vikings to cover the field goal here. | |||||||
10-14-17 | UCLA -2.5 v. Arizona | 30-47 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
Can the Bruins reshape their season coming off a bye week? They’ll travel to Tucson Saturday against a reinvigorated Wildcats team. Against Colorado last week the Wildcats displayed the type of play many expected under Rich Rodriguez. The victory was against an underperforming Buffaloes team. Grab UCLA to bring a higher level of intensity and get the road win against Arizona. | |||||||
10-14-17 | Georgia State v. UL-Monroe -7 | 47-37 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Out in the Sun Belt Saturday action lies with UL Monroe as a touchdown favorite against Georgia State. Georgia State will look to lean on senior quarterback Connor Manning’s shoulders against a potent Louisiana Monroe team. Both teams are on win streaks but expect Monroe’s defensive edge to dictate the ATS outcome. Grab Louisiana Monroe. | |||||||
10-14-17 | Navy +3.5 v. Memphis | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
A battle of top twenty-five teams in the American Conference squares two teams with completely different styles. Memphis is coming off an unchallenged blowout against UConn last Friday. While one may expect their potent play of 70 points to pose a challenge to Navy, they’ll be thwarted at home. Grab Navy. | |||||||
10-14-17 | Georgia Tech v. Miami-FL -6.5 | 24-25 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
The Hurricanes miracle victory last week came in the final ten seconds against Florida State. After a victory as such a hangover factor could be in the works against a talented Georgia Tech team. Instead look for the win to inject new life into the Hurricane. Grab Miami. | |||||||
10-09-17 | Vikings v. Bears +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 73 h 28 m | Show | |
My theory on backup quarterbacks is they show their true colors after two starts. Ideally Minnesota never wanted to be in the situation of having to start Case Keenum. After a great performance against the Bucs he did not show the merit in a winnable game against the Lions. With Dalvin Cook’s season ending injury it appears the Vikings may be rushing back Sam Bradford. The Bears get a fresh start by starting Mitchell Trubisky. He won’t be the center piece Monday but expect the Bears defense to carry over the Lions game plan on a week ago. | |||||||
10-09-17 | Hornets v. Heat -4 | 106-109 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Monday, we'll grab the home Miami Heat as they look to bounce back from a poor showing against Brooklyn. They will take on a Charlottes Hornets team that has an extended five days of rest. The Hornets do have several key pieces in place that pushed a Dwayne Wade led Heat team to a seven game series two years ago. Still, look for the Heat to show signs of last years team ascension. Grab the Heat tonight. | |||||||
10-08-17 | Packers +2.5 v. Cowboys | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 45 h 23 m | Show | |
The Packers continue to face familiar opponents. In week two they met the Atlanta Falcons for the third time in a year in Atlanta, and will now travel to Dallas for the third time in a season and a half. Green Bay’s issues with their running game will put a high burden on Aaron Rodgers shoulders, but not to the degree that Dak Prescott is facing. Dallas seems to be stuck in a play call shield as they try to reconfigure what worked last season and isn’t this. That bodes to the strength of the veteran on field Packers team as well as the sideline experience coaching wise. Grab Green Bay. | |||||||
10-08-17 | 49ers v. Colts | 23-26 | Win | 100 | 42 h 49 m | Show | |
The Colts have shown very little offensively but are growing more and more comfortable with Jacoby Brissett. San Francisco has gained in ATS value with three straight covers against Seattle, LA, and Arizona. While they have been covering games it’s obvious the same play call connection between Coach Shanahan and Brian Hoyer is missing. Grab the Colts off their late Sunday night performance in Seattle. | |||||||
10-07-17 | Washington State v. Oregon +3 | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 57 m | Show | |
Two seasons ago Washington State put themselves on the map with an overtime win as steep underdogs in Eugene. That performance was followed up by a blow out win in 2016 of 51-33 over Oregon. After an upset win over USC this is a turning point game for the Cougars to push themselves into the top ten. Instead, look for the seniors and coaching change to Willie Taggart to pay dividends for the home Ducks. | |||||||
