Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-13-18 | UAB -16 v. Rice | 42-0 | Win | 100 | 120 h 10 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A road team off of 3+ straight wins playing on a Saturday is 63-31-1 ATS if they played their last game on the road. (Take WAS, and UAB next week) | |||||||
10-07-18 | Raiders +5 v. Chargers | 10-26 | Loss | -103 | 74 h 21 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. (Active to play on Raiders and Fade the Chargers this week) | |||||||
10-07-18 | Giants +7 v. Panthers | 31-33 | Win | 100 | 71 h 5 m | Show | |
Technical raw number play | |||||||
10-07-18 | Dolphins +5.5 v. Bengals | 17-27 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 36 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: *Since 2002, the league is 167-129-9 ATS (59.4%) after losing by 24 or more points (20181007, 'Dolphins'), (20181014, 'Buccaneers') | |||||||
10-07-18 | Packers v. Lions +1 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 71 h 36 m | Show | |
10-06-18 | Liberty v. New Mexico State +5 | 41-49 | Win | 100 | 59 h 54 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road teams off of a win that have shown poor defense in their last two games (allowed >30 pts) facing a team off of a win are just 32-85-3 ATS 27.4% (Fade Liberty next week) | |||||||
09-29-18 | Toledo v. Fresno State -7.5 | 27-49 | Win | 100 | 130 h 48 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road teams off of a win that have shown poor defense in their last two games (allowed >30 pts) facing a team off of a win are just 32-85-3 ATS 27.4% (Will be looking to Fade Toledo and USC [play on Arizona and Fresno that is]) | |||||||
09-29-18 | USC v. Arizona +3.5 | 24-20 | Loss | -115 | 130 h 48 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road teams off of a win that have shown poor defense in their last two games (allowed >30 pts) facing a team off of a win are just 32-85-3 ATS 27.4% (Will be looking to Fade Toledo and USC [play on Arizona and Fresno that is]) | |||||||
09-23-18 | Chargers +7.5 v. Rams | 23-35 | Loss | -140 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
Since 2004, teams playing a SNF or late games and then playing a game again with less than 6 days rest (facing a team who will have normal rest) are doomed from the start going just 22-40-0 SU and 17-44-1 ATS (27.9%)! (Fade the Rams!) | |||||||
09-22-18 | Ohio v. Cincinnati -7.5 | 30-34 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 20 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. (Active to Play on ALA, CIN, MEM, WVA this week) EXTRA SYSTEM: Playing a home favorite of 34 or fewer points off of a 35+ pt. blowout is 107-40-3 ATS (72.8%) facing a sub .660 team off of a high scoring game. (Play on Cinci this week) | |||||||
09-16-18 | Cardinals +13.5 v. Rams | 0-34 | Loss | -125 | 97 h 23 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). Active to fade the Cowboys, Titans and Bears this week. TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: STL010: The Rams are 0-10 ATS (-7.55 ppg) as a home favorite over a divisional opponent that had fewer regular season wins the previous season. Note: The Browns are 0-21 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road The Browns are 0-14 since Dec 21, 2014 on the road off a home game | |||||||
09-16-18 | Dolphins +3 v. Jets | 20-12 | Win | 100 | 94 h 28 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). Active to fade the Cowboys, Titans and Bears this week. TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: STL010: The Rams are 0-10 ATS (-7.55 ppg) as a home favorite over a divisional opponent that had fewer regular season wins the previous season. Note: The Browns are 0-21 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road The Browns are 0-14 since Dec 21, 2014 on the road off a home game | |||||||
09-16-18 | Colts +6 v. Redskins | 21-9 | Win | 100 | 94 h 28 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). Active to fade the Cowboys, Titans and Bears this week. TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: STL010: The Rams are 0-10 ATS (-7.55 ppg) as a home favorite over a divisional opponent that had fewer regular season wins the previous season. Note: The Browns are 0-21 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road The Browns are 0-14 since Dec 21, 2014 on the road off a home game | |||||||
09-15-18 | Alabama -21 v. Ole Miss | 62-7 | Win | 100 | 77 h 35 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. (Active on ALA, and CFL this week) | |||||||
09-10-18 | Rams v. Raiders +4.5 | 33-13 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 35 m | Show | |
09-08-18 | Connecticut v. Boise State -31.5 | 7-62 | Win | 100 | 29 h 9 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Plus .600 Road dogs of 57 total points and current opponent just blew out their last opponent 35 points or more. (Fade Connecticut and Wyoming) | |||||||
09-01-18 | Old Dominion v. Liberty +6 | 10-52 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
Home dogs that finished above .500 last season now between +5 and +9.5 before week 6 are 62-21-0 (75%) ATS. (Take Liberty this week) | |||||||
09-01-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Oklahoma -20 | 14-63 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: MAIN NCAAF Favorite System: Since 1989, 21 to 27 points home favorites are 234-131-10 (64.1%) ATS where the total is between 74 and 47.5.Since 2006, (Active on MCST, NEB, OKLA, PNST, and USC) this week. | |||||||
02-04-18 | Eagles v. Patriots -4 | 41-33 | Loss | -107 | 100 h 28 m | Show | |
Right now, everybody is actually betting the Eagles, but we have this key trend so I am going to put an early amount down on the Patriots:KEY SUPER BOWL SYSTEM: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. (Fade the Eagles) | |||||||
