Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-09-20 | Eastern Michigan +8.5 v. Kent State | Top | 76-86 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Michigan (10* SUPER-DOG). The Golden Flashes are at home for this one after finishing sixth seed. EMU is the No. 11 seed in the tourmanent. If recent history is any precedence though, then EMU has to be liking its chances for an upset here, as it annihilated Kent State 70-49 at home back on February 18th. EMU has admittedly struggled down the stretch, but now that the conference tournament is here, the Eagles have new hope. The Golden Flashes completely underwhelmed this season as well, finishing with a 9-9 conference record and note that it was favored in seven of those nine games. EMU only allows an average 63.4 PPG, which ranks 31st in the country. No outright, but expect an all out battle until the final moments. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 67-63 Kent State. | |||||||
03-08-20 | Lipscomb +12.5 v. Liberty | Top | 57-73 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lipscomb (10* BLOWOUT). This is the Championship Game in the ASUN Conference and a trip to the NCAA Tournament is on the line. Liberty is likely going to punch its ticket to The Big Dance after the final buzzer sounds, but I definitely think the Bison can keep it interesting until the final moments. Lipscomb has experience on its side here, as this is the Bisons third straight appearance in the Championship Game, which includes a loss to these very Flames last year. These teams split their regular season series, eaching winning on its own floor. The Flames are hosting this one at home, but I think they'll have a battle on their hands from start to finish. Outright upset? Anything's possible, but I'm going to grab the points in the end. T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Lipscomb. | |||||||
03-07-20 | North Carolina +11.5 v. Duke | Top | 76-89 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (10* BEST OF THE BEST). UNC lost this game at home 98-96 and I expect another all out war between these rivals. Duke has plenty to play for here as it's currently tied with UVA for the third place in the ACC. UNC though enters not only trying to play spoiler, not only trying to avenge the earlier loss, but also playing its best ball of the entire season in having won three in a row (note that UNC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games after a three-games or longer SU unbeaten streak.) I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-75 Duke. | |||||||
03-07-20 | Louisville v. Virginia | Top | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Virginia (8* MONEY-MAKER). I think the defending champs grinding defensive play will once again be the difference maker for UVA tonight. Louisville won by seven at home in the reverse fixture, which sets this up as a revenge spot for the home side side as well. Note that it was the Cardinals first win out of the last ten in this series. Louisville's weakness this year has been its play on the road and on Seniors Night, I'm banking on the Cavs unrelenting defensive pressure to once again "win the day" here. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 60-54 UVA. | |||||||
03-07-20 | Kentucky +3 v. Florida | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kentucky (10* TRADE-MARK). Kentucky has already earned the SEC regular-season title, but the last thing it'll want to do is to enter the tournament off a loss. Yes, Florida has a lot to play for here, but I simply don't see any sort of letdown here from Kentucky on the National stage. The Wildcats earned the hard-fought 65-59 win over the Gators in mid February and I expect a simialr result here as well. In fact, Kentucky is coming off a hugely disappointing loss at home to Tennessee, falling 81-73 on seniors night. Clearly the Wildcats will be eager to atone for that mess here (Kentucky is also 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. The Gators on the other hand are just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 at home. T.M. Prediction: 73-64 Kentucky. | |||||||
03-06-20 | Missouri State v. Indiana State +1.5 | Top | 78-51 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana State (10* TORTURER). I like Indiana State to pull of the slight upset here. This is the quarterfinals of the Missouri State Conference Tournament. The Sycamores finished 11-7 in league play, while the Bears were 9-9. Missouri State may have hammered Southern Illinois 84-59 on Seniors Night, but I expect it to get overwhelmed in this matchup. Indiana State is the deeper and more consistent team and it enters the Tournament having won four straight. Indiana State is also 3-0-1 ATS in its last four overall, while Missouri State is only 3-13 ATS in its last 16 as an underdog. I'm banking on a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 70-65 Indiana State. | |||||||
03-05-20 | Nebraska +17.5 v. Michigan | Top | 58-82 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nebraska (10* MONEY-MAKER). I believe that in some small way the Wolverines are going to get caught "looking past" their lowly 7-22 opponent today to the upcoming Conference Tournament and that's going to be more than enough for the hungry Huskers to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Huskers are the worst team in the Big Ten, but they'll be eager to try and reverse their fortunes vs. a Wolverines team which has dropped two in a row. Note that they've given up an average of 79 PPG over their last two losses (Wisconsin and Ohio State). With a game at conference leading Maryland to end the regular season, this also sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the home side. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Michigan. | |||||||
03-04-20 | St. Louis -2 v. George Mason | Top | 69-57 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Saint Louis (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Saint Louis enters the final regular season game off a big win over Rhode Island and it won't want to take the foot off the gas now that it's so close to the finish line. With that victory the Billikens are now in the talk for an NCAA Tournament spot (as long as they can now run the table throughout the conference tournament). George Mason started 11-1, but it then went 4-13. Most recently it comes in off a heart-breaking 81-78 setback to Duquesne. These teams met at Saint Louis earlier in the year and the Billikens posted the 81-71 victory. Expect a similar (or even larger!) victory for the visiting side tonight. T.M. Prediction: 72-60 Billikens. | |||||||
03-03-20 | Purdue +5.5 v. Iowa | Top | 77-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (10* TRADE-MARK). Iowa is 20-9 overall, but Purdue annihilated it 104-68 at home last month. Clearly that's not going to happen again here and while I do believe the outright upset is in the cards tonight as well, in the end I'll be recommending for everyone to grab the ample points. Purdue also has wins over VCU, Virginia and Michigan State. The Boilersmakers have gone just 1-3 in their last four though and they'll need a few miracles to make it back into the NCAA Tournament at this point. And a victory here would certainly go a long away in helping their cause. The Hawkeyes have looked better of late, but note that they're just 2-5 ATS in their last seven in trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent of 30 points or more. In the end, let's grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 73-72 Iowa. | |||||||
03-02-20 | Idaho State v. Weber State -6.5 | Top | 78-70 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Weber State (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Idaho State is 6-20, while Weber State is 11-17. Idaho State comes in with zero momentum, as it's lost 12 straight and failed to cover in three straight as well. Weber State fans can empathize though, as the Wildcats enter hungry here after having lost three of their last four. The Bengals are horrible in every offensive and defensive category, but particularly in the rebounding department, pulling only 32.8 per game. And if recent history is any precedence, then the Wildcats have to be loving their chances today, as they already beat the Bengals 76-68 on the road. This is a big opportunity for the Wildcats after a scuffling stretch and with just a couple of games remaining in the regular season. The stage is set for an explosive home victory here. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Weber State. | |||||||
03-01-20 | St. Louis v. Rhode Island -6 | Top | 72-62 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rhode Island (10* TRADE-MARK). Saint Louis is 20-7 and Rhode Island is 20-8. Overall the Billikens average 71.8 PPG and they allow 66.1. Saint Louis though is just 4-4 in true road games this year. Rhode Island won't be taking anything for granted here after a slim road win over Fordham last time out. The Rams average 74.7 PPG and they allow 68.4. Rhode Island is also 4-0 ATS in its last four following an ATS loss, while Saint Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last five following a SU victory. I'm laying the points as all signs point to a big time home victory in the A-10 reg. season finale. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Rhode Island. | |||||||
