Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-10-20 | Canisius v. Monmouth UNDER 142 | Top | 65-84 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canisius/Monmouth-NJ UNDER Coming into this game, the total has gone UNDER in 6 of Canisius' last 8 games played in January. They have also seen the total go UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games at home against the Monmouth Hawks. For the Hawks, they saw an easy UNDER in their last game. In the past, the total has also gone UNDER in 4 of the past 6 games between these two teams. Expect another UNDER here. T.M. Prediction: 67-61 Monmouth NJ | |||||||
01-08-20 | California Baptist v. CS Bakersfield OVER 143 | Top | 83-75 | Win | 100 | 21 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: CAL Bapitst/CSU Bakerfield OVER Neither of these teams are considered as great basketball schools. But, that doesn't mean that they cannot score. Cal Baptist has only failed to score 70+ points this season in 2 of their 15 games. That includes 10 straight games with over 70 points. On the other hand, the total has gone OVER in 6 of Cal State-Bakersfield's last 8 games played in January. The total has also gone OVER in 4 of Cal State-Bakersfield's last 6 games this season. Expect another OVER here. T.M. Prediction: 81-74 CSU Bakerfield | |||||||
01-02-20 | Fordham v. VCU OVER 124.5 | Top | 46-64 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: VCA/Furman OVER VCU is by far the better side, skill wised in this matchup. They come in with a 10-3 record and they have won 20 straight games at home. Virgia Commonwealth averages more than 72 points per game aswell. VCU has seen the toatl go OVER in 5 of their last 6 games played on a Thursday.On the other hand, the total has gone OVER in 10 of Fordham's last 13 games played on a Thursday. Expect this to be an easy winner. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 79-63 VCU | |||||||
12-28-19 | Eastern Kentucky v. East Carolina UNDER 151.5 | Top | 74-82 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Kentucky/East Carolina UNDER Eastern Kentucky has started the season 3-9 while the Pirates are 5-7. EKU enters this game off 7 straight losses though. In all games this season, they have seen the total go UNDER in 7 of the 11. They have also averaged about 73 points per game. On the other hand, the total has gone UNDER in 10 of East Carolina's L12 games played in December. I expect both teams two focus a bit more on the defesve side of the ball in a critical game for both teams. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 74-71 EKU | |||||||
12-26-19 | Wizards v. Pistons OVER 228.5 | Top | 102-132 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Wizards/Detroit Pistons OVER Coming into this game, both of these two teams have seen the total go OVER more than UNDER. For the Wizards, they have seen the total go OVER in 5 of their last 6 games this season. The total has also gone OVER in each of their last 5 games on the road. On the other hand, Detroit has seen the total go OVER in back-to-back games. I expect hardly any defense at all in this game. Take the OVER and look for lots of points. T.M. Selection: 129-127 Detroit Pistons | |||||||
12-25-19 | Houston v. Washington OVER 139 | Top | 75-71 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston/Washington OVER Coming into this huge game, both of these two teams have looked very sharp. They have both averaged more than 74 points per game and they have fantastic records. Houston has seen the total go OVER in 6 of their past 9 games after covering the spread 3 or more consecutive times. Washington, on the other hand, has seen the total go OVER in 5 of 7 games this season, when they are playing against opponents with a winning record. I expect both teams to be on their A-Game on Christmas as they go for atleast 150 points. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 81-79 Washington | |||||||
12-25-19 | Bucks v. 76ers UNDER 220 | 109-121 | Loss | -103 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Bucks/Philadelphia 76ers UNDER Both of these two teams come into this big game with dominant records. The Bucks hold the best record in the NBA, while the 76ers are not so far behind them. For Milwaukee, the total has gone UNDER in each of their last 6 games against opponents in the Atlantic Division. In their last three games, their opponent has not scored more than 105 points. On the other hand, the 76ers have seen the total go UNDER in 64 of their last 118 games when they are playing against an opponent with a winning record. I expect both defenses to be on their game here on Christmas Day. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 107-105 76ers | |||||||
12-25-19 | Celtics v. Raptors OVER 212.5 | Top | 118-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raptors/Celtics OVER Coming into this game, the total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games against opponents in the Atlantic Division. They have also seen the total go OVER in 22 of their last 36 games as a road favorite of 6 points or less. Toronto, on the other hand, has seen the total go OVER in 6 of their last 8 games played on a Wednesday. The total has also gone OVER in 4 of the Raptors' last 5 games against Boston. I expect another high-scoring game here. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 121-119 Celtics | |||||||
12-19-19 | Southern Utah v. Long Beach State OVER 139.5 | Top | 84-63 | Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Long Beach St/Southern Utah OVER Coming into this game, Long Beach St is 3-8, while Southern Utah is 6-4. Long Beach St has seen the total go OVER in 6 of their last 8 games. It has also gone OVER in 3of their last 4 games. On the other hand Southern Utah has scored a lot this year. They have averaged 76.3 points per game. Expect it to go OVER here. T.M. Prediction: 81-75 Long Beach St | |||||||