10-07-17 | Arizona v. Colorado -6.5 | 45-42 | Loss | -125 | 25 h 57 m | Show | |
The Buffaloes find themselves amidst a two-game losing streak against a well-rested Arizona Wildcats team. Off a bye week the Wildcats last game was fifteen days ago on a Friday night against Utah. Without a doubt the Buffaloes offense has dropped off from last year’s showcase. With Arizona’s combined two losses by a mere nine points, one would expect this to be close. Instead look for the Buffaloes to execute on both sides of the football and win by double-digits. | |||||||
10-07-17 | UL-Lafayette +6 v. Idaho | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
Both Idaho and UL Lafayette are coming off bye weeks. UL Lafayette will get their starting quarterback in Jordan Davis back from injury. That’s not where oddsmakers have inflated this point spread. They did so based on the worst defense in football in UL Lafayette. Idaho’s four year senior starting quarterback in Matt Linehan should be able to pick apart the Rajun Cajuns. Still, I’m not impressed with Idaho’s play calling and sloppy turnovers. Grab the value on UL Lafayette. | |||||||
10-06-17 | Suns +5 v. Jazz | 101-112 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
During the regular season consecutive road games at Portland and Utah are extremely tough. With the Jazz already 2-0 at home in the pre-season, Phoenix will be in for a tough test against the depth of Utah. Still, there is too much room for value on the Suns side to ignore five points. Grab the Suns. | |||||||
10-06-17 | Hawks v. Pistons -3.5 | 87-109 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
An unordinary position lies for the Atlanta Hawks. They’ll be on the road for their third straight pre-season game. I find value here on the home Pistons based on the Hawks standout sixteen point victory over the Cavaliers in their last game. Though the Pistons struggled defensively in their opener look for an increased level of defense tonight. | |||||||
10-05-17 | Heat v. Nets -1.5 | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Both Brooklyn and the Heat have jumped out to 1-0 records in the pre-season. This is a series that was dominated by the Heat last season, as most teams did against the lowly Nets. Though there are new faces in the Nets starting lineup there are enough players remaining that will serve a payback performance. Grab the Nets. | |||||||
10-01-17 | Raiders v. Broncos -3 | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 45 h 22 m | Show | |
Both Oakland and Denver are coming off shaky week three performances. Denver’s continued distrust with quarterback Trevor Semien on the road impacted their chance to win against Buffalo. While Oakland will assuredly come out the gate with a stronger performance, this is a game that will be swung and won in the fourth quarter. Throughout his young career Raiders quarterback Derek Carr has been one of the best quarterbacks to ride against when poor performances rear their head. Expect Carr’s turnover issues from last week to continue. | |||||||
10-01-17 | Rams +6.5 v. Cowboys | 35-30 | Win | 100 | 42 h 47 m | Show | |
There is no doubt that Dallas has played a tough schedule to start the season. The same can not be said for the Rams. LA’s two wins have come against Indianapolis and San Francisco, which are a combined 1-5. Washington’s strong showing on the road in LA only benefits the attraction on Dallas here. With confidence and returning home for the first time since week one oddsmakers have baited this line a tad. Grab the Rams here to have an impactful game plan on both sides of the football to gain the cover. | |||||||
10-01-17 | Steelers v. Ravens +3 | 26-9 | Loss | -100 | 42 h 47 m | Show | |
Coach John Harbaugh has to be displeased with the Ravens efforts over the last six quarters of football. While the Ravens defeated the Browns in week two by fourteen points, the win was masked by red zone issues and five Browns turnovers. Jacksonville used that film to their advantage and continued to rack up yards on Baltimore’s defense for 410 yards. Yet, Baltimore’s defense has always had an ability to perform well against Pittsburgh as well as veteran quarterback Joe Flacco. Grab the value here on the home Ravens. | |||||||
09-30-17 | Northern Illinois +10 v. San Diego State | 28-34 | Win | 100 | 28 h 31 m | Show | |
