10-01-20 |
Brewers v. Dodgers -230 | | 0-3 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 51 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Dodgers |
10-01-20 |
Brewers v. Dodgers OVER 7 | | 0-3 |
Loss | -117 | 1 h 44 m | Show |
|
10-01-20 |
Broncos v. Jets UNDER 42 | | 37-28 |
Loss | -110 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
|
10-01-20 |
Cardinals v. Padres -152 | | 9-11 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 3 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Padres |
10-01-20 |
White Sox v. A's +101 | | 4-6 |
Win | 101 | 2 h 49 m | Show |
|
10-01-20 |
Reds v. Braves OVER 7.5 | | 0-5 |
Loss | -104 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
|
09-30-20 |
Brewers v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | | 2-4 |
Loss | -120 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
|
09-30-20 |
Brewers v. Dodgers -1.5 | | 2-4 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Dodgers On The Run Line |
09-30-20 |
Heat v. Lakers OVER 217 | | 98-116 |
Loss | -107 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
|
09-30-20 |
Yankees v. Indians OVER 8.5 | | 10-9 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
|
09-30-20 |
Cardinals +149 v. Padres | | 7-4 |
Win | 149 | 1 h 45 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Cardinals |
09-30-20 |
Cardinals v. Padres UNDER 8.5 | | 7-4 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 44 m | Show |
|
09-30-20 |
Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | | 2-8 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 40 m | Show |
|
09-30-20 |
White Sox v. A's -120 | | 3-5 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
|
09-30-20 |
Marlins v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | | 5-1 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 50 m | Show |
|
09-30-20 |
Astros v. Twins OVER 7.5 | | 3-1 |
Loss | -115 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
|
09-30-20 |
Astros v. Twins -147 | | 3-1 |
Loss | -147 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
|
09-30-20 |
Reds v. Braves -120 | | 0-1 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Braves |
09-29-20 |
Yankees v. Indians UNDER 6.5 | | 12-3 |
Loss | -107 | 2 h 7 m | Show |
|
09-29-20 |
Blue Jays v. Rays -183 | | 1-3 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 30 m | Show |
|
09-29-20 |
Blue Jays v. Rays OVER 7.5 | | 1-3 |
Loss | -105 | 0 h 30 m | Show |
|
09-29-20 |
White Sox v. A's OVER 7.5 | | 4-1 |
Loss | -115 | 1 h 5 m | Show |
|
09-29-20 |
White Sox v. A's +108 | | 4-1 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 2 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Athletics |
09-29-20 |
Astros v. Twins OVER 7.5 | | 4-1 |
Loss | -100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
|
09-28-20 |
Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 34-20 |
Win | 100 | 105 h 25 m | Show |
|
09-27-20 |
Lions v. Cardinals -5.5 | Top | 26-23 |
Loss | -108 | 113 h 15 m | Show |
This is a pretty square pick, admittedly. That said, I still think Kyler Murray and the Cards are underrated and Detroit is exactly as bad as they seem. There are so many terrible match-ups for Detroit but look for Drake to go off against this soft defense that has been getting run all over. DVOA has the Lions ranked 31 in rush defense and they have to deal with both Murray and Drake. Offensively, without Golloday, the Lions aren't much of a threat and they would need 25+ pts to be in this one. PICK: Cardinals -5.5 |
09-27-20 |
Jets +11 v. Colts | Top | 7-36 |
Loss | -110 | 113 h 54 m | Show |
The common opinion among sports writers and bettors alike is that the Jets are the worst team in the NFL. While I don't have high hopes for the Jets they opened the season vs the NFC champion 49ers and the playoff Bills. The colts are, no doubt, a solid team but I am NOT sold on Rivers at this stage of his career. Also, despite that 80 yard run by Mostert in week 2, the Jets are a good run defense. This means a lot of the game will be determined through the air. The Jets offense has been miserable but as they proved last year, they can also sprinkle in some good games. Darnold should do enough to keep this close. 11 is simply way too much for a mediocre offense to lay. PICK: Jets +11 |