02-29-20 | Michigan State +2.5 v. Maryland | Top | 78-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* TRADE-MARK). This is a big game, with big conference tournament implications and I'm calling for the minor upset. Michigan State comes to town off two straight wins. Maryland has won ten of 11, but I think it'll have difficulty here vs. this MSU team which plays with revenge after falling at home to Maryland a couple of weeks ago. Both teams have excellent defenses, but the overall experience that Michigan State brings to the table can't be underestimated as big factor working in its favor here. Michigan State has found its groove again and I believe the "revenge factor" DOES matter in this one (that said, let's grab the points!) T.M. Prediction: 71-69 Michigan State. | |||||||
02-28-20 | Kent State +1.5 v. Ohio | Top | 69-76 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kent State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). Yes 14-14 Ohio is going to be "hungry" here, but I don't think that's going to matter vs. the vastly superior Kent State Flashes. These teams met two weeks ago and the Golden Flashes pulled away for a relatively simple 87-72 victory. Ken State is averaging 76 PPG and it's allowing 69.3, while Ohio is averaging 71.1 PPG and allowing 68.5. Kent State though is 5-0 ATS this year as a road dog of six points or less, while Ohios is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite of three points or less or pick. I'm grabbing the points, but expecting an outright. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Kent State. | |||||||
02-27-20 | San Diego +26.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 59-94 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Diego (10*). San Diego is a putrid 9-20 overall and 2-12 in WCC action. Gonzaga though is going to get classically caught "looking past" its lowly opponent in my opinion though. The Bulldogs are 27-2 and 13-1 overall and they have their sights set on a National title right now, not on the lowly Toreros. SD also catches Gonzaga off a disappointing loss to BYU and I think it's collectively still caught up on that monster letdown. I definitely think that the conditions are correct for a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. So grab the points! T.M. Prediction: (80-70 Gonzaga). | |||||||
02-26-20 | Furman v. NC-Greensboro -4.5 | Top | 81-67 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UNC Greensboro (10* TRADE-MARK). This is a big game for both 23-6 teams. Both teams enter off victories as well. The bottom line is though is that I can't stress how important I feel that the home court advantage will be in this particular matchup. The Furman Paladins got destroyed by the Spartans 86-73 at home back January 11th and I expect an even bigger lop-sided blowout here. Sometimes the revenge angle works and other times it's completely overrated. I believe the latter is definitely the case in this one. Lay the points, but expect a big blowout! T.M. Prediction: (75-60 UNC Greensboro). | |||||||
02-25-20 | Missouri State v. Valparaiso -2 | Top | 74-89 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Valparaiso (10* BEST OF THE BEST). Missouri State is 14-15 and Valparaiso is 15-14. Both teams though come in having won three of their last four. Missouri State's only loss in that time though came against Bradley on the road, 83-79. The Crusaders though most recently come in off a win at home over Bradley, cruising to a 90-78 win. The Bears score 69.4 PPG and they allow 67.2, while the Crusaders average 72.3 PPG and allow 71.3. Valparaiso though is a near-perfect 6-1 ATS this year vs. teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and I expect that strong to get carried over here in this difficult road building. Lay the short points. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Valpo. | |||||||
02-24-20 | Louisville v. Florida State -2.5 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida State. These are two of the top teams in the country, but bottom line is that I don't think we can overlook the home floor advantage as being a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Louisville comes in off a 72-55 win over UNC, but FSU is an entirely different animal, especially at home. And especially on the defensive side of the ball. FSU already smashed Louisville on its home court the last time these teams played and I expect a similar result here as well. This one has double-digit destruction written all over it in my professional opinion. T.M. Prediction: 75-65 FSU. | |||||||
02-23-20 | Indiana State -3.5 v. Evansville | Top | 64-62 | Loss | -111 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Indiana State (10* MONEY-MAKER). Indiana State ended a three-game slide with a big 67-64 win over Northern Iowa last time out, getting 18 points and seven boards form Jake Laravia. Evansville though is a complete disaster and I expect it to continue to struggle here, most recently coming off a listless 70-53 loss to Southern Illinois, its 15th setback in a row. The Sycamores need to keep the foot on the gas here and after beating the No. 1 team in the league, I don't think there's any reason not believe that they can't in fact do that. Evansville is just 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 at home and I look for that record to get even worst after tonight. No trap here, look for Indiana State to instead take advantage! T.M. Prediction: (76-60 Sycamores). | |||||||
02-22-20 | Florida State -1 v. NC State | Top | 67-61 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER). North Carolina State admittedly comes in off an impressive 88-66 win over Duke last time out, but I think it's poised for a classic letdown here. FSU is 12-3 in ACC play after its 82-67 win over Pittsburgh. The Wolfpack are just 8-7 in league play. NC State lost to Boston College previous to this big upset last time out, so I'm not reading too much into this most recent result. FSU's size and depth will prove to be too much for the home side to keep pace with down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 76-70 FSU. | |||||||
02-21-20 | Princeton v. Harvard -7.5 | Top | 60-61 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Harvard (10* IVY-LEAGUE). The bottom line on this one is, I don't think you can overlooked the "home court advantage" as being a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Harvard won't be taking anything for granted here after the Tigers snuck by the Crimson 70-69 in Princeton on February 1st. Both teams come in off less that impressive wins, but in this big contest, where the winner will take over the No. 1 spot, I think the revenge minded home side gets the job done vs. a Tigers team which just gave up 88 points to Yale. Lay the points here. T.M. Prediction: 80-62 Harvard. | |||||||
02-19-20 | Michigan v. Rutgers -2.5 | Top | 60-52 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rutgers The Wolverines have owned this matchup, winning all 12 games. That changes tonight. Wolverines are 1-5 ATS as road underdogs. Rutgers is 6-1 ATS When The Total Is 130 To 139.5. Knights are also a perfect 5-0 ATS As A Home Favorite Of 6 Points Or Less Or Pick. Knights haven't lost here all season. They'll stay perfect at home! T.M. Prediction: 69-63 Rutgers | |||||||
02-18-20 | Ole Miss v. Missouri -1.5 | Top | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Missouri. These two teams are in the middle of the pack in the conference, but Missouri comes in off a bit 85-73 win over Auburn last time out and all signs point to this confidence and momentum carrying over into this one in front of the home town crowd. The Rebels on the other enter off a deflating 67-62 loss to Kentucky and I believe they have another letdown here as well. And that numbers/trends support my theory, as note that Ole Miss is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a road underdog or pick, while Missouri is a sharp 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite of three points or less. In this particular case, "home floor" means EVERYTHING! Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-64 Missouri. | |||||||
02-17-20 | Idaho v. Portland State -10.5 | Top | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Portland State 10* Portland State. Analysis to come. T.M. Prediction: 82-65 Portland State | |||||||
02-16-20 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +11 | Top | 70-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: EAST CAROLINA Cincinnati was -17 here last season and East Carolina won the game. Did you know that Bearcats are 1-6 when the total is 140 to 149.5. Thats both SU and ATS. Pirates 8-3 ATS last 11 as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points. This game will be close. Grab points. T.M. Prediction: 75-71 Cincinnati | |||||||
