Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-24-19 | BYU v. Hawaii +2 | Top | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 57 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Hawaii. Both teams were on quite the role until their final contest, losing badly in their finales. BYU had won five in a row and averaged 39.8 PPG during, however it came up short 13-3 vs. SDSU in its final game of the year. Hawaii lost 31-10 to Boise State in the MWC Championship Game. The Warriors average 33.6 PPG and they allow 31.7. QB Cole McDonald led his team to a 6-2 record at home as well. BYU only allows 24.4 PPG, but it only averages 28. QB Zach Wilson has 2,108 passing yards and 11 TD's. Key Trends: - BYU is just 8-13 ATS in its last 21 as a favorite (including 0-6 ATS this season.) - The Cougars are only 2-4 ATS on the road this year. - Hawaii is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a loss by 21 points or more. The verdict: Yes the Warriors are terrible defensively, but I think that Wilson and this Cougar offense will struggle to keep pace down the stretch with the home side; grab the point/s! | |||||||
12-23-19 | Pelicans v. Blazers -6 | Top | 102-94 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Portland Trail Blazers. Portland is quietly dominating right now and I think it'll keep the foot on the gas for at least one more game. The Blazers enter having won four in a row and five of their last six. Damian Lillard has scored 27 or more in his team's five straight victories, while big man Hassan Whitesite has double double efforts in ten straight games. The Pelicans are coming off a loss to Golden State on Friday and with an X-Mas day matchup which was supposed to showcase their dynamic rookie up next, I believe they suffer a predictable letdown here as well. Key Trends: - Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a win percentage bleow .400. - New Orleans is a poor 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven as a road underdog. The verdict: The Blazers last six victories have come by at least seven points or more; expect that strong trend to continue tonight vs. the hapless Pels! | |||||||
12-22-19 | Cowboys v. Eagles +2 | Top | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 51 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the Philadelphia Eagles. The Cowboys come in off a big 44-21 win at home over the Rams last weekend. Previous to that they'd dropped three straight. This isn't a letdown spot for Dallas, as a win today will clinch it the division. I just think it's terrible inconsistency in its play from week to week once again comes back to haunt it here. The Eagles' are 7-7 also and if they want to earn the division crown, they have to win this game today and also next week vs. the Giants. That's obviously a very "doable" task and I think that the home field advantage does matter in this instance. The Eagles pulled away for a crucial 37-27 win over Washington last week and I believe they carry that momenumt over here. Key Trends: - The Cowboys are a poor 2-3 ATS in their last five as a road favorite of three points or less (including 0-1 ATS this year.) - Philadelphia is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog of three points or less. The verdict: I like Carson Wentz and the home side to grind out a victory in front of the home town crowd; that said, grab the points! | |||||||
12-22-19 | Jaguars v. Falcons -7 | 12-24 | Win | 100 | 48 h 31 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Atlanta Falcons. Both teams come in off rare victories, but neither will be involved in the post-season. In this meaningless Week 16 contest, I don't think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor once it's all said and done. The Falcons though have won four of their last six games, while the Jags had lost six in a row before picking up a win over the hapless Raiders last weekend. The Jags needed a miracle to come from behind at 16-3 at halftime. Atlanta QB' Matt Ryan is a difference maker for me, as the veteran has 3,749 passing yards, to go along with 24 TD's and 12 INT's. Key Trends: - Atlanta is 5-1 ATS the last six in this series. - Jacksonville is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 non-conference games (including 0-3 ATS this year.) The verdict: As mentioned above, I like Ryan to easily outduel his rookie counterpart; lay the points! | |||||||
12-22-19 | Saints v. Titans +3 | 38-28 | Loss | -125 | 48 h 31 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Titans. Here's another one where I don't think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor once it's all said and done. New Orleans is in the playoffs, but it's still fighting for home field. The Titans though lost to Houston last weekend, meaning that this is a "must win" contest. And I believe that matters today. It sets up as a letdown/trap for the Saints, who saw veteran QB Drew Brees break Peyton Manning's all time TD record in last week's 34-7 blowout victory at home over the Colts. Ryan Tannehill isn't given much credit, but I think the Titans' QB is a difference maker today, so far he has 2,272 yards and a sharp 17:6 TD:INT. Key Trends: - Interestingly, the Saints are just 1-3 ATS in the last two weeks of the regular season over the last two years. - The Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last six as a home dog (including 1-0 ATS this season.) The verdict: Look for the "hungrier" team to pull it off this afternoon; that said, grab the points! | |||||||
12-22-19 | Steelers v. Jets +3 | 10-16 | Win | 105 | 48 h 31 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the New York Jets. Following a pattern here with this all early three-game NFL report, sees the "home field advantage" as a deciding factor in this contest in my opinion. Pittsburgh "has" to win this game if it has any hopes of a playoff spot. Last week the Steelers fell 17-10 to the Bills and another loss here will be the final nail in the coffin to their season. Of course, Devlin Hodges will get the call under center for Pittsburgh today, its third string QB, who looked terrible last week at home vs. the Bills. Sam Darnold has looked decent at times this year and with a game in Buffalo next weekend to finish off the 2019/20 campaign, I believe he'll be given the green light to test this now weary Steelers' defenese, which has had to shoulder the load all year. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games. - New York is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 as a home underdog. The verdict: I think this one sets up nicely for the home side; that said, grab the points! | |||||||
12-21-19 | Rams v. 49ers -6.5 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -101 | 80 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the San Francisco 49ers. While the 49ers' surge has slowed down over the last month, I think they bounce back here and destroy this "on again, off again" Rams team. San Francisco will be plenty motivated here after falling at home to the lowly Falcons last weekend. It was a difficult spot though, as they had just come off a massive shootout road win over the the Saints. But I think the home side gets back on track in this favorable spot and lays the hammer down early and often. The Rams were crushed by the Cowboys last weekend and I think they'll have a hard time mustering up much of an attack here either. LA's defense has been stout so far this season, but I believe it takes a step back here vs. Jimmy Garoppolo and company. Key Trends: - LA is only 4-5 ATS in its last nine as an underdog. - The Rams are a poor 2-3 ATS in their last five following a road loss. - San Fran is 5-1 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: I like the focussed 49ers to deal the knock out blow to the Rams frustrating season; lay the points! | |||||||
12-21-19 | Bucks v. Knicks +12.5 | Top | 123-102 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the New York Knicks. The Knicks fell 129-114 in Miami, but I think the offer great value here to push the Bucks to the limit here. Milwaukee enters off a highly satisfying win at home over LeBron James and the Lakers and with a game the following night at home vs. Indiana, before their X-Mas day game at Philadelphia, would anyone fault the Bucks for having a letdown/look-ahead?! Key Trends: - Milwaukee is only 4-7 ATS this year after a non-conference game. - New York is 7-2 ATS already this season in revenging a blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more. The verdict: It's a "trap game" for the Bucks in my opinion and I like the hungry home side to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the sizeable spread that it's been afforded tonight; grab the points! | |||||||
12-21-19 | North Florida v. Syracuse -12.5 | Top | 70-82 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Syracuse. I like 6-5 Syracuse to lay the hammer down on the North Florida Ospreys today. Elijah Hughes and Joseph Girard III led the way in a 74-62 victory against Oakland in the Dome on Wednesday. Hughes had 23 points, while Girard III added 20 points to go along with seven assists. Note that the Orange are 21st in assist turnover ratio (1.36). North Florida is 7-6 and it enters off a 98-81 loss to FSU last time out. Four players average more than ten points for the Ospreys, but I still think they'll have difficulty keeping pace with the Orange in the Carrier Dome tonight. Key Trends: - Syracuse is 7-3 ATS in its last ten non-conference home games as a 13 point or higher favorite. The verdict: This is a bad matchpu for the Ospreys, who struggle against good three-points shooting teams (note that Hughes is fourth in 3-point field goals made (40) and fifth in 3-point field goals per game (3.64) in the country.) Lay the points! | |||||||
12-21-19 | Central Michigan +3.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 11-48 | Loss | -105 | 73 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on CMU. I think the Chips throw everything at this stiny Aztecs team and while I obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, I'll in the end take the points in a contest which I think'll be decided by whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last. CMU was 1-11 last year, but it finished 8-5 this season. The Chips won three in a row before falling 26-24 to Miami Ohio in the MAC Title game. So far the MAC has dominated early in these Bowl games and I like that trend to continue here with Quinten Dormady leading the charge. Dormady had 2,148 passing yards with a 14:6 TD:INT. RB's Kobe Lewis and Jon Ward each finished with 1,000 yards rushing this season. SDSU only allows 12.8 PPG, but I think the Aztecs struggle to contain this balanced offense of CMU. SDSU does not have a big running game, which makes Ryan Agnew, who had 2,175 passing yards and an 11:5 TD:INT, very one dimensional here. Key Trends: - CMU is 4-1 ATS in its last five as an underdog. - The Chips are 3-1 ATS in non-conference games this season. - SDSU is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, grab the points! | |||||||
12-20-19 | Mavs v. 76ers -8 | Top | 117-98 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the 76ers. I base my picks on many different things. This one has to do primarily with common sense. Dallas won its first game over the Bucks without star player Luka Doncic in the line-up, but the team has predictably struggled since. I believe that trend continues here in this difficult non-conference venue. The Mavs are fresh off a 109-103 loss at home to Boston. And the 76ers come in focussed, as after a five-game win streak, they enter having lost two straight. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record. - Dallas is interestingly just 5-7 ATS in non-conference games this year. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, lay the points! | |||||||
12-20-19 | Kent State v. Utah State -6.5 | Top | 51-41 | Loss | -109 | 34 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* SPECIAL is on Utah State. This is only the third time in Kent State's history that it's been to a bowl game. The Golden Flashes finished only 6-6, but a three-game win streak at the end likely helped in their cause ultimatley. Utah State though has the much better defense and I think that the unit will prove to be the difference maker here. Aggies' QB Jordan Love is also a key factor here, as he's projected to be a top 10 QB in the upcoming NFL draft. The Flashes counter with Dustin Crum, who has 2,333 yards passing this year (Love has 3,085.) Key Trends: - Kent State is 5-7 ATS in its last 12 non-conference games (including just 1-3 ATS this year.) - Utah State is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 as a favorite (including 5-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think Love will go ballistic on this suspect Kent secondary and I like the Aggies to shut down Crum; lay the points! | |||||||