09-27-20 |
Panthers v. Chargers -6.5 | | 21-16 |
Loss | -110 | 113 h 53 m | Show |
While I like the Chargers more if here if Herbert starts ( I have no idea what Lynn is thinking), I like them either way. The Panthers can be had on the ground or through the air with a bottom 3 rush and pass defense. We all know how the Chargers can get after the QB with Bosa and Ingram and I expect Bridgewater to be a LOT less comfortable than he has been. CMC is out, which makes the threat of the big play much, much less likely and it's hard to imagine a scenario where Carolina slugs this out with the LAC PICK: Chargers -6.5 |
09-27-20 |
Bears v. Falcons -3.5 | | 30-26 |
Loss | -108 | 110 h 50 m | Show |
This is an easy pick for me. The Falcons come in and 0-2 and the Bears at 2-0 but a closer look reveals a much different story. The Falcons lost to Seattle and Dallas - two offensive juggernauts. The Bears eked out wins against 2 of the worst teams in the NFL - Detroit and NYG. It's highly unlikely the Bears can keep up with the Atlanta offense which has the better QB and weapons all over the place. If not for their respective records, Atlanta would be favored by 6 so we have some value here PICK: Atlanta -3.5 |
09-27-20 |
Rams v. Bills -2.5 | | 32-35 |
Win | 100 | 110 h 48 m | Show |
The Bills opened at 3-3.5 but have since gone down to below 3. This movement seems largely reactionary to a poor Bills defensive performance in week 2. There are two major factors that make that week 2 performance seem worse than what we will actually see this Sunday. Firstly, the Bills were missing 2/3 of their best defensive players - Milano and Edmunds. Fitz is a smart QB and he exposed the normaly stout passing defense in the middle of the field repeatedly. Secondly, Fitz made great throws into very tight windows that simply aren't normally made. The Rams look more like the "good" Rams with their offense humming. WHile Higby and Kupp will likely cause some problems for the Bills, the match-up for the Bills offense looks promising. With Ramsey likely to draw Diggs, look for John Brown to have a couple big plays and force the Rams to be less aggressive Using advanced stats like DVOA, which takes into account the opponents, these teams stack up fairly evenly. The Bills have the home field ( even without fans) and I expect the Bills to give Goff a rougher time than he has had this year with the return of Edmunds and possibly MIlano PICK: Bills -2.5 |
09-26-20 |
Nuggets +5.5 v. Lakers | | 107-117 |
Loss | -105 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Nuggets |
09-26-20 |
Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 215 | | 107-117 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
|
09-26-20 |
NC State v. Virginia Tech OVER 56.5 | | 24-45 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
|
09-26-20 |
Vanderbilt v. Texas A&M OVER 46 | | 12-17 |
Loss | -105 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
|
09-26-20 |
Florida State +12 v. Miami-FL | | 10-52 |
Loss | -110 | 3 h 33 m | Show |
The Pick: Take Florida State |
09-26-20 |
Tennessee v. South Carolina OVER 44.5 | | 31-27 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
|
09-26-20 |
Cubs v. White Sox UNDER 9.5 | | 5-9 |
Loss | -107 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
|
09-26-20 |
Pirates v. Indians -169 | | 8-0 |
Loss | -169 | 2 h 21 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Indians |
09-26-20 |
Brewers v. Cardinals OVER 7.5 | | 3-0 |
Loss | -108 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
|
09-26-20 |
Orioles v. Blue Jays -119 | | 2-5 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 54 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Blue Jays |
09-26-20 |
Mariners v. A's OVER 6 | | 5-1 |