Excellent game plans against three conservative teams has catapulted San Diego State to 19th ranked and 4-0. San Diego State answered the difficult test of a road conference game in a narrow victory over Air Force last week. Now the shift is how will they respond on their home field against a MAC opponent. Coming off a victory over Nebraska on the road and continuing travel to California has created value on the Huskies side. Grab Northern Illinois. | |||||||
09-30-17 | Florida State v. Wake Forest +7.5 | 26-19 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
Every two to three years there is a powerhouse team that has a steep drop off. At 0-2, Florida State appears to be that team. After two weeks off from Hurricane Irma rust was apparent in last week’s loss to North Carolina State. Yet this point spread is a team can’t go 0-3 line versus reality. While Wake Forest offers a methodical game plan that suits Florida State they have the better defense to offset a fourth quarter melt down. | |||||||
09-30-17 | Ohio v. UMass +5.5 | 58-50 | Loss | -107 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
UMass is now 0-5 but has played respectable defense to hang in games all season long. In fact, all five of their losses are by ten points or less. Ohio has the attraction of rising sophomore quarterback Nathan Rourke but expect consecutive road games to play a role Saturday. The point spread is off here by a mere few points based on UMass’s winless season. | |||||||
09-24-17 | Giants v. Eagles -6 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 43 m | Show | |
The Eagles played well in a loss to the Chiefs. Though it stands as a loss and puts them at 1-1, I believe they’re being downgraded in terms of the number. A win in Kansas City may have pushed this line north of 7.5-8 against the Giants. New York has a laundry list of issues that will continue to grow on Sunday. Grab the value on a Philadelphia team that is poised for an aggressive home division win. | |||||||
09-24-17 | Dolphins v. Jets +6 | 6-20 | Win | 100 | 40 h 42 m | Show | |
A problematic week one performance at home by the Jets against Buffalo compounded last week with an embarrassing loss to the Raiders. On the opposite side the Dolphins gutted out a win over the Chargers on the road. With both teams traveling from California to New York, this has created an arguable point spread. While the fish should be favored a six point line is a bit of a stretch. Grab the points here. | |||||||
09-24-17 | Saints +5.5 v. Panthers | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 40 h 42 m | Show | |
Over the last several years the Saints have underachieved drastically. That isn’t a doubt, but they’ve also been a team to rise to the occasion in must-win situations. On the road after two abysmal performances this stands as a situation for a team to rise to the occasion. Carolina is 2-0 with both wins by six points or more, yet they haven’t been able to click on all cylinders. Expect that to occur again and the Saints to hang around. | |||||||
09-23-17 | Wake Forest v. Appalachian State +6 | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
Time and time again Appalachian State has been the circled team to topple the big schools. Instead they’ve disappointed with lopsided losses to Miami in 2016 and this year to Georgia 31-10. Last week’s 20-13 win as steep favorites to Texas State has put this line out of position a tad. As strong as Wake Forest has looked, expect a down to Earth performance before they embark in ACC play. | |||||||
09-23-17 | Ohio v. Eastern Michigan -2.5 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
Expected offensive and defensive rust is to be displayed by Eastern Michigan Saturday. Their last game occurred fourteen days ago on September 9th in an upset win over the lowly Rutger Scarlet Knights. Against a dynamic Ohio offense the Eagles are going to need to show a surge in offense that they did not display in wins against Charlotte and Rutgers. Expect new wrinkles to be unveiled and for Eastern Michigan to take advantage of their rest. | |||||||
09-23-17 | Idaho +3.5 v. South Alabama | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
Saturday, we’ll grab the road value on Idaho as they take on South Alabama. South Alabama has faced the tougher competition with games against Ole Miss and Oklahoma State. That rise in competition stands out to the weaker schedule of Idaho. Idaho struggled in consecutive losses including a home loss of 44-16 to UNLV. Yet, look for conference play to offer the familiarity needed to cover against South Alabama. Cimini’s Take, Idaho. | |||||||
09-17-17 | Redskins v. Rams -2.5 | 27-20 | Loss | -120 | 44 h 46 m | Show | |