12-19-19 | Rockets v. Clippers -5 | Top | 122-117 | Loss | -101 | 27 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the LA Clippers. The Rockets got out to an 11-3 start, but they've since fallen off, going just 1-5 ATS in their last six. Russell Westbrook is struggling to find chemistry with James Harden as he's averaging only 22.8 percent shooting. Also note that the visitors come to town with significant injuries to key players (Eric Gordon and Gerald Green.) Houston's defense has been atrocious this year and I think that the home side is going to go for the jugular tonight. The Clippers are 21-8 and they play with revenge here after falling to the Rockets in Houston earlier in the year. Paul George didn't play in that one and LA has had to deal with several injuries to open the season. But all key players are back and available to go in this contest. Key Trends: - LA is 4-0 ATS in its last four at home. - Houston is a poor 1-4 ATS in its last five following a SU win. The verdict: Chemistry issues, poor defense and injuries come back to haunt the Rockets tonight; lay the points! | |||||||
12-19-19 | William & Mary v. St. Joe's +1.5 | Top | 69-84 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on St. Joes. William & Mary enters at 8-3, while the St. Joseph's Hawks are just 2-9. After winning four of five though, I think the visitors come in complacent. However, the Hawks have lost five straight and I believe they'll be risking life and limb, pulling out all the stops as they try to get off the schneid and back into the winners circle. The bottom line though is that the Tribe have played a very weak schedule, and the Hawks have played a more difficult one. Key Trends: - St. Joe's is 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a home dog (including 2-0 ATS this year.) - The Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after allowing 85 or more points (including 2-1 ATS this season.) - W&M is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after having won four of its last five SU. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team finds a way to get the job done at home; grab the short points! | |||||||
12-17-19 | Kings v. Hornets +4.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Charlotte Hornets. The Kings have been playing better, winning for of their last five. They beat the Warriors in Golden State last time out, but I think they'll have a difficult time maintaining that momentum vs. this hungry home side. The Hornets do allow 111.1 PPG, but the Kings are only averaging 104.8 per contest. Charlotte's three-game win streak came to an end last time out vs. the Pacers. The Kings allow 106.9 PPG and the Hornets average 104.5. Key Trends: - Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last seven after allowing 90 points or less. - The Kings are only 6-7 ATS this year vs. clubs with losing records. - Charlotte is already 4-1 ATS this year after playing three straight road games. The verdict: With two whole nights off before back-to-back games at Indiana and Memphis to end this trip, I believe the visiting side gets caught "looking ahead" as well. Grab the points! | |||||||
12-16-19 | Colts +10 v. Saints | Top | 7-34 | Loss | -121 | 37 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on the Colts. The Saints have locked up the NFC South, but they're still playing for better positioning. The Colts' red hot start to the season is firmly in the rear view mirror, but they can still make a wild card spot with a victory today. The Saints' defense was exposed early and often by the 49ers last week and I think that Jacoby Brissett and the Colts' offense will have their opportunities today. Clearly the Colts' defense will have its hands full, but I expect the visitors to fight until the final whistle. Key Trends: - Indy is 6-2 ATS in its last eight after allowing 30 or more points in its last game (including 2-0 ATS this year.) - New Orleans is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven as a home favorite in the 7.5 to ten points range. The verdict: I do indeed feel that the Colts can keep this one competitive throughout vs. a very shaky Saints' secondary; grab the points! | |||||||
12-16-19 | Spurs +10.5 v. Rockets | Top | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the Spurs. The Spurs have struggled with defensive consistency this season. SA comes in off an OT win over the Suns and I think it takes a run at the Rockets here on the road as well. Houston comes in off a 115-107 loss to Detroit. Key Trends: - San Antonio is interestingly 7-4 ATS in its last 11 road games following an OT ATS victory. - Houston is only 10-12 ATS in its last 22 off a home loss (including only 1-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think San Antonio's depth and resolve keeps it in this game late; grab the points! | |||||||
12-16-19 | Eastern Illinois v. Western Illinois +2 | Top | 85-47 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on Western Illinois. EIU claimed a 68-66 OT win over WIU last year. Suffice it to say, I think that revenge is a dish best served cold. The Panthers come in a 5-4, while the Leathernecks are 2-7. EIU averages 78.3 PPG, but defense has been a liability. WIU comes in off a hard-fought 90-86 loss to Evansville, but I think it carries that momentum over here as it looks to break the three game slide in this series. Key Trends: - WIU is 4-0 ATS in its last four as an undredog. - WIU is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with a winning SU record. - EIU is only 2-5 ATS in its last seven on the road. The verdict: Clearly I think the outright is going to happen, but let's grab the points! | |||||||
12-15-19 | Bills +1.5 v. Steelers | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 35 h 33 m | Show | |
My 9* DESTROYER is on the Bills. These teams play similar styles, but I think that the Bills have a much better QB in place in Josh Allen, over Steelers third-stringer Devlin Hodges. Hodges had 147 yards and a TD last week vs. the Cardinals, but I believe the Steelers' offense will struggle to do anything today vs. a Bills' defense which is conceding only 16.3 PPG. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh is interestingly just 1-4 ATS in its last five after posting less than 150 passing yards in its previous game. - Buffalo is 6-0-1 ATS in its last seven on the road. - The Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last six as a road dog. The verdict: Look for Allen to be the key to our victory today; play on the Bills! | |||||||
12-15-19 | 76ers -4.5 v. Nets | Top | 89-109 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Philadelphia 76ers. I almost never "flip flop" on a team, where I play on them one night, and then against them the next. There are some cases though where I throw that factor out the window and in this case, I believe it's absolutely warranted. The Nets came up short in Toronto last night and I believe they'll have their hands full with a 76ers team that beat the Celtics at home, handing them their first loss there and then continued to push with a convincing home victory over the Pelicans. Tobias Harris is averaging 24.4 PPG in December, while Joel Embiid had 38 points in the victory at Boston. Key Trends: - Brooklyn is a terrible 5-12 ATS in its last 17 when playing the second game of a back to back. - Philly is 8-4 ATS vs. clubs with winning records this season. - The 76ers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten off a home victory. The verdict: The 76ers got the monkey off their back in a big way in dispelling the myth that they can't win on the road and I believe this early December momentum (4-1 ATS so far this month) continues; lay the points! | |||||||
12-15-19 | Texans v. Titans -3 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -102 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Titans. Houston is 8-5. Tennessee is 8-5. Two teams enter, only one will leave with a victory. This is obviously a big game. Momentum is a big part of sports success and right now, the Titans have a ton of it. The Texans on other hand have been floundering of late. Suffice it to say, I expect both these trends to continue over in a big way here. Houston lost 38-24 at home to Denver last weekend, while Tennessee enters having won four in a row behind the resurgent play of QB Ryan Tannehill. Key Trends: - Tennessee is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five as a favorite. - Houston is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The verdict: I think Tannehill is playing as good or better than Texans' QB DeShaun Watson. However, I like the Titans in every other aspect here and that makes the home side the correct call for sure; lay the short points! | |||||||
12-14-19 | Nets +7.5 v. Raptors | Top | 102-110 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Brooklyn Nets. Brooklyn's won eight of its last 11 games, seemingly playing a lot better without Kyrie Irving in the line-up. However after winning three in a row, the Nets come to Canada off a loss at home to Charlotte. A date vs. the suddenly floundering Raptors is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked as well, as the defending champs have lost four of their last five. Spencer Dinwiddie led the Nets with 24 points, game-high six assists, and five rebounds in a losing cause vs. the Hornets last time out. The Raptors have only allowed 105.5 PPG, but the Nets are averaging 112.4 PPG this season. Key Trends: - Brooklyn is 7-1 ATS in its last eight after a SU loss. - Toronto is a terrible 0-5 ATS this season when playing with two days rest. The verdict: Teams are throing everything they have at the defending champs, who continue to slide back into mediocrity. Outright upset? Possible, but in the end I'll recommend to grab the points! | |||||||
12-14-19 | Evansville v. Green Bay -2 | Top | 72-62 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Wisconsin Green Bay. Evansville has the better record at 7-3, but 3-6 Wisconsin Green Bay is favored slightly at home in this one. And for good reason in my estimation as I look for the Phoenix to take advantage of familiar surroundings and to post a big and much needed win in front of the home town crowd. The Purple Aces average 80.6 PPG, but they concede 78.1. Yes they're 2-0 on the road, but now they face a Green Bay team that returns home hungry after a four-game road trip. The Phoenix are 2-1 at home so far. Key Trends: - The Purple Aces are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine off a home win by ten points or more. - The Phoenix are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 as a home favorite of six points or less or pick. The verdict: After defeating Kentucky in their second game of the year, I believe that the Purple Aces are vastly over-rated and will continue to be so. They're horrible defensively and I think they stumble here vs. this hungry home side; lay the short points! | |||||||
12-13-19 | Colorado v. Colorado State +5.5 | Top | 56-48 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Colorado State. I think the 7-2 Colorado Buffalos will have their hands full with the 7-5 Colorado State Rams. CSU comes in off a win, while Colorado enters off two straight losses. Most recently the Buffs fell 79-76 to Northern Iowa. Tyler Bey leads the way for Colorado with 13 points, 11 boards and 2.1 assists per game. CSU is led by Nico Carvacho with 13.3 points, 9.9 boards and 2.2 assists per night. Carvacho had 12 points in his team's most recent 72-68 home win over South Dakota State. Key Trends: - The Rams are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600. - The Buffaloes are 13-37-1 ATS in their last 51 road games. The verdict: The Rams are not a push over this year and they come in off a confidence building victory which I believe gets carried over here. The outright is possible, but let's grab up the points! | |||||||
12-13-19 | Lakers v. Heat +5.5 | Top | 113-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Miami Heat. The Lakers have won three straight vs. Miami, including a victory at home by 15 points as 8 point favorites earlier this season. Miami has also lost two in a row at home to LA. Enough is enough and revenge is definitely a dish best served cold. Clearly it wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for The King and AD to win this contest, as the Lakers rank among the best on both ends of the court. But Miami is 11-0 SU on its home floor, including 9-2 ATS. A visit from LBJ will have everyone on high alert here. I think the Heat's depth and their home floor advantage will at the very least, keep them in this one until the final moments. Key Trends: - LA is still just 14-20 ATS in its last 34 as a road favorite. - Miami is 25-15 ATS in its last 40 after allowing 115 points or more in its previous contest (including 2-0 ATS this season.) The verdict: This is going to be a battle until the final horn; grab the points! | |||||||