02-14-20 | Yale -3.5 v. Princeton | Top | 88-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: YALE The Bulldogs are the better team here but just because they're playing on the road we get them at a value price. This is been a great role for Yale. Bulldogs are 3-0 ATS as road favorites of 6 or less and 10-2 ATS last 12. Princeton 0-2 ATS as home underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points. Yale won here 81-59 last visit and that was expected to be a close game. Thats 4 straight in the series all the wins coming by at least 4. Go with the Bulldogs to take down the Tigers again tonight. T.M. Prediction: 74-65 YALE | |||||||
02-13-20 | Old Dominion v. Rice | Top | 73-70 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: RICE OK. This isn't the most exciting Thursday game. Doesn't matter to me. I just want winners! For this one, we essentially have no pointspread. ODU is 7-13 last 20 games and 1-8 SU its last nine on the road. Monarchs score 59.6 points per road game. The Owls score 81.6 points per game at home. Rice is starting to roll and is off 3 straight wins. They keep rolling for another day! T.M. Prediction: 74-66 RICE | |||||||
02-12-20 | Michigan -5.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 79-54 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: MICHIGAN Wildcats may have homecourt advantage but the Wolverines have too many other advantages. Michigan is 16-1 SU its last 17 against a team with a losing record and that includes a 4-0 SU + ATS record last 4. Wildcats are in freefall and this is not the team to get better against. Last meeting? A 20-point win for the Wolverines. Sorry NW fans, this one will also turn ugly! T.M. Prediction: 75-62 MICHIGAN | |||||||
02-11-20 | Air Force v. Boise State -12 | Top | 57-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boise State This is a huge mis-match, in everyones opinion. Air Force is a terrible 0-6 SU/ATS in their last 6 games this season. The Falcons are also a sad 0-5 in their last 5 games on the road. Even worse, they are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference (MVC.) For the Broncos, they have been dominant. Although they may have lost their previous match, they still bring in an underated 16-9 record. Not only that, but they have done an excellent job in covering the spread as well. Entering this game, Boise State is a perfect 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the Mountain West Conference. Enough said. Take the Broncos. T.M. Prediction: 81-57 BSU | |||||||
02-10-20 | Florida State +8.5 v. Duke | Top | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida State Both of these two teams have been excellent in the 2019-20 season. They are both at 20-3 and they are expected to do extremely well in March Madness. Florida State enters with a sweet 9-1 record in their last 10 games this season. The Seminoles are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played in February. Even better, they are 13-1 in their last 14 games played. For Duke, they are only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. The Blue Devils are also a sad 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games played in February. The line is too large. Take Florida St and expect an easy cover. T.M. Prediction: 86-83 FSU | |||||||
02-08-20 | Grand Canyon v. California Baptist -6.5 | Top | 103-98 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cal Baptist Cal Baptist over Grand Canyon? You might be thinking to yourself, what kind of GOTM play is that Tim? They can't all be Duke against Kansas though. If you can bet on it, I'm looking at it. The fact is, this one's a clear cut mismatch. This is Cal Baptist's second season in the Div 1. so they aren't eligible for the Tournament. Thats lucky for the other teams. Led by Milan Acquaah's 17.3 points-per-game, the Lancers have flat out been getting it done. They already beat the Antelopes at Phoenix and they complete the series sweep tonight! T.M. Prediction: 78-61 Cal Baptist | |||||||
02-08-20 | DePaul v. Georgetown -4 | Top | 72-76 | Push | 0 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Georgetown The Georgetown Hoyas may not be doing so well as of late, but they can still win at home. Coming into today's game against DePaul, the Hoyas are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games at home. Georgetown is also 7-3 in their last ten meetings against the Blue Demons. On the other hand, DePaul is a terrible 0-5 SU in their last 5 games. DePaul is also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played in February. Even worse, they are 1-9 in their last 10 games this season. At home, expect an easy Georgetown win. T.M. Prediction: 76-64 Georgetown | |||||||
02-07-20 | Iona v. Quinnipiac -5 | Top | 73-52 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Quinnipiac Quinnipiac is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home. They are also a dominant 6-1 SU in their last 7 games played on a Friday. On the other hand, Iona is a terrible 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road. Iona is also only 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Expect a crushing performance by the home team in this one. Take Quinnipiac. T.M. Prediction: 78-51 Quinnipiac | |||||||
02-05-20 | East Tennessee State -5 v. Chattanooga | Top | 80-64 | Win | 100 | 20 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: East Tennessee St Coming into this game, East Tennessee State has been red hot. They ae now e 6-1 in their last 7 games after last games' blowout. East Tennessee State is also a perfect 9-0 (7-2 ATS) in their last 9 games against Chattanooga. For the Mocs, they are off a tough loss last time out, against Western Carolina. That makes them only 2-3 in their last 5 games this season. The Buccaneers may be on the road, but expect them to be the much better team in this one. Take ETSU. T.M. Prediction: 78-61 ETSU | |||||||
02-01-20 | Bradley v. Loyola-Chicago -5.5 | Top | 51-62 | Win | 100 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Loyola Chicago These two teams may not look too different, but I see a huge skill gap between each other. Loyola Chicago is 9-4 SU in their last 13 games against opponents in the Missouri Valley Conference. The Ramblers are also 11-4 in their last 15 games. For Bradley, they are a sad 2-7 SU in their last 9 games on the road. Even worse, the Braves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Loyola-Chicago. At home, expect an easy Ramblers win. T.M. Prediction: 76-51 Ramblers | |||||||
01-29-20 | San Jose State v. Boise State -15.5 | Top | 71-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boise State If you don't think that the Broncos can beat this team by more than 15, you should probably study up on your history books. Last year, Boise State won 87-64 at San Jose and 105-57 here at Boise! Thats a 48 point destruction in a game they were favored by 19! The year before the Broncos won by 23 here. Simply put, SJ State stinks. Last time Spartans were on the road they lost by 27, an 86-59 beatdown. As Boise has been dominant at home, you can expect to see a similar score tonight T.M. PREDICTION 89-65 Boise State | |||||||
01-28-20 | Auburn -5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 83-82 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Auburn I have the Tigers winning this one by a dozen which makes a line of -5 look awful good. Ya, the Rebels have homecourt advantage. That just keeps the line down though. There's a big talent difference here. The Tigers are 17-2 though and Ole Miss is 10-9. The Tigers remember getting swept by this team last year and that included an upset at Auburn. Tonight they turn the tables. T.M. PREDICTION 77-65 Auburn | |||||||
01-26-20 | Stanford v. California +8.5 | Top | 50-52 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: California Golden Bears The Golden Bears are 6-3 vs. the number L2 years when playing with 5 or 6 day's rest in between games. The Cardinal are 2-4 vs. the number when playing with 7 or more day's rest. Recent games between these teams here in Berkeley have been very close. Cal has won 2 of L4 meetings here and lost the other 2 by 3 and 4 points. This one comes down to the final buzzer. T.M. Prediction: 77-76 Cal | |||||||
01-26-20 | Missouri State v. Drake -4.5 | Top | 69-71 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Drake Entering this game, Missouri State is only 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Drake (0-6 ATS.) They are also a sad 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Drake. For the Bulldogs, they are a perfect 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home. Drake is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played in January. Take Drake on Sunday. T.M. Prediction: 74-63 Drake | |||||||
01-25-20 | Oklahoma State v. Texas A&M +2.5 | Top | 73-62 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas A&M Aggies Texas A&M may come in as the underdog, but I believe that they will find a way to crush the Cowboys here on Saturday. Coming into this game, Texas A&M is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the Big 12 Conference. The Aggies are also a dominant 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State. For the Cowboys, they are only 0-5 ATS (0-5 SU as well) in their last 5 games this season. At home, give me Texas A&M all day. T.M. Prediction: 81-67 Aggies | |||||||