01-21-18 | Vikings -3 v. Eagles | 7-38 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 17 m | Show | |
01-21-18 | Jaguars v. Patriots -8.5 | 20-24 | Loss | -103 | 97 h 42 m | Show | |
01-14-18 | Jaguars +7.5 v. Steelers | 45-42 | Win | 100 | 67 h 36 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004, road teams withing 3.5 pts of pick'em are 32-6 ATS 84.2% after week 9 after two+ straight games allowing zero turnovers. The p-value of this trend is 0.000033 -- which is ridiculous. Anything UNDER 0.05 is considered statistically, meaningful. The z-score I mentioned last week is +4.03 (where anything over +2.00 is what we like to look at. This is a perfect thing to tease as well if you can get to +4 or +5 as the trend improves to 51-14-3 ATS (78.5%) for lines from -3.5 to +5 NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Vikings are 17-0 ATS (+12.97 ppg) at home off a game as a favorite in which they converted at least five third downs. -- This is sort of a bummer, because I love the Saints in general, and they seem to be breaking out of a slump. My lean is towards the Saints this week; however, I hate betting against this powerful, and stealthy trend. Plus, everyone is betting the Saints here. I am going to pass. The Vikings are the sharper play unfortunately, and I have an emotional bias the other way. Other Thoughts: | |||||||
01-13-18 | Titans +14 v. Patriots | Top | 14-35 | Loss | -120 | 49 h 26 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004, road teams withing 3.5 pts of pick'em are 32-6 ATS 84.2% after week 9 after two+ straight games allowing zero turnovers. The p-value of this trend is 0.000033 -- which is ridiculous. Anything UNDER 0.05 is considered statistically, meaningful. The z-score I mentioned last week is +4.03 (where anything over +2.00 is what we like to look at. This is a perfect thing to tease as well if you can get to +4 or +5 as the trend improves to 51-14-3 ATS (78.5%) for lines from -3.5 to +5 NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Vikings are 17-0 ATS (+12.97 ppg) at home off a game as a favorite in which they converted at least five third downs. -- This is sort of a bummer, because I love the Saints in general, and they seem to be breaking out of a slump. My lean is towards the Saints this week; however, I hate betting against this powerful, and stealthy trend. Plus, everyone is betting the Saints here. I am going to pass. The Vikings are the sharper play unfortunately, and I have an emotional bias the other way. Other Thoughts: | |||||||
01-13-18 | Falcons -3 v. Eagles | Top | 10-15 | Loss | -100 | 47 h 6 m | Show |
Since 2004, road teams withing 3.5 pts of pick'em are 32-6 ATS 84.2% after week 9 after two+ straight games allowing zero turnovers. | |||||||
01-06-18 | Falcons +6.5 v. Rams | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 49 h 13 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. Active on the Bills NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Carolina Panthers are 14-0 OU (+12.0 ppg) since Ron Rivera became their coach in 2011 as a dog of more than six points -- hence the nickname '''Riverboat Ron. Other Thoughts: | |||||||
12-31-17 | Panthers v. Falcons -3.5 | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 46 h 39 m | Show | |
KEY EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. Other Thoughts: | |||||||
12-31-17 | Raiders +8.5 v. Chargers | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -130 | 46 h 37 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Now at 548-461 ATS and active on the Raiders, Bills, Browns, and Jags this week. NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Oakland Raiders are 14-0 ATS (+12.68 ppg) on the road on grass vs a divisional opponent when they are off a loss in which they held the lead. | |||||||
12-31-17 | Redskins v. Giants +3 | 10-18 | Win | 100 | 42 h 24 m | Show | |
KEY EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. Other Thoughts: | |||||||
12-29-17 | Kentucky v. Northwestern -7 | 23-24 | Loss | -115 | 525 h 16 m | Show | |
All NCAAF Bowl Game Raw numbers are posted up to 1/1/2018! As usual, we'll try to get some middles in by getting on bets early where we anticipate public action. Since we're betting on games dated weeks out from now, we'll see a lot of line movements, and well...free money is free money....try and take a position on BOTH sides of one matchup over a key number. For example, below for NCAAF, you'll see a pick on Houston at -2.5 and Wyoming at -1.THE #1 Most common margin of victory since 2004 (by occurrence rate) is +3 / -3That is, one field goal....very logical why 3 would be the case (and #2 is +7 / -7 -- that's 1 TD...again, logical) MIDDLING NCAAF BOWL SEASON: How It Works So, taking a position under -3 on those two favs gives us the opportunity to do what's called "middling"This is where we take 1 bet early close to the opening line and then we bet the opposite side later IF / when the public / syndicates / 'smart money' / bookmakers move the line OVER or onto a 'handle' -- the moving over a handle (ie. 3 or 7 are 'handles' in American Football; this is where linemakers take in way more money and play a safer position on a 'handle' or a number where a push often occurs and the likelihood of getting even money is increased). So for example: Our bet on Houston -2.5 goes off not until December 24th and you can bet, on Christmas Eve, everyone will want to throw money down willy nilly on their favorite teams so we'll see a lot of line movement. We'll be looking to take a position on Houston's opponent Fresno State at +3.5 or better. The bottom line: if we can manage to get Houston -2.5, and then later, on Christmas eve before game time, get on Fresno State across the #1 most common handle, we're in business. That would mean that, we're only risking the vig in exchange for the proposition to win TWO bets! That's what middling is....and in my personal opinion, this is the proper way to think about doing it:*Anticipate public action or anything that would result in heavy line movement.