12-12-19 | Jets +16.5 v. Ravens | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -125 | 86 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the New York Jets. I'll be the first to tell you that LaMar Jackson is deserving of the MVP award this year. The dynamic QB continues to set the league on fire and now his team is starting to play better on the defensive side of the ball as well. But the Jets have won four of five after last week's 21-20 win over Miami. In that contest, RB Le'Veon Bell did not play, but he's ready to go tonight. New York' QB Sam Darnold has looked brilliant one week and pretty ordinary the next, but the pivot is playing his best of the season right now, going for nine major scores and just two picks over his last five games. The Jets have to run the table to earn a wild card spot, so tonight's contest is "do or die" for New York. Key Trends: - The Jets are 6-2 ATS in their last eightafter two or more consecutive losses vs. the spread. - The Ravens are only 8-15 ATS in their last 23 at home (including just 2-4 ATS this season.) The verdict: I believe the "hungrier" team throws a big scare into the entitled home side; grab the points! | |||||||
12-12-19 | 76ers +1.5 v. Celtics | Top | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* U of the U is on the Philadelphia 76ers. The Celtics are 10-0 at home, but I think that run of success finally gets derailed here by division leading Philadelphia. The Celtics played (and lost) in Indiana just last night and while they also suffered a loss in Philly earlier in the year, I think that Kemba Walker and the home side come in "gassed." The C's are also likely to be without Gordon Hayward in the line-up after he was injured last night. Philadelphia on the other hand has admittedly been much better at home than on the road this year, but what better opportunity than right now to turn that around? Off a 97-92 win at home over the Nuggets, I think Philadelphia is going to find a way here. Key Trends: - Philly is 21-10 ATS in its last 31 as a road dog of six points or less (including 3-2 ATS this year.) - The C's are only already just 3-5 ATS this year after covering in threee of their last four ATS. The verdict: An injured Hayward. A tired Kemba Walker. A 76ers tam that's desperate to shake its label of unable to perform on the road. If not now, when for Philly? Grab the points! | |||||||
12-11-19 | Pelicans +13.5 v. Bucks | Top | 112-127 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG play is on the New Orleans Pelicans. New Orleans has talent and potential, but so far that hasn't translated into too much for the team. Milwaukee continues to roll along, but I think the home side will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. Yes the Bucks are 11-1 SU at home this season, but note that they're just 12-12 ATS overall this year. Milwaukee comes in off a 110-101 win over Orlando. The Pelicans came into the season injured, with rookie phenom Zion Williamson shelved because of a knee injury. The impact of his loss is still felt, as role players are being asked to do something they weren't originally expected to. New Orleans enters on a nine-game losing streak and it's led by Brandon Ingram, with 24.9 PPG. The Pelicans are coming off a heart-breaking 105-103 loss at home to the Pistons. Key Trends: - New Orleans is 27-15 ATS in its last 32 following a SU home loss. - Milwaukee is only 11-12 ATS as a favorite. - The Bucks are just 12-15 ATS in their last 27 after two or more consecutive home wins (including only 1-3 ATS this season.) The verdict: On paper and on the floor the Bucks are the better team. But a nine game losing streak is a big motivating factor and playing the team's best will only bring out the best in this underdog side in my opinion. No outright, but closer than expected; grab all these points! | |||||||
12-11-19 | Cornell +11.5 v. Colgate | Top | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Cornell. The Cornell Big Red are just 1-7 and the Colgate Raiders are 6-4. The Big Red though won't be lacking for motivation as they attempt to snap a seven-game skid, including four losses by three points or less, vs. the reigning Patriot champion. Keep your eyes on Jimmy Boeheim, who is averaging team bests of 19.5 points and 6.8 rebounds for Cornell, numbers that raise to 23.3 ppg. and 12.0 rpg over the last three. Colgate is 5-0 at home, but it comes in off a 93-82 OT loss at Niagara, which snapped a five-game win streak. How will the Raiders respond? I think another letdown is imminent. Key Trends: - Cornell is 7-2 ATS in its last nine following a five games or more unbeaten streak. - Colgate is just 10-12 ATS in its last 22 following an OT loss of ten points or more. The verdict: I think the Big Red match up well here; grab the points! | |||||||
12-10-19 | Nuggets +4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 92-97 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Denver Nuggets. Denver won this game at home 100-97. I think the Nuggets matchup well vs. the 76ers overall and I expect another contest which comes right down to the wire. The revenge factor gets thrown out the window here in my opinion, as Denver simply won't be taking anything for granted after a two-game skid. Philly's a bit satisfied as well at 17-7 and on a two-game win streak. But not only does it set up as a "letdown" spot in my opinion, but how could it also not be viewed as a "look-ahead" spot as well, with a game vs. the Celtics in Boston up next, the team with a .5 game lead in the Atlantic Division. A "letdown/look-ahead" = trap in my books. Key Trends: - Denver is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 after two or more SU losses. - Philadelphia is already only 1-3 ATS this year after scoring 110 points or more in two straight games. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, grab the points! | |||||||
12-10-19 | Louisville v. Texas Tech +7.5 | Top | 57-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on Texas Tech. The mighty 9-0 Louisville Cardinals are going to have a fight from start to finish on their hands here from the 5-3 Texas Tech Red Raiders in my estimation. Texas Tech has lost three straight, so clearly it'll be desperate for a win here and what better opponent to try and pull the upset against? Louisville averages 77.1 PPG and it concedes 57.6. Eight different players hit a three-pointer in the Cardinals most recent win over Pittsburgh. Texas Tech most recently lost 65-60 in OT to DePaul (Terrence Shannon Jr. was a bright spot in a losing cause with 24 points.) Note though that Texas Tech hasn't lost four straight non-conference games since 1991. Overall the Red Raiders average 79 PPG and concede 65.1. Key Trends: - Louisville is just 14-18 ATS in its last 32 non-confernece games (including only 3-4 ATS this season.) - Texas Tech is 21-15 ATS in its last 36 non-conference contests. The verdict: I think the home side matches up well and I think its determination bridges the gaps; that said, grab the points! | |||||||
12-09-19 | Giants +10.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 34 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* WINNER is on the New York Giants. Can the Giants win this one outright? Anything's possible of course, but I don't think it's likely. That said, with extended time off and with one last chance to prove himself, I think that Giants' veteran QB Eli Manning has an effecient enough game to keep his team in this one late. Manning has a lot to play for here, not only pride but with a chance to put the final nail in the coffin of the Eagles' playoff hopes. Manning has 566 passing yards, two TD's and two INT's this year in his limited time. Philly doesn't allow many rushing yards (91), but keep your eyes on RB Saquon Barkley all the same, as he has 544 rushing yards and two TD's this year. Philly has Washington on the road next weekend, followed by a home game vs. Dallas and then on the road vs. these very Giants to finish it off. Can Carson Wentz and the home side stay focussed on the task at hand? Key Trends: - New York is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 as a road dog. - The Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six after scoring 17 points or less in two straight games. - The Eagles are 0-3 ATS in their last three as a home favorite in the 7.5 to ten points range. The verdict: Bengals' QB Andy Dalton responded with a big game in his first game back after being benched and I think that Manning has the same effort here; that said, grab the points! | |||||||
12-08-19 | Chiefs v. Patriots -2.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -135 | 102 h 16 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Patriots. KC beat Oakland 40-9 last week, but I think the Chiefs will have their hands full with a Patriots team coming off a listless 28-22 setback to the Texans. The annual parade of Tom Brady nay-sayers is out in full force now that the Pats' offense has been pretty lacklustre over the last month or so. Both teams are loaded with talent on both sides of the ball, but I don't think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor today. Key Trends: - KC is only 9-10 ATS in its last 19 vs. teams with winning records (including only 2-3 ATS this season.) - NE is 8-2 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite of seven points or less. The verdict: This is a spot in which Brady and New England have dominated in over the years and with their backs against the wall, I look for them to deliver in front of the home town crowd; lay the short points! | |||||||
12-08-19 | Broncos v. Texans -9 | 38-24 | Loss | -115 | 99 h 52 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Houston Texans. Houston is 8-4 and still looking for more as it tries to lock down a playoff spot. Denver is coming off a 23-20 win over the hapless Chargers, but at 4-8 it literally has less than a 1 percent chance of making the playoffs. The Texans are firing on all cylinders in winning four of their last five. QB DeShaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins are both ranked in the Top 5 in their respective positions. The defense catches a break here as well facing a Denver unit which has struggled with offensive consistency all year. Key Trends: - Denver is just 8-14 ATS in its last 22 on the road. - The Broncos are only 7-9 ATS in their last 16 vs. teams with winning reocrds. The verdict: With tough upcoming games to end the year, this is a contest which the Texans can ill afford to look past. Lay the points, expect a rout! | |||||||
12-08-19 | 49ers v. Saints -2.5 | Top | 48-46 | Loss | -107 | 99 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the New Orleans Saints. The 49ers are now 10-2 after falling 20-17 to Baltimore last week. San Francisco faces a 10-2 Saints team which enters off a big 26-18 victory over Atlanta. In the early going all the talk has been about the 49ers' defensive play, which has been pretty good for the most part this season. But note that the Saints are actually fourth in the league in sacks with 40 so far this year. New Orleans has also scored at least 26 points in ts last three games, with QB Drew Brees throwing for 726 yards and seven TD's in that span. Key Trends: - The 49ers are only 1-4 ATS in their last five off a road cover where it lost SU as an underdog. - The Saints are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 off a road victory (including 3-1 ATS this year.) The verdict: I think San Francisco stumbles in this difficult road venue; lay the short points! | |||||||
12-08-19 | Bengals +10 v. Browns | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 99 h 51 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Bengals. The Bengals would love nothing more than to play spoiler on the Browns here, as another loss will essentially be the nail in the coffin as far as their playoff hopes are concerned. Cleveland is 5-7 and Cincinnati is 1-11. The Bengals destroyed the Jets 22-6 last week for their first win of the year and after that impressive performance on both sides of the ball, I look for them to carry that momentum over here. Last week the Browns lost 20-13 to the Steelers and I think they struggle once again with consistency on both sides of the ball. Key Trends: - The Bengals are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 as a road dog (including 4-1 ATS this season.) - The Browns are only 9-11 ATS in their last 20 at home (including only 2-3 ATS this year.) The verdict: I like Bengals' veteran QB Andy Dalton to severely outplay Browns' QB Baker Mayfield and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to this one coming down to the wire; grab the points! | |||||||