A small line lies with the Rams as they take on Kirk Cousins and the Washington Redskins Sunday. Unlike the majority of NFL teams it appears that a home crowd edge is not there for the Rams. Illustrating that fact was the media’s drawn out attention to the Rams cheap ticket prices and empty stadium in their week one 46-9 victory. Sidestep the crowd issues and grab the value on a Rams team oddsmakers will be chasing a new number on similar to the Cowboys/Vikings of last season. | |||||||
09-17-17 | Eagles +6 v. Chiefs | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 21 m | Show | |
A blowout victory on the road and ten days to prep for the Philadelphia Eagles are obvious swaying factors for the Chiefs. Yet, these are two teams that will be fully prepared based on the familiarity of Doug Pederson and Andy Reid’s prior history. While the Patriots lacked the skillset at wide receiver and speed on defense to negate the Chiefs, the Eagles flourish in that department. This is a classic reactionary point spread based on the Chiefs week one dominance and the Eagles opening the season with consecutive road games. Grab Philadelphia. | |||||||
09-17-17 | Cardinals v. Colts +7 | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 40 h 21 m | Show | |
The Arizona Cardinals may have received what the doctor ordered in a week two matchup against the Colts. For three quarters the Cardinals looked in position to defeat a sound Detroit Lions team. It appears oddsmakers handicapped that performance over the Cardinals fourth quarter. Yet, not closing out games has been a continuous repetitive issue for the Cardinals. Although the Colts game plan won’t be high end, look for the Cardinals to defeat themselves again. Grab the points here. | |||||||
09-16-17 | Texas v. USC -15.5 | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
The ra-ra emphasis after week one’s loss to Maryland worked for Texas Coach Tom Hermann. In week two they shutout San Jose State to the tune of 52-0. Yet, this week they’ll be facing the destiny of the future of the Longhorns program. Transformation growth as a true contender took the Trojans countless years. They’re finally out in front of media’s expectations and bookmakers. Grab the Trojans to continue to cash ATS. | |||||||
09-16-17 | Troy -7 v. New Mexico State | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 27 m | Show | |
Often smaller conferences that bode well in early non-conference scheduling get an improper evaluation. New Mexico State played a tight game against Arizona State, and upset New Mexico for the second consecutive year. They performed above expectations in both of those games by neutralizing their opponents speed. In-conference against Troy expect the script to be flipped. Troy has excelled within the conference and has annihilated New Mexico State by a combined score of 104-13 the last two meetings. Cimini’s Take: Troy. | |||||||
09-16-17 | Cincinnati +5.5 v. Miami-OH | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
A battle in Ohio against MAC school Miami-Ohio and Cincinnati serves as this week’s trap line of the week. Without a doubt Miami-Ohio has the more fluid team on both sides of the football, and attention of the betting markets. Time and time again the Bearcats have been a major letdown under quarterback Hayden Moore in key and under the radar matchups. Yet, this is a spot where Hayden Moore can unmask some of his talent to keep the Bearcats within reach. Take the points here. | |||||||
09-16-17 | Clemson v. Louisville +3 | 47-21 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
The first few weeks of the football season can create an over reaction from the betting markets. Clemson’s carry over value as National Champion grew with stout week one and week two performances. Seemingly the value here lies on Louisville’s perceived poor performances in close victories over Purdue and North Carolina. Look for the Cardinal to show their team growth as a whole as they tone down the pressure off of Lamar Jackson’s shoulders. | |||||||
09-16-17 | Colorado State v. Alabama -29 | 23-41 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Minus former offensive coordinator Lane Kiffin, Nick Saban has got the offense he wants. A more aggressive attack that can compliment their ferocious defense. The worry here is Colorado State senior quarterback Nick Stevens should be able to get late scores for a backdoor opportunity. Instead, expect the next in-line Alabama second and third unit players to treat their time on the field as one of their last opportunities to shine. | |||||||