*Take bet #1 as far out as you can on the public side (you anticipate it to be the public side that is)*Take bet #2 as close to game time as possible or just lock it in once you cross a handle (3 or 7 or both; 10 and 14 are good too). I may not post the middles, so I am explaining the process now for you guys. You don't have to middle the plays. I made sure the plays I am giving out (in NCAAF) are qualifiers on their own, but I love free money..... Alternatively, you could go 20% - 60% less stake on the other side for bet #2, since our conviction, in the end, is on the first bets. | |||||||
12-27-17 | Southern Miss +16 v. Florida State | 13-42 | Loss | -115 | 474 h 6 m | Show | |
All NCAAF Bowl Game Raw numbers are posted up to 1/1/2018! As usual, we'll try to get some middles in by getting on bets early where we anticipate public action. Since we're betting on games dated weeks out from now, we'll see a lot of line movements, and well...free money is free money....try and take a position on BOTH sides of one matchup over a key number. For example, below for NCAAF, you'll see a pick on Houston at -2.5 and Wyoming at -1.THE #1 Most common margin of victory since 2004 (by occurrence rate) is +3 / -3That is, one field goal....very logical why 3 would be the case (and #2 is +7 / -7 -- that's 1 TD...again, logical) MIDDLING NCAAF BOWL SEASON: How It Works So, taking a position under -3 on those two favs gives us the opportunity to do what's called "middling"This is where we take 1 bet early close to the opening line and then we bet the opposite side later IF / when the public / syndicates / 'smart money' / bookmakers move the line OVER or onto a 'handle' -- the moving over a handle (ie. 3 or 7 are 'handles' in American Football; this is where linemakers take in way more money and play a safer position on a 'handle' or a number where a push often occurs and the likelihood of getting even money is increased). So for example: Our bet on Houston -2.5 goes off not until December 24th and you can bet, on Christmas Eve, everyone will want to throw money down willy nilly on their favorite teams so we'll see a lot of line movement. We'll be looking to take a position on Houston's opponent Fresno State at +3.5 or better. The bottom line: if we can manage to get Houston -2.5, and then later, on Christmas eve before game time, get on Fresno State across the #1 most common handle, we're in business. That would mean that, we're only risking the vig in exchange for the proposition to win TWO bets! That's what middling is....and in my personal opinion, this is the proper way to think about doing it:*Anticipate public action or anything that would result in heavy line movement.*Take bet #1 as far out as you can on the public side (you anticipate it to be the public side that is)*Take bet #2 as close to game time as possible or just lock it in once you cross a handle (3 or 7 or both; 10 and 14 are good too). I may not post the middles, so I am explaining the process now for you guys. You don't have to middle the plays. I made sure the plays I am giving out (in NCAAF) are qualifiers on their own, but I love free money..... Alternatively, you could go 20% - 60% less stake on the other side for bet #2, since our conviction, in the end, is on the first bets. | |||||||
12-25-17 | Raiders +9 v. Eagles | Top | 10-19 | Push | 0 | 100 h 19 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. Play on the Bengals, Giants, 49ers and Broncos this week. NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Jaguars are 18-0 OU (+12.61 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a win in which they were turnover-free and had at least 28 minutes of possession time. KEY TREND: Since 1989, teams that put up fewer passing yards than their opp. in a loss last game and fewer rushing yards as well are a solid 123-80-5 (+3.1 ppg, 60.6%) ATS if it is their second or more straight game on the road. KEY TREND: All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! Buccs, Raiders, Steelers | |||||||
12-24-17 | Houston -2.5 v. Fresno State | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 409 h 6 m | Show | |
All NCAAF Bowl Game Raw numbers are posted up to 1/1/2018! As usual, we'll try to get some middles in by getting on bets early where we anticipate public action. Since we're betting on games dated weeks out from now, we'll see a lot of line movements, and well...free money is free money....try and take a position on BOTH sides of one matchup over a key number. For example, below for NCAAF, you'll see a pick on Houston at -2.5 and Wyoming at -1.THE #1 Most common margin of victory since 2004 (by occurrence rate) is +3 / -3That is, one field goal....very logical why 3 would be the case (and #2 is +7 / -7 -- that's 1 TD...again, logical) MIDDLING NCAAF BOWL SEASON: How It Works So, taking a position under -3 on those two favs gives us the opportunity to do what's called "middling"This is where we take 1 bet early close to the opening line and then we bet the opposite side later IF / when the public / syndicates / 'smart money' / bookmakers move the line OVER or onto a 'handle' -- the moving over a handle (ie. 3 or 7 are 'handles' in American Football; this is where linemakers take in way more money and play a safer position on a 'handle' or a number where a push often occurs and the likelihood of getting even money is increased). So for example: Our bet on Houston -2.5 goes off not until December 24th and you can bet, on Christmas Eve, everyone will want to throw money down willy nilly on their favorite teams so we'll see a lot of line movement. We'll be looking to take a position on Houston's opponent Fresno State at +3.5 or better. The bottom line: if we can manage to get Houston -2.5, and then later, on Christmas eve before game time, get on Fresno State across the #1 most common handle, we're in business. That would mean that, we're only risking the vig in exchange for the proposition to win TWO bets! That's what middling is....and in my personal opinion, this is the proper way to think about doing it:*Anticipate public action or anything that would result in heavy line movement.