12-07-19 | Cleveland State +18.5 v. Kent State | Top | 59-81 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* D vs G is on Cleveland State. Am I predicting an outright upset for the 4-5 Cleveland State Vikings vs. the 7-1 Kent State Golden Flashes? I'm not. I simply feel that Kent will get caught looking past this hungry Vikings team. Most recently the Flashes beat Detroit 92-57. Cleveland State won't be rolling over here. Note that the Vikings had won three in a row before losing at home to Toledo 80-65 on Wednesday. The Vikings' offense has been better of late, topping 65 points in their last three games, led by Algevon Eichelberger, who averages in double figures. Key Trends: - Cleveland State is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 off a home loss. - Kent State is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine off a home win scoring 85 or more points in the process. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team keeps this one more competitive that what this spread is suggesting; grab the points! | |||||||
12-07-19 | Miami-OH v. Central Michigan -6.5 | 26-21 | Loss | -118 | 99 h 34 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on CMU. The Redhawks won't be able to keep pace with the Chips in my opinion down the stretch. CMU has won six of its last six, including destroying Toledo 49-7 this past weekend. Miami on the other hand lost to Ball State 41-27 to close out its regular season at 7-5. I think Chips' senior QB Quentin Dormady is a difference maker here. He enters on top form, having posted 250 passing yards in each of his past five games. RedHawks' QB Brett Gabbert has passed for under 150 yards in three straight games. Key Trends: - Miami Ohio is only just 2-6 ATS in its last eight off a road loss. - CMU is 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU win by 20 points or more. The verdict: Detroit is only a two hour drive from Pleasant Hill, so the Chips will have a sizeable "home field" advantage. I think the experience that senior Dormady brings to the table wins the day; lay the points! | |||||||
12-07-19 | UL-Lafayette +7 v. Appalachian State | Top | 38-45 | Push | 0 | 99 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* play is on Lafayette. To say this is a "revenge" game would be an understatement, as App State has won seven straight in this series (is 4-3 ATS in those games.) UL Lafayette held on for a win over UL Monroe last week, with QB Levi Lewis going for 270 yards and three TD's. I think he'll have enough to keep his team in this one late. And he'll of course be leaning heavily on a run game which averages a whopping 274 YPG this season, led by Raymond Calais. The Mountaineers like to run the ball as well behind the strong play of Darrynton Evans. QB Zack Thomas though has also been great, with ten TD's and no picks over his last three games. Key Trends: - The Cajuns are 4-1 ATS in their last five as a road dog of seven points or less. - Louisiana Lafayette is 4-0 ATS in its last four in revenging an upset loss against an opponent as the favorite. - App State is an unimpressive 3-3 ATS at home this year. The verdict: App State smashed UL Lafayette in the 2018 Sun Belt Championship game by 49 points. Look for the Cajuns to keep this one competitive until the very end; grab the points! | |||||||
12-06-19 | Lakers v. Blazers +3.5 | Top | 136-113 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Blazers. LA lost at home to the Mavericks, but it comes in off back-to-back road victories. I think The King and company come up short here though vs. a suddenly red hot Blazers team which has won four of five, behind some great play from Carmelo Anthony. Key Trends: - The Lakers are a poor 12-20 ATS in their last 32 as a road favorite (including 3-5 ATS this season.) - Portland is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 as a home dog. The verdict: I like Portland's depth at home to be the difference. Outright? Very possible, but in the end let's grab the points! | |||||||
12-05-19 | Cowboys v. Bears +3 | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 60 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Chicago Bears. This line has fluctuated from 2.5 to 3 throughout the week. I have 2.5. I think the Bears will win this one outright, but I'm going to grab the points in what should be a competitive battle until the end. Dallas got throughouly beatdown by the Bills at home on Thanksgiving. The offense wasn't horrible, as Prescott had 355 passing yars, but I believe the pivot takes a step back on the short week and at chilly Soldier Field. Chicago on the other hand won 24-20 over Detroit on Thanksgiving Day, coming from behind to win. QB Mitchell Trubisky finally showed some signs of life and I don't think there's any reason he won't carry that momentum over here. Key Trends: - The Cowboys are just 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. the NFC North. - Dallas is only 3-4 ATS in its last seven after a loss by ten points or more. - Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last seven as a home underdog. The verdict: The Bears HAVE to win this one to keep pace in their division, while Dallas enters with a one game lead in the NFC East. I like Trubisky to outplay Prescott, but that said, let's grab the points! | |||||||
12-05-19 | Oklahoma v. North Texas +6 | Top | 82-80 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on UNT. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. | |||||||
12-05-19 | 76ers v. Wizards +7 | Top | 113-119 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* ANNIHILATOR is on the Washington Wizards. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. | |||||||
12-04-19 | Kings +3 v. Blazers | Top | 116-127 | Loss | -104 | 30 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on the Sacramento Kings. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. | |||||||
12-04-19 | Tulane v. Southern Miss | 61-56 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 22 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Southern Miss. USM returns from the Bahamas hungry for a win in this rivalry game. The Golden Eagles though return home battle tested, having already played heavyweights No. 7 Gonzaga, No. 13 Seton Hall and Alabama in consecutive nights. One player to watch out for for the home side is LaDavius Draine, who had back-to-back double digit games to open the Bahama tournament. Tulane was only 4-27 last year, but first year head coach Ron Hunter has the Green Wave looking like a completely different team in the early going, thanks in large part to some key transfers. That said, I think Tulane will get caught off guard here from this hungry home side. Key Trends: - Tulane is just 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road favorite. - The Green Wave a terrible 1-6 ATS in their last seven off a home win by ten points or more. - Southern Miss is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a home dog of three points or less or pick. The verdict: Clearly the outright is in the cards here, but let's grab the points! | |||||||
12-04-19 | VMI +18 v. Duquesne | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on VMI. I think the 6-0 Duquesne Dukes get caught looking past their lowly opponent tonight. The VMI Keydets though come in under the radar here, as they've quietly won three of their last four. These teams haven't played since 2017 and the Dukes scored the 77-61 win. Duquesne is riding high after big wins over Indiana State, Air Force and Loyola Marymount in the Junkanoo Jam in Bihimi. Key Trends: - VMI is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the +18.5 to +24 points range. - Duquesene is only 9-13 ATS in its last 22 as a home favorite. The verdict: VMI had three losses by three or fewer points in its first five games, so its win/loss record could in fact be a lot better. No outright, but considering everything I believe that this is far too many points to be giving up to the Keydets; grab the points! | |||||||
12-04-19 | Western Illinois +10.5 v. Evansville | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Western Illinois. Western Illinois' two-game win streak came to an end vs. KC last time out, falling 68-67. That was after being down by as many as 18 in the firs thalf. Ben Pyle scored a game-high 21 points in a losing cause. I think the Leathernecks carry that momentum over here though as they try to score their five ever SU victory over Evansville. Four starters are averaging double figures for the visitors though: Kobe Webster (16.3 PPG), Zion Young (15.4), Ben Pyle (12.7), C.J. Duff (10.8) Key Trends: - Note that five of WIU's games have been decided by seven points or less this year. - The Purple Aces are just 2-4 ATS this season as a favorite. - Evansville is only 1-3 ATS this season vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: I believe the Purple Aces are going overlook their lowly, but hungry opponent today; grab the points! | |||||||
12-03-19 | Magic v. Wizards -1 | Top | 127-120 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Washington Wizards. The Magic are 8-11 this year and the Wizards are 6-12. I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a deciding factor in this particular contest though. Orlando comes in off a rare/tough win at home over the rudder-less Warriors. Washington ended its road trip with a blowout loss to the Clippers. The Wizards though have been much better at home this season, led by guard Bradley Beal, who is averaging 28.0 points and 7.3 assists per game. Orlando has been better at home as well. Big man Nikola Vucevic is still slowly working his way back from a severe sprained ankle as well. Key Trends: - Orlando is just 16-21 ATS in its last 36 as a road dog of six points or less (including only 1-4 ATS this year.) - The Wizards are 4-2 ATS in their last six at home. - Washington is a perfect 2-0 ATS vs. the division this season. The verdict: The high-scoring and defensively inept home side catches a break here facing this "on again, off again" Magic offense; lay the short points! | |||||||
12-02-19 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-37 | Loss | -108 | 38 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* BLOOD-BATH is on the Vikings. I think "revenge" works as an angle here as Minnesota has lost five straight in this series. The Vikes have had a week off to prepare for this one though. With the Lions, Chargers, Packers and Bears stil to go, this is clearly a game that the Vikes can't let slip away. Seattle allows 282 passing yards per game and Vikes' QB Kirk Cousins has been "lights out" this year, with 21 TD's and three INT's to go along with 2,756 passing yards. The Vikes allow 268 passing yards and only 94.2 rushing. I think Wilson is going to have a difficult time moving the ball effeciently today vs. this top ranked defensive unit. Key Trends: - The Vikes are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 after losing a contest ATS (including 3-1 ATS this year.) - The Hawks are only 5-10 ATS in their last 15 as a home favorite (including just 1-4 ATS this season.) The verdict: In a contest which I see coming "down to the wire," let's grab the points! | |||||||
12-02-19 | Miami-FL +8 v. Illinois | Top | 81-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Miami Florida. This is part of the annual ACC-Big Ten Challenge. This is a big game for the Hurricanes who are 0-3 vs. Top 100 teams to open the season. Miami has allowed 79 PPG over its last two losses, but overall the defense has been decent. Overall Miami is averaging 62.3 PPG. The Illini average 88.3 PPG in the earliy going, but that's largely been due to the level of competition. Key Trends: - Miami is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as a road dog or pick - Illinois is just 10-14 ATS in its last 24 as a home favorite or pick. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team will at the very least, find a way to keep this one competitive late; grab the points! | |||||||