12-13-19 | Nebraska v. Indiana UNDER 149.5 | Top | 90-96 | Loss | -127 | 22 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana/Nebraska UNDER In this Big-Ten matchup, the 4-5 Cornhuskers will go up against the 9-1 Hoosiers. In the past, the total has gone UNDER in 8 of the last 9 games when these two teams are up against each other. Indiana is also off a game where they combined for only 111 with their opponent. I expect both defenses to step up big time in this big Conference Matchup for both teams. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 72-65 Indiana | |||||||
12-09-19 | Minnesota v. Iowa UNDER 145 | Top | 52-72 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iowa/Minnesota UNDER Minnesota will travel to Iowa, where they'll play the Hawkeyes on Monday evening. Both of these two teams enter this game having seen the total go UNDER in most of their matches. For the Gophers, the total has gone UNDER in each of their last 9 games on the road. The total has also gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games. On the other hand, Iowa has seen a lot of UNDER's as well. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa's L6 games played in December. Expect a low-scoring game in this Big-Ten matchup. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 67-64 Iowa | |||||||
12-06-19 | Idaho State v. Pepperdine UNDER 148 | Top | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pepperdine/Idaho St Under Neither team has had the start that they were hoping for. I expect both sides to tighten up their defense here. Off a low scoring game, the total has now gone UNDER in 13 of Idaho State's L16 games played in December. If the Bengals are going to have a chance in this one, they need to out play the Waves on the defensive end. Pepperdine, on the other hand, has seen the total go OVER many times this year. Although they've scored a lot, they have lost 5 straight games. They have also seen the total go UNDER in December though, as the UNDER is 11-3 in the past. Look for lots of defense to be played here, as both teams are desperate for a win. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 71-63 Pepperdine | |||||||
12-03-19 | Lakers v. Nuggets OVER 208.5 | Top | 105-96 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lakers/Nuggets OVER Both of these teams have had exactly the start they were looking for. They both sit 1 and 2 in the West and they've looked extremely sharp. Even though they both have had really good starts, they haven't seen to many OVER's. But, in their L15 meeting against each other, The total has gone OVER in 10 times out of those 15. I expect the total to go way OVER tonight in this huge game for both teams. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 113-111 Lakers | |||||||
11-30-19 | CS Sacramento v. Colorado UNDER 128.5 | Top | 45-59 | Win | 100 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado/Sacramento St UNDER Both of these teams come in with undefeated records. They have both been playing stellar basketball especially on the defensive end. Coming into this game, neither averages over 57 points allowed. For Sacramento St, the total has gone UNDER in each of their L6 games against an opponent in the Pacific-12 conference. The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's L12 games as well. I expect great defense on Saturday Night. Take the UNDER. T.M. Prediction: 57-41 Colorado | |||||||
11-29-19 | Celtics v. Nets UNDER 217 | Top | 107-112 | Loss | -111 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston/Brooklyn UNDER These two teams just played on Wednesday and the total went OVER in that game. I believe that it will be the opposite here. Coming into this game, Boston has seen the total go UNDER in each of their L5 road games. They also seen the UNDER 11 of 17 games this season. The Nets have also seen the total go UNDER. 4 of their L5 games have gone UNDER. I expect that to be the case here. Take Celtics/Nets UNDER the total. T.M. Prediction: 103-99 Celtics | |||||||
11-27-19 | Wolves v. Spurs OVER 228.5 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -113 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Minnesota TWolves/San Antonio OVER In the past, most people thought that San Antonio was a defensive team that had many low-scoring games. It's true, but not this year. This year, they have barely played any defense, and if they do that against Minnesota, KAT will eat them alive. In previous matches against each other, the total has gone OVER 6 of the past 6 times. I expect that to be the case again tonight. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 120-117 Timberwolves | |||||||
11-22-19 | Rockets v. Clippers OVER 226.5 | Top | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 22 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rockets/Clippers OVER Earlier this season, these two teams combined for only 195 points. I expect that to be different here. James Harden and the Rockets have absolutely been dominant so far this year. They have averaged 117.87 ppg and no one has been able to slow them down. Now, they'll play a LA Clippers team who have also been outstanding. The last three years, LA has seen the total go OVER 39 of 64 games as a home favorite. Look for this to be a back-and-forward game with lots of scoring. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 127-125 Rockets | |||||||
