Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-11-19 | Miami-OH v. Akron -6 | 51-80 | Win | 100 | 28 h 59 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Akron (8*) Miami Ohio lost its final three games of the regular season. The Redhawks average 71.5 PG and they allow 69.5. Miami Ohio though has allowed an average of 72.6 during its slide and I think it’ll have its hands full again here tonight vs. the Zips. Akron also struggled down the stretch, losing six of eight. Overall Akron averaged 69.2 PPG and it allowed 63.7 PPG. Miami Ohio though is a poor 5-6 ATS this year as a road underdog or pick, while Akron is still 6-2 ATS in its last eight as a home favorite in the 3.5 to six points range. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 70-60 Zips. | |||||||
03-11-19 | Western Michigan +11 v. Central Michigan | 67-81 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 60 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Western Michigan (8*). WMU plays with the added “double revenge” factor tonight after dropping both regular season games vs. CMU. The Broncos average 70.3 PPG and they allow 76.1. The Chips are the better team no doubt, but complacency sets in my opinion. They’ve already beaten the Broncos twice and they’ve won five of their last seven. I’m not calling for a complete collapse here, but the stage is set from a situational stand point for a much tighter battle than what this spread would suggest in my opinion. Additionally note that WMU is still 10-6 ATS in its last 16 when playing with double revenge, while CMU is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight off a road win vs. a conference rival. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 78-76 CMU. | |||||||
03-10-19 | Houston v. Cincinnati -1.5 | Top | 85-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati (10* BLACK-LABEL) Houston comes in off a 90-79 win over SMU on Thursday, while Cincinnati enters off a 58-55 road loss to UCF. The Bearcats need to win this game though to earn a tie with the Cougars for first place in the AAC. Cincinnati will be the hungrier team here though after its latest loss, but also because it’s out to avenge a 65-58 setback to the Cougars on their home floor in the first meeting this season. Houston is just 1-3 ATS this year after scoring 85 points or more. Cincinnati is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Bearcats. | |||||||
03-09-19 | Michigan v. Michigan State -3.5 | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (8*) This is a big game. Both teams come into a three way tie with Purdue for first place in the conference with 15-4 overall records. Michigan comes in off a 69-62 win over Maryland. The Wolverines average 115.3 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 93.2 points per 100 possessions. MSU enters having won six of its last seven. The Spartans average 121.3 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 97.1 points per 100 possessions. Note though that Michigan is just 3-6 ATS this year after successfully covering the spread in two more consecutive games, while MSU is already 11-4 ATS at home as a home favorite or pick. T.M. Prediction: 75-61 MSU. | |||||||
03-09-19 | DePaul v. Creighton -7.5 | 78-91 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Creighton (8*) Both teams have been hot of late, but Creighton can pretty much punch its ticket to the Big Dance today with a victory. DePaul comes in off back-to-back victories. But after throttling Georgetown 101-69 on Wednesday, I’m expecting a predictable letdown here. This is and has always been a matchup for DePaul, which has lost nine straight in this series (note that the Blue Demons have been outscored by an average of 16.8 points and have given up 82.8 points per game in those nine losses.) The Blue Jays are the hottest team in the Big East right now and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas. Creighton is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 home games vs. a team with a sub .400 road record, while DePaul is just 11-25-3 ATS in its last 39 following a SU win. T.M. Prediction: 82-70 Creighton. | |||||||
03-09-19 | USC +6.5 v. Colorado | 67-78 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: USC (8*) USC comes in as the “hungrier” team here as it looks to halt a three-game skid and to pull even at 9-9 in conference play in the final regular season contest. Colorado on the other hand looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after consecutive wins over Utah and UCLA. This is a revenge game as well for the Trojans after the Buffs scored the 69-65 road win on February 9th. Many situational factors working in favor of the visitors today. Also note that USC is already 2-0 ATS this year after two or more straight road losses, while Colorado is just 1-4 ATS in its last five off a blwout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 USC. | |||||||
03-09-19 | Louisville +12.5 v. Virginia | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Louisville (8*) Louisville comes in as a sizeable underdog in the season finale for both teams. The Cardinals have looked good under new coach Chris Mack’s direction, finishing 10-7 in ACC play. The Cavs are playing for at least a share of the ACC regular season title, so the Cards are out to play spoiler here. Louisville averages 112.9 points per 100 possessions and it allows 96.0 points per 100 possessions vs. ACC opponents. The Cavs have won seven straight. The Cavs are a slow paced offense, but they make up for it on the other end by sporting the nation’s No. 1 defense. Louisville is also 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog or pick, while UVA is just 1-3 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 18 points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 66-60 UVA. | |||||||
03-09-19 | UNLV +2 v. Colorado State | 65-60 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UNLV (8*) The Rebels come in off a win and they also enter with confidence after taking this game vs. the Rams at home 78-76. UNLV got the better of Boise State 85-81 in OT on senior night this past Saturday and I expect it to keep the foot on the gas here after the extended time off. Colorado State comes in on the other end of the spectrum, falling 100-96 to first place Utah State in OT. Can anyone say letdown spot?! Note as well that the Rebels are already 3-0 ATS this year when playing with five or six days rest, while CSU is a terrible 0-3 ATS in its last three as a home favorite of three points or less or pick. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 76-75 UNLV. | |||||||
03-08-19 | Minnesota v. Maryland -6.5 | Top | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 26 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Maryland (10* GAME OF MONTH) Maryland isn’t playing well as the season winds down, having lost two straight. The Terps will be desperate to break the slide on Seniors night in the regular season finale though. The Golden Gophers are coming on strong to end the season, having won two in a row. That includes a huge upset win over Purdue last time out. Minnesota lost in the reverse fixture at home earlier in the year and I think it’s primed for a classic “letdown” here after its emotional upset win last time out. Maryland on the other hand comes in razor focused after back-to-back “duds.” Note as well that the Gophers are just 3-5 ATS in their last eight as a road underdog in the 6.5 to nine points range, while Maryland is a near-perfect 4-1 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. T.M. Prediction: 75-60 Maryland. | |||||||
03-08-19 | Bowling Green +14.5 v. Buffalo | 73-84 | Win | 100 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Bowling Green (8* MONEY-MAKER) I’m going to stop short in calling for the outright victory, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what this spread would suggest in my opinion. Buffalo’s already wrapped up the East Division of the MAC at 15-2. Bowling Green is 12-5 in conference action and tied for second with Toledo. The Falcons won’t be lacking for confidence here either after they posted the 92-88 upset over Buffalo in the first meeting on February 1st. Bowling Green has lost three straight, so it won’t be lacking for motivation here. Buffalo had to hold on for a tighter than expected 82-79 win over Ohio on Tuesday and it appears to be running out of gas (has won eight straight, but covered in just three of those.) No outright, but grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 83-80 Bulls. | |||||||
03-07-19 | Portland v. San Diego -13 | 47-67 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: San Diego (8*) This is the first round of the WCC Tournament. San Diego fell to BYU last time out, but I expect it to lay the hammer down here vs. the lowly Portland Pilots. Portland lost 24 of 31 regular season games. Not surprisingly the Toreros have taken two straight in this series. Portland average 65.5 PPG and it allows 74.9. San Diego struggled late in the season, losing five of its last seven. The Toreros though will look to make a run in the tournament. Overall they average 72.9 PPG and they allow 69.8. Note as well that Portland is still just 9-15 ATS as an underdog, while SD is a perfect 4-0 ATS this year off a road loss by ten points or more. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
03-07-19 | Hawaii v. UC-Davis -2 | 76-69 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UC Davis (8*). These teams are tied at 7-7 in conference play in fourth place. I can’t understate how important I think that the home floor advantage will play in the outcome of this one. Hawaii is backing its way into the Conference tournament as it enters this one with zero momentum off three straight losses, most recently falling 84-73 to Cal State Northridge. Hawaii averages 103.0 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 107.4 per 100 possessions. UC Davis is suddenly moving in the opposite direction, as it broke a three-game slide with a 65-59 win over Cal State Fullerton last weekend. On offense UC Davis averages 96.5 points per 100 possessions, while allowing 102.8 per 100 possessions. Additionally note that UC Davis is 20-8-1 ATS in its last 29 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. And finally note that the home team has covered the spread in each of the last four in the series. Play on UC Davis. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
03-07-19 | Indiana +2.5 v. Illinois | 92-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indiana (8*) The Hoosiers are 15-14 and they’ll be battling to stay above the .500 mark against an inconsistent 11-18 Illinois Fighting Illini team. Indiana though comes in playing its best ball of the year with back-to-back victories over top 25 teams. This is a big games, as Indiana sits one game back of Illinois in the conference standings. Note that the Hoosiers won the reverse game at home 73-64 earlier in the year. In their win over No. 6 Michigan State last weekend they gave up just 62 points. Illinois broke a three-game slide with an 81-76 win over Northwestern (note that the Wildcats are in the cellar in the Big 10.) The Hoosiers have clear momentum and they’re 4-0-1 ATS in their last five road games facing Illinois. I’m banking on a blowout, play on Indiana. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
03-07-19 | Cincinnati +2.5 v. UCF | 55-58 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 51 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati (8*) This is a big game for both teams. The Bearcats need to win this game and their next one at home vs. Houston to wrap up the AAC title and the No. 1 seed. Cincinnati enters on a five-game win streak and it sports one of the top defensive units in the nation. UCF is ranked for the first time in eight years and I think the Knights suffer a predictable letdown here under the weight of expectations. UCF has won three straight since a loss to the Bearcats, but Cincinnati’s defense is a major matchup issue for the Knights and I expect that trend to carry over here. Clearly the outright isn’t out of the question, but grab the points. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
03-07-19 | Temple +1.5 v. Connecticut | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 25 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Temple (8*) Temple comes in having won six of its last eight and I believe it’ll carry that momentum over here. Overall Temple averages 75 PPG, while allowing 71.2. The Owls have split their last six road games, but they catch a break here facing a Huskies side which has lost seven of its last nine. UConn averages 74.4 PPG, while allowing 70.6. Temple destroyed UConn at home last month and I believe we’ll see a similar result here once it’s all said and done. After beating USC on Sunday, I think UConn takes a step back here. Play on Temple. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,310 |
Ray Monohan | $607 |
Joey Tron | $512 |
Ross Benjamin | $483 |
Ricky Tran | $405 |
Jimmy Boyd | $370 |
Sean Murphy | $269 |
Sean Higgs | $214 |
Kyle Hunter | $176 |
Mike Lundin | $162 |