12-01-19 | Patriots v. Texans +3.5 | 22-28 | Win | 100 | 32 h 11 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Houston Texans. The Patriots are 10-1, but they've faced some pathetic competition this year. Pats' QB Tom Brady is only averaging 5.6 YPA over his last four games. Houston comes in off a win over the Colts and is in dire need of another victory here to keep pace for the Wild Card. Also note that it's been reported that several NE defensive players have the flu this week. Key Trends: - Houston is 4-0 ATS in its last four off a no ATS cover where it happen to also win SU as the favorite. - NE is only 1-3 ATS in its last four off a home no cover where it won SU as the favorite. The verdict: I think Brady finally gets exposed here and while I wouldn't be shocked by the outright upset, in the end I'm grabbing the points. | |||||||
12-01-19 | 49ers v. Ravens -5.5 | 17-20 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Baltimore Ravens. The 49ers have struggled this year vs. mobile QB's, including in the slim win over the Cardinals earlier in the year. The 49ers defense has been great, but note that San Fran has actually conceded at least 25 points in three of its past four games. Jimmy Garropolo has looked brilliant at times this year, but also very pedestrian in others. The Ravens' defense looked shaky to begin the season, but the unit has quietly been dominating over the last month, making DeShaun Watson, Tom Brady and Jared Goff all look very ordinary. And what more can be said about Ravens' QB Lamar Jackson which hasn't already been said by a million talking heads out there? Jackson continues to put up huge numbers and I think he'll continue that torrid pace in this important home game. Key Trends: - Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last five following a SU win. - 49ers are interestingly just 1-4 ATS in their last five off a home blowout win by 21 points or more. The verdict: I think this West Coast team stumbles in this difficult East coast venue; lay the points! | |||||||
12-01-19 | Titans v. Colts | 31-17 | Loss | -117 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Indianapolis Colts. The Titans destroyed the hapless Jaguars 42-20 last week, but I think they'll take a step back here in this difficult road venue vs. a Colts team on the rebound after a 20-17 setback to the Texans last Thursday. With extra time off to prepare, I don't think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor today. Indianpolis won 19-17 in Tennessee earlier in the year and note that the Titans are just 1-10 in their last 11 in this building overall. Key Trends: - Tennessee is just 9-13 ATS In its last 22 on the road (including only 2-3 ATS this year.) - The Titans are a poor 3-5 ATS in their last eight after a victory by 14 points or more (including 0-2 ATS this season.) - Indianapolis is 6-0 ATS in its last six as a home favorite of three points or less (including 3-0 ATS this year.) The verdict: Look for the Colts' defense to step up here and take Titans' backup QB Ryan Tannehill down a notch after last week's big performance; lay the short points! | |||||||
12-01-19 | Eagles v. Dolphins +11 | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Miami Dolphins. The Eagles are on the ropes after their 19-7 loss to the Seahawks last weekend. With a chance to finish off their opponents playoff chances, I think the Dolphins use that as motivation today to keep this contest closer than what this spread would suggest. Eagles' QB Carson Wentz doesn't have a lot to work with this season, so his team's offense issues aren't entirely his fault. Miami QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has 1,901 passing yards with ten TD's and ten INT's and I think he'll be able to match Wentz's performance today no problem. If not surpass it. Key Trends: - The Eagles are a terrible 7-11 ATS in their last 18 as a favorite in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range (including just 1-2 ATS this season.) - The Dolphins are a perfect 2-0 ATS in their last two as a home dog in the 7.5 to 14 points range. The verdict: The Eagles have admittedly gotten more out of this line-up in the last two year's than I could have expected, but I think it finally completely unravels this weekend in Mimai (that said, grab the points!) | |||||||
12-01-19 | Jets v. Bengals +3.5 | 6-22 | Win | 100 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
My 10* play is on the Cincinnati Bengals. I said it before and I'll say it again, I don't think that the Bengals are going to go winless this year. 0-11 Cincinnati has a great opportunity to finally get off the schneid at home though vs. the inconsistent 4-7 Jets. New York comes in off a satisfying 34-3 win over the Raiders. The Bengals lost 16-10 to the Steelers last time out. Andy Dalton finally returns under center for the Bengals and I think he'll be the difference maker here. Key Trends: - The Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven as a favorite (including 0-2 ATS this year.) - New York is only 7-13 ATS in its last 20 on the road (including only 2-3 ATS this season.) - The Bengals are still 17-10 ATS in their last 27 as an underdog. The verdict: All good things must come to an end. And in this case, I believe the Bengals' horrible losing streak does in fact end today. That said though, let's grab the points! | |||||||
12-01-19 | Browns -1 v. Steelers | 13-20 | Loss | -119 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Cleveland Browns. It's a big game for these two division rivals, as the winner will continue its quest for a playoff wild card, while the other's season will essentially come to an end (barring a run of a lifetime, combined with many other external factors working in its favor). The Browns beat the Steelers at home two weeks ago and they won last week as well. With a victory today the Browns will have an identical record with Pittsburgh. The Browns' defensive play of late is the difference maker for me, as over the last three games they've allowed 15.7 PPG. And that's bad news for Steelers' rookie QB Devlin Hodges, who I think is being thrown to the wolves in this fierce rivarly. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh is interestingly just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 after playing a game on the road (including just 1-2 ATS this year.) - The Browns are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 vs. divisional opponents, including 2-0 ATS this season. The verdict: Cleveland is finally starting to play up to its potential and I look for it to hammer the Steelers here on their home turf; lay the short points! | |||||||
11-30-19 | Colorado +29 v. Utah | 15-45 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 16 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Colorado. Colorado has won two in a row, including a 20-14 win at home over Washington as a double-digit dog last weekend. At 5-6, the Buffs need just one more monumental upset to become eligible. Colorado' QB Steven Montez has 15 TD's and ten INT's, but he's been sharp over the last two games and I think he'll keep his team competitive here. Utah is head to the Pac 12 Championship game despite what happens here today. So am I calling for an outright upset? No I am not. Utes' QB Tyler Huntley and company will cruise to victory here, but I believe they'll have a fight on their hands until the final moments. Key Trends: - Colorado is 3-1 ATS in its last four after allowing 14 points or less in its previous game. - Utah is just 1-4 ATS in its last five off a double-digit road win. The verdict: I think the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing how well Montez is playing right now; grab the points! | |||||||
11-30-19 | UL-Monroe +20.5 v. UL-Lafayette | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 78 h 16 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Louisiana Monroe. The Warhawks have won two of three, including their last game vs. Coastal Carolina to improve to 5-6. The Warhawks will battle tooth and nail here to try and become eligible. Louisiana Lafayette is 9-2 and it comes in off a victory over Troy. The Warhawks play with revenge here though after losing this one at home 31-28 last season. Warhawks' QB Caleb Evans was particularly good in last week's win, finising with 346 yards, two TD's and an INT. After scoring 53 vs. Troy last weekend, I think that Levi Lewis and the Cajuns come in a bit complacent here. Key Trends: - Louisiana Monroe is interestingly 3-0 ATS in its last three off a close win by seven points or less over a conference rival. - Louisana Lafayette is 0-2 ATS in its last two as a home favorite in the 14.5 to 21 points range. The verdict: I'm not calling for an outright win, but everything points to a war until the end; grab the points! | |||||||
11-30-19 | North Carolina -8.5 v. NC State | Top | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 78 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* play is on UNC. NC State is going to try and play spoiler here to the 5-6 Tar Heels, but I think that UNC's depth on offense will prove to be too much for the now eliminated Wolfpack to handle down the stretch. The Tar Heels come in off a 56-7 win over Mercer last week. The Wolfpack have lost five straight and while the thought of playing "spoiler" is a nice one, I simply don't think it's going to matter in this particular instance. Outside of a two-point loss to GT last weekend, each of NC State's last four losses has come by at least two TD's. Key Trends: - UNC is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a road favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. - The Tar Heels are 2-0 ATS in their last two off a home victory by 17 points or more. - NC State is just 2-4 ATS in its last six off a road loss vs. a conference rival. The verdict: UNC QB Sam Howell has 32 TD passes this year. Expect Howell to destroy his over-matched competition today and lay the points with confidence! | |||||||
11-30-19 | Georgia v. Georgia Tech +28 | 52-7 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 47 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Georgia Tech I'm going to grab the points in the "Clean Old Fashioned Hate." Tech has beaten two ACC teams in NC State and Miami. Georgia is obviously one of the best teams in the country with a 10-1 record. The Dawgs need to win this game and then they'll be invited to the four team College Playoff. However, after winning five in a row and a big victory over Auburn, I think the Bulldogs get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. Georgia Tech is a team in transition, as it switches from the Triple Option offense. The Yellow Jackets have had varying success under first year head coach Geoff Collins. Am I calling for an outright upset of epic proportions? Of course not, I simply feel that Georgia will take its foot off the gas in the second half. Key Trends: - Georgia is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games, including just 2-3 ATS this season. - GT is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after playing a home game. The verdict: Look for the home side to open up the playbook and play until the final whistle sounds; as such, grab the points! | |||||||
11-29-19 | Mavs v. Suns +2 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Phoenix Suns. The Suns come in off a 140-132 loss to the Wizards and they're just 1-5 in their last six. Clearly the home side is going to be ultra motivated here to break the slide. Keep your eyes on Devin Booker, who leads the way for Phoenix with 24.9 PPG. Dallas looks better on paper, but after winning five straight, the Mavs' lack of depth was exposed as well recently in a humbling 114-99 setback to the Clippers. I believe another letdown is imminent here vs. this desperate home side. Key Trends: - The Mavs are interestingly already 0-3 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest. - Phoenix is 4-1 ATS this season following a SU home loss. The verdict: While the outright win is obviously not out of the question, let's grab the points! | |||||||
11-29-19 | Maple Leafs v. Sabres +1.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* PUCK-LINE ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the Sabres. This is the first time these clubs have met this year. Last season the Leafs swept all three games. Buffalo has lost five straight in this series, making the "revenge factor" a very real factor that has to be taken into consideration. Buffalo is desperate here as it's lost 11 of its last 13, including a hard-fought 3-2 OT decision to the Flames at home last time out. The Leafs have looked admittedly better since making a coaching change, but after a 6-0 defeat of the Red Wings on the road last time out, I think a preditable letdown is finally imminent in this afternoon contest. Key Trends: - Toronto is still just 4-7 (-5.1 units) this year after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest. - Buffalo is 8-6 (+2.6 units) this year vs. clubs with losing records. The verdict: I don't think the Sabres recent slide is a true representation of how good/bad they really are. And the same thing is true of Toronto's recent "up tick" in play in my opinion. Lay the price and grab the extra 1.5 goals of insurance! | |||||||