01-24-20 | Kent State v. Buffalo -4 | Top | 70-66 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo Bulls The Buffalo Bulls and the Kent State Golden Flashes both come in with identical 13-6 records. Although their records may look the same, I believe that Buffalo is by far the more superior side in this one. Entering this game, the Bulls are a dominant 17-3 SU in their last 20 games at home. Buffalo is also 4-1 in their last 5 games. Even better, they are a sweet 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Kent State. For the Golden Flashes, they are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on the road (2-5 ATS L7.) Kent St is also a sad 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against Buffalo. At home, I expect the Buffalo Bulls to dominate this Kent St team with ease on Friday. T.M. Prediction: 83-73 Buffalo | |||||||
01-23-20 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. South Dakota -7.5 | Top | 60-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: South Dakota Entering this game, South Dakota is a dominant 12-3 in their last 15 games played on a Thursday. The Coyotes are also a sweet 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against IPFW. For the Mastodons, they are only 2-11 SU in their last 13 games on the road. IPFW is also a sad 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games this season. At home, expect an easy win for the Coyotes. T.M. Prediction: 79-61 SDAK | |||||||
01-21-20 | Miami-FL +17.5 v. Duke | Top | 59-89 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Fl Duke may be the better team, but if you're going to give me 17.5 to a team that almost beat a top 10 opponent last time out, I'm jumping all over that. Duke is only 14-20 after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games the past 3 years. On the other hand, the Hurricanes are 3-1 off a loss against a conference rival. Miami FL is also a perfect 2-0 this season after 2 or more consecutive losses. Expect an easy cover on Tuesday. T.M. Prediction: 79-75 Duke | |||||||
01-19-20 | Loyola-Chicago -3.5 v. Illinois State | Top | 62-50 | Win | 100 | 4 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Loyola-Chicago I recently won with Loyola-Chicago on Thursday against Southern Illinois. Now, I like them even better as they play another weak team in Illinois State. The Ramblers come into this game 9-2 SU in their last 11 games. LOYCH is also 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games played in January. Even better, they are a dominant 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Illinois State. For the Redbirds, they are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games (1-7 L8.) They are also a terrible and when I say terrible, I mean absolutely terrible 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against opponents in the Missouri Valley Conference. Expect another huge win for the Ramblers on Sunday Afternoon. T.M. Prediction: 76-54 Ramblers | |||||||
01-18-20 | Middle Tennessee v. Florida International -7.5 | Top | 69-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida International I believe that their is a huge gap between the skill of these two teams. Florida International is 9-3 SU in their last 12 games. The Panthers also are a dominant 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Middle Tennessee. Even better, FIU has won 10 straight games when playing at home. For the Blue Raiders, they are only 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games. They are also a terrible 0-6 SU in their last 6 games on the road and they are 0-9 in their last 9 games. I smell blowout in this one as FIU wins by 23. T.M. Prediction: 83-60 FIU | |||||||
01-15-20 | Massachusetts v. St Bonaventure -8.5 | Top | 61-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St Bonaventure The Bonnies come into this matchup as ther much better team. They are a dominant 10-1 SU in their last 11 games this season. St Bonaventure is also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games. Even better, they are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 games played in January. For UMASS, they are only 3-11 SU in their last 14 games played on a Wednesday. The Minutemen are also 2-14 SU in their last 16 games played in January. Even worse, they are a terrible 0-7 in their last 7 games against the Bonnies. At home, expect a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 72-51 Bonnies | |||||||
01-14-20 | Central Michigan v. Toledo -8.5 | Top | 74-67 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toledo Both of these two teams may have identical records, but I believe that the Rockets are the better team. Toledo comes into this game with a massive 9-1 record in their last 10 games at home. Toledo is also 8-4 ATS off a home non-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite the past three years. Even better, they are 7-3 ATS ehrn against good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. For the Chippewas, they are only 0-8 SU in their last 8 games on the road. Central Michigan is also a terrible 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Toledo. Expect an easy cover for the home team here. Take the Toledo Rockets. T.M. Prediction: 76-49 Toledo | |||||||
01-12-20 | Canisius v. St. Peter's -2.5 | Top | 72-68 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St Peter's Both of these two teams sit with a record below .500. But, even with a 5-7 record, the Saint Peter's Peacocks are still a dominant 9-3 ATS this season. Saint Peter's also come into this game with a 6-3 SU record in their last 9 games against opponents in the Metro Atlantic Conference. On the other hand, Canisius are a terrible 0-6 in their last 6 games this seaaon. The Golden Griffins are also only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the MAC. Even worse, they are a sad 0-5 in their last 5 games played on the road. With St Peter's at home, expect the Peacocks to win with ease on Sunday. Take SPC T.M. Prediction: 69-61 SPC | |||||||
01-11-20 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Green Bay -6 | Top | 87-80 | Loss | -103 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Green Bay On Saturday, both teams will battle to see who's the better team in Wisconsin. Neither team has played too well, but their whole seasons could flip around, with a huge win today, Wisconsin-Milwaukee is only 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games this season. They are also a sad 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Wisconsin-Green Bay. Even worse, they are a terrible 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Saturday. For Green Bay, they are a perfect 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Wisconsin-Milwaukee. The Phoenix are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Take Wis-GB here. T.M. Prediction: 73-60 | |||||||
01-11-20 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Eastern Kentucky -5 | Top | 72-78 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Kentucky Neither team has started too well to the 2019-20 campaign. They both enter well under .500 and that has made people think that both cannot make the Big Dance. But, with a win here, I believe that Eastern Kentucky's hopes are still alive. EKU is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the Ohio Valley Conference. On the other hand, SIU Edwardsville are only 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Eastern Kentucky. Take EKU at home on Saturday, T.M. Prediction: 77-61 EKU | |||||||
01-08-20 | Tulsa v. Cincinnati -9 | Top | 44-75 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati The Bearcats may not have the best record, but they still have a very talented team, led by one of the best players in the entire league in Jarron Cumberland. Dating back to last season. Cincinnati is 16-4 SU in their last 20 games against opponents in the American Athletic Conference. The Bearcats are also 18-2 SU in their last 20 games at home. Even better, they are a perfect 5-0 in their last five games against Tulsa. For the Golden Hurricane, they are only 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road. They are also a sad, 5-11 SU in their last 16 games played in January. Expect another dominant performance from Cincinnati tonight, at home. Take the Bearcats. T.M. Prediction: 81-56 Cinci | |||||||
01-06-20 | Louisiana-Monroe v. Coastal Carolina -7 | Top | 64-93 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Coastal Carolina The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks haven't looked too great as of late, which has resulted in recent struggles. Although they have won their last two games, they are only 2-5 in their last 7 games. The Warhawks are also a sad 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against Coastal Carolina. For the Chanticleers, they have looked very sharp. Entering this game, they are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in January. Even better, Coastal Carolina is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Monday. Expect another easy win for them on Monday. T.M. Predtiction: 77-59 CCAR | |||||||