*Take bet #1 as far out as you can on the public side (you anticipate it to be the public side that is)*Take bet #2 as close to game time as possible or just lock it in once you cross a handle (3 or 7 or both; 10 and 14 are good too). I may not post the middles, so I am explaining the process now for you guys. You don't have to middle the plays. I made sure the plays I am giving out (in NCAAF) are qualifiers on their own, but I love free money..... Alternatively, you could go 20% - 60% less stake on the other side for bet #2, since our conviction, in the end, is on the first bets. | |||||||
12-24-17 | Lions v. Bengals +5 | 17-26 | Win | 100 | 68 h 20 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. Play on the Bengals, Giants, 49ers and Broncos this week. NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Jaguars are 18-0 OU (+12.61 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a win in which they were turnover-free and had at least 28 minutes of possession time. KEY TREND: Since 1989, teams that put up fewer passing yards than their opp. in a loss last game and fewer rushing yards as well are a solid 123-80-5 (+3.1 ppg, 60.6%) ATS if it is their second or more straight game on the road. KEY TREND: All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! Buccs, Raiders, Steelers | |||||||
12-24-17 | Rams v. Titans +7 | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 69 h 56 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. Play on the Bengals, Giants, 49ers and Broncos this week. NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Jaguars are 18-0 OU (+12.61 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a win in which they were turnover-free and had at least 28 minutes of possession time. EXTRA TREND: Since 1989, teams that put up fewer passing yards than their opp. in a loss last game and fewer rushing yards as well are a solid 123-80-5 (+3.1 ppg, 60.6%) ATS if it is their second or more straight game on the road. | |||||||
12-24-17 | Chargers -6.5 v. Jets | Top | 14-7 | Win | 100 | 69 h 56 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. Play on the Bengals, Giants, 49ers and Broncos this week. NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Jaguars are 18-0 OU (+12.61 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a win in which they were turnover-free and had at least 28 minutes of possession time. EXTRA TREND: Since 1989, teams that put up fewer passing yards than their opp. in a loss last game and fewer rushing yards as well are a solid 123-80-5 (+3.1 ppg, 60.6%) ATS if it is their second or more straight game on the road. | |||||||
12-22-17 | Central Michigan v. Wyoming -1 | 14-37 | Win | 100 | 357 h 41 m | Show | |
All NCAAF Bowl Game Raw numbers are posted up to 1/1/2018! As usual, we'll try to get some middles in by getting on bets early where we anticipate public action. Since we're betting on games dated weeks out from now, we'll see a lot of line movements, and well...free money is free money....try and take a position on BOTH sides of one matchup over a key number. For example, below for NCAAF, you'll see a pick on Houston at -2.5 and Wyoming at -1.THE #1 Most common margin of victory since 2004 (by occurrence rate) is +3 / -3That is, one field goal....very logical why 3 would be the case (and #2 is +7 / -7 -- that's 1 TD...again, logical) MIDDLING NCAAF BOWL SEASON: How It Works So, taking a position under -3 on those two favs gives us the opportunity to do what's called "middling"This is where we take 1 bet early close to the opening line and then we bet the opposite side later IF / when the public / syndicates / 'smart money' / bookmakers move the line OVER or onto a 'handle' -- the moving over a handle (ie. 3 or 7 are 'handles' in American Football; this is where linemakers take in way more money and play a safer position on a 'handle' or a number where a push often occurs and the likelihood of getting even money is increased). So for example: Our bet on Houston -2.5 goes off not until December 24th and you can bet, on Christmas Eve, everyone will want to throw money down willy nilly on their favorite teams so we'll see a lot of line movement. We'll be looking to take a position on Houston's opponent Fresno State at +3.5 or better. The bottom line: if we can manage to get Houston -2.5, and then later, on Christmas eve before game time, get on Fresno State across the #1 most common handle, we're in business. That would mean that, we're only risking the vig in exchange for the proposition to win TWO bets! That's what middling is....and in my personal opinion, this is the proper way to think about doing it:*Anticipate public action or anything that would result in heavy line movement.*Take bet #1 as far out as you can on the public side (you anticipate it to be the public side that is)*Take bet #2 as close to game time as possible or just lock it in once you cross a handle (3 or 7 or both; 10 and 14 are good too). I may not post the middles, so I am explaining the process now for you guys. You don't have to middle the plays. I made sure the plays I am giving out (in NCAAF) are qualifiers on their own, but I love free money..... Alternatively, you could go 20% - 60% less stake on the other side for bet #2, since our conviction, in the end, is on the first bets. | |||||||