Push | 0 | 2 h 20 m | Show |
|
09-26-20 |
Mississippi State +16.5 v. LSU | Top | 44-34 |
Win | 100 | 53 h 2 m | Show |
Look, LSU is no doubt the more talented team. But this year is different and I might look at this differently if they had one of those walk over games to start. As you know, LSU lost a lot of firepower in the off-season. Mainly Burrow, who is not on the Bengals. I see Mississippi St hanging around in the first half and scoring enough for this to be a game. Eventually LSU should wear them down but 16.5 is too many points for me in this one PICK: Mississippi State +16.5 |
09-26-20 |
Iowa State v. TCU +2.5 | | 37-34 |
Loss | -104 | 51 h 3 m | Show |
This game looks like it should be a defensive battle. Iowa State has a game under it's belt so that's a slight advantage but TCU has a better defense in every way. I don't see Iowa State moving the ball with much success. Brock Purdy isn't very good and the TCU front should cause him enough problems to make this ugly. TCU doesn't have an offense to right home about but they are a well coached team that will be in this and probably get the outright win PICK: TCU +2.5 |
09-26-20 |
Central Florida -27 v. East Carolina | | 51-28 |
Loss | -110 | 50 h 34 m | Show |
UCF played a sloppy game and still smoked Georgia tech last week. We are seeing that subpar performance reflected in this line. East Carolina may put up some points in this one but UCF should score 50+. ECU has a terrible secondary and they are going to get absolutely torched if they don't get pressure which they likely will now. If you are looking for a blowout in a fun game to watch, this one should do it. 4-6 TD win. PICK: UCF -27 |
09-26-20 |
Louisville v. Pittsburgh -3 | | 20-23 |
Push | 0 | 50 h 34 m | Show |
Louisville's pass defense may be even worse than we thought and that wasn't good. Miami exposed the Cards in every way. Pitt signal caller Kenny Pickett should take a big jump in production this year. That said, Louisville can sling it too. I expect there to be a good amount of scoring in this one but Pitt will ultimately make more plays - as the better team PICK: Pitt -3 |
09-26-20 |
Kentucky +7.5 v. Auburn | | 13-29 |
Loss | -110 | 49 h 30 m | Show |
This is a fascinating battle - perhaps the most interesting match-up of the week. The way I see this game is a battle of both teams respective strengths. Kentucky has a very good offensive line and Auburn, once again is very stout up front defensively. While Auburn is returning QB Nix, I'm not all that concerned about him lighting up the scoreboard. Kentucky should be able to find success running the ball because the defensive front of Auburn is talented but revamped and will take time to gel. Kentucky should be a competitive team this year. Not top 10 but perhaps top 20. I'll take the points here Kentucky +7.5 |
09-25-20 |
Rockies v. Diamondbacks OVER 6 | | 5-11 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 50 m | Show |
|
09-25-20 |
Angels v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | | 5-9 |
Loss | -102 | 1 h 35 m | Show |
|
09-25-20 |
Mariners v. A's -1.5 | | 1-3 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 34 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The A's On The Run Line |
09-25-20 |
Heat v. Celtics -3 | | 108-121 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Celtics |
09-25-20 |
Heat v. Celtics OVER 213 | | 108-121 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
|
09-24-20 |
A's +205 v. Dodgers | | 1-5 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 23 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Athletics |
09-24-20 |
A's v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | | 1-5 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 10 m | Show |
|
09-24-20 |
Marlins v. Braves OVER 9 | | 4-2 |
Loss | -100 | 3 h 29 m | Show |
|
09-24-20 |
Dolphins v. Jaguars -2.5 | | 31-13 |
Loss | -123 | 35 h 38 m | Show |