01-04-20 | Florida State +6.5 v. Louisville | Top | 78-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida St Both of these two teams are crusing right through the start of their seasons. Florida St is 12-2 while Louisville is 11-2. The Seminoles are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games this season. They are also 7-4 after a cover as a double digit favorite. Even better, FSU is a perfect 5-0 SU in their last 5 games played on a Saturday. Louisville is only 7-11 after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread the past three years. I expect the Seminoles to shock the world here on Saturday. T.M. Prediction: 78-77 FSU | |||||||
12-30-19 | Louisiana Tech -7 v. Southern Miss | Top | 80-49 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Louisiana Tech There is a gigantic gap of skill between these two schools. Louisiana Tech comes in as the leader in the Conference USA. They are a dominant 5-1 SU in their last 6 games this season. The Bulldogs are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against the Golden Eagles. Even better they are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against Southern Mississippi. For the Eagles, they come in as the 13th best team in the same conference. They have struggled all season long and that has resulted in a terrible record. Southern Miss is only 3-9 SU in their last 12 games. I expect the Bulldog to destroy these guys on Monday. Take LT. T.M. Prediction: 83-59 LT | |||||||
12-28-19 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Northern Kentucky -7.5 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Kentucky Wis-Milwaukee enters this game with a 5-7 record. They havce yet to do anything really, and they have lost their last five games. The Panthers are also a terrible 0-6 SU in their last 6 games against Northern Kentucky. For NKU, they are a dominant 18-2 in their L20 games at home. The Norse are also 13-5 in their L18 games dating back to last season. Even better, they are a perfect 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against opponents in the Horizon League Conference. I expect this to be a complete destruction on Saturday Morning. Take NKU. T.M. Prediction: 78-62 NKU | |||||||
12-23-19 | San Francisco +1 v. Fresno State | Top | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Fran Coming into this game, San Francisco is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games. The Dons are also 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games against Fresno State. Even better, they are a dominant 8-3 in their L11 games played in December. On the other hand, Fresno St comes in with a sad 1-4-1 ATS record in their last 6 games played on a Monday. The Bulldogs are also only 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games. Expect San Fran to take care of business on the road today. Take the Dons. T.M. Prediction: 69-57 SF | |||||||
12-21-19 | Kentucky +4 v. Ohio State | Top | 65-71 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UK The Wildcats may not have had the best start in the world, but they still are 80% on the year, Kentucky comes in 11-2 SU in their last 13 games played on a Saturday. They are also 6-1 SU in their last 7 games. On the other hand, Ohio St has been pretty good as well. "I know they lost (Wednesday), but at the end of the day, they're going to be one of the better teams in the country," UK Head Coach said after the game on Wednesday. Holtmann expects a completely different Kentucky team here, than the team that everyone saw against Utah. Expect a huge bouce-back win. T.M. Prediction: 85-83 Kentucky | |||||||
12-18-19 | VCU -5 v. College of Charleston | Top | 76-71 | Push | 0 | 18 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: VCU VCU comes into this one 6-0 SU in their last 6 games on the road. They are also 16-4 SU in their last 20 games dating back to last season. Even better, they are a sweet 18-2 SU in their last 20 games against opponents in the Colonial Athletic Conference. On the other hand, College of Charleston are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Wednesday. The Cougars are also a sad 2-4 SU in their last 6 games this season. Expect a beadown here. T.M. Prediction: 78-63 VCU | |||||||
12-17-19 | North Texas v. Dayton -15.5 | Top | 58-71 | Loss | -113 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dayton 14th ranked Dayton comes in 8-1 while North Texas enters with a sad 4-6 record. For Dayton, they are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games played in December. The Flyers are also6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games this season. Even better, Dayton is 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home. On the other hand, North Texas is 1-4 SU in their L5 games against opponents in the Atlantic 10 Conference. Even worse, the Mean Green are 5-14 SU in their last 19 games dating back to last season. I expect the Dayton Flyers to destroy this weak UNT team. T.M. Prediction: 83-57 Dayton | |||||||
12-16-19 | Eastern Illinois -1.5 v. Western Illinois | Top | 85-47 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Eastern Illinois Coming into this game, Eastern Illinois is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games. The Panthers are also 6-2 in their L8 games played in December. Even better, they are a dominant 5-1 in their last 6 games against Western Illinois. On the other hand, Western Illinois is a sad 4-14 SU in their last 18 games. The Leathernecks are also 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against opponents in the Ohio Valley Conference. Expect EIU to win with ease here. T.M. Prediction: 73-60 EIU | |||||||
12-15-19 | Samford v. Hawaii -6 | Top | 73-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawaii Samford has not had the start they were hoping for and now they'll go up against a Hawaii team, who are 6-1 at home so far this season. For the Bulldogs, they have a 1-7 SU record in their last 8 games on the road. On the other hand, Hawaii is 8-3 SU in their L11 games played on a Sunday. Expect Hawaii to dominate from the opening tip-off and for it to be an absolute blowout. T.M. Prediction: 81-64 Hawaii | |||||||
12-14-19 | IUPU Ft Wayne -2.5 v. IUPU-Indianapolis | Top | 65-74 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Purdue Fort Wayne IPFW come into this matchup 5-1 SU in their last 6 games. The Mastodons are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in December. They are a just as good 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against opponents in the Horizon League Conference as well. On the other hand, IUPUI is only 1-6 SU in their last 7 games. They are also a sad 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Saturday. Expect Purdue Fort Wayne to dominate these guys here today. Take IPFW. T.M. Prediction: 69-60 IPFW | |||||||
12-12-19 | Iowa v. Iowa State -4 | Top | 84-68 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iowa St Both teams in this huge rivalry have started off the season with similar records. Iowa State enters this one with a perfect 5-0 SU record in their last 5 games at home. The Cyclones are also 5-0 SU in their last 5 games played in December. On the other hand, Iowa is only 1-5 ATS in their L6 games on the road. The Hawkeyes are also 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against Iowa State. Expect Iowa St to dominate with a loud, home crowd behind them. Take the Cyclones. T.M. Prediction: 73-61 ISU | |||||||
12-08-19 | Central Michigan v. Valparaiso -2.5 | Top | 55-77 | Win | 100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Valparaiso Central Michigan comes in with a terrible 0-10 SU record in their L10 games against opponents in the Missouri Valley Conference. They are also 1-3 ATS in their L4 games (lined games.) On the other hand, Valparaiso is 12-5 SU in their last 17 games against opponents in the Mid-American Conference. The Crusaders are also 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home. Expect Valparaiso to crush this Central Michigan team on Sunday. T.M. Prediction: 76-65 Valparaiso | |||||||
12-05-19 | Furman v. Auburn -12.5 | Top | 78-81 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Auburn Auburn comes in with a perfect 7-0 record while Furman is 7-2. The Tigers are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games played in December. They are also 9-3 ATS in their L12 games played on a Thursday. On the other hand, the Paladins are a sad 0-6 SU in their L6 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference. Furman is also only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. I expect Auburn, the better team, to destroy this weak Furman team. Take Auburn. T.M. Prediction: 87-54 Auburn | |||||||
12-03-19 | Florida State +3 v. Indiana | Top | 64-80 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Florida St Both teams have had really good starts to the year, and have looked extremely sharp. FSU though, has already beaten 2 ranked opponents. Since their opening day loss, they have yet to lose. Florida State is also 13-1 ATS in their L14 games played on a Tuesday. On the other hand, Indiana is only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference. Expect FSU to dominate against Indiana on Tuesday. Take FSU. T.M. Prediction: 81-72 FSU | |||||||