11-29-19 | Iowa v. Nebraska +6 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 74 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* play is on Nebraska. Iowa's 8-3 and it would love another win here to bolster its bowl bid. Nebraska though is completely desperate for one more victory, as it enters at 5-6. Iowa comes in off back-to-back victories over Minnesota and Illinois. The Cornhuskers have a balanced attack led by QB Nate Stanley. The Cornhuskers have lost four of their last five, but they kept their slim bowl chances alive with a victory over Maryland last weekend. Nebraska QB Adrian Martinez has had an up and down year, but he'll have his opportunities today vs. an Iowa defense which concedes 191 passing yards per contest. Key Trends: - Iowa is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 on the road. - The Hawkeyes are only 3-4 ATS in their last seven after a two-game home stand. - Nebraska is a perfect 2-0 ATS in its last two after scoring 50 points or more in its last game. The verdict: In a contest which I see coming down to whichever of these teams has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points! | |||||||
11-29-19 | Missouri -11.5 v. Arkansas | 24-14 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 8 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Missouri. Missouri enters off a tough 24-20 home loss to Tennessee. The Tigers are under a one game bowl suspension anyways, so this has become their "bowl" game this year, with Arkansas limping in with a 2-9 record. Missouri has to be liking its chances though, as it's won five of the last six in this series and gone 4-2 ATS in those contests. I think Tigers' QB Kelly Bryant is going to have a big day vs. this porous Arkansas secondary. Arkansas was destroyed 56-20 by LSU last weekend and uncertainty at the QB position has been the issue all year (eight different players have thrown a pass for the team this season.) Key Trends: - Missouri is interestingly 3-1 ATS in its last four after a loss by six points or less. - Arkansas is a terrible 0-2 ATS as a home dog this year. The verdict: Look for the angry Tigers to take out their frustrations on lowly Arkansas; lay the points! | |||||||
11-29-19 | Toledo v. Central Michigan -9 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 72 h 39 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on CMU. The Rockets are bowl eligible at 6-5. CMU is as well at 7-4. The Chips though can earn a much better bowl with an 8-4 record and I look for them to lay everything on the line in front of the home town crowd. The Rockets came out flat losing 49-30 to Buffalo last weekend, limited to jsut 154 rushing yards. CMU though comes in on top form having won five of its last six. The Chips come in off a hard-fought 45-44 win over Ball State last weekend, going into the break down 27-11. With a chance to move to 8-4, I think the home side carries over that second half momentum here. Key Trends: - The Chips are 5-0 ATS in their last five at home. - Toledo is just 1-5 ATS in its last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The verdict: CMU could have easily thrown in the towel last week, but clearly this is a team on a mission. Look for that to translate into another big win at home this weekend; lay the points! | |||||||
11-29-19 | Texas Tech v. Texas -9.5 | 24-49 | Win | 100 | 72 h 38 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Texas. Texas is eligible at 6-5, but a victory today would cement its bowl berth. The Red Raiders though are just 4-7 this season and a win won't matter for them at all today. Last year Texas won this game 41-34, but I believe the stage is set for a much bigger blowout victory this time around. Note that the Longhorns had a 17 point lead late in the fourth quarter in that one, before allowing Texas Tech to rally. Texas Tech lost 30-27 to K-State last Saturday and it enters this one with several injuries, including to RB Ta’Zhawn Henry (unknown) and WR Dalton Rigdon (concussion). Texas is also injured, but QB Sam Ehlinger, who has thrown for more than 200 yards in 11 straight games, is primed for a big day vs. this porous Red Raiders' secondary in my opinion. Key Trends: - Texas Tech is just 1-3 ATS in its last four off an upset loss as a favorite. - The Red Raiders are only 1-3 ATS in their last four off a close loss by six points or less. - Texas is 2-0 ATS in its last two after two or more consecutive SU setbacks. The verdict: I like Ehlinger to help the home side break its three game skid with a big win over their hated rival; lay the points! | |||||||
11-28-19 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -2.5 | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -109 | 56 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS on Mississippi State. Mississippi State has one last chance to become bowl eligible. At 5-6 the Bulldogs still need one more victory to earn a chance at a Bowl berth. Well, what better opponent than 4-7 Mississippi, who has now officially been eliminated from contention? The only two victories for the Rebels in conference play this year have come against the two worst teams (Vanderbilt and Arkansas.) Ole Miss just gave up 58 points to LSU and it struggles to put points on the board most weeks. MSU has had a difficult campaign as well, but with senior Tommy Stevens back under center, I think the home side delivers the goods in the Egg Bowl. Key Trends: - Ole Miss concedes 298.7 YPG through the air. - Mississippi State is still 15-6 ATS in its last 21 at home. The verdict: Ole Miss ranks among the absolute worst vs. the pass and I think Stevens is going to take full advantage; lay the short points! | |||||||
11-28-19 | Providence v. Long Beach State +17 | Top | 65-66 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING is on LBSU. Providence is 4-2, most recently defeating Merrimack 93-56. LBSU enters off a humbling 104-67 loss on the road in Arizona. The Friars average 80 and the 49ers allow 77. Key Trends: - However note that Providence is just 14-24 ATS in its last 28 as a favorite (including only 2-3 ATS this season). - The Friars are also a poor 3-6 ATS in their last nine after scoring 75 points or more in two straight games (including 0-2 ATS this year.) - LBSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six neutral court affairs. The verdict: The 49ers won't be going down without a fight here. LBSU has faced some tough opponents in the early going and I don't think it'll be intimiated here; grab the points! | |||||||
11-28-19 | Bears v. Lions +3 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -115 | 54 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* START-UP is on the Lions. Whether it's Jeff Driskel or David Blough under center for Detroit today, I think the home side takes the inconsistent Bears down to the wire (at the very least.) Does Mitchell Trubisky have the advantage at the QB position today over his counterparts? While Chicago did beat Detroit earlier in the year, it's gone 2-5 since, due in large part to an offense which averages just 17.1 PPG. Statistically these defenses are similar in many categories as well. Key Trends: - Chicago is just 1-3 ATS on the road this year. - The Bears are only 3-4 ATS in their last seven as a road favorite of seven points or less. - Detroit is interestingly 5-1 ATS in its last six after a loss by six points or less. The verdict: I think home field does matter in this one; grab the points! | |||||||
11-27-19 | Wolves v. Spurs -2 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the Spurs. The Wolves beat the Hawks last time out, while the Spurs fell to the Lakers. Minnesota broke the two-game slide with the 125-113 victory over ATL, but it was behind 65-64 at half time. The Spurs though are desperate for a win, as they've now lost nine of ten. Long story short here, I'm not going to over-react. The Spurs are loaded with vetrean talent and I expect this core to rally at home here today. The Wolves have not been playing great ball of late and I think they'll predictably stumble here. Key Trends: - Minnesota is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten vs. clubs which score more than 106 plus points per contest. - San Antonio is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. The verdict: Enough is enough! Look for Popovich and company to get the job done with a decisive effort; lay the short points! | |||||||
11-27-19 | Kings +9.5 v. 76ers | 91-97 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Sacramento Kings. This is the Kings third game in their last four days, the final of their four-game swing. Sacramento will be fired up here to finish up strong in my opinion and take down a vulnerable looking 76ers side which comes in off a humbling defeat in Canada. Most recently Sacramento fell 103-102 to Boston on Monday. Buddy Hield had 11 3-pointer in the setback. 76ers star Joel Embiid was held scoreless in his team's loss in Toronto. Key Trends: - Sacramento averages 105.3 PPG. - Philadelphia averages 109 PPG. The verdict: Sacramento is also 7-0 ATS in its last seven vs. non-conference opponents, while Philly is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with losing records. Sacramento is playing a lot better of late and it has five players averaging in double figures. This one has "battle" written all over it, grab the points! | |||||||
11-26-19 | Clippers -2 v. Mavs | Top | 114-99 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the LA Clippers. Both teams have won five in a row. Dallas has been riding the hot play Luka Doncic, while the Clippers have been getting the job done by committee. I believe Dallas is going to suffer a letdown here from the vastly "deeper" visiting side. Overall the Clippers average 114.2 PPG, while Dallas allows 109.9, while the Mavericks average 119.1, with the LA conceding 107.3. Key Trends: - LA is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 as a road favorite. - Dallas is only 4-5 ATS at home this season. The verdict: Doncic is unreal, but I think his supporting cast is in for a rude awakening here vs. LA's bench and tough defensive play; lay the short points and expect a decisive victory! | |||||||
11-26-19 | Western Michigan -7 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Western Michigan. Western Michigan is 7-4 and NIU is only 4-6. The Huskies need to sweep their remaining games to become eligible, but WMU is looking to better its bowl berth as well. I think the Mustangs deliver the knock out blow for the Huskies here though as they enjoy significant advantages both on the field of play and in the stats/trends. WMU needs to win this game have CMU lose this week to earn the MAC West title. WMU comes in out of its bye week as well, rested and focussed on the task at hand. The Huskies have lost two of their last three in blowout fashion, most recently a 45-17 home loss to EMU. Key Trends: - NIU is 0-4 ATS in its last four when playing on Tuesday. - WMU is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a favorite. The verdict: Expect the Mustangs' superior offense to be the difference in this one; lay the points with confidence! | |||||||
11-25-19 | 76ers +1 v. Raptors | Top | 96-101 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Philadelphia 76ers. So far Toronto has surprised me at how well its played this year without Kawhi Leonard. Philadelphia though would have had this game circled on the calendar for a long time though and I think the visitors depth and skill will prove to be just too much for Toronto to overcome here. Both teams sport similar win/loss records and offensive and defensive numbers. But after losing two of three in the regular season last year and also getting ousted in seven games in the Eastern Conference Finals, I look for the revenge minded 76ers to finally get off the schneid in this series. Key Trends: - Philly is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with winning records. - Toronto is a poor 31-37 ATS in its last 68 after scoring 110 points or more in three straight games. The verdict: "Revenge" is a dish best served cold; play on Philadelphia! | |||||||