12-17-17 | Patriots -2.5 v. Steelers | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 72 h 22 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. (EXTRA) NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: Perhaps even more powerful than that system... | |||||||
12-17-17 | Packers +3 v. Panthers | 24-31 | Loss | -115 | 68 h 9 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. (EXTRA) NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: Perhaps even more powerful than that system... | |||||||
12-17-17 | Cardinals v. Redskins -4 | 15-20 | Win | 100 | 67 h 28 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. (EXTRA) NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: Perhaps even more powerful than that system... | |||||||
12-16-17 | Bears +5.5 v. Lions | 10-20 | Loss | -115 | 47 h 6 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. (EXTRA) NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: Perhaps even more powerful than that system... | |||||||
12-16-17 | North Texas +7 v. Troy | 30-50 | Loss | -115 | 212 h 55 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Favorites or small less than a field goal dogs are just 60-102-2 ATS on a 3+ game ats win streak in bowl games. Fade Troy, Central Mich, Fres, Flor State, Northwester, Lou and LSU! | |||||||
12-10-17 | Eagles +2.5 v. Rams | Top | 43-35 | Win | 100 | 67 h 4 m | Show |
KEY NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. - Take the Colts, Redskins, Vikings, Eagles, Eagles, and 49ers KEY SYSTEM: Teams are 55-38-1 ATS since 2002 after a game where the longest rush allowed in the previous game was 72 yards or more. (20171210, 'Panthers'), (20171210, 'Texans') The Panthers are 11-4 ATS (7.20 ppg) since Dec 07, 2014 as a dog | |||||||
12-10-17 | Raiders v. Chiefs -4 | 15-26 | Win | 100 | 64 h 39 m | Show | |
The Raiders are 2-7-1 ATS (-7.20 ppg) since Sep 24, 2017 KEY SYSTEM: Teams are 55-38-1 ATS since 2002 after a game where the longest rush allowed in the previous game was 72 yards or more. The Panthers are 11-4 ATS (7.20 ppg) since Dec 07, 2014 as a dog | |||||||
12-03-17 | Colts +9.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 35 m | Show |
KEY SYSTEM: The Jaguars are 2-8 ATS (-3.00 ppg) at homeWill follow up if we have anything else... | |||||||
12-02-17 | North Texas +11.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 57 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A road team off of 3+ straight wins playing on a Saturday is 63-31-1 ATS if they played their last game on the road. - Take North Texas! | |||||||
11-26-17 | Bucs +10 v. Falcons | 20-34 | Loss | -115 | 87 h 5 m | Show | |
11-26-17 | Bills +10 v. Chiefs | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 87 h 5 m | Show | |
11-25-17 | Tulane +8 v. SMU | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 56 h 34 m | Show | |
11-25-17 | East Carolina v. Memphis -28 | 13-70 | Win | 100 | 56 h 34 m | Show | |
11-24-17 | Navy +4.5 v. Houston | 14-24 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 35 m | Show | |
11-23-17 | Vikings v. Lions +3 | 30-23 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
11-20-17 | Falcons v. Seahawks -2.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -120 | 85 h 17 m | Show | |
11-19-17 | Patriots v. Raiders +7.5 | 33-8 | Loss | -135 | 57 h 13 m | Show | |
11-19-17 | Bills +4.5 v. Chargers | 24-54 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 52 m | Show | |
11-19-17 | Lions v. Bears +3 | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 54 h 47 m | Show | |
11-18-17 | Missouri -7.5 v. Vanderbilt | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 44 h 33 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. Play on MIZ | |||||||
11-18-17 | Michigan +7.5 v. Wisconsin | 10-24 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 33 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. Play on MIZ | |||||||
11-12-17 | Bengals +5 v. Titans | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 67 h 2 m | Show | |
11-12-17 | Chargers +4 v. Jaguars | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 85 h 20 m | Show |
11-12-17 | Saints v. Bills +3 | Top | 47-10 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 3 m | Show |
11-11-17 | Boise State -6 v. Colorado State | 59-52 | Win | 100 | 53 h 21 m | Show | |
11-11-17 | UAB +8 v. UTSA | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 50 h 6 m | Show | |
11-11-17 | Iowa v. Wisconsin -11.5 | 14-38 | Win | 100 | 47 h 36 m | Show | |
11-11-17 | Michigan State v. Ohio State -16 | Top | 3-48 | Win | 100 | 43 h 6 m | Show |
11-10-17 | Washington -6 v. Stanford | 22-30 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 46 m | Show | |
11-06-17 | Lions v. Packers +3 | Top | 30-17 | Loss | -125 | 96 h 34 m | Show |
11-05-17 | Raiders v. Dolphins +3 | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 73 h 31 m | Show | |
11-05-17 | Chiefs +1.5 v. Cowboys | 17-28 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 29 m | Show | |
11-05-17 | Redskins +7.5 v. Seahawks | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 68 h 5 m | Show | |
11-05-17 | Falcons v. Panthers +1.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 65 h 53 m | Show |
11-05-17 | Bengals +6 v. Jaguars | Top | 7-23 | Loss | -113 | 65 h 52 m | Show |
11-04-17 | Texas +7 v. TCU | 7-24 | Loss | -115 | 50 h 29 m | Show | |