The Dolphins aren't the easiest team to handicap because Fitz is one of the streakiest QBs of all time. He played very well last week against a top notch Bills pass defense. He was throwing darts with pinpoint accuracy. Miami also has some good weapons. I like the Jags in this spot because the match-up of their offense against this Dolphins defense is solid. The Dolphins will be without Byron Jones, their top corner, and I expect the Jags receivers to get going here. The defenses both stink but the offensive edge clearly goes to the Jags and Minshew, who has been very efficient. PICK: Jaguars -2.5 |
09-24-20 |
Brewers v. Cardinals OVER 7 | | 2-4 |
Loss | -120 | 2 h 17 m | Show |
|
09-24-20 |
Astros -122 v. Rangers | | 12-4 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 41 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Astros |
09-24-20 |
Orioles v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | | 13-1 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 12 m | Show |
|
09-24-20 |
UAB v. South Alabama OVER 47.5 | | 42-10 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 15 m | Show |
|
09-24-20 |
White Sox v. Indians -128 | | 4-5 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 30 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Indians |
09-24-20 |
Rockies v. Giants OVER 9 | | 5-4 |
Push | 0 | 1 h 48 m | Show |
|
09-23-20 |
Rockies +180 v. Giants | | 2-7 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 40 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Rockies |
09-23-20 |
Rockies v. Giants OVER 9 | | 2-7 |
Push | 0 | 1 h 40 m | Show |
|
09-23-20 |
A's +159 v. Dodgers | | 6-4 |
Win | 159 | 1 h 40 m | Show |
The Picl: Take The Athletics |
09-23-20 |
A's v. Dodgers UNDER 8.5 | | 6-4 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 39 m | Show |
|
09-23-20 |
Yankees -210 v. Blue Jays | | 1-14 |
Loss | -210 | 1 h 53 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Yankees |
09-23-20 |
White Sox v. Indians UNDER 6.5 | | 2-3 |
Win | 107 | 1 h 32 m | Show |
|
09-23-20 |
Phillies v. Nationals UNDER 9.5 | | 12-3 |
Loss | -112 | 1 h 31 m | Show |
|
09-22-20 |
Rockies v. Giants OVER 7.5 | | 2-5 |
Loss | -115 | 0 h 29 m | Show |
|
09-22-20 |
A's +170 v. Dodgers | | 2-7 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 30 m | Show |
|
09-22-20 |
A's v. Dodgers OVER 9 | | 2-7 |
Push | 0 | 0 h 30 m | Show |
|
09-22-20 |
Angels v. Padres UNDER 9 | | 4-2 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 51 m | Show |
|
09-22-20 |
Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 214.5 | | 106-114 |
Loss | -110 | 2 h 35 m | Show |
|
09-22-20 |
Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5 | | 106-114 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 34 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Nuggets |
09-22-20 |
Cardinals v. Royals OVER 8.5 | | 5-0 |
Loss | -105 | 1 h 53 m | Show |
|
09-22-20 |
Tigers v. Twins -1.5 | | 4-5 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 31 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Twins On The Run Line |
09-22-20 |
Marlins v. Braves OVER 10 | | 1-11 |
Win | 100 | 0 h 28 m | Show |
|
09-22-20 |
Rays -135 v. Mets | | 2-5 |
Loss | -135 | 0 h 27 m | Show |
|
09-22-20 |
Brewers +141 v. Reds | | 3-2 |
Win | 141 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Brewers |
09-22-20 |
Yankees v. Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 | | 12-1 |
Loss | -110 | 3 h 53 m | Show |
|
09-22-20 |
White Sox +119 v. Indians | | 3-5 |
Loss | -100 | 3 h 37 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The White Sox |
09-21-20 |
Saints v. Raiders UNDER 48.5 | | 24-34 |
Loss | -106 | 21 h 41 m | Show |
This relatively high total is largely based on the Saints reputation for being a high flying team and the Raiders having very little defense. With the huge loss of Michael Thomas I expect the Saints to run the ball early and often. They should find some success but not enough to take this over 48.5. I really like the design of the Raider offense but this Saints defense is stout. Jacobs will also be featured but likely won’t have too much success.
This is a good spot to take advantage of an inflated number. PICK: UNDER 48.5 |
09-21-20 |
Cardinals -1.5 v. Royals | | 1-4 |
Loss | -113 | 1 h 41 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Cardinals On The Run Line |
09-21-20 |
Marlins v. Braves OVER 9.5 | | 4-5 |
Loss | -105 | 1 h 52 m | Show |
|
09-21-20 |
Cubs v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | | 5-0 |
Loss | -103 | 1 h 50 m | Show |
|
09-21-20 |
Brewers v. Reds -123 | | 3-6 |
Win | 100 | 1 h 33 m | Show |
|
09-21-20 |
Yankees -140 v. Blue Jays | | 5-11 |
Loss | -140 | 1 h 37 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Yankees |
09-20-20 |
Patriots v. Seahawks -4 | | 30-35 |
Win | 100 | 106 h 46 m | Show |
It's strange seeing the Patriots as underdogs. It's even stranger to side against them getting over a FG but that's what I'm going to do here. Look, I'm sure BB will make the best out of this team but their offense is pretty bad. Scoring 21 against Miami with almost no pressure from the other offense isn't really a great accomplishment. I still view the Pats as a 7-9 win team. This Seattle team probably won't run all over the solid Patriots D but they certainly have enough offense to get it done. It seems that Wilson is going to be given more throws which is great news. Seattle wins this pretty big in a statement game. PICK: Seattle -4 |
09-20-20 |
Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 214.5 | | 103-105 |
Loss | -110 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
|
09-20-20 |
Twins v. Cubs OVER 7.5 | | 4-0 |
Loss | -100 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
|
09-20-20 |
Ravens -7 v. Texans | Top | 33-16 |
Win | 101 | 102 h 55 m | Show |
I'm going to keep this short. Houston cannot stop the run. They are playing the Ravens. End. No, but seriously, Houston probably isn't as bad as they looked last week but there is no way they get right against Baltimore. Watson is going to be under constant pressure and his weapons just aren't that great. The line is around 7 because Watson is still one of the best, but this is a bad team with a bad coach in a terrible matchup PICK: Ravens -7 |
09-20-20 |
Washington Football Team v. Cardinals -6.5 | Top | 15-30 |
Win | 100 | 102 h 43 m | Show |
So here we get the perfect betting opportunity. The Redskins pull off a strange upset over the depleted Eagles and we get to lay less than a TD at home. Haskins is certainly not a big threat and this week he travels across the country to play a team that can put up big points. Arizona moved the ball efficiently against the Niners, who may have the best unit in the league. Hopkins was targetted early and often - quelling the fears that it may take time to develop chemistry. AZ should score 27+ and it's hard to imagine Washington keeping up This is my play of the week Arizona -6.5 |
09-20-20 |
Cardinals v. Pirates OVER 7.5 | | 2-1 |
Loss | -110 | 1 h 43 m | Show |
|
09-20-20 |
Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | | 3-6 |
Loss | -133 | 1 h 10 m | Show |
The Pick: Take The Dodgers On Run Line |
09-20-20 |
Panthers v. Bucs -9 | | 17-31 |
Win | 100 | 99 h 42 m | Show |
Brady looking kinda washed up in week 1 gives us a decent value with the Bucs here. While his best years are behind him, I expect Brady to figure out things pretty quickly against a terrible Panthers defense. Look for Godwin and Ronald Jones to go off. The Bucs have a very good run defense so they should neutralize CMC to some extent. Bridgewater and co looked good enough in vs Vegas but the Raiders are soft defensively. This will be a much more challenging opponent. In the end this should be a double digit win for Tampa PICK: Bucs -9 |
09-20-20 |
49ers -7 v. Jets | | 31-13 |
Win | 100 | 99 h 34 m | Show |
I had this game circled as JETS before week one because I assumed SF would be coming off a win and also that the Jets were like a 5-6 win team, not what they now appear to be. With Niners coming off a tough loss to an underrated AZ team, I expect they will bludgeon the Jets. Week 1 the Bills pressured the Jets on 43% of passing attempts. This Niners D line is even better and Darnold doesn't appear up for the task. While the Jets do have a stout run defense, I suspect that Shannahan will use the screen game and move the ball through the air against a putrid secondary. It's a lot of points on the road, no doubt, but SF will romp the Jets here PICK: 49ers - 7 |
09-19-20 |
Rangers v. Angels OVER 7.5 | | 3-4 |
Loss | -100 | 1 h 45 m | Show |
|
09-19-20 |
Padres v. Mariners OVER 8.5 | | 1-4 |
Loss | -115 | 1 h 45 m | Show |
|
09-19-20 |
Celtics v. Heat OVER 207.5 | | 117-106 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 25 m | Show |
Game 1 of this series flew over the total of 209 and Game 2 went under the total of 208 by only 1 point after the Celtics could only muster 17 4th quarter points. My point is there are so many players on both sides of the floor shooting well this series, especially from 3 that I expect another exciting back and forth game. Don't expect the Celtics to play timid as they are just too good for that. Another up and down, back and forth game will lead to the Over cashing. The Pick: I'm betting the OVER. |
09-19-20 |
Dodgers -1.5 v. Rockies | | 6-1 |
Win | 100 | 2 h 14 m | Show |
the Pick: Take The Dodgers on The Run Line |