12-02-19 | South Dakota v. Washington -13 | Top | 55-75 | Win | 100 | 26 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Huskies Washington come in with a ridiculous 19-1 SU record in their last 20 games at home. They are also 5-1 in their L6 games. They'll play the South Dakota Coyotes who are only 1-5 ATS in their L6 games played in December. South Dakota is also 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games. Washington is by far the better side in this one and I expect them to dominate with their home crowd behind them here. Take the Washington Huskies. T.M. Prediction: 82-61 Huskies | |||||||
12-01-19 | Rhode Island +9 v. West Virginia | Top | 81-86 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: URI Both teams have started their season off on the right foot. URI has been solid, and have looked confident in their first seven games. Now, they'll play the West Virginia Mountaineers who are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in December. Rhode Island are 12-4 SU in their L16 games played in December. I expect the URI Rams to win this game outright. But I'm glad to take the point as well. Take Rhode Island. T.M. Prediction: 74-71 URI | |||||||
11-28-19 | Davidson v. Marquette -3 | Top | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marquette On Thanksgiving, the Golden Eagles will play the Wildcats in the first round of the Orlando Invitational. Entering this game, Davidson is 2-3, while the Golden Eagles are 3-1. Davidson is 0-5 SU in their L5 games against an Big East Conference opponent. Marquette is 5-1 ATS in their L6 games vs. an opponent in the Atlantic 10 conference. I expect Marquette to dominate, as they have yet to lose as a favorite this season so far. Take the Golden Eagles. T.M. Prediction: 73-59 Marquette | |||||||
11-26-19 | Wichita State -3 v. South Carolina | Top | 70-47 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
v T.M. Selection: Wichita St On Tuesday evening, the Shockers will play the Gamecocks in the CanCun Challenge. Coming into this game, Wichita St is 5-0 and has looked dominant. They averaged 18.4 more points per game than their opponent. On the other hand, South Carolina has failed to cover the spread in their last two games. I expect the Shockers to be extremely good in the Cancun Challenge Opener. Take Wichita St. T.M. Prediction: 75-67 Wichita St | |||||||
11-25-19 | Colorado State v. New Mexico State -4 | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico State On Monday, the Aggies will play the Rams in the Cayman Islands Classic in-season tournament. Coming into this game, New Mexico St is 8-1 SU in their L9 games vs. opponents in the Mountain West Conference. I expect them to take it to the Rams on Monday Morning. Take New Mex State. T.M. Prediction: 76-63 Aggies | |||||||
11-20-19 | Rider v. Massachusetts -6 | Top | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UMASS The Minutemen have started the new season perfect, with four wins and no losses. They have looked extremely confident coming in to this game. Rider enters with a 2-1 record. In their previous matchup, the Broncs lost by 37 points. Rider is also 4-13-1 ATS in their L18 games. I believe that UMASS will get the job done, with their home fans behind them, on Wednesday Night. Take the Minutemen. T.M. Prediction: 76-56 UMASS | |||||||
11-18-19 | SMU v. Evansville -2 | Top | 59-57 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Evansville Both of these two teams enter this game with a perfect 3-0 record. Although they are 3-0, SMU is only 1-4 ATS in their L5 games (dating back to last season.) On the other hand, Evansville is off one of thier biggest wins in school history. On Tuesday, the Aces upset the #1 team in the nation in Kentucky. I expect them to feel like the best team, play like the best team, and win like the best team in america tonight. Take Evansville. T.M. Prediction: 78-65 Evansville | |||||||
11-08-19 | Illinois -6.5 v. Grand Canyon | Top | 83-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Illinois (First Half) The Fighting Illini come into this game 1-0, and Grand Canyon enters with an 0-1 record. Illinois has one of the best backcourts in all of the Big Ten and Grand Canyon gave up 82 poinyts in their first matchup against a weak Davenport team. I expect the Fighting Illini to come out with lots of confidence as they look to continue their success. Take Illinois. T.M. Prediction: 34-24 (1st Half) | |||||||
04-06-19 | Texas Tech v. Michigan State -2.5 | Top | 61-51 | Loss | -109 | 106 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* BLOWOUT BEST OF BEST) With a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are very evenly matched. And they are. Both have used smothering defensive play to reach this point, but MSU’s offense is better and in this situation, I think that’ll be enough to put the Spartans over the top. Tom Izzo has an advantage over his counterpart Chris Beard as well. Michigan State’s experience and superior offensive numbers make it the correct call in my opinion. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-60 MSU. | |||||||
04-05-19 | South Florida +2.5 v. DePaul | Top | 77-65 | Win | 100 | 30 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: South Florida (10* WINNER). I had the Bulls in Game 1, the Blue Demons in Game 2 and for Game 3 I’m coming back with USF (each game has been razor sharp, some may have won, pushed or lost depending on when you got down. I was admittedly fortunate both times so far). Game 2 was a 100-96 OT DePaul win, but I think the Game 3 pace, which I predict will be “slow” due to the high-scoring extra-frame shootout on Wednesday, absolutely favors the defensive minded Bulls here. DePaul has not looked like the better team and home court was not really an advantage at all in Game 2. Note that DePaul is still just 1-7 ATS in its last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record, while USF is still 12-3 ATS in its last 15 on the road. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked by an outright upset. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Bulls. | |||||||
04-04-19 | Lipscomb +1.5 v. Texas | Top | 66-81 | Loss | -104 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Lipscomb (10*) I had Lipscomb in their victory over Wichita State last time out and I think they’re not getting nearly enough respect here as well. The Longhorns looked impressive in their 58-44 win over TCU, but I think they’ll have their hands full with this deep and experienced “Cinderella” side. The Bison average 83.6 PPG and they allow 69.9. Texas averages only 70.8 PPG, while allowing 66.4. The numbers don’t add up to me here. I think the Bison get out to an early lead and I don’t think the offensively challenged Longhorns are going to be able to keep up. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 Bison. | |||||||
04-03-19 | South Florida v. DePaul -4 | Top | 96-100 | Push | 0 | 33 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: DePaul (10* BLOWOUT) I had a play on USF and it would hold on for the 63-61 home victory in Game 1 of the CBI Tournament Championship on Monday. With a chance to take the title here, the defensive minded Bulls are going to be out to duplicate their performance, holding the Blue Demons to just 38.5 percent from the floor in the victory. In Game 2 though I’m expecting the high-flying Blue Demons to push the pace from start to finish and to ride the wave of emotion in front of the home town crowd to solid SU/ATS victory here. USF is one of the best defensive teams in the nation, but at nearly 79 PPG average offensively for the Blue Demons, I think the Bulls’ unit gets pushed to the brink in Game 2. From a situational stand point I think this one sets up great for DePaul to bounce back in. USF is also just 8-11 ATS in its last 19 after scoring 65 points or less in two straight games, while DePaul is 5-2 ATS in its last seven off a road loss. T.M. Prediction: 85-67 Blue Demons. | |||||||
04-02-19 | Hampton +5.5 v. Marshall | Top | 78-80 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hampton (10* BLACK-LABEL) This is one of the semi-finals of the CIT. The Hampton Pirates have won eight of their last nine games. Overall the Pirates average 81.4 PPG, while allowing 76.1. The Thundering Herd have won eight of nine as well. Overall Marshall averages 80.2 PPG, while allowing 80.9. These number don’t matchup. Hampton has experience as well. Additionally note that the Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last five on the road, while the Herd are only 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games and just 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. I think the outright upset is very possible obviously, but in the end I’ll grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 88-86 Hampton. | |||||||
04-01-19 | DePaul v. South Florida -1 | Top | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: USF (10* CBB GAME OF WEEK) This is Game 1 of the best of three for the CBI title. DePaul enters off win over CMU, Longwood, Coastal Carolina, while USF beat Stony Brook, Utah Valley and Loyola Marymount. DePaul has looked good so far in this tournament having scored at least 90 points in all three victories, but note that it’s still just 3-8 on the road this year. Overall the Blue Demons average 78.6 PPG, while allowing 76.2. USF has gotten this far because of its unreal defense and I believe it’ll be the difference maker in Game 1 as well (most recently beating Loyola Marymount 56-47 at home.) USF is 17-5 on its home floor and it averages 71.9 PPG, while allowing 66.5. I’m banking on home floor mattering here. T.M. Prediction: 80-71 Bulls. | |||||||
03-31-19 | Michigan State v. Duke -1.5 | Top | 68-67 | Loss | -109 | 31 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Duke (10* TRADE-MARK) After back-to-back near upsets, I look for the Blue Devils to come out and play their finest game to this point of the Tournament. These are two of the most storied College Basketball schools in history, so a re-cap of their Hall of Fame coaches or the programs themselves is unnecessary obviously. What doesn’t break you, makes you stronger. The Blue Devils have survived and I believe they’ll come in confident here vs. a Spartans team which has rolled through its competition to this point. But now MSU is in for a fight and I think it’s one that it’s not matched up well for. I like the big stars (Barrett, Williamson) of Duke to be the difference once again. Lay it. T.M. Prediction: 80-68 Blue Devils. | |||||||
03-30-19 | Purdue +4.5 v. Virginia | Top | 75-80 | Loss | -108 | 34 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (10*) Virginia has an unrelenting defense. The Cavs are the No. 1 defense in the country, but Purdue comes in on top form and I believe the Boilermakers will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Purdue had a 14 point lead over the Vols in the Sweet 16, but eventually the Boilermakers pulled away for the 99-94 OT victory. Virginia got the better of Oregon 53-49. As stated off the top, clearly the Cavs are a power-house on the defense side. However, clearly their lack of offensive consistency has been their weak point as well and it’s one which I think the Boilermakers can exploit today as they look to pull off another SU upset. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Purdue. | |||||||
03-29-19 | LSU +6 v. Michigan State | Top | 63-80 | Loss | -109 | 128 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LSU (10* MONEY-MAKER) LSU has had its difficulties over the last month and a half. The Tigers faded down the stretch of the regular season and then faltered in the SEC Tournament. LSU has gotten past Yale and Maryland though and I think it won’t go down without a fight here either vs. Michigan State, which has beaten Bradley and Minnesota. LSU averages 80.9 PPG and it allows 72.9. MSU averages 78.5 PPG and it ranks third in the country in field goal percentage defense. These numbers are comparable. I look for this one to come right down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 75-74 MSU. | |||||||
03-28-19 | Florida State v. Gonzaga -6.5 | Top | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 104 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Gonzaga (10* SWEET 16 BEST OF THE BEST) It’s a big time revenge game for the Bulldogs as Florida State laid a 75-60 beatdown on them in the Sweet 16 last year. Both teams have advanced relatively easily to this point. The Noles average only 44.4 percent form the floor, including 33.7 percent from range, making up for it on the other end by conceding only 67 PPG. Gonzaga comes in on top form as well though, most recently destroying Baylor 83-71 on Saturday. “They’re a really good team,” Gonzaga forward Corey Kispert said of the ‘Noles. “They’re going to demand our best. But it’s exactly what we wanted. We wouldn’t want it any other way.” Note that the Bulldogs have been even better on the defensive side this year, allowing just 64.8 PPG. I think the revenge angle works and is the difference. Lay it. T.M. Prediction: 80-68 Zags. | |||||||
03-25-19 | Brown v. Loyola Marymount -4 | Top | 63-81 | Win | 100 | 28 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Loyola Marymount (10* BLACK-LABEL) This is the quarterfinals of the CBI Tournament. Brown posted an 83-78 win over UAB to advance to face the Lions. Overall the Bears averaged 73.9 PPG, while allowing 68.5. Loyola Marymount lost to Pepperdine in the WCC Tournament, but it bounced back with a victory over California Baptist to reach this point. The Lions averaged only 67.2 PPG, but they made up for it on the end of the court by allowing only 62.7. Note that Brown is 0-3 ATS in its last three as a road underdog of 3.5 to six points, while Loyola Marymount is 9-4 ATS this season after failing to cover in two of its last three vs. the spread. I think the Lions aggressive defensive play proves to be too much for the Bears tonight. T.M. Prediction: 74-63 Loyola Marymount. | |||||||
03-24-19 | Ohio State +6 v. Houston | Top | 59-74 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ohio State (10* TRADE-MARK) Ohio State enters off a 62-59 win over Iowa State, while Houston rolled to an 84-55 win over Georgia State to advance to the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The Buckeyes had a poor shooting game last time out, but their tough defensive play was the difference. Ohio State also collected 38 boards, compared to just 31 for Iowa State. Houston rolled to victory in Round 1, but I think the Cougars, who only average 75.6 PPG, will have a much more difficult time today vs. the buzz saw of an Ohio State defense right now. Additionally note that Ohio State is 5-0 ATS in its last five neutral site affairs. Outright is possible, but I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 67-65 Houston. | |||||||
03-23-19 | Minnesota v. Michigan State -9.5 | Top | 50-70 | Win | 100 | 31 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10*) These teams are familiar with each other, both hailing from the Big Ten. This is a matchup which does not bode well for the Gophers. These teams played once this season and the Spartans administered a severe 79-5 beatdown on February 9th. Richard Pitino got some sort of mild revenge for his father in yesterday’s upset win over Louisville, but MSU is an entirely different animal. Minnesota is just 1-3 ATS this year when playing with one or less days rest, while Michigan State is 3-0 ATS in the same position. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-62 MSU. | |||||||
03-22-19 | UCF v. VCU -1 | Top | 73-58 | Loss | -105 | 109 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: VCU (10* GAME OF WEEK) UCF is back in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2005. The Knights lost their final two games of the year. UCF averages only 72.1 PPG, but makes up for it on the other end by allowing only 64.3. VCU returns after a one-year absence. The Rams had a 12 game win streak snapped by Rhode Island in the A-10 Tournament. The Rams average only 71.4 PPG, but like their counterparts today, they make up for it on the other end by conceding only 61.6 PPG. Note as well that VCU is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 tournament games and 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600, while UCF is only 2-5 ATS in its last seven following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 67-60 Rams. | |||||||
03-21-19 | Montana +15.5 v. Michigan | Top | 55-74 | Loss | -106 | 85 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Montana (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I’ll stop short in calling for the outright victory, but with nothing to lose, I think that the hungry Montana Grizzlies can keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. I think that Michigan is still “shell shocked” after losing to rival MSU in the Big Ten Championship Game. Montana won’t be going down without a fight. It’s filled with experienced players as it just captured its second straight Big Sky tournament title. This is a revenge game of sorts as well after Montana fell to Michigan in a 3 vs. 14 matchup last year, 61-47 in Wichita. No outright, but the table is set for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest. T.M. Prediction: 69-62 Michigan. | |||||||
03-20-19 | Arizona State v. St. John's +1.5 | Top | 74-65 | Loss | -115 | 61 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: St. John’s (10* TRADE-MARK) These teams are evenly matched. Both teams looked great at times this year and each struggled down the stretch of the season. Hence the reason they find themselves in The First Four. St. John’s plays with “revenge” here though after falling to the Sun Devils 82-70 in Los Angeles last year. Chris Mullin entered his fourth year as head coach of St. John’s this season and for the first time since taking over, he’d finish with a winning regular season record. Winning has come slower than expected for Mullin, but at the end of the day, he has gotten his team to this point: “The fact of the matter is it does not matter,” Mullin said about the fact the selection committee confirmed the Red Storm was the last at-large team in the field. “So it’s kind of quite factual. And so it’s a true new beginning. No. 1, No. 16, 12, there’s no advantage. You gotta go out and play good basketball. You play good basketball, you move on; if you don’t, your season’s over. “I was part of the team that was the last team in the NBA playoffs on the last day of the season. And we upset the No. 1 team with the most wins in the NBA. So it truly does not matter. You don’t have to make that up. That’s not something you have to tell stories about; that’s the fact.” Ultimately I think that ASU’s issues down the stretch can’t be ignored. Look for St. John’s to finally live up to expectations. At least for one night. T.M. Prediction: 77-75 Red Storm. | |||||||
03-17-19 | Michigan v. Michigan State +1 | Top | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* MONEY MAKER) Michigan finished 15-5 in Big Ten lay, while MSU was 16-4. This is simply a bad matchup for Michigan though. These teams met twice in the regular season, and the Spartans won each time (by 12 at home on March 9th and by 7 on the road on February 24th.) It’s difficult to beat any team three times in one season. But MSU is a pretty good team. And sometimes certain “match ups” give teams issues. I had a play on Old Dominion last night and it had beaten WKU twice in the regular season (by a combined seven points.) I stated in that write-up the exact same thing, that certain “match ups” are just difficult for some teams, and that’s definitely the case here in my opinion as well. I think the Spartans’ depth on both ends of the court once again proves to be too much for the Wolverines to overcome. T.M. Prediction: 70-60 MSU. | |||||||
03-16-19 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion -1 | Top | 56-62 | Win | 100 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Old Dominion (NCAA TOURNEY GAME OF YEAR) Clearly these teams are very evenly matched as evidenced by this spread. These teams have played twice this year and ODU came out on top both times. The games were decided by a total of seven points. Both teams come in on top form, but this is a matchup which has confounded WKU this season. I think that’ll again be the case here. ODU is the top seed in the tournament for a reason. Also note that WKU is 0-4 ATS in its last four off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, while ODU is 3-0 ATS in its last three after two straight close wins by three points or less. T.M. Prediction: 70-53 ODU. | |||||||
03-15-19 | Florida v. LSU -1.5 | Top | 76-73 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LSU (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think LSU lays the hammer down here. Florida played well in its 66-50 win over Arkansas on Thursday, but I believe the Gators come in tired here. Florida went just 1-8 vs. AP Top 25 teams, the lone victory coming against LSU. Now the rested Tigers, who won five straight to end the regular season, come in rested and ready to avenge that setback. LSU is 3-1 ATS in neutral court games this year and 7-3 ATS in its last ten when playing with five or six days rest. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 77-60 LSU. | |||||||
03-14-19 | Indiana v. Ohio State +1.5 | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ohio State (10* TRADE-MARK) The Buckeyes beat the Hoosiers 55-52 on February 10th and I expect a similar hard-fought, but final score here as well. Ohio State lost four of five down the stretch, including a 73-67 OT loss to Wisconsin at home in its finale. Ohio State is out to play spoiler here, as a loss and Indiana is clearly out of contention for The Big Dance. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Ohio State. | |||||||
03-12-19 | Notre Dame -2.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Notre Dame (10* TRADE-MARK) The Irish have lost seven straight and GT may have won three of its final five, but I think the Irish have more than enough talent to get past the first round this year. ND finished 13-18 and GT ended up 14-17. These teams split a pair of games this season. The Irish put up a good fight vs. Pittsburgh last time out, eventually succumbing 56-53. The Yellow Jackets upset NC State 63-61 on the road on Wednesday, but I think an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent here. I’ll point out as well that GT is just 1-3 ATS this year off an upset win as an underdog, while ND is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 after allowing 60 points or less. Despite the losing streak and the current form of each, I think ND matches up well here. Lay the short points. T.M. Prediction: 67-60 Irish. | |||||||
03-10-19 | Houston v. Cincinnati -1.5 | Top | 85-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati (10* BLACK-LABEL) Houston comes in off a 90-79 win over SMU on Thursday, while Cincinnati enters off a 58-55 road loss to UCF. The Bearcats need to win this game though to earn a tie with the Cougars for first place in the AAC. Cincinnati will be the hungrier team here though after its latest loss, but also because it’s out to avenge a 65-58 setback to the Cougars on their home floor in the first meeting this season. Houston is just 1-3 ATS this year after scoring 85 points or more. Cincinnati is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Bearcats. | |||||||
03-08-19 | Minnesota v. Maryland -6.5 | Top | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 26 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Maryland (10* GAME OF MONTH) Maryland isn’t playing well as the season winds down, having lost two straight. The Terps will be desperate to break the slide on Seniors night in the regular season finale though. The Golden Gophers are coming on strong to end the season, having won two in a row. That includes a huge upset win over Purdue last time out. Minnesota lost in the reverse fixture at home earlier in the year and I think it’s primed for a classic “letdown” here after its emotional upset win last time out. Maryland on the other hand comes in razor focused after back-to-back “duds.” Note as well that the Gophers are just 3-5 ATS in their last eight as a road underdog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Maryland is a near-perfect 4-1 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. T.M. Prediction: 75-60 Maryland. | |||||||
03-06-19 | Providence v. Creighton -6 | Top | 70-76 | Push | 0 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Creighton (10* BLACK-LABEL) Providence is in last place in the standings. Creighton clawed its way out of the cellar to improve to 7-9 in league play with an upset win over Marquette and I think it carries that momentum over into another big performance in their final home game of the regular season. The Friars are poised for a letdown after their 73-67 upset OT win over Butler on Tuesday. Creighton though has won three straight and note that it’s already 3-1 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog. Providence on the other hand is a poor 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing with seven or more days of rest. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Creighton. | |||||||
03-05-19 | Nebraska +13 v. Michigan State | Top | 76-91 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Nebraska (10*) The Cornhuskers are just 5-13 in league play and they come in off an 82-53 loss to Michigan, but I think it can keep this one competitive as it looks to play spoiler vs. this suddenly reeling MSU side. The Spartans are off a 63-62 road loss to Indiana and I believe they’ll be collectively mentally caught up on that “hiccup” still. Nebraska averages 71.9 PPG and it allows 65.1. MSU averages 79.5 PPG and it allows 65.7. Nebraska is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road underdog of 12.5 points or more, while MSU is 1-4 ATS in its last five as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 18 points range. T.M. Prediction: 73-68 MSU. | |||||||
03-04-19 | Kansas State v. TCU +1.5 | Top | 64-52 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: TCU (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) I think the “hungrier” home side finds a way to get the job done here. TCU is on the bubble for The Big Dance and with a chance to cement a spot with a win today, I’m expecting the Horned Frogs to step up and make it happen. K-State is currently tied atop the Big 12 with Texas Tech. Will the visitors get caught looking past their opponent today to their weekend matchup vs. Oklahoma? The possibility is there. TCU though does not have that luxury. Note as well that K-State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four after allowing 65 points or less in four straight games, while TCU is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 when playing with one or less days rest. T.M. Prediction: 67-66 TCU. | |||||||
03-03-19 | Marshall v. North Texas -6 | Top | 85-82 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: North Texas (10* BLACK-LABEL) UNT won the first meeting 78-51 and I believe we’ll see a similar final combined score here as well. Marshall is 8-7 and tied for sixth, while UNT is 8-8 and tied for eighth. However, it’s now or never for the Mean Green, who enter having losing five straight. Desperation breeds motivation in this case. Note as well that the Herd are just 3-7 ATS as an underdog this year and only 4-11 ATS on the road, while UNT is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 off a SU home loss. Home floor advantage is a big one here. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-70 UNT. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ross Benjamin | $675 |
Sean Murphy | $454 |
William Burns | $419 |
Ricky Tran | $323 |
Sean Higgs | $237 |
Will Rogers | $192 |
Joseph D'Amico | $127 |
Joey Tron | $16 |