Key lines: 3, 7, 14, 10, 4, 21, 1, 17, 6, 24, 5, 2, 28, 18, 8, 11, 20 Key totals: 55, 51, 45, 41, 52, 48, 44, 58, 59, 37, 47, 65, 49, 69, 66, 62, 54, 34, 61, 38, 63 NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. - This system has an astronomical p-value stat at 337-211 61.5% ATS now and is active to play on Toledo and MIZ this week! | |||||||
11-04-17 | Oregon State +7.5 v. California | 23-37 | Loss | -115 | 48 h 6 m | Show | |
Key lines: 3, 7, 14, 10, 4, 21, 1, 17, 6, 24, 5, 2, 28, 18, 8, 11, 20 NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. - This system has an astronomical p-value stat at 337-211 61.5% ATS now and is active to play on Toledo and MIZ this week! | |||||||
11-04-17 | South Florida v. Connecticut +24 | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 45 h 48 m | Show | |
11-04-17 | Penn State -9 v. Michigan State | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 60 m | Show | |
11-02-17 | Northern Illinois v. Toledo -7.5 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show | |
Key lines: 3, 7, 14, 10, 4, 21, 1, 17, 6, 24, 5, 2, 28, 18, 8, 11, 20 NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. - This system has an astronomical p-value stat at 337-211 61.5% ATS now and is active to play on Toledo and MIZ this week! | |||||||
10-29-17 | Steelers v. Lions +3 | Top | 20-15 | Loss | -115 | 75 h 7 m | Show |
10-29-17 | Raiders +3 v. Bills | 14-34 | Loss | -135 | 67 h 27 m | Show | |
10-29-17 | Colts +12 v. Bengals | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 65 h 14 m | Show | |
10-28-17 | Boise State -8 v. Utah State | Top | 41-14 | Win | 100 | 53 h 53 m | Show |
Key lines: 3, 7, 14, 10, 4, 21, 1, 17, 6, 24, 5, 2, 28, 18, 8, 11, 20 Key totals: 55, 51, 45, 41, 52, 48, 44, 58, 59, 37, 47, 65, 49, 69, 66, 62, 54, 34, 61, 38, 63 NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road teams since 1989 that allowed under two tds per game in their last 3 are 236-178-6 57.0% ATS BOIS is 10-4 ATS (5.96 ppg) since Sep 25, 2015 on the road | |||||||
10-28-17 | Arkansas State -3 v. New Mexico State | 37-21 | Win | 100 | 51 h 58 m | Show | |
Key lines: 3, 7, 14, 10, 4, 21, 1, 17, 6, 24, 5, 2, 28, 18, 8, 11, 20 Key totals: 55, 51, 45, 41, 52, 48, 44, 58, 59, 37, 47, 65, 49, 69, 66, 62, 54, 34, 61, 38, 63 NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road teams since 1989 that allowed under two tds per game in their last 3 are 236-178-6 57.0% ATS BOIS is 10-4 ATS (5.96 ppg) since Sep 25, 2015 on the road | |||||||
10-28-17 | NC State v. Notre Dame -7 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 47 h 34 m | Show | |
Key totals: 55, 51, 45, 41, 52, 48, 44, 58, 59, 37, 47, 65, 49, 69, 66, 62, 54, 34, 61, 38, 63 NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road teams since 1989 that allowed under two tds per game in their last 3 are 236-178-6 57.0% ATS BOIS is 10-4 ATS (5.96 ppg) since Sep 25, 2015 on the road | |||||||
10-28-17 | Penn State v. Ohio State -6 | 38-39 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 29 m | Show | |
Key lines: 3, 7, 14, 10, 4, 21, 1, 17, 6, 24, 5, 2, 28, 18, 8, 11, 20 Key totals: 55, 51, 45, 41, 52, 48, 44, 58, 59, 37, 47, 65, 49, 69, 66, 62, 54, 34, 61, 38, 63 NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road teams since 1989 that allowed under two tds per game in their last 3 are 236-178-6 57.0% ATS BOIS is 10-4 ATS (5.96 ppg) since Sep 25, 2015 on the road | |||||||
10-22-17 | Bengals +5.5 v. Steelers | Top | 14-29 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 55 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: *Since 2002, the league is 167-129-9 ATS (59.4%) after losing by 24 or more points (20171022, 'Broncos') NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Chargers are 0-7 since Nov 13, 2016 at home + The Chargers are 4-12 ATS (-2.19 ppg) since Oct 19, 2014 as a home favoriteKEY TRENDS: The Packers are 7-0 since Dec 04, 2016 at home The Packers are 6-1 ATS (10.21 ppg) since Dec 04, 2016 at home The Packers are 4-0-1 ATS (14.60 ppg) since Oct 19, 2008 as a home dog | |||||||
10-22-17 | Broncos +1 v. Chargers | Top | 0-21 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 55 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: *Since 2002, the league is 167-129-9 ATS (59.4%) after losing by 24 or more points (20171022, 'Broncos') NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Chargers are 0-7 since Nov 13, 2016 at home + The Chargers are 4-12 ATS (-2.19 ppg) since Oct 19, 2014 as a home favoriteKEY TRENDS: The Packers are 7-0 since Dec 04, 2016 at home The Packers are 6-1 ATS (10.21 ppg) since Dec 04, 2016 at home The Packers are 4-0-1 ATS (14.60 ppg) since Oct 19, 2008 as a home dog | |||||||
10-22-17 | Ravens +6 v. Vikings | 16-24 | Loss | -115 | 68 h 30 m | Show | |
SYSTEM: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. (Take the RavensSmall Beer Money play or pass on Baltimore. | |||||||
10-22-17 | Saints v. Packers +4.5 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 29 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: *Since 2002, the league is 167-129-9 ATS (59.4%) after losing by 24 or more points (20171022, 'Broncos') NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Chargers are 0-7 since Nov 13, 2016 at home + The Chargers are 4-12 ATS (-2.19 ppg) since Oct 19, 2014 as a home favoriteKEY TRENDS: The Packers are 7-0 since Dec 04, 2016 at home The Packers are 6-1 ATS (10.21 ppg) since Dec 04, 2016 at home The Packers are 4-0-1 ATS (14.60 ppg) since Oct 19, 2008 as a home dog | |||||||
10-21-17 | Colorado +10 v. Washington State | 0-28 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 46 m | Show | |