11-25-19 | Alabama State +27 v. VCU | Top | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 26 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Alabama State. Alabama State faces its second straight ranked opponent here today, most recently taking on Tennessee, both contests part of the Emerald Coast Classic. Alabama State has also faced Gonzaga this year, so to say its "battle tested" in the early going would be a big understatement. Tobi Ewuosho leads Alabama State in scoring at 14.8 points per game. VCU is 5-0 and it already has a win over then No. 23 LSU by a score of 84-82. The Rams also just posted a 30-point victory over Florida Gulf Coast. However with a game against Purdue on Friday, I think the Rams get caught looking past their opponent today. Key Trends: - VCU is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a 25 points or more favorite following a four-games or more unbeaten streak. The verdict: I like Alabama State to keep this one competitive until the final moments; grab the points! | |||||||
11-25-19 | Wright State v. Weber State +8.5 | 72-57 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
My 8* ANNIHILATOR is on Weber State. The Weber State Wildcats are 1-2 to open the year. Weber State lost to a couple of pretty good schools though in Utah State and San Diego, before then bouncing back with a 130-50 destruction of West Coast Baptist. This is the team's sixth straight seaosn in a preseason tournament. Wright State comes in off a less impressive 81-55 win over Urbana on Wednesday. I think Wright State will have its hands full here vs. a Weber State team picked to finish second in the Big Sky by the media this year. Key Trends: - Wright State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a favorite. - Weber State is 8-2 ATS in its last ten after playing two straight at home. The verdict: I think these teams are more evenly matched than what this spread would suggest; grab the points! | |||||||
11-24-19 | Packers v. 49ers -3 | 8-37 | Win | 100 | 29 h 43 m | Show | |
My 8* ROUT is on the 49ers. San Fran is 9-1 and Green Bay is 8-2. Green Bay beat the Panthers two weeks ago, but I think it'll struggle here after its bye week. San Francisco's road ahead becomes very difficult, making this a very important home game. Key Trends: - The Packers are a poor 6-13 ATS in their last 19 after a SU win. - The 49ers are 3-0 ATS this year in all games when the line is set between +3 and -3. The verdict: As stated above, I think the time off will in fact hurt the Pack here, while I expect the home side to return to form; lay the points! | |||||||
11-24-19 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg +4 | Top | 12-33 | Win | 100 | 27 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* SIDE OF THE MONTH is on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Since taking over as QB for the Blue Bombers, QB Zach Collaros has won all three of his starts and posted a 109.1 passer rating, while also 9.2 yards per attempt. Combined with the CFL's number 1 rushing game, which averages 148 per contest, I think the Bombers have a legitimate shot at winning this contest outright. Dane Evans took over as QB for the Ti-Cats in Week 8 and the team never looked back. The Bombers have the second best run defense in CFL history, conceding just 64.2 YPG. The Ticats love to air it out, but a one-dimensional offense on the biggest stage isn't going to get the job done in my opinion. Key Trends: - Winnipeg is 8-1 ATS as an underdog this year. - The Blue Bombers are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, including 6-2 ATS this season. The verdict: In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. | |||||||
11-24-19 | Jaguars v. Titans -3.5 | Top | 20-42 | Win | 100 | 24 h 28 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the Titans. The Jags come in off a loss to Indianapolis, while the Titans come in off their bye week. Jacksonville welcomed back QB Nick Foles last week, but the offense only put up 13 points. Tennessee on the other hand scored a huge win over the Chiefs before its bye week and it's still now very much back in the playoff hunt with QB Ryan Tannehill under center. Key Trends: - Jacksonville is 0-3 ATS in its last three off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more. - Tennessee is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a win by three points or less. The verdict: The Jags are in trouble as they continue to make changes at QB. Tennessee has had a week off to game plan and I expect it to execute; lay the points! | |||||||
11-24-19 | Broncos v. Bills -3.5 | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Bills. I like the Bills to lay the hammer down here. New England has a tough game at home vs. the Cowboys and if it does happen to falter, then Buffalo has a golden opportunity this weekend to make up some ground. Buffalo's schedule ahead is a difficult one as well, so this is a contest in which it simply can't "look ahead" in. Buffalo posted 424 yards of offense vs. the Dolphins last weekend. Denver came close to defeating the Vikings last weekend, but an epic second half collapse has the team still reeling from it on Sunday in my opinion. Rookie Brandon Allen will get the call under center for the Broncos and while he looked decent last week vs. the Vikes, I think he'll struggle in this difficult road venue and vs. this tough Buffalo defense. Key Trends: - The Broncos are only 2-8 ATS in their last ten off a non-conference game (including 0-2 ATS this season.) - The Bills are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 as a favorite. The verdict: Buffalo's defense is ranked third in the league and I expect it to play a pivotal role in a lop-sided home destruction; lay the points! | |||||||
11-24-19 | Giants v. Bears -6 | 14-19 | Loss | -101 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Chicago Bears. The Giants are coming out of their bye week and I think they'll struggle to get much production here vs. this hungry home side. Chicago comes in off a loss on the road to the Rams and essentially needs to win this game or its playoff hopes are done. New York QB Daniel Jones has shown some flashes of brilliance, but he's been poor for the most part, posting eight INT's and fumbling it 13 times already. Jones is getting little help in the run game either, as Saquon Barkley has only 402 rushing yards and two TD's in seven games. Yes Bears' QB Mitchell Trubisky has taken a step back this year, but he has a big opportunity this weekend to turn things around. While the offense has been more "miss" than "hit" this year, the defense remains a strong point, conceding only 17.4 PPG. Key Trends: - Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record. - The Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last six after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. - New York is a pathetic 1-5 ATS in its last six after allowing 30 or more points in its previous outing. The verdict: The turnover prone Jones is in for another rude awakening at chilly Soldier Field this afternoon; lay the points! | |||||||
11-24-19 | Panthers +11 v. Saints | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Carolina Panthers. This is essentially a do or die game for the Panthers as they try to keep pace with the 8-2 Saints. New Orleans comes in off a 34-17 victory over the Bucs. Carolina' QB Kyle Allen had four INT's in a loss to the Falcons last weekend. Allen though will be given the green light here vs. a banged up Saints' secondary which is conceding 250 yards per game through the air. The Saints have a great pass rush and the Panthers have been susceptible in allowing sacks, but Carolina can keep opponents honest with RB Christian McCaffrey. Key Trends: - The Panthers are 2-0 ATS in their last two off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite. - Carolina is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 as a road dog. - New Orleans is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a home favorite in the 7.5 to ten points range. The verdict: I'm banking on a competitive war until the final moments; grab the points! | |||||||
11-23-19 | CS Bakersfield +27.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 49-77 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* SPECIAL is on Cal State. Gonzaga is 5-0 overall this year and 4-0 at home, while CSUB is 2-3, losing both of its road games. Clearly I'm not calling for the outright upset, but I do definitely feel that the Bulldogs will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. CSUB is coming off a 100-70 loss to San Francisco on Tuesday. Keep your eyes on Taze Moore, who is averaging 15 points and 3.4 RPG. Gonzaga enters off a tougher than expected 72-66 win over UT Arlington on Tuesday. The 72 points were a season low thus far. Key Trends: - CSUB is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three after failing to cover the spread in three or more straight games. - Gonzaga is interestingly just 27-30 ATS in its last 57 after playing two straight games as a favorite. The verdcit: Clearly I'm not calling for the outright upset, but everything points to a much tighter contest that what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe in my opinion; grab the points! | |||||||
11-23-19 | Heat +4 v. 76ers | Top | 86-113 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on Miami. Miami jumped out to an early lead in Chicago last night and then never looked back. In fact, the Heat took the foot off the gas in the second half after amassing such a huge lead, eventually pulling away for the 116-108 vicotry. The 76ers had a bit more of a back and forth battle with the Spurs, but they eventually won and covered with a 115-104 victory. The Heat are now 11-3, but they've had a light schedule so far. But with a chance to finally test itself, I believe the Heat push the pace and take this one down to the wire. Key Trends: - Miami is 52-37 ATS in its last 89 as an underdog. - The Heat are 22-15 ATS in their last 37 off a road victory. - The 76ers are a terrible 10-18 ATS in their last 28 when playing the second game of a back-to-back. The verdict: All signs point to this one being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, so in case I like that, let's grab the points! | |||||||
11-23-19 | Nebraska -5 v. Maryland | Top | 54-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER on Nebraska. Nebraska is 4-6 and it only has two games left to become eligible. At 3-7, Maryland is officially out of contention for a bowl berth now. Yes the Terps would love to play spoiler here, but I don't see it happening vs. the desperate Huskers, who I expect to risk life and limb today to pull off the victory. Nebraska has lost four straight, most recently falling to Wisconsin last tie out. Maryland has lost five straight after getting crushed by Ohio State last year. The Huskers looked decent in defeat last week, falling 37-21 to a strong Wisconsin side. QB Adrian Martinez is going to be a difference maker here in my opinion. He has 1,712 passing yards and an 8:7 TD:INT. But he also has nearly 500 rushing yards and another seven TD's on the ground. The Terps come out of their bye week with nothing to play for. In their 73-14 loss to Ohio State they only attempted 17 passes compared to 32 rushing attempts. Key Trends: - Nebraska is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record. - Maryland is a pathetic 3-11 ATS in its last 14 following its bye week. The verdict: As mentioned above, I believe that Huskers' QB Martinez has a big opportunity here and I expect the senior to make the most of it; lay the points! | |||||||
11-22-19 | Montana +13.5 v. Washington | 56-73 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 19 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Montana. The Montanta Grizzlies are 1-3 and the Washington Huskies are 3-1. Montana comes in off a shocking loss to Montana Tech, so it'll be extra focussed here after that embarrassing performance. Senior guard Sayeed Pridgett leads the Grizzlies with 18.5 points per game. UW comes in off a 72-53 victory over Maine. Freshman forward Jaden McDaniels averages another 12.3 points per game. Key Trends: - The Huskies are just 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games. - The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU loss. The verdict: After its wake up call in its last game, expect Montanta to press the pace of this one from start to finish. And also expect that to result in a comfortable ATS cover for the underdog; grab the points! | |||||||
