Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-28-19 | Northern Illinois v. Vanderbilt -6 | Top | 18-24 | Push | 0 | 45 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vanderbilt (vs. NIU) I've got to admit, neither teams have looked good this season so far. Northern Illinois has given up 5+ TD's in b2b games as they've just gotten worse and worse as the season continues. Now, they'll play a Vanderbilt team who'll be very hungry for their first win of the 2019-20 campaign. Although losing in each of their games, the Commodores have shown some promise. Last week, they scored 38 points against a great LSU squad who are/were the #4 team in the nation. Expect them to play their guts out on Saturday morning behind their home crowd. T.M. Prediction: 31-13 Vanderbilt | |||||||
09-27-19 | Duke v. Virginia Tech -2.5 | Top | 45-10 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Virginia Tech (vs. Duke) Over the years, the Hokies are a dominant 13-2 SU against Duke. I look for them to continue that domination on Firday Night. In most of those 15 games, the Hokies were big favorites. Last time the teams met here, VT was favored by 17 points. Now, the point spread isn't even really a factor. Hokies win and get us the cover to boot! This number is small. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 28-17 VT | |||||||
09-26-19 | Navy v. Memphis -10.5 | Top | 23-35 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis (vs. Navy) T.M. Analysis: We will see the stronger team seize control of this one right away. Tigers have taken on Ole Miss. Navy has faced nothing but lightweights. Tigers, 14-1 straight-up last 15 as a home favorite, recall last year when Navy beat them by 1. They'll step on their throats early. T.M. Prediction: 27-13 (first half) | |||||||
09-19-19 | Houston +5.5 v. Tulane | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston (vs. Tulane) The line opened with Tulane at -3 and then went up. I agree with the opener. Not the move. These teams are very equally matched, in my estimation. Houston, perhaps, is even the stronger of the two. Homefield isn't worth as much, in this case, as the odds are suggesting. The Cougars won 48-17 at Houston in 2018 and they lost by 3 here in 2017. This one comes down to the wire again. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 34-31 Houston | |||||||
09-14-19 | San Diego State v. New Mexico State +16 | 31-10 | Loss | -107 | 124 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico State (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-14-19 | USC v. BYU +5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 119 h 5 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: BYU (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-14-19 | Akron +4 v. Central Michigan | 24-45 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Akron (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-14-19 | New Mexico +35 v. Notre Dame | 14-66 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 6 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: New Mexico (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-14-19 | Ohio State v. Indiana +16 | 51-10 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indiana (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-14-19 | NC State v. West Virginia +7.5 | 27-44 | Win | 100 | 116 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: WVU (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-14-19 | Maryland v. Temple +8.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 116 h 36 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Temple (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-13-19 | Washington State v. Houston +8.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 101 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston (GAME OF MONTH) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-07-19 | Nevada v. Oregon -23 | Top | 6-77 | Win | 100 | 123 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oregon (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) Is there ever a “must win” game in Week 2? For the Ducks who were picked by many to win the Pac 12 and who lost 27-21 in Auburn last weekend, it has essentially turned into that for them. Oregon won’t be throwing in the towel on its season yet though. The Ducks still have a shot at a CFP berth, but they need to win and they need to win big. Nevada? It’s primed for a letdown here as well after it upset Purdue 34-31, capped off by a 56 yard field goal as time wound off the clock. Can anyone say letdown spot? The conditions are definitely correct for a home side rout. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-07-19 | South Florida +6 v. Georgia Tech | 10-14 | Win | 100 | 117 h 12 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: South Florida (8*) Both teams enter off blowout losses. USF’s Charlie Strong is desperate here though as dating back to last year the Bulls are now 0-7 after a 49-0 blowout loss at home to Wisconsin. Georgia Tech though looked equally as horrible in its 52-14 setback to Clemson. If recent history is any precedence though, then USF has to be liking its chances today because when these teams met last year, it was the Bulls who pulled away for the 49-38 win. Last week USF’s Blake Barnett was only 13 of 30 for 109 yards and two INT’s, but last year vs. Tech he completely dominated. Expect a similar style performance here, as this continues to be a matchup issue for the Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech completely re-did its offense in the off-season and I think it’ll once again struggle to keep pace here. Grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-07-19 | UAB v. Akron +9.5 | 31-20 | Loss | -110 | 115 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Akron (8*) UAB comes to town off a 24-19 win over lowly Alabama State, with Tyler Johnston III going for just 114 yards and a TD. Akron won’t be playing with any such satisfaction this weekend though after a 42-3 loss to Illinois in its opener. Kato Nelson had 122 yards passing and an INT. So what do we take from each team’s Week 1 performance? I’m not reading too much into either result. UAB scraped by Alabama State and I think it’ll have its hands full with this determined FBS home side. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-07-19 | Vanderbilt v. Purdue -7.5 | 24-42 | Win | 100 | 115 h 14 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (8*) Both teams are 0-1. Vandy fell to Georgia, while Purdue was upset in Nevada. The late game had an effect on the Boilermakers, but they’re now back home for a noon EST contest and I think the shift in venue will be a big difference maker. Vanderbilt has plenty of talent, but it’s defense is a big question mark for me. Purdue turned the ball over a whopping six times in last week’s loss, but still almost won. Expect the Boilermakers to clear up their act and to pull away down the stretch. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-06-19 | CS Sacramento +33.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 7-19 | Win | 100 | 101 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento State (10*) The Sun Devils rolled to an easy victory in Week 1 over Kent State and in Week 2, they face an even weaker opponent. No outright here, but I do think this one sets up as a classic “look ahead” spot for Arizona State. And that’s because I find it impossible for Herm Edwards and the home side to not already be planning for a road tilt at No. 18 Michigan State in Week 3. The Hornets destroyed Southern Oregon 77-19 in Week 1 and while it was just an NAIA program, they still come in with confidence and momentum. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-06-19 | Wake Forest v. Rice +18.5 | 41-21 | Loss | -108 | 99 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Rice (9*) They say defense wins championships. That said, you have to score to win though. Rice didn’t look very good last weekend on the offensive side of things in its 14-7 loss to the Golden Knights in Week 1, but the Owls were tremendous defensively. Wake Forest allowed over 400 yards passing in its 38-35 come from behind to stave off a massive upset over Utah State in Week 1. The Demon Deacons posted 587 yards of offense, but averaged only 4.6 yards per play. The Owls offense benefits from friendly confines and while I’m not going to call for an outright upset, the conditions are definitely right for another “nail biter” in my opinion. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
09-02-19 | Notre Dame v. Louisville +20.5 | Top | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 1353 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Louisville (GAME OF THE YEAR) I’m not calling for the outright victory, but I do believe that the stage is set for a much closer than expected battle. Notre Dame has a lot to live up to this season after posting 12 victories a year ago, including a par of 24-17 victory over Michigan and USC. The Irish’s season came to a crashing halt in the Cotton Bowl though, falling 30-3 to eventual Champion Clemson. Many key players return for Notre Dame, but there’s no question that the Irish lost a lot from last year’s squad in the offseason as well. The good news for Louisville fans? It’s practically impossible for this year’s team to do worse that last season’s (2-10). But Louisville has a new head coach in Scott Satterfield and I think he’ll have his team prepared to fight today. Notre Dame has the advantage with Ian Book under center, but his lines on both sides of the ball are a work in progress to open the season and I think that’s going to be the small opening that Louisville can use to keep this one competitive. Bryan Brown is the new defensive coordinator in Louisville and he is the beneficiary of seven returning starters. Louisville QB Jawon Pass now has a fall year under his belt and I think he’s going to be dramatically different in his second season in this offense. I believe the Irish come out flat to start and because of that, I’ll ultimately recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Play on Louisville. T.M. Prediction: 33-24 Notre Dame. | |||||||
09-01-19 | Houston +26 v. Oklahoma | Top | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 1329 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston (10* CASH-MACHINE!) No outright victory, but Houston has the offense in place to keep pace. The Cougars have a dynamic play-making QB in D’Eriq King, who I think has a big advantage over Oklahoma transfer Jalen Hurts, who has plenty of weapons around him, but whose defense is still a big question mark (also note that Oklahoma brings back just one starter on the offensive line.) I think this one is going to come down to whichever of these teams has its hands on the ball last. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-31-19 | Virginia v. Pittsburgh +3 | Top | 30-14 | Loss | -105 | 1305 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh (10* GAME OF THE MONTH) It’s an important conference matchup right out of the gate for both teams and I don’t think that the home field advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor. Last year the Cavs were 8-5, but it lost at home to Pittsburgh and it lost three of its last four regular season contests. Pittsburgh went on to win the Coastal Division, but it fell apart down the stretch, losing to Clemson in the ACC Championship game and then 14-13 to Stanford in the Sun Bowl. Bryce Perkins is back under center for the Cavs and he had 2,680 rushing yards and 25 TD passes, along with 923 rushing yards and nine more rushing TD’s. The Cavs offensive line though is a weak point with seniors Marcus Applefield and Jake Fieler having moved on. Kenny Pickett is back as QB for the Panthers after finishing with 12 TD’s and six INT’s. The offensive line is s question mark as well for Pittsburgh, but its defense is the difference maker in my opinion. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-31-19 | South Carolina v. North Carolina +7.5 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 1301 h 60 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (9* BANKROLL BUILDER) After back-to-back nine loss campaigns, UNC went out and hired Mack Brown. South Carolina will prove a stiff season opening test with QB Jake Bentley back for his senior season. USC was 26th in the country in passing last year, but only 92nd in running the ball. That’s good news for UNC, as it struggled against the run last season, but was stout vs. the pass. Sam Howell will start for UNC and he has plenty of weapons at his disposal both in the back field and at receiver. I think the hire of Brown is significant in helping UNC making big strides this year. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-31-19 | East Carolina +20 v. NC State | 6-34 | Loss | -109 | 1298 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: East Carolina (8* BLACK-LABEL) East Carolina has the advantage at QB with Holton Ahlers, who had 1,785 passing yards and 12 TD’s compared to just three INT’s last season. But Ahlers was just as deadly with his feet, finishing with 592 rushing yards and six major scores. The Pirates also have two very strong RB’s in Darius Pinnix and Hussein Howe. NC State is starting with a new QB and two new RB’s. The home side has the advantage in the trenches, but I think Ahlers keeps his team in this one late. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-31-19 | Ball State +17 v. Indiana | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 1298 h 31 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Indiana (8* MONEY-MAKER) Non-conference football action live from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis on Saturday and I think the Hoosiers make the most of this season opening “cream puff.” Indiana started the year 3-0, but it finished just 5-7 and clearly it’ll be hungry to punch eligibility this season. Peyton Ramsey is back under center for the Hoosiers and last year he had 2,875 passing yards and 19 TD’s. Overall Indiana allowed 29.9 PPG and it averaged 26.4. Last year the Ball State Cardinals allowed 45 PPG and they averaged 24.2. Ball State finished 4-8 last year and it starts a new QB and RB to open the new season. I’m laying the points and expecting a rout. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-30-19 | Purdue -8.5 v. Nevada | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 1283 h 10 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Purdue (8*) Purdue was 6-7 in 2018, while Nevada went 8-5. The Boilermakers went 0-3 out of the gate last year, so recovered well, which led to a bowl berth in the end. Nevada went to the Arizona Bowl and defeated Arkansas State. Purdue averaged just under 30 PPG last season though and I believe it carries over that offensive momentum here in this favorable matchup. Elijah Sindelar had 2,547 passing yards with 20 TD’s last year for the Boilermakers. Nevada though has a new face under center this season in Christian Solano, who was 23 of 45 for 200 yards in limited time last season (note though, Solano just suffered a hand injury, which has forced the Wolfpack to go to Carson Strong to open the campaign.) Look for the better led Boilermakers to pull away down the stretch. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-30-19 | Utah State v. Wake Forest -3 | 35-38 | Push | 0 | 1282 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Wake Forest (8*) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-30-19 | Tulsa +21.5 v. Michigan State | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 1281 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Tulsa (8*) Tulsa doesn’t have a great history of success, having posted more than six victories in a season just once in the past six years. MSU was just 7-6 last year, but it’s predicted to do much better this season. That said, I think the stage is set for a bit of a mental lapse on opening night. Definitely no outright upset, but I think the improved Golden Hurricane can make this much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Note that the Spartans actually dropped three of their last four games last year, scoring only six points in each of those setbacks. Tulsa has a powerful weapon in RB Shamari Brooks, who ranked second in the AAC last year in rushing attempts and play from scrimmage. MSU allowed the fewest yards per game on the ground last year, but I think they’ll have their hands full with Brooks. I’m grabbing the points and expecting a solid back door cover. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-29-19 | Utah v. BYU +6.5 | Top | 30-12 | Loss | -110 | 1260 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BYU (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) The outright win is of course not out of the question, but in this Holy War, I’m going to ultimately recommend to grab the points. 15 returning starters are back for Utah, and it’s been picked by many to win the Pac 12 this year. The defense is stout and the offense should only be better with QB Tyler Huntley back, along with RB Zack Moss. BYU actually had a 20 point lead over the Utes in the third quarter in last year’s instalment between the schools, but it wound up falling 35-27. The “revenge” factor also definitely comes into play here for the home side. BYU has a powerful new RB in Ty-Son Williams, who came over from South Carolina after posting 799 yards and five major scores on 165 carries. Grab the points and expect a nail-biter. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-29-19 | Florida International +3 v. Tulane | 14-42 | Loss | -110 | 1258 h 49 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Florida International (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) Clearly an outright upset isn’t out of the question here. FIU is led by veteran coach Butch Davis, who has come in and won 17 games over his last two years. The Panthers weren’t over ally dominant on the offensive end, but they limited teams to just 194.1 YPG game through the air (just 25.2 points per game allowed.) Tulane was 7-6 and they averaged 218.2 rushing YPG. But FIU looks good to me with QB James Morgan back, as he had 26 TD passes last year, including completing 65% of his passes overall. The Green Wave have a strong defense, but the offense is once again expected to underwhelm. Justin McMillian is back under center for the Green Wave and he completed only 51.3 percent of his passes in 2018. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-29-19 | UCLA +3.5 v. Cincinnati | 14-24 | Loss | -100 | 1257 h 50 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: UCLA (8* UPSET SPECIAL) UCLA opens up its second season under head coach Chip Kelly and I think the Bruins have a prime opportunity at the outright upset here (that said, I will be ultimately advising everyone to grab as many points as you can.) Luke Fickell and the Cincinnati Bearcats had a breakout 11-win season last year, which started with a victory over these very Bruins. UCLA only managed 17 points in that one, but the Bruins finished up the year strong and they return many key players. But a big difference between last year’s team and this one is the emergence of RB Joshua Kelley, who racked up 1,243 yards and nine TD’s over the final stretch. UCLA’s defense should improve significantly this season as well. The Bearcats have plenty of weapons as well (RB Michael Warren II and QB Desmond Ridder), but after last year’s letdown, I think UCLA will at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-24-19 | Arizona -11.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -100 | 1140 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona (10* MONEY-MAKER) I think Arizona comes in focused on the task at hand and I look for it to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover. Khalil Tate is back to 100% health for the Wildcats and after finishing 5-7 in Kevin Sumiln’s first year as head coach, I’m expecting a dramatic reverse of fortunes this season. Conversely, after finishing 8-6 last year, I believe regression is imminent for the Warriors. True Cole McDonald is back under center for Hawaii, but I believe he’ll have difficult vs. this re-vamped Arizona defensive unit. The last time these teams faced off against each other, the Wildcats won 47-28 in 2016 and I believe a similar lop-sided blowout is in the card this time around as well. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY | |||||||
08-24-19 | Florida -7 v. Miami-FL | 24-20 | Loss | -115 | 1137 h 7 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Florida (8*) No. 8 Florida looks to kick things off with a winner on Opening night. Dan Mullen went 10-3 in his first year for the Gators, leading them to a win over Michigan in the Peach Bowl. With veteran QB Feleipe Franks back under center, the Gators once again looking promising in 2019. True Florida features four new players on the offensive line, but for the most part the offensive weapons remain in tact for Franks. Miami though is just 1-4 as an underdog the last two season and I believe first year QB Jarren Williams struggles vs. the aggressive Florida secondary. I’m laying the points. T.M. Prediction: 35-25 Florida. | |||||||
01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +6 | Top | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 132 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clemson (10* TRADE-MARK) The two best teams in the country meet for a fourth straight year in the National Championship Game. Alabama leads the all time series 14-4 and it’s taken 14 of the last 15 in the series. That includes a 24-6 win in last year’s Sugar Bowl. To say the Tigers play with revenge would be an understatement obviously. But now Clemson has both the offense and defense to steal this one outright. The Tigers only allow 12.6 PPG (which is good because the Tide are second in the country in scoring with 47.7 PPG). The Tide defense looked pretty average in its 45-35 win over Oklahoma last week and I think that Tigers’ freshman QB Trevor Lawrence, who had 327 passing yards with three TD’s and no INT’s will have his opportunities today as well. Note as well that the Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine bowl games. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-29 Clemson. | |||||||
01-01-19 | Texas +13.5 v. Georgia | Top | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 34 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas (10* GAME OF MONTH) Texas is 9-4 and it’s thrilled to be back in a New Years Day 6 game for the first time since 2014. The Bulldogs though are once again devastated after their loss to Alabama in the SEC Championship game. The Longhorns fell 39-27 to Oklahoma in the Big 12 title game, but QB Sam Ehlinger was a bright spot with 349 passing yards and two TD’s, along with two more rushing scores as well. Georgia is led by QB Jake room, who had 2,537 passing yards and a 27/5 TD:INT, but note that the Bulldogs are still just 2-3 ATS in their last five non-conference games. The Longhorns on the other hand a 4-0 ATS in their last four as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Georgia. | |||||||
12-31-18 | NC State +7.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 13-52 | Loss | -129 | 36 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NC State (10* TRADE-MARK) In a game which I think’ll be decided by whichever of these talented schools has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to recommend to grab the points. NC State comes in on top form with three straight wins. Texas A&M also won its final three games of the year. Both teams will be missing a few players due to the draft. NC State will be leaning on QB Ryan Finley, who had 3,789 passing yards and 24 passing TD’s. The A&M secondary was terrible, allowing 262.7 YPG through the air. The Aggies will in fact be down some key players on the defensive side of the ball, including LB Otaro Alaka and safety Donovan Wilson. Note as well that the Wolfpack are 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference games as an underdog in the 3.5 to 7.5 points range. As mentioned off the top, this one has “war” written all over it. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 28-27 Aggies. | |||||||
12-31-18 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -6 | Top | 31-35 | Loss | -109 | 28 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cincinnati (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) In all honesty, I think the 6-6 Hokies would admit themselves that they shouldn’t be in this bowl vs. the 10-2 Bearcats. Cincinnati got smashed by UCF on November 17th, but it would close its season with a resounding 56-6 thumping of East Carolina. Bearcats’ QB Desmond Ridder has 2,359 passing yards and a 19/5 TD:INT. Cincinnati is especially potent in the run game, averaging 238.1 YPG. But the Bearcats are best on the defensive side of the ball, ranked seventh in the nation by allowing only 16.1 PPG. VT has Ryan Willis under center and he finished with 2,497 yards with a 22/8 TD:INT. But note that the Bearcats are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games, while VT is just 1-4 ATS in its last five on field turf. BLOWOUT! Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 35-19 Cincinnati. | |||||||
12-29-18 | Oklahoma +14 v. Alabama | Top | 34-45 | Win | 100 | 490 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma (10* BOWL SIDE OF YEAR) Am I calling for an outright upset? I am not. However I think that the 12-1 Sooners have the offense to put enough pressure on the Tide to keep this one more competitive than what Vegas would like us to believe. Oklahoma enters off a 39-27 win over Texas in the Big 12 Championship Game, while Alabama defeated No. 4 Georgia 34-27 in the SEC Championship. Oklahoma is the No. 1 offense in the league with 49.5 PPG, while the defense allows 32.4. Alabama averaged 47.9 PPG and it allowed only 14.8. Note that Oklahoma is 4-2 ATS in its last six when playing on two weeks or more of rest, while Alabama is 2-4 ATS in its last six non-conference games. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 45-37 Bama. | |||||||
12-28-18 | Iowa State +3 v. Washington State | Top | 26-28 | Win | 100 | 35 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iowa State (10* MONEY-MAKER) It’s the No. 24 Iowa State Cyclones vs. the No. 13 Washington Huskies and I smell an upset. Iowa State started slowly, but it’s since won seven of its last eight, including two straight. WSU comes in dejected, relegated to the Alamo Bowl after a disappointing 28-15 home loss to Washington in the Apple Cup. These two teams closed their respective regular seasons on completely opposite ends of the spectrum, and I think that carries over here. The Cyclones average 26.8 PPG and they allow 22.5. “We’re as healthy as we’ve been,” Coach Matt Campbell said. “That time off that we took for us was really, really important. I really feel like we’ll be 100 percent going into this bowl game.” WSU averages 38.3 PPG and it allows 23.1. Note though that Iowa State is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 as an underdog, while WSU is just 2-3 ATS in its last five when playing with two weeks or more of rest. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 ISU. | |||||||
12-27-18 | Vanderbilt -3.5 v. Baylor | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 33 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Vanderbilt (10* MONEY-MAKER) Baylor and Vanderbilt became bowl eligible late, but I think Vanderbilt has the momentum here. Also note that the Bears will be without star receiver Jalen Hurd, who played through a knee injury in his team’s 35-24 win over Texas Tech in its regular season finale, a victory which made it eligible. Note though that the Bears have turned in a Big 12 worst turnover margin of minus-9 and they’ve given up 37 sacks total, which is worst in the conference as well. Vandy on the other hand comes in with a lot of momentum with back-to-back wins to end the year over Ole Miss and Tennessee. The Commodores have a potent one-two punch on offense to between RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn (who had an SEC best 6.95 rushing yards per attempt) and QB Kyle Shurmur (23 passing TDs). Note as well that the Bears are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games, while Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in its last six non-conference games. I’m laying the points. T.M. Prediction: 35-20 Vandy. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Louisiana Tech +1 v. Hawaii | Top | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 34 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Louisiana Tech (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) It’s a clash of two styles. LT was 7-5 and Hawaii finished 8-5. The Warriors average over 32 PPG, while LT hold opponents to under 24. Hawaii is just 4-3 all time in the Hawaii Bowl, proving that home field doesn’t mean much in this situation. Louisiana Tech though is 5-1 ATS in its last six bowl games, while the Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four non-conference games and just 9-23 ATS in their last 32 vs. teams with winning records. I’m grabbing the points but expecting an upset. T.M. Prediction: 33-28 Bulldogs. | |||||||
12-22-18 | Buffalo v. Troy | Top | 32-42 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) The Bulls finished 10-3 and the Trojans were 9-3. Buffalo will be extra angry here as it looks to atone for a 30-29 loss to NIU in the MAC title game, a contest in which it held a 29-10 lead at one point. Bulls’ QB Tyree Jackson will be given the green light after posting 2,857 passing yards and a 27/11 TD:INT. Buffalo is also strong rushing, ranked 45th in the FBS. In the end the Bulls averaged 34.8 PPG and allowed 24.7. Troy averaged just 29.8 PPG and it allowed 21.2. The Trojans are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven vs. the MAC though, while Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss. With a few weeks off to prepare, I like the Bulls’ offense to win out over Troy’s tough defense. Play on Buffalo. T.M. Prediction: 27-23 Bulls. | |||||||
12-21-18 | Florida International v. Toledo -4.5 | Top | 35-32 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Toledo (10* MONEY-MAKER) FIU was 8-4 and Toledo was 7-5. FIU averages 34.6 PPG and it allows 24.7. James Morgan has 2,727 yards and a 26/7 TD:INT. The Rockets averaged a whopping 41.1 PPG and they allowed 30.2. Eli Peters had 1,573 passing yards and 15/7 TD:INT. The Rockets though were money in the bank for bettors in the spot, going 10-1 ATS in their last 11 after allowing less then 275 total yards in their previous game, while the Golden Panthers are a poor 0-5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games. I’m laying the points and expecting a blowout. T.M. Prediction: 37-21 Rockets. | |||||||
12-20-18 | Marshall -2.5 v. South Florida | Top | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Marshall (10* BOWL MONEY-MAKER) What’s to like about USF here? The Bulls opened the year 7-0, but then a combination of injury and bad luck saw USF back into the bowl season on five straight losses. The Herd finished 8-4 and they’ve won their last six bowl appearances. The Bulls feature a strong run game with Johnny Ford and Jordan Cronkrite, but the uncertainty surrounding starting QB Blake Barnett is a major concern here in my opinion. If he can play, one has to wonder about his health and if he’s really at 100% capacity? The combination of Brett Kean and Chris Oladokun went for 113 passing yards in USF’s season-ending loss to UCF. Note as well that Marshall is 21-8-1 ATS in its last 30 non-conference games. This one has blowout written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 31-20 Herd. | |||||||
12-15-18 | North Texas v. Utah State -7.5 | 13-52 | Win | 100 | 68 h 4 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Utah State (8*) Both teams had pretty good seasons, but I have a hard time seeing North Texas matching pace with the high-flying Aggies. North Texas was 9-3 this year, while Utah State was 10-2. The Mean Green averaged 36.4 PPG and it allowed 21.8. Utah State though averaged 47.2 PPG and it allowed only 23. The Aggies are elite on both sides of the ball and they’re also a perfect 4-0 ATS this year in non-conference games. Look for the high-powered Utah State offense to be the difference in this one. T.M. Prediction: 45-21 Aggies. | |||||||
12-15-18 | Tulane v. UL-Lafayette +3.5 | 41-24 | Loss | -106 | 68 h 34 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Louisiana Lafayette (8*) Tulane features the slightly better defense, but the Green Wave were horrible offensively and I think they’ll have a hard time matching pace with the Ragin Cajuns. Tulane averages 25.7 PPG. The Green Wave also struggled defensively against the pass, allowing 265.2 YPG. The Cajuns feature a more explosive offense and they’re 4-1 ATS in their last five bowl games, while Tulane is only 1-4 ATS in its last five on field turf. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked by an outright upset! T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Louisiana Lafayette. | |||||||
12-08-18 | Navy +7 v. Army | Top | 10-17 | Push | 0 | 28 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Navy (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) Army went into this game last year with an identical 9-2 record and after winning 14-13, it finished at 10-2. Now the Knights have a chance to do that again. Navy is only 3-9 and it’s going to suffer its first losing season since 2002. Clearly the Midshipmen aren’t happy: “It has obviously been disappointing,” lamented senior linebacker Hudson Sullivan recently. “It’s not the kind of season that any of us even remotely imagined we would have had,” continued Sullivan, who will be playing in his fourth Army-Navy game (the last two of which his team has lost.) “When the season started we were looking forward to having a winning season, beating Army, playing for the conference championship and going to a bowl game. That didn’t happen. So as big as winning the Army-Navy game usually is, it would mean more this year…. We’re going into the game to play as hard as we can and to beat Army and put a black mark on their season. As seniors, it would be a great way to end our career.” All of the pressure is now on the Knights, who are just 1-4 ATS in their last five as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 20-17 Army. | |||||||
12-01-18 | Clemson v. Pittsburgh +28 | 42-10 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 20 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh (8*) Clemson is scoring 45.7 PPG and outscoring its opposition by 31.7 PPG this year. But the Tigers are starting to show signs of wearing down. Two of Clemson’s last three games by been decided by 21 points or less and last week vs. South Carolina the Tigers would go on to give up 510 yards through the air. The Panthers’ steady play on the defensive side is the difference here and keeps them competitive late. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-23 Clemson. | |||||||
11-30-18 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo -3.5 | Top | 30-29 | Loss | -110 | 106 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo (10* GAME OF THE YEAR). Buffalo went 10-2 this year, including 7-1 in MAC actin, while the Huskies went 7-5 overall and 6-2 in conference play. Note that this is a big time revenge game for the Bulls after Northern Illinois won this game last year 14-13. Buffalo is rolling, having scored at least 30 points in all but three games this year. Overall Buffalo is averaging 35.2 PPG and allowing 24.2. NIU is averaging only 19.9 PPG and it’s allowing 20.9. The Huskies are over matched in all three phases and I’m expecting a blowout. Note as well that NIU is just 4-16-1 ATS in its last 21 neutral site games, while the Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. teams with winning records and 8-1 ATS in their last nine against the conference. NIU has lost two straight, managing just 28 points in those setback. I’m banking on the Bulls dominating from start to finish. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-21 Buffalo. | |||||||
11-24-18 | Utah State +3 v. Boise State | 24-33 | Loss | -109 | 146 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Utah State (8* SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT) Utah State has won ten straight and after a near catastrophe against lowly Colorado State, I believe the Aggies come in focused on the task at hand and continue their red hot offensive campaign. Utah State plays with revenge and note that it’s been “lights out” in this spot for bettors all season by going 2-0 ATS as an underdog, 6-2 ATS after two or more SU wins and 3-1 ATS in its last four at home. Boise State on the other hand is still only 5-12 ATS in its last 17 at home and just 4-8 ATS in its last 12 vs. teams with winning records. T.M. Prediction: 37-29 Utah State. | |||||||
11-24-18 | Pittsburgh v. Miami-FL -5.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 140 h 41 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Miami Florida (8* MONEY-MAKER) Pitt comes in off a very satisfying 34-13 road win over Wake Forest last Saturday and I believe it’ll have a predictable letdown here. With that win the Panthers won the Coastal Division title. Miami enters off a 38-14 blowout win over Virginia Tech, but the Hurricanes won’t be “looking past” their opponent today after the Panthers scored the upset 24-14 win last year. Pitt comes in averaging 30.3 PPG and allowing 28.1. Miami became eligible last weekend, but clearly the team will look to keep the foot on the gas in the final regular season home game. The Hurricanes average 31.5 PPG and they allow only 19.5. Note that Miami is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 following a SU win, while Pittsburgh is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five after a SU win of more than 20 points. T.M. Prediction: 28-19 Miami. | |||||||
11-24-18 | Georgia Tech v. Georgia -17 | Top | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 136 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Georgia (10* TRADE-MARK) The Yellow Jackets are off a tough 30-27 OT win over Virginia at home and I think they’ll suffer a letdown here. Georgia rolled to an easy 66-27 home win over UMass and I predict a similarly destruction here as well. Note that Georgia smashed GT 38-7 in this game last year. GT averages 36.9 PPG and it allows 27.5. At 10-1, the Bulldogs are back in the SEC title game, but they have one more opportunity for a “tune up” and I expect them to make the most of it. Georgia enters averaging 39.5 PPG and allowing only 16.8. Note as well that GT is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range. T.M. Prediction: 45-15 Bulldogs. | |||||||
11-23-18 | Washington +3.5 v. Washington State | 28-15 | Win | 100 | 121 h 46 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Washington (8* BLOWOUT) I think many will be riding red hot Washington State in this one. But I think the pressure is on the home side here and I look for veteran Huskies’ QB Jake Browning to pull off the minor upset. But Browning beating WSU is no upset, as he’s already done it three times over his career, outscoring the Cougars 131-41 in the process. Washington State is rolling behind the Nation’s No. 1 offense, but the Huskies aren’t that far behind. Washington also has the upper hand defensively. Additionally note that the Huskies are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road conference games as an underdog in the +2.5 to +5.5 points range. T.M. Prediction: 27-21 Huskies. | |||||||
11-23-18 | Central Florida v. South Florida +14.5 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: South Florida (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Outright upset? I’m not saying that. But the desperate Bulls will be out to play spoiler today at home and while USF may come up short, I definitely expect this one to be a lot more competitive than what this spread would suggest. UCF won and covered against the Bearcats last weekend. The Bulls had a 17-0 lead at half time, but Temple scored 27 unanswered points in the second to steal the game. After four straight losses and with nothing to lose on seniors night though, I believe USF can put the pressure on the Knights today. Note that UCF is just 5-6 ATS in its last 11 vs. teams with winning records, while USF is a perfect 3-0 ATS in its last three as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. T.M. Prediction: 40-30 UCF. | |||||||
11-23-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State +13.5 | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 112 h 17 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Kent State (8* MONEY-MAKER) EMU enters off a 27-7 home win over Akron in its latest action, while Kent Stat looks to bounce back off a 56-34 loss to Toledo at home last Thursday. The Eagles secured a bowl spot with the win over Akron prior to their “bye week.” Can anyone say natural letdown spot? Note that the Eagles have scored 27 or fewer points in three straight games. The Golden Flashes have struggled on both sides of the ball this year, but they won’t going down with a fight today. Note that Kent is 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS loss, while EMU is just 11-24 ATS in its last 35 following a SU victory. T.M. Prediction: 27-24 EMU. | |||||||
11-23-18 | Texas v. Kansas +16 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Kansas (10* BIG 12 GAME OF THE YEAR) This is a big game for the Longhorns, because if they win this one they’ll earn a spot in the Big 12 Championship game next week to face Oklahoma. I’m not calling for an outright, but the stage is set for Kansas to keep this one competitive and try to score the outright upset as spoiler. Texas’ QB Sam Ehlinger was injured last week and he’s listed as probable for this one. Ehlinger is likely going to play, but one has to wonder about his overall health for sure? Kansas lost 55-40 last week vs. Oklahoma and I think it can carry that offensive momentum over here. Note that Texas is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 on the road, while Kansas is 6-4 ATS this season as an underdog. T.M. Prediction: 28-21 Texas. | |||||||
11-22-18 | Colorado State +14.5 v. Air Force | Top | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 92 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado State (10* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Neither team can become bowl eligible with a victory today and with that sad fact weight heavily on the minds of the once mighty Falcons, I believe the Colorado State Rams can keep this one much more competitive than what this spread would suggest. Colorado State is averaging 23.2 PPG on offense, while allowing 450 yards on defense. The Falcons had a 14 point fourth quarter lead against Wyoming last week and they’d go on to lose 35-27, putting an end to any hopes of a bowl berth once and for all. And after that tragic setback, I expect a very predictable letdown here. Note that Colorado State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games following a four games or more losing streak. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 Falcons. | |||||||
11-20-18 | Ball State +17 v. Miami-OH | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ball State (10* MONEY-MAKER) Miami Ohio has won two in a row and with one more victory it will become “eligible,” but Ball State won’t be rolling over here as it tries to play spoiler. The Cardinals actually come in with momentum as well after breaking a three-game slide with a win over WMU last Tuesday. BSU QB Drew Pitt had 258 yards and three TD’s last week. The Redhawks prevailed last week over NIU, but it wasn’t pretty with the offense posting just 201 total yards. The pressure is on the Redhawks and note that they’re just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 30-24 Miami Ohio. | |||||||
11-17-18 | Arizona State v. Oregon -4 | Top | 29-31 | Loss | -108 | 148 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oregon (10* TRADE-MARK) ASU is already heading to a bowl game and with a win today it’ll be the representative for the South Division in the Pac 12 Championship game. The Ducks though are 6-4 and with a couple more victories under their belt, they’d drastically improve their chances for a better bowl game. ASU has sen decent on the year, but note that it’s just 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 in this series, while Oregon is 4-1 ATS in the last five following a SU loss. Home field is the difference here, lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 45-20 Oregon. | |||||||
11-17-18 | Indiana v. Michigan -27.5 | 20-31 | Loss | -108 | 141 h 27 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Michigan (8* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) No upsets here. I think Michigan keeps the foot on the gas from start to finish. Indiana comes in off a 34-32 home win, while Michigan routed Rutgers 42-7. The Hoosiers are averaging 30 PPG and allowing 33. The Wolverines are averaging 37.2 PPG and they’re allowing only 12.9. Michigan is 4-0 ATS in its last four at home and interestingly 5-1 ATS in its last six after posting more than 450 or more yards in its previous contest, while Indiana is a poor 0-5 ATS in its last five following an ATS win. The Hoosiers are allowing 38.8 PPG over their last five and I think the unit struggles again today against the Wolverines high-powered unit. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 44-10 Michigan. | |||||||
11-17-18 | Liberty v. Auburn -28.5 | 0-53 | Win | 100 | 141 h 15 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Auburn (8* MONEY-MAKER) This is the first season in the FBS for the Liberty Flames and while they covered in a 45-24 loss to Virginia last Saturday, I think they’ll stumble here and lose horrible to Auburn, who looks to get back on track after a 27-10 road loss to No. 5 Georgia. Liberty is averaging 35.4 PPG and it’s allowing 39 per contest. QB Stephen Calvert has 2,677 passing yards and an 18/14 TD:INT. Auburn is averaging 26.5 PPG and it’s allowing just 18.3. QB Jarrett Stidham has 2,116 passing yards and a 10/4 TD:INT. Note that Auburn is 5-3 ATS in its last eight off a loss against a conference rival. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 50-12 Auburn. | |||||||
11-17-18 | Iowa -15.5 v. Illinois | 63-0 | Win | 100 | 141 h 48 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Iowa (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) Iowa came up short in a 14-10 home loss to Northwestern last week and I think it’ll take out its frustrations on the Illini, who enter off a horrible 54-35 road loss to Nebraska. Iowa destroyed Illinois 45-16 last year. Iowa enters averaging 28.5 PPG and it’s allowing 18.1. QB Nate Stanley had at least 250 passing yards six times this year with an 18/8 TD:INT. After three straight losses, I believe Stanley and company come up big today. The Illini have given up over 40 points in three of their last four games. Illinois averages 29.6 points and it’s allowing 38.6. Note that Iowa is 6-1 ATS in its last seven as a favorite and 3-1 ATS in its last four after two or more SU losses, while Illinois is a horrible 4-8 ATS in its last 12 as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range. T.M. Prediction: 40-20 Iowa. | |||||||
11-16-18 | Memphis -8 v. SMU | Top | 28-18 | Win | 100 | 122 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Memphis smashed SMU 66-45 at home last year and I think we’re going to see a similar beatdown here as well. The Tigers can score with the best of them, averaging 531.9 YPG, the issue has been on defense, where it’s giving up 231.6 YPG through the air. That’s a concern facing SMU and QB Ben Hicks, who has 16 TD’s and four INT’s, but the Mustangs are also terrible defensively. Note that Memphis is already 5-3 ATS as a favorite this year and a perfect 2-0 ATS this season off a win against a conference rival, while SMU is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after two or more SU wins. T.M. Prediction: 45-20 Memphis. | |||||||
11-15-18 | Tulane v. Houston -10 | Top | 17-48 | Win | 100 | 97 h 25 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Houston (10* MONEY-MAKER) Tulane started the year by going 2-5, but it’s since won three in a row. Even if the Wave lose this one though, they still have one last shot at home against lowly Navy to become eligible. The Green Wave enter off a satisfying 24-18 home win over ECU. The unfortunate part was that they’d allow 450 yards to the Pirates, while also allowing ECU to convert on 21 third downs. The Wave are scoring 26.2 PPG and they’re allowing 25.8. Houston is allowing 34.4 PPG, but the offense is scoring 47.8 PPG. I have a hard time seeing Tulane keeping pace with the Cougars on the road. Note as well that Houston is already 2-0 ATS this year as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. T.M. Prediction: 41-27 Houston. | |||||||
11-14-18 | Buffalo v. Ohio +1.5 | Top | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 73 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ohio (10* GAME OF WEEK) I think Buffalo stumbles here after five straight victories. Ohio though will be the “hungrier” team at home and after its three-game unbeaten streak was snapped to Miami Ohio this past weekend. Buffalo’s never been 9-1 before. Ohio will be looking to play spoiler today as Buffalo will win the MAC East Championship for a second straight year with a win today. There’s no way the Bobcats want the Bulls to celebrate that feat on their home field. Note as well that Ohios is 6-1 ATS in its last seven against teams with winning records. T.M. Prediction: 35-30 Ohio. | |||||||
11-13-18 | Western Michigan -7.5 v. Ball State | Top | 41-42 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Western Michigan (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) WMU will be eager to get back on track here after a horrible 59-14 home loss to Ohio, while Ball State enters off a 45-13 loss to Toledo. The Broncos have to be feeling confident here though as they hammered the Cardinals 55-3 last year. WMU lost QB Jon Wassink to injury and since then its struggled. But with a couple of games to adjust, I think the Broncos are still the much better overall team here. Note as well that Ball State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five against teams with winning records, while the road team is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 in this series. Ball State is also without its starting QB Riley Neal. T.M. Prediction: 35-20 WMU. | |||||||
11-10-18 | LSU -14 v. Arkansas | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 142 h 8 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: LSU (8* SITUATIONAL BLOWOUT) Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time. T.M. Prediction: (FINAL PREDICTED SCORE COMING SHORTLY) | |||||||
11-10-18 | Miami-FL +4.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 21-27 | Loss | -109 | 142 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Florida (10* ACC SIDE OF THE YEAR) Miami comes in desperate after three straight losses, most recently an upset to Duke. Georgia Tech on the other hand comes in complacent after winning four of its last five. The Hurricanes fast start is a thing of the past and QB issues has been the main problem. Malik Rosier and N’Kosi Perry will both be utilized today as they try to get things turned around. Georgia Tech has gotten improved play of late, but I’ll point out that it’s still just 1-3 ATS at home this year and only 3-4 ATS as a favorite. T.M. Prediction: 30-24 Miami. | |||||||
11-10-18 | Liberty +24 v. Virginia | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 138 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Liberty (8* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Virginia broke a three-game win streak with a loss to Pittsburgh and I think it’ll get caught a little flat-footed here as well. I’m of course not calling for an outright upset, I think Liberty, who is at No. 24 ranked Auburn next week, will keep this one interesting deep into the second half. The Flames are averaging 36.9 PPG and they’re allowing 38.3. The Cavs are averaging only 26.6 PPG and they’re allowing 19.2. Note though that Virginia is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 after posting less than 100 rushing yards in its previous game, while Liberty is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 non-conference games. T.M. Prediction: 35-25 Cavaliers. | |||||||
11-10-18 | Maryland +3 v. Indiana | 32-34 | Win | 100 | 135 h 40 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Maryland (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) Maryland can punch its ticket to eligibility with a win today against 4-5 Indiana. The Terps will be hungry to get back into the winners circle after last week’s 24-3 home loss to MSU. A date against the lowly Hoosiers, who come in having lost four straight and who haven’t played since a 38-31 loss to Minnesota on October 26th, offer the perfect opponent to get untracked against. The Terps average 221.8 rushing yards per game and 125 passing yards, while on defense they are allowing 164.8 rushing and 175 passing yards. Indiana is allowing 399.6 YPG overall and 237.6 through the air. Note that the Hoosiers are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine following a SU loss, while Maryland is 4-0 ATS in its last four following an ATS loss. T.M. Prediction: 28-27 Marland. | |||||||
11-09-18 | Fresno State -2 v. Boise State | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -109 | 121 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Fresno State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Fresno State is 8-1 overall and it can ill afford to take the foot off the gas at this point. Not with the hopes of reaching the MWC title game. The Bulldogs have a slim one-game lead over the Aztecs in the West Division race and they survived a potential trap game last week with a resounding 48-3 destruction of UNLV on the road. Boise State sits a game back of Utah State for the Mountain Division. The Broncos have won four straight and look poised for a letdown here facing the step up in competition. Most recently the Broncos beat BYU 21-16. Note that Boise State is in fact just 5-15 ATS in its last 20 at home though and just 1-4 ATS in its last five after allowing less than 20 points in its last game, while Fresno State is 13-2-1 ATS in its last 16 on the road. T.M. Prediction: 34-20 Fresno State. | |||||||
11-08-18 | Wake Forest +16 v. NC State | Top | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 94 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wake Forest (10* TRADE-MARK) I don’t see much a drop off between Wake Forest No. 1 Sam Hartman and his back-up. It’s next man up in the College Football World and Wake Forest comes in desperate for a victory to become eligible. The Wolfpack had lost two in a row before last weekend’s victory, so a return to complacency could indeed be in order here. Note as well that NC State is a poor 3-5 ATS in its last eight as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range and already 0-2 ATS this season off a win against a conference rival. T.M. Prediction: 37-33 NC State. | |||||||
11-07-18 | Toledo v. Northern Illinois -2.5 | Top | 15-38 | Win | 100 | 71 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Northern Illinois (10* GAME OF THE WEEK) Both teams are already bowl eligible, meaning that home field advantage can’t be overlooked here in my opinion. Toledo got its sixth win last week against Ball State 45-13, while the Huskies beat Akron 36-26. Toledo is averaging 41.2 PPG and allowing 30.8, while NIU is averaging 19.2 PPG and allowing 21.7. Note though that Toledo is just 6-9 ATS in its last 15 when playing against teams with winning records, while NIU is still 7-2 ATS in its last nine against the conference. T.M. Prediction: 35-20 NIU. | |||||||
11-03-18 | Duke +8 v. Miami-FL | 20-12 | Win | 100 | 120 h 25 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Duke (8* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Duke comes in off a 54-45 road loss to Pitt, while Miami dropped its second in a row in a 27-14 setback to BC last Friday night. Note that this is a revenge scenario for the Blue Devils, who have lost four straight in the series, including a 31-6 setback on the road last September 29th. Duke is averaging 31.4 PPG and it’s allowing only 23.5. Miami is averaging 34.5 PPG and it’s allowing only 19.2. The Hurricanes though have regressed on both sides of the ball over the last two games and I think the Blue Devils will have their opportunities. Note as well that Duke is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 as an underdog, while Miami is 0-6 ATS in its last six off a loss against a conference rival. T.M. Prediction: 27-23 Miami Florida. | |||||||
11-03-18 | Appalachian State v. Coastal Carolina +14.5 | 23-7 | Loss | -109 | 118 h 20 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Coastal Carolina (8* MONEY-MAKER) App State had won five in a row and made it into the AP Top 25 before then predictably stumbling at Georgia Southern last week. Coastal Carolina won’t be going down without a fight and it comes in with momentum with victories over UMass and Georgia State. The Mountaineers looked terrible on both sides of the ball in last week’s 34-14 setback. Also note that starting QB Zac Thomas left early in the first quarter with a concussion. Coastal Carolina’ QB Fred Payton and company have scored at least 20 points n each of their last seven contests after a 37-34 win over Georgia State last week and he’ll clearly be given the green light to fire down field again today as well. Note that App State is just 9-11 ATS in its last 20 against the conference, while the Chanticleers are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 as an underdog. T.M. Prediction: 35-27 App State. | |||||||
11-03-18 | Boston College v. Virginia Tech +2.5 | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -105 | 117 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Virginia Tech (10* ACC GAME OF MONTH) The Eagles are 6-2 and 3-1 in the ACC and they sit just 1.5 games behind No. 2 Clemson in the Atlantic Division of the ACC. BC hosts Clemson next weekend and I think it gets caught looking ahead. And while the Eagles have been fantastic at home, they’ve lost their last two away from friendly confines. An upset 27-14 win over Miami on October 26th has BC primed for a predictable letdown. VT is 4-3 overall and 3-1 in the Coastal division, one of three one loss teams with Virginia and Pittsburgh. Note as well that BC is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven after two or more consecutive SU victories, while VT is 8-6 ATS in its last 14 against teams with winning records. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 27-21 VT. | |||||||
11-03-18 | Michigan State v. Maryland +2.5 | 24-3 | Loss | -110 | 113 h 22 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Maryland (9* MONEY-MAKER) Maryland is 5-3 and searching a small upset here to punch its way into eligibility. After falling to Michigan, MSU bounced back with a 23-13 home win over Purdue, which was still in shock ater knocking off Ohio State on the road. QB Rocky Lombardi had 318 yards, two TD’s and no INT’s. The defense looked sharp in holding Purdue to 339 yards overall, but I think it’ll struggle to contain a Terps offense which has been sharp at home, knocking off Minnesota (42-13), Illinois (63-33) and Rutgers (34-7). Last week the Terps posted 712 yards overall and 431 rushing yards against the Illini, with QB Kasim Hill going for 265 yards and three TD’s. Note that MSU is just 8-14 ATS in its last 22 as a favorite and only 2-6 ATS in its last eight as a road favorite, while Maryland is already 3-1 ATS at home this year. T.M. Prediction: 26-21 Maryland. | |||||||
11-03-18 | Memphis v. East Carolina +13 | Top | 59-41 | Loss | -108 | 113 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: East Carolina (10* UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR) The Tigers come in reeling after consecutive losses, including giving up 65 points in a loss to Missouri last Saturday. The Tigers’ defense has been exposed and I think the hungry Pirates can keep it interesting. ECU enters off a 37-10 loss to the UCF. Memphis lost to the Golden Knights as well. Last week Memphis’ QB Brady White had just 208 yards on 15 of 37 passing with two TD’s and two INT’s. The run game has been strong, but ECU won’t be going down without a fight today. ECU started Holton Ahlers last week and he had 406 yards passing, one TD and an INT. He also rushed for 69 yards. Ahlers been given the keys to the ship and he’s going to have his opportunities today against the terrible Tigers’ defense. Note as well that Mempis is just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 on the road (including 0-3 ATS this season), while ECU is already 3-1 ATS this year as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range. T.M. Prediction: 35-31 Memphis. | |||||||
11-02-18 | Colorado v. Arizona -4 | 34-42 | Win | 100 | 123 h 18 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Arizona (8*) Colorado comes in off a disheartening 41-34 OT loss to Oregon State at home and I believe it’ll stumble here in this difficult venue as well. Arizona is now trending in the opposite direction though, off a big 44-15 win at home over No. 19 Oregon last weekend. Colorado is averaging 32 PPG and allowing 23.9. Arizona is averaging 26.3 PPG and allowing 26.4. Note as well that the Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their last eight at home, while the Buffaloes are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine after posting more than 280 yards in their previous outing. T.M. Prediction: 35-21 Wildcats. | |||||||
11-02-18 | Western Kentucky +14 v. Middle Tennessee State | 10-29 | Loss | -115 | 121 h 48 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: WKU (8*) WKU has been a disaster so far this year, its lone win coming against Ball State. MTSU has won two in a row, but I think the home side is going to get caught “looking past” its lowly opponent today. WKU is averaging only 19.8 PPG, but the defense has been decent in conceding 30. MTSU QB Brent Stockstill looked decent last week, but note that the Blue Raiders are still 0-4 ATS in their last four after two or more consecutive SU victories. No outright victory here, but a very solid back door cover. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 30-24 Blue Raiders. | |||||||
11-02-18 | Pittsburgh +7.5 v. Virginia | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 120 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Pittsburgh (8*) The Cavs have won three straight and while they may ultimately win their fourth in a row, I don’t expect the Panthers to go down without a fight. Pitt comes in off a big 54-45 win over Duke last weekend as V’Lique Carter would explode for 137 yards and two TD’s: “He’s a player on offense right now,” head coach Pat Narduzzi assured. “That’s where he’ll stay right now…. “He’s fast. Obviously he’ll get a few more carries [against Virginia].” The Cavs suffocating defense has led the charge during the recent surge, but I think they’ll have their hands full today with this dynamic Panthers’ offense which comes in on top form. Not as well that Pittsburgh is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 against teams with winning records, while UVA is still just 3-4 ATS in its last seven off a win against a conference rival. T.M. Prediction: 26-23 Virginia | |||||||
10-31-18 | Ball State +14 v. Toledo | Top | 13-45 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 23 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Ball State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Toledo had lost two in a row before a big upset win over WMU last Thursday. Ball State has plenty of issues and it enters off a back-to-back wins over EMU and Ohio. Ball State in fact lost 52-14 to the Bobcats last week. Starting QB Riley Neal was injured early though and backup Drew Plitt struggled in his time. However, with a week off to prepare, Plitt will have his opportunities against this “on again, off again” Toledo defense in my opinion. Note that Toledo starting QB Mitch Guadagni suffered an injury in last week’s rout of WMU as well. That means that Eli Peters is now the starting QB and he’s had mixed results. Note as well that Ball State is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road dog in the 14.5 to 21 points range, while Toledo is just 8-9 ATS in its last 17 at home and only 6-8 ATS off a win against a conference rival. T.M. Prediction: 35-28 Toledo. | |||||||
10-30-18 | Miami-OH v. Buffalo -7 | Top | 42-51 | Win | 100 | 49 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo (10* MONEY-MAKER) Miami Ohio enters off a tough 31-30 double OT setback to Army, while the Bulls posted a convincing 31-17 road victory over Toledo. Note that this is a revenge game for Buffalo after it fell 24-14 on the road in this series last year. Miami is averaging 26.2 PPG and allowing 24.9. The Bulls are averaging 32.9 PPG and allowing only 21.1. The Redhawks have been playing better defensively of late, but I think they’ll take a step back in this difficult road venue. Note as well that Miami Ohio is just 1-2 ATS in its last three off its bye week, while Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a favorite in the 3.5 to ten points range. Lay the points, this one has “rout” written all over it. T.M. Prediction: 30-21 Buffalo. | |||||||
10-27-18 | Hawaii +23.5 v. Fresno State | Top | 20-50 | Loss | -106 | 147 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawaii (10* TRADE-MARK) Hawaii enters off a 40-22 loss to Nevada, while Fresno State comes in off a 38-7 road victory over New Mexico. Fresno State posted the 31-21 road win in Hawaii last year and I predict a similar point discrepancy here as well once it’s all said and done. So far Hawaii is averaging 34.9 PPG and allowing 32.9. Fresno State is averaging 38 PPG and allowing only 12.6. But note that the Bulldogs are just 1-2 ATS in their last three as a favorite in the 21.5 to 31 points range, while Hawaii is 4-2 ATS in its last six as an underdog in the same points range. No outright, but expect a tight battle. Play on Hawaii. T.M. Prediction: 35-25 Fresno State. | |||||||
10-27-18 | NC State v. Syracuse -1 | 41-51 | Win | 100 | 144 h 57 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Syracuse (8* MONEY-MAKER!) NC State comes in off a deflating 41-7 loss to Clemson, while Syracuse comes in off a confidence-building 40-37 double OT victory over UNC. Syracuse plays with revenge here as well after NC State posted a 33-25 home win in the series last year. Overall NC State is averaging 28.7 PPG and allowing 20.8. The Orange have scored at least 30 points in six of their seven games and they’re allowing an average of 26.9 PPG. Note as well that Syracuse is 4-2 ATS in its last six off a win against a conference rival, while NC State is just 8-9 ATS in its last 17 following a conference game, including 0-2 ATS this season. T.M. Prediction: 37-30 Orange. | |||||||
10-27-18 | Duke -2.5 v. Pittsburgh | 45-54 | Loss | -106 | 140 h 28 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Duke (8* BANKROLL BUILDER) With a win Duke will become bowl eligible. The Panthers present the perfect opponent to try and attain that as they’re just 3-4, most recently coming off a loss to Notre Dame. Duke only managed 58 rushing yards in last week’s loss, but that was against Virginia, one of the best defenses in the nation. The Panthers are struggling across the board as well, especially offensively, last in yard per attempt in the country at just 5.9. QB Kenny Pickett has yet to throw for 200 yards in a game this year either. Note as well that Duke is already 3-0 ATS on the road this year, while Pittsburgh is just 7-10 ATS in its last 17 at home. T.M. Prediction: 27-17 Blue Devils. | |||||||
10-27-18 | Wisconsin v. Northwestern +6 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 137 h 59 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Northwestern (8* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) Wisconsin comes in off a blowout win over Illinois and I think it’ll be caught a little flat-footed against a Northwestern team desperate for a victory. The Badgers average 33 PPG, but QB Alex Hornibrook looked pretty average in last week’s win, finishing 13 of 22 for 188 yards, three TD’s, but also two INT’s. Northwestern is averaging just 24.3 PPG, but it’s also allowing only 24.6 PPG. RB Isaiah owed had 108 yards and two TD’s in last week’s 18-16 win over Rutgers. Note though that Wisconsin is already 0-2 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival, while Northwestern is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 as an underdog and 7-2 ATS in its last nine after two or more consecutive SU victories. T.M. Prediction: 27-25 Badgers. | |||||||
10-27-18 | Wake Forest +1.5 v. Louisville | Top | 56-35 | Win | 100 | 137 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wake Forest (10* BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR) The Demon Deacons are hungry to get back on track here after losing four of their last five, while Louisville enters on a four-game slide as well after falling to BC this past weekend. Wake Forest is averaging 30.1 PPG and it’s allowing 37.0. Louisville is averaging just 20.4 PPG while allowing 33.4. Two bottom feeders, but Wake has the much more coherent offense at this point. Also note that the Cardinals are a terrible 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games, while Wake Forest is 5-2-1 ATS in its last eight against teams with a losing record. T.M. Prediction: 37-30 Wake Forest. | |||||||
10-26-18 | Wyoming +2.5 v. Colorado State | 34-21 | Win | 100 | 124 h 35 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Wyoming (8* BLACK-LABEL BLOWOUT) It’s a big game for both teams despite overall disappointing campaigns for each to this point. But each stands with five total wins, meaning that one more and it’ll become “eligible.” In a contest which I envision being decided by whichever school has its hands on the ball last, I’m grabbing the points. Wyoming’s offense has been horrible this year, but the Cowboys have been stout defensively. Last week Wyoming QB Sean Chamber was decent, running for 100 yards on 19 attempts. Colorado State has given up 37.8 PPG this season and the offense is completely one-dimensional as well. I have a hard time seeing the Rams mustering much of an offensive attack tonight. I think Wyoming wins outright. T.M. Prediction: 26-21 Wyoming. | |||||||
10-26-18 | Miami-FL v. Boston College +4 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 121 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boston College (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) The Hurricanes come in flustered after their stunning loss to Virginia and I think the hungry Eagles will make the most of this opportunity. Last week Miami Florida fell flat in a 16-13 road loss to the Cavaliers, while BC smashed Louisville 38-20. Miami is making a permanent shift at QB now after last week’s disaster, as N’Kosi Perry is gone and senior Malik Rosier is back running the show. Probably a good move overall, but the uncertainty at this point of the season at the most important position isn’t a good thing. Miami’s vaunted defense is going to have its hands full today as well trying to slow down Eagles’ RB Ben Glines, who had 219 rushing yards and two TD’s last weekend. Note that the Hurricanes are just 7-12 ATS in their last 19 following a conference contest, while BC is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 in the same position. I’m grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 25-24 Miami Florida. | |||||||
10-25-18 | Appalachian State -7.5 v. Georgia Southern | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 23 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Appalachian State (8*) Both teams have been hot, but I think the combination of App State’s offense and defense will be just too much for the Eagles to handle tonight. App State has scored at least 35 points in every game prior to its win this last weekend over the Ragin Cajun, while also holding four straight opponents previous to Arkansas State to just single digits in scoring. Georgia Southern is fifth in the country in rushing with 276.6 per contest, but overall the offense is averaging a woeful 352.4 YPG. That’s not going to cut it against the high-flying Mountaineers this weekend. Note that the Eagles are just 1-5 ATS in their last six home games against teams with winning road records, while App State is 5-0 ATS in its last five on the road. T.M. Prediction: 35-23 Mountaineers. | |||||||
10-25-18 | Toledo +5 v. Western Michigan | 51-24 | Win | 100 | 97 h 54 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Toledo (8*) Toledo looks to get back on track after a 31-17 home loss to Buffalo, while WMU enters off a 35-10 road win over CMU in its previous action. The Rockets are averaging 39.3 PPG and they’re allowing 34.3. QB Eli ethers has a 6/2 TD:INT, while Michell Guadagni has an 11/3 TD:INT. WMU is averaging 36.4 PPG and it’s allowing 28.4. QB Jon Wassink has been decent with a 16/6 TD:INT. I’ll point out though that the Broncos are just 7-9 ATS in their last 16 off a win against a conference rival and only 7-8 ATS In their last 15 at home. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 37-31 Rockets. | |||||||
10-25-18 | Ball State +11 v. Ohio | 14-52 | Loss | -123 | 97 h 54 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Ball State (8*) Ball State is 2-2 after losing to EMU 42-20 most recently, while Ohio is 2-1 in the MAC after destroying Bowling Green 49-14 in its most recent action. The Cardinals are averaging 25 PPG and they’re ranked 82nd in the country on the defensive side. Ball State QB Riley Neal has 1,841 passing yards and a decent 10:4 TD/INT. Ohio is averaging 36.3 PPG and it’s allowing 31. QB Nathan Rourke had four TD passes against the lowly Green Falcons last week, but note that Ohio is a poor 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while Ball State is 4-2 ATS in its last six as an underdog in the same range. I’m expecting a much tighter battle than what this spread would suggest, so grab the points! T.M. Prediction: 34-30 Ohio. | |||||||
10-23-18 | Troy v. South Alabama +11 | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -100 | 50 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: South Alabama (10* MONEY-MAKER) Troy has been pretty good, it’s averaging 33.7 PPG and it’s allowing only 24.6. Conversely South Alabama is averaging 25.7 PPG and allowing 39.3. But the Trojans’ offense has suffered a major blow as starting QB Kaleb Barker has been lost for the season to injury. The Trojans come in off a surprising 22-16 road loss to Liberty in which backup QB Sawyer Smith had 135 passing yards with one TD and one INT. Jaguars’ QB Evan Orth has 1,366 passing yards an a decent 7:3 TD/INT. Note as well that Troy is just 2-3 ATS in its last five after scoring 17 points or less in its previous contest. No outright, but closer than expected. T.M. Prediction: 30-24 Troy. | |||||||
10-20-18 | Central Florida v. East Carolina +21 | Top | 37-10 | Loss | -108 | 128 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: East Carolina (10* GAME OF MONTH) UCF is 5-0, most recently holding on for a tight 31-30 win over Memphis. ECU is just 1-3 in its last four after having its ass handed to it by Houston last weekend. The Pirates are desperate and I don’t think they’ll go down this weekend without a fight. I’m not predicting an outright upset or anything, but I do definitely believe that the stage is set for a a much tighter battle than what this large spread would suggest. The Knights are scoring a lot of points, but I think they get caught “looking past” their opponent tonight. Note that ECU starts a new QB in Holton Ahlers, who led ECU to a pair of fourth-quarter TD’s, finishing 137 yards, one TD and no INT. Note that ECU is 3-1 ATS in its last four as an underdog in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while UCF is already 0-2 ATS this year off a win against a conference rival. T.M. Prediction: 40-25 UCF. | |||||||
10-20-18 | Penn State -14 v. Indiana | 33-28 | Loss | -109 | 124 h 19 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Penn State (8*) Penn State will be eager to get back on track here after dropping its second straight, most recently a 21-17 setback to Michigan State on Saturday. Indiana also dropped its second straight in a 42-16 setback at home to Iowa. Penn State comes in averaging 44.2 PPG and allowing only 21. QB Trace McSorley has a sharp 11:2 TD/INT. Indiana averages only 26.1 PPG and it allows 28.1. Clearly that’s not a recipe for success. The Hoosiers allowed Iowa QB Nathan Stanley to throw for 320 yards and six TD’s. Note that Indiana is 0-7 ATS in its last seven following a SU loss and 0-4 ATS in its last four after allowing more than 40 points. T.M. Prediction: 40-21 Nittany Lions. | |||||||
10-20-18 | Houston -12.5 v. Navy | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 124 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Houston (8*) Houston comes in on top form, having won three straight, most recently a convincing 42-20 win over ECU on the road last Saturday. Navy on the other hand has zero momentum, it dropped its third in a row in a 24-17 home loss to Temple last weekend. Houston is averaging 48.7 PPG (ranked 3rd) and allowing only 28. QB D’Eriq King has 1,571 passing yards to go along with 20 TD’s, three INT’s and 225 rushing yards and eight more TD’s on the ground. The Mids are averaging only 28 PPG and they’re allowing 31.8. Clearly that’s not a recipe for long-term success. Note as well that Navy is interestingly 0-4 ATS in its last four after posting more than 170 passing yards in its previous game, while Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games against a team with a losing home record. Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 41-20 Houston. | |||||||
10-20-18 | UL-Lafayette +24 v. Appalachian State | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 124 h 9 m | Show | |
T.M. Selection: Lafayette (8*) The Ragin’ Cajuns broke a three-game slide with a win over New Mexico State and they’re going to have their hands full here with an App State team which hasn’t lost since an Opening Day setback to Penn State. The Mountaineers are averaging 48.8 PPG, but I think they’re going to get caught “looking past” their lowly opponent today. Lafayette’ QB Andre Nunez finished with 315 passing yards and five TD’s last week and I think the senior QB carries that momentum over here. Note though that Lafayette is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 on the road and 3-1 ATS in its last four against teams with winning records, while App State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a favorite in the 21.5 to 31 points range. T.M. Prediction: 40-30 App State. | |||||||
10-20-18 | North Carolina v. Syracuse -10.5 | Top | 37-40 | Loss | -102 | 121 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Syracuse (10* BLOWOUT GAME OF YEAR) The Tar Heels come in off a 22-19 loss to Virginia Tech, while Syracuse comes in focused and rested off its bye week. Previous to that the Orange fell 44-37 in OT at Pittsburgh. UNC though is averaging only 20.6 PPG, while allowing 33.8. QB Nathan Elliot has underwhelmed with 920 yards passing and a poor 4:4 TD/INT. The Orange average 43 PPG and they allow only 25.2. QB Eric Dungey has 1,208 yards with ten TD’s and four INT’s. Note that Syracuse is 3-0-1 ATS In its last four games on field turf, while the Tar Heels are just 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight in the same position. T.M. Prediction: 45-25 Orange. | |||||||
10-19-18 | Colorado State v. Boise State -23 | Top | 28-56 | Win | 100 | 124 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Boise State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER) Colorado State comes in off a 20-17 home win over New Mexico, while Boise State posted a 31-27 road victory over Nevada. The Rams are averaging only 24.6 PPG still, while allowing 35.1. Their passing game is ranked 20th in the country, but the run game has been anemic. Boise State is averaging 36.2 PPG and it’s allowing only 21.8. QB Brett Rypien had 299 passing yards and two TD’s in last week’s victory. Note that Colorado State is just 2-4 ATS in its last six though after two or more consecutive SU wins, while Boise State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven against teams with losing records. T.M. Prediction: 50-13 Boise State. | |||||||
10-18-18 | Stanford v. Arizona State +3 | Top | 20-13 | Loss | -105 | 100 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona State (10* GAME OF WEEK) Stanford’s lost two straight. RB Bryce love is expected back in the line-up after missing the last two games, but one has to wonder how the Cardinal’ star RB’s form is at the moment? Note that Stanford has already been held to 21 points or fewer on three occasions already this year. ASU also enters off its bye, timely as QB Manny Wilkins suffered a minor injury in the 28-21 loss to Colorado: “I got a little rest; I was really eager (to be back),” Wilkins assured. “When you don’t play for a week, and I’m in my senior season…. I got here [Sunday] morning and I was smiling. It was like I had a mini-offseason. I’m ready to get back in here and finish this thing off with my guys.” Note that ASU is 5-1 ATS in its last six at home and 7-3 ATS in its last ten against teams with winning records, while Stanford is interestingly 0-3-1 ATS in its last four after allowing more than 200 rushing yards in its previous game. T.M. Prediction: 30-27 ASU. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $846 |
Ross Benjamin | $790 |
Dan Kaiser | $545 |
Joey Tron | $511 |
Sean Murphy | $430 |
Sean Higgs | $352 |
Ricky Tran | $301 |
Ray Monohan | $263 |
Matt Fargo | $220 |
Kyle Hunter | $71 |