Key lines: 3, 7, 14, 10, 4, 21, 1, 17, 6, 24, 5, 2, 28, 18, 8, 11, 20 Key totals: 55, 51, 45, 41, 52, 48, 44, 58, 59, 37, 47, 65, 49, 69, 66, 62, 54, 34, 61, 38, 63 NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, teams off games with over 400 punt yards, and less that 15 first downs are just 117-142-8 ATS next week. COST is 8-0 ATS (16.81 ppg) since Sep 24, 2016 on the road FRES is 8-0 ATS (11.81 ppg) since Nov 19, 2016 SDST is 0-4 ATS (-21.00 ppg) since Nov 26, 2016 as a home favorite CFL is 8-2 ATS (9.90 ppg) since Sep 03, 2016 as a favorite | |||||||
10-21-17 | Fresno State +7.5 v. San Diego State | 27-3 | Win | 100 | 53 h 31 m | Show | |
Key lines: 3, 7, 14, 10, 4, 21, 1, 17, 6, 24, 5, 2, 28, 18, 8, 11, 20 Key totals: 55, 51, 45, 41, 52, 48, 44, 58, 59, 37, 47, 65, 49, 69, 66, 62, 54, 34, 61, 38, 63 NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, teams off games with over 400 punt yards, and less that 15 first downs are just 117-142-8 ATS next week. COST is 8-0 ATS (16.81 ppg) since Sep 24, 2016 on the road FRES is 8-0 ATS (11.81 ppg) since Nov 19, 2016 SDST is 0-4 ATS (-21.00 ppg) since Nov 26, 2016 as a home favorite CFL is 8-2 ATS (9.90 ppg) since Sep 03, 2016 as a favorite | |||||||
10-21-17 | Central Florida -7 v. Navy | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 46 h 31 m | Show | |
Key lines: 3, 7, 14, 10, 4, 21, 1, 17, 6, 24, 5, 2, 28, 18, 8, 11, 20 Key totals: 55, 51, 45, 41, 52, 48, 44, 58, 59, 37, 47, 65, 49, 69, 66, 62, 54, 34, 61, 38, 63 NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, teams off games with over 400 punt yards, and less that 15 first downs are just 117-142-8 ATS next week. COST is 8-0 ATS (16.81 ppg) since Sep 24, 2016 on the road FRES is 8-0 ATS (11.81 ppg) since Nov 19, 2016 SDST is 0-4 ATS (-21.00 ppg) since Nov 26, 2016 as a home favorite CFL is 8-2 ATS (9.90 ppg) since Sep 03, 2016 as a favorite | |||||||
10-15-17 | Steelers +5 v. Chiefs | Top | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 68 h 50 m | Show |
In the news:*The New Orleans Saints have traded Adrian Peterson to the Arizona Cardinals for a conditional pickhttps://twitter.com/diannaESPN/status/917777659295424519*Video of Miami Dolphins Offensive Line Coach Using Drugs Before Team Meeting With the league worst (by a landslide) ppg in the NFL, you have to wonder what came first: the chicken or the egg there. He resigned a few days ago; perhaps the offense plays 110% moving forward for a new Coach?*The Browns are now 0-15 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road Humbling us all. Only 43% or so of the public on the Browns right now.... --NFL 2017 RAW NUMBERS The Selections for Week 6: NFLOct 15 4:05 pmBucs vs Cardinals Bucs PK for 0.5 units -=TOP PLAY=- NFLOct 15 4:25 pmSteelers vs Chiefs Steelers +5 for 0.45 units -=RUNNER UP=- Top Play: TAMPA BAY Thoughts: Tampa Bay looks great this week as a road team on long rest after playing a Thursdaygame at home. The Cardinals, on the other hand look pretty beaten down and they have the League's lowest ATS margin (home). NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: *Since 2002, the league is 167-129-9 ATS (59.4%) after losing by 24 or more points (20171015, 'Steelers') NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Buccaneers are 11-0 ATS (+9.59 ppg) on the road off a home game in which they allowed four or fewer third down conversions.KEY TREND: Since 2004, teams playing a SNF or late games and then playing a game again with less than 6 days rest (facing a team who will have normal rest) are doomed from the start going just 22-40-0 SU and 17-44-1 ATS (27.9%)! -- Fade the Chiefs! The Cardinals are 1-6 ATS (-10.50 ppg) since Jan 24, 2016 as a dogThe Cardinals are 4-13 ATS (-2.15 ppg) since Oct 04, 2015 at home Steelers' head coach, MIKE TOMLIN is 17-3 SU and 16-4-0 ATS (+9.07 ppg) after allowing over 28 points EXTRA PLAY: NFLOct 15 1:00 pmLions vs Saints Lions +4.5Small beer money play or pass. | |||||||
10-15-17 | Bucs -1 v. Cardinals | Top | 33-38 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 30 m | Show |
In the news:*The New Orleans Saints have traded Adrian Peterson to the Arizona Cardinals for a conditional pickhttps://twitter.com/diannaESPN/status/917777659295424519*Video of Miami Dolphins Offensive Line Coach Using Drugs Before Team Meeting With the league worst (by a landslide) ppg in the NFL, you have to wonder what came first: the chicken or the egg there. He resigned a few days ago; perhaps the offense plays 110% moving forward for a new Coach?*The Browns are now 0-15 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road Humbling us all. Only 43% or so of the public on the Browns right now.... --NFL 2017 RAW NUMBERS The Selections for Week 6: NFLOct 15 4:05 pmBucs vs Cardinals Bucs PK for 0.5 units -=TOP PLAY=- NFLOct 15 4:25 pmSteelers vs Chiefs Steelers +5 for 0.45 units -=RUNNER UP=- Top Play: TAMPA BAY Thoughts: Tampa Bay looks great this week as a road team on long rest after playing a Thursdaygame at home. The Cardinals, on the other hand look pretty beaten down and they have the League's lowest ATS margin (home). NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: *Since 2002, the league is 167-129-9 ATS (59.4%) after losing by 24 or more points (20171015, 'Steelers') NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Buccaneers are 11-0 ATS (+9.59 ppg) on the road off a home game in which they allowed four or fewer third down conversions.KEY TREND: Since 2004, teams playing a SNF or late games and then playing a game again with less than 6 days rest (facing a team who will have normal rest) are doomed from the start going just 22-40-0 SU and 17-44-1 ATS (27.9%)! -- Fade the Chiefs! The Cardinals are 1-6 ATS (-10.50 ppg) since Jan 24, 2016 as a dogThe Cardinals are 4-13 ATS (-2.15 ppg) since Oct 04, 2015 at home Steelers' head coach, MIKE TOMLIN is 17-3 SU and 16-4-0 ATS (+9.07 ppg) after allowing over 28 points EXTRA PLAY: NFLOct 15 1:00 pmLions vs Saints Lions +4.5Small beer money play or pass. | |||||||
10-14-17 | Cincinnati v. South Florida -24.5 | 3-33 | Win | 100 | 52 h 1 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. | |||||||
10-08-17 | 49ers +1.5 v. Colts | 23-26 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 8 m | Show | |
Top Play: CHARGERS! Thoughts: The loser of this match will be 0-5 so I expect both teams to try; in situations like that, things can be close and I love all the points we're getting here on San Diego. Grudge match between Philip Rivers and Eli Manning; two faithful QB's to their respective clubs. The money is about split on this one, but we've got some interesting angles... NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 Active to Play On the Chargers and 49ers NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Chargers are just 2-11-0 since Oct 18, 2015 as a road dog; however, are 9-3-1 ATS (1.00 ppg). -- And for a field goal or more that's 9-1-1 ATS. They've been struggling, but they keep things close. The points are worth it in this case (rather than the moneyline). Add to that there are zero significant injuries for San Diego and about 10 or so for New York. Look for San Diego to exploit that. | |||||||
10-08-17 | Chargers +3.5 v. Giants | Top | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 64 h 9 m | Show |
Top Play: CHARGERS! Thoughts: The loser of this match will be 0-5 so I expect both teams to try; in situations like that, things can be close and I love all the points we're getting here on San Diego. Grudge match between Philip Rivers and Eli Manning; two faithful QB's to their respective clubs. The money is about split on this one, but we've got some interesting angles... NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 Active to Play On the Chargers and 49ers NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Chargers are just 2-11-0 since Oct 18, 2015 as a road dog; however, are 9-3-1 ATS (1.00 ppg). -- And for a field goal or more that's 9-1-1 ATS. They've been struggling, but they keep things close. The points are worth it in this case (rather than the moneyline). Add to that there are zero significant injuries for San Diego and about 10 or so for New York. Look for San Diego to exploit that. | |||||||
10-07-17 | West Virginia v. TCU -13 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 30 m | Show |
Key lines: 3, 7, 14, 10, 4, 21, 1, 17, 6, 24, 5, 2, 28, 18, 8, 11, 20 WVA is 0-6 ATS (-12.33 ppg) since Oct 03, 2015 as a dog A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. | |||||||
10-07-17 | Central Michigan v. Ohio -10.5 | 26-23 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 59 m | Show | |
Key lines: 3, 7, 14, 10, 4, 21, 1, 17, 6, 24, 5, 2, 28, 18, 8, 11, 20 WVA is 0-6 ATS (-12.33 ppg) since Oct 03, 2015 as a dog A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. | |||||||
10-02-17 | Redskins +7 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-29 | Loss | -113 | 94 h 12 m | Show |
Runner up play (No Top Play this Week) is on the REDSKINS: Thoughts: The Public is riding high on the Chiefs right now a little over inflated with about 60-70% of the public support. They're off of a bit of a questionable, definitely exaggerated 24-10 win over the Chargers that could have easily gone the other way with a bit of luck. Home teams do traditionally, have the advantage on MNF games and I typically like to stay away from these marquee games, unless I like the public fade....which I do. Regardless, as good a bet as I think Washington is here, the MNF factor holds me back from making this a top play. Aside from that: I think this game will be better than a 7 point pickup match for the Chiefs. The Skins are a strong team. They're putting up enough ppg to pull in wins or at least keep things close. The Raw numbers are solid and have the final score pegged at: WASHINGTON 28.7 to KC 24.9 NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, Favorites (playing at a new site) that just snapped another team's good turnover streak (even or positive turnover margin 2+ straight games) having forced 3+ turnovers get inflated the next week and only go 162-211-14 ATS (43.4%). Active this week to Fade the Saints, Jaguars and Chiefs. NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Redskins are 10-3 ATS and 13-0 OU when they converted at least 5 third downs in each of their last two. The Redskins are 7-1 ATS (7.25 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 as a road dogThe Redskins are 9-2 ATS (6.73 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 on the roadThe Redskins are 12-3 ATS (5.23 ppg) since Nov 29, 2015 as a dog Go 'Skins! | |||||||
10-01-17 | Eagles +2 v. Chargers | 26-24 | Win | 100 | 66 h 14 m | Show | |
KEY RUNNER UP TREND: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). The Chargers are 0-7-1 ATS (-6.25 ppg) since Dec 04, 2016The Chargers are 0-6 ATS (-7.25 ppg) since Nov 13, 2016 at homeThe Chargers are 4-11 ATS (-2.10 ppg) since Oct 19, 2014 as a home favorite | |||||||
09-30-17 | California +15 v. Oregon | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 10 m | Show | |
Key lines: 3, 7, 14, 10, 4, 21, 1, 17, 6, 24, 5, 2, 28, 18, 8, 11, 20 Key totals: 55, 51, 45, 41, 52, 48, 44, 58, 59, 37, 47, 65, 49, 69, 66, 62, 54, 34, 61, 38, 63 KEY NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,395 |
Joey Tron | $617 |
Ray Monohan | $607 |
Ross Benjamin | $583 |
Big Al McMordie | $401 |
Matt Fargo | $327 |
Ricky Tran | $297 |
Sean Higgs | $140 |
Jesse Schule | $98 |
Kyle Hunter | $66 |