09-16-17 | Oregon State +21 v. Washington State | 23-52 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 59 m | Show | |
We’ve seen a massive point spread leap from the opening to closing line here. The home Washington State Cougars originally opened in the 15-15.5 range. To climb to 21 is a sign of an oddsmaker error. Yet, I’ll attribute the line move based on two embarrassing losses by Oregon State that had received public/sharp backing (Colorado State/Minnesota). After losing 48-14 to Minnesota last week expect Oregon State to finally start to look like a Pac-12 team. | |||||||
09-11-17 | Chargers v. Broncos -3 | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 75 h 52 m | Show | |
San Diego has always had a style of play that has been a thorn to the Denver Broncos. Adding to that notion is how difficult a week one game against a division opponent can be. While the Chargers have upgraded talent that is on par with the Broncos they have been an unstable franchise. Over the last five years the Broncos have won in week one and covered all matchups but a .5 hook loss to the Colts SNF in 2014. Cimini’s Take: Denver | |||||||
09-10-17 | Seahawks v. Packers -3 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 45 h 57 m | Show | |
Russ Wilson is healthy and the Seahawks are back to being loaded on defense. On the other side Green Bay has kept their usual ways of development intact. Hardly any off-season signings were completed and their former starting tailback signed with the Seahawks. Week one is about finding the value on final drive teams, and Aaron $$ has displayed time and time again the ability to thrive in close games. Grab the Packers to finish this one late. | |||||||
09-10-17 | Panthers v. 49ers +6 | 23-3 | Loss | -120 | 45 h 56 m | Show | |
New regimes for the 49ers have not gone well over the last couple of seasons. Yet the big change for the 49ers was bringing in journeyman Brian Hoyer. The future is a work in progress but his stability is enough against a Carolina team that is still getting glory off of their 2015 season. Keep in mind new coach Kyle Shanahan has a history against the Panthers from his Falcons days, including the only team to upset the Panthers in 2015. Fresh on people’s minds was the beat down week two performance the Panthers put on the 49ers in San Francisco last season. Expect a different outcome as the Panthers continue to get in their own way. | |||||||
09-09-17 | San Diego State +3 v. Arizona State | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show | |
An unusual game plan in week one from the Sun Devils masked some of their carry over issues from prior seasons. Against New Mexico State they made nearly zero defensive substitutions the entire game, and their offense did not show consistency. San Diego State does not have Donnel Pumphrey at running back anymore but has the better balanced team to get the point spread cover. They also have the mental edge knowing they can defeat a Pac-12 team from last year’s 45-40 victory over California. Cimini’s Take: Grab San Diego State. | |||||||
09-09-17 | Houston -1 v. Arizona | 19-16 | Win | 100 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
The Houston Cougars make their season debut Saturday. Their debut was postponed by a week due to cancellation of their week one matchup against UTSA due to Hurricane Harvey. New Coach Major Applewhite will make his debut as well and looks to fill the void of former quarterback Greg Ward Jr. Arizona’s explosive offense will be a challenge for the Cougars but this is a spot where you lean on the line movement being proper. Cimini’s Take: Grab the Cougars. | |||||||
09-09-17 | New Mexico State +7.5 v. New Mexico | 30-28 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
A revenge game or spot is a term often verbalized in the betting markets. In all likelihood this is an off the radar non marquee matchup that is sure to attract that lingo. Last year the Aggies upset the Lobos as 13-13.5 point underdogs at New Mexico. In that game the Aggies used the Lobos aggressive offensive attack against them. It was a similar style witnessed last week in a six point loss to ASU. Grab the Aggies familiarity to hold course again. Cimini’s Take: New Mexico State +7.5 | |||||||
09-09-17 | Georgia v. Notre Dame -6 | 20-19 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