11-22-19 | Rockets +5 v. Clippers | Top | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* play on the Houston Rockets. The Rockets beat the Clippers at home already this year. Houston comes in focussed after a loss in Denver. Russell Westbrook had 25 points in the setback. The Clippers are back to full strength now with Paul George back in the line-up, but I don't think they'll have an easy time of it here vs. James Harden and this taletned Rockets team. Key Trends: - Houston is 8-2 ATS in its last ten vs. good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per contest. - LA is just 4-5 ATS this year vs. teams which average over 106 points per contest. The verdict: In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these two teams has its hands on the ball last, I'll recommend grabbing as many points as you can! | |||||||
11-22-19 | Houston +7.5 v. Oregon | Top | 66-78 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* play on Houston. The Cougars are 3-1 and the Ducks are 4-0. Houston averages 84 PPG in the early going and I think it'll push Oregon to the brink here. Most recently Houston came back from a 7-point deficit at half time to beat Rice 97-89, led by 32 points from Quentin Grimes. Overall Houston averages 84 PPG and it concedes 72.3. Oregon averages 81.5 PPG and it allows 63.2. Payton Pritchard is averaging 20.2 points per game to lead the Ducks. Key Trends: - Houston is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog. - Oregon is just 13-16 ATS in its last 29 vs. good offensive teams which average over 77 plus points per contest. The verdict: In a game which I see coming down to the wire, I'm grabbing all these points! | |||||||
11-22-19 | Hornets v. Wizards -5.5 | 118-125 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Washington Wizards. This is the Hornets fourth straight on the road and they come in having lost two in a row, most recently at Brooklyn. Washington will look to take advantage and I think it comes in under the radar here after winning two of three. Charlotte's offense looked particualry horrible last time out, scoring just 40 points in the second half vs. Brooklyn. Washington on the other hand exploded for 75 points in the second half of its most recent victory over San Antonio. Key Trends: - Washington has the best offense in the NBA, averaging 119.7 PPG. - Charlotte is just 1-5 ATS in its last six vs. teams which average over 106 PPG. The verdict: Washington is just as hungry and desperate as Charlotte is here for a victory and I think it's playing much better on both sides of the ball that its opponent today; lay the points! | |||||||
11-22-19 | Utah State v. LSU +1 | 80-78 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on LSU. Utah State comes in off a relatively easy victory over UTSA, but I think it'll have its hands full with this Power 5 team. LSU comes in off a blowout victory over UMBC in its most recent matchup, its second straight win. Sam Merrill paces the Aggies with 17.4 PPG. LSU is led by SKylar Mays with 17 points and 6.8 boards per game. Key Trends: - Utah State is only 12-16 ATS in its last 28 vs. good offensive teams which average over 77 plus points per game. - LSU is 2-0 ATS this year already off a home victory. The verdict: This final game of the opening day of the Jamaica Classic favors the high-powered offense of the Tigers in my opinoin. Grab the points! | |||||||
11-21-19 | Green Bay +18 v. Wisconsin | 70-88 | Push | 0 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Wisconsin Green Bay. This is a second round matchup of the Legends classic and note that both teams will be moving on to the next round despite the outcome of this contest. The Phoenix have been off since a competitive 93-78 loss to New Mexico in the first round. Green Bay forced 18 UNM turnovers. Note that PJ Pipes averages 13.3 PPG. Wisconsin posted a 77-61 win over Marquette in its last outing. Brevin Pritzl led the way with 15 points in the victory. Note though that the Badgers are getting uneven production on both ends of the court to open the 2019/20 campaign, shooting 40 percent fro the floor and 33 percent from range. Key Trends: - Wisconsin Green Bay is 9-1 ATS in its last ten as a road dog of 12.5 or more points. - The Badgers are only 1-3 ATS in their last four after two straight victories by 15 or more points. The verdict: No outright, but look for the Phoenix to post another solid effort and comfortable cover; grab the points! | |||||||
11-21-19 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff +21 v. Pittsburgh | 41-66 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Arkansas Pine Bluff. This is the second of four games as part of the Rocket Mortgage Fort Myers Tip-Off. Pittsburgh comes in off a relatively easy win over Monmouth on Monday, but I think it gets caught looking past lowly 0-4 Arkansas Pine Bluff in this one. After this game the Panthers travel to Fort Myers Florida for the championship rounds of this tournament and I think it's the foot in the door that Pine Bluff needs to pull off the comfortable cover. Key Trends: - Pittsburgh is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine non-conference home games as a favorite of 19.5 points or more. - Arkansas Pine Bluff is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after three or more SU losses. The veridct: Expect this one to be competitive well into the second half and grab up all these points! | |||||||
11-21-19 | Duquesne v. Indiana State +6 | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Indiana State. Duquesne is 3-0, but I think it'll have its hands full with the 0-3 Indiana State Sycamores tonight. This is the opening round of the Junkanoo Jam. The Dukes are allowing 53 PPG in the early going and averaging 72.7. Baylee Steele averages 12.7 PPG for the Dukes. Indiana State has so far averaged only 68 PPG, while conceding 82.0. Jordan Barnes has been a bright spot by averaging 12.7 PPG. Key Trends: - Duquesne is just 1-5 ATS in its last six neutral court games. - Indiana State is 4-0 ATS in its last four after scoring 60 points or less in its previous game. The verdict: Competition for each side has skewed these team's early offensive and defensive numbers. In a contest which I see coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points! | |||||||
11-20-19 | Troy State +18 v. Texas A&M | 52-56 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Troy. Troy is 1-3 and it comes in off its first win of the season, an 84-57 victory over Carver. While I'm clearly not expecting an outright upset, I do think the Trojans will keep this one close till the end. The Aggies come in off a terrible performance, getting destroyed 79-49 by Gonzaga. Key Trends: - Troy is 4-1 ATS in its last five off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. - Texas A&M is 0-8 ATS in its last eight as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points. The verdict: I think the Aggies come in dejected and still caught up on that performance and I look for Troy to take advantage; grab the points! | |||||||
11-20-19 | Warriors v. Mavs -13.5 | Top | 94-142 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the Dallas Mavericks. The Warriors come in off a rare straight up win, beating Memphis 114-95 last night. Dallas will look to take advantage here and build off its two game win streak. I wish I had the Warriors last night, but I did not see that one coming at all. But Golden State is now definitely tired as it comes to town in the second game of the back to back scenario. The Mavericks on the other hand have bounced back nicely from a scuffling stretch and I think they'll lay the hammer down from start to finish here. Key Trends: - The Warriors are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs. teams which average over 106 plus points per contest. - The Mavericks are interestingly 5-1 ATS in their last six after playing a game at home. The verdict: Expect Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis to lead the charge and for the home side to hold on to a big lead until the finish; lay the points! | |||||||
11-20-19 | Akron +31.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is Akron. Akron is 0-10 and playing out the tail end of a miserable season. But the Zips catch a complacent Miami Ohio team tonight that's won four straight, including a 44-3 win over Bowling Green last week to earn the Mac Eastern division title. Akron has terrible numbers, but I think the home side goes up early and then coasts the rest of the way as it looks to avoid any serious injuries. Key Trends: - Akron is 6-2 ATS in its last eight vs. teams with winning records. - Miami Ohio is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite. - The RedHawks are only 1-4 ATS in their last five after allowing 14 points or less in their last game. The verdict: This line is out of control. Yes the Zips are horrible, but the overall situation and this massive spread makes the visitors the correct call here in my opinion; grab the points! | |||||||
11-20-19 | Cornell +20.5 v. Syracuse | 53-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Cornell. I like three big underdogs in CBB on Wednesday night, including this play on 1-3 Cornell at 2-1 Syracuse. The Big Red lost to DePaul by 21 points, but I think they'll put up more of a fight here. Keep your eyes on Jimmy Boeheim, who is averaging 15.3 PPG for Cornell in th eearly going. Elijah Hughes and Buddy Boeheim lead the way for the Orange. Four players average in double-digit for Syracuse and while it most recently beat Seattle by 22 points I think it gets caught looking past its lowly opponent today. Key Trends: - Cornell is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a blowout loss by 20 points or more in its previous outing. - Syracuse is a poor 1-6 ATS in its last seven after a home blowout win by 20 points or more. The verdict: The Orange have one more "cream puff" after this before it gets into the meat of its regular season. I think the home side takes the foot off the gas and I expect the hungry Big Red to cover comfortably; grab the points! | |||||||
11-20-19 | Columbia +9.5 v. St. John's | 63-82 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Columbia. St. John's comes in with a 3-1 record and Columbia enters with a 1-3 record. The Scarlet Knights come in off their first loss of the year though in an upset setback to Vermont. Columbia has already faced some stiff competition, most recently falling to the defending National champs in their last outing. The battle tested Lions have also faced Lafayette and Wake Forest: "Obviously, I'm not happy with the result, but this was a great experience for our guys to go up against the defending national champions," said coach Jim Engles. Suffice it to say, I believe this early experience is going to help in keeping this game competitive until the final moments. Key Trends: - Columbia is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range. - St. John's is just 15-23 ATS in its last 38 as the favorite (including only 1-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think that this one sets up very well for the Lions and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much closer battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to belive; grab the points! | |||||||
11-19-19 | Montana State v. Grand Canyon -6.5 | 56-69 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
My 9* DESTROYER is on Grand Canyon. Carlos Johnson and the Grand Canyon Lopes are just 1-3, while Montanta State is 4-1. But overwhelming ATS trends/numbers lead me to believe that Johnson and the home side are about to break out in a big way tonight. Key Trends: - Montana State is 0-2 ATS in its last two after scoring 55 points or less. - Grand Canyon is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after allowing 60 points or less. The verdict: I'm banking on the hungrier team finding a way to get the job done at the end of the night; lay the points! | |||||||
11-19-19 | Furman v. Alabama -4 | Top | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on Alabama. Furman is 4-0 to open the season, but I think it'll have its hands full here with 1-2 Alabama. Furman won its most recent game, 83-81 at home over Southern Wesleyan, but now they face a Tide team in a foul mood after its 93-79 loss at Rhode Island most recently. Kira Lewis Jr. averages 22.3 PPG this year for Alabama and I think he's a big matchup issue for the Mid Major today. Key Trends: - Furman is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven as a road dog. - Alabama is 6-1 ATS in its last seven off an upset loss as a favorite. The verdict: This is a big test for Alabama first year head coach Nate Oates, but I think he has the personel to get the job done here; lay the short points! |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,395 |
Joey Tron | $617 |
Ray Monohan | $607 |
Ross Benjamin | $583 |
Big Al McMordie | $401 |
Matt Fargo | $327 |
Ricky Tran | $297 |
Sean Higgs | $140 |
Jesse Schule | $98 |
Kyle Hunter | $66 |