11-11-19 | Kent State v. Towson OVER 140 | Top | 84-80 | Win | 100 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Towson/Kent St OVER Both of these two teams are undefeated to start the season. Towson is 2-0 while the Golden Flashes are 1-0. In Kent State's game, they scored 97 points against a weak opponent. That should motivate them to do it again on Monday against the Tigers. Towson scored lots in their last matchup as well. I expect both teams to be scoring buckets all over the place tonight. Take the OVER T.M. Prediction: 81-75 Towson | |||||||
11-10-19 | Hornets v. 76ers OVER 215.5 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers/Charlotte Hornets OVER The 5-3 76ers, who started 5-0, will welcome the 4-5 Hornets to Phily on Sunday. Philadelphia have always been capable of scoring. This year, they got even stronger in that catagory, as they added C Al Horford to their finals contending team. So far this year, the 76ers have seen the total go OVER in 3 out of 4 games in November. On the other hand, the Hornets have seen the total go OVER 67% of the time as a road underdog. With Joel Embiid probable, I expect scoring to come in bunches on Sunday Evening. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 115-108 76ers | |||||||
11-06-19 | 76ers v. Jazz OVER 212 | Top | 104-106 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers/Utah Jazz OVER Both teams come into this game with winning records. The 76ers are off a high-scoring loss in their last game vs. the Phoenix Suns. In their L3 games, they've averaged 111.33 ppg. On the other hand, the Jazz have not yet seen the total go OVER this season. The OVER is due and expect it to cover with ease. Take the OVER. T.M. Prediction: 117-109 76ers | |||||||
10-24-19 | Clippers v. Warriors OVER 224.5 | Top | 141-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State/LA Clippers OVER The Golden State Warriors will welcome the 1-0 Clippers to their new arena in San Fran. GSW has always been a high-scoring team and they'll look to continue that here tonight against the also high scoring LAC team. The Dubs will be led my 2x MVP Steph Curry as well as Draymond Green and DLo. Kawhi will lead the way on the other side. I expect the Warriors to win this close shootout. Take the OVER with ease. T.M. Prediction: 125-122 GSW | |||||||
10-22-19 | Pelicans v. Raptors UNDER 231.5 | Top | 122-130 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors/NO Pelicans UNDER On Opening Night, the defending champs will welcome the New Orleans Pelicans to the six. Toronto, who are without Kawhi, will now be led by Kyle Lowry and Pascal Siakam, who just signed a 4-year max contract extension. The away team will have to play this one without their up-incoming star in Zion Williamson who'll be out with a leg injury. I expect Toronto and New Orleans to be more focused on defense as they both look to start the season off in a good way. Look for teams to struggle to get going early in this one as well as it's their first game of the new season. Take the UNDER with ease. T.M. Prediction: 107-99 Raptors | |||||||
06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors UNDER 216 | Top | 105-92 | Win | 100 | 37 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raptors/Warriors under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Golden State is still without Kevin Durant, but it is set to welcome back shooter Klay Thompson, who sat out Game 3 with injury. Toronto got out to a blistering start in Game 3 and Golden State was never able to catch up or hold it back. The Warriors took control of Game 2 in the second half of that contest behind a spectacular defensive performance and in my opinion, Golden State is going to be out to duplicate the performance here as it looks to avoid dropping into a 1-3 hole. Toronto looked great on both ends of the court in Game 3 and while it was unable to slow down Stephen Curry, the Raptors would do more than enough to slow down the rest of the role players. I think the Warriors body up from start to finish and I expect the visitors to follow suit. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 107-102 Golden State. | |||||||
05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors OVER 214.5 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 85 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors/Raptors over (10*) I played primarily on the Raptors in the ECF, but in Game 1 of the Finals, I’m going with the defending champs. With so much time off between series, I believe each team comes out refreshed and pushes the pace from start to finish. The Warriors will be out to set the tempo and I expect the champs to be relentless in trying to do that. This one has the feel of a “shootout” rather than a defensive “chess match.” Note as well that Golden State has seen the total go over in ten of 15 already this year as a road favorite of six points or less, while Toronto has seen the total sail over the number in three of four already this season when playing with three or more days rest. T.M. Prediction: 114-110 Warriors. | |||||||
05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 218 | Top | 105-99 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raptors/Bucks under (10*) Kawhi Leonard is a new face to the Raptors, but he comes in with a ton of experience in the playoffs. Overall the Raptors have the advantage in the “experience” department. After getting “shell shocked” over the first two games of this series, Toronto returned to form on its own floor in Game’s 3 and 4 and I think it’ll carry that momentum over here. Leonard has been an absolute beast on both ends of the floor, but especially defensively vs. Bucks’ star Giannis. Toronto’s role players are back playing with a ton of confidence, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Milwaukee has been tough defensively as well in this series. This one has the feel of an all out war, where every possession is contested. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 106-104 Raptors. | |||||||
05-21-19 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 216 | Top | 102-120 | Loss | -103 | 36 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucks/Raptors under (10* TOTAL OF WEEK) Game 2 of course would have gone well under the number if not for the Raptors double OT victory. Toronto looked a lot better defensively, especially Kawhi Leonard in slowing down Bucks’ super star Giannis Antetokounmpo (12 points on 5 of 16 shooting, committing eight turnovers.) Toronto is going to employ an identical defensive game plan here as well obviously, except this time each side comes in extra tired after the marathon game last time out. It sets up perfectly as more of a defensive affair in my opinion. Both teams have excelled defensively so far in the playoffs and I believe that will again be the case here. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 108-105 Milwaukee. | |||||||
05-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers UNDER 221.5 | Top | 110-99 | Win | 100 | 36 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors/Blazers under (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) Game 2 went “over” in the Warriors 114-111 victory. Portland controlled the game over the first half, but Golden State’s prowess from behind the arc once again proved to be too much for Portland to handle down the stretch. Remember, they’re doing all of this without Kevin Durant, possibly the best player on the planet. The Warriors were wildly inconsistent over the second half of the regular season this year (for their lofty standards anyways) and they looked very susceptible vs. the Clippers in their six game opening round series victory. Golden State’s achilles heel has been its play on the road though and clearly the Blazers will be doubling down on the defensive end as they try desperate to back into this series. The shift in venue points to more of a defensive affair finally in my opinion, as I expect the home side to press from the opening tip, until the final horn. This number is a tad high. T.M. Prediction: 108-106 Blazers. | |||||||
05-15-19 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 218 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 62 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raptors/Bucks under (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) Toronto lost three of four to Milwaukee in the regular season, but I think Kawhi Leonard and company will at the very least take Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals right down to the wire. These teams are similar in many respects, in that they have a clear top tier dominant player (Leonard for the Raptors and Giaanis Antetokounmpo for the Bucks), as well as a strong cast of starting role players, combined with a deep and talented bench. Toronto’s late acquisition of big man Marc Gasol could swing this series in favor of Toronto though as he and Serge Ibaka proved to be too much for 76ers’ big man Joel Embiid to handle. And I think the combination of the two will prove difficult for Milwaukee as well. The Bucks have yet to be tested in any real way so far in the Playoffs, but I believe that changes in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. This one just screams “defensive battle” in my opinion. Note as well though that Toronto has seen the total go under in 11 of its last 16 when playing with two days rest, while Milwaukee has seen the total go under in all five games that it’s played in tho shear with three or more days of rest. This number is a tad high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 108-106 Bucks. | |||||||
05-12-19 | 76ers v. Raptors UNDER 209 | 90-92 | Win | 100 | 55 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: 76ers/Raptors under (8* TOTAL BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) This has been another wild and unpredictable series. When these teams play at their best defensively, they have usually come out on top so far in the playoffs though and with so much on the line, I think that Game 7 sets up beautifully as a tightly contested, lower-scoring defensive battle. These have been two of the best defensive clubs during the postseason and I believe they continue that trend here. And the numbers/trends do indeed support that theory, as note that Philly has seen the total go under the number in 15 of its last 22 when playing with two days rest, while Toronto has seen the total dip below in ten of its last 15 in the same position. This number is a little high. T.M. Prediction: 106-100 Toronto. | |||||||
05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 212.5 | Top | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 51 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blazers/Nuggets under (10* SUPER TOTAL) This has been a back and forth series and in Game 7 I believe that we’ll witness a very defensive affair. Fatigue comes into play here in Game 7 of this second round contest. Also note that the thin air of Denver can’t help these “gassed” players either. Denver has been at its best at home, but I’m expecting a battle until the final horn. In my opinion, this one sets up as a very tight, closely guarded defensive battle, rather than a high-scoring run and gun “shootout.” And the numbers/trends support that theory, as note that Portland has seen the total go under the number in 14 of its last 22 following a home win vs. a division rival, while Denver has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of ten this year when playing with two days rest. T.M. Prediction: 105-100 Nuggets. | |||||||
05-09-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers UNDER 215.5 | Top | 108-119 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets/Blazers under (10* TOTAL EXPRESS) Coaching in the Playoffs, especially in the second round and beyond is all about “making adjustments.” Denver’s been great in that so far after taking out the Spurs in seven games and now seemingly getting a “firm read” on the Blazers and managing to slow down their star Damian Lillard. Clearly it’s up to the Blazers to respond, but these have historically been spots in which Lillard has faded in, not being able to step up and carry the load. And who else on Portland will step up to carry the load if Lillard can’t? I think this one sets up as a defensive affair, with Denver doing everything it can to control the tempo from the outset. Additionally note that the Nuggets have seen the total go under in three of four already this year off a win by ten points or more over a division rival, while Portland has seen the total dip under in three of four this year in trying to revenge a blowout loss of 20 points or more vs. an opponent. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 106-102 Blazers. | |||||||
05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 213.5 | Top | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 32 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Raptors/76ers under (9* TOTAL EXPRESS) Philadelphia is playing for its life here. After taking Game 1, Philadelphia has struggled with consistency and it now finds itself in a 3-2 hole. Toronto would clearly love nothing more than to end it here and now after taking Game 5 125-89. Where is Philadelphia’s scoring going to suddenly come from? Big man Joel Embiid is struggling with injury and sickness and for the most part Jimmy Butler and Ben Simmons have been completely ineffective. The last thing Toronto wants to do is to turn this into a track meet, instead I predict the visitors to come out and to blanket the 76ers once again from start to finish. Over the last ten years Toronto has had difficulty closing out series like this, but with Kawhi Leonard, perhaps that’s going to change this season. Regardless, from a situational stand point I think this one definitely sets up as a defensive affair, but also note that Toronto has seen the total go under in eight of ten so far in the playoffs anyways. This number is high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 105-103 Raptors. | |||||||
05-08-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 218 | 91-116 | Win | 102 | 33 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Celtics/Bucks under (8*) I had a play on the Bucks and the under in Game 4, and while I’m going against Milwaukee in this one, I do believe we’re going to see another tight, lower-scoring defensive battle in Game 5. This is a trap game for the Bucks after two straight wins on the road and with a 3-1 series lead. It remains to be seen if this team is going to be able to close out in this situation and I certainly don’t expect the Celtics to go down without a fight. This one has “war” written all over it as I expect everything to be contended, from the opening tip until the final horn. The numbers support our theory as well, as note that Boston has seen the total go under in 12 of its last 18 after playing two straight at home, while Milwaukee has seen the total dip under in 14 of its last 22 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. This number is high in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 105-103 Bucks. | |||||||
05-07-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 213.5 | Top | 98-124 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blazers/Nuggets under (10* TOTAL BEST OF BEST) This has been a back and forth series. The Nuggets lost in quadruple OT in Game 3, only to then bounce back and steal another high-scoring affair in Game 4 to even the series. After back-to-back “marathons,” I believe a much more defensive affair in Game 5. Especially with the shift in venue to the thin Denver air. This one sets up beautifully as a lower-scoring under from a situational angle, but also note that Portland has seen the total dip under in 13 of its last 21 as a road underdog of six points or less, while Denver has seen the total go under in four of five this year off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. This number is high. T.M. Prediction: 105-100 Denver. | |||||||
05-06-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 221 | Top | 108-112 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors/Rockets over (10*) Houston is back in this series after its OT win in Game 3. Clearly the last thing Houston can do is take the foot off the gas in Game 3. I’m expecting a very similar style of contest in Game 4 (note I had the over in Game 3). With the home side pushing the pace from the opening tip until the final horn, the Warriors will be forced to match pace with that style of game play. It sets up great as a high-scoring shootout from a situational stand point. Look for these two offensive clubs to play to another “barn burner” in Game 4 and play the over. T.M. Prediction: 117-115 Rockets. | |||||||
05-06-19 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 221 | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 31 h 43 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bucks/Celtics under (8*) After dropping Game 1, it’s been all Milwaukee in this series, but with their backs against the wall, I believe we can expect the home side to double down on the defensive side tonight. This one has more the feel of a slower paced “chess match” than a run-and-gun “shootout.” Boston has also seen the total go under in 12 of its last 20 when trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. This number is a little high, play the under. T.M. Prediction: 110-105 Bucks. | |||||||
05-05-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 210 | Top | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 32 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets/Blazers over (10*) This doesn’t have to be an extremely high-scoring game (like Portland’s four OT Game 3 victory), to go “over” this very low number. And that’s exactly what I’m expecting. While most likely are thinking that these two teams will come in “gassed” after the Game 3 “marathon,” I believe these offenses are finally just “warming up!” Both teams are in unchartered territory and with the Warriors looking more susceptible right now than at any other time over the last five years, the Western Conference is up for grabs at this point. These are two young/hungry teams and I think fatigue is an over-rated factor here. And the numbers support that theory, as note that Denver has seen the total go over in 12 of its last 17 in trying to revenge a close loss vs. an opponent of three points or less, while Portland has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of ten already this season off a no-cover where it still won SU as the favorite. This number is low, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Blazers. | |||||||
05-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers OVER 214.5 | 101-96 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 47 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Raptors/76ers over (8*) Toronto is suddenly on the ropes. I have a play on the 76ers as well in this three-game report, but clearly the Raptors are going to have to push the pace here as they try to snap out of their offensive doldrums. The 76ers would love nothing more than to push the pace though and with the home side indeed looking to deliver the second to last nail in the coffin, I definitely think that Game 4 sets up great as a high-scoring “shootout.” Play the over. T.M. Prediction: 119-113 Philadelphia. | |||||||
05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 219.5 | Top | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 83 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors/Rockets over (10* TOTAL OF MONTH) Even the most casual NBA fan knows the story lines and the strengths and weaknesses of these two teams, so breaking down individual player match ups is pretty much pointless in my opinion. Golden State dominated the first two games of this series at home, but with the shift to Houston, I’m expecting a much more wide open affair here. Clearly the Rockets are going to be looking to push the pace from start to finish as they try to turn the momentum around in this series. Golden State was surprisingly good defensively vs. Houston at home, but I believe it’ll struggle to duplicate that effort on the road. The numbers/trends support our theory as well, as note that Golden State has seen the total go over the number in 20 of 31 when leading in a playoff series, while Houston has seen the total go over in six of eight when playing with double revenge this year. This number is low. T.M. Prediction: 118-115 Warriors. | |||||||
05-03-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 215.5 | 137-140 | Win | 100 | 37 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Nuggets/Blazers over (8* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER) The series shifts to Portland after each team split out in Denver. The Nuggets looked great in Game 1 and poor in Game 2. The Blazers looked poor in Game 1 and great in Game 2. The playoffs is all about making adjustments. That’s the same when it comes to wagering on the playoffs as well. While each team has looked inconsistent at times already in this series, I’m expecting a much more efficient and faster paced Game 3. And the numbers/trends support that theory, as note that Denver has seen the total go over the number in six of its last seven revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite, while Portland has seen the total go over in 22 of 38 as a home favorite. This number is low, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Nuggets. | |||||||
05-03-19 | Bucks v. Celtics OVER 220 | Top | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 58 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bucks/Celtics over (10* TOTAL MONEY-MAKER) The Celtics blew out the Bucks behind a great defensive performance in Game 1, before Milwaukee returned the favor in Game 2. While the Game 2 total did sneak over the number, This series so far hasn’t seen any big time offensive fireworks, but I believe that’s about to change here. Milwaukee will obviously be looking to push the pace again here after its 123-102 Game 2 victory. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 29 points, 10 rebounds and four assists. Milwaukee had 20 3-pointers in Game 2 and I’m expecting a duplicate game-plan in Game 3 from the visiting side. Kyrie Irving looked great in Game 1 for Boston and poor in Game 2. With the shift in venue, we can expect the C’s best player to return to form here as well. This one has “shootout” written all over it, play the over. T.M. Prediction: 119-118 Milwaukee. |
Service | Profit |
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Ricky Tran | $868 |
Will Rogers | $491 |
William Burns | $415 |
Nick Parsons | $345 |
Joseph D'Amico | $282 |
Ross Benjamin | $255 |
Sean Murphy | $226 |
Tom Macrina | $149 |
Joey Tron | $113 |
ProSportsPicks | $107 |