Brian Kelly has endured a luxury most coaches at high level programs aren’t afforded. Time. Amidst suspensions and talented teams not meeting expectations, the Irish have continued to show patience with Kelly. Entering the season right inside the top twenty-five has lowered the program expectations which could be the strength of the Irish. Georgia continuously falters against top competition and will fail to keep up with the octane Irish. Cimini’s Take: Notre Dame. | |||||||
09-05-17 | Giants +163 v. Rockies | 6-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
San Francisco +160 The Giants head to Colorado to face a team in need of wins. Colorado’s early season success has diminished as the Diamondbacks and Dodgers run away with the division. Pitcher Ty Blach is a heavy underdog here for proper reasons as he has lost four consecutive starts. Two of those were against the lowly ball clubs of the Padres and Phillies. Yet, expect a solid team performance here from the Giants. Grab the nice payout here. | |||||||
09-03-17 | Texas A&M +3.5 v. UCLA | 44-45 | Win | 100 | 47 h 48 m | Show | |
Week one’s marquee games have taken a bit of thunder away from week one’s Texas A&M at UCLA matchup. Last year’s matchup featured an overtime thriller that the Aggies pulled off 31-24. With the Aggies unsettled at quarterback and heading on the road to UCLA this spot would seem advantageous for the Josh Rosen led Bruins. Except that Rosen struggled with three interceptions against the Aggies last year and only played in six games last season. His last start was October 8th. Expect almost a full year layoff and pressure to perform well to hinder the Bruins and Rosen. Cimini’s Take: Texas A&M | |||||||
09-03-17 | West Virginia v. Virginia Tech -4 | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 47 h 47 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech -4 Making his debut for the West Virginia Mountaineers is quarterback Will Grier. Grier has the attraction of SEC eyes and the fact that he was 6-0 as a starter for Florida. Coach Dana Holgorsen is known for showcasing an arsenal of prolific offensive packages. Can Grier match the skillset necessary to run Holgorsen’s offense? Not in game one against a top notch Virginia Tech defense that’s downgraded from a point spread perspective due to the team starting a redshirt freshman quarterback in Josh Jackson. Cimini’s Take: Virginia Tech | |||||||
09-02-17 | South Alabama v. Ole Miss -23.5 | 27-47 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 47 m | Show | |
Ole Miss -23.5 The resignation of former Coach Huge Freeze was a shock that figures to add value to Saturday’s opener. The Rebels are coming off an unimpressive 5-7 season, in which they struggled to defeat Sun Belt opponent Georgia Southern 37-27. Saturday’s opponent in South Alabama has vast experience with senior tailback Xavier Johnson and quarterback Dallas Davis. Yet, expect Ole Miss to make a statement and capitalize off of turnovers. Cimini’s Take: Ole Miss. | |||||||
08-31-17 | Nationals -108 v. Brewers | 3-6 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
One of the biggest surprises amongst starting pitchers has been the Nationals Gio Gonzalez. Gonzalez boasts a 13-5 record and over his last five starts has allowed three total runs. Opposite him Thursday is 15-7 starter Zach Davies. While Davies has been equally impressive in the win-loss department, grab the Nationals to showcase proper money line value. | |||||||
08-26-17 | Orioles v. Red Sox -138 | 7-0 | Loss | -138 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
Red Sox pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has one of the more eye-popping streaks going. Five straight starts he has gone without a decision. In fact, he has not won a start since May 26th. Off of an embarrassing loss of 16-3 to Baltimore on Friday, look for things to correct at the plate and on the mound for Boston. Grab the Red Sox here. | |||||||
08-25-17 | Twins +159 v. Blue Jays | 6-1 | Win | 159 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
Friday, the Minnesota Twins find themselves in a road series in Toronto. Off of consecutive losses to the White Sox, the Twins will need to muster some balance in one of the toughest road environments. To do so they’ll rely on veteran Bartolo Colon. While Colon has a whopping whip of 1.64 he is doing just enough to offset his early season rust. Grab the value here on the Twins. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,056 |
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
Joey Tron | $511 |
Ricky Tran | $501 |
Dan Kaiser | $445 |
Sean Murphy | $296 |
Jimmy Boyd | $286 |
Matt Fargo | $220 |
Ray